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The stock market could face a 7% correction by mid-November, says Fundstrat's Mark Newton. AdvertisementThe stock market looks poised for a 7% correction by mid-November, according to technical analyst Mark Newton of Fundstrat. AdvertisementNewton is monitoring the 5,900 level on the S&P 500 as potential resistance for the index. The S&P 500 traded at around 5,850 on Friday. "This market has seemingly 'dodged a bullet' thus far during one of the historically worst periods during most election years.
Persons: Fundstrat's Mark Newton, , Mark Newton of, Newton, Tom Lee's Organizations: Investor, Service, Equity, Technology, RSI Locations: Newton, Mark Newton of Fundstrat
Earnings next week will be key to where stocks head from here. While roughly one-tenth of S & P 500 companies reported over the past week, about 20% of the broader index plans to report next week. He noted that the S & P 500 is trading at a 40% premium to its long-term P/E ratio, while tech stocks are trading at upwards of 60%. For the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S & P 500 , it's the first such streak going back to December 2023. Meanwhile, the equal-weighted S & P 500 slightly outpaced the market-cap weighted benchmark this week, a bullish signal for sectors such as health care.
Persons: Sam Stovall, Stovall, FactSet's John Butters, Butters, it's, Tesla, Lockheed Martin, Russell, Nelson Yu, Harker Organizations: U.S, CFRA Research, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Lockheed, GE Aerospace, Business Machines, General Motors, Verizon Communications, United Parcel Services, Southwest Airlines, Nvidia, Philadelphia Reserve, Chicago, PMI, New, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Locations: Independence, Philadelphia, . Kansas
The onshore yuan ticked 0.06% higher to 7.1199 per dollar, while its offshore counterpart rose 0.12% to 7.1282. Data on Thursday showed U.S. retail sales growth was higher than expected and the ECB cut interest rates by 25 basis points. "All of that has played in to a stronger dollar," said Jason Wong, senior strategist at BNZ in Wellington. The New Zealand dollar was similarly eyeing a 0.75% fall for the week and was little changed at $0.6063 in the Asia session. The U.S. dollar index hit a 2-1/2 month high of 103.87 on Thursday and is up nearly 0.8% forthe week thus far.
Persons: Donald Trump, Ho Woei Chen, Jason Wong, There's, Yahya Sinwar, Israel's, Benjamin Netanyahu, Sterling Organizations: European Central Bank, People's Bank of China, Securities, Fund, Insurance, ECB, Reuters, Trump, New Zealand, Bank of England, U.S Locations: Asia, China, Wellington, U.S, Israel, Gaza
But there has been a surge in actively managed ETFs as investors seek lower costs and more precision, experts say. Active ETFs represented just more than 2% of the U.S. ETF market at the beginning of 2019. There are a few reasons for the active ETF growth, experts say. Still, only a fraction of issuers have been successful in the active ETF market. Active ETFs allow 'tactical adjustments'While passive ETFs replicate an index, such as the S&P 500 , active managers aim to outperform a specific benchmark.
Persons: Morningstar, Stephen Welch, Welch, Jon Ulin Organizations: Getty, Exchange, U.S, Morningstar, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Ulin, Wealth Management Locations: Boca Raton , Florida
Howard Schnapp | Newsday | Getty ImagesThe tide could be turning for commercial real estate. That could give interest rate-sensitive sectors such as commercial real estate long-awaited positive momentum. While lower rates are not a "magic bullet," the easing of the Fed's monetary policy "lays the groundwork for a commercial real estate recovery," analysts wrote in a follow-up report in late September. More than $40 billion in transactions occurred during the second quarter, a 13.9% jump quarter over quarter, but still 9.4% lower year over year, according to real estate data intelligence firm Altus Group. While these dynamics could set the stage for a broader recovery, with some major subsectors such as commercial retail real estate picking up in tandem, the path forward will likely be uneven.
Persons: Howard Schnapp, Alan Todd, Todd, Willy Walker, Walker, Dunlop, what's, Wells, Wells Fargo, , Chad Littell, Littell Organizations: Newsday, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, CNBC, REIT, Real, Board, New York, U.S, Capital Locations: Melville , New York, Wells, U.S, Manhattan, Wells Fargo
The skyline of the central business district in Beijing on August 13, 2019. (Photo by WANG Zhao / AFP)Asia-Pacific markets opened mixed Friday, as investors awaited key economic data from China and assessed Japan's inflation numbers. China's third-quarter GDP is expected to come in at 4.5%, as estimated by economists in a Reuters poll, compared with 4.7% growth in the prior quarter. China is set to release its house prices index for September at 9:30 a.m. local time. Japan's headline inflation for September came in at 2.5%, while core CPI — which excludes fresh food prices — rose 2.4% year on year compared with Reuters estimates of 2.3%.
Persons: WANG Zhao Locations: Beijing, AFP, Asia, Pacific, China
The People's Bank of China triggered two market support programs after China announced economic data. China's economy grew 4.6% in the third quarter of this year, the country's statistics bureau announced as it touted a "stable growth trend." "The property market unsurprisingly remains the biggest drag on China's growth," wrote Song, adding that stabilization in the real estate market remains "elusive." China's economy is being dragged by factors including a property crisis, high youth unemployment, and deflation. He added that he expects Beijing to continue to do more to support growth so the economy can enter 2025 on better footing.
Persons: , Sheng Laiyun, China's, Lynn Song, Betty Wang, Larry Hu, Rajiv Biswas, who's, Wang Organizations: People's Bank of China, Service, Reuters, Greater China, ING, Oxford Economics, People's Bank of, Macquarie Group Locations: China, Greater, People's Bank of China, Beijing
As the fourth quarter ramps up, several stocks have room to appreciate in coming months, according to Jefferies. Heading into the end of the year, Jefferies has updated its list of stock recommendations it calls its "franchise picks," spotlighting high-conviction, buy-rated names. "Higher reinvestment rates are correlated with better returns," Jefferies added. Their average price target of almost $24 implies roughly 10% upside – less than the nearly 26% that would result if Jefferies' target of $27 is reached. And Jefferies' target of $295 implies more than 17% upside from the current price.
Persons: Jefferies, Morgan Stanley, Wells, , Johnson Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, JPMorgan, Consumer, Johnson, PepsiCo, Sysco, Jefferies, ConocoPhillips, Port, North Field, Oil, Procter, Gamble, Colgate Locations: Wells Fargo, Alaska, Port Arthur, Texas, Qatar, Houston, LSEG, U.S, , New Jersey, Kenvue
Markets: The S & P 500 is on pace for another record close and its sixth straight positive week. Financials also continued their strong run this week thanks to strong earnings from banks such as Club holding Morgan Stanley and other financial services companies. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, hasn't, Financials, Morgan Stanley, Danaher, we'll, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., ASML Holdings, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Nvidia, bellwether, Abbott Laboratories, UBS, Mizuho, . Energy, Texas, OPEC, International Energy Agency, Coterra Energy, Dow Jones, Dover, Honeywell, Jim Cramer's Charitable
Price of gold is proving an unstoppable force lately
  + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold recently regained momentum after the Federal Reserve began its easing cycle with a half-percentage point rate cut last month. However, the latest upturn comes despite rebounds in Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar too, which might be expected to take the wind from gold's sails. Higher yields typically make gold less attractive, as the metal doesn't offer any yield. The 10-year Treasury yield has soared to 4.08% from around 3.7% over the past month. The dollar index, which tracks the U.S. currency's performance against the euro, Japanese yen and others, is up nearly 3% over the past month.
Persons: Gold, Andrew Brenner, Tim Hayes, Ned Davis, Hayes Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, NatAlliance Securities, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Treasury Locations: NatAlliance
US stocks were mostly higher on Friday amid a string of solid third-quarter earnings reports. Netflix and Intuitive Surgical beat Wall Street estimates, boosting their stock prices to new record highs. 82% of S&P 500 companies that have reported earnings so far have surpassed Wall Street's profit estimates. AdvertisementUS stocks traded higher on Friday, with all three major averages at or near record highs as investors digested third-quarter earnings results. Intuitive Surgical also reported solid third-quarter earnings that beat Wall Street estimates for revenues and profits.
Persons: Organizations: Netflix, Service, Wall
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - OCTOBER 16: Traders and others work on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) floor in New York City. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. That's higher than both the 0.1% gain in August and the 0.3% Dow Jones forecast, according to the advance report. Meanwhile, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co's reported its third-quarter net revenue jumped 36% year on year, and revised its fourth-quarter revenue upward.
Persons: it's, Dow, Christine Lagarde's, Dow Jones Organizations: NEW, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, European Central Bank, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: New York City, U.S
CNN —Editor’s Note: One Small Thing is a new series to help you take a simple step toward a healthy, impactful goal. But a little more investment in your community may make a big difference, said Dr. Gail Saltz, clinical associate professor of psychiatry at the NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital. One in 5 adults in the United States reported feeling loneliness “a lot of the day yesterday,” according to Gallup data released Tuesday. Building back deeper, more intimate connections may feel hard to do quickly to address your loneliness, but turning your attention to invest in your community may be one small thing you can do to help, Saltz said. Even small daily interactions with strangers in a coffee shop can help boost your mood when you're feeling lonely.
Persons: Gail Saltz, Vivek Murthy, Dan Witters, Gemma Hughes, Saltz, they’ve, , John Duffy’s, ” Duffy, , ” Saltz, wera, ” Hughes, Duffy, they’re Organizations: CNN, Presbyterian Hospital, Gallup, Gallup National Health, University of Leicester School of Business, Invest, Getty, Engage Locations: United States, United Kingdom, Chicago
"It was for the ETF wrapper," she told CNBC on stage at the Permissionless Conference in Utah. The total market cap of all eleven spot bitcoin ETFs now tops $63 billion, with total flows of nearly $20 billion. Of the 80% of direct investors, Cohen told CNBC that 75% had never before owned an iShare, one of the best-known and largest ETF providers on the planet. "As it turns out, we have done a lot of education of crypto investors on the benefits of the ETP wrapper." Before the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission green-lit spot bitcoin funds in January, investors had a few ways to buy and custody cryptocurrencies.
Persons: Samara Cohen, Cohen, Bitcoin, Coinbase, bitcoin ETPs Organizations: BlackRock, CNBC, Permissionless Conference, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission Locations: U.S, Utah, Wall
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Markets rise on upbeat earningsU.S. stocks resumed their advance Wednesday, as Morgan Stanley and United Airlines earnings topped estimates. The ministry also announced that bank loans to developers will be speeded up and nearly double to 4 million trillion yuan by the end of 2024, from the 2.23 trillion yuan already approved. [PRO] A shining sector that's not tech nor utilitiesBig Tech stocks, fueled by excitement over generative artificial intelligence, have been responsible for most of this year's rally in the market. But there's a new group of stocks that's fast becoming one of the best-performing sectors for the year.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, it'd, CSAC Organizations: CNBC, United Airlines, CSI, Beijing, ECB, European Central Bank, Intel Intel, Cybersecurity Association of China, Officials, Big Tech Locations: Asia, Pacific
Dollar hovers near 11-week high, eyes on China property briefing
  + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Ahead of the press conference, the offshore yuan was last 0.04% higher at 7.1328 per dollar. The Australian dollar , often used as a liquid proxy for the Chinese yuan, fell 0.02% to $0.6665, languishing near a one-month low hit in the previous session. "Keeping a very close eye on China, waiting for yet another press conference which is probably going to be long in rhetoric and short in detail," said Rodrigo Catril, a senior currency strategist at National Australia Bank. In the broader market, the dollar was on the front foot, after having scaled an 11-week top against a basket of peers in the previous session. The dollar index was last steady at 103.51, having peaked at 103.60 in the previous session.
Persons: Rodrigo Catril, Sterling, Donald Trump, Thierry Wizman Organizations: Reserve, National Australia Bank, European Central Bank, Republican, FX, Macquarie, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Locations: U.S, Asia, China
Treasury yields rise as investors await key data
  + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( Sawdah Bhaimiya | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
ET, the 10-year Treasury yield was up by more than two basis points to 4.0415%. The 2-year Treasury yield was over one basis point higher to 3.9529%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher Thursday as investors weighed comments from Federal Reserve officials made throughout the week and awaited key economic data. Investors on Thursday looked to fresh key economic data which comes after the latest remarks from Fed officials about the potential path ahead for interest rates. The data comes after several Fed officials earlier this week hinted at further rate cuts to come.
Persons: Dow Jones, , Jeff Cox, Sophie Kiderlin Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank Locations: U.S
Stocks are starting to price in a Trump victory, possibly even a Republican sweep, according to JPMorgan. Take a look at the Dow Jones Industrial Average , which recently cleared the 43,000 milestone for the first time ever, or the S & P 500 , which surpassed 5,800. Meanwhile, U.S. banks, which are expected to face less regulatory scrutiny from Trump than under the Biden administration, have rallied. The SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE), has advanced 5.9% this month alone, and financials are the top-performing S & P 500 sector this month. KRE 1M mountain SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF over the past month.
Persons: Stocks, Donald Trump, Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, Biden, Trump, Panigirtzoglou, bitcoin Organizations: Republican, JPMorgan, Dow Jones, Trump, Regional Banking, U.S, Treasury, UST, flattish, White Locations: U.S, London, flattish U.S, DXY
Retail brokerage firm Robinhood is launching a new tool for more sophisticated traders as it looks for additional avenues for growth. The firm introduced Robinhood Legend, a desktop-based platform for active traders. So we set out to reimagine what a modern, intuitively designed active trading platform should look like, and built Robinhood Legend from the ground up so traders can do what they need in one place," Quirk said. Beyond the launch of Legend, Robinhood also said it will soon add futures trading and index options to its mobile platform. The new additions for Robinhood are another example of the firm looking to expand beyond its roots as a convenient platform for small-dollar traders.
Persons: Steve Quirk, " Quirk, Robinhood Organizations: Inc
HSAs require enrollment in a high-deductible health plan, suitable for healthy individuals. After 65, you can use your HSA money to cover any expense without incurring a penalty, but the funds are subject to income tax. You'll have to move your money from your HSA to your HSA investment account. Brent Weiss, a certified financial planner, told BI that he invests his HSA money in a target-date fund: "I'm not getting fancy. Not touching your HSA funds means covering your medical expenses out of pocket, which is what Grant and the Schlagbaums do.
Persons: , Amberly Grant, Grant, she's maxed, Brennan, Erin Schlagbaum, HSAs, it's, it'll, Brent Weiss, I'm, you've Organizations: Service, IRA, IRS
A customer during the grand re-opening of a Century 21 department store in New York, US, on Tuesday, May 16, 2023. Retail sales increased a seasonally adjusted 0.4% on the month, up from the unrevised 0.1% gain in August and better than the 0.3% Dow Jones forecast, according to the advanced report. Excluding autos, sales accelerated 0.5%, better than the forecast for just a 0.1% rise. The numbers are adjusted for seasonal factors but not inflation, which rose 0.2% on the month as measured by the consumer price index. Despite the decline in initial filings, continuing claims, which run a week behind, edged higher to 1.867 million.
Persons: Dow Jones, Helene, Milton Organizations: Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Dow, Labor Department, Stock, Boeing Locations: New York, Florida, North Carolina, U.S, Michigan
Nvidia 's rally to a record intraday high on Thursday briefly helped lift the S & P 500 into uncharted waters, leaving investors to wonder what's next for the artificial intelligence trade. The S & P 500 broad market index also touched a record high during the day, mostly driven by strong semiconductor and financial stocks. Nvidia's stock, which scored an all-time closing high on Monday, has added 1.6% so far this week. NVDA 1D mountain Nvidia, 1-day chart Martin likes the AI trade looking ahead, especially as year-end — typically a strong time for the market — nears. And then they'll try and take some profits, and then they'll try and buy it back a little cheaper, and then it'll go back up again."
Persons: what's, Jensen, Tom Martin, Martin, they'll, it'll Organizations: Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor, Investments Locations: Taiwan, China
Since then, economists have been expecting an additional stimulus package worth up to 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion) to restore bullishness in the world’s second-largest economy. Chinese Housing Minister Ni Hong attends a press conference on the property sector in Beijing, China, on October 17, 2024. Widespread concernThe ailing property sector is widely believed to lie at the root of China’s numerous economic woes. It also cut the reserve requirement ratio for banks by half a percentage point, which would free up about 1 trillion yuan ($142 billion) for new lending. The resulting crisis has resulted in a precipitous fall in real estate prices and loss of confidence among consumers.
Persons: Xi Jinping, Housing Ministry didn’t, Larry Hu, , , Ni, Minister Ni Hong, Florence Lo, Xiao Yuanqi, Pan Gongsheng Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Housing Ministry, Macquarie, CNN, ” Investors, Ministry of Housing, Ni Hong, Minister, Administration Locations: China, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Beijing
China vowed more financial support for real estate projects that fall under its so-called whitelist and to speed up banks lending of 4 trillion yuan ($561.8 billion) for such projects, according to the nation's housing ministry. A total of 2.23 trillion yuan has been approved in loans to whitelisted developers, and that figure is expected to exceed 4 trillion yuan by the end of this year, according to a senior official from the financial regulator. Real estate was also the leading gainer in Mainland China's CSI 300, advancing by nearly 5%. Days later, officials in a top-level meeting, chaired by Chinese president Xi Jinping, pledged to "halt the real estate market decline and spur a stable recovery." More than 50 cities across China had introduced policies to boost the real estate market, according to Chinese state media citing the housing ministry.
Persons: Ni, HSMPI, Pan Gongsheng, Xi Jinping, Goldman Sachs, , — CNBC's Evelyn Cheng Organizations: National Financial Regulatory Administration, Investors, China's Ministry of Finance, Mainland, China's CSI, People Bank of China, National Bureau, Statistics Locations: China, Beijing, China's, Guangzhou, Shanghai, Shenzhen
CNN —Already multitool smart devices, Apple Watches added another buzzworthy feature last month: an app to detect sleep apnea. The sleep apnea notification is available on the latest Series 10 Apple Watches and some older models after a software update. In order to detect sleep apnea, the watch measures breathing disturbances during sleep over 30 days. But the US Food and Drug Administration approved marketing of the sleep apnea feature on Apple Watches in mid-September. The Apple Watch has a few of these capabilities, but the company did not factor them into the sleep apnea feature.
Persons: It’s, , Robson Capasso, ” Capasso, Erring, Apple, Jing Wang, Wang, ” Wang, Eric Topol, , ” Topol, Capasso, Dr, Sanjay Gupta, they’re Organizations: CNN, Apple, Stanford University School of Medicine, Food and Drug Administration, Apple Watch, Scripps, Research, Get CNN, CNN Health Locations: Sinai
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