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The Fed's big rate cut won't stop a recession, economist David Rosenberg says. Rosenberg's bearish call comes one day after the Federal Reserve delivered a jumbo 50 basis point interest rate cut, the Fed's first rate cut since 2020. AdvertisementBut Rosenberg isn't backing down, likening 2024 to 2007, right before the economy slowed and entered a painful recession. He added: "Half the country is in recession right now when we apply data science to the commentary." AdvertisementAs for the soaring stock market, Rosenberg says investors should heed the warning signs coming out of the bond market.
Persons: David Rosenberg, He's, Rosenberg, , Rosenberg's Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, BLS
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang presents the Nvidia Blackwell platform at an event ahead of the COMPUTEX Forum, in Taipei, Taiwan, on June 2, 2024. Led by a 7.4% gain in shares of Tesla and a 4% jump in Nvidia , the Nasdaq rose 2.5% on Thursday, its fourth-sharpest rally of 2024. Nvidia, whose processors are powering the generative AI boom and services like OpenAI's ChatGPT, gained 4% on Thursday to $117.87. Su said AI is going to make its way into "all aspects of our lives," including education and drug development. Among the other top tech companies, Apple and Meta also closed with big gains, each rising almost 4%.
Persons: Jensen Huang, Nvidia Blackwell, it's, they're, Lisa Su, Jim Cramer, Su, Tesla Organizations: Nvidia, COMPUTEX, Investors, Federal Reserve, Tesla, Nasdaq, Federal, Market, Microsoft, Oracle, Devices, Broadcom, AMD, Apple, Meta Locations: Taipei, Taiwan
They were lucky enough to lock in a 2.79% mortgage rate when they bought it — the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is over 5% today. However, one non-financial factor began to lure the couple away from Colorado: family. Due to Massachussets' "higher cost of living," Nicole said the move has had a significant impact on their finances. For these people, buying a new home could mean taking on a significantly higher mortgage rate and monthly mortgage payment than they previously had. Lastly, while they live closer to family, Nicole said this hasn't saved them money on childcare.
Persons: , Nicole Stanley, Jacob, Nicole, who's, Jacob don't, Jacob aren't Organizations: Service, Business, . Colorado, Denver, BI Locations: Denver, Aurora , Colorado, Colorado, Mattapoisett , Massachusetts, Massachusetts, New York, California, — Massachusetts, Massachuseets
Because the Fed is likely to cut rates further, mortgage rates should continue to drop this year. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering around 5.60% today, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 15-year mortgage rates are right around 5%, according to Zillow data. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data.
Persons: annonuncement, Jerome Powell, you'll, they've, Freddie Mac, it's, They'll Organizations: Zillow, Fed Locations: Chevron
But in his own way (very demure, very mindful) that is what happened Wednesday when he announced the Fed’s first rate cut in four years, a giant half-point reduction that will lower the cost of borrowing and offer financial relief for consumers and businesses. Whenever a reporter asks him about politics, Powell refuses to bite. Like on Wednesday, when he was asked whether the half-point rate cut had political motivations, he responded with something approaching exasperation. It’s just maximum employment and price stability on behalf of all Americans.”Of course, that’s unlikely to stop either party from using the rate cut news to their advantage, given that the economy is the No. Trump can continue to claim that a rate cut is a sign the economy is weak.
Persons: CNN Business ’, Jerome Powell, That’s, ” Powell, “ We’re, Republican Sen, Tommy Tuberville, , Kamala Harris, , it’s, It’s, Jason Furman, Donald Trump, they’re, Pubkey, ” Trump, Powell, He’s, Joe Biden, Powell isn’t, Barack Obama, don’t, Harris, Biden, Steve Sosnick Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Republican, CNN, Trump, Fed’s, Governors, Interactive Brokers, Fed Locations: New York, America, Alabama, New York City, Trump
Indexes rallied to record highs as investors cheered Wednesday's rate cut from the Fed. Jobless claims reinforced the Fed's message of a strong labor market, with last weeks's claims down 12,000. AdvertisementMajor stock indexes surged to record highs on Thursday, a day after a jumbo rate cut from the Federal Reserve. On Wednesday, the Fed cut interest rates for the first time in four years, slashing its benchmark rate by 50 basis points. The Fed's dot plot shows the central bank will likely cut another 50 basis points this year and 100 basis points next year.
Persons: , Dan Ives, Ives, Jerome Powell, Powell, Richard Bernstein Organizations: Fed . Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Service, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Broadcom, ASML, Labor Department, Treasury, Fed, Trump Media Locations: Here's
Dollar rebounds after Fed goes big on rate cut
  + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The U.S. dollar rose broadly on Thursday, recovering from an earlier tumble in the immediate aftermath of the Federal Reserve's outsized interest rate cut that had been largely priced in by markets. The U.S. dollar rose broadly on Thursday, recovering from an earlier tumble in the immediate aftermath of the Federal Reserve's outsized interest rate cut that had been largely priced in by markets. Fed policymakers on Wednesday projected the benchmark interest rate would fall by another half of a percentage point by the end of this year, a full percentage point next year and half of a percentage point in 2026, though they said the outlook that far into the future is necessarily uncertain. "So to expect an easing today because of what the Fed has done seems a little bit too hard to believe." Elsewhere, the Australian dollar edged up 0.05% against its U.S. counterpart to $0.6768, while the New Zealand dollar advanced 0.04% to $0.6210.
Persons: Jerome Powell, it's, Rodrigo Catril, , Eric Robertsen, Sterling, NAB's Organizations: U.S, Wednesday, Reuters, National Australia Bank, Bank of England, New Zealand Locations: U.S, Singapore
New York CNN —A group of news organizations filed an emergency petition Thursday, asking Nevada’s highest court to unseal the ongoing family succession battle playing out in a Reno courtroom that will determine the future of Rupert Murdoch’s vast media empire. But his three other eldest children, who have more moderate views, are fighting the change. The Murdoch case was only revealed after The New York Times published a report revealing its existence in July. “The public has immense interest in which of Murdoch’s children will succeed him,” the news outlets said in their petition. In its petition to the high court, the news outlets argued that selective redactions can be made to protect truly private information.
Persons: Nevada’s, Rupert Murdoch’s, Murdoch, Lachlan –, , Rupert, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Fox, The New York Times, CNN, Washington Post, Nevada Supreme, Fox News, Street Journal Locations: New York, Reno, Washoe, Nevada, American
Hong Kong central bank cuts interest rate, tracks Fed move
  + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
People wearing face masks walk by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority on March 4, 2020 in Hong Kong. HKMA said the U.S. interest rate cut will have a positive impact on the economy of the Asia financial center and will provide some room for easing of local interest rates. "In Hong Kong, our financial and monetary markets have continued to operate in a smooth and orderly manner. "The rate cut cycle has just begun, interest rates will remain at relatively high level in the foreseeble future. The public should carefully assess and continue to manage the interest rate risk when making property purchase, mortgage or other lending decisions," Lee added.
Persons: HKMA, Howard Lee, Lee Organizations: Hong Kong Monetary Authority, Hong, HK, U.S ., U.S . Federal Reserve, Hong Kong Locations: Hong Kong, United States, U.S, Asia
But after Wednesday's big 50 basis point cut, Lee says he sees uncertainty looming ahead of the election. AdvertisementProminent stock market bull Tom Lee has long called for a big rally after the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. But after a big 50 basis point cut on Wednesday, Lee says he's feeling cautious ahead of the November election. That rally would happen regardless of a 25 or 50 basis point cut, he said, if the Fed suggested future cuts are likely. With election-related volatility ahead, Lee recommends investing in cyclical stocks in areas like industrials, financials, and small caps.
Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, , SoFi's Liz Young Thomas Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Fundstrat Global Advisors, CNBC, Fed, Business
In one sense, you could say that Wednesday’s decision by the Federal Reserve to cut rates was of minimal importance. The interest rate the Fed more or less directly controls — the federal funds rate — is the rate at which banks lend one another money overnight. For one thing, Fed rate changes tend to percolate into longer-term interest rates that really do matter for the economy. For example, the series of rate hikes the Fed undertook in 2022 and 2023 drove 30-year fixed mortgage interest rates up to almost 8 percent from about 3 percent. Most of their decisions are based on the same data about unemployment, inflation and so on available to anyone with an internet connection.
Persons: Jerome Powell, don’t Organizations: Federal Reserve
Chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell (left) meets with President Joe Biden in the Oval Office on May 31, 2022. President Joe Biden on Thursday said he had "never once spoken" to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell while he was president. "The president was saying that he has not spoken to Chair Powell about interest rates," said Bernstein. Even in his 2022 Oval Office meeting with Powell, Biden stressed the importance of the Fed's independence in addressing inflation. Respect the Fed's independence," Biden said at the time.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Joe Biden, Janet Yellen, Biden, I've, Jared Bernstein, Powell, Bernstein, Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: Federal, Treasury, Economic, of Washington, of Washington , D.C, Fed, Republican, Federal Reserve, Street Journal, White Locations: of Washington ,
You can opt-out at any time by visiting our Preferences page or by clicking "unsubscribe" at the bottom of the email. Go to newsletter preferencesSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewMike Molloy is a nutrition coach to elite athletes and regular folk alike. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. Having strong social connections is well-established as an important factor in longevity, and if your friends and family also encourage you to live a healthy life, all the better.
Persons: , Mike Molloy, Molloy, Sleep Molloy Organizations: Service, Business, Research
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAmerican Bankers Association opposes Trump's credit card interest rate cap proposalCNBC's Eamon Javers reports on news from former President Donald Trump.
Persons: Eamon Javers, Donald Trump Organizations: American, Association
Recalibrate for risk Protecting your portfolio from sharp losses begins with understanding your comfort with risk and ensuring that your asset allocation reflects your long-term goals. "But over that period when markets were down, there were opportunities to harvest losses in stocks, individual names that experienced big pullbacks." And they've been a good buy for clients who are nearing retirement, seeking income and appreciate bonds' ability to offset stocks' volatility. Options for buffering losses Options are also playing a role in investors' portfolios as financial advisors try to mitigate volatility. Call options give investors the right to buy a stock at a specified strike price before a certain date.
Persons: Stocks, Goldman Sachs, Arun Prakash, Prakash's, Rafia Hasan, San, Hasan, they've, Andrew Herzog, We're, Herzog, he's, Gregory Guenther, Morningstar, " Guenther Organizations: Federal, Wealth Management, Fed, Treasury Bond ETF, SEC, GrantVest Financial Locations: San Francisco, Plano , Texas, Matawan , New Jersey
AI stocks surged after the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 soared nearly 3% on Thursday, while the underlying AI trade saw even bigger gains. Investors in the stock market's AI trade can thank Fed chairman Jerome Powell for Thursday's risk-on surge in tech, according to Wedbush analyst Dan Ives. AdvertisementIves said that while the AI trade has mainly been focused on Nvidia and Microsoft, other companies are starting to join in on the fun.
Persons: Dan Ives, , Jerome Powell, Ives Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Broadcom, Service, Federal Reserve, Investors, Big Tech, Microsoft, Oracle, Dell, IBM, APple Locations: Asia
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Jim Cramer has been debating swapping Morgan Stanley for Goldman Sachs , which he argued is a "cheaper and better" bank option. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Jim, Lisa Su, Su, Piper Sandler, Abbott, Stocks, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow, Nvidia, Micro Devices, Micro, AMD's, Abbott Labs, Darden, AMD Locations: Turin
In the spirit of ESPN's Monday Night Countdown, a word to Federal Reserve Chairman, Jay Powell ... "C'Mon Man!" While the markets have rebounded nicely on Thursday, it seems to me that Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell unnecessarily complicated the outlook for interest rate policy on Wednesday by saying the Fed will decide, meeting by meeting, what to do next. Meanwhile, long-term interest rates, after having fallen for weeks in anticipation of a half-point cut, which the Fed delivered, have actually moved up a bit. I'm not entirely certain but I suspect it's the lack of clear direction on future rate policy that is the culprit. In those days, the Fed was loathe to discuss its actions publicly and only signaled to markets what it had done with respect to interest rate policy a considerable time after the action was undertaken.
Persons: Jay Powell, Powell, Paul Volcker Organizations: Federal, Fed Locations: China
The S & P 500 gave up post-Fed gains Wednesday and closed modestly lower. Morgan Stanley should have a decent pop when trading opens because lower interest rates should boost parts of its business , including investment banking. MS YTD mountain Morgan Stanley YTD We thought Morgan Stanley's share price was too low to sell when we held our September Monthly Meeting last week. Based on premarket prices, Morgan Stanley shares were hovering around $101, representing a much better level to take some off. One more factor behind our trim is that the S & P Short Range Oscillator remained in overbought territory after Wednesday's close.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Stocks, Morgan Stanley's, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley YTD, We'll, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC
Business vs. personal bank account interest rates at brick-and-mortar banks*Regional differences are possible at Regions Bank. Rates are as of July 22, 2024.Business vs. personal bank account interest rates at online banksPersonal bank accounts at online banks generally pay more than their business banking options. Business vs. personal bank account interest rates at credit unionsCredit unions also tend to offer competitive rates on business and personal bank accounts. Comparing account fees and accessibilityOpening a business bank account involves more documentation than opening a traditional bank account. Business vs. personal banking FAQsWhy might business savings accounts offer different interest rates than personal accounts?
Persons: you'll, Sophia Acevedo, Sophia, Axel Springer, Education Sophia Organizations: U.S . Bank, Business, Regions Bank, American, Consumers Credit Union, Federal Reserve, Finance, Bank, Savings, Education, California State University Fullerton, National Association of Hispanic Journalists, Angeles Locations: Florida, Alabama, U.S, Illinois, Wisconsin, California
On the positive side, Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel called the decision the "best news" the Fed has offered in years. He said the Fed "moved too fast" with its 50-point cut. This is unusual, since investors will typically snap up these assets after a rate cut. Related storiesSome on Wall Street noted that the Fed's decision to cut beyond 25 basis points was essentially a signal that the central bank is moving past inflation. To Contopoulos point, this may be premature, as August's consumer price index report still stood above the 2% inflation target.
Persons: , Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Michael Contopoulos, Bernstein, Contopoulos, Powell, Narayana Kocherlakota Organizations: Service, Business, Bernstein Advisors, CNBC, Wall, University of Rochester
New York CNN —Stocks jumped Thursday morning as investors cheered the Federal Reserve’s eye-popping half-point interest rate cut. Tech stocks surged: Nvidia shares popped 4.8%, Tesla shares gained 5.4%, Meta Platforms shares rose 3.5% and Apple shares climbed 3.5%. The Fed on Wednesday cut rates by half a point, marking its first rate cut since the onset of the Covid pandemic and bringing rates down from a 23-year high. A large rate cut can be a double-edged sword for the economy. The Fed faced pressure to cut rates in July but held steady instead.
Persons: New York CNN — Stocks, Tesla, Jerome Powell, , Ronald Temple, Powell Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Dow, Nasdaq, Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Apple, Fed, Lazard Locations: New York, August’s
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Shaktikanta Das, Reserve Bank of India's GovernorCNBC's Tanvir Gill spoke to Shaktikanta Das, Reserve Bank of India's governor, in an exclusive interview for CNBC Conversations. He discussed the strength of the Indian Rupee, India's inflation outlook, as well as the RBI's interest rate considerations.
Persons: Shaktikanta Das, CNBC's Tanvir Gill Organizations: Reserve Bank, India's, CNBC
Oil prices fall as U.S. rate cut fails to boost market sentiment
  + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A pump jack operates in front of a drilling rig at sunset in an oil field in Midland, Texas. Oil prices fell in Asian trading on Thursday after a larger-than-expected Federal Reserve interest rate cut sparked concerns about the U.S. economy. The U.S. central bank cut interest rates by half a percentage point on Wednesday, suggesting the Fed saw a slowing job market. That view appeared to outweigh the boost that interest rate cuts usually bring to economic activity. China's industrial output growth also slowed to a five-month low last month, and retail sales and new home prices weakened further.
Persons: Tony Sycamore, heightening Organizations: Brent, Fed, ANZ, Citi, Shandong Yulong Petrochemical Locations: Midland , Texas, U.S, China, Shandong Yulong, Gaza
"You need to know that a rate cut is never bad for stocks, as long as it's telegraphed," he said. "A large rate cut, as long as it's communicated to the media with plenty of time in a considered way, is also acceptable." Investors were anticipating interest rate cuts for some time, with most convinced the Federal Reserve would issue a September cut, but unsure whether it would be by 25 or 50 basis points. By Thursday's close, Wall Street seemed more confident about the cut. Cramer added that a double rate cut means even more cash will flow in from the sidelines.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Thursday's, Cramer, you'll Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Fed, Big Tech Locations: homebuilding, cyclicals
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