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☆ Here's how BlackRock's Rick Rieder is navigating the bond market sell-off in his outperforming ETF
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-08 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

BlackRock global fixed income CIO Rick Rieder said Friday that this year's bond market volatility has created opportunities to buy high quality yields on the cheap. The result is his new fund outperforming some of the biggest bond ETFs during the most recent sell-off. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) and 2.2% for the Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) , the two biggest bond ETFs. BINC 1M mountain BlackRock's BINC has held up better than major bond ETFs over the past month. "I think what people underestimate is the long end of the bond market, the 30-year Treasury, is about the same volatility as the stock market," he said.

Persons: Rick Rieder, Rieder, We've Organizations: BlackRock, Rieder, Aggregate Bond, Vanguard, Bond Market, CNBC, Treasury, Corporate Bond Fund, Fed, AAA, Mortgage, SEC Locations: BlackRock, Mexico, Brazil, Japan, iShares, United States, U.S

ATLANTA (AP) — Georgia's state taxes on gasoline and diesel will be suspended for another month after Gov. The suspension of the taxes, at 31.2 cents per gallon of gasoline and 35 cents per gallon of diesel, had been scheduled to end next Thursday but will now run through at least Nov. 11. Georgia's governor can suspend the collection of taxes during an emergency as long as lawmakers approve it the next time they meet. That was the lowest price among the states and down 37 cents since Kemp suspended the taxes. Pump prices also include a federal tax of 18.4 cents per gallon on gasoline and 24.4 cents per gallon on diesel.

Persons: Brian Kemp, Kemp, we’ll, ” Kemp Organizations: ATLANTA, —, Gov, Republican, General, AAA Locations: Georgia

Re-enter risk premia on what should be 'risk free' bonds. The renewed corporate profits upswing riffs off this relatively robust nominal growth picture too - as do still benign corporate debt premia. However, keeping a lid on 5% nominal GDP may well be what's irking bonds as much as anything. While turning 10-year averages takes some time, nominal GDP growth according to a real time model from the Atlanta Fed is closer to 8% right now. CBO deficit projections to 2030US nominal GDP growth running at 8%?

Persons: York Fed's, Ajay Rajadhyaksha, today's, Treasuries, Fitch, Andrew Heavens Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Fed, The, Barclays, Societe Generale's, Atlanta Fed, Moody's, U.S . AAA, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Washington, York, 35bp, 150bp, Treasuries, China, Europe

☆ Tyranny of the 10-year Treasury yield: Is Big Tech about to get a major valuation reset?
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +12 min

That's the key question all investors need to be asking themselves as the 10-year Treasury yield reaches 16-year highs. The 10-year Treasury yield, while taking a breather Wednesday, shot up this week to 4.8%, its highest level since 2007. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, Warren Buffett, Baron Rothschild, Kevin McCarthy, they've, it's, opportunistically, Jensen Huang, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer Rob Kim Organizations: Treasury, Apple, Bulls, Federal Reserve, GOP, California Republican, U.S, AAA, U.S ., Nvidia, Club, Microsoft, Charitable Trust, CNBC, UAW Locations: California

☆ Gas prices could fall to $3.25 by Halloween as oil plunges
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —After spiking to alarming levels just last week, oil prices are suddenly in free-fall mode. US oil prices plunged by 5.6% to $84.22 a barrel on Wednesday, marking the biggest one-day decline in a year. Now, gas prices are already starting to retreat and experts predict sharper drops to come. That’s 11 cents below the 2023 peak set last month when gas prices experienced an unusual post-Labor Day jump. Boom to bustSo why did oil prices go from spiking to plunging?

Persons: Andy Lipow, Tom Kloza, Kloza, ” Kloza, “, Joe Brusuelas, ”, Matt Smith, ” Smith, There’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, AAA, Labor, Lipow Oil Associates, CNN, Oil Price Information Service, “, Federal Reserve, RSM, Fed, Saudi, Americas Locations: New York, Saudi Arabia, Kpler, Ukraine

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 26, 2023. A near-miss on a debt ceiling showdown in the Spring led to the loss of another Triple-A sovereign credit rating. A fiscal adjustment akin to the one enacted in 1993 would be enough to do that again over 5 years. "However, this looks unlikely anytime soon given congressional gridlock, a lack of political attention to deficit reduction and the upcoming 2024 election," it concluded. On current poll readings at least, next year's election will do nothing to end the fiscal war.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, it's, Donald Trump, Democrat Joe Biden, Erik Nielsen, what's, Stephen Jen, Jen, Trump, Biden, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, William Maclean Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, U.S, Presidential, AAA, Democrat, Biden, Trump, Congress, Ukraine, Treasury, Republican, Reuters, GRIDLOCK, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, loggerheads, Russia, Ukraine, United States

☆ McCarthy’s ouster could hurt the US economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Squabbles on the Hill have consequences, and the latest may lead to another credit downgrade that could seriously damage the US economy. Then over the weekend the government narrowly avoided a shutdown thanks to a deal Republican Rep. Kevin McCarthy forged with Democrats. The back storyThe first time US debt was downgraded by another major credit rating agency, S&P, came in 2011. A Moody’s downgrade could cause yields on Treasury notes to spike even higher, underscoring the increased risks associated with holding US debt. That would add to the pressures the US economy is facing and it could even raise the likelihood of a recession.

Persons: CNN Business ’, Kevin McCarthy, Matt Gaetz, McCarthy, Fitch, Moody’s, ” Moody’s, “, Dow Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Washington, Republican, Florida Rep, Moody’s Investors Service, AAA, AA, US Treasury, Nasdaq Locations: New York

☆ Morning Bid: October market fillip as government stays open
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-02 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 26, 2023. U.S. Treasury yields, whose relentless rise of late has been at the heart of market disturbances as it prices "higher for longer" interest rates, pushed higher again on Monday too. Ten-year yields were up five basis points to 4.62% - just shy of last week's 16-year peak of 4.69%. Key developments that should provide more direction to U.S. markets later on Monday:* US Sept manufacturing surveys by ISM and S&P Global. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Kevin McCarthy, McCarthy, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell, Michael Barr, Loretta Mester, John Williams, Fitch, Nick Macfie Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Democratic, Republican, Ukraine, Treasury, Bank of Japan, of, Petroleum, Reuters, P Global, Cleveland Fed, New York Fed, Tech, Moody's, U.S . AAA, Chicago, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Russia, OPEC, China, France, Italy, Spain, Germany, York

☆ US near-miss with government shutdown illustrates Washington dysfunction
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-01 | by ( David Morgan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. narrowly dodged its fourth partial government shutdown in a decade on Sunday, but the past week exposed the depths of political dysfunction in Washington and particularly within the splintered House Republican caucus. “The dysfunction caucus at work,” Republican Representative Don Bacon told reporters earlier this month, after hardliners blocked consideration of a defense appropriations bill that finally passed on Thursday. He’s a charlatan,” Representative Mike Lawler, a centrist Republican from New York, said of Gaetz after the failed Republican stopgap vote. There are a lot of personalities at play here, and multiple strategic objectives,” Republican Representative Kat Cammack told reporters. “There’s this sort of strange woulda-coulda-shoulda -- appropriations should have just moved faster,” said Republican Representative Dan Crenshaw.

Persons: Ken Cedeno, Kevin McCarthy, Donald Trump, ”, Sarah Binder, McCarthy, Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, Trump’s, Moody’s, Earl Blumenauer, ’, Don Bacon, Monica De La, Matt Gaetz, “ He’s, He’s, Mike Lawler, Gaetz, “, Kat Cammack, Chuck Schumer, Rosa DeLauro, Dan Crenshaw Organizations: WASHINGTON, U.S, Republican, Capitol, REUTERS, Brookings Institution, Democratic, Senate, Aaa, ” Democratic, Republicans, Biden, Republican Party, Reuters, Trump Locations: Washington, Washington , U.S, House, United States, Monica De La Cruz of Texas, New York

☆ Shutdown near-miss illustrates Washington dysfunction
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-01 | by ( David Morgan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

REUTERS/Ken Cedeno Acquire Licensing RightsWASHINGTON, Oct 1 (Reuters) - The U.S. narrowly dodged its fourth partial government shutdown in a decade on Sunday, but the past week exposed the depths of political dysfunction in Washington and particularly within the splintered House Republican caucus. "The dysfunction caucus at work," Republican Representative Don Bacon told reporters earlier this month, after hardliners blocked consideration of a defense appropriations bill that finally passed on Thursday. He's a charlatan," Representative Mike Lawler, a centrist Republican from New York, said of Gaetz after the failed Republican stopgap vote. There are a lot of personalities at play here, and multiple strategic objectives," Republican Representative Kat Cammack told reporters. "There's this sort of strange woulda-coulda-shoulda -- appropriations should have just moved faster," said Republican Representative Dan Crenshaw.

Persons: Ken Cedeno, Kevin McCarthy, Donald Trump, Sarah Binder, McCarthy, Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, Trump's, Moody's, Earl Blumenauer, Don Bacon, Monica De La, Matt Gaetz, He's, Mike Lawler, Gaetz, Kat Cammack, Chuck Schumer, Rosa DeLauro, Dan Crenshaw, David Morgan, Jason Lange, Moria, Carolina Mandl, Scott Malone, Daniel Wallis Organizations: U.S, Capitol, REUTERS, Rights, Republican, Brookings Institution, Democratic, Senate, Aaa, House Republicans, Biden, Republican Party, Reuters, Trump, Republicans, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Washington, House, United States, Monica De La Cruz of Texas, New York, Moria Warburton

☆ Analysis: A messy government shutdown is the last thing the economy needs
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Against this precarious backdrop, Washington is on the verge of a messy shutdown of the federal government. A shutdown probably won’t wreck the economy, especially if it’s short. And if it a shutdown lasts long enough, it could, along with these other headwinds, do some real damage. The US Travel Association estimates the domestic travel economy would lose as much as $140 million a day from a government shutdown. “Uncertainty regarding federal operations will likely persist for the next few months.”Given all the other obstacles facing the economy, chaos in Washington is the last thing the economy needs.

Persons: New York CNN —, ”, Greg Valliere, Joe Brusuelas, Goldman Sachs, —, Uncle Sam, Mark Zandi, don’t, ” Zandi, AGF’s, “, ” Moody’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, UAW, Big Three, Federal, Federal Reserve, AGF Investments, RSM, American Federation of Government Employees, TSA, US Travel Association, Companies, Moody’s, AAA, Goldman Locations: New York, Washington, United States

☆ US Senate, House hold procedural votes as partial government shutdown looms
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Moira Warburton | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

House Republicans are demanding another $120 billion in cuts, plus tougher legislation that would stop the flow of immigrants at the U.S. southern border with Mexico. McCarthy, for his part, suggested late on Tuesday that a shutdown could be avoided if Biden would negotiate on border issues. Most of Congress - including many Senate Republicans - has largely rejected House Republicans' attempts to make the situation at the border with Mexico the focus of the shutdown. The House is expected to vote on its own short term funding measure on Friday. However, it will likely include border measures that will not pass the Senate, meaning the risk of a shutdown remains high.

Persons: Jonathan Ernst, Kevin McCarthy, Joe Biden, McCarthy, Biden, let's, Donald Trump, MAGA, Chuck Schumer, brinkmanship, Mitch McConnell, Henry Cuellar, Moira Warburton, Jeff Mason, Heather Timmons, Grant McCool Organizations: U.S, Capitol, REUTERS, Rights, Democratic, Republican, House Republicans, Biden, Republicans, Social Security, Medicare, Wednesday, ., Aaa, Homeland Security, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, Mexico, San Francisco, Ukraine, Russia, Texas, Washington

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Things are ‘likely to remain messy’
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari thinks the current interest rate range of 5.25% to 5.5% might not be high enough to be restrict inflation, he told CNBC. But even after that turmoil, it doesn't look like stocks have hit their bottom yet, writes CNBC Pro's Bob Pisani. Here are the signs he's looking for before he thinks stocks can rally again.

Persons: Europe's, John Chambers, Neel Kashkari, Kashkari, Meta, Stocks, —, hasn't, Bob Pisani Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, AAA, AA, Minneapolis Federal, metaverse Meta Locations: Congress, Minneapolis

☆ CNBC Daily Open: September is ‘likely to remain messy’
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Brendan McDermid | ReutersThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineSeptember's story hasn't changed: High yields and oil prices are dragging down stocks. Rising Treasury yields aren't the only costs weighing on the economy — oil prices are surging again. Even though September's already ending, things, as BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky puts it, "are likely to remain messy."

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Treasury inched, that's, John Chambers, September's, Jonathan Krinsky Organizations: HK, New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, CNBC, Treasury, hobbling, Federal, AAA, AA Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ The U.S. is nearing a government shutdown. What that means for stocks and how we're playing it
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The U.S. is just days from a federal government shutdown at 12:01 a.m. Goldman Sachs put the chances of a shutdown at 90%, saying it could last around two to three weeks. "In the seemingly unlikely event Congress passes a short-term extension, we would still expect a shutdown sometime later in Q4," which begins on Monday. (See here for a full list of the stocks in Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Raymond James, Ed Mills, Jim Cramer, Jerome Powell, What's, Moody's, It's, Goldman Sachs, we've, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Brendan SMIALOWSKI, BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI, Brendan Smialowski Organizations: Capitol, United Auto Workers, General Motors, Chrysler, Ford, Reserve, Fed, Social Security, AAA, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Republican, Getty, Afp Locations: Central, U.S, Washington ,, AFP

☆ Oil surges above $94 a barrel for the first time in a year as stockpiles shrink
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

New York CNN —US oil prices topped $94 a barrel on Wednesday for the first time in over a year, threatening to push up prices at the pump and inflation across the economy. “There’s not a lot of oil there and that’s causing some nervousness,” said Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis at Oil Price Information Service. The surge in oil prices could threaten the ongoing drop in gas prices. Kloza expressed cautious optimism that gas prices are still going lower, as typically happens after the summer ends. “We are probably getting in front of our skis a little bit,” Kloza said of energy prices.

Persons: Cushing, There’s, ”, Tom Kloza, Brent, Goldman Sachs, gunning, Robert Yawger, Yawger, you’re, ” Yawger, Kloza, “, ” Kloza Organizations: New, New York CNN, Oil Price Information Service, AAA, Bank of America, Mizuho Securities, Energy, Administration Locations: New York, Cushing , Oklahoma, Saudi Arabia, Russia

☆ The job Americans would most like to see replaced by robots
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( Joseph Bien-Kahn | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +26 min

In a survey of jobs Americans would most like to see replaced by robots, the umpire would surely rank near the top. (The MLB league official tells me that legalized gambling has not been a factor in implementing ABS.) Frustratingly, the subjective has infiltrated what initially felt like a technological problem: What does the perfect strike zone even look like anyway? The MLB league official agrees, telling me the Jetson Robot Home Plate Ump is not in their plans. "Growing up, my parents would go, 'Oh, the umpire's strike zone was small!'

Persons: Jordan Pacheco, Pacheco, John McEnroe, —, Billy Beane, maniacally, Houston, it's, Ben Hurian, Paul Hawkins, Goltz, Tyler Le, Justin Goltz, he's, there's, rears, Tyler Fitzgerald, Fitzgerald, who's, FanGraphs, Bagwell crouch, Miguel Yajure, Phillip Evans, Evans, X, they'd, Dylan Yep, what's, we're, Rob Manfred, — England's, Calvin Baker, Baker, Drew Strotman, Billy Evans, Strotman, Greg Maddux, MIT grads, steph, klay thompson, alf, hite, mudge, hird, ove, ahn Organizations: Lexington Legends, Twitter, Major League, ump, MLB, Sony, NASCAR, Triple, Albuquerque, Colorado Rockies, Astros, Companies, English Premier League soccer, Rugby, NFL, NBA, ABS, Sutter Health Park, Cats, San Francisco Giants, River, Reno Aces, AAA, Atlantic League, Big, of Fame, Seton Hall Sports, MIT, hawkeyes, ust Locations: OKC, California, Sacramento, uman

☆ Goldman Sachs warns US energy policy is backfiring
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

New York CNN Business —America’s emergency oil stockpile has plunged to 40-year lows. It has less levers left in its policy toolkit,” Daan Struyven, head of oil research at Goldman Sachs, told CNN in a phone interview. That’s one reason Goldman Sachs expects oil prices to stay high, averaging $100 a barrel this time next year. Saudi Arabia has an incentive to keep oil prices high in order to balance their budget. “Extremely high prices destroy long-term demand for Saudi barrels,” Struyven said.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Daan Struyven, Biden, ”, Jennifer Granholm, Saudi Arabia’s, “, ” Struyven, Struyven, ” Francisco Blanch, Doug Lawler, “ That’s, ” Lawler, BofA’s Blanch, ” Blanch, ” Goldman’s Struyven, That’s Organizations: New York CNN Business —, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, CNN, Triple, White, Industry, Wall, The Energy Department, ”, Saudi, OPEC, AAA, Aramco, Bank of America, Resources, Bloomberg, Energy Department Locations: Saudi, Ukraine, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Saudi Aramco, OPEC

☆ The U.S. is weaker now than when we downgraded in 2011, former S&P ratings chairman says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The U.S. is in a weaker position now than when S&P downgraded its sovereign credit rating in 2011, according to the former chairman of the agency's sovereign rating committee. S&P controversially downgraded the long-term credit rating from AAA representing a "risk free" rating to AA+ as early as 2011, citing political polarization after another debt ceiling squabble in Washington. John Chambers, former chairman of the Sovereign Rating Committee at S&P Global Ratings at the time of that 2011 downgrade, told CNBC's "Capital Connection" on Tuesday that a government shutdown is likely and that the whole episode was a "sign of weak governance." This was a factor that led to S&P's downgrade of 2011, and Chambers said the U.S. fiscal position is now even weaker than it was back then. At the time, we forecasted that it might get to 100% of GDP, and the government ridiculed us for being too scaremongering," he said.

Persons: Joe Biden, Kevin McCarthy, Fitch, John Chambers, CNBC's, Chambers Organizations: D.C, U.S . Capitol, AAA, Sovereign Locations: U.S, Washington

A general view of the U.S. Capitol, where Congress will return Tuesday to deal with a series of spending bills before funding runs out and triggers a partial U.S. government shutdown, in Washington, U.S. September 25, 2023. Congress has shut down the government 14 times since 1981, though most of those funding gaps have lasted only a day or two. Despite the looming shutdown deadline, the House will turn its attention first to the four full-year bills, which even if they pass would not fund the full government or prevent a shutdown. Success is not guaranteed: Republican hardliners blocked action on spending bills last week and some have said they would try to do so again. But that could prompt Republican hardliners to act on their threat to depose McCarthy, plunging the chamber further into chaos.

Persons: Jonathan Ernst, Kevin McCarthy, Moody's, Joe Biden, McCarthy, Biden, McCarthy's, Ralph Norman, Donald Trump, David Morgan, Andy Sullivan, Moira Warburton, Trevor Hunnicutt, Scott Malone, Bill Berkrot Organizations: U.S . Capitol, REUTERS, Rights, U.S . House, Democratic, Republican, National, U.S . government's AAA, Republicans, Social Security, House Republicans, Sunday, Caucus, Senate, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Washington, China, Congress, America

☆ Biden calls on Congress to fund government as Moody's and Wells Fargo warn of shutdown effects
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( Emma Kinery | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

U.S. President Joe Biden speaks during an event announcing a new White House Office of Gun Violence Prevention, in the Rose Garden of the White House in Washington, D.C., Sept. 22, 2023. WASHINGTON — President Joe Biden on Tuesday asked Congress in a social media post to fund the government as warnings grew that a looming shutdown could harm the U.S. credit rating and dollar. "There's a small group of extreme House Republicans who don't want to live up to that deal," Biden said in the video, posted on X, formerly known as Twitter. Moody's, the only major credit rating agency to still give U.S. sovereign credit a top AAA rating, on Monday said a shutdown would affect that rating. Another major credit rating agency, Fitch, last month downgraded the U.S. long-term foreign-currency issuer default rating.

Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, I'm, Wells, Fitch, Moody's Organizations: White, Washington , D.C, WASHINGTON, Tuesday, Biden, Republicans, Representatives, Republican, AAA, U.S Locations: Rose, Washington ,, America

REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Sept 25 (Reuters) - A U.S. government shutdown would negatively impact the country's credit, credit rating agency Moody's said on Monday, a stern warning coming one month after Fitch downgraded the U.S. by one notch on the back of a debt ceiling crisis. Moody's has an "Aaa" rating for the U.S. government with a stable outlook - the highest creditworthiness it assigns to borrowers. "Fiscal policymaking is less robust in the U.S. than in many Aaa-rated peers, and another shutdown would be further evidence of this weakness," Moody's said in a statement. The economic impact of a shutdown would likely be limited and short-lived, with the most direct economic impact caused by lower government spending. Of course, the longer the shutdown lasts, the more negative its impact would be on the broader economy, said Moody's.

Persons: Jonathan Ernst, Moody's, Fitch, William Foster, Foster, Davide Barbuscia, Megan Davies, Sharon Singleton, Josie Kao Organizations: U.S . Capitol, REUTERS, U.S, Reuters, P Global, Aaa, Republican Party, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, Washington, Aaa, Moody's

☆ The top economist at EY thinks the US economy faces a 'trifecta' of threats that could make Americans stop shopping and cause a slowdown
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-25 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

EY chief economist Gregory Daco thinks "consumers are becoming more conservative with their spending." Coming up is another headwind: the restart of federal student-loan payments. The different economic threats means consumer spending growth may not be so hot next year, as consumers are already reducing their spending. Other economists have pointed out how the upcoming student-loan payment restart will have an impact on the economy. Have you changed your spending habits or are you spending less on certain items given the restart of student-loan payments, fewer savings, and other factors?

Persons: Gregory Daco, Taylor Swift, it's, Daco, Torsten Sløk, NYU Stern, David Kelly Organizations: Service, Consumer, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, NYU, Morgan Asset Management, AAA, CNBC Locations: Wall, Silicon, American, —, mhoff@insider.com

FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) — Oil prices have risen, meaning drivers are paying more for gasoline and truckers and farmers more for diesel. Here are things to know about the recent increase — and where prices might be going:WHY HAVE OIL PRICES RISEN? “The last thing you want to do is fuel inflation again with much higher oil prices. Diesel prices have risen as well, along with higher oil costs and refineries facing shortages of the specific kinds of crude best for making diesel. HOW DO HIGHER OIL PRICES HELP RUSSIA?

Persons: Jorge Leon, That's, Leon, ” Leon, “, ”, Thu, Nguyen, Commerzbank, Gary Peach, Benjamin Hilgenstock, Joe Biden, Biden, Josh Boak Organizations: —, Saudi, Brent, Rystad Energy, Energy Intelligence, U.S, AAA, Diesel, Kremlin, Kyiv School of Economics, Policy Center, Union, Group, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Associated Locations: FRANKFURT, Germany, Russia, Saudi, OPEC, China, Europe, U.S, Ukraine, Moscow, Brussels, Washington

☆ Moody’s: Government shutdown could hurt America’s top credit rating
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-25 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Minneapolis CNN —The United States’ credit rating could come under pressure if the government shuts down, Moody’s Investors Service cautioned Monday. A shutdown would be “credit negative” for the US sovereign, according to a Moody’s note. Moody’s is the only one of the three major credit rating agencies to assign the United States an outstanding rating of AAA. Standard and Poor’s downgraded the United States in 2011, following the debt ceiling standoff then. In August, Fitch Ratings knocked America’s credit rating down to AA+ after the most recent debt ceiling debate.

Persons: “, ” Moody’s, Poor’s, Moody’s, It’s, Donald Trump’s, —, Betsy Klein, Matt Egan Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, United, Moody’s, AAA, Fitch, Congressional, US Travel Association, Federal Reserve, Labor Statistics Locations: Minneapolis, United States

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