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Insider Today: Amazon's AI problem
  + stars: | 2024-06-02 | by ( Matt Turner | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Also read:AdvertisementGetty Images; Alyssa Powell/BIThe best investments everBI asked seven heavyweight investors, including Rob Arnott and Bob Elliott, to identify the best trades of their careers. Each shared the top investments they've made, and explained how the lessons from those decisions still apply today. Getty Images; Alyssa Powell/BIAmerica's ridiculous hiring hurdleFewer American men than ever are working right now, and unemployment insurance may be at least partially to blame. Getty Images; Alyssa Powell/BIA better way to sell homesFixed-rate mortgages guarantee homeowners will pay the same amount each month for decades.
Persons: , You'll, Kitty, Flopsy, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Andrej Sokolow, Carter Smith, Alyssa Powell, Amazon, Rob Arnott, Bob Elliott, Andrea Mac Organizations: Service, Business, Google, Getty, Bloomberg Locations: Denmark, America
Texas Instruments is one of the most iconic semiconductor companies in the world, with a history dating back nearly a century. Over the years, Texas Instruments has differentiated itself with a commitment to manufacturing as a core competitive advantage. In either case, Elliott thinks the company can achieve $9.01 of free cash flow per share. The company's capex plan has decimated free cash flow per share and is building to a 50% excess capacity. Elliott's plan restores the free cash flow per share growth and still builds to a 30% or 39% excess capacity.
Persons: Elliott, It's, Ken Squire Organizations: Texas, Texas Instruments, 13D Locations: COOs, China, Taiwan, U.S, capex, Richardson , Texas
In today's big story, we're looking at the historic guilty verdict against former President Donald Trump . In a historic verdict, former President Donald Trump was convicted of all 34 criminal counts related to a hush-money payment made to a porn star , write Business Insider's Laura Italiano, Jacob Shamsian, and Natalie Musumeci. AdvertisementIt's the first time a US president has become a convicted felon. This was a rigged trial by a conflicted judge that was corrupt," Trump told reporters in the Manhattan courtroom hallway. Trump told reporters Thursday the "real verdict is going to be November 5 by the people."
Persons: , Donald Trump, Tyler Le, Laura Italiano, Jacob Shamsian, Natalie Musumeci, Trump, Stormy Daniels, BI's Lloyd Lee, There's, didn't, Chip Somodevilla, Scott Eisen, Joe Biden, Alyssa Powell, Rob Arnott, Bob Elliott, Paul Singer's, Jane Street, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Liz Reid, Satya Nadella, Sam Altman, Nadella, Kevin Dietsch, Charles Schwab, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Service, Business, Republican, Trump, NBC, Getty, Wall, Elliott Management, BI, Tech, Sigma, Google, Microsoft, Apple, Big Locations: Giza, Manhattan, Bridgewater, New York, London
Read previewCitadel Securities announced Thursday that Jim Esposito, a former cohead of the global banking and capital markets group at Goldman Sachs, is set to join the company as president in September. He will report to Peng Zhao, Citadel Securities' CEO, a spokesperson for the firm confirmed to Business Insider. "We are thrilled to welcome Jim to Citadel Securities during a period of significant expansion and opportunity for our firm." Bloomberg News earlier reported Esposito's appointment to Citadel Securities on Thursday. Ken Griffin, the billionaire hedge fund founder of both the asset manager Citadel as well as Citadel Securities, relocated his companies' headquarters to the Magic City in 2022.
Persons: , Jim Esposito, Goldman Sachs, Peng Zhao, Esposito, Goldman, Jim, Ken Griffin, Zhao Organizations: Service, Citadel Securities, Business, Citadel, Apple, Goldman, . Citadel, BI, Bloomberg, Sunshine State, Magic City, Elliott Management Locations: South Florida, London, Miami, Chicago . Miami
"We definitely look forward to engaging in a constructive dialogue with Elliott," Ilan said at AllianceBernstein's Strategic Decisions conference, marking his first public remarks since the activist revealed a $2.5 billion position in the company. Texas Instruments has spent heavily on chip fabrication plants, or fabs, as it seeks to maintain its dominant position in the analog semiconductor market. But that growth in capex has come at a significant cost to free cash flow per share, a self-declared key metric for TI, Elliott noted. By Elliott's analysis, FCF per share fell from $6.40 in 2022 to $1.47 per share in 2023. But it remains a giant business, accounting for $13 billion or 74% of TI's revenue in 2023.
Persons: Haviv Ilan, Elliott, Ilan Organizations: Texas, CNBC, TI, Texas Instruments, Micron Technologies Locations: Utah, capex
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewAfter raising $13 billion in 2022, billionaire Paul Singer's Elliott Management raked in another sizeable haul over the past six months. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. Related stories"Historical and mathematical fact can get lost in the excitement when stocks are on a tear," the letter states. The firm recently took a $2.5 billion stake in Texas Instruments, calling on the 94-year-old company to improve its free cash flow.
Persons: , Paul Singer's Elliott, Elliott —, Elliott, doesn't Organizations: Service, Paul Singer's Elliott Management, Business, Texas Locations: YOLO
“Keystone Renewal is all in to elect David McCormick to the U.S. Senate,” Mr. Dorr said. So far, Mr. Casey’s campaign and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, the main campaign arm of Senate Democrats, have spent the most on ads in the race. The committee has spent about $9 million on broadcast, cable and digital ads, while Mr. Casey’s campaign has spent $8.5 million. “Pennsylvanians already know that McCormick can’t be trusted.”The Pennsylvania race is one of only a handful this year expected to determine control of the closely divided Senate. Mr. McCormick, a former hedge fund executive, is making his second bid for a Pennsylvania Senate seat in as many years.
Persons: David McCormick, ” Mr, Dorr, Ken Griffin, Paul Singer, Jeff Yass, “ David, ” Maddy McDaniel, Casey’s, McCormick can’t, McCormick, Casey Organizations: U.S . Senate, PAC, Wall Street, Citadel, Elliott Management, Susquehanna International Group, Democratic Senatorial, Committee, Democrats, Pennsylvania Senate Locations: Pennsylvania
We asked seven pro investors to identify the best trades of their careers and explain how the lessons from those decisions still apply today. The CBOE Volatility Index, also known as the VIX, shot above 40, essentially meaning traders were betting that the stock market would be exceptionally rocky over the following month. Jeff Muhlenkamp, lead portfolio manager at Muhlenkamp & CompanyJeff Muhlenkamp Muhlenkamp & CompanyJeff Muhlenkamp's namesake Muhlenkamp Fund (MUHLX) has been in the top 3% of its category in the past half-decade, thanks to trades like one he pulled off on Chinese internet firm Baidu (BIDU). "I pretty much expected, 'OK, if I get a double out of this in five years, I'll be happy' — that's pretty decent money," Muhlenkamp said. He noted that industrials within the Russell Mid Cap value index have returned 116% over the previous five years.
Persons: , That's, Michael Burry, Warren Buffett, Berkshire, Rob Arnott, Tim Boyle, Arnott, I'd, Bob Elliott, Bob Elliott's, Elliott, Jeff Muhlenkamp, Jeff Muhlenkamp Muhlenkamp, Jeff Muhlenkamp's, Muhlenkamp, you've, Sona Menon, Cambridge Associates Sona Menon, Bryant VanCronkhite, Allspring Bryant VanCronkhite Allspring Bryant VanCronkhite, VanCronkhite, Russell, industrials, James Davolos, Davolos, George Patton, Harley Bassman, Harley Bassman's, Bassman, Merrill Lynch, I'm Organizations: Service, American Express, Business, Research, Bloomberg, Getty, Bridgewater Associates, Treasury, Securities, Muhlenkamp, Baidu, Google, North, Cambridge Associates, Allspring, Horizon Kinetics, Opportunities Fund, Credit Suisse Locations: industrials, West Africa, New York City, Guinea
There's a long standing debate about whether people should take their kids to a bar or if they should leave them at home. Pre-kids, I believed kids should stay homeI used to be in the camp that kids should stay home and that bars should just be for adults. Elliott Harrell didn't understand why parents brought their kids to happy hour until she had her own kids. Courtesy Elliott HarrellI try to pick spots where my kids will disrupt patrons the leastEven though I support parents taking kids to bars, I do think that parents should consider which spots will be better for kids. Taking our kids to happy hour is a way for us to get a change of scenery and be social without having the struggle of finding a babysitter.
Persons: we've, , There's, they'll, aren't, They're, doesn't, Elliott Harrell, I'm Organizations: Service, Business Locations: margarita
Elliott, the $65 billion hedge fund best known for its shareholder activism , has made a $2.5 billion investment in Texas Instruments and is urging the company to improve its free cash flow by adapting a less rigid plan for capital expenditures. Shares of TI jumped about 3% on the news before paring back the gains in morning trading. Elliott believes Texas Instrument's rigid adherence to a capital expenditure plan put in place in 2022 has eviscerated shareholder returns by greatly reducing a metric by which TI has always asked to be judged– free cash flow. Its stock price, Elliott insists, has suffered as a result, trailing its peer group by substantial margins over the last two, four, six and ten year periods. That allocation of capital will result in the addition of capacity allowing for the company to almost double current annual revenues to $30 billion.
Persons: Elliott, paring, Jesse Cohn, Jason Genrich Organizations: Texas, CNBC, TI, Elliott, YouTube Locations: Texas, Western
Jim Cramer's daily rapid fire looks at stocks in the news outside the CNBC Investing Club portfolio. "They don't want kids, and they don't want gambling," and that's the appeal of Viking, Cramer said. Airbnb : Shares of the short-term rental company were upgraded to a buy-equivalent outperform rating at Wedbush. Huntington Bancshares : The regional bank stock was upgraded to a buy-equivalent overweight rating at JPMorgan. Cramer said Texas Instruments didn't make the right moves with customers and shareholders and that's why Elliott moved in.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Mike Sievert, Jim Cramer, initiations, Viking, Cramer, Huntington, Elliott Organizations: CNBC, Club, U.S . Cellular, Mobile, U.S, Cellular, Viking Holdings, JPMorgan, Texas, Elliott Management
A large oil industry deal advanced on Tuesday after shareholders of Hess approved a proposed sale of the company to Chevron for $53 billion. Control over one of the most prized oil assets, off the shores of Guyana, is at stake in the deal, which still faces significant hurdles. Exxon is contesting Chevron’s acquisition of Hess by arguing that Hess can’t sell itself without allowing Exxon to buy its stake in the Guyana project. Chevron and Hess have said Exxon’s interpretation of the terms of Exxon and Hess’s partnership is incorrect. But Hess prevailed at its shareholders’ meeting on Tuesday in convincing a majority that the deal was in their best interest.
Persons: Hess Organizations: Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Exxon Locations: Guyana, sweetening
Crowdstrike (CRWD) is a best-in-class cybersecurity leader that is poised for a technical breakout from resistance, despite being richly valued. One of the top concerns for firms in a post-pandemic world of remote, at-home workers is cybersecurity. Plus, the industry will also benefit greatly from the generative AI and cloud computing boom. And the long-term outlook for cybersecurity stocks is quite bullish as we power into what Nvidia's Jensen Huang refers to as 'the next industrial revolution'. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Cybersecurity, Morgan Stanley, Elliott, Nvidia's Jensen Huang, Todd Gordon, Gordon, CRWD Organizations: Alto Networks, Palo Alto Networks, Tactical Alpha, Edge, Inside Edge, Inside Edge Capital Management
It may be time for investors to trim positions in overbought names after the stock market reached record levels this week. Certain stocks this week became overbought, based on their 14-day relative strength index, or RSI. Here are the most overbought names in the S & P 500 this week: Moderna was the most overbought stock in the S & P 500, scoring an RSI of about 86.5. Analysts think shares, which have rallied about 28% this year, could peel back roughly 8%. Other oversold stocks include SLB , J.B. Hunt and Molson Coors .
Persons: LSEG, Jon Windham, Johnson, Ulta, Hunt Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Moderna, UBS, Johnson Controls, Bloomberg, Elliott Investment Management, Johnson, Barclays, Deutsche Bank, Jefferies, Molson Coors Locations: U.S, oversold, J.B
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNvidia's flatness shows rest of the market is struggling, says Unlimited CEO Bob ElliottTracie McMillion, Wells Fargo head of global asset allocation strategy, and Bob Elliott, Unlimited CEO, join 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss the markets, Nvidia earnings and sector winners.
Persons: Bob Elliott Tracie McMillion, Wells, Bob Elliott Organizations: Nvidia Locations: Wells Fargo
The Haley rationale for backing TrumpAfter months of speculation, Nikki Haley said — in her first appearance since dropping out of the Republican presidential primary — that she would vote for Donald Trump, the man against whom she waged a sometimes scathing campaign. But it may provide cover to prominent donors like Ken Griffin who in recent weeks has suggested that he might come in from the cold and donate to Trump. Deep-pocketed Republicans flocked to Haley during the primary. “I think she is just what we need right now,” Langone said on Fox News. “What Trump put this country through the last three months of his presidency was disgraceful.”But donors are rethinking their aversion to Trump, who handily beat Haley and other rivals and is now leading President Biden in some polls.
Persons: Haley, Nikki Haley, , Donald Trump, Ken Griffin, Griffin, Paul Singer, Henry Kravis, Barry Sternlicht, Cliff Asness, Stanley Druckenmiller, Ken Langone, Reid Hoffman, wasn’t Trump, Nikki, ” Sternlicht, ” Langone, Trump, Biden, White, Israel Organizations: Trump, Republican, PAC, Elliott Management, KKR, Starwood Capital, AQR Capital Management, Democratic, LinkedIn, Times, Fox News Locations: Gaza
Early in his term, President Biden seemed to have struck an uneasy truce with the oil and gas industry. Mr. Biden had imposed restrictions on drilling as part of his ambitious climate agenda, but he also approved an enormous $8 billion oil project in Alaska. The United States had become the world’s leading exporter of natural gas, and no other country in history was pumping more crude. Then, in January, Mr. Biden paused new permits for export facilities for liquefied natural gas. That decision galvanized oil and gas companies against Mr. Biden, according to industry lobbyists, and will be an undercurrent at a fund-raising lunch set for Wednesday in Houston.
Persons: Biden, Donald J, Trump, Mr, , , Thomas J, Pyle Organizations: United, Mr, American Energy Alliance Locations: Alaska, United States, Houston
In the voluntary market, customers buy renewable energy in amounts that exceed states' minimum requirements from utility companies. Customers in these programs — also known as utility green power programs — pay their utility a "small premium" to get electricity from renewable sources, according to the U.S. Energy Department. Green power marketing programs Consumers in some states can also opt into "green power marketing programs." watch nowGreen energy programs instead rely on "renewable energy certificates," or RECs. It's a way to provide extra funding to a renewable energy project, typically sold by a broker or marketer rather than a utility, Sumner said.
Persons: Mark Felix, Jordan Vonderhaar, Jenny Sumner, It's, Joe Raedle, Loren Elliott, , Sumner, Valerie Macon, Joydeep Mitra, Mitra Organizations: Afp, Getty, U.S . Energy Information Administration, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Environmental Protection Agency, Roadrunner, Bloomberg, U.S . Department of Energy, Getty Images, U.S . Energy Department, Yale University's, EPA, Michigan State University Locations: Dawson , Texas, U.S, McCamey , Texas, Solano County , California, California , Connecticut, Delaware , Illinois, Maine , Maryland , Massachusetts, Michigan , New Hampshire , New Jersey , New York , Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island , Texas, Virginia, California, Imperial , California
Two Wall Street research firms are calling Constellation Brands a buy, arguing that worries over a key sales metric for the beer maker are overblown. Based on their bi-annual survey of the beer market, the analysts expect depletions for Constellation to rise 7% or more this year. Jim has been calling for Constellation to get out of wine and spirits and concentrate solely on beer. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: industrywide, Jefferies, Wells, Jim, Elliott, Bill Newlands, Newlands, Garth Hankinson, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Constellation Brands, Jefferies, Modelo, Constellation, Wells, Elliott Management, CNBC Locations: Wells Fargo, Corona, Modelo, San Rafael , California
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMonday’s rapid fire: Johnson Controls, Micron, Nucor, JPMorgan Chase and Norwegian Cruise LineCNBC’s Jim Cramer on Monday offered his take on the latest Wall Street headlines, including Elliott’s take in Johnson Controls and research on steel stocks.
Persons: Johnson, Jim Cramer Organizations: Micron, Nucor, JPMorgan Chase, Cruise, Monday, Johnson Controls
Apple — Apple shares slipped less than 1% after Reuters reported the technology giant is implementing aggressive discounts on its iPhones in China. Micron Technology — Shares moved 2.3% higher after Morgan Stanley upgraded the semiconductor company to equal weight from underweight. Johnson Controls — Shares rose 5% after Bloomberg News reported Elliott Management has built a more than $1 billion stake in the security and safety company. Teradyne – The semiconductor testing equipment stock rose nearly 3%. Goldman Sachs upgraded Teradyne to a buy rating, citing its recent strong quarter and expectations for a "cyclical recovery" within its system-on-chip design test business.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Li, Johnson, Elliott, Goldman Sachs, , Alex Harring, Michelle Fox Organizations: Apple, Reuters, Micron Technology —, Micron, Nvidia, Barclays, Stifel, Li Auto, GameStop, AMC Entertainment, Bloomberg News, Elliott Management Locations: China
Wix.com — The web development company jumped more than 25% after it posted better-than-expected first-quarter results. Norwegian Cruise Line — The cruise line operator jumped more than 8% after Norwegian Cruise Line lifted its full-year earnings guidance. It also reported better-than-expected first-quarter results. Hasbro — Shares gained 3% after Morgan Stanley called Hasbro a top pick, saying its recent underperformance gives investors a strong entry point. Uranium stocks have recently gained after President Joe Biden signed a bill banning imports of Russian uranium for nuclear fuel.
Persons: Wix.com, Li Auto, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Johnson, Elliott, Joe Biden, NuScale, — CNBC's Michelle Fox, Lisa Kailai Han, Alex Harring, Samantha Subin Organizations: Norwegian Cruise, Target, GameStop, Micron Technology, Hasbro —, Hasbro, Bloomberg News, Elliott Management, Nvidia, Microsoft, Dell Technologies Locations: Norwegian, U.S, NextDecade's Rio
Johnson Controls : Activist investor Elliott has built a more than $1 billion stake in the HVAC control firm, Bloomberg News reported. "The stock is up 22% [year to date], but it has lagged Trane . "It was just a mistake [to have an underweight rating on the stock]," Cramer said, adding later: "From 1995 on, you have to understand the moment inventories are lean, you've got to buy. Steel stocks: Analysts at Jefferies initiated coverage of steel stocks, beginning with a buy rating on Cleveland-Cliffs and U.S. Steel and hold ratings on Nucor and Steel Dynamics . JPMorgan Chase : The banking giant slightly raised its full-year net interest income outlook to $91 billion from $90 billion.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Elliott, Jim Cramer, Morgan Stanley, Cramer, you've, I've, Frank Del Rio, Harry Sommer, He'll Organizations: CNBC, Club, Johnson, Bloomberg News, Micron Technology, Jefferies, Cliffs, . Steel, Steel Dynamics, JPMorgan Chase, Cruise Locations: Cleveland
CNN —Millions across parts of the Central Plains are at risk for severe weather Sunday that could bring tornadoes, tennis ball-sized hail and damaging winds to the area. “Destructive wind swaths of 80-100 mph may occur, with localized extreme gusts exceeding 100 mph possible,” the Storm Prediction Center warned. The severe weather in Houston Thursday included a derecho with 100 mph winds. “Scattered severe storms are expected to affect the region Sunday afternoon and evening,” the National Weather Service in Wichita said. Through early next week, the Central US faces an increasing threat of severe weather and excessive rainfall, according to the National Weather Service.
Persons: “ We’re, Matt Elliott, , Storms Organizations: CNN, Storm, Storm Prediction Center, Storm Prediction, National Weather Service Locations: Central, Gulf Coast, Plains, United States, Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, Central Plains, Houston, Kansas, Dodge City, Salina, Hutchinson, Garden City, Hays, Wichita, Michigan , Wisconsin, Illinois, Chicago, Detroit, Mississippi, Lower Michigan, Harris County
Various labor market indicators are also showing growing weakness in the economy, he said. Societe GeneraleNational Federation of Independent Business data shows further labor market weakness is likely to come, as small business hiring plans continue to fall. Both stats would suggest a rising unemployment rate going forward. In the meantime, the labor market has consistently proven resilient despite high interest rates, and stocks have enjoyed an eye-popping rally to new highs. Some also argue that labor market data points like the rising unemployment rate have to be shown with context.
Persons: , Albert Edwards, didn't, Edwards, aren't, we'll, Societe Generale Edwards, Bob Elliott, groupthink Edwards, Alan Greenspan Organizations: Service, Societe Generale, Wall, Business, Societe Generale National Federation of Independent Business, ING, Generale, Unlimited Partners, Bridgewater Associates, of Labor Statistics, Tech
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