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☆ Bank of England to leave rates on hold through mid-2024, cut in Q3
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( Shaloo Shrivastava | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

A pedestrian walks past the Bank of England in the City of London, Britain, September 25, 2023. Last week, the Bank surprised markets by not raising rates, sending sterling to a six-month low, but signalled rates would remain higher for longer. Still, over 40% of economists, 15 of 37, who answered an extra question said the BoE should hike rates again this year. Sixteen economists predicted Bank Rate at 5.00% in the third quarter, 10 forecast 4.75%, six said 4.50%, one expected 4.25% and one 3.75%. The European Central Bank was predicted to cut rates in the third quarter next year but the Federal Reserve might start in the second quarter, separate Reuters polls showed.

Persons: Hollie Adams, The BoE, BoE, James Smith, James Rossiter, Shaloo Shrivastava, Anitta Sunil, Purujit Arun, Jonathan Cable, Bernadette Baum Organizations: Bank of England, City of, REUTERS, Rights, Bank, Monetary, The, ING Financial Markets, TD Securities, European Central Bank, Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: City, City of London, Britain

☆ Banks in EU largely comply with 'Basel Endgame', says watchdog
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( Huw Jones | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The global Basel Committee agreed additional capital rules in 2017 that require banks to hold bigger reserves to shield them from potential shocks. The EU, along with Britain and the United States, is now putting the final Basel requirements into its rule books. Basel has a 2028 deadline for implementing its remaining rules, which are set to be rolled out in the EU from January 2025. The BoE is due to set out its final Basel Endgame rules sometime in 2024. The aggregate shortfalls globally and in the EU represent a fraction of banks' total capital buffers and earnings.

Persons: Arnd, BoE, Huw Jones, Jacqueline Wong, Jane Merriman Organizations: Bank for International Settlements, REUTERS, Union, Basel, European Banking Authority, Basel III, United, Bank of England, EU, Committee, Thomson Locations: Basel, Switzerland, EU, Britain, United States, Banks

☆ Sterling hits fresh multi-month lows on dollar and euro
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-25 | by ( Alun John | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Pound Sterling notes and change are seen inside a cash resgister in a coffee shop in Manchester, Britain, Septem,ber 21, 2018. Sterling, on Monday, dropped as much as 0.25% to $1.2213 its lowest since March 2023, though later steadied to trade flat on the day at $1.2242. The euro on Monday briefly touched 87.03 pence, its highest since May, and was last flat a touch below that level. "What we’re seeing today is the Chinese real estate worries bleeding into the European session, weighing on equity markets and then on the euro and sterling," said Nick Rees, FX market analyst at Monex Europe. "That builds on what happened last week with the Bank of England," said Rees, "Markets are now thinking about what the Bank is seeing in the economy."

Persons: Pound Sterling, ber, Phil Noble, BOE, Liz, Nick Rees, Rees, Alun John, Alex Richardson Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of, Bank of England, European Central Bank, Federal Reserve, FX, Monex, Global, China, HK, Thomson Locations: Manchester, Britain

☆ Central banks across Europe pause for breath after mammoth rate hike run, but face 'triple dilemma'
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-25 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

U.K. pauseThe Bank of England opted to pause interest rate moves after 14 straight hikes, keeping its main policy rate at 5.25%. The decline came despite interest rate hikes generally boosting the value of a currency. Scandinavian inflationIn northern Europe, Norway and Sweden opted for rate hikes on Thursday and suggested that further tightening could be ahead. Norway's headline inflation rate was 4.8% in August, with core inflation at 6.3%. The Norges Bank forecast now indicates a policy rate of 4.5% through 2024, up from the current 4.25%.

Persons: Bank of England Andrew Bailey, BoE, Alastair Grant, ALASTAIR GRANT, Carsten Brzeski, BOE, Andrew Bailey, Paul Dales, Simon French, Panmure Gordon, Thomas Jordan, Jordan, Ida Wolden Bache, Bache Organizations: Bank of England, The Bank of England, Getty, Afp, ING, CNBC, of England, Capital Economics, U.S . Federal, HSBC, Panmure, Swiss National Bank, European Central Bank, ECB, U.S, Norway's Norges Bank, Norges Bank Locations: London, U.K, Paul, Switzerland, Swiss, Europe, Norway, Sweden, Norway's

☆ Dollar up as data highlights US economic resilience; yen slumps
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-22 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Banknotes of Japanese yen and U.S. dollar are seen in this illustration picture taken September 23, 2022. The data comes on the heels of disappointing data from Europe, which showed that economic activity in France fell much more quickly than expected in September. Separate survey data covering the whole euro zone showed that the economy likely contracted in the third quarter. The yen dropped as low as 148.42 to the dollar, nearing the 150-mark at which analysts have said government intervention to prop up the currency is likely. BOJ maintains ultra-low interest ratesMeanwhile, sterling was 0.47% lower at $1.2237 after data showed that the UK economy slowed sharply in September and is likely on the brink of recession.

Persons: Florence Lo, Michael Brown, Brown, Michelle Bowman, Kazuo Ueda, we've, Alvin Tan, Shunichi Suzuki, BoE, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Harry Robertson, Rae Wee, Sharon Singleton, Matthew Lewis Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, P Global, Federal, Trader, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Asia FX, RBC Capital Markets, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: United States, U.S, Europe, France, Asia, Tokyo, New York, London, Singapore

Banknotes of Japanese yen and U.S. dollar are seen in this illustration picture taken September 23, 2022. The BOJ held interest rates at -0.1% on Friday and reiterated its pledge to keep supporting the economy until it's confident inflation will stay at the 2% target. "We have yet to foresee inflation stably and sustainably achieve our price target," BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said in a press conference. The yen dropped as low as 148.42 to the dollar, nearing the 150-mark at which analysts have said government intervention to prop up the currency is likely. It was on track to eke out a weekly increase of around 0.2%, its 10th rise in as many weeks.

Persons: Florence Lo, Kazuo Ueda, we've, Alvin Tan, Shunichi Suzuki, RBC's Tan, Treasuries, Ray Sharma, Ong, Sterling, BoE, Harry Robertson, Rae Wee, Christopher Cushing, Sonali Paul, Christina Fincher Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Asia FX, RBC Capital Markets, Japan's Finance, Ministry, Finance, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, France, Asia, Tokyo, London, Singapore

☆ Yen falls after BOJ stands pat on easy policy; dollar elevated
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-22 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Banknotes of Japanese yen and U.S. dollar are seen in this illustration picture taken September 23, 2022. The yen last bought 148.09 per U.S. dollar. Sterling similarly eked out a 0.3% gain against the Japanese currency to trade at 181.80 yen. "I guess people were expecting the BOJ to leave policy unchanged but perhaps tweak the wording a bit to remove the accommodative stance." The New Zealand dollar edged 0.08% higher to $0.5936 and was eyeing a weekly gain of more than 0.5%.

Persons: Florence Lo, Kazuo Ueda, Sterling, Siong Sim, Shunichi Suzuki, Ray Sharma, Ong, BoE, Daniela Hathorn, Rae Wee, Christopher Cushing Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of Japan, Bank of Singapore, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Japan's Finance, New Zealand, Fed, Bank of England, Capital.com, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE

☆ British retail sales grow in August after washout in July
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-22 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

REUTERS/Phil Noble/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Sept 22 (Reuters) - British retail sales partially recovered in August after a rainy July washout, official figures showed on Friday, adding to signs that the country's consumers were mostly coping with the cost-of-living squeeze. Sales volumes rose by 0.4% on a month-on-month basis after a sharp 1.1% fall in July, the Office for National Statistics said. "These were partially offset by internet sales, which dropped slightly as some people returned to shopping in person following a very wet July. However, August's data represented the sixth time so far in 2023 that sales volumes rose on a month-to-month basis, suggesting resilience in consumer demand. Retail sales volumes were 1.4% lower than a year earlier, the ONS said, compared with economists' forecasts for a 1.2% decline.

Persons: Phil Noble, Heather Bovill, GfK, BoE, William Schomberg, James Davey, William James, Christina Fincher Organizations: REUTERS, National Statistics, Reuters, Office, Bank of England, British Foods, Thomson Locations: Altrincham, Britain

The preliminary reading of the UK S&P Global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for the services sector sank to its lowest since the pandemic lockdown of January 2021 and below all forecasts in a Reuters poll of economists. PMIs for the euro zone picked up a little but still suggested a recession was approaching. Official data showed retail sales rose in August, partially recovering from a rain-induced plunge in July, and a measure of consumer confidence climbed to its highest since January 2022. However, data company S&P Global said its survey was consistent with a drop in quarterly economic output of 0.4%. "The disappointing PMI survey results for September mean a recession is looking increasingly likely in the UK," said Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global.

Persons: Molly Darlington, BoE, Sterling, Martin Beck, Beck, Chris Williamson, Samuel Tombs, Andy Bruce, Toby Chopra Organizations: REUTERS, P, CBI, Bank of England, P Global, U.S, Confederation of British Industry, PMI, Pantheon, Thomson Locations: Altrincham, Britain

Benefiting from the highest interest rates since 2008, pension funds are better funded to meet future payouts than they have been in years. Because insurers hold a lot less government debt than pension funds, favouring higher-return assets such as corporate debt, they are expected to sell some of the gilts they receive. It is selling 240 billion pounds of debt this year, a record, save for 2020-21. Helped by the pension fund demand of past years, Britain's average debt life is around 15 years, more than double the U.S. and Germany's. Britain has already started skewing its funding towards shorter debt this year, citing high borrowing needs, a move investors reckon also reflects declining pension fund appetite.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, BoE, gilts, Chris Jeffery, Lane Clark, Peacock, Barry Kenneth, Van Lanschot, Arif Saad, Craig, Owen Davies, LGIM's Jeffery, Yoruk, Carolyn Cohn, Dhara Ranasinghe, Toby Chopra Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of England, Legal, General Investment Management, Fund, Investment, Royal London Asset Management, Investors, Yoruk Bahceli, Thomson Locations: gilts, Germany's, Britain, Amsterdam, London

☆ Yen under pressure as U.S. Treasury yields push over-decade peaks
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

A bundle of Japanese 10,000 yen banknotes on a tray arranged at a branch of Resona Bank Ltd. in Tokyo, Japan. The yen was held at the mercy of soaring U.S. Treasury yields on Friday ahead of a closely watched rate decision by the Bank of Japan, or BOJ, while the dollar stood near a six-month peak on the prospect of higher-for-longer U.S. rates. The Japanese currency was last marginally lower at 147.6 in early Asia trade, languishing near the previous session's more than 10-month low of 148.465. The yen was also kept under pressure as a result of elevated U.S. Treasury yields, which scaled multi-year highs in the previous session as markets reeled from a hawkish pause by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday. The U.S. dollar likewise rode Treasury yields higher and against a basket of currencies, the greenback touched a more than six-month high of 105.74 in the previous session.

Persons: Daniel Hurley, Rowe Price, Ray Sharma, Ong, Sterling, BoE, Daniela Hathorn Organizations: Resona Bank, Treasury, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, U.S, New Zealand, Fed, Bank of England Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 26, 2023. The U.S. central bank on Wednesday kept its key lending rate steady, as expected, but indicated another hike is possible as it and other central banks tighten policy to tame inflation. Major equity indices in Europe and on Wall Street fell more than 1% on concerns higher rates will curb growth. /FRXMirroring a rise in Treasury yields, Germany's 10-year government bond yield touched a fresh six-month high of 2.73% and Britain's 10-year gilt yield rose to 4.29% after falling on Wednesday to its lowest since July. Gold extended its decline for a third straight day as the dollar and Treasury yields rallied on the Fed's warning of a possible additional rate hike.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, there's, Michael Arone, Jack Ablin, it's, John Hardy, Hardy, Brent, Xie Yu, Marguerita Choy, Tomasz Janowski, Deepa Babington Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Swiss, Bank of England, Swiss National Bank, Fed, State Street Global Advisors, Reuters, Treasury, Cresset Capital Management, Saxo Bank, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Sterling, Reuters Graphics, U.S, West Texas Intermediate, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Norway, Sweden, Europe, Boston, Pebble Beach , Florida, Hong Kong

☆ Dollar eases after Fed-spurred rise; yen stronger ahead of BOJ
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

[1/3] Euro, Hong Kong dollar, U.S. dollar, Japanese yen, pound and Chinese 100 yuan banknotes are seen in this picture illustration, January 21, 2016. The Japanese yen strengthened against the greenback before Friday's Bank of Japan policy announcement, while the pound and the Swiss franc slipped after the British and Swiss central banks kept rates unchanged. The BOJ will end its negative interest rate policy next year, the majority of economists said in a Reuters poll, as the market has begun to envisage the demise of its ultra-easy monetary settings. The pound fell to its lowest since March after the Bank of England held interest rates steady on Thursday, following a cooler-than-expected inflation report the previous day. Meanwhile, Sweden's Riksbank and Norway's central bank both raised rates by 25 basis points, in line with expectations.

Persons: Jason Lee, Helen, Powell didn't, BoE, Monex's, Brad Bechtel, Sweden's, bitcoin, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Sam Holmes, Shri Navaratnam, Sharon Singleton, Richard Chang Organizations: Hong, REUTERS, U.S, Federal Reserve, Friday's Bank of Japan, Swiss, British, Fed, Monex, ECB, Traders, FX, Jefferies, Bank of England, Swiss National Bank, Thomson Locations: Hong Kong, Swiss, Japan, Swedish, Norwegian

☆ Global central banks unite in "higher for longer" credo
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( Mark John | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

The so-called "higher for longer" mantra is now the official stance of the U.S. Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and the Bank of England, as well as being echoed by monetary policy-makers from Oslo to Tapei. U.S. Federal Reserve policymakers had a similar message on Wednesday. Turkey's central bank confirmed its hawkish turn while in Asia, Taiwan's central bank flagged continued tight policy. Reuters Graphics"TIPPING POINT"Belgian central bank chief and ECB board member Pierre Wunsch - an early voice urging tougher central bank action to counter inflation from end-2021 - said on Thursday that monetary policy was now at the right level. That said, the prospect that global interest rates are pretty close to peak will be of huge relief to emerging economies suffering from heavy debt servicing loads.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Christine Lagarde, Kazuo Ueda, Ann, BoE, Andrew Bailey, Pierre Wunsch, Wunsch, COVID lockdowns, Jerome, Powell, Krishna Guha, Howard Schneider, Balazs Koranyi, Catherine Evans Organizations: European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, Kansas City Federal, REUTERS, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England, U.S . Federal, Swiss National Bank, South African Reserve Bank, People's Bank of, Reuters, ECB, Reuters Global Markets, Economics, Sterling, Swiss, United, Thomson Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S, Central, Oslo, Tapei, Europe, Norway, Sweden, Asia, People's Bank of China, Belgian, United States, Ukraine, Washington, Frankfurt, London, Stockholm, Zurich, Ankara

☆ Dollar reigns as Europe's central banks spring some surprises
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( Marc Jones | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

"It punctures the balloon on terminal rates and also creates more second guessing on the quality of the (economic) landings". With a crucial Bank of Japan meeting still to come this week, Japan's 10-year government bond yield rose to its highest in a decade. Ben Luk, senior multi-asset strategist at State Street Global Markets said the overall tone of the Fed's meeting on Wednesday, while not overly hawkish, included two surprises. The median forecast for the federal funds rate is 5.1% by year-end, up from 4.6% estimated in June. Additional reporting by Xie Yu in Hong Kong Editing by Shri Navaratnam and Tomasz JanowskiOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: BoE, Bond, John Hardy, Hardy, Goldman Sachs, Tom Hopkins, Ben Luk, Wall, Brent, clawing, Gold, Xie Yu, Shri Navaratnam, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: Sterling, Swiss, U.S . Federal Reserve, Dealers, Swiss National Bank, Bank of England, Saxo Bank, BRI Wealth Management, Treasury, Reuters Graphics, Apple, Nvidia, Japan's Nikkei, of Japan, State Street Global Markets, Thomson Locations: Europe, Britain, Sweden, Norway, Turkey, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Hong Kong

☆ Bank of England halts run of interest rate hikes as economy slows
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

A general view of the Bank of England (BoE) building, the BoE confirmed to raise interest rates to 1.75%, in London, Britain, August 4, 2022. A day after a surprise slowing in Britain's fast pace of price growth, the BoE's Monetary Policy Committee voted by a narrow margin of 5-4 to keep Bank Rate at 5.25%. "There are increasing signs of some impact of tighter monetary policy on the labour market and on momentum in the real economy more generally," the MPC said in a statement. The BoE's decision to pause its rate hikes came a day after the U.S. Federal Reserve also opted to keep borrowing costs on hold. Last week, the European Central Bank raised rates but suggested it might be the last for now.

Persons: BoE, Maja Smiejkowska, William Schomberg, Andy Bruce, Suban Abdulla, Jon Cunliffe, Megan Greene, Jonathan Haskel, Catherine Mann, Andrew Bailey, Bailey, BRITAIN BOE Organizations: Bank of England, REUTERS, MPC, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Thomson Locations: London, Britain

☆ Yen worries increase as dollar strengthens after Fed
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Japanese 10,000 yen and U.S. 100 dollar banknotes are arranged for a photograph in Tokyo, Japan, on Sept. 7, 2017. The dollar hit fresh peaks on Thursday, sitting around its highest against the yen since November after a hawkish pause by the U.S. Federal Reserve. The Fed met market expectations at its monetary policy meeting on Wednesday, holding interest rates steady at the 5.25% to 5.50% range. The index climbed for its ninth straight week last week, its longest winning streak in nearly a decade as resilient U.S. growth fueled a rebound in the dollar. The Japanese yen was feeling the heat after the Fed meeting, hovering around 148.39 per dollar and just off a fresh low of 148.47, its weakest since November.

Persons: Sterling, Ueda, Carol Kong, BOE Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Fed, U.S, Bank of Japan, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Bank of, CPI, National Australia Bank Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S

☆ Reactions: Bank of England bashes pound after halting rate rises
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

A pedestrian carrying an umbrella walks near the Bank of England in the City of London, Britain, July 30, 2023. Investors had already rushed on Wednesday to reel in their bets on further UK rate rises after data showed UK inflation cooled surprisingly quickly in August. Against the euro , the pound was down 0.5% at 86.74 pence, having traded around 86.70 pence before the decision. "The MPC still refers to its flexibility to react should things change, but the chances are this could be the peak in this UK interest rate cycle." "However, there is a risk that the ‘lag effect’ on interest rate hikes means that today’s decision may not be felt for another 9 to 12 months."

Persons: Hollie Adams, Sterling, THOMAS, Huw Pill's, HUGH GIMBER, PHILIP SHAW, DOUGLAS GRANT, JEREMY BATSTONE, CARR, RAYMOND JAMES, FRANCES HAQUE, JOE TUCKEY, RICHARD GARLAND, GILES COGHLAN, BoE, stagflation, Amanda Cooper, Dhara Organizations: Bank of England, City of, REUTERS, London, Investors, Bank of, Bank, MPC, SANTANDER, LONDON, Core CPI, PMI, CPI, EMEA, Thomson Locations: City, City of London, Britain, London, MANX, EUROPEAN, FRANCE, GROUP, OXFORDSHIRE

☆ UK stocks open lower after Fed's hawkish stance; BoE on watch
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The London Stock Exchange Group offices are seen in the City of London, Britain, December 29, 2017. The blue-chip FTSE 100 index (.FTSE) was down 0.5% by 0710 GMT, while mid-cap stocks (.FTMC) dipped 0.4%. The Fed held its interest rates steady on Wednesday, but stiffened a hawkish monetary policy stance that its officials increasingly believe can succeed in combating inflation. Asian stocks tracked the lacklustre mood in U.S. peers on Wednesday after the Fed revised its economic projections. JD Sports Fashion (JD.L) climbed nearly 6% to the top of FTSE 100 after the sportswear retailer forecast a higher annual profit.

Persons: Toby Melville, BoE, Siddarth, Sherry Jacob, Phillips Organizations: London Stock Exchange Group, City of, REUTERS, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Bank of, Fed, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: City, City of London, Britain, London, Bengaluru

A day after Britain's fast pace of price growth unexpectedly slowed, the BoE's Monetary Policy Committee voted by the narrowest margin of 5-4 to keep Bank Rate at 5.25%. But rate futures suggested they still saw a 50% chance of Bank Rate rising to 5.5% by the end of this year. Britain's economy, hit hard by Brexit, the COVID-19 pandemic and the surge in gas prices triggered by Russia's invasion of Ukraine, has been struggling with the highest inflation rate in the Group of Seven. But growth remains fragile, heightening the risk that the BoE's 14 back-to-back rate hikes will push the economy into a recession. Last week, the European Central Bank raised rates but suggested its move might be the last for now.

Persons: Andrew Bailey, Jon Cunliffe, Megan Greene, Jonathan Haskel, Catherine Mann, BoE, Reuters Graphics Sterling, Bailey, Rishi Sunak, Peter Nicholls, Frances Haque, Reuters Graphics Bailey, Yael Selfin, Hugh Gimber, William Schomberg, Catherine Evans Organizations: Bank of England, Reuters Graphics, U.S ., MPC, REUTERS, Santander UK, IF, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, KPMG, Investors, Bank of, Morgan Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Ukraine, London, Britain

☆ Morning Bid: Fed leaves shoe dangling in policy parade
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

At least eight major central banks are meeting on Thursday. Central banks in South Africa and Turkey are also meeting. Futures now show the implied Fed policy rate for the end of next year at a new cycle high of 4.85% - up a whopping 35 basis points in just over a week. Key developments that should provide more direction to U.S. markets later on Thursday:* Bank of England policy decision; South Africa Reserve Bank policy decision, Central Bank of Turkey policy decision. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde speaks* Philadelphia Fed's September business survey, U.S. weekly jobless claims, U.S. Aug existing home sales, U.S. Q2 current account estimate.

Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Jan Hatzius, Robin Brooks, Brooks, BoE, Christine Lagarde, Darden, Christina Fincher Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Swiss National Bank, Bank of, Fed, for International Finance, Treasury, Swiss, Africa Reserve Bank, Central Bank of, European Central Bank, Factset, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Washington ,, U.S, Norwegian, Bank of England, South Africa, Turkey, Central Bank of Turkey, Philadelphia

The European Central Bank last week lifted rates to a record 4% and upgraded its inflation forecast for 2024, but the euro fell and has lost almost 2% against the dollar this month. Overall, Europe's central banks "would like to portray this idea of higher for longer (rates)," said Ed Hutchings, head of rates at Aviva Investors. The currency, which the central bank labeled "unjustifiably weak," barely caught a break and remains near a record low against the euro . He expected one the of big European central banks to be the first to cut rates. European central banks were "in a bind," Fiotakis added, as higher oil prices also threatened to push inflation higher.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Sterling, Kit Juckes, BoE, SocGen's Juckes, Ed Hutchings, Nathan Thooft, Bjoern, Fiotakis, Orla Garvey, Naomi Rovnick, Christina Fincher Organizations: REUTERS, Sterling, LONDON, Bank of, Swiss, greenback, Societe Generale, European Central Bank, ECB, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, Aviva Investors, Investment Management, Reuters, DWS Group, Nomura, ING, Barclays, Federated, Thomson Locations: Swiss, Bank of England, Switzerland, Sweden, Europe, U.S, Western Europe, United States, Britain, Swedish, Japan, European

☆ Bank of England ends run of 14 straight interest rate hikes after cooler-than-expected inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

A passageway near the Bank of England (BOE) in the City of London, U.K., on Thursday, March 18, 2021. LONDON — The Bank of England on Thursday ended a run of 14 straight interest rate hikes after new data showed inflation is now running below expectations. Investors on Wednesday ramped up bets that the Bank would pause its interest rate hiking cycle after U.K. inflation came in significantly below expectations for August. Thomas Verbraken, executive director of risk management research at MSCI, said the burning question is whether the Bank of England's Thursday decision signals the peak of the interest rate cycle. Forward looking indicators suggest the U.K. economy is already flirting with recession, a backdrop consistent with cooling wage growth and a policy pivot," Mehdi said.

Persons: BOE, Andrew Bailey, We'll, Marcus Brookes, BoE, Brookes, Thomas Verbraken, Hussain Mehdi, Mehdi Organizations: Bank of England, City of, LONDON, Bank, U.S, Monetary, MPC, Quilter Investors, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England's, HSBC Asset Management, Bank of, Fed, European Central Bank Locations: City, City of London, Bank of England's

☆ European shares slide on hawkish Fed; more c.bank decisions on tap
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Summary STOXX 600 down 0.6%Sept 21 (Reuters) - European shares fell on Thursday, tracking overnight losses on Wall Street after the U.S. Federal Reserve signalled higher-for-longer interest rates and ahead of rate decisions from the Swiss National Bank, Riksbank, Norges Bank and Bank of England. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) shed 0.6% by 0709 GMT, with rate-sensitive tech stocks (.SX8P) easing 0.8%. The Fed held key interest rates steady on Wednesday, as widely expected, and revised economic projections higher with warnings that the battle against inflation was far from over. The focus is now also on the monetary policy decisions in Switzerland, Sweden, Norway and the UK later in the day after the European Central Bank (ECB) raised its key interest rate last week to a record high of 4%. Reporting by Bansari Mayur Kamdar in Bengaluru; Editing by Savio D'SouzaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Bansari Mayur, Savio D'Souza Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Swiss National Bank, Norges Bank and Bank of England, Fed, Nasdaq, European Central Bank, FTSE, Thomson Locations: Riksbank, Switzerland, Sweden, Norway, Bengaluru

☆ Morning Bid: Fed fireworks set nervy stage for BoE
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Reuters GraphicsU.S. yields pushed even higher in the Asian time zone, while U.S. stock futures pointed lower. Asian shares slumped region-wide (.MIAP00000PUS) - including a 1% slide for Japan's Nikkei - while crude oil extended its retreat from a 10-month peak. But the BoE is actually the last of the European central banks to set policy on Thursday, with the SNB and Riksbank kicking things off, followed shortly by Norges Bank. This week's central bank bonanza doesn't end in Europe either. Japan's currency, though, is at the mercy of the dollar, sinking to the weakest since the start of November to 148.465 yen , increasing the risk of central bank intervention.

Persons: Kevin Buckland, Jay Powell, BoE, Kazuo Ueda, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Reuters Graphics, Japan's Nikkei, Norges Bank, of, Yomiuri, Swiss National Bank, Thomson Locations: Europe

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