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Dollar shaky after US credit rating downgrade
  + stars: | 2023-08-02 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
U.S. Dollar banknote is seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. "We don't think the Fitch decision is that material. Elsewhere, the Japanese yen was roughly 0.1% stronger at 143.21 per dollar, paring some of its gains from earlier in the morning. "I think the market is still trying to get their head around what this whole thing means," said NAB's Catril. The New Zealand dollar fell 0.23% to $0.6136, after data on Wednesday showed the country's jobless rate hit a two-year high in the second quarter.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Fitch, Sterling, we've, Rodrigo Catril, NAB's Catril, Matt Simpson, Rae Wee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, AAA, White, U.S, Fitch, National Australia Bank, NAB, Bank of Japan's, Reserve Bank of Australia, Index, New Zealand, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, States
Chartbook: Electricity and diesel useIndustrial electricity use and distillate fuel oil consumption are both correlated with the manufacturing and freight cycle and therefore with the purchasing managers index. Distillate fuel oil consumption actually rose by almost +0.8% in the three months from March to May compared with a year earlier. The strength of domestic distillate consumption helps explain why fuel oil inventories have remained well below the prior ten-year seasonal average. DISTILLATE SUPPLIEDThe resilience of industrial electricity use and especially apparent distillate fuel oil consumption may indicate the ISM manufacturing index is overstating the depth of the downturn. Accumulation of secondary and tertiary stocks in April and May would imply lower apparent consumption in June and July.
Persons: Guan, John Kemp, Barbara Lewis Organizations: Angeles Refinery, California Air Resources Board, The Institute, Supply, U.S . Energy Information Administration, U.S, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Angeles, California, Carson , California, U.S, doldrums
[1/3] A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 26, 2023. European stocks (.STOXX) fell 0.9%, stepping back from a 2% increase in July, the index's second month of gains. UK stocks (.FTSE) also fell 0.4%, though HSBC (HSBA.L) climbed 1.3% after announcing a $2 billion share buyback and raising its key profitability target. U.S. Treasury yields rose on Tuesday with 30-year paper touching a new year-high as investors expected an increase in government debt issuance and anticipated more signs of economic resilience, despite data showing a slowdown in activity. China's stumbling post-pandemic recovery remained in focus, for instance, after a surprise contraction in manufacturing in a private-sector survey released Tuesday.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Michael Hewson, Ronald Temple, Brent, Lawrence Delevingne, Tom Wilson, Kevin Buckland, Angus MacSwan, Susan Fenton, Deepa Babington Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Merck & Co, Pfizer, Caterpillar Inc, HSBC, . Federal, CMC Markets, U.S, Lazard, Fed, Energy, BP, Bank of, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Asia, Boston, London, Tokyo
There were 1.6 job openings for every unemployed person in June, little changed from May. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 9.610 million job openings. Reuters GraphicsThere were an additional 136,000 job openings in healthcare and social assistance, while vacancies increased by 62,000 in state and local government, excluding education. The job openings rate was unchanged at 5.8% in June. ISM manufacturing PMIIt has, however, not been a reliable predictor of manufacturing employment in the government's nonfarm payrolls count.
Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Eugenio Aleman, Raymond James, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Reuters, Federal, Labor, Survey, Labor Department, Employers, Treasury, Institute for Supply Management, PMI, Economists, ISM, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, WASHINGTON, . U.S
Uber (UBER.N) shed 5.4% after the ride-hailing company missed second-quarter revenue expectations. Among pharmaceutical heavyweights, Pfizer (PFE.N) edged lower in choppy trading after the drugmaker fell short of Wall Street expectations for quarterly revenue, hit by declining sales of its COVID-19 products. Merck (MRK.N) eased 0.8% even as it raised its full-year profit forecast after posting a smaller-than-expected second-quarter loss. U.S. second-quarter earnings are now expected to fall 5.9% from a year earlier, as per Refinitiv data on Tuesday, compared with a 7.9% decline estimated a week earlier. Arista Networks (ANET.N) jumped 20.1% as the network gear maker forecast quarterly revenue above estimates after delivering better-than-expected results.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Olsen, Johann M Cherian, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Reuters, PMI, Dow, Nasdaq, Caterpillar, Pfizer, Merck, U.S, Arista Networks, Dow Jones, Cruise, JetBlue Airways, American Airlines, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Bengaluru
While an ISM survey offered a tough assessment of U.S. manufacturing conditions, so-called hard data suggest the sector is shuffling along. Federal Reserve data in June showed factory production rebounded in the second quarter, ending two straight quarterly declines. Meanwhile, U.S. construction spending increased solidly last month and May's data was revised higher, boosted by outlays in both single and multifamily housing projects, the Commerce Department said. China's Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) missed analysts forecasts and showed the first decline in activity since April. Money markets now see a 60% probability that the Bank of England will hike rates by 25 basis points on Thursday.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Steven Ricchiuto, Carlos Casanova, Kit Juckes, Sterling, Herbert Lash, Joice Alves, Ankur Banerjee, Alex Richardson, Hugh Lawson, Alexander Smith Organizations: REUTERS, Reuters, Federal, outlays, Commerce Department, Labor, Survey, Labor Department, Mizuho Securities USA, Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of Japan, U.S, Natixis Investment, P Global, European Central Bank, ECB, Societe Generale, Bank of, Thomson Locations: Asia, Hong Kong, U.S, Bank of England, London, Singapore
A Canadian dollar coin, commonly known as the "Loonie," is pictured in this illustration picture taken in Toronto, January 23, 2015. "The (U.S.) dollar is reasserting itself as the champion of the currency market and the Canadian dollar is just caught in that wave," said Adam Button, chief currency analyst at ForexLive. S&P Global's measure of Canadian manufacturing activity edged higher last month to 49.6 from 48.8 in June. Canada's employment report for July, due on Friday, could offer further clues on the strength of domestic activity. The price of oil, one of Canada's major exports, edged lower on signs of profit-taking after a rally in July.
Persons: Mark Blinch, Adam Button, Fergal Smith, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, greenback, PMI, Canadian, U.S, ., Thomson Locations: Toronto, TORONTO, U.S
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 20, 2023. Uber (UBER.N) fell after the ride-hailing company missed second-quarter revenue expectations. Arista Networks (ANET.N) stocks rose as the network gear maker forecast quarterly revenue above estimates after delivering better-than-expected results. According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 12.25 points, or 0.26%, to end at 4,576.94 points, while the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) lost 62.11 points, or 0.43%, to 14,284.20. JetBlue Airways (JBLU.O) stocks dropped after it lowered its annual profit forecast due to a hit from the termination of its revenue-sharing deal with American Airlines (AAL.O).
Persons: Brendan McDermid, It's, Scott Ladner, Echo Wang, Johann M Cherian, Vinay Dwivedi, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, PMI, Dow, Nasdaq, Horizon Investments, Caterpillar, Pfizer, Treasury, Arista Networks, Dow Jones, Norwegian Cruise, JetBlue Airways, American Airlines, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New York, Bengaluru
It was the ninth straight month that the PMI stayed below the 50 threshold, which indicates contraction in manufacturing, the longest such stretch since the 2007-2009 Great Recession. The ISM survey's forward-looking new orders sub-index increased to 47.3 in July. According to the ISM, the delivery performance of suppliers to manufacturing firms has been faster for 10 straight months. It has, however, not been a reliable predictor of manufacturing employment in the government's nonfarm payrolls count. Manufacturing employment likely rose by 5,000 jobs last month, according to a Reuters survey of economists.
Persons: Charles Mostoller, Lucia Mutikani, Paul Simao Organizations: BMW, REUTERS, Reuters Connect WASHINGTON, Institute for Supply Management, PMI, Reuters, ISM, Federal Reserve, Manufacturing, Fed, U.S . Labor Department, Thomson Locations: Greer , South Carolina, U.S
Goldman Sachs remains bullish on First Solar on the back of its second-quarter earnings and revenue beat. The company posted $1.59 earnings per share on $811 million in revenue, while analysts surveyed by Refinitiv had estimated 96 cents per share on revenue of $721 million. First Solar management also announced it would invest $1.1 billion for what would be its fifth solar panel factory in the U.S., expected to commission in the first half of 2026. The analyst believes the company's upcoming analyst day on September 7 will be another positive catalyst for the company. He expects First Solar to focus on its technology outlook, growth and profit trajectory, in addition to its 2030 business model.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Refinitiv, Brian Lee, Lee, FSLR, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Locations: U.S
Nearly 12 million US workers may need to switch jobs by 2030, a McKinsey study found. But between now and 2030, the McKinsey researchers projected that 11.8 million workers will have to change jobs not because they want to, but because they have to. Roughly nine million of them might have to find new jobs in new industries altogether, the study found. The study found that Americans in lower-wage jobs are up to 14 times more likely to need to change occupations by 2030. Chui said this could lead to less demand for some jobs and increased demand for others — like healthcare workers.
Persons: Michael Chui, Chui, Chu, we're Organizations: McKinsey, Service, McKinsey Global Institute, America Locations: Wall, Silicon, United States
Last week, total rail volume from Canada to the U.S. was down 12%, according to The Association of American Railroad's latest rail traffic report for the week ending July 22. This was an improvement given the first full week of the strike saw a 46% decrease in rail trade from Canada, and the second week suffered a 36% decrease. Rail traffic from Canada into the U.S. had a third-straight weekly drop as a result of the on-again, off-again strike at the West Coast Canadian ports. When the first strike ended on its thirteenth day, delays for rail containers were estimated at 39 to 66 days. Adding another day with the on-again, off-again strike last week, brings the congestion removal tally up to 42-70 days.
Persons: Port of Prince Rupert, Doug Macdonald, Rupert, Blaine Davidson, Terri Shimensky, Shimensky, Eric Byer, Byer, NACD Organizations: The Association of American, West Coast, Railway Association of Canada, CNBC, The Railway Association of Canada, Port, National Association of Chemical Distributors, CN, U.S ., Railroads, Canada, Association of American Railroads Locations: Canada, Port of Vancouver, Port of, Vancouver, Ohio, of Long, U.S . West Coast, U.S, Chicago, West
A Facebook post included the same video clip and the text: “Pfizer plant in North Carolina hit by a tornado. The Rocky Mount plant did not produce or store COVID vaccines, a Pfizer spokesperson told Reuters in an email. The plant also made vials and syringes, according to the Pfizer website (here). The Rocky Mount Pfizer plant damaged by a tornado produced sterile injectables among other products. There is no evidence that it produced or stored COVID vaccines.
Persons: , Read Organizations: Pfizer, Vaccines, North Carolina ”, Reuters, Mount, UPS, Biotech, Fierce, Rocky Locations: North Carolina, U.S, Kalamazoo , Michigan, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pleasant Prairie , Wisconsin, Louisville , Kentucky, Columbus , Ohio, Wisconsin and Massachusetts
China's economy is headed for a slowdown, according to Nobel laureate Paul Krugman. The top economist compared China's disappointing economic performance so far this year to Japan's economic woes in the 90s, when the nation's economic power began to decline. On top of that, China is also suffering from an unbalanced economy, Krugman said, with demand struggling to rebound after the pandemic. Manufacturing activity contracted in May, while real estate activity, which makes up about a fifth of China's economy, has also stalled. Other experts have warned of trouble for China's economy amid its so-far disappointing economic recovery.
Persons: Paul Krugman, Krugman Organizations: Service, New York Times Locations: China, Japan, Wall, Silicon
Major economies were hit by higher inflation during the Covid-19 pandemic, but India's inflation was already elevated. In June, India's inflation rate was 4.81%, which remains within the Reserve Bank of India's tolerance band of 2% to 6%. There is a paradigm shift and flight of capital from Indian households savings to equity to contribute to the India growth story," Azeez told CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia" last week. "So whichever way one looks at the economic numbers, India appears as an oasis in the global desert," he added. watch nowHowever, Matthew Asia's Mittal said that instead of buying into pharmaceutical companies, upstream companies such as Syngene will be a good investment opportunity.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Darren Robb, Feroze Azeez, Anand, Azeez, CNBC's, Nifty, it'll, Soumya Rajan, Peeyush Mittal, Nilesh Shah, Shah, Financials, Rajan, Waterfield's Rajan, We've, we've, Hindenburg, Matthews, Mittal, India's, Nestle, Kotak's Shah, Punit Paranjpe, Matthew Asia's Mittal Organizations: Bank, Getty, Wealth, Reserve Bank, Monetary Fund, Waterfield, Matthews Asia, CNBC, Mahindra Asset Management, IDFC, IDFC Ltd, HDFC Bank, Housing Development Finance Corporation, India's HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Bajaj Finance, Mahindra Finance, Nestle, World Bank, Nurphoto, Hindustan Unilever, Britannia Industries, Manufacturing Global, Godrej Aerospace, Afp Locations: India, United Kingdom, Japan, Mumbai, China, Nestle India, LuLu, Lulu, Kerala
Distillate stocks have increased slightly from last year when they were just 113 million barrels, but otherwise they are at the lowest level for the time of year since 2004. The actual and prospective tightness of diesel supplies has started to draw interest from hedge funds and other investors. There have been increases in both U.S. diesel (+27 million barrels) and European gas oil (+49 million barrels) over the period. Adjusted for inflation, U.S. heating oil prices were close to the long-term average in June (48th percentile for all months since 1990). But if the economy avoids a recession, diesel prices could escalate relatively rapidly.
Persons: Stocks, John Kemp, Paul Simao Organizations: U.S . Energy Information Administration, U.S, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Chartbook, U.S, Europe, Singapore
US stocks gained on a strong earnings season for among lenders. Earnings reports from Bank of America and Morgan Stanley beat expectations. But retail sales and industrial production fell short of hopes, signaling a consumer spending shift. Retail sales and industrial production fell short of estimates to start the day on Tuesday. At the same time, the Federal Reserve's measure of industrial production declined for a second month, dropping by 0.5%.
Persons: Morgan Stanley Organizations: Bank of America, Service, Netflix Locations: Wall, Silicon
In a list of "23 for '23" picks, UBS included Baidu , Grab , Merck , Salesforce , Li Ning and Siemens . It updated its stock selection, adding Yum Brands and MGM Resorts International to the list last month, and removing AbbVie and Corteva . Our 23 for '23 theme showcases our highest conviction stock ideas that aim to benefit from these inflections," stated the authors of the UBS report, led by Nadia Lovell. UBS added MGM Resorts International to its picks, with analysts "encouraged by the continued strength in Las Vegas and a healthy outlook for MGM." Manufacturing and technology company Siemens made the UBS list for being "at the forefront of the Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) transformation."
Persons: Li Ning, Nadia Lovell, Salesforce, Taco, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS, Baidu, Merck, Salesforce, Siemens, Yum Brands, MGM Resorts International, MGM, Software, Manufacturing, Industrial, Taco Bell Locations: Swiss, Las Vegas
Washington is seeking to protect U.S. manufacturers from low-cost competitors in China, including those it suspects of using forced labor, which Beijing denies. Both countries say they should be able to collaborate on climate change regardless of other disagreements. After Pelosi's August trip to Taiwan, a democratically-governed island that China claims as part of its territory, Beijing said it would halt all dialogue with Washington on climate change. The two countries only resumed informal climate talks in November at the COP27 summit in Egypt. During Yellen's visit last month, she made a public push to get China to participate in the UN-run funds to help poorer nations address climate change.
Persons: Kerry, John Kerry, Xie Zhenhua, David Sandalow, Biden, Antony Blinken, Janet Yellen, Li Shuo, Nancy Pelosi, Pelosi's, Alden Meyer, Yellen's, Fang Li, Valerie Volcovici, David Stanway, John Stonestreet Organizations: Observers, UN, U.S, Center, Global Energy, Greenpeace, Trump, ., Centre for Research, Energy, Clean, Global Energy Monitor, World Resources Institute, Thomson Locations: COP28 WASHINGTON, United States, China, Beijing, Washington, Paris, Taiwan, U.S, Xinjiang, Egypt, Singapore
SAN FRANCISCO, July 14 (Reuters) - SK Signet (260870.KN) told Reuters on Friday that it has signed a deal to supply 1,000 electric vehicle chargers to Francis Energy, in a move to tap federal funding on charging stations nationwide. The two are among several companies which were selected by Ohio state to receive more than $18 million in combined federal funds to build 27 electric vehicle fast charging stations along some of its interstate corridors. SK Signet, which also counts charging station operators Electrify America and EVgo (EVGO.O) as its customers, last month opened its first U.S. manufacturing facility in Texas. Ohio said all 27 stations announced this week will have the required Combined Charging System (CCS) plug, not Tesla connectors. "We’re considering whether to require it (the Tesla connector) or make it an optional enhancement in future rounds," a state official told Reuters.
Persons: Biden, Hyunjoo Jin, Aurora Ellis Organizations: FRANCISCO, SK Signet, Reuters, Francis Energy, EV, America, Ford, GM, Thomson Locations: Ohio, . Ohio, America, Texas
Vertical thrusters Horizontal thruster Viewport Horizontal thruster Vertical thrusters Horizontal thruster Viewport Horizontal thruster Titanium hemisphere Carbon fiber cylinder Titanium hemisphere Titanium hemisphere Carbon fiber cylinder Titanium hemisphereTitan had several cost-saving departures from proven submersible designs. And Titan’s carbon fiber cylinder was attached to titanium hemispheres, creating several joints of dissimilar materials that are challenging to bond properly. Titan Hull The pressure applied to a pill shape is distributed disproportionately and may cause collapse similar to a soda can being crushed. Titan The Polar Prince towed the Titan submersible through a harbor in St. John’s, Newfoundland, in May. Dolores Harvey/Alamy Alvin Alvin is brought out to sea aboard a scientific ship like Atlantis, shown here lifting Alvin over the water.
Persons: Hull, Alvin Hull, OceanGate, Oisin Fanning Alvin, Alvin, Tim Foecke, , Foecke, Rush, Arnie Weissmann, Dolores Harvey, Alvin Alvin, Andrew Von Kerens, submersibles, Alfred S, McLaren, Navy submariner, Kedar Kirane, Mr, Kirane Organizations: Titan, The New York Times, Oceangate, Oceanographic, Alvin, Stockton Rush, Travel, Explorers Club of New Locations: St, John’s, Newfoundland, Navy, Explorers Club of New York City
Data suggests recession risks remain high, but wages and U.S. and European interest rates are also still rising - so stick or twist? Here are five big calls investors are now making. Principal Global Investors chief global strategist Seema Shah said she maintained her view that government bonds would do well with recession still likely by year-end. Reuters Graphics4/ FRAGILE CHINASpluttering data, property market woes and meek economic stimulus have also busted new year bets of a Chinese mini-boom. Principal Global Investors' Shah said she still expected commodities to continue to struggle "because a combination of U.S. slowdown plus China slowdown should mean weak demand."
Persons: Bonds, Francesco Sandrini, Seema Shah, JP Morgan, Trevor Greetham, Florian Ielpo, Athanasios Vamvakidis, Morgan Stanley, Shah, Naomi Rovnick, Marc Jones, Alun John, Dhara Ranasinghe, Mark Potter Organizations: Treasury, Investors, Reuters, Global Investors, Royal London Asset Management, Lombard, Swiss, Bank of America, Fed, FX, JPMorgan, Thomson Locations: bitcoin, Europe's, British, tatters, Japan, CHINA
Mexico is now the US's top trade partner. Mexico surpassed China as the US's top manufacturing trade partner in 2023. In 2001, China joined the World Trade Organization, a group that grants members preferential tariffs when trading with one another. That access opened the door to China to become a leading trade and manufacturing hub, as the Dallas Fed pointed out. Mexico, for its part, benefits from increased trade with the US — beating out China in US trade volume means it's climbing on the world stage.
Persons: Luis Torres Organizations: Service, Dallas Fed, World Trade Organization, China, U.S, Dallas Locations: China, Mexico, Wall, Silicon, Washington, Beijing
Despite that huge jump in manufacturing construction, employment in the sector has been stagnant over the last year, suggesting filling the new factories with workers could be difficult. Notably, other advanced economies have not experienced such surges in manufacturing construction, according to the Treasury Department. Since President Joe Biden took office, around 800,000 manufacturing jobs were added, or a 6.5% growth rate. This year has seen manufacturing employment remain especially stagnant, growing by just around 4,000 employees since January. Though many of the 1.4 million manufacturing jobs lost at the beginning of the pandemic have been recovered, many economists are worried all these new factories across the country could struggle to find enough workers.
Persons: hasn't, Joe Biden, Tony Schmitz, Kendra Blacksher, industrials Organizations: Service, Census, Infrastructure Investment, Jobs, Treasury Department, Manufacturing, National Association of Manufacturers, . Manufacturers, Fortune , University of Tennessee, The American Society of Mechanical Engineers, Bloomberg, RSM Locations: Wall, Silicon, China, Tennessee, American
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 209,000 jobs last month, the smallest gain since December 2020, the survey of establishments showed. Government employment remains 161,000 below its pre-pandemic levels. Leisure and hospitality employment remains 369,000 below its pre-pandemic levels. The household survey from which the unemployment rate is derived showed employment rebounding 273,000, reversing the 310,000 decline in May. Reuters Graphics"Though demand for labor remains unmatched, the labor shortages that employers sighed over a year ago have definitely subsided some," said Andrew Flowers, lead labor economist at Appcast.
Persons: Sean Snaith, payrolls, Selcuk Eren, Andrew Flowers, Lucia Mutikani, Daniel Wallis, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Reserve, Labor, University of Central Florida's Institute, Economic, Reuters, Manufacturing, Institute for Supply, Treasury, Companies, Conference Board, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, U.S, Washington
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