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Dado Ruvic | ReutersThe Bitcoin network on Friday night slashed the incentives rewarded to miners in half for the fourth time in its history. JPMorgan said it expects to see some downside in bitcoin post-halving and Deutsche Bank said it "does not expect prices to increase significantly." However, the impact may be bigger months from now, even if bitcoin continues its trend of diminishing returns from its halving day to its cycle top. "This process, known as mining, rewards miners with newly minted bitcoins. But with each halving, the reward to mining is decreased to maintain scarcity and control the cryptocurrency's inflation rate over time."
Persons: Dado Ruvic, bitcoin, Mark Palmer, Matthew Galinko, Marion Laboure Organizations: JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, Miners
watch nowThe Bitcoin network on Friday evening completed its fourth "halving," reducing the rewards earned by miners to 3.125 bitcoins from 6.25. After the 2012, 2016 and 2020 halvings, the bitcoin price ran up about 93x, 30x and 8x, respectively, from its halving day price to its cycle top. Hash rates are a measure of the computational power used to process transactions on the bitcoin network. "The market so far has seen bitcoin mining stocks as mere BTC proxies, in absence of bitcoin ETFs," said Bernstein analyst Gautam Chhugani. "[The] Bitcoin halving is already partially priced in by the market and we do not expect prices to increase significantly following the halving event," the firm's Marion Laboure said in a note Thursday, adding that it "has been widely anticipated in advance due to the nature of the Bitcoin algorithm."
Persons: Reginald Smith, Bernstein, Gautam Chhugani, MARA, Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, Marion Laboure Organizations: Metrics, JPMorgan, BTC, IRIS, Deutsche Bank Locations: Friday's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Bitcoin halving is set to shake up the crypto's price and the network's minersThe Bitcoin halving takes place roughly every four years, and the technical event cuts the reward pays out to miners for validating blocks of transactions. This creates a scarcity effect that could drive up the price of the cryptocurrency, while cutting miners' revenue, meaning more efficient miners perform better post-halving. Watch the video above to learn more about what the halving means for both crypto markets, and for the bitcoin miners validating transactions on the network.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBitcoin jumps to $63,000, but JPMorgan says the crypto could decline post-halving: CNBC Crypto WorldCNBC Crypto World features the latest news and daily trading updates from the digital currency markets and provides viewers with a look at what's ahead with high-profile interviews, explainers, and unique stories from the ever-changing crypto industry. On today's show, Taras Kulyk, founder and CEO of SunnySide Digital, a wholesale distributor of data center and digital mining hardware and infrastructure, weighs in on what to expect following the upcoming bitcoin halving.
Persons: explainers, Taras Kulyk Organizations: JPMorgan, CNBC Crypto, CNBC, SunnySide Digital
While most of the public cryptocurrency miners are positioned to survive the supply shock of the bitcoin halving, JPMorgan has named its top picks. "With the bitcoin halving on the horizon, we expect heightened volatility and trading volume in both bitcoin and mining stocks," Reginald Smith, an analyst at JPMorgan, said in a note this week. The bitcoin halving is estimated to take place in the next couple of days , and mining companies are preparing for reduced rewards revenue that will follow the event. Nevertheless, uncertainty ahead of the halving has pressured mining stocks, most of which are down double digits for the year. The halving occurs when incentives for bitcoin miners shrink to 3.125 newly created bitcoins — or about $20,000 at Thursday morning's prices — from 6.25, as mandated by the code of the bitcoin blockchain.
Persons: Reginald Smith, Smith, Iris, Iris Energy, MARA, CleanSpark, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Iris Energy, Iris
The bitcoin halving is set to take place in the next few days, which will cut miners' main stream of revenue in half. "We believe a bitcoin price above $60,000-$65,000 means the halving is de-risked for nearly all public miners," Needham analyst John Todaro wrote in a note to clients on Tuesday. It currently costs miners between $36,000 and $52,700 to mine a single bitcoin, Todaro said. Miners offer amplified exposure to bitcoin's price action, which has been more volatile since the launch of bitcoin ETFs introduced more leverage to the market. "That's propelled bitcoin to a threshold where the miners are really generating healthy economics," said Colonnese.
Persons: , Needham, John Todaro, Todaro, Iris, Mike Colonnese, Wainwright, Iris Energy, bitcoin, it's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Marathon, Iris Energy, Cipher Mining, Miners, H.C, Iris, JPMorgan Locations: exahash
Breaking down Bitcoin's upcoming 'halving' event
  + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBreaking down Bitcoin's upcoming 'halving' eventHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.
Persons: Brian Sullivan, Organizations: CNBC
Citi says it may be too early to classify bitcoin as "digital gold" despite its safe haven properties and recent correlation with the yellow metal. Many bitcoin fans regard the cryptocurrency as a digital version of gold because of its finite supply and its function as a store of value. Citi analyst Alex Saunders acknowledged that it can and has displayed both safe haven and risk asset behaviors, but said the digital gold analogy isn't yet warranted. Bitcoin does not yet exhibit the 'store-of-value' properties of gold, despite both being limited-supply, zero-coupon-bearing instruments." "Adoption of the emergent blockchain technology will be key to the long-term utility of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies," he added.
Persons: Alex Saunders, , Saunders, bitcoin, Michael Bloom Organizations: Citi Locations: East
Morgan Stanley — Shares added 3.2% after Morgan Stanley topped first-quarter expectations on wealth management, trading and advisory results. The company reported earnings of $2.02 a share, while analysts polled by LSEG had called for $1.66 a share. Revenue came out at $15.14 billion for the period, surpassing analysts expectations of $14.41 billion. Johnson & Johnson — The stock fell slightly even after the pharmaceutical giant topped quarterly earnings expectations and benefitted from a jump in medical device sales. Revenue came in at $21.38 billion, roughly in line with the $21.4 billion expected by analysts polled by LSEG.
Persons: UnitedHealth, Morgan Stanley —, Morgan Stanley, LSEG, Johnson, Smith, Tesla, Elon Musk, , Samantha Subin, Tanaya Macheel, Michelle Fox Theobald Organizations: Revenue, Wall Street Journal, Justice Department, Ticketmaster, LSEG, Bank of America, Tesla Locations: The, LSEG
UnitedHealth posted better-than-expected first-quarter revenue and reaffirmed its full-year earnings forecast of $27.50 to $28 per share excluding items. Johnson & Johnson — The drugmaker slipped 2% despite beating first-quarter profit estimates and reporting in-line revenue. Johnson & Johnson adjusted its full-year sales forecast for 2024 to a range of $88 billion to $88.4 billion compared to a previous forecast of $87.8 billion to $88.6 billion. The firm also surpassed analysts' earnings and revenue estimates. Bank of America — Charlotte-based Bank of America fell 3.5% after quarterly profit tumbled 18% to $6.67 billion , or 76 cents a share.
Persons: UnitedHealth, Johnson, Morgan Stanley —, Tesla, , Sarah Min, Tanaya Macheel Organizations: Dow Jones, FactSet, Johnson, Technologies, Barclays, Live, Entertainment, Journal, U.S . Department of Justice, Bank of America, of America, Revenue
JPMorgan — The bank slipped 2.4% despite beating expectations on both lines and reporting lower credit costs than anticipated. Wells Fargo — Wells Fargo shares vacillated after reporting first-quarter earnings , but were recently up less than 1%. The bank topped Wall Street's expectations on the top and bottom lines, but reported a decline in net interest income. Citigroup — Shares rose more than 2% after the bank posted $21.1 billion in revenue , which was higher than analysts' expectations of $20.4 billion, according to LSEG. Globe Life — The insurer jumped about 9% in Friday's extended trading, rebounding after tumbling more than 50% in the prior session.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, LSEG, Thursday's, Raymond James, , Macheel, Samantha Subin, Sarah Min, Michelle Fox Organizations: JPMorgan, Citigroup —, BlackRock, Blackrock, Research, Paramount, Skydance, Wolfe Research, Corteva, Citi Locations: Wells, LSEG
Wells Fargo — Shares of the bank inched lower by less than 1% after it reported a decline in net interest income during the first quarter. Wells Fargo did beat analyst expectations for its first-quarter adjusted earnings and revenue. Globe Life — The life insurance stock bounced 10% after plummeting more than 50% during Thursday's session. The firm said shares were not worth purchasing ahead of the first quarter earnings report, given the weakness expected. Ciena — Shares slipped nearly 3% after Citi initiated coverage of the software company with a sell rating.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, Wells, LSEG, Corteva, Librela, — CNBC's Michelle Fox, Alex Harring, Tanaya Macheel, Pia Singh Organizations: JPMorgan, Street, Wells Fargo, BlackRock —, BlackRock, Fuzzy Panda Research, Paramount, Skydance Media, Citi, Wall Street, Solensia, Arista Networks, Rosenblatt
Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Bitcoin (BTC), entering its fourth halving period next week. After the 2012, 2016 and 2020 halvings, the bitcoin price ran up about 93x, 30x and 8x, respectively, from its halving day price to its cycle top. The halving occurs when incentives for bitcoin miners are cut by half, as mandated by the code of the Bitcoin blockchain. Zoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwardsThat $30 million assumes a bitcoin price of about $70,000. Diminishing returns from halving to halving Bitcoin has always shot to the moon in the months following its halving – that's what makes it such a celebrated day among enthusiasts.
Persons: Yu Chun Christopher Wong, bitcoin, Antoni Trenchev, it's, Steven Lubka, Swan Bitcoin, Trenchev, Swan's Lubka, Lubka Organizations: S3studio, Wall, Swan, Miners
The e-mini futures contracts tied to the S & P 500 just posted their third negative "outside day" in the past eight sessions. Outside days happen when the range of a security's price sees higher highs and lower lows than it did the day before. The previous day's trading period should be smaller in range and should have closed higher. It also posted negative outside days on April 4 and April 1. Chart analysts are shrugging off the recent trio of outside down days, however, saying they don't threaten the longer-term up trend.
Persons: Tom Fitzpatrick, R.J, O'Brien, Ari Wald, Oppenheimer, Will Tamplin, Nick Wells
CarMax — The used vehicle seller tumbled 13% after reporting fourth-quarter earnings of 32 cents per share on revenue of $5.63 billion. Analysts had expected earnings per share of 49 cents on revenue of $5.80 billion, according to LSEG, formerly known as Refinitiv. Nike — The athletic apparel maker added 3.2% after Bank of America upgraded Nike to buy from neutral. The deal values Alpine shares at $65, roughly 67% above its close on Tuesday, the day before reports that Alpine was considering its options. Atlassian — Shares rose 3.2% after Barclays upgraded the software maker to overweight from equal weight and raised its price target.
Persons: CNBC's David Faber, David Ellison, Faber, Lisa Kailai Han, Sarah Min, Yun Li, Samantha Subin, Michelle Fox, Alex Harring Organizations: Nike, Bank of America, Paramount, Skydance Media, Sciences, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, U.S . Space Force Space Systems Command, Constellation, Constellation Brands, LSEG, Barclays
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBitcoin swings after hot inflation data pushes rate cut expectations to September: CNBC Crypto WorldCNBC Crypto World features the latest news and daily trading updates from the digital currency markets and provides viewers with a look at what's ahead with high-profile interviews, explainers, and unique stories from the ever-changing crypto industry. On today's show, Ari Juels, author and chief scientist at Chainlink Labs, discusses what he thinks are the misleading narratives tied to the convergence of AI and blockchain technology.
Persons: explainers, Ari Juels Organizations: CNBC Crypto, CNBC, Chainlink Labs
Nvidia — Stock in the chipmaker slipped less than 1% before the opening bell, but the artificial intelligence play and "Magnificent Seven" leader officially entered correction territory on Tuesday. Shares have fallen 10% from an all-time closing high of $950 per share on March 25. Alibaba Group — The China-based e-commerce stock rose nearly 3% on media reports that co-founder Jack Ma touted the company's management in an internal memo to employees. GoodRx — Shares climbed nearly 4% after KeyBanc upgraded the telemedicine stock to overweight on the heels of a strong subscriber growth forecast. Deckers Outdoor — Shares slipped more than 2% after Truist downgraded the footwear stock to hold over concerns that demand for core products including Hoka is declining.
Persons: Jack Ma, Truist, Ed Bastian, , Sarah Min, Tanaya Macheel Organizations: Nvidia —, Alibaba, Albemarle —, Bank of America, KeyBanc, Delta Air Lines, CNBC Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Locations: China
Some bitcoin miners won't survive when the upcoming halving slashes their revenue in half, but the ones that do survive will thrive, and Rosenblatt Securities says TeraWulf is its top pick in the category. The firm initiated coverage of the bitcoin miner with a buy rating and $4.20 price target Tuesday. Mining stocks like TeraWulf offer amplified exposure to the bitcoin price, with enhanced returns during bull cycles but increased volatility in bear markets. TeraWulf's estimated cost to mine a bitcoin this year is about $25,000 ahead of the halving and $37,000 after. Miners have been hard at work to enhance their fleet efficiency and lower their operating costs — largely power costs.
Persons: WULF, Rosenblatt, Andrew Bond, Bond, Bitcoin, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Rosenblatt Securities, Metrics Locations: Maryland, U.S
Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Ford after the company reassessed its electric vehicle strategy. That "paints path to ~$230-$290 stock price as we argue AMZN could warrant an even higher multiple in this scenario," he added. — Michelle Fox 7:38 a.m.: Evercore hikes Disney price target, points out near-term catalysts Walt Disney has a bright near-term outlook, according to Evercore ISI. In addition to cutting his price target, Harned also pulled down his outlook for free cash flow and deliveries. — Alex Harring 5:48 a.m.: KeyBanc raises Nvidia price target There's no slowing down Nvidia , according to KeyBanc.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, KeyBanc, Brian Nowak, Jon Tower, — Michelle Fox, Walt Disney, Vijay Jayant's, Jayant, Bob Iger, — Lisa Kailai Han, David Palmer, Palmer, Uber, — Alex Harring, Bernstein, Douglas Harned, Harned, Dave Calhoun, Alex Harring, Anthony Chukumba, Chukumba, selloff, Ross Seymore, Seymore, TD Cowen, Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, there's, John Blackledge, Blackledge, Jason Bazinet, Bazinet, There's, Goldman, Goldman Sachs, Kate McShane, McShane, BJ, Mark Strouse, Strouse, Adam Jonas, Jonas, Ford, John Vinh, Vinh, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Monday's, Ford, Nvidia, Amazon, Citi Citi, Grill, ISI, Disney, India's Reliance Industries, Reliance Industries, Netflix, Hulu, Boeing, Dow Jones, Capital, Loop Capital, Deutsche Bank, Broadcom, VMWare, JPMorgan, Citi, BJ's Wholesale, GE, GE Vernova Locations: Michigan, Alaska, F1Q, California, The Massachusetts, Friday's, China
Altice USA — The cable television firm tumbled more than 12% after Wells Fargo downgraded the stock to underweight from equal weight. Krispy Kreme — Shares jumped 6% after Piper Sandler upgraded the stock to overweight from neutral. Cinemark — The movie theater chain climbed 4.4% on the back of a double upgrade to overweight from underweight by Wells Fargo. Snowflake — The cloud company added 2.5% after Rosenblatt upgraded the stock to buy from a neutral rating, citing strong customer interest. Agilent Technologies — The life sciences applications stock rose nearly 3% after Stifel upgraded it to buy from hold.
Persons: Wells, Steven Cahall, Tesla, Elon Musk, Piper Sandler, McDonald's, Cinemark, Rosenblatt, Daniel Arias, Johnson, — CNBC's Hakyung Kim, Alex Harring, Samantha Subin, Michelle Fox Organizations: USA, Reuters, EV, Investors, Energy, Citi, Technologies, Stifel, Shockwave, Johnson, Israel Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo
"Bitcoin & Nasdaq 100 reflect the speculative fever fostered by cheap money after dovish Fed pivots, such as occurred 4Q 2023," Bannister said. Shortly after, on March 28, the S & P 500 reached a new intraday all-time high . .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD If was indeed its peak, that could mean a weaker Nasdaq 100 for six months, Bannister said. Additionally the S & P 500, which is cap weighted, could struggle against the equal-weight S & P 500 for about six months. "When the equal-weighted S & P 500 out-performs the S & P 500, then value tends to out-perform growth," he said.
Persons: Barry Bannister, Bannister, Bitcoin, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Big Tech, Nasdaq, Big Tech Nasdaq
Intel — Shares fell more than 4% after the company disclosed a growing operating loss in its semiconductor manufacturing business. Tesla — The electric vehicle maker slipped roughly 1% after Guggenheim and Deutsche Bank slashed their price targets on the stock. The target cuts follow Tesla reporting much weaker-than-expected first-quarter delivery numbers . Dave & Buster's — Shares jumped 5% after the restaurant and entertainment chain increased its share repurchase authorization by $100 million, bringing the total available share repurchase authorization to $200 million. Ally Financial — Shares slipped 2% following a downgrade to underweight from neutral at Morgan Stanley.
Persons: Tesla, Buster's, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Richard Shane, Hakyung Kim, Brian Evans, Lisa Han, Jesse Pound Organizations: Intel —, Intel, Guggenheim, Deutsche Bank, Paramount, The New York Times, Cal, Maine Foods
Hedge fund billionaire and New York Mets owner Steve Cohen said he owns "very little" bitcoin, though he didn't specify its value. "My son is really into it, and he had me play around and try to figure out how to transact on Coinbase," Cohen told CNBC's "Squawk Box" on Wednesday. Still, he appears to be following along with investors across the world who have been trying to understand how to value bitcoin and whether it belongs in a portfolio. BTC.CM= 1Y mountain Bitcoin (BTC) over the past year Cohen also made the point that bitcoin represents just a slice of the broader market of cryptocurrencies and the opportunities for their underlying blockchain technology. "Bitcoin is separate from crypto ... ultimately, it's about use case – will crypto develop use cases?"
Persons: Steve Cohen, Cohen, CNBC's, it's, There's Organizations: New York Mets, Point72 Asset Management, Point72 Ventures, SEC Locations: cryptocurrencies
Spotify Technology – The music-streaming company popped more than 8%. Bloomberg reported that Spotify is upping prices for its premium subscription service within several markets, including the U.S. Ford Motor announced that first-quarter U.S. sales rose 7% from a year ago, while electric vehicle sales jumped 86%. SoFi Technologies – Shares of the financial technology company rose 4.7% after Needham initiated coverage with a buy rating . GE Aerospace – GE Aerospace surged more than 6%, a day after the conglomerate once known as General Electric completed the spinoff of its power business.
Persons: Ulta, Dave, Buster's, Wells, Tesla, Nelson Peltz, Needham, , Alex Harring, Hakyung Kim, Tanaya Macheel, Jesse Pound Organizations: Intel, Spotify Technology, Bloomberg, Spotify, U.S, Cal, Disney – Disney, Signet, Ford, Ford Motor, GE Aerospace – GE Aerospace, Electric, GE Vernova, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Cal, Maine
Bitcoin fell for a second day to start the new month and quarter, amid rising Treasury yields and strength in the U.S. dollar. Data from CryptoQuant shows a spike in that exchange's reserves, which typically signals a boost in selling activity, that coincides with the sudden drop in bitcoin price late Monday night. Crypto exchange Coinbase fell 4%, while software provider MicroStrategy , which largely trade as a proxy for the price of bitcoin, lost nearly 7%. Investors are looking toward the bitcoin halving – which will slash the reward, and therefore revenue, of bitcoin miners – in the second half of the month. The event could hurt the performance of miners but historically has set bitcoin up for rallies of 300% or more in the months that follow.
Persons: Bitcoin, Joel Kruger, Stocks, Coinbase Organizations: Metrics, U.S ., LMAX, Marathon
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