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(This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. Worldwide Exchange airs at 5 a.m. Worldwide Exchange Word of the Day: Earnings Stephanie Link of Hightower believes Q3 earnings will be better than LSEG estimates of a 5% increase year over year; seeing potential for an 8-10% increase. "This gives it some room to outperform in the final quarter," Baruch said on Worldwide Exchange. (This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers.
Persons: Stephanie Link, Hightower, Bill Baruch, Baruch, Wells Fargo Organizations: PRO, Worldwide, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Blue, Wolfe Research, Dow Transports, Dow Jones Transportation, Citi, Logistics
New York CNN —Hopes for avoiding a recession are growing on Wall Street. Now, investors are looking to the upcoming earnings season for clues about the US economy’s health. The earnings season begins in earnest Friday with quarterly updates from big banks including JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and BlackRock. Wall Street will also parse the September Consumer Price Index report and wholesale inflation figures due later this week. Wall Street will also eye developments from the tech companies whose mammoth stock returns have helped power this year’s bull market.
Persons: Motors, , , Sarah Henry, Wells, Mark Malek, Siebert, Dave Sekera Organizations: New, New York CNN, Economic, PepsiCo, Conagra Brands, Logan Capital, JPMorgan Chase, Federal Reserve, Tech, , FactSet, Apple, Nvidia, Communication, Morningstar Locations: New York, Wells Fargo, BlackRock
CNBC's Jim Cramer said Wednesday that as earnings season begins, it's wise to keep in mind that sometimes bad news is baked into a stock's price before the report. Cramer pointed to Wall Street's reaction to PepsiCo in the lead-up to, and wake of, its Tuesday report. He noted how shares dipped but managed to recover even though the company posted a revenue miss. While the snack and beverage maker did miss on revenue, it managed to beat earnings expectations. The company lowered its full-year outlook for organic revenue, citing weak demand in North America as shoppers buy fewer snacks.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Morgan Stanley, FactSet, Stocks Organizations: PepsiCo, Citi, Bank of America, RBC Capital, Barclays, Quaker Oats Locations: North America
Meanwhile, Jefferies began coverage of Reddit with a buy rating and a price target of $90. Champine said the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates was a driving force for the price target changes. Analyst William Kerr initiated coverage of the pet ecommerce retailer with a buy rating and $38 price target. RBLX YTD mountain RBLX in 2024 — Alex Harring 5:50 a.m.: Citi says UPS is a buy Buy the dip on UPS shares, according to Citi. Analyst Ariel Rosa initiated the delivery giant with a buy rating and a price target of $162.
Persons: Jefferies, Laura Champine, Champine, Helene, Milton, Lowe's, — Alex Harring, Piper Sandler downgrades Blackstone Piper Sandler, Crispin Love, Love, Blackstone, Morgan Stanley, Sanjit Singh, Singh, Alex Harring, TD Cowen, William Kerr, Kerr, Benjamin Soff, Soff, Ken Gawrelski, Gawrelski, Roblox, Ariel Rosa, Rosa, — Fred Imbert, John Colantuoni, Colantuoni, EBITDA Organizations: CNBC, Wednesday, Citi, UPS, Capital, Federal Reserve, Blackstone, Industry, Deutsche Bank, New York Times, Amazon Logistics, Walmart Locations: Wells, China, Tuesday's
GM's investor day showcased many of the company's current achievements, but did not provide much insight on strategy," Bernstein analyst Daniel Roeska wrote Wednesday in an investor note. "GM's Investor Day yesterday didn't provide much in the way of sharp shifts in strategy. Through the first half of 2024, GM earned $8.3 billion in EBIT-adjusted and generated $6.4 billion in adjusted automotive free cash flow. GM's 2024 financial guidance includes anticipated capital spending of between $10.5 billion and $11.5 billion. GM's operations in China have experienced a decade-long slide in earnings, and executives said they are discussing restructuring options with their China-based partners.
Persons: Rebecca Cook, Mary Barra, Mark Reuss, Stellantis, Bernstein, Daniel Roeska, Dan Levy, John Murphy, Levy, Paul Jacobson, Jacobson, GM's, we're, Barra, Ultium, Kurt Kelty, " Jacobson, Reuss, that's, you'll, Tesla's Organizations: General Motors, Reuters DETROIT —, GM, Ford Motor, Ford, Barclays, BofA Securities, Wall Street, EV tailwinds, North America, LG Energy, ICE, GMC, China Locations: Detroit, Spring Hill , Tennessee, North, Cruise, China
Norwegian Cruise Line – Shares popped 10% on the heels of a Citi upgrade to buy from neutral. Citi said the company should see significant growth in earnings per share that can drive earnings upside and expand the margin. Reddit – The social forum stock gained close to 2% after Jefferies began coverage on the name with a buy rating. Helen of Troy – The housewares stock soared more than 19% after the company's second-quarter earnings beat Wall Street's expectations. Chewy – The pet product online retailer saw shares rising 3% after TD Cowen initiated coverage on the stock with a buy rating.
Persons: Jefferies, John Colantuoni, Rio, GitLab, Morgan Stanley, Helen of Troy –, Helen of Troy, FactSet, TD Cowen, Chewy, , Alex Harring, Yun Li, Lisa Kailai Han, Jesse Pound Organizations: Cruise, Citi, Bayer – U.S, Washington Supreme, Sky Valley Education Center, Monsanto, Rio Tinto, Boeing –, Boeing, Department, Google Locations: Washington, Rio, U.S
The third quarter earnings season will take its first big steps this week, but Wall Street has already been dialing back expectations for months. That shift could be a sign that Wall Street is losing confidence in corporate America. 7 and Other 493 earnings are expected to slow in 3Q, but Other 493 earnings are expected to re-accelerate to low-to-mid teens growth starting in 4Q, while Mag. PepsiCo reported mixed results for the third quarter on Tuesday, as the food and beverage company beat on earnings but saw softer sales numbers. Delta Airlines and JPMorgan Chase are some of the heavy hitters on deck for later in the week.
Persons: Ohsung Kwon, Kwon Organizations: Bank of America, 4Q, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Apple, PepsiCo, Delta Airlines, JPMorgan Chase Locations: America
Following the trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will no longer own a position in Procter & Gamble. Shares of P & G have had a good run this year, rallying 14% on top of three dividend payments collected along the way. As we pointed out in a recent trim , P & G rose to new highs at the start of September when the market rotated into defensive stocks. Against that backdrop, we see less need to hold onto traditional slowdown stocks like P & G that don't have enough growth to satisfy their valuations. Due to this premium, we don't think P & G has the potential upside we seek in the portfolio.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, , Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Procter, Procter & Gamble, Federal Reserve, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: Procter &
Goldman Sachs thinks that U.S.-traded shares of Barclays still have a long growth runway ahead, even after already beating the market so far in 2024. The firm initiated coverage of the banking stock with a buy rating and a 290 pence per share price target on Tuesday. Goldman analyst Chris Hallam forecasts that Barclays could grow its earnings per share twice as fast as peer firms through 2027, while a steep discount on the stock gives investors an attractive entry point. ""The Investment Bank [portion of Barclays' business] is at-scale but currently under-earning," Hallam said. Hallam noted Barclays stock currently trades at roughly six times its 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio, compared to the wider group of banks covered by Goldman that trade at seven times forward P/E.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Chris Hallam, Hallam Organizations: Barclays, U.S, BCS, ADRs, Investment Locations: American, stoke, reallocation
The Fed is done cutting interest rates for the rest of the year, according to Ed Yardeni. Fears of a recession have been almost completely eliminated, the market vet said in a note. The no-show Fed-triggered recession will remain a no-show, especially now that the Fed has started to lower the FFR even though it isn't warranted by the performance of the economy," Yardeni wrote. I think it broadens out from the Magnificent Seven to the S&P 493," Yardeni added, speaking to Bloomberg on Monday. "We're going to have another quarter where I think earnings will go to a record-high in the third quarter."
Persons: Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, , landers, they're Organizations: Service, Reserve, Yardeni, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Services, Institution of Supply Management, Atlanta Fed, Fed, Bloomberg, Investor
The bank raised its 2024 S & P 500 target to 6,000 from 5,600. Goldman also raised its 12-month S & P 500 target to 6,300 from 6,000. But Goldman thinks ultimately earnings growth will lift markets further before the year is out. The S & P 500 is in the red for October so far. Analysts polled by FactSet expect S & P 500 earnings grew for a fifth straight quarter.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, That's, Goldman, David Kostin, Kostin, Wells, Ken Gawrelski Organizations: Evercore ISI, CNBC, Federal Reserve, FactSet, North America Retail Locations: Friday's
Stocks in the infrastructure sector aren't always top of mind. But investors who want to diversify their portfolios away from those popular names and themes can consider the infrastructure theme, says Andrew Slimmon, senior portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management. Stock pick Slimmon is bullish on equipment rental company United Rentals . URI YTD mountain YTD shares of United Rentals Shares in United Rentals trade on the New York Stock Exchange, and are up over 40% year to date, and over 80% over the last 12 months. KeyBanc Capital Markets' analysts identified United Rentals as "interesting acquirers," citing its "strong history of driving solid returns through large deals each year."
Persons: Andrew Slimmon, Slimmon, Hurricane Helene, It's, Florida's Organizations: Nvidia, Novo Nordisk, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, United Rentals, New York Stock Exchange, KeyBanc, Markets Locations: U.S, Hurricane, North Carolina , Georgia, Texas, Massachusetts, Bend, Connecticut, North America, Europe, Australia, New Zealand
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Apple , Amazon , DuPont , and Constellation Brands all saw their ratings lowered by different Wall Street analysts. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Ben Reitzes, Melius, Duckhorn, Wells, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Nvidia, Devices, Broadcom, Melius Research, VanEck Semiconductor, AMD, Apple, DuPont, Constellation Brands, Wall, Morning, Constellation, PepsiCo, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: NAPA, Wells Fargo
Emerging markets on the MSCI list include Brazil, China, Greece, India, Indonesia, South Korea, Malaysia, Mexico, the Philippines, Qatar and Thailand. One fund manager, however, is looking outside that list, at an "up and coming emerging market and the next dragon in Asia" — Vietnam. "It's in a sweet spot in terms of economic growth, urbanization, labor market participation and having the right government policy. In spite of its strong growth, Vietnam is still not part of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index. A 'big theme' Mafli is betting on "high growth sectors" and stocks "doing well in underperforming sectors."
Persons: Li Mafli, Eric Sturdza, Mafli —, Mafli Organizations: Eric Sturdza Investments, Vietnam Prosperity, CNBC Pro, General Statistics Office, International Monetary Fund, FTSE, Index, Mobile World Investment, Infrastructure Locations: Brazil, China, Greece, India, Indonesia, South Korea, Malaysia, Mexico, Philippines, Qatar, Thailand, Asia, Vietnam
AdvertisementCorporate earnings are on pace for their best non-pandemic year since 2018, and market strategists expect the party to continue in the upcoming earnings season and into 2025. "There's not always a one-for-one relationship between economic growth and earnings growth," Reynolds said. "You can still see earnings growth at a pretty robust level, even if economic growth moderates to some extent. "That could be a little bit of a headwind for the market," Saglimbene said. That's a normal earnings growth kind of environment, and I think that's enough to continue to push the market higher."
Persons: , Mike Reynolds, Anthony Saglimbene, He's, Saglimbene, Joe Quinlan — who's, Bank of America —, Quinlan, Reynolds, it's, Andrew Slimmon, Jim Baird, Plante, Michael Smith, Smith, There's, Slimmon, he's Organizations: Service, Business, Ameriprise, Merrill, Private Bank, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Financial, Allspring Global Investments, Bears Locations: what's
What a hot job market means for inflation
  + stars: | 2024-10-06 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
New York CNN —The US job market is still piping hot. That comes after the Federal Reserve last month cut interest rates by a jumbo half-point, signaling that it is turning its attention from tamping down inflation to keeping the job market steady. But some warn that a still-strong labor market could make it more difficult for inflation to continue cooling. That’s because a low unemployment rate and hot job market underline a strong American consumer, whose spending helps drive up the cost of goods and services. Consumer inflation eased to its slowest annual pace since February 2021 in August, continuing a trend of cooling down in recent months.
Persons: FactSet, , Seema Shah, , Gina Bolvin Organizations: New, New York CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Investors, , Fed, Asset Management, Labor Statistics, Bolvin Wealth Management Group, International Longshoremen’s Association, United States Maritime Alliance Locations: New York, July’s, Israel, Iran, Russia, Ukraine
Investors expect S&P 500 earnings growth of 4.6% as the stock market trades near record highs. Key themes to watch for include AI adoption, consumer health, and the impact of lower interest rates. AdvertisementEarnings season is fast approaching, and investors have a lot to be on the lookout for as companies report third-quarter results. AdvertisementIn addition to the actual earnings figures, investors will be monitoring key themes as company executives offer guidance during earnings calls. Hainlin said he is encouraged by continued growth in consumer spending as credit card defaults "are within normal levels" and the holiday shopping season is right around the corner.
Persons: Wells, , Michael Dickson, Tom Hainlin, they're, John Belton, There's, Dickson, delinquencies, Hainlin Organizations: PepsiCo, JPMorgan, Service, Wells, Investments, Business, Wall Street, Bank Wealth Management, Aerospace, Defense, Consumer, Federal Reserve Locations: Wells Fargo, FactSet
One financial firm is trying to capitalize on preferred stocks – which carry more risks than bonds, but aren't as risky as common stocks. Infrastructure Capital Advisors Founder and CEO Jay Hatfield manages the Virtus InfraCap U.S. Preferred Stock ETF (PFFA) . Since its May 2018 inception, the Virtus InfraCap U.S. Preferred Stock ETF is down almost 9%.
Persons: Jay Hatfield, we're, CNBC's, Hatfield Organizations: Infrastructure Capital, Virtus InfraCap U.S, Preferred Stock ETF, SLM Corporation, Preferred
Despite the major indexes trading near their all-time highs, there are still plenty of stocks that JPMorgan is bearish on in the coming quarter. Against this backdrop, JPMorgan surveyed its analysts for their top short ideas, or stocks that might underperform going into the fourth quarter. Shares have risen 9% in 2024, leading to what JPMorgan analyst Michael Rehaut believes is an expensive valuation. JPMorgan analyst Kenneth Goldman also has an underweight rating on Beyond Meat . "Plant-based meat continues to struggle as the fad fades," the analyst wrote.
Persons: Stocks, Stanley Black, Decker, Michael Rehaut, Kenneth Goldman, Stephen Tusa, Mark Strouse Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal, Traders, Rockwell Automation, ROK, FuelCell Energy Locations: , underinvestment
"Maybe that weight loss product (by United Laboratories) works, maybe it doesn't. United Laboratories' price-to-earnings of 5.8 times is a fraction of the 34.3 times that Novo Nordisk is trading at, Peche added. [United Laboratories] is making smooth progress in R & D and targets to launch Liraglutide in 2024. Their comments follow United Laboratories' "faster than expected earnings" growth in the first half of the year. Analysts' average price target on United Laboratories is 12.95 Hong Kong dollars, giving it 28.2% potential upside.
Persons: Sean Peche, it's, Peche, there's, that's, Eli Lilly, Amgen, Carol Dou, Sunny Chen, UOB Kay Hian, bode Organizations: Novo Nordisk, Ranmore Fund Management, United Laboratories, Pfizer, AstraZeneca, Global Equity Fund, Hong, Hong Kong bourse, HK Locations: Hong Kong, Novo, Europe, U.S
Hedge fund manager Dan Niles is particularly bullish on one tech stock going in to 2025. That stock is Meta Platforms — the tech giant behind social media platforms Facebook and Instagram as well as instant messaging app WhatsApp. META YTD mountain Year-to-date shares in Meta Platforms Meta is among the so-called "Magnificent Seven" stocks that several investors have been looking at favorably this year. Meta's "really the one that's using AI the best internally," Niles noted. 'Premium name' In addition to Meta, Niles is also keeping a watch on chipmaker Nvidia .
Persons: Dan Niles, Niles, CNBC's, Jensen Huang Organizations: Facebook, Niles Investment Management, Meta, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, U.S
The two-year-old bull market in stocks could last for another year, NDR strategists said. Median gains in the third year of a bull market are about 13%, the firm said in its analysis. AdvertisementThe latest bull market in stocks may still have a long life ahead of it, according to Ned Davis Research. In one instance, the bull market ended after the Fed reversed its rate cut decision, spooking investors. The S&P 500 has gained 60% since the index entered bull market territory in October 2022.
Persons: That's, , Ned Davis Organizations: Service, Ned Davis Research, NDR Locations: Europe
CNN —September’s jobs report, due out Friday morning, is expected to show that the US labor market has slowed somewhat but remains on solid footing. While September’s employment data is expected to stay relatively tame, the same can’t be said for the October jobs report, which is set to be released on November 1, just days before the presidential election. The strikes and hurricane-related effects “are not going to permanently alter the trajectory of the labor market; but September is probably our last clean reading on the labor market for a while,” Ryan Sweet, chief US economist at Oxford Economics, told CNN earlier this week. The August jobs report, which showed better-than-expected estimated 142,000 payroll gains and a drop in the unemployment rate, went a long way to quell those fears. It showed that the jobs market is in “stasis,” Wells Fargo economists wrote in a note issued Tuesday.
Persons: bode, Lydia Boussour, ” Ryan Sweet, Helene, , Erica Groshen, They’ve, , Andrew Challenger, Wells, Noah Yosif, ’ Sweet, Ejindu Ume, “ We’re, ” Ume Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, Boeing, Gulf Coasts, Oxford Economics, of Labor Statistics, Cornell University School of Industrial and Labor Relations, Employers, Challenger, Labor Department, Pantheon, Labor, BLS, , American Staffing Association, Oxford, Miami University in Locations: EY, Hurricane, East, Gulf, Miami University in Ohio
This latest bull run has been strong, even by historical standards. The broad market index has also reached a record above 5,700 — with some on the Street expecting it to top 6,000 before year-end. The bull market will be two later this month. .SPX mountain 2022-09-30 SPX since Q4 2022 The first: "The disinflation that has defined the cyclical bull needs to remain in place," said Clissold. The second element needed for the bull run to carry on is a successful soft landing.
Persons: Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Clissold Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Fed, JPMorgan
Chip insiders have stepped up their sales of company stock this year as AI-driven demand for processing power has propelled the sector's outperformance. Huang remains Nvidia's largest individual shareholder with around 3.5% of company shares outstanding, according to data from FactSet. In all, NVDA insiders disclosed around $960 million in stock sales during the third quarter, according to data collected by VerityData. Overall, 177 chip company insiders sold stock in the third quarter, down from a recent high of 245 in Q2 of 2024, according to the Washington Service. They sold a collective 12.7 million shares in Q3, a slight increase from Q2 but just below the 13.6 million shares sold in Q1.
Persons: Jensen Huang, Huang, Tench Coxe, Coxe, Hock Tan, Tan, Verity, Richard Wallace, Bren Higgins Organizations: Washington Service, Nvidia, VanEck Semiconductor, VerityData, Broadcom, YTD, KLA Corp, Texas Instruments, SEC Locations: FactSet
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