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Search resuls for: "FiveThirtyEight"


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US aid to Ukraine could be in jeopardy if Republicans win the House in the midterms. Several GOP lawmakers and candidates have signaled they would support reducing or cutting off Ukraine aid. In April, 10 House Republicans voted against a bill allowing the Biden administration to more easily lend military equipment to Ukraine. The following month, 57 House Republicans voted "no" on a nearly $40 billion aid package for Ukraine. Some GOP opposition to continuing aid to Ukraine is tied to Trump's "America First" policy vis-a-vis foreign affairs.
WASHINGTON—Infusions of ad spending for GOP candidates and persistent voter anxiety over high inflation have brought new momentum to the Republican Party in House and Senate races, analysts say, just as early voting has begun for the midterm elections in many states. A Democratic lead of about 2 percentage points on the generic ballot—the question of whether voters plan to back a Democrat or Republican for Congress—has been cut by more than half since late September, the FiveThirtyEight average of polling results finds. Democratic leads in many Senate races have declined, according to aggregated polls, and Democratic candidates now trail in surveys in Wisconsin and Nevada, where they were once ahead. Control of both chambers hangs in the balance.
Tim Ryan blasted JD Vance for repeatedly invoking Nancy Pelosi during their Senate debate on Monday. Ryan at one point told Vance to "move back to San Francisco" and run against the House Speaker. "JD, you keep talking about Nancy Pelosi. If you want to run against Nancy Pelosi, move back to San Francisco and run against Nancy Pelosi," the Democratic lawmaker said. "Yet he votes and agrees with Nancy Pelosi 100% of the time.
Donald Trump lashed out at GOP candidate Joe O'Dea for listing others he wants to see run in 2024. O'Dea is running for Senate in Colorado, a race that could break the 50-50 Senate stalemate. O'Dea said he would do his best to prop up candidates like Republican Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina, Florida Gov. The Trump-O'Dea feud only benefits incumbent Democratic Sen. Michael Bennet, who pollsters at FiveThirtyEight predict will clinch a fourth term. Recent polls have shown O'Dea making that re-election bid more interesting than expected, keeping Bennet's lead to just single digits in a state where President Joe Biden beat Trump by 13 points.
She also said that the GOP will "retire" House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. She told Decker she thinks the Senate will be very tight. The RNC chair added she's optimistic about Pennsylvania Senate candidate Dr. Mehmet Oz, despite him trailing Democratic candidate John Fetterman in recent polling. When asked about the allegations surrounding Herschel Walker, the Georgia Republican nominee for Senate, McDaniel told Decker he's been "very forthcoming" about his struggles with mental health. According to FiveThirtyEight, Republicans are favored to win the House while Democrats are slightly favored to win the Senate.
Following the 2007-09 financial crisis when Democrats cracked down on banks, lenders have typically looked to business-friendly Republicans for support in Congress. And of the top-20 congressional recipients of bank PAC donations this cycle, 10 are Democrats compared with six in 2020, three in 2018, and one ahead of the 2016 election. Reuters GraphicsThe shift in giving patterns shows how banks are rethinking their allegiances amid increased political partisanship. To be sure, the party in power commonly enjoys a bounce in donations and banks are also spreading their bets ahead of a tightening contest, said Ballentine and the other sources. Nine of the top 10 recipients of industry donations are Republicans, including Representative Patrick McHenry who is likely to chair the House finance panel if Republicans win that chamber.
Bush stored documents at a former bowling alley turned Chinese restaurant. Trump said many other presidents stored millions of pages of documents in warehouses, "some of them without front doors that worked." Bush, "took millions and millions of documents to a former bowling alley pieced together with what was then an old and broken Chinese restaurant. Michael Cohen, a former lawyer for Trump, recently said the former president held onto documents for his own personal gain. Representatives for the George and Barbara Bush Foundation and Trump did not respond to Insider's request for comment.
Raphael Warnock called out Herschel Walker after a campaign appearance on Friday, per the AJC. Warnock said that Walker's campaign tumult centered on abortion shows "a disturbing pattern." We've seen a disturbing pattern, and it raises real questions about who is actually ready to represent the people of Georgia," Warnock said of Walker. Georgia Republican Senate nominee Herschel Walker. He alluded to what he depicted as a Democratic-led smear campaign during a Thursday press coverage in Georgia.
Flash-forward to today, at the peak of the midterm elections’ race, and the political landscape around reproductive freedom and abortion rights has massively shifted. The Supreme Court’s stunning decision to overturn Roe v. Wade in June swept away abortion rights, allowing the GOP to start making good on the draconian abortion measures they’ve long been cheerleading. And those voters are increasingly in the abortion rights camp. ​​According to Gallup, women support abortion rights by a nearly 30-point margin. President Bill Clinton preferred to discuss abortion as “safe, legal and rare,” a catchphrase that many Democrats adopted later.
A seemingly dormant Mehmet Oz campaign has struggled to unify the MAGA base in Pennsylvania. "Since Dr. Oz's victory remarks on June 9th, he has been to over 75 events," Oz campaign spokesperson Brittany Yanick told Insider in a statement. The Oz campaign would not say when it has plans to launch new TV ads. The Vance campaign responded to Insider's request for comment by attacking Rep. Tim Ryan. "It's why Democrats have a chance of holding onto the Senate," he told Insider, "is just the horrible class of candidates they've nominated."
Subalternii săi au descris starea de spirit a președintelui din ultimele zile – Trump este furios și izolat la Casa Albă. Va efectua mai multe convorbiri telefonice și va avea mai multe întâlniri”, se arată în programul oficial al președintelui SUA. El spune că administrația sa a „restabilit puterea americană în țară și leadershipul american în străinătate” și „a construit cea mai mare economie din istoria lumii”. „Ca urmare a diplomației noastre îndrăznețe și a realismului bazat pe principii, am realizat o serie de acorduri istorice de pace în Orientul Mijlociu. El adaugă că este „foarte mândru” că a fost primul președinte din ultimele decenii care „nu a început noi războaie”.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Președintele Trump, SUA . Trump, Biden, Mike Pence, Gallup, FiveThirtyEight Organizations: Congresul, Albă, CNN, Pew Research Locations: Congresul american, american, Hill, Florida, Washington, SUA, Capitoliu, străinătate, Statele Unite, Chinei, Orientul Mijlociu, Orient Mijlociu
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