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☆ Japan's incoming PM Ishiba calls election for Oct 27, seeks to unify party
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Newly-elected leader and sitting chairperson of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) Shigeru Ishiba speaks during a press conference following his election in the party leadership elections on September 27, 2024 in Tokyo, Japan. Lawmakers there will meet tomorrow to confirm him as the country's next prime minister. Japan's incoming prime minister, Shigeru Ishiba, said on Monday he will call a general election for Oct. 27 following his victory in one of the closest ever leadership races for the ruling Liberal Democratic Party. Ishiba on Monday began picking government and party officials who will contest the upcoming general election with him. Ishiba, 67, won the LDP leadership race on his fifth attempt with strong backing from rank-and-file members.

Persons: Shigeru Ishiba, Ishiba, Katsunobu Kato, Yoshimasa Hayashi, Takeshi Iwaya, Gen Nakatani, Yoji, Takaichi, Hiroshi Shiratori, Shinjiro Koizumi, Yoshihide Suga, Koizumi Organizations: Liberal Democratic Party, U.S, Reuters, Media, Hosei University, Takaichi Locations: Tokyo, Japan

☆ Jeremy Grantham's right-hand man Ben Inker warns your 60/40 portfolio is in for a 'lost decade' of negative returns
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The popular 60/40 portfolio of stocks and bonds has returned double digits annually since 1979. Inker shares the risks of the 60/40 strategy and where he's looking for opportunities. AdvertisementFor decades, the 60/40 strategy has been the gold standard of investing. As a result, the 60/40 portfolio right now is not set up to generate attractive returns. Related storiesInvesting against the grainInstead of the traditional 60/40 portfolio, Inker recommends taking a more flexible approach to different asset allocations.

Persons: Ben, —, Jeremy Grantham, doesn't, they've Organizations: Service, Bloomberg

☆ A researcher who studied Trump's plans to control the Fed said it could tank the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-29 | by ( Alice Tecotzky | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Economists at the Peterson Institute studied what would happen if Trump undermined Fed independence. The study's lead researchers dug into the economic impact of three of Trump's campaign promises: mass deportations, tariffs, and eroding Fed independence. Though Trump promises an America First economic agenda, McKibbin said that taking control of the Fed would get him the opposite results. AdvertisementHe doesn't think the public is paying enough attention to the risks of Trump's Fed proposals or the overall murkiness of the candidates' economic policy. "If you're going to advocate a policy, there has to be evidence as to why you're advocating that policy," McKibbin said.

Persons: Trump, —, Warwick McKibbin, McKibbin, Jerome Powell, Trump hasn't, they're, Kamala Harris, Harris Organizations: Peterson Institute, Fed, BI, Service, Federal, Peterson Institute of International Economics, Trump, PIIE, Business, Wall Street Journal, Biden Locations: China, Canada, Mexico, Australia, America

☆ Stocks to play the China trade until the latest stimulus package kicks in
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-29 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Until the government's measures pan out, investment strategists are recommending a handful of oversold stocks in China. U.S. hedge fund billionaire David Tepper said Thursday on CNBC's " Squawk Box " that he bought more Chinese stocks after the change in China policy. That hedge fund allocation rose to 7.3% on Tuesday, which saw the largest single day purchases by hedge funds since March 2021, Rubner said. Retail investors account for the majority of trading activity in mainland Chinese stocks, also known as A shares. Mainland Chinese stock exchanges are scheduled to close from Oct. 1 to Oct. 7 for a holiday, which this year commemorates the 75th anniversary of the People's Republic of China.

Persons: Wendy Liu, Rupal Agarwal, Bernstein, David Tepper, Donald Trump, Tepper, Pan Gongsheng, Xi Jinping, Scott Rubner, Goldman Sachs, Rubner, Goldman, China hasn't, Li Dongfang, Li, financials, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CSI, JPMorgan, Tal Education, Huawei, People's Bank of China, CNBC, HK Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, Tsingtao, U.S, Zhejiang, Asia, Hong Kong, Beijing, Mainland, People's Republic of China

☆ China stocks see best week since 2008 on stimulus impact as most Asia markets rise
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +4 min

Chinese markets clocked their best week in almost 16 years as the mainland’s CSI 300 rallied 15.7% this week, buoyed by several economic stimulus measures by the central bank. The last time the index saw a bigger weekly gain was the week ending Nov. 14, 2008. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index recorded a weekly gain of 12.75%, making it the index’s best week since February 1998, according to FactSet data. Tokyo’s headline inflation rate eased to 2.2%, down from August’s 2.6%. A slate of fresh U.S. economic data also supported the market’s gains, with weekly jobless claims falling more than expected, pointing to a steady labor market.

Persons: Hong, PBOC, Shigeru Ishiba, Sanae Takaichi, Korea’s Kospi, Australia’s, ’ Organizations: CSI, People’s Bank of China, Google, Shanghai Stock Exchange, Reuters, Japan’s Nikkei, of Japan, U.S ., Micron Technology, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: China, Shanghai, Asia, Pacific, Tokyo, August’s, U.S

☆ Stock market today: Dow hits record high, stocks notch 3-week win streak ahead of key jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks were mixed Friday, with the Dow closing at a record high while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq edged lower. All three major averages achieved a three-week win streak as investors cheer a resilient economy and cooling inflation. Investors await key jobs data next week, including the September jobs report on Friday morning. But the main event is next Friday, when the September jobs report is released. AdvertisementAccording to Interactive Brokers senior economist José Torres, the jobs report could have a big impact on the broader market.

Persons: —, Dow Jones, Clark Bellin, José Torres, Torres Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Service, Fed, Labor, Survey, ADP, Interactive Locations: Here's

☆ Moo Deng now has her own crypto, because of course she does
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Moo Deng crypto. Given the sudden popularity of Moo Deng, the Thai national treasure whose name roughly translates as “bouncy pork,” it was only a matter of time before someone turned her into a digital asset. And given the nature of such memecoins, which have zero underlying value and trade purely on vibes, it’s no surprise Moo Deng Coin has shot up 1,400% since it was created less than three weeks ago. (It should be noted that crypto traders suspect this anonymous Moo Deng booster is an “insider,” since they bought the coin four hours after its creation, per the crypto news site Decrypt. Moo Deng coin is just the latest product of a niche online culture that also birthed Dogecoin (created as a joke to dunk on bitcoin) and Shiba Inu coin (a joke to dunk on Dogecoin).

Persons: Moo Deng, it’s, Deng, Shiba Inu Organizations: New, New York CNN Locations: New York, Thai

☆ China cuts banks' reserve ratio as economic growth sputters
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The People's Bank of China (PBOC) building in Beijing, China, on Tuesday, April 18, 2023. Source: BloombergChina's central bank said on Friday it would cut the amount of cash that banks must hold as reserves by 50 basis points, the second reduction this year aimed at bolstering faltering economic growth. The People's Bank of China said it would cut the reserve requirement ratio for all banks, except those that have implemented a 5% reserve ratio. "The PBOC has adhered to a supportive monetary policy stance, increased the intensity of monetary policy regulation and control, and improved the precision of monetary policy regulation and control, so as to create a favourable monetary and financial environment for China's stable economic growth," its statement said. But analysts have noted businesses and consumers have little appetite to take on fresh debt given the uncertain economic outlook.

Persons: Pan Gongsheng, Pan Organizations: People's Bank of China, Bloomberg, PBOC, People's Bank of Locations: Beijing, China, People's Bank of China

☆ China optimism is surging. Why some investors are cautious
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A shareholder at a securities hall in Hangzhou, the capital of Zhejiang province in east China, on Sept. 24, 2024. "Markets should place more emphasis on the specifics of the stimulus," Lu said. The People's Bank of China this week cut major interest rates, and announced plans to lower rates for existing mortgage holders. Questions about scaleFor some investment institutions, that's still not enough to move the needle on their China outlook. A survey in September of more than 1,200 companies in China by the U.S.-based China Beige Book found that corporate borrowing declined, despite historic lows in the costs to do so.

Persons: Xi Jinping, Ting Lu, Lu, Nomura's Lu, that's, Paul Christopher, Christopher, Shehzad Qazi, Qazi Organizations: Getty, BEIJING, Shanghai, Nomura, People's Bank of, Finance, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, U.S Locations: Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China, Beijing, People's Bank of China, Wells Fargo, U.S . Federal, U.S

☆ Hong Kong's New World Development shares surge 23% after CEO resigns
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Signage at the New World Tower, which houses the headquarters of New World Development Co., in Hong Kong, China, on Thursday, Sept. 26, 2024. New World Developmen suspended trading of its shares in Hong Kong on Thursday morning. Shares of Hong Kong's New World Development surged following the resignation of Adrian Cheng, a member of the founding family. Hong Kong listed shares of the major development company traded 23% higher after trading resumed on Friday. New World's woes come as property pains continue to plague Hong Kong and mainland China.

Persons: Adrian Cheng, Cheng, Eric Ma Siu, Cheung, Alicia Garcia, Herrero, Hong Kong tycoons, China's Organizations: New, Hong, HK, Asia Pacific, CNBC, China's Locations: Hong Kong, China, Natixis, tycoons, Asia

China's industrial profits plunged by 17.8% in August from a year ago, the National Bureau of Statistics said Friday. Industrial profits covers factories, mines and utilities in China. Sluggish domestic demand, a prolonged housing downturn and rising unemployment have weighed on the world's second largest economy. In August, China's industrial activity, retail sales and urban investment all grew slower than expected, with retail sales rising by barely more than 2% and industrial production by 4.5% from a year ago. The urban unemployment rate was 5.3% in August, an uptick from 5.2% in the previous month.

Persons: China's, Xi Jinping, Pan Gongsheng Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, People's Bank of China Locations: China's, Jiangsu, China, Beijing

☆ Trump’s promises would spike inflation and wipe out jobs, study finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

The paper represents the most comprehensive analysis to date on the combined impact of Trump’s trade, immigration and Fed proposals. In that scenario, employment would be 9% lower than baseline by 2028 and inflation would surge to 9.3% by 2026. “So-called economists and experts doubted President Trump’s economic plans in his first term. That means the same factory workers Trump says he is trying to help would be hurt the most. Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who was nominated by Trump in 2017, cautioned against any effort to interfere with Fed independence.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, “, Warwick McKibbin, Megan Hogan, Marcus Noland, they’ll, ” Karoline Leavitt, Trump’s, Kamala Harris, Harris, ” Trump, McKibbin, Mark Zandi, ”, Jerome Powell, ” Powell, We’re Organizations: CNN, Republican, Federal Reserve, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Peterson Institute, Trump, Security, ”, Peterson, Moody’s, Bloomberg Locations: United States, China, America, Georgia, Michigan, outflows

☆ Gold lingers near record highs, Powell's speech eyed for rate cues
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices were steady on Thursday, hovering close to record highs, on expectations of another big U.S. rate cut this year, although gains were limited ahead of remarks by key Federal Reserve policymakers later in the day. Gold prices were steady on Thursday, hovering close to record highs, on expectations of another big U.S. rate cut this year, although gains were limited ahead of remarks by key Federal Reserve policymakers later in the day. Bullion has risen nearly 29% so far in 2024 and hit record highs several times this year, largely fueled by monetary policy easing by major global banks and geopolitical concerns. Last Wednesday, the Fed delivered a 50-basis-point rate cut, with traders seeing a 62% chance of an additional half-percentage-point reduction in November, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Additionally, U.S. jobless claims data on Thursday and the core personal consumption expenditure index — the Fed's preferred inflation — on Friday, will be eyed for further rate cues.

Persons: Tim Waterer, Bullion, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Michael Barr, Nicholas Frappell Organizations: U.S ., KCM, Fed, New York Fed, ABC Refinery Locations: .

☆ Bank of Japan board members split over monetary policy path, meeting minutes show
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Bank of Japan board members are split over the future path of interest rates, minutes of the central bank's monetary policy meeting in July showed. The board also pointed out that import prices had turned positive again, and upside risks to prices required attention. Some board members pointed out that "it was appropriate for the Bank to make moderate adjustments" given such risks. Another member pointed out that medium-to long-term inflation expectations were not anchored at 2%, and prices remained vulnerable to downside risks. As such, the BOJ should avoid a situation where the market expectations for future rate hikes "increase excessively."

Organizations: Bank of, Bank of Japan, Bank Locations: Bank of Japan, Tokyo

☆ Treasury yields hold steady as investors look to economic data, Fed speaker comments
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by less than one basis point to 3.7791%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 3.5653% after rising by over one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Thursday as investors looked to fresh economic data and remarks from Federal Reserve officials. Economists polled by Dow Jones are expecting weekly initial jobless claims to come in at 223,000 for the most recent period. Elsewhere, the Swiss National Bank on Thursday cut its key interest rate by a quarter point, marking the third reduction this year.

Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Swiss National Bank Locations: U.S

☆ Swiss central bank cuts rates by a quarter point in third trim this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Ruxandra Iordache | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A view of the headquarters of the Swiss National Bank (SNB), before a press conference in Zurich, Switzerland, March 21, 2024. It was the first major Western central bank to reduce interest rates back in March. Domestically, Swiss inflation remains subdued, with the latest headline print pointing to a 1.1% annual increase in August. Further cuts in the SNB policy rate may become necessary in the coming quarters to ensure price stability over the medium term," it added. He added that the central bank may nevertheless have to reduce rates again to retain inflation in the 0-2% target range.

Persons: exacerbation, Swissmem, SNB, Kyle Chapman, Chapman, Thomas Jordan, Jordan, Adrian Prettejohn, Prettejohn Organizations: Swiss National Bank, European Central Bank, U.S . Federal Reserve, Swiss, U.S ., ING, Ballinger Group, Reuters, Capital Economics Locations: Zurich, Switzerland, Swiss, Europe

☆ Australia's inflation rate has come within its target range, but rate cuts likely won't come anytime soon
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Australia's inflation rate has come within the RBA's target range in the month of August, easing from 3.5% in July to 2.7%., according to a Wednesday release from the country's Bureau of Statistics. The drop puts the rate below the Reserve Bank of Australia's target range of 2%-3% for the first time since August 2021. He said that while the relief programs will bring headline inflation to the top of the RBA's target range, the RBA will be "looking through" these subsidies and focusing on core inflation. He writes, "the path of core inflation back to the target range has stalled somewhat, and it is hard to see a major improvement in the near term. We think the bank will need to see three more inflation prints before they are comfortable embarking on an easing cycle."

Persons: Australia's, Michelle Bullock, Bullock, Sean Langcake, Langcake Organizations: Statistics, Reserve Bank, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, ., Australia's Locations: SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA, Sydney, Australia, country's, Oxford

☆ Harris and Trump want to make stuff in America again. That’s really hard to do
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

And it’ll be tough for either Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump to turn that around if elected, no matter their grandiose campaign promises. Put together, such investments have resulted in a sharp pick-up in construction spending by manufacturers, according to government data. Manufacturing’s main pain points are sluggish demand and elevated interest rates, according to recent manufacturing surveys by the Institute for Supply Management and S&P Global. And, of course, there are issues specific to certain sectors of the manufacturing industry. It could get better, but it’s not clear whenIt’s not all doom and gloom for the manufacturing industry.

Persons: Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Biden, haven’t, hasn’t, Harris, ” Harris, Trump, ” Chris Williamson, ” Timothy Fiore, There’s, ” Lauren Goodwin, ” Organizations: Washington CNN, Act, Congress, Private, Manufacturers, Labor Department, Institute for Supply Management, P, P Global Market Intelligence, ISM’s Manufacturing, Survey, P Global, Boeing, Federal, New York Life Investments Locations: America, Pittsburgh, Savannah, China, Pennsylvania, Korea, North Carolina, Germany, Georgia

☆ A way to play the China stock breakout using options following the big stimulus there
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Fed effectively cut rates to zero during the pandemic plunge, and the S & P had an extraordinary bull market. How to play it Consider PDD Holdings . PDD Holdings Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates several online platforms. PDD YTD mountain PDD Holdings, YTD The share price is nearly 44% below the all-time highs of early 2021. If you're looking for a single stock to get involved with to hitch your wagon to PBOC's train, consider PDD Holdings.

Persons: you've, I've, PDD Organizations: Fed, People's Bank of China, Holdings, PDD Holdings Inc, Pinduoduo, PDD Holdings, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S, United States, China

☆ China's Xi and top leaders call for halting real estate decline, responding to public concerns
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Authorities "must work to halt the real estate market decline and spur a stable recovery," the readout said in Chinese, translated by CNBC. The readout said leaders called for strengthening fiscal and monetary policy support, and touched on a swath of issues from employment to the aging population. Just days after the U.S. cut interest rates, the People's Bank of China on Tuesday announced a slew of planned interest rate cuts and real estate support. This real estate policy is aiming at reducing its drag on the economy." Tempering growth expectationsThe meeting readout said China would "work hard to complete" the country's full-year economic targets.

Persons: Xi Jinping, Zhiwei Zhang, Stocks, Goldman Sachs, Yue Su, Zong Liang, Zong, Bruce Pang Organizations: Getty, CNBC, Communist Party, People's Bank of China, Economist Intelligence Unit, Bank of Locations: Yuexi County, Anqing, Anhui province, China, BEIJING, Hong Kong, U.S, Beijing, JLL

☆ David Tepper says the Fed has to cut rates at least two or three more times to keep credibility
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Appaloosa Management's David Tepper said investors should believe the Federal Reserve when it says it will lower interest rates because the central bank has now to keep credibility. "Probably two or three interest rates, 25 basis point cuts, they have to do, or they lose credibility," Tepper said. You know, another 25, 25, 25 seems like it's going to have to be done." The super-sized rate cut last week came despite most economic indicators looking fairly solid. "It was around the 90s in that market where the where the Fed cut rates into Y2K in a good economy," he said.

Persons: David Tepper, Tepper, " Powell, Jerome Powell, Rich, " Tepper Organizations: Federal Reserve, Gross, Atlanta Fed, U.S, National Football League's Carolina Panthers Locations: U.S, China

☆ China's surprise stimulus could be a red flag, so investors should approach the nation's long-awaited rally with caution
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

AdvertisementLorraine Tan, Morningstar's director of equity research for Asia, also thinks monetary stimulus won't be sufficient. History says their skepticism is warranted, as China's past stimulus efforts have often failed to lead to sustainable gains. Even if this surge holds up, it won't necessarily spark a self-fulfilling prophecy that provides a lasting boost for China's economy. But others like Tan from Morningstar believe this bad news is reflected in Chinese stocks' cheap valuations. The team at UBS Global Wealth Management is also cautiously optimistic about Chinese stocks after this news.

Persons: —, they're, Betty Wang, Marcelli, Lorraine Tan, Tan, Brian Mulberry, Mulberry, Wang, China isn't, Jeff Kleintop, Charles Schwab, Donald Trump, Rory Green, Xi Jinping, Biden, Trump, That's, Kleintop, Morningstar, she'd Organizations: Service, Business, People's Bank of, Oxford Economics, UBS Global Wealth Management, Zacks Investment Management, Federal Reserve, BI Locations: China, People's Bank of China, Asia, Central, Republic

☆ Stock market today: Indexes trade mixed as record-setting rally wavers ahead of more data, Fedspeak
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The rally in US stocks took a breather on Wednesday as traders looked ahead to coming economic data. Major indexes wobbled and bond yields were slightly higher. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Major stock averages pulled back slightly after notching a series of record-highs since last week's rate cut, while bond yields edged up slightly. "Traders will be curious to hear more thoughts on the rate cut and any guidance on further monetary policy easing."

Persons: —, Powell, Hogan, Riley Wealth Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, US Treasury Market Conference, Federal

☆ It takes more than a year for monetary policies to come through, BofA strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt takes more than a year for monetary policies to come through, BofA strategist saysSebastian Raedler, head of European equity strategy at the Bank of America, discusses the impact of the Fed monetary policy on the U.S. market at the BofA Financials CEO conference in London.

Persons: Sebastian Raedler Organizations: Bank of America Locations: London

☆ Treasury yields inch higher as investors consider the state of the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 3.533% after rising by just over one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly higher on Wednesday as investors weighed economic data and considered the state of the economy. Economic data points will therefore be watched closely in the coming days and weeks as concerns about a potential slowdown of the economy linger. Later this week, investors will also hear from various Fed officials including Chairman Jerome Powell. At the end of the week, key economic data in form of the latest personal consumption expenditures price index is also set to be published.

Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, PCE Locations: U.S

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