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☆ Morning Bid: Quietly absorbing one more Fed hike
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

A sign is seen outside the 11 Wall St. entrance of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, U.S., March 1, 2021. Early Tuesday, futures priced almost a two-thirds chance of that additional quarter-point move in November. And yet - perhaps with the uncertainty dissipating, the economy still robust and bond markets better priced - world markets appear to be taking the tighter odds in their stride. More impressively in the circumstances, restive bond markets calmed down and bond yields continued to dial back from their highest in over a decade last week. Asia bourses more widely and European indices were higher, while Wall St futures were flat ahead of the open.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell's, Jackson, Gina Raimondo, China's, Idalia, Michael Barr, JM Smucker, Susan Fenton Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Atlanta, Overseas, U.S . Commerce, Garden Holdings, Wall, U.S, Dallas Fed, Federal, Treasury, HP, Reuters Graphics, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson, Reuters Locations: New York, U.S, Washington, Beijing, China, HK, Asia, Florida's, Coast, Cuba

☆ Regional banks face another hit as regulators force them to raise debt levels
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-29 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Saul Loeb | AFP | Getty ImagesU.S. regulators on Tuesday unveiled plans to force regional banks to issue debt and bolster their so-called living wills, steps meant to protect the public in the event of more failures. Higher funding costsThe requirements will create "moderately higher funding costs" for regional banks, the agencies acknowledged. Still, the industry will have three years to conform to the new rule once enacted, and many banks already hold acceptable forms of debt, according to the regulators. They estimated that regional banks already have roughly 75% of the debt they will ultimately need to hold. Analysts have focused on the debt requirements because that is the most impactful change for bank shareholders.

Persons: Martin Gruenberg, Saul Loeb, Banks, Gruenberg, What's, Morgan Stanley, Manan Gosalia Organizations: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Banking, Urban Affairs, Capitol, AFP, Getty, Treasury Department, Office, Currency, Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, FDIC, Brookings Institution, Silicon Valley Bank, Regulators, Analysts, T Bank, Citizens Financial, Northern Trust, Fifth Third Bancorp, Bank Locations: Washington , DC, Silicon

☆ TD expects penalties from US probes on money laundering
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) logos are seen outside of a branch in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, May 26, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Wattie/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsCompanies Toronto-Dominion Bank FollowTORONTO, Aug 24 (Reuters) - TD Bank Group (TD.TO) on Thursday said it expects fines and "non-monetary" penalties related to investigations by U.S. authorities over its anti-money laundering compliance program. "The bank is cooperating with such authorities and is pursuing efforts to enhance its Bank Secrecy Act/anti-money laundering compliance program," TD said in the filing. "What I can say ... we are pursuing efforts to enhance our U.S. AML compliance program," he told analysts. The lender scrapped its planned $13.4 billion acquisition of U.S. regional lender First Horizon earlier this year, a move that was cheered by investors amid the U.S. regional banking crisis.

Persons: Chris Wattie, Canada's, Bharat Masrani, TD, Gabriel Dechaine, Denny Thomas, Nivedita Balu, Deepa Babington Organizations: Dominion Bank, REUTERS, Rights Companies, TORONTO, Bank Group, U.S, U.S . Department of Justice, Bank, First, National Bank, DOJ, Thomson Locations: Toronto, Ottawa , Ontario, Canada, Rights Companies Toronto, U.S

☆ Dow, S&P 500 end down as US interest-rate worries mount, bank shares slip
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-22 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A Wall Street sign is pictured outside the New York Stock Exchange in New York, October 28, 2013. Financials (.SPBK) were the biggest drag on the S&P 500. An S&P downgrade of multiple regional U.S. lenders weighed on bank shares, with both the KBW regional banking index (.KRX) and the S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) sharply lower. According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 11.90 points, or 0.27%, to end at 4,387.87 points, while the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) gained 10.01 points, or 0.07%, to 13,507.60. Shares of Nvidia hit an all-time high of $481.87 early but were lower on the day.

Persons: Carlo Allegri, Jerome Powell, Peter Tuz, Caroline Valetkevitch, Amruta Khandekar, Shinjini Ganguli, Maju Samuel, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Nvidia, NEW YORK, Dow, Reserve, Nasdaq, Investors, Chase Investment, Treasury, Dow Jones, . Department, Kohl's Corp, Nordstrom Inc, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Charlottesville , Virginia

☆ These banks are solid and cheap. But here's why investors should be cautious
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-22 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

But the Club is exercising caution when it comes to our two bank names: Wells Fargo (WFC) and Morgan Stanley (MS). Shares of Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley have lost 8.52% and 13.73%, respectively, during the same period. Still, big banks will ultimately be able to manage any new regulatory hurdles, Oppenheimer's Chris Kotowski told CNBC. For Wells Fargo, the company is buying back the most stock of any of the big banks. A combination file photo shows Wells Fargo, Citibank, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Goldman Sachs.

Persons: Wells, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer, Banks, Moody's, Chris Kotowski, Oppenheimer, Jim, Morgan, Charles Scharf, Jim Cramer's, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Silicon Valley Bank, Wells, Valley Bank, UBS Group, UBS, Credit Suisse, Federal Reserve, Street, Bank of New York Mellon, BK, P Global, CNBC, Club, Big Tech, Citibank, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Reuters Locations: Wells Fargo, Silicon, U.S

☆ Robust equities erode gold's safe-haven allure as ETF holdings fall
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( Deep Kaushik Vakil | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

(Reuters) -Receding fears of a U.S. slowdown, surging bond yields and the robust performance of equities have gradually eroded the appeal of exchange-traded funds (ETF) backed by traditional safe-haven gold this year, despite sticky inflation. The biggest ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, saw holdings dwindle to pre-pandemic levels. [GOL/ETF]Investors typically buy gold during times of financial and economic uncertainty and rising inflation. [GOL/]“Gold has fallen into disfavour as a hedge against economic uncertainty for many institutional investors,” said Ross Norman, chief executive of Metals Daily. Equities have outperformed gold despite higher interest rates, while rival safe-haven Treasury bonds have attracted investors away from gold, which doesn’t earn any interest or dividends.

Persons: Ilya Naymushin, ”, Ross Norman, Carsten Menke, Julius Baer, Gold, Philip Newman, Newman, hasn’t Organizations: Reuters, REUTERS, World Gold Council, Investors, U.S, Metals Daily, U.S . Federal, Treasury, Metals Locations: U.S, Siberian, Krasnoyarsk, Russia, disfavour, “

☆ There are 2 big catalysts that could spark a stock market rally this week, according to Fundstrat
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Investors should expect a stock market rally this week amid two big catalysts, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee. Lee expects solid earnings from Nvidia and dovish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole. "I think the Fed might be worried something's going to break" amid a renewed surge in interest rates, Lee said. The key will be the direction of interest rates but we see positive catalysts emerging at the end of this week," Lee said. The second catalyst investors should watch this week is Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole on Friday, which comes amid a renewed surge in interest rates.

Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, Jerome Powell, Jackson, Jerome Powell's, Powell Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Federal, Bank Locations: Wall, Silicon, China

☆ Why stock investors are suddenly so scared
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-18 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

That means that if China’s economy slows down, global economic growth slows down. “When global economic growth slows down, that tends to be negative US equities. But a string of strong economic data has challenged those notions. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine continues to stoke fears of rising commodity prices, global economic instability and uncertainty around security. It’s been chock full of economic data and big corporate reports.

Persons: That’s, Lehman, ”, Alex Etra, Bond, Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, hasn’t, Banks, Michael Burry, Fitch, It’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nasdaq, Dow, CNN, country’s National Bureau of Statistics, Apple, Intel, Starbucks, Nike, Federal, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, JPMorgan, CNBC, First Republic Bank, Huntington Bank, PacWest, Western Alliance, Bank Locations: New York, China, Ukraine, Beijing, stoke, Huntington

☆ What do ‘Big Short’ Michael Burry and Warren Buffett know that we don’t?
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Michael Burry, the “Big Short” investor who became famous for correctly predicting the epic collapse of the housing market in 2008, also made a gigantic bet last quarter on a Wall Street crash. Bank of America released its August global fund manager survey on Tuesday and found that money managers are feeling the least pessimistic about markets since February 2022. So what do Buffett and Burry know that the rest of us don’t? Russia and Ukraine: Global inflation is finally coming down, but heightened geopolitical tensions threaten to raise food and oil prices across the globe. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine continues to stoke fears of increased commodity prices, global economic instability and uncertainty around security.

Persons: Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, That’s, Michael Burry, Buffett, Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, hasn’t, Fitch, ”, Gregory Daco, Catherine Thorbecke, Catherine Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Securities, Exchange, Scion Asset Management, Bank of America, Traders, National Bureau of Statistics, JPMorgan, CNBC, Bank, First Republic Bank, Huntington Bank, PacWest, Western Alliance, Commerce Department Locations: New York, China, Ukraine, Russia, stoke, Huntington, Lahaina , Hawaii, Lahaina, Las Vegas, Maui

☆ Regional banks slide after Fed's Kashkari advocates 'significantly further' capital regulation
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Neel Kashkari, President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, speaks during an interview with Reuters in New York City, New York, May 22, 2023. Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari favors getting tougher on regional banks, following a crisis earlier this year that he said may not be over. Regional bank shares fell as Kashkari spoke. Those banks holding longer-dated Treasurys faced capital losses as rates went up and bond prices fell. Should the Fed have to keep raising rates, that could affect banks in the same situation.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, Kashkari, Treasurys Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Reuters, Minneapolis Federal, Regional Banking, Troubled Asset Relief, Bank Locations: New York City , New York, Minneapolis

☆ Stock futures are little changed as Wall Street looks beyond losing session: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures are near flat Tuesday night as investors came off a losing session that marked the latest leg down in an August slump. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures were also both little changed. The moves follow a losing session on Wall Street, with all three of the major indexes finishing more than 1% lower on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 ended the session below its 50-day moving average, which could signal a downturn ahead. The Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 are on track to end 5% and 3.3% lower, respectively, while the Dow is slated to drop 1.7%.

Persons: Dow, Wells, Fitch, Neel Kashkari, Keith Buchanan, It's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Minneapolis Federal, Regional Banking, Globalt Investments, Target, TJX Companies Locations: New York City, Cava, Wells Fargo, China

U.S. One dollar banknotes are seen in front of displayed stock graph in this illustration taken, February 8, 2021. Managing the ballooning debt is more challenging now than when S&P stripped the United States of its AAA rating in 2011. The deficit before interest payments was lower then, economic growth was weak but still higher than prevailing interest rates, and the Fed was buying boatloads of bonds. Interest payments as a share of federal revenue, spending, and the economy are set to reach historically high levels early in the next decade. It's not just the supply of debt that matters - demand to hold that debt is critical.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Fitch, Uncle Sam, Carter, Chris Marsh, Bonds, Phil Suttle, It's, Jamie McGeever, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: REUTERS, AAA, Fed, Carter Administration, Investors, Reuters, Treasury, CBO, Suttle, Thomson Locations: ORLANDO, Florida, Washington, United States, Foreign, China, Treasuries, U.S

☆ The Fed may be done hiking rates but there's another policy move that still poses a big risk to stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-10 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Fed may be nearing the end of its rate hikes but its balance sheet reduction plans still pose a big risk to stocks. The Fed has reduced its balance sheet by $900 billion over the past year and is showing no signs of stopping. Continued draining of liquidity presents a risk for equities," Ned Davis Research said in a Thursday note. The Fed has been reducing its balance sheet by about $80 billion per month, and stocks tend to perform well when the exact opposite happens, according to NDR. And its balance sheet reduction policy can have a big impact not only on the stock market, but also the economy.

Persons: Ned Davis, Joseph Kalish, Kalish Organizations: Fed, Ned Davis Research, Service, NDR Locations: Wall, Silicon

U.S. bank shares dropped on Tuesday after ratings agency Moody's downgraded credit ratings of several U.S. regional lenders and placed some banking giants on review for potential downgrade. It warned lenders will find it harder to make money as interest rates remain high, funding costs climb and a potential recession looms. The warning caught some investors off guard. On Tuesday, SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF's (KRE.P) options-based 30-day implied volatility rose to 31.1%, up from 28.9% touched on Monday. "In the near term, there are reasons for caution about banks in general and we have made changes where appropriate," he said.

Persons: SPDR, Steve Sosnick, There's, David Wagner, David Smith, Brian Mulberry, Michelle Price, Diane Craft Organizations: Moody's Corporation, P Bank, Regional Banking, Silicon Valley Bank, Banking, Interactive, Alert, Aptus Capital, Autonomous Research, Analysts, Zacks Investment Management, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York, U.S, Silicon

☆ Asian shares weaken slightly on China deflation risk, bank jitters
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( Stella Qiu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

In Asia, the MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) edged 0.2% higher, following a 1.2% tumble a day earlier. Producer prices fell for a 10th consecutive month. "It is not likely to see China entering a full deflation path as core CPI is still resilient and driven by services." "Having said that, if we do not see further improvement in consumer sentiment, it is possible to see growing deflation risks in China." Brent crude futures eased 0.2% to $86.00 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures also fell 0.2% to $82.73.

Persons: Issei Kato, Gary Ng, HSI, Chetan Ahya, Morgan Stanley, Dow, Stella Qiu, Ellen Zhang, Jamie Freed, Edmund Klamann, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: REUTERS, Nasdaq, Japan's Nikkei, PPI, Asia Pacific, Reuters, Wall, U.S, Brent, . West Texas, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, China, SYDNEY, Italy, Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong, Brazil, Beijing

☆ Asian shares hesitant on China deflation risk, bank jitters
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( Stella Qiu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) edged 0.4% higher after a 1.2% tumble a day earlier. Closely watched China data on Wednesday showed consumer prices fell 0.3% in July from a year ago, the first decline since February 2021, although it was slightly better than the forecast of a 0.4% drop. Producer prices fell for a 10th consecutive month. 10-year yields slipped 2 basis points to 4.004%, after falling 5 basis points overnight to as low as 3.9840%, a one-week trough. Brent crude futures eased 0.2% to $86.02 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures also fell 0.2% to $82.73.

Persons: Issei Kato, Carol Kong, Kong, Chetan Ahya, Morgan Stanley, Dow, Stella Qiu, Jamie Freed, Edmund Klamann Organizations: REUTERS, Japan's Nikkei, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Wall, Nasdaq, U.S, Brent, . West Texas, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, China, SYDNEY, Italy, Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong, Brazil

☆ Wall St ends lower after bank rating cuts spark wider sell-off
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( David French | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The S&P 500 Banks index (.SPXBK) has slipped 2.5% year to date, compared with a 17.2% gain by the S&P 500, and the downgrades exposed the fragility of investors' confidence towards financial stocks. The banks index slid 1.1% on Tuesday, while the KBW Regional Banking index (.KRX) dipped 1.4%. Reaction to the bank downgrades pushed up the CBOE Market Volatility index (.VIX), Wall Street's fear gauge, at one point hitting a two-month high. Eight of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors fell. The S&P 500 posted 13 new 52-week highs and 17 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 46 new highs and 195 new lows.

Persons: Eli Lilly, Moody's, Goldman Sachs, Jason Pride, Brendan McDermid, Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Johann M, David French, Sriraj Kalluvila, Vinay Dwivedi, Richard Chang Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Bank of New York Mellon, U.S . Bancorp, Truist, Silicon Valley Bank, Bank of America, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow Jones, Novo Nordisk, Dish Network, United Parcel Service, Thomson Locations: U.S, Silicon, KBW, New York City, China, Denmark, Bengaluru, New York

☆ Why has the stock market been weak lately? It's not mysterious
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

.SPX 1M mountain S & P 500 1-month Since then, it's been one excuse after another. Everything Tuesday was down about 1.0-1.25% midday, including the equal-weight S & P 500 (RSP) the market-cap weighted S & P 500, the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and the small-cap Russell 2000, but most ended down a fraction of a percent. At nearly 5% yield, money market funds are still sucking in money, even with the S & P 500 up 18% this year. I mentioned Monday that money market inflows reaccelerated last week: $21 billion worth of inflows were added, according to Goldman Sachs. "The pace of money market flows reflects a larger apathy towards stock," Todd Sohn from Strategas told clients.

Persons: it's, Moody's, Mike O'Rourke, Dow Jones, Sellers, Harry Whitton, Russell, Goldman Sachs, Todd Sohn, Strategas, David Kelly Organizations: Bank of Japan, Jones Trading, Regional Banking, Nasdaq, Chief Global, Morgan Asset Management Locations: Japan, China, U.S

☆ Investors should shrug off credit downgrades and buy regional bank shares, JPMorgan says
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Moody's warning this week about the credit worthiness of more than two dozen banks has created a buy-the-dip opportunity in shares of regional lenders, according to JPMorgan. The credit rating agency downgraded the ratings of 10 regional banks on Monday evening, and signaled concern for about 17 more. But JPMorgan analyst Steven Alexopoulos said in a note to clients on Wednesday that those concerns are already priced in to bank stocks, and regional bank stocks now have upside from current levels. That means that many bank stocks look cheaper today than before the downgrades, Alexoloulos said. JPMorgan's top picks among regional banks include New York Community Bancorp.

Persons: Steven Alexopoulos, Moody's, Alexoloulos, JPMorgan's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Silicon Valley Bank, First, Pinnacle Financial, Pinnacle, Regional Banking, New York Community Bancorp, Western Alliance Locations: Silicon, New

Concern over the sector had waned after second-quarter results showed most banks stabilized deposit levels following steeper losses during the March regional banking crisis. "Bank profitability has peaked for the time being," Arsov said. Shrinking profit margins, along with relatively lower capital levels compared to peers at some regional banks and concern about commercial real estate defaults, were key reasons Moody's reassessed its ratings on banks after earlier actions. In March, Moody's placed six banks, including First Republic, under review for downgrades and cut its outlook for the industry to negative from stable. The analyst stressed that the U.S. banking system was still strong overall and that even the banks it cut were rated investment grade, indicating a low risk of default.

Persons: They've, Banks, Ana Arsov, Arsov, Moody's Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Silicon Valley Bank, Moody's Investors Service, First Republic, Bank Locations: U.S, Silicon

☆ What does Moody’s downgrade mean for markets?
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN —Moody’s on Monday evening downgraded 10 US banks and put the credit ratings of six others on review, an indication that the agency could also eventually downgrade those institutions. Some investors say that while the Moody’s downgrade isn’t groundbreaking, it’s a reminder that the economy, and markets, still have challenges ahead. Moody’s downgraded Commerce Bank, BOK Financial, M&T Bank, Old National Bank, Prosperity Bank, Amarillo National Bank, Webster Financial, Fulton Financial, Pinnacle Financial and Associated Bank. Wall Street firms fined $549 million for using WhatsApp and other channelsWells Fargo is among a number of Wall Street firms that admitted Tuesday to using WhatsApp, Signal and other messaging platforms for “off-channel” communications in violation of federal recordkeeping requirements. The Securities and Exchange Commission said the Wall Street firms acknowledged wrongdoing and have agreed to pay penalties totaling $289 million, reports my colleague Matt Egan.

Persons: CNN — Moody’s, JPMorgan Chase, Wells, Goldman Sachs, BNY, Cullen, Frost, ” Moody’s, ”, Kara Murphy, Fitch, Christopher Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott, Price, Matt Egan, Houlihan Lokey, Alicia Wallace Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Bank, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, JPMorgan, Banking, BNY Mellon, Northern Trust, Frost Bankers, Truist Financial, US Bank, Moody’s, Commerce Bank, BOK, T Bank, National Bank, Prosperity Bank, Amarillo National Bank, Webster Financial, Fulton Financial, Pinnacle Financial, Associated Bank, PNC Financial Services, Financial, Citizens Financial, Fifth Third Bank, Huntington Bank, Regions Financial, Cadence Bank, FNB Corp, Simmons, Ally Financial, Bank OZK, Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Federal Reserve, Kestra Investment Management, Consumer, Wall Street, Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, BNP, SG Americas, BMO Capital Markets, Mizuho Securities, SMBC Nikko Securities, Federal Reserve Bank of New Locations: Wells Fargo, Amarillo, Marinac, Wells, SMBC Nikko Securities America, WhatsApp, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, York

☆ Moody's downgrade of U.S. banks ‘surprising,’ says top banking analyst Gerard Cassidy
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMoody's downgrade of U.S. banks ‘surprising,’ says top banking analyst Gerard CassidyGerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets, joins 'Fast Money' to talk Moody's downgrade of U.S. banks, the regional banking rout and more.

Persons: ’, Gerard Cassidy Gerard Cassidy Organizations: RBC Capital Markets

☆ Regional bank shares under fire again after credit downgrade, head for worst day in three months
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-08 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Moody's downgraded the credit of 10 small regional banks by one notch apiece, while 17 other banks were either given negative outlook or had their rating put under review. In a note, Moody's cited many of the concerns around interest rate risk that led to the collapse of several regional banks earlier this year. Among the banks that were downgraded on Tuesday, shares of M&T Bank and Webster Financial fell more than 3% each. Shares of PNC Financial and Citizens Financial Group , which were given negative outlooks by Moody's, fell about 4%. That puts the fund on track for its worst day since May 4, when the fund fell nearly 5.5%.

Persons: Moody's Organizations: T Bank, Webster Financial, PNC Financial, Citizens Financial Group, Regional Banking

☆ JPMorgan's top stock guru says stay underweight equities, investors are too optimistic about economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-08 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

JPMorgan's top stock picker Marko Kolanovic says investors should stay underweight equities. But Kolanovic said investors are ignoring the risks that could still lead to a recession. These include the small chance that central banks in developed markets around the world would ease back on interest rates anytime soon. Given this, the strategist advised investors remain underweight equities, particularly in riskier growth stocks. "As such, we maintain an overall defensive stance in our model portfolio, and continue to be UW equities and credit vs. OW in cash and commodities," he said.

Persons: Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, Moody's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Reserve, Regional Banking

☆ JPMorgan raises US economic growth estimate, no longer expects 2023 recession
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

REUTERS/Mike BlakeAug 4 (Reuters) - JPMorgan's chief economist said on Friday the bank is no longer forecasting a U.S. recession this year and has raised its economic growth estimate as the economy expands at a "healthy pace." The firm increased its current-quarter real annualized GDP growth estimate to 2.5% from 0.5%, Michael Feroli wrote in a research note on Friday. And while recession risks are still elevated for next year, Feroli said he expects modest, sub-par growth. Earlier this week, strategists at Bank of America said they no longer forecast a 2024 recession for the U.S. and increased their 2023 economic growth outlook for the country. Still, while a recession is no longer his base case, it could materialize if the Fed is not done hiking rates, Feroli cautioned.

Persons: Mike Blake, Michael Feroli, Feroli, Sinéad Carew, Deepa Babington Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of America, U.S, Thomson Locations: Encinitas , California, U.S

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