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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBridgewater founder Ray Dalio: Today's main problem with banks is they own too many treasuriesRay Dalio, Bridgewater founder, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss how Dalio relates to all macroeconomic headwinds, Dalio's thoughts on the country's debt, and more.
Persons: Ray Dalio Organizations: Bridgewater
So if you have to come in, where's the best place to go? Note: Most of the companies listed below have multiple office locations beyond the one listed. An open letter to big banks going through an identity crisis. My open letter to big banks. Here's a list of nearly a dozen of the best chocolates you can buy, according to a professional chocolatier.
Persons: Dan DeFrancesco, we've, Spencer Platt, It's, Goldman Sachs, BNY Mellon, We'll, Morgan Stanley, Jefferies, You've, I'm, Gene Wilder, Willy Wonka, Stephanie Cohen, Banks, We've, Brace, it's, Jeffrey Cane, Hallam Bullock Organizations: Getty, Apple, Downtown . Companies, NYSE, BNY, Metro North, . Companies, Bank of America, Barclays, BNP, Midwest, Midtown East . Companies, Blackstone, Millennium, Grand Central, Yards, Hudson Yards, Plaid, Rho Technologies, Connecticut . Companies, Paramount, Maverick Capital, Tiger Global, D1, JPMorgan, LinkedIn Locations: Downtown, JPMorgan, MarketAxess, BlackRock, midtown, — Flatiron, NoHo, Connecticut, Bridgewater, AQR, London, Citadel, New York
Ray Dalio reflects on his career and lays out his investing philosophy in a new MasterClass episode. Dalio is the billionaire founder of the world's largest hedge fund, Bridgewater Associates, and the author of "Principles" and "Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order." Here are Dalio's 16 best quotes from his MasterClass episode, lightly edited for length and clarity:1. (Dalio was describing how much money an everyday investor should keep in the safest of their portfolios." "The way that you play the game is first to know what you know, and know what you don't know.
Persons: Ray Dalio, , he's, Dalio, Nixon, Roosevelt, it's, we've, you've, they've Organizations: Bridgewater, Olympics, Navy, Service, Bridgewater Associates Locations: Mexico
For as long as I can remember, the safest place on Wall Street for job security was in tech. But according to one Wall Street billionaire, that sentiment won't hold true for much longer. As Insider's Paige Hagy reports, Griffin instead highlighted how programmers need to position themselves to provide the most value to companies in this post-ChatGPT world. In the before times (pre-ChatGPT), no one was really questioning the value programmers were adding. At least that's the take from Wall Street vet Marty Chavez.
Persons: Dan DeFrancesco, Pharrell Williams, we've, BlackRock's, I'm, Wutthichai, Ken Griffin, Griffin, Griffin wasn't, Insider's Paige Hagy, it's, Read, Flo Rida, Drake, Tommaso Boddi, Erica, John Waldron, Kim Kardashian, Marty Chavez, he's, Ray Dalio, Everybody's, Jeffrey Cane, Nathan Rennolds Organizations: Bank of America, Wall Street, BlackRock, Goldman, SKKY Partners, Wall, Bridgewater, LinkedIn Locations: NYC, London, BlackRock, New York
Lessons from the original Industrial Revolution
  + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( Edward Chancellor | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
These are brilliantly described by Martin Hutchinson, a former Breakingviews columnist, in his new book “Forging Modernity: Why and How Britain Developed the Industrial Revolution”. In fact, several pioneers of the Industrial Revolution were self-taught. The Industrial Revolution can be viewed as the world’s first successful energy transition. The task of financing the Industrial Revolution fell to banks that were scattered across the country, some 800 in all. We are so accustomed to the economic growth sparked by the Industrial Revolution that we tend to view economic expansion as pretty much inevitable.
Persons: Martin Hutchinson, King Charles I, Charles, Duke, Bridgewater, Hutchinson, Josiah Wedgwood, Trent, Samuel, Richard, Adam Smith, William Pitt the Younger, Lord Liverpool, Smith, , , Adam Smith’s, Peter Thal Larsen, Oliver Taslic Organizations: Reuters, Royal Society, Industrial, Nations, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Government, Dudley, Thomson Locations: Britain, England, British, Manchester, Birmingham, Bridgewater, Mersey, Samuel Whitbread’s, West Indies, Netherlands, United Kingdom
Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio said the US is at the start of a "late, big cycle debt crisis." The billionaire investor warned there's a shortage of buyers at a time when the US is selling so much debt. He added the US economy faces tougher times ahead - and forecast a balance-sheet recession. "When one looks at the buyers, there appears to be a significant shortage of the buyers for that government debt. Looking ahead, Dalio was downbeat.
Persons: Ray Dalio, there's, , Dalio, Joe Biden, we're Organizations: Bridgewater, Service, Privacy, Bloomberg Invest, Congress, Treasury
Your friendly neighborhood lender, BlackstoneWhat's the first thing that pops into your head when you think of a regional bank? Nouriel Roubini, the famed economist known as "Dr. Doom" isn't too optimistic about the future of regional banks. Never one to miss a chance to make money, Blackstone CEO Stephen Schwarzman said his firm can "fill the void" left by regional banks tightening up their lending activity. Regional banks happen to be one of the biggest lenders in commercial real estate. Doom' is feeling bearish on regional banks.
China's policy regarding Taiwan, the world's leader in the semiconductor industry, could end up making it an even bigger focus. The cross-strait strife has already provoked commentary from some top contenders in the Republican presidential primary race who have stressed the need to deter a possible Chinese invasion invasion of the island. But I think ultimately what I think China respects is strength," DeSantis said. 'Like trying to separate conjoined twins'But the political will to defend Taiwan in a Chinese invasion may clash with economic forces. Some CEOs of America's biggest banks have said they would pull their business from China if directed to do so following an invasion of Taiwan.
The S&P Regional Banking Index fell approximately 25% during the quarter as a run on deposits sank Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in March, both of which were at the time the largest banking failures since the Great Financial Crisis. The S&P Regional Banking index is now down 36% for the year to date. Famed "Big Short" investor Michael Burry's Scion Asset Management, meanwhile, added a number of new positions in regional banks, including stakes in First Republic, PacWest (PACW.O) and Western Alliance Bancorp (WAL.N). Shares of regional banks have remained volatile in recent weeks, with some investors wary of more tumult to come in the sector. London-based Marshall Wace sold 51,300 shares of First Republic in the first quarter, closing its position in the bank.
REUTERS/Brendan... Read moreSAO PAULO, May 15 (Reuters) - Bridgewater Associates, one of the world's largest hedge funds, sold off U.S. bank stocks in the first quarter as the industry was roiled by the collapse of three lenders, according to regulatory filings. Global hedge funds cut their exposure to U.S. banking stocks to a near 10-year low in March and fled lending-sensitive shares amid turmoil in the industry following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. The firm also slashed its positions in smaller banks such as Bank of Hawaii Corp (BOH.N), Pacwest Bancorp (PACW.O), PNC Financial Services Group (PNC.N), Citizens Financial Group (CFG.N) and Capital One Financial Corp (COF.N). Bridgewater was also bearish on European banks in March, after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank sparked contagion fears across global banks, a Reuters report showed. Following SVB, Signature Bank was also placed into receivership in March, while JPMorgan bought First Republic Bank's assets earlier this month.
NEW YORK, May 15 (Reuters) - Billionaire investor Jim Simons' Renaissance Technologies LLC was among the prominent funds that took positions in embattled regional bank First Republic Bank (FRCB.PK) during the first quarter ahead of the firm's May 1 collapse, according to securities filings released on Monday. Renaissance Technologies LLC, which has more than $100 billion in assets under management, bought approximately 7.1 million shares of First Republic during the first quarter and held them as of March 31, when they closed at $13.99 per share. Boston-based Adage Capital Partners, meanwhile, added a new position of approximately 185,000 shares of First Republic during the quarter, while New York-based Alpine Global Management LP added a new position of approximately 1.7 million shares in the company, filings showed. Renaissance Technologies, Adage Capital and Alpine Global did not respond to requests to comment for this story. Reporting by David Randall; Editing by Ira Iosebashvili and Marguerita ChoyOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
The biggest hedge funds are battling it out to attract and retain top talent and outperform peers. Insider has talked to a number of hedge funds to get a peek into their recruiting strategies. Shaw, and Bridgewater are in constant competition for the best and brightest to help them gain an edge in the cutthroat investment industry. Internships and fellowshipsThe opaque and secretive world of hedge funds might not necessarily be an obvious choice for many college graduates. Investment training programsTypically, hedge funds acquired their investment talent after a few years of working at an investment bank.
Analysts say what may appear as mixed messaging is the result of President Xi Jinping's renewed focus on national security, steeled by rock-bottom relations with rival superpower, the United States. A later speech in March at the National People's Congress was more pointed: China's security is being challenged by U.S. attempts to contain its rise, he said. In his October speech, he added "external security" and "international security", in what analysts say signals a new focus to counter foreign threats, namely Washington. Asked for its response to a list of questions for this story, China's foreign ministry said it was "not aware of the situation". BUSINESS JITTERSChina's security focus also risks isolating the country economically.
Elite money managers overseeing trillions of dollars convened at the 2023 Milken Global Conference in Los Angeles this week. The consensus was clear: they think markets are mispositioned for a scenario where the central bank keeps rates higher for longer. "As our chief economist likes to say," Hunt said, "at higher rates, bodies will continue to float to the top over the course of the summer." And with yet another Fed rate hike officially in the books, financial conditions are only going to get tighter and more companies could be caught off-guard. On Wednesday, West Texas crude dropped more than 4.4%, the steep declines coming the same day as the Fed's rate hike.
[1/2] David Hunt President and CEO, PGIM, speaks at the 2023 Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California, U.S., May 1, 2023. As Wall Street money managers, banking executives and pension fund managers gathered at the Milken Institute Global Conference, the main topic over cocktails on Sunday night and in conference rooms the following morning was JPMorgan Chase & Co's (JPM.N) purchase of First Republic Bank. Policymakers, executives and investors at the conference said constrained lending as a result of banking sector regulation could choke off credit to the economy. Nevertheless, betting against bank stocks has been a profitable endeavor this year, which has seen the high-profile failures of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, in addition to First Republic and a state-engineered rescue of Credit Suisse by the Swiss government. The KBW Regional Banking Index, which fell 2.7% on Monday, is down almost 23.6% year-to-date, while First Republic’s shares are off 97% since January.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDon't know Fed's tightening is enough to slow economy and halt inflation: Bridgewater's co-CIOKaren Karniol-Tambour, Bridgewater Associates co-CIO, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Karniol-Tambour's thoughts on the regional banking system, how the credit picture has influenced the executive's view on the economy and the outlook for risk assets.
But executives at this week's Milken Institute Global Conference warn that may not be the case, and that markets are ill-prepared for rates to stay higher for longer. Here's the Fed's March meeting dot-plot, which shows where members of the Federal Open Market Committee see rates at the end of 2023. While markets are pricing in a pause in June at 5-5.25%, here's where they believe rates will most likely be in December: 4.25-4.5%. Below, we've compiled what five of them said on Monday about their expectations for Fed policy and financial markets. And as our chief economist likes to say, at higher rates, bodies will continue to float to the top over the course of the summer."
How asset managers see the investment outlook at Milken
  + stars: | 2023-05-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
[1/4] Edwin Conway Global Head, BlackRock Alternatives, speaks at the 2023 Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California, U.S., May 1, 2023. REUTERS/Mike BlakeBEVERLY HILLS, May 1 (Reuters) - Big money managers gathered at the Milken Institute Global Conference, in Beverly Hills, California, on Monday to discuss the environment for investments amid higher interest rates, sticky inflation, banking turmoil and geopolitical tension. KAREN KARNIOL-TAMBOUR, CO-CIO AT BRIDGEWATER ASSOCIATES"The problem is that when you get paradigm shifts that really change the nature of the market environment, it takes a long time for that to get fully digested by investors." So fixed income long-short hedge fund managers feel that there's going to be very interesting distressed opportunities in eight, ten, twelve months." Reporting by Carolina Mandl and Svea Herbst-Bayliss, in Beverly Hills; Editing by Josie KaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
[1/4] Edwin Conway Global Head, BlackRock Alternatives, speaks at the 2023 Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California, U.S., May 1, 2023. REUTERS/Mike BlakeBEVERLY HILLS, May 1 (Reuters) - Big money managers gathered at the Milken Institute Global Conference, in Beverly Hills, California, on Monday to discuss the environment for investments amid higher interest rates, sticky inflation, banking turmoil and geopolitical tension. See below some of their comments:EDWIN CONWAY, GLOBAL HEAD OF BLACKROCK ALTERNATIVES:"This is a difficult environment to navigate. KAREN KARNIOL-TAMBOUR, CO-CEO AT BRIDGEWATER ASSOCIATES"The problem is that when you get paradigm shifts that really change the nature of the market environment, it takes a long time for that to get fully digested by investors." Reporting by Carolina Mandl and Svea Herbst-Bayliss, in Beverly Hills; Editing by Josie KaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Ray Dalio wrote in a note this week that the financial system is close to needing "big restructurings." The Bridgewater Associates founder cited higher debt burdens and rising interest rates. In his view, the economy is on the brink of a contraction that will make the next year or two difficult. "This means the system is close to the point where big restructurings will be needed. Meanwhile, within the larger cycle, there's a smaller, short-term cycle defined by economic weakness, with central banks creating high inflation and eventually recessions.
While U.S. voters are divided on many issues today, there are at least two where they can agree: They want a stronger economy and better education. The good news for policymakers is that there is a simple way to make voters happier on both fronts: They can increase the number of states requiring K-12 financial education. Currently, only half of the states in the U.S. require at least one course in either economics or personal finance for high-school graduation, according to data from the Council for Economic Education. Given that consumption represents some two-thirds of the overall U.S. economy, this frequent absence of financial capability can have significant consequences. Consider a few examples:Research published in the October 2020 Economics of Education Review concluded that "financial education requirements are associated with fewer defaults and higher credit scores among young adults."
Global central banks are less willing to hold the dollar, billionaire investor Ray Dalio said. One reason is that China's share of global trade is rising while the US share is falling. Another is that Western sanctions against Russia have exposed new risks for holding dollar assets. But, with China increasing the yuan's use in global trade, the future necessity for the greenback may be ebbing. Those sanctions "increased the perceived risk that those debt assets can be frozen in the way that they've been frozen for Russia," Dalio said.
Insider has talked to a number of hedge funds to get a peek into their recruiting strategies. Sign up for our newsletter to get the latest stories in hedge funds, PE, fintech, and banking — delivered daily to your inbox. Shaw, and Bridgewater are in constant competition for the best and brightest to help them gain an edge in the cutthroat investment industry. Internships and fellowshipsThe opaque and secretive world of hedge funds might not necessarily be an obvious choice for many college graduates. Investment training programsTypically, hedge funds acquired their investment talent after a few years of working at an investment bank.
Ray Dalio shared his thoughts on SVB, offered investing advice and warned of political conflicts last month. The Bridgewater Associates founder and investing veteran also offered up his thoughts on why he thinks the next two years will be a "very risky time". I think that there is a good chance that it will produce a big decline in the value of money. Geopolitical risks"Let's remember that [the money/credit/debt/market/economic dynamic] is being accompanied by the internal conflict dynamic (most importantly the 2024 US elections that are coming up) and the external conflict dynamic (most importantly the US-China conflict and the US-NATO-Russia conflict, though others like that with Iran are notable). In a nutshell, it looks to me like the next two years will be a very risky time."
Seemingly overnight, episodes of Fridman's podcast began racking up millions of views. YouTube/Lex FridmanIn his podcast, Fridman asks world-renowned scientists, historians, artists, and engineers a series of wide-eyed questions ("Who is God? But recently, "The Lex Fridman Podcast" has become a haven for a growing — and powerful — sector looking to dismantle years of "wokeness" and cancel culture. Twitter"The Lex Fridman Podcast" offered a rare opportunity to listen to four-hour conversations with luminaries of tech and science. Bhaskar Sunkara, the founder and publisher of the socialist magazine Jacobin who appeared on Fridman's podcast in December, praised Fridman's interviewing style.
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