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☆ Fed 'likely to tee the markets up' for September rate cut, Invesco says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed 'likely to tee the markets up' for September rate cut, Invesco saysBen Gutteridge, director of model portfolio services at Invesco, says the U.S. Federal Reserve may add another interest rate cut this year.

Persons: Invesco, Ben Gutteridge Organizations: Fed, U.S . Federal Locations: Invesco

☆ September most likely date for a Fed cut but things can change, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSeptember most likely date for a Fed cut but things can change, economist saysCarl Weinberg, chief economist at High Frequency Economics, comments on the probability of a September interest rate cut from the U.S. Federal Reserve.

Persons: Carl Weinberg Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve

☆ European stocks head for higher open as markets look ahead to U.S. inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

The UK economy has reportedly seen faster growth than initially estimated in early 2024. LONDON — European stocks are expected to open higher Thursday as global markets look ahead to the next U.S. inflation reading. Thursday's inflation report could cement expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in the coming months. Recent economic releases have suggested that inflation and economic growth are both cooling, including last week's report that unemployment in June ticked up to 4.1%. The consumer price index report for June will be released at 8:30 a.m.

Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: City of, LONDON, CAC, IG, U.S . Federal Locations: Bishopsgate, City, City of London

☆ Here's the inflation breakdown for June 2024 — in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

They also generally like to examine "core" inflation readings. The monthly core CPI reading was 0.1% in June, the smallest increase in about three years, since August 2021. Shelter inflation has moderated much slower than expected, one of the big reasons inflation hasn't yet fallen back to target, economists said. There were encouraging signals in the latest CPI report: Monthly shelter inflation dropped to 0.2% after being stuck at 0.4% for four consecutive months. Services inflation is the trouble spotInflation for physical goods spiked as the U.S. economy reopened in 2021.

Persons: David Paul Morris, Mark Zandi, Zandi, Sarah House, Aubrey George, George, Joe Seydl, Olivia Cross Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, U.S . Labor Department, Moody's, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, U.S . Federal Reserve, CPI, Housing, of Labor Statistics, Morgan Private Bank, Capital Economics, BLS Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, North America

☆ High inflation is largely not Biden's or Trump's fault, economists say
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The Federal Reserve, which acts independently from the Oval Office, was slow to act to contain hot inflation, for example. That Biden is seen as stoking high inflation is due somewhat to optics: he took office in early 2021, around the time inflation spiked notably, economists said. "In my view, neither Trump nor Biden is to blame for the high inflation," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. At a high level, hot inflation is largely an issue of mismatched supply and demand. For example, Trump imposed tariffs on imported steel, aluminum and several goods from China, which Biden largely kept intact.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Justin Sullivan, Trump, Biden, David Wessel, Mark Zandi, Wu Shaoyang, Wessel, Zandi, Stephen Brown, Eric Baradat, —, Michael Strain, Strain, Jerome Powell, Olivier Douliery Organizations: CNN, Getty, Federal Reserve, Biden, Trump, Hutchins, Brookings Institution, Moody's, Qingdao Port, International Monetary Fund, North, Capital Economics, American, Afp, American Enterprise Institute, Federal, . Federal Locations: Atlanta, U.S, Ukraine, Qingdao, Shandong Province, China, North America, Washington, It's

☆ Oil rebounds as U.S. stockpiles drop, interest rate cut outlook brightens
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices rebounded on Wednesday following three days of declines after an industry report showed U.S. crude and fuel stockpiles fell last week, indicating steady demand, and the outlook for interest rate cuts improved. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose 26 cents to $81.67 a barrel, after falling 1.1% in the previous session. Following Powell's comments investors continued to put a nearly 70% probability on a Fed rate cut in September. The outlook for higher oil prices was also supported by a U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) report on Tuesday showing global oil demand will outpace supply next year, reversing a prior forecast for a surplus. In Texas, oil and gas companies restarted some operations on Tuesday after Hurricane Beryl lashed the state, while some facilities sustained damage and power had not been fully restored.

Persons: WTI, Hurricane Beryl, Brent, Jerome Powell, Beryl Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, American Petroleum Institute, U.S . Federal, ANZ, U.S . Energy Information Administration Locations: Maricopa, Kern County , California, Texas, Hurricane, U.S

☆ The Fed may soon cut interest rates. That could make your next trip abroad more expensive
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

SeongJoon Cho/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesThe U.S. Federal Reserve may start cutting interest rates before year's end. How interest rates impact the U.S. dollarIn reality, the dynamics driving dollar fluctuations are more complex than whether the Fed raises or lowers interest rates. The European Central Bank cut interest rates in June, for example. This is happening against the backdrop of a relatively strong U.S. economy, which also generally supports a strong dollar, Petersen said. For example, investors generally get a better return on cash when interest rates are high.

Persons: SeongJoon Cho, Jonathan Petersen, Petersen, " Petersen, that's, Richard Madigan, Benjamin Atwater, Atwater, Morgan's Madigan, Jerome Powell, Bonnie Cash Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, . Federal, U.S ., Capital Economics, U.S, Morgan Private Bank, European Central Bank, Fed, Bank of Japan, U.S . Federal, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, ECB Locations: Japan, Asia, Denver, Europe, U.S

☆ Asia-Pacific markets slip as investors assess Japan inflation data; China CPI in focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Asia-Pacific markets started Wednesday lower, even as key Wall Street benchmarks rose following dovish comments from U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell overnight. Powell signaled caution over leaving interest rates at too high a level, saying that "reducing policy restraint too late or too little could unduly weaken economic activity and employment." Over in Asia, investors will assess inflation data from China and Japan, with China releasing its consumer and producer prices data for June. Japan's corporate goods price index rose to 2.9% in June from a year earlier, in line with expectations and climbing at a faster pace compared to a revised 2.6% in May. The CGPI measures the price changes of goods traded within the corporate sector.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: U.S . Federal, PPI Locations: Asia, Pacific, U.S, China, Japan

☆ European markets head for positive open as political worries subside
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Liverpool Street train station beneath the new skyline of skyscrapers in the City of London financial district on 14th February 2022 in London, United Kingdom. LONDON — European stocks are expected to open higher Wednesday as concerns over the political outlook in France subside. France's CAC 40 index closed 1.81% lower Tuesday as traders assessed the implications of a hung parliament and a period of political uncertainty in France. Asia-Pacific markets were mixed overnight, even as key Wall Street benchmarks rose following dovish comments from U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Tuesday. U.S. stock futures were little changed in overnight trading Tuesday after the S&P 500 notched a fresh record close.

Persons: Germany's DAX, Emmanuel Macron, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Liverpool, LONDON, CAC, IG, Front, NFP, U.S . Federal, National Grid Locations: City, London, United Kingdom, France, Asia, Pacific, U.S, Wetherspoons

☆ Earnings growth is the 'name of the game' right now, says CIO, naming 3 stocks to buy
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Though CIO Michael Landsberg of Landsberg Bennett Private Wealth Management says the conditions don't justify a cut, he says there might be one. "I think if Chairman Powell had not said, we're gonna get a rate cut, we wouldn't be having these discussions because earnings growth has been really strong. Against that backdrop, Landsberg says, investors should focus on companies generating strong earnings growth. "The major indices are continuing to rally based on strong earnings growth. Earnings growth is the name of the game for this stock market right now," he said in additional notes to CNBC.

Persons: Michael Landsberg, Landsberg Bennett, Powell, we're, CNBC's, he's, Landsberg, They've, Stryker Organizations: U.S . Federal, Wealth Management, Fed, West Texas, CNBC, Trade Locations: Landsberg, China, U.S

☆ Brent crude trades above $87, sets highest levels since April
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices for Brent crude hit their highest level since April on Thursday, holding above $87 after data the previous day showed a decline in U.S. inventories. Oil prices for Brent crude hit their highest level since April on Thursday, holding above $87 after data the previous day showed a decline in U.S. inventories. Brent crude futures were up 21 cents, or 0.2%, at $87.55 a barrel by 1922 GMT. In the previous session, Brent gained 1.3% to settle at $87.34 for its highest close since April 30. Those gains followed a larger than expected decline in U.S. crude stocks.

Persons: Brent, WTI, Martin King, King, Tamas Varga, Rosneft Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, U.S, Independence, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Reuters, RBN Energy, U.S . Federal Reserve, Saudi Aramco, OPEC, UBS Locations: Gaza, France, United Kingdom, Novorossiisk, Saudi, Asia, Oman, Dubai, OPEC, Swiss

☆ Hong Kong's IPO market is finally starting to turn around, consulting firm EY says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing celebrates the 24th anniversary of its listing on June 21, 2024. "We are seeing more of these [U.S. dollar] funds, they are moving back to Hong Kong. "I would say if the interest rate can be further cut down, 1% maybe, that would have a significant effect on the IPO market," Chan said. Hong Kong IPO returns are improving. "These things added together are projecting an upward trend for the Hong Kong market [in the] next 5 years."

Persons: George Chan, Chan, EY, Hong Kong, Marcia Ellis, Morrison Foerster, Hong Kong IPOs, China IPOs, Bonnie Chan, EY's George Chan, EY's Chan Organizations: Hong Kong Exchanges, China News Service, Getty, CNBC, Information, HK, China Securities Regulatory, Hong Kong . Investors, U.S . Federal Reserve, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, Hong, Hong Kong Locations: BEIJING, Hong Kong, China, U.S, Shanghai, Hong, Greater China

☆ Bitcoin slides to two-month low as Fed signals it's not ready to cut rates yet
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( Ryan Browne | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A worsening macroeconomic climate and the collapse of industry giants such as FTX and Terra have weighed on bitcoin's price this year. STR | Nurphoto via Getty ImagesBitcoin's price slumped to around $57,000 apiece Thursday, hitting a two-month low after the U.S. Federal Reserve released minutes from its June meeting indicating the central bank isn't yet ready to cut interest rates. Since then, bitcoin has pared losses somewhat and was trading at $57,932.57, down 3.4% as of 5:05 p.m. London time. Higher interest rates are typically less favorable for bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as it dampens investor risk appetite. ETFs allow investors to buy a product that tracks the price of bitcoin without owning the underlying cryptocurrency.

Persons: bitcoin, Bitcoin, Crypto, CCData Organizations: Getty, U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve, Securities and Exchange Commission Locations: London, U.S, Gox

LONDON — European stocks closed higher Wednesday, as sentiment remains on edge ahead of two major elections. The index provisionally closed 0.8% higher, with most sectors in the green led by mining stocks, up 2.3%. Maersk shares ticked 3.8% higher after the shipping giant withdrew from sales talks with logistics firm DB Schenker. It comes as figures showed softening in the U.S. labor market. ADP data showed less private payroll growth than expected in June, while weekly jobless claims numbers came in higher than forecast.

Persons: Vincent Clerc, Jerome Powell Organizations: Maersk, DB Schenker, Labour Party, Reuters, U.S, Federal Locations: France, Asia, Pacific, U.S

☆ Oil inches higher on summer demand outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

That led analysts to forecast supply deficits in the third quarter as transportation and air-conditioning demand during summer draw down fuel stockpiles. WTI's recent rally may extend towards $85 a barrel if prices remain above the 200-day moving average at $79.52, he said. In the U.S., oil production and demand rose to a four-month high in April, according to the Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Petroleum Supply Monthly report published on Friday. Traders are watching out for the impact from hurricanes on oil and gas production and consumption in the Americas. In China, the latest manufacturing data did not bode well for oil demand in the world's no.2 consumer and top crude importer.

Persons: Brent, Tony Sycamore, Hurricane Beryl, Beryl, bode Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, U.S . Federal, Hezbollah, Energy, Petroleum Supply, Traders, Atlantic, National Hurricane Center Locations: OPEC, Europe, Israel, U.S, Americas, Windward, China

☆ Fed and European Central Bank could cut interest rates in September, Morgan Stanley strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivers remarks during a press conference following the announcement that the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged, in Washington, U.S., June 12, 2024. The U.S. Federal Reserve and European Central Bank could move to cut interest rates in September as key data provides further signs that inflation is cooling in the U.S. and the euro zone, a Morgan Stanley strategist said Friday. "We're more optimistic that both the Fed and ECB will cut rates in September," he told "Squawk Box Europe." And I think, for the Fed, inflation is continuing to fall," he added. A majority of economists polled by Reuters now anticipate the Fed will cut interest rates from its current range of 5.25% to 5.50% this September, with a further trim projected later in the year.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Morgan Stanley, Andrew Sheets, Sheets Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, CNBC, Fed, ECB, Reuters Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, Europe

☆ Treasury yields inch higher ahead of PCE inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by one basis point to 4.2980%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.7244% after rising by less than one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly higher on Friday as investors awaited the latest personal consumption expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve's favored inflation measure. Investors are looking to the release of the latest inflation data that could provide hints about the state of the economy and the path ahead for monetary policy. Federal Reserve policymakers have frequently indicated they would only move to cut rates once data showed that inflation was easing toward the 2% target.

Persons: Michelle Bowman Organizations: Treasury, Federal, PCE, Reserve, Traders

☆ Strategist explains why he thinks Trump will be flat to negative for the U.S. dollar
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStrategist explains why he thinks Trump will be flat to negative for the U.S. dollarMarko Papic of Clocktower Group says that the U.S. Federal Reserve is "on autopilot" and will cut interest rates in September, regardless of the upcoming presidential elections.

Persons: Trump, Marko Papic Organizations: U.S, Clocktower, U.S . Federal

☆ European stocks set to open higher as investors await fresh inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

LONDON — European stocks are poised to open higher Friday as investors look ahead to key inflation data from the euro zone and U.S. Regional stocks ended the previous session lower, as retail was dragged lower after a profit miss for H&M. Markets are watching out for fresh inflation data from France, Italy and Spain later in the session, while Germany releases unemployment figures and retail sales. Asia-Pacific markets climbed on Friday as investors assessed key economic data out of Japan. Meanwhile, U.S. stock futures were mixed ahead of the release of May's core personal consumption expenditures price index, the U.S. Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, Friday morning.

Organizations: Regional, U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: U.S, France, Italy, Spain, Germany, Asia, Pacific, Japan, U.S .

☆ European markets head for negative open as inflation worries persist
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-27 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A photo shows the bell during a bell ceremony of the Euronext Brussels Stock Exchange in Brussels on March 18, 2024. LONDON — European stocks are expected to open in negative territory Thursday as global inflation worries continue to rattle markets. Global market attention is shifting toward fresh U.S. inflation data on Friday, with May's personal consumption expenditures price index, the U.S. Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, due to be released. Data releases in Europe Thursday include Italy's latest consumer and business confidence numbers, and Spanish retail sales. An EU leader' summit begins in Brussels on Thursday and the Bank of England publishes its latest Financial Stability Report.

Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: Euronext Brussels Stock Exchange, LONDON, CAC, IG, Global, U.S, U.S . Federal, U.S ., Bank of England Locations: Brussels, U.S ., Asia, Pacific, Europe, EU

☆ European markets head for positive open as global chip stocks stabilize
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-26 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A Trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange in New York City, June 24, 2024. LONDON — European stocks are expected to open higher Wednesday, reversing negative sentiment seen in the previous trading session. The positive open anticipated for European markets comes after rocky trade in the region, and elsewhere globally, after a tech-driven selloff — although volatility in the sector appeared to stabilize after chipmaking giant Nvidia rallied Tuesday. Wall Street is likely to shift its attention toward fresh U.S. inflation data on Friday with the release of May's personal consumption expenditures price index, the U.S. Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. Data releases in Europe on Wednesday include Germany's GFK consumer survey for July and European consumer confidence data for June.

Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, LONDON, CAC, IG, Nvidia, U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: New York City, Asia, Pacific, U.S ., Europe, Mulberry

☆ Asian shares shaky as investors wary before US inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-26 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Risk sentiment was also capped as hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials kept near-term U.S. rate cut expectations in check in a boost to the dollar. The comments along with data showing a stable housing market kept expectations in check over when and by how much the Fed will cut rates. Markets are pricing in 47 basis points of easing this year, with a rate cut in September pegged at 66% probability, CME FedWatch tool showed. In the currency market, the dollar index , which measures the U.S. unit against six peers, was steady at 105.64, while the euro was at $1.0715. The yen touched a 34-year low of 160.245 per dollar on April 29, prompting Tokyo to spend roughly 9.8 trillion in late April and early May to support the currency.

Persons: Androniki, Lisa Cook, Cook, Michelle Bowman, Selena Ling, OCBC, OCBC's Ling, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, . Federal, Reuters, Bank of Japan's, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, SINGAPORE, U.S, Asia, Pacific

☆ U.S. PCE data will 'probably not bring much surprise', portfolio manager says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. PCE data will 'probably not bring much surprise', portfolio manager saysLuca Castoldi, senior portfolio manager at Reyl Intesa Sanpaolo Singapore discusses the outlook for global markets and the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy.

Persons: Luca Castoldi Organizations: U.S, PCE, U.S . Federal Locations: Singapore, U.S .

☆ 'Excellent buying opportunities': Morgan Stanley's Slimmon names 3 stocks he likes right now
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | In Amala-Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Equity markets have been rallying in the past week, with the S & P 500 benchmark briefly hitting a high of 5,500 last week before losing traction. That movement has raised concerns on whether valuations are stretched, but Morgan Stanley's Andrew Slimmon has maintained his bullish stance on the stock market. "But what's important to remember is that the S & P 500 has rallied 7 of the last 8 months and is up 40% from the October lows. One merit of large-cap stocks is that they "have better earnings revisions than the small-caps," since they buy back their stocks more aggressively, he explained. Three stocks Slimmon likes right now include investment bank JPMorgan Chase , insurance company Progressive Corp and Irish building materials company CRH .

Persons: Morgan Stanley's Andrew Slimmon, I'm, CNBC's, Slimmon Organizations: Morgan Stanley Investment Management, CNBC, U.S . Federal Reserve, JPMorgan Chase, Progressive Corp

☆ Oil prices slip as rate hike worries come into focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Working oil pumpjacks dot the landscape on oilfields on the outskirts of Taft, Kern County, California on Sept. 21, 2023. Crude oil futures slid in early trade on Friday on the prospect of higher-for-longer interest rates in Asia and the United States, while falling U.S. oil inventories kept prices from moving lower. Japan's core consumer prices last month gained 2.5% from a year earlier, data showed on Friday, growing from the previous month and keeping the country's central bank on track to raise interest rates higher in the coming months. U.S. data released on Thursday showed that the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell in the week ended June 14, with broader strength in the jobs market persisting. Higher interest rates typically weigh on economies and, in turn, on oil demand.

Persons: Bob Yawger Organizations: Brent, U.S . Federal, Energy Information Administration, EIA, Mizuho Locations: Taft, Kern County , California, Asia, United States, U.S, New York

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