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Eye-Popping Yields Mask Paltry Returns From These Funds
  + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( Spencer Jakab | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
Traders are piling into 0DTE options—a cheap, fast, but risky way to bet on the market that offers the chance of explosive returns if those bets are correct. We’ll explain their rise and their effect on the stock market. Photo: Robert MachadoFor conservative income investors, some new funds look too good to be true. Touting annual distribution rates of 50% or more, they generate cash by selling options contracts on some of the most speculative parts of the stock market. The good news is that the exchange-traded funds don’t carry the risk of instant ruin that sellers of the derivatives can face.
Persons: Robert Machado
For its biggest banks, however, there's a hitch: a generation of professional front-line staff have little experience with rising interest rates. The 38 members, which include credit dealers and data scientists, work to improve coordination between retail and wholesale divisions, as higher rates are expected to fuel trading activities. Still, if higher rates are new to most bankers, so they are for their clients, who have for years enjoyed rock bottom rates in Japan. "Almost no front-line bankers have experienced short-term rates above 0.5% as Japan last saw such rates in the 1990s," he said. "I think there are a lot of scepticism among front-line bankers over whether they can really increase their lending rates."
Persons: Masahiro Minami, they've, Izuru Kato, Kato, Satoru Yamamoto, Atsushi Kikuchi, Tokyo Tanshi's Kato, Makiko Yamazaki, Ritsuko Shimizu, David Dolan Organizations: MUFG Bank, TOKYO, Resona Holdings, Reuters, Bank, Mitsubishi, Daiwa Securities, Mizuho Financial, Mizuho, Thomson Locations: Japan, Tokyo
Central bank blunders undermine tough rate talk
  + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( Francesco Guerrera | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +8 min
Comments by central bankers underline their desire to keep interest rates high until price growth quiesces. Policymakers’ recent mistakes mean they will struggle to convince investors their tough talk is real. U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell says his fellow policymakers are “not thinking about rate cuts at all”. In May, after another U.S. regional bank failure, markets concluded that the Fed’s rate hike at the beginning of that month would be its last. Respected central bankers might be able to convince markets that these numbers don’t portend imminent rate cuts.
Persons: Jay Powell, Christine Lagarde, Andrew Bailey, Powell, backtrack, , Lagarde, Treasuries, BoE, Bailey, Ben Bernanke, Jacob Frenkel, Peter Thal Larsen, Oliver Taslic, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, Traders, U.S . Federal, European Central Bank, Bank of England, titans, Deutsche Bank, Treasury, Reuters Graphics Reuters, LSEG, Silicon Valley Bank, Fed, ECB, Bank of Israel, Federal Reserve, European, Thomson Locations: Silicon, Bailey, United States, Ukraine, Central
Options strategists believe market gyrations may stay subdued for some time - potentially smoothing the way for further gains in equities. The S&P 500 is up 19% year-to-date, following a 9% gain in November - its best monthly performance since July 2022. Since the VIX tends to move inversely to stocks, market participants watch it closely as an indicator of investor sentiment and positioning. Among the factors closely watched by market participants are the funds that take their signals from market volatility, selling when volatility picks up and buying when it subsides. History also shows that once volatility expectations become subdued, they can linger at low levels for a while.
Persons: Lucas Jackson, Ilya Feygin, Nomura, Charlie McElligott, Brent Kochuba, Cantor Fitzgerald, Eric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald’s, Johnston, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, Grant McCool Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, Monday, WallachBeth, Nomura Securities, , Thomson
Forex swings will upend lucrative yen carry trade
  + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Francesco Guerrera | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
But as central banks start moving in the opposite direction, those “carry trades” will become a lot riskier. Notably those who bet against its government bonds in a trade so bad it became known as the “widow maker”. Foreign exchange traders beg to differ: the carry trade has been a sure-fire money maker this year. That’s due to the huge gap in short-term interest rates between Japan, where they are -0.1%, and other countries. Reuters GraphicsThe most popular carry trade with yen has been into U.S. dollars .
Persons: , , Una Galani, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, Federal Reserve, Deutsche Bank, LSEG, Bank of America, U.S, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, Japan, Colombia, Mexico, Brazil, Ukraine
VIX options contracts averaged nearly 760,000 daily, surpassing the record set in 2017, according to Cboe Global Markets (CBOE.Z), data as of Nov. 27. Such investors are "looking at trading VIX options as a way to potentially monetize their thinking", he said. Reuters GraphicsThe rise in VIX options trading is a change from 2022 when investors were reducing equities exposure and hoarding cash, according to CBOE data. With the VIX averaging 17 this year, VIX options' trading volume as a share of overall options volume is at 1.76%, the highest since 2020 - a much more volatile year when the VIX averaged 29, according to a Reuters analysis based on Trade Alert data. Timing profit-taking on VIX options in an environment where jumps in the volatility index are fleeting can be difficult, said Roni Israelov, chief investment officer at NDVR.
Persons: Carlo Allegri, Mandy Xu, That's, Joe Ferrara, JJ Kinahan, Seth Hickle, Roni Israelov, Laura Matthews, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Megan Davies, Chizu Organizations: New York Stock, REUTERS, . Federal, Cboe Global, Gateway Investment Advisers, Reuters, Trade, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Indiana, New York
Features include the ability to choose from 6,000 U.S. stocks and 24-hour trading five days a week. Robinhood currently offers 24-hour trading in the U.S., allowing trades to happen outside 9:30 a.m. Robinhood won't offer U.K. stocks to begin with but will look to add them as it brings more products into the platform. Jordan Sinclair, Robinhood's U.K. chief, said he expects 24-hour trading to be popular, as it will let users trade on market-moving news. Dan Moczulski, U.K. managing director of EToro, a rival stock trading platform, said the arrival of more competition in the retail trading market marks "an exciting time for the industry."
Persons: Rafael Henrique, Robinhood, Jordan Sinclair, Sinclair, Tenev, Dan Moczulski, Moczulski, Vlad Tenev, We've Organizations: Getty, Robinhood's, CNBC Locations: U.S, British, England
Wall Street is notorious for its long hours and stressful lifestyle, particularly at the junior level, where grunt work abounds. They'd work hard and play hard, with an enviable social life like in all the Wall Street movies she'd seen. But Wall Street workers say that the nature of finance — the office politics and uniquely competitive cohort — can create a work culture that exacerbates feelings of loneliness. Some of the loneliness comes from this — it's all new, it feels bad, it's scary, and they don't feel like they can talk to anyone. But that doesn't mean people working on Wall Street can't do anything to mitigate their loneliness.
Persons: Madison, They'd, She'd, we'd, Cigna, it's, Wharton, Abbey, Denise Shull, Michael Sloyer, Goldman Sachs, Bumble BFF, Bumble, She's, , Shull, I've, doesn't, They're, Sam Glazer, It's, Glazer, who's, There's, Goldman Organizations: Hamptons, Business, Wall, Ivy League, Madison, Harvard, NYU, Fifth Avenue Psychiatry Locations: New York City, Madison, Wharton, Yale, Upbuild, New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNot much volatility expected in markets from now to year-end: MizuhoLaurent Laskowski, director and equity derivatives strategist at Mizuho Securities USA, thinks that there is little volatility for markets from now until the end of the year, barring the Fed's rate decision in December.
Persons: Mizuho Laurent Laskowski Organizations: Mizuho Securities USA
LONDON, Nov 28 (Reuters) - An influential committee of European Union lawmakers voted on Tuesday in favour of a draft law aimed at shifting clearing of euro-denominated derivatives from a post-Brexit London to the bloc. Long a Brexit battleground between London and Brussels, the EU wants better oversight of clearing in euro denominated interest rate swaps bought by EU-based market participants, the bulk of which are cleared by the London Stock Exchange Group in the United Kingdom. EU securities regulator ESMA would also have to become the direct supervisor of clearers based in the EU. LSEG CEO David Schwimmer has said he is "optimistic" that clearing in London for EU customers would continue after that date. EU banks have warned that being cut off from global clearing pools in London would put them at a competitive disadvantage to international rivals.
Persons: Long, Danuta Huebner, David Schwimmer, Huw Jones, Mark Potter Organizations: European Union, EU, London Stock Exchange Group, Deutsche Boerse, European, Thomson Locations: London, Brussels, United Kingdom, EU, Frankfurt, Madrid
The logo of Google LLC is seen at the Google Store Chelsea in New York City, U.S., January 20, 2023. Symphony, which counts banks like Goldman Sachs (GS.N) and JPMorgan (JPM.N) among its 1,000-strong client base, will use Google Cloud's generative artificial intelligence platform, Vertex AI, to enhance its Cloud9 voice product with more sophisticated speech-to-text and natural language processing (NLP) capabilities. Phil Moyer, VP of Google Cloud's Global AI Business, said the platform would make compliance more "ambient". So there's 180 zettabytes of data on the planet Earth right now, 90% of which has been created in the last two years." And so tools like these transformers and generative AI are really helping to manage that massive data that's being created," Moyer said.
Persons: Shannon Stapleton, Goldman Sachs, Zac Maufe, Brad Levy, Phil Moyer, Moyer, Sinead Cruise, David Evans Organizations: Google, Chelsea, REUTERS, Reuters, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, JPMorgan, Communications, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
While options contracts historically expire on Fridays, the most popular stock indexes now have contracts that expire on every day of the week. This creates the ability for "zero-day to expiration," or "0DTE," options trading. The new funds come as trading in options that are about to expire has expanded dramatically as a share of the options market in recent years. The rise of short-term options trading has created split opinions on Wall Street. "In my mind, 0DTE has always been a risk day, but we've now spread that risk out across an entire month.
Persons: Michael M, IWM, Marko Kolanovic, 0DTE, you've, Randy Frederick Organizations: Nasdaq, Getty, Trust, Securities, Exchange Commission, Federal Reserve, Schwab Center, Financial Research, CNBC Locations: New York City, Cboe
These deals help banks meet capital requirements more efficiently, allowing them to keep lucrative businesses that would otherwise become unprofitable. Investors in these deals include lightly-regulated entities like hedge funds, shifting risk to the shadow banking sector. Credit risk transfer is another tool for them to pursue after the Fed’s clarification on what is allowed, said Cory Wishengrad, head of fixed income at Guggenheim Securities. That means Merchants sold the riskiest tranche of the loan portfolio, maximizing the capital relief it could get on it. Whether U.S. regulators will allow such insurance deals to qualify for capital relief is still untested, Staudinger said.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Blackstone, Jill Cetina, Jon, Claude Zucconi, Zucconi, Michael Barr, Barr, Banks, Missy Dolski, Sam Graziano, Graziano, Cory Wishengrad, Jed Miller, Taft, Morgan Stanley's, Morgan, Deborah Staudinger, Hogan Lovells, Staudinger, Shankar Ramakrishnan, Paritosh Bansal, Nick Zieminski Organizations: Blackstone Group, JPMorgan Chase, Merchants Bank of Indiana, US Bancorp, Investors, JPMorgan, Merchants Bank, Federal Reserve, Varde Partners, Financial, Guggenheim Securities, U.S . Bank, Fed, Reuters, Merchants, Thomson Locations: U.S, Wickersham, Europe, Indiana
A man walks past the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) headquarters in Mumbai, India, April 19, 2023. REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas Acquire Licensing RightsMUMBAI, Nov 25 (Reuters) - The board of India's markets regulator on Saturday said it will regulate online platforms offering fractional ownership of real estate assets, and such platforms will be registered under a framework for small and medium real estate investment trusts. In a statement after its quarterly board meeting, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) also said that fresh investments by alternative investment funds would be stored electronically from Sept. 2024. But Buch said the rise in equity derivatives trading did not pose any systemic concerns. Concerns regarding SEBI's plan to allow same-day settlement of equity market trades to help retail investors were "exaggerated”, Buch said.
Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Madhabi Puri Buch, Buch, SEBI, Jayshree, Krishn Kaushik, Alexandra Hudson, Christina Fincher Organizations: Securities and Exchange Board of India, REUTERS, Rights, National Stock Exchange, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Rights MUMBAI
Mortgage rates could decline if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates next year. Here are 10 projections from experts on when the Fed's first rate cut will come. While these factors serve as deterrents for prospective buyers, interest rates may not stay this high forever. AdvertisementWhile declining interest rates wouldn't directly cause mortgage rates to fall, the two tend to move in the same direction. FebruaryIn August, Preston Caldwell, a Morningstar senior US economist, wrote in a note that he expected the Fed to start cutting interest rates in February.
Persons: , Preston Caldwell, Arend Kapteyn, Bhanu Baweja, David Einhorn, Diane Swonk, Andrew Hollenhorst, Goldman Sachs, David Mericle, we'll, Simona Mocuta, Jeff Morton Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Federal, Morningstar, UBS, KPMG, Citi, Reuters, State Street Global Advisors, DWS Locations: North America's
[1/3] Richard Teng, head of the Middle East and North Africa for crypto firm Binance gestures as he speaks during an interview with Reuters in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, March 30, 2022. Teng faces an especially tough task in transforming the culture of Binance, four of the people said. Still, leading a cultural shift at Binance - a firm shaped by Zhao in his own image - would be "hugely difficult," she said. For years it dominated the crypto market, but this year has rapidly lost market share. Last month it controlled 32% of crypto spot and 50% of derivatives trading, according to crypto firm CCData, down from 55% and 62% respectively in January.
Persons: Richard Teng, Abdel Hadi Ramahi, Teng, Changpeng Zhao, Janet Yellen, Binance, Carol Alexander, Zhao, Yi He, Binance's, Simon Matthews, Richard, Matthews, FinCEN, John Reed Stark, Rajeev Bamra, OKX, Joseph Edwards, Tom Wilson, Elizabeth Howcroft, Elisa Martinuzzi, Louise Heavens Organizations: Reuters, United Arab Emirates, REUTERS, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, U.S, Treasury, University of Sussex, Investors, Treasury's, Internet Enforcement, Singapore, Abu, Abu Dhabi Global, Singapore Exchange, Moody's Investors Service, Securities, Thomson Locations: East, North Africa, Dubai, United Arab, U.S, Abu Dhabi, France, Seychelles, London
CFTC says case against Changpeng Zhao and Binance is the beginning of an aggressive pursuit. Commissioner Caroline D. Pham said the CFTC has no borders when it comes to prosecuting non-US entities. AdvertisementA statement made by CFTC Commissioner Christy Goldsmith Romero read: "There are no pirate ships in US markets" and that "access to US customers is a privilege, not a right." Goldsmith added that the CFTC plans to continue its aggressive pursuit of crypto exchanges that violate trade laws. In a separate statement, CFTC Commissioner Caroline D. Pham said the CFTC's reach has no border.
Persons: Changpeng Zhao, Binance, Caroline D, Pham, Zhao, , it's, Sam Bankman, Christy Goldsmith Romero, Goldsmith Organizations: CFTC, Service, Commodity Futures Locations: U.S
The bad news prompted some bond investors to question whether Bayer should sweeten the terms of the deal or outright pull it, one of the sources said. The drug-to-pesticides group priced the investment grade bond on Thursday last week, with the deal closing on Tuesday. Bayer priced bonds with maturities between three to 30 years. It was the 10th largest investment grade bond deal by an industrial company this year and attracted more than $22 billion in orders, according to Informa Global Markets. The events were "not enough to trigger a material adverse change clause in bond documents for investors to ask to be paid back," said CreditSights' Brady.
Persons: Wolfgang Rattay, Bayer, Andrew Brady, CreditSights, JP Morgan, Wells, Brady, Shankar Ramakrishnan, Ludwig Burger, Mike Erman, Paritosh Bansal, Marguerita Choy Organizations: Bayer AG, REUTERS, Bayer, Nomura Holdings, Informa Global Markets, Citigroup, Nikko Securities America, RIC, Thomson Locations: Leverkusen, Germany, Seattle
Euro zone's shadow banks face risk of margin calls, ECB says
  + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
FRANKFURT, Nov 22 (Reuters) - Euro zone shadow banks face the risk of receiving large margin calls or client redemptions they cannot meet because they do not have enough cash on hand, the European Central Bank (ECB) said on Wednesday. The ECB said liquidity buffers among shadow banks - an umbrella term for funds, insurers and other non-bank financial intermediaries (NBFI) - were "very low", exposing them to the risk of running out cash at times of market stress. Insurance companies and pension funds (ICPF) that use derivatives could be exposed to the risk of "large margin calls", the ECB added, citing those suffered by their UK peers last year as a precedent. "Any sharp increase in sovereign bond yields or a spike in financial market volatility could expose those ICPFs which use interest rate derivatives to large margin calls," the ECB said. The central bank reiterated its call for introducing regulation for shadow banks like the one that governs traditional lenders, including liquidity requirements and stress tests.
Persons: Francesco Canepa, Mark Potter Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, Insurance, Thomson Locations: FRANKFURT
The market reaction reflects an expectation that a $4 billion payment would be manageable for Binance, four crypto investors and market participants said. Its status has for years left investors wary of risks to the wider market from a string of regulatory and legal headaches facing Binance. Any resolution of the DOJ probe would remove the risk to the crypto market of Binance's sudden collapse, said Sui Chung, CEO of crypto index provider CF Benchmarks. "Binance disappearing overnight remains a potential systemic risk to the crypto market," Chung said. Other investors cited the personal wealth of Zhao as being sufficient to cover any settlement with the DOJ.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Bitcoin, Binance, Anatoly Crachilov, Crachilov, Changpeng Zhao, Zhao, Sui Chung, Chung, Tom Wilson, Elizabeth Howcroft, Susan Fenton Organizations: REUTERS, U.S . Justice Department, Bloomberg, Reuters, London, Asset Management, DOJ, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Assets Fund, Thomson Locations: Binance, London
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere's really 'an inflection point' in the small-caps, says RBC's Amy Wu SilvermanAmy Wu Silverman, RBC Capital Markets head of derivatives strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to disuss the latest market trends, what the options market is saying about the November rally, and more.
Persons: Amy Wu Silverman Amy Wu Silverman Organizations: RBC Capital Markets
LONDON, Nov 21 (Reuters) - Deutsche Boerse's (DB1Gn.DE) derivatives arm said on Tuesday that it has been building up volume in its Euribor futures contract in Frankfurt as the European Union vies with London for the multi-billion-euro market post Brexit. The EU wants to significantly relocate the clearing of Euribor futures and euro-denominated interest rate swaps (IRS) out of London, which is now largely cut off from the bloc's financial market and rules since its 2020 exit from the EU. The market had previously been dominated by U.S. rival ICE (ICE.N), with its operations based in London. It is likely that in the initial phase there will be no mandatory minimum clearing volume set for an account, but this could change if not enough clearing shifts. London Stock Exchange Group's (LSEG.L) LCH dominates clearing of euro IRS, a market in which Eurex is also slowly building up clearing volume, and which is being targeted by the Madrid Exchange too.
Persons: Matthias Graulich, it's, Graulich, David Schwimmer, Huw Jones, Sharon Singleton Organizations: Deutsche, European, EU, U.S, ICE, Reuters, London, Exchange, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, London, EU, Madrid, Brussels
Prices topped $80 a pound as demand for nuclear power gains momentum. Uranium production has recently run into hurdles, but investor interest remains solid. AdvertisementA nuclear power renaissance is fueling investor interest in uranium, helping to drive the price of the key energy commodity to a 15-year high. Uranium futures tracking a form of uranium called "yellowcake" hit $80.25 a pound on Monday, Bloomberg reported. Prices have been on the rise this year after a decade of trading sideways, due to growing demand for nuclear power.
Persons: Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Crux, Terra Capital, Segra, Argonaut Capital Partners, Bloomberg Intelligence Locations: Kazakhstan, Canada, Australia, Canadian, Niger, Europe
Binance is also expected to expected to plead guilty to the charges. Zhao, the founder and CEO of Binance, has amassed a fortune that Bloomberg pegs at more than $23 billion. This alleged misconduct paved the way for Binance to become king of the crypto exchanges, prosecutors allege. Prosecutors allege Binance, “knowingly failed” to register as a money service business, willfully violated the Bank Secrecy Act by failing to implement and maintain an effective anti-money laundering program and willfully caused violations of US economic sanctions. The SEC also alleged that Zhao and Binance commingled customer assets and even diverted some to an entity controlled by Zhao.
Persons: Changpeng Zhao, Binance, Zhao, General Merrick Garland, Janet Yellen, laundered, , ” Binance Organizations: New, New York CNN —, CNN, Bloomberg, Wall Street, Treasury, Prosecutors, Court, Western, of, ” Prosecutors, Binance, The Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, Commodity Futures Trading Commission Locations: New York, of Washington, Canadian, United States, America
Gunjan BanerjiGunjan Banerji is the lead writer for The Wall Street Journal's live markets coverage. Her articles and videos have covered the biggest stories in financial markets of the past decade, spanning stocks, bonds and derivatives. Gunjan helped lead the Journal’s award-winning coverage of retail investing and the meme stock mania that swept markets in 2021. She continues to explore how individual investors are navigating the financial markets and where they are putting their money. In her spare time, Gunjan can be found practicing Classical Indian Dance or playing with her bernedoodle Todd.
Persons: Gunjan, Gerald Loeb, Todd Organizations: CNBC, New York Press, Newswomen’s, of New, GameStop, Netflix, Journal, New York University, Columbia University’s Graduate School of Journalism, NYU Locations: of New York, New York
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