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☆ One of the biggest bears in this bull market is leaving JPMorgan
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-03 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A top strategist at JPMorgan who was caught offside by the stock market rally is quitting the investment firm. Marko Kolanovic, who served as chief global markets strategist and co-head of global research, is leaving the bank to explore other opportunities, according to a source familiar with the internal announcement. In his place, Hussein Malik will become the sole head of global research, and Dubravko Lakos-Bujas will serve as chief markets strategist. Kolanovic rose to prominence among market watchers for correctly predicting a stock market rebound in the middle of the Covid-19 pandemic. JPMorgan's current year-end prediction for the S&P 500 is 4,200, while no other major firm in the CNBC Market Strategist Survey is below 5,200.

Persons: Marko Kolanovic, Hussein Malik, Dubravko, Kolanovic Organizations: JPMorgan, CNBC Market, ., Bloomberg News

☆ Oil prices hold firm as traders wait on U.S. stockpile data for signs of where demand is heading
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-03 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Crude oil futures held firm on Wednesday as traders waited for the latest round of U.S. inventory data for signs of whether gasoline demand is picking up. U.S. crude oil gained about 6% last month on expectations of a tighter third quarter with stockpiles forecast to draw down as summer fuel demand picked up. The Department of Energy will release the latest U.S. crude oil and gasoline stockpiles data at 10:30 a.m. Here are today's energy prices:Hurricane Beryl is barreling across the Caribbean and could hit the Texas Gulf Coast as a tropical storm on Saturday. "We used to think about hurricanes as unquestionably a potential bullish near-term development for oil markets, now the picture is not so clear," Croft told CNBC's "Last Call" on Tuesday evening.

Persons: Beryl, Helima Croft, Croft, CNBC's Organizations: Department, Energy, AAA, Texas Gulf, National Hurricane, RBC Capital Markets Locations: Caribbean, Texas Gulf Coast, U.S

☆ An options bet that wins if homebuilder stocks continue to weaken under high rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-03 | by ( Tony Zhang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Back in late May I published a bearish thesis on the homebuilders and laid out a trade for D.R. Since then, homebuilders have continued to underperform the S & P 500 and as 10-year yields continue to climb back towards 4.5%. I believe that there is further downside and currently there is another opportunity to take another bearish trade on DHI. Just earlier this week the $140 support level was broken and we can now confirm a new bearish trend. The total risk on this trade would be $625 per contract if DHI is above $140 at expiration.

Persons: Horton, homebuilders, DHI Organizations: D.R, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: DHI

☆ A full breakdown of the S&P 500's chart and what it indicates about the second half
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-02 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Let's look at what the the S & P 500's first half taught us about the chances for more gains in the second half. From Q1 1995 through Q2 1998, the S & P 500 was up 14 straight quarters. Below are four important factors we're continuing to watch closely into the year's second half. 116 of them are up more than the S & P 500 (+14.8%) through July 1 st , 2024. Good closes The S & P 500 has closed above its intra-day mid-point 77/125 trading days through Monday.

Persons: We've, That's, they'll, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Stock futures are little changed after S&P 500 rises to kick off back half of 2024: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. stock futures are little changed Monday night after the major averages closed higher to start the second half of 2024, as tech stocks outperformed. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell 26 points, or 0.07%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures dipped 0.06% and 0.1%, respectively. The central bank leader will be part of a panel discussion and will not be issuing prepared remarks beforehand. He will join ECB President Christine Lagarde and Roberto Campos Neto, governor of Brazil's central bank.

Persons: Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab, Gordon, Jerome Powell, Christine Lagarde, Roberto Campos Neto, Sara Eisen, Dow Jones Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, European Central Bank Forum, ECB Locations: Brazil's

☆ A notorious market bear who called the 2000 and 2008 crashes shares 3 charts revealing striking similarities between today's market and the most extreme bubbles — and warns of 50-70% downside for the
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-29 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

"In contrast, current valuation extremes imply potential downside risk for the S&P 500 on the order of 50-70% over the completion of this cycle." JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic expects the S&P 500 to fall to 4,200, while more extreme forecasts include Jeremy Grantham's estimate in the low 3,000s. And as the stock market ground mostly higher, he persisted with his doomsday calls. He predicted in April 2007 that the S&P 500 could lose 40%, then it lost 55% in the subsequent collapse from 2007 to 2009. The S&P 500, by comparison, is up about 26% over the past year.

Persons: —, Jonathan Golub, Count John Hussman, Hussman, Hussman's, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic, Jeremy Grantham's Organizations: Service, UBS, Business, Hussman Investment Trust, New York Stock Exchange, Investor Intelligence

☆ An options trade that wins if the red-hot chip trade cools off in the second half
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Although Micron (MU) has not had Nvidia's meteoric performance, it has been a stellar stock, doubling in the last year and up over 50% in 2024. The AI boom has buoyed memory chips higher as these chips have become a more important component for artificial intelligence accelerators. However, the possibly unrealistic bar now being set for AI earnings reports saw Micron drop more than 7% on high volume. I want to express a short-term bearish view in Micron as I believe further profit-taking will occur in the third quarter. Micron is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world, specializing in high-bandwidth memory and storage chips.

Persons: Long Organizations: Micron, Nvidia, JPMorgan, MU, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: CapEx

☆ Stocks are set for a 10% correction amid stagflation and no rate cuts in the 2nd half of 2024, Stifel strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-27 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The economic outlook also looks precarious, given stubborn inflation and slowing growth. AdvertisementThe stock market looks poised for a correction, and a dicey economic and monetary policy environment could cause equities to dive 10%, according to Stifel's chief stock strategist Barry Bannister. Economic growth has been slowing, with GDP expanding by 1.4% in the first quarter, according to the latest revision. Sticky inflation also weighs on the outlook for Fed rate cuts, which poses more bad news for stocks. AdvertisementOther investing veterans have warned stocks are due for a comedown amid lofty valuations.

Persons: Stifel's Barry Bannister, —, Barry Bannister, Bannister —, Bannister, that's, John Hussman Organizations: Service, Yahoo Finance, Fed

☆ Wall Street strategists see limited gains for the rest of year after big first half
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-26 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

There may not be much upside left this year in the S & P 500, at least according to the paid seers on Wall Street. The S & P 500 is up 15% so far in 2024, while the Nasdaq has added 18%. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 In fact, the S & P 500 is anticipated to stall even with a flurry of strategists recently upping their targets. Similarly, Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel anticipates the S & P 500 could end the year at 6,000 , the highest forecast in CNBC's survey. By year end, Lakos-Bujas anticipates the S & P 500 will fall to 4,200, or a more than 20% plunge.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David J, Kostin, Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel, buybacks, Russell, Piper Sandler, Dubravko Lakos, Bujas Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC PRO, Deutsche Bank, Tech, Microsoft, Dow Jones, Nvidia

☆ Branch: Remain bearish on this bifurcated market, despite the recent rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBranch: Remain bearish on this bifurcated market, despite the recent rallyGreg Branch, Founder and Managing Partner of Branch Global Capital Advisors, discusses the markets, Fed rate cuts, and investing in names outside of mega-cap tech.

Persons: Greg Branch Organizations: Branch Global Capital Advisors

☆ Here's what's next for bitcoin after the cryptocurrency returned to $60,000 this week
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-26 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Bitcoin is testing a key level once again after the cryptocurrency fell below $60,000 this week for the first time since May 3. "There's key support at $57,500, the 200-day average, down to $56,500, the May low — and a downside breach would be damaging." It is currently suffering from a lack of near-term catalysts, low demand for bitcoin exchange-traded funds and miners' selling of bitcoin. BTC.CM= 6M mountain Bitcoin this year If bitcoin fails to hold $57,000, Wald added, $49,000 would become its next key downside level. Until then, "I always side with trend, meaning I'd assume the rising 200-day average holds.

Persons: Oppenheimer, Ari Wald, Bitcoin, bitcoin, Wald, David Keller, bitcoin's, Keller, Tom Fitzpatrick, R.J, O'Brien Organizations: Metrics, NASDAQ

☆ How to get long an energy stock with substantial comeback potential, according to options trader
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-26 | by ( Tony Zhang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

SLB (SLB) has been on our radar for some time and its recent underperformance produces an interesting opportunity to gain long exposure with substantial upside potential. That's nearly a 35% discount to the average S & P 500 stock, implying that the technical upside target is well within its historical valuation range. With low volatility, options prices on SLB are extremely inexpensive and would benefit from a simple strategy such as buying a call option. Additionally, we are only risking 7.7% of the stock's price to gain unlimited upside exposure. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: SLB, That's Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Crypto industry super PAC is 33-2 in primaries, with $100 million for House, Senate races
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-26 | by ( Emily Wilkins | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Yet crypto's Fairshake PAC also got into the race and spent $2 million to air an ad critical of Bowman. But it's not just money that the crypto industry plans to deploy this fall. Jordan Vonderhaar | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThe effort is also meant to showcase a matured crypto industry. Meanwhile, Democratic incumbent Sen. Jon Tester told "Meet the Press" in 2022 that crypto did not "pass the smell test." Tester told reporters that he is keeping an open mind about several crypto bills before the Senate.

Persons: Jakub Porzycki, Jamaal Bowman, George Latimer, Israel, crypto's, Bowman, Fairshake, glided, John Curtis, Jamal Bowman, Evelyn Hockstein, Andreesen Horowitz, Coinbase, it's, Crypto, Brad Garlinghouse, Garlinghouse, Jordan Vonderhaar, Sam Bankman, Faryar Shirzad, Goldman Sachs, Sherrod Brown, Republican Bernie Moreno, Tim Sheehy, Sen, Jon Tester, Tester, Brett Kavanaugh, Kavanaugh, Mike Segar Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty Images WASHINGTON, Fairshake PAC, Westchester, Republicans, Democrats, Republican, United States Capitol, Reuters, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty, White, Senate, Democratic, SEC, U.S Locations: Westchester County, Bowman's, Washington, Fairshake, Austin , Texas, Ohio, Montana

☆ A bearish options trade that wins if Nvidia and the QQQs continue to cool off
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-25 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Nvidia (NVDA) is finally showing signs of profit-taking, suggesting that the entire technology sector might be ready for a breather. This could present many bearish trading setups in various stocks because of the influence Nvidia has had leading the AI bubble. For now, let's focus on making a bearish trade in the Invesco QQQ Trust , an ETF that tracks the Nasdaq 100 index. The Trade The trade structure I have chosen here is called a Bear Call Spread also known as a Call Credit Spread. As long as QQQ stays below $483 in the next 17 days, this trade will return a 38% ROI on the money risked.

Persons: Nishant Pant Organizations: Nvidia, Trust, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Gold drifts lower as traders await U.S. inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices eased on Tuesday, while investors looked toward key U.S. inflation data due later this week that could throw some light on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut stance. Gold prices eased on Tuesday, while investors looked toward key U.S. inflation data due later this week that could throw some light on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut stance. Spot gold was down 0.2% at $2,327.52 per ounce as of 0339 GMT. "Technical factors in the short-term are not so positive for gold. Other Fed officials speaking this week include Fed Governors Lisa Cook and Michelle Bowman along with Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin.

Persons: Kelvin Wong, Bullion, Wong, Mary Daly, Lisa Cook, Michelle Bowman, Tom Barkin Organizations: Asia Pacific, U.S, San Francisco Fed Bank, Richmond Fed Locations: OANDA, U.S

☆ Stock futures are flat as the market set to enter last week of June near a record: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-23 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Stock futures were flat in overnight trading Sunday as the market is set to enter the last week of June and 2024's first half near record highs. Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 futures were both little changed. The S&P 500 scored an intraday record of 5,505.53 on Thursday and posted another winning week. The equity benchmark gained 0.6% last week, notching its eighth positive week in nine. The S&P 500 has advanced almost 15% this year after notching 31 record closes.

Persons: Katie Nixon Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Microsoft, U.S ., Trust Wealth Management, Federal, FedEx, Micron, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Nike

☆ Fundstrat's Tom Lee keeps making bold stock calls — and nailing them
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-22 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

For example, a call that the S & P 500 would rise 100 points on a positive consumer price index print came true last year. That's true so far, with the S & P 500 jumping 4.8% in May after finishing April down 4.2%. As equities struggled, (the S & P 500 fell almost 20% in 2022), Lee felt like the risk of inflation was being mispriced. Because of that, he foresaw a rebound in 2023, a year that sent the S & P 500 more than 24% higher. "There was a pretty widely-held view that the Fed had to crash the economy in order to contain inflation," Lee said.

Persons: Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, it's, that's, Lee doesn't, Russell, hiccups, Salomon Smith Barney Organizations: Fundstrat, CNBC Pro, Wharton School, selloff, Apple, Netflix, Nasdaq, JPMorgan

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves midday: Sarepta Therapeutics, Hertz Global, Asana and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Hertz Global — Shares rose more than 10% after the car rental giant upsized a bond offering to $1 billion . Asana — The stock popped 10.5% after the software firm announced a share buyback plan that would cost $150 million. Nvidia — The chipmaker dropped another 1% following a 3.5% decline in the previous session. Gilead Sciences — Shares of the pharmaceutical company popped around 2%, adding to an 8.5% rally from the previous session. Palo Alto Networks — Shares rose 2.4% after D.A.

Persons: Gilead, LendingTree, Davidson, D.A, Boyd Gaming, Boyd, —, Alex Harring, Yun Li, Lisa Kailai Han, Hakyung Kim, Michelle Fox Organizations: Therapeutics, U.S . Food, Drug Administration, FDA, Hertz, Nvidia, Gilead Sciences, Bloomberg, Palo Alto, D.A, Penn Entertainment, Boyd, Reuters, Boeing Locations: U.S, Gilead, Palo, cybersecurity, Thursday's

☆ Nvidia forms 'bearish engulfing' stock chart pattern that can sometimes mark a temporary top
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Nvidia just formed a bearish technical pattern that is signaling a reversal ahead. The red-hot chipmaker dropped 3.5% on Thursday after temporarily unseating Microsoft as the most valuable public company in the U.S. Thursday's decline marked a "bearish engulfing" pattern that often signals that the prior upward momentum is waning. Others believe the Nvidia bearish engulfing pattern, while ominous, isn't significant enough yet. The confirmation of a bearish engulfing pattern sometimes depends on the size of the candles. "The reversal of the shares was 11 cents away from clearly registering a bearish engulfing pattern.

Persons: Mark Newton, Mike O'Rourke Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, NVIDIA Locations: U.S

☆ S&P 500 levels to watch if troubling chart patterns in Nvidia and other tech mean a sell-off is near
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Some concerning candle patterns for leading technology names have caused me to focus on potential downside targets for the S & P 500 . To be clear, this is a short-term pattern, and is really just intended to inform our thinking for the next couple trading sessions. The most important level to watch is S & P 5,200, which would represent about a 5% pullback from the recent market peak. A move below S & P 5200 would cause me to revisit long positions and start to raise cash due to an elevated risk of a correction. If and when the S & P pushes below 4950, I would be positioned way more defensively, waiting for some signs of accumulation to emerge.

Persons: I've, David Keller Organizations: Nvidia Corp, Semiconductor, Nvidia, Micron Technology, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Ron Insana: Never mind the narrow leadership. This is a powerful bull market
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

There has been a fair amount of nervous chatter lately about the state of the stock market. As of Thursday's close, the S & P 500 was up about 15% in 2024, while the Nasdaq Composite was just shy of 19%. Companies like Microsoft , Cisco Systems and Intel were among the biggest gainers in the S & P 500. Further, the S & P 500 Equal Weighted Index , with a roughly 4% gain in 2024, is far underperforming its capital-weighted counterpart. .SPXEW .SPX YTD line The S & P 500 Equal Weighted Index vs. the S & P 500 in 2024 Having said that, in years past, these types of divergences would worry me to the point of distraction.

Persons: it's, Bubbles, It's, rebalancing, Ron Insana Organizations: Nasdaq, Microsoft, Cisco Systems, Intel, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, CNBC Locations: U.S

☆ Asia's answer to Chipotle is now a $1.5 billion public company
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Shubhangi Goel | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewAsia's version of Chipotle — a Mexican fast-casual chain called Guzman y Gomez — just went public in Australia. The initial public offering brings GYG's valuation to 2.2 billion Australian dollars, or $1.47 billion. The US-based Mexican fast food chain is valued at $94 billion and posted a revenue of nearly $10 billion last year. Chipotle owns and operates all of its restaurants, unlike GYG, which follows a franchise model. They are only available to institutional investors, eligible employees and franchise holders, and retail clients of brokerages who have been allocated GYG shares, the company said in a pre-IPO release.

Persons: —, Guzman y Gomez —, GYG, Steven Marks, Marks, Chipotle, Michael Hutchens, didn't, Hutchens, brokerages Organizations: Service, Australian Securities Exchange, Business, Morningstar, Growth Partners, Barrenjoey, Cooper Investors, Hyperion Asset Management, Firetrail Investments, QVG Locations: Mexican, Australia, Sydney, Singapore, Japan, North America, Europe

☆ An options bet that wins if this payments stock has finally bottomed
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Tony Zhang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

After peaking back in July of 2021, the stock has declined nearly 80% and has spent the last 12 months forming a bottoming formation and has stabilized its decline. The question is, when is the stock potentially ready to breakout higher? Now if we examine the fundamentals, the business has started to look more compelling over the past couple of quarters. The trade Based on the implied volatility, options are not particularly cheap or expensive, but the skew benefits selling a put credit spread. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: PYPL Organizations: PayPal Locations: PYPL

☆ A stock market correction is coming as rates, inflation, and valuations darken the outlook for investors, strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-19 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

AdvertisementThe stock market is in for a correction, as a trio of unfavorable factors will weigh on equity prices, according to Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist of CFRA Research. Tech stocks, which have dominated the market in recent years, are trading at a 68% premium. Stocks could see their first "crack in the ice" in the tech sector, he added, pointing to lofty valuations among mega-cap tech stocks. AdvertisementOther forecasters have warned of limited upside to the market as stocks — particularly tech stocks — continue to climb higher. According to one valuation metric, the stock market looks to be the most overvalued since 1929, which could pave the way to a steep correction, elite investor John Hussman warned.

Persons: Sam Stovall, —, Stovall, Stocks, John Hussman Organizations: Service, CFRA Research, Wall, Treasury, Tech, CNBC

☆ A bearish options trade on a travel stock running up against resistance
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The stock price is stalling near resistance around the $128 price level and I have a bearish options trade to capitalize on it. To further confirm a bearish bias on EXPE, I am using 3 technical indicators in the chart below: RSI (Relative Strength Index): As a stock climbs up, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) gauges the strength of the trend. DMI (Directional Movement Index): When the DI+ (green line) is above DI- (red line), the stock is in an uptrend. The Trade Setup: A Bear Put Spread I am using a “bear put spread” as my trade structure here. Most trading platforms will offer a bear put spread (or long put spread) as a trade type and automatically construct the trade for you.

Persons: EXPE, ADX, Nishant Pant Organizations: Expedia, RSI

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