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Bond market investors are having trouble figuring out an economy that looks good from 30,000 feet, but less so closer to the ground. Whether it's payrolls, gross domestic product or retail sales, or a host of other measures, growth looks solid, at the very least. On Wall Street, the general view was of concern: The Beige Book "showed no material improvement in a generally bleak outlook," Citigroup economist Andrew Hollenhorst wrote. However, if growth deteriorates, as the Beige Book indicates it has, that likely would push the Fed towards more reductions. "Despite recent stronger-than-expected data on U.S. employment, retail sales, and consumer inflation, the Fed's latest Beige Book signals a still weakening economy."
Persons: it's, Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Goldman, Andrew Hollenhorst, Kathy Bostjancic, Peter Boockvar, Jerome Powell, Nicholas Colas Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Fed, Citigroup, Nationwide, Bleakley Financial, DataTrek
David Einhorn said computer hardware maker HP could eventually benefit from AI. He said HP stock trading around 10x earnings looks "very reasonable." AdvertisementFamed hedge fund investor David Einhorn is eyeing a tech stock that could be an under-the-radar artificial intelligence play. One of these names is computer hardware firm HP, Einhorn told Bloomberg TV. The stock is trading 10 times earnings, pays a dividend yield of over 3%, and spends 100% of free cash flow paying shareholders, he said.
Persons: David Einhorn, , Einhorn Organizations: HP, Service, Greenlight, Bloomberg, COVID, Robin Hood Investors Conference
Gucci had a challenging third quarter partly due to its Asia Pacific slump, per Kering's latest earnings call. AdvertisementGucci just had a bad quarter, and Kering is attributing the lackluster performance to a slump in its Asia Pacific market. According to a third-quarter revenue infographic by Kering, sales in the Asia Pacific region were down 38% compared to the previous year. According to Kering, Gucci saw a 7% increase in sales in Japan in the third quarter compared to the start of 2024. AdvertisementApart from Gucci, Kering's other brand, Yves Saint Laurent, also suffered a loss.
Persons: Gucci, It's, , Henri Pinault, James Grzinic, LVMH, Kering, Amrita Banta, Yves Saint Laurent, Stefano Cantino, Cantino Organizations: Service, Gucci, RBC, Reuters, mojo, Jefferies, Research, Strategy, Business Insider Locations: Asia, China, Asia Pacific, Japan, Europe
EV supporters point to dozens of new EV and battery plants announced in Michigan in the last two years. Political strategists told Business Insider that the anti-EV messaging was drowning out positive ones in Michigan, putting Democrats on the defensive in a critical battleground. "We've run some advertising trying to make the massive surge of new EV manufacturing at jobs in Michigan famous, because nobody knows about them," Murphy said. But that analysis didn't account for jobs created by new EV and battery manufacturing plants popping up across the country. Democrats are hitting back on Republicans' EV attacks, arguing that the US has to build its own domestic EV manufacturing base to compete with China.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Mike Rogers, Kamala Harris, EVs, they've, Mike Murphy, Murphy, Biden, Murphy's, Rogers, Harris, Shawn Fain, Trump, Sen, JD Vance, Fain, POLITICO's, Elissa Slotkin Organizations: EV, Service, Michigan Republican, Senate, Trump, Republicans, Biden, Environmental Protection Agency, Washington Post, Policy Institute, United Auto Workers, E News, Republican National Committee, Democratic, Rogers Locations: Michigan, China, North Carolina, Georgia, Europe, South America
The U.S. dollar traded close to a three-month high against major peers on Thursday, underpinned by expectations for a slower pace interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and growing bets of a possible second Donald Trump presidency. The U.S. dollar traded close to a three-month high against major peers on Thursday, underpinned by expectations for a slower pace interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and growing bets of a possible second Donald Trump presidency. This week, Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid said he would prefer to "avoid outsized moves", and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker backed "a slow, methodical approach" to further easing. The dollar has now "punched through key technical resistance levels" against the yen, "opening the door for higher levels", Catril said. Although opinion polls indicate a neck-and-neck race with Democratic rival, Vice President Kamala Harris, cryptocurrency-prediction exchange Polymarket has seen a sharp rise in bets for a Trump win.
Persons: Donald Trump, Jeffrey Schmid, Patrick Harker, Rodrigo Catril, Catril, Trump, Kamala Harris, Christine Lagarde, Mario Centeno Organizations: U.S ., Federal Reserve, Kansas, Philadelphia Fed, Treasury, National Australia Bank, UST, Republican, Democratic, Trump, of, Traders, European Central Bank, Wednesday Locations: Japan, Sunday's
Oil prices edge higher, on track for 3% weekly gain
  + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices edged higher on Thursday, recouping some of the more than 1% losses from the previous session after U.S. crude inventories rose much more than estimated. Brent was on track for a 3.2% gain in the week, while WTI was set to rise 2.9%. Last week oil fell more than 7% on worries about Chinese demand and easing concerns about potential disruptions of Middle East oil supplies. Smaller-than-expected rate cuts will temper the reduction in borrowing costs, which in turn could affect economic activity and oil demand. Meanwhile, Israeli strikes pounded Beirut's southern suburbs on Wednesday and Hezbollah said it fired precision guided missiles for the first time at Israeli targets, keeping markets nervous about supply.
Persons: recouping, Brent, WTI Organizations: Brightoil Petroleum, Holdings, Brent, U.S, West Texas, U.S . Energy, Administration, Reserve Locations: Waidiao, Zhoushan, Zhejiang Province, China, Israel, East, U.S, Washington, Iran
Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella speaks at an event on the company's Redmond, Washington, campus on May 20, 2024. Microsoft gave CEO Satya Nadella a pay raise for the 2024 fiscal year of more than $30 million. The board's compensation committee said Nadella asked that the cash incentive portion reflect the security issues. It was originally supposed to be $10.66 million, but the full board approved a $5.2 million cash incentive instead. Microsoft's security business generated over $20 billion in revenue in 2022, more than total revenue for many security companies.
Persons: Satya Nadella, Nadella Organizations: Apple Inc, Microsoft, U.S . Department of Homeland Security Locations: Redmond, Washington
CNN —President Joe Biden is expected to issue an apology to the Native American community for the federal government’s role in the abusive Indian boarding schools that forced Native American children to assimilate over a 150-year period, two sources familiar with the plans said. “The federally-run Indian boarding school system was designed to assimilate Native Americans by destroying Native culture, language and identity through harsh militaristic and assimilationist methods,” the White House said Thursday. In 2021, Interior Secretary Deb Haaland, the first Native American to serve as a Cabinet secretary, commissioned the Federal Indian Boarding School Initiative to review the impact of the federal boarding school policies. The department issued a final report this summer confirming at least 973 Native American children died while attending these federal boarding schools. At least 18,000 children were taken from their families and forced to attend more than 400 Indian boarding schools across 37 states or then-territories between 1819 and 1969.
Persons: Joe Biden, , ” Biden, Biden, Deb Haaland, , ” Haaland, Harris, Stephen Lewis, ” Lewis, Lewis, Whitney Gravelle, Rodney Butler, Gena Kakkak, Jill Biden, Kamala Harris ’, Donald Trump Organizations: CNN, Indian Nations, Gila Crossing Community School, Washington Post, Federal Indian Boarding School Initiative, Department, Biden, Bay Mills Indian Community, Pequot Tribal, Air Force, White, American, Plan Locations: Gila, Phoenix, Indian, American, Bay Mills, Menominee, Arizona
watch nowExtreme tariffs proposed by U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump would interrupt the path of disinflation and could lead to higher interest rates, according to the head of the Institute of International Finance. "The assumption is you'll have higher inflation, higher interest rates than you would have in the absence of those tariffs," Tim Adams, president and CEO of the IIF financial services industry trade group, told CNBC's Karen Tso on Tuesday. Trump has made universal tariffs a core part of his economic pitch to voters, with suggestions of a 20% tariff on all goods from all countries and a higher 60% rate on Chinese imports. Trump has previously described universal tariffs as drawing a "ring around the country," and denied they would be inflationary. However, analysts have warned that the overall package proposed by Trump, including higher tariffs and curbs on immigration, would place upward pressure on inflation, even if some of the impact could be absorbed in the near-term.
Persons: Donald Trump, Tim Adams, Karen Tso, Adams, Trump, John Micklethwait Organizations: U.S, Institute of International Finance, U.S ., Bloomberg, Trump, Federal Reserve Locations: United States
Apple is cutting Vision Pro production, possibly halting it by year-end, The Information reported. AdvertisementApple is reportedly reducing Vision Pro production, but that doesn't mean it's out of the headset game. Especially if the reports of Apple working on a lower-cost version of the Vision Pro are true. Related stories"This is all heading toward a lower-cost Vision Pro with more features that can scale," Ives said. The Vision Pro was released in February, and few, if any, apps have taken off in popularity.
Persons: William Kerwin, Apple, , Apple hasn't, Apple didn't, Jacob Bourne, EMARKETER, Tim Cook, it's, Cook, Tim Cook's, Dan Ives, Ives, Kerwin, Ming, Chi Kuo, Apple's, Bourne Organizations: Service, Apple, Business, Wall Street Journal, Vision, Morningstar . Tech, Wedbush Securities, Bloomberg Locations: Luxshare
Fed outlook pushes dollar to 2-1/2 month peak; yen under pressure
  + stars: | 2024-10-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The U.S. dollar hovered at a 2-1/2-month peak on Wednesday as investors adjusted bets toward a gradual reduction of interest rates while keeping an eye on a close presidential election race. The yen remained under pressure as the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields marched higher, pushing it to a three-month low. That less dovish outlook for the Fed has helped buoy Treasury yields. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six others, was last up 0.11% at 104.18 after ticking up to 104.19, its highest since Aug. 2. The rise in U.S. Treasury yields kept the heat on the yen which sank to a three-month low of 151.72 against the greenback.
Persons: Matt Simpson, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, there's, Index's Simpson, Komeito, Sterling Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed, Republican, Reuters, Democratic U.S, Markets, Trump, greenback, Liberal Democratic Party, of, European Central Bank Locations: Harris, U.S, Japan
Accel labels these companies "founder factories," on the basis that they have become breeding grounds for talent that often go on to establish their own firms. However, most of the biggest fintech founder factories come from Europe. Asked about why Klarna topped the ranking of fintech founder factories in Europe, Bocchio said: "Klarna is an organization that is coming of age now." Nearly two-thirds (61%) of companies founded by former employees of fintech unicorns were founded in the same city as the unicorn, according to Accel. This, he said, "speaks to the maturity and appetite" of individuals within Europe's fintech founder factories.
Persons: Block's, Nikolas Kokovlis, Luca Bocchio, Sebastian Siemiatkowski, Siemiatkowski, Klarna, Accel's Bocchio, Bocchio Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, Accel, Klarna, CNBC, London Locations: Europe, London, Berlin, Stockholm, Israel, Europe's
Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones is raising alarms about the U.S. government's current fiscal deficit and the increased spending promised by both presidential candidates, saying the bond market may force the government's hand after the election in addressing it. "We are going to be broke really quickly unless we get serious about dealing with our spending issues," Jones told CNBC's Andrew Ross Sorkin on Tuesday. The founder and chief investment officer of Tudor Investment said he was worried that government spending could cause a big sell-off in the bond market, spiking interest rates. He said he plans to not own fixed income and will be betting against the longer-dated part of the bond market. Jones founded his hedge fund more than four decades ago and rose to prominence by correctly predicting the stock market crash of 1987.
Persons: Paul Tudor Jones, Jones, CNBC's Andrew Ross Sorkin, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: Tudor Investment, Treasury Department, Wall Street, Trump Locations: United States
Following Tuesday's trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 145 shares of HD, increasing its weighting to 1.65% from 1.14%. Dow stock Home Depot has dropped $18 per share — or a little more than 4% — since making a new high of $418 last Wednesday. Some of this decline is probably due to profit-taking since the stock has gone straight up since Sept. 6. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, nonfarm payrolls, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Dow, Home, Federal, UBS, CNBC
The first line of the note reads: "We estimate the S & P 500 will deliver an annualized nominal total return of 3% during the next 10 years." For starters, nobody knows what the coming decade has in store for the S & P 500. Valuation: Yes, the S & P 500 is currently trading at a historically high multiple. Going out on a limb and making market calls or calls about individual stocks is not for the faint of heart. The S & P 500 has more than doubled since then, advancing about 135%, which amounts to that roughly 13% annual return that Kostin mentioned in his note.
Persons: David Kostin, Kostin, Goldman, it's, Jim Cramer, Stanley Black, Decker, That's, Jim, It's, Goldman Sachs, we're, Jim Cramer's, Brendan McDermid Organizations: Goldman, Goldman Sachs Chief U.S, Equity, Treasury, Nvidia, Federal Reserve, U.S, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Goldman Sachs, U.S, Wells
Here are some of the ways Bank of America analysts think the upcoming election results could affect the stock market. Harris presidency, split government A victory for Democratic candidate Kamala Harris in the White House, plus a Republican-controlled Congress, could be "the best outcome" for online media companies, according to Bank of America analyst Justin Post. He noted that Harris is likely to enforce a potential ban on TikTok — which could boost Meta Platforms and Snapchat . Trump president, split government A win for Republican candidate Donald Trump and a split government would be the best-case scenario for bank stocks, per analyst Ebrahim Poonawala. On the other hand, a Trump presidency would be viewed positively by gig-economy companies, including Uber and Lyft, according to analyst Post.
Persons: , Harris, Kamala Harris, Justin Post, Lorraine Hutchinson, Donald Trump's, , Athletica, Joanna Gajuk, Gajuk, Jessica Reif Ehrlich, Ehrlich, Jason Kupferberg, Kupferberg, Dick Durbin's, Donald Trump, Ebrahim Poonawala, Poonawala, Republicans —, Dimple, Trump, Uber, Craig Siegenthaler, Siegenthaler, Rafe Jadrosich, Trump's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: White, Bank of America, of America, Democratic, Republican, Democrat, Department of Justice, Eagle Outfitters, Urban Outfitters ., Health, Tenet Healthcare, Universal Health Services, Democrats, Agilon, Humana, Big Tech, House, Trump, Republicans, Oscar Health, Centene, GOP, Securities, Exchange, Entertainment, Packaging Corporation of America, American Eagle Outfitters Locations: Hutchinson, U.S, China, Washington
10-year Treasury yield tops 4.2% briefly
  + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Pia Singh Jenni Reid | Pia Singh | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Meanwhile, the yield on the 2-year Treasury was about two basis points higher at 4.047%. After jumping 12 basis points on Monday, the yield on the 10-year Treasury rose nearly three basis points to 4.21%, a level it has not reached in three months. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield continued its gains on Tuesday after Federal Reserve officials urged caution on the path of interest rate cuts. It is a quiet week on the data front, but a busy week for Federal Reserve commentary, with an array of policymakers delivering speeches. Rates have actually increased since the Fed cut rates by a half point one month ago.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, Lorie Logan, Jeff Schmid, , Jeff Cox Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Federal Reserve, Minneapolis, Dallas Federal, Kansas, Traders Locations: U.S
4 reasons GM is crushing it right now
  + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Benjamin Zhang | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
GM's profits were driven by strong SUV sales, EV growth, cost reductions, and improved China sales. GM's EVs hold a 9.8% share of the US EV market, behind only Tesla. AdvertisementGeneral Motors reported strong third-quarter 2024 profits on Tuesday, topping Wall Street's estimates and helping send shares surging more than 9%. Of those who purchased a GM EV, more than 60% are conquests from other automakers, Barra said. Reuss said GM has eliminated 2,700 unique parts, ranging from seat assemblies to wiring harnesses, from its inventory.
Persons: , Mary Barra, EVs, Barra, Mark Reuss, Reuss Organizations: Motors, US, Service, Detroit, GM, Chevrolet Traverse, GMC Acadia, Consumers, General Motors, EV, Tesla Locations: China
Washington CNN —Vice President Kamala Harris often touts how she took on the “big banks” as attorney general of California to deliver mortgage relief to homeowners hit by the 2008 foreclosure crisis. The oft-repeated story references how Harris helped negotiate a multistate mortgage settlement with five of the nation’s biggest banks that delivered financial relief to homeowners and set standards for lenders. Harris also secured a separate agreement with three of the banks, guaranteeing a certain amount of relief for California homeowners. Mortgage relief for homeownersAs a result of the national settlement, mortgage relief was delivered to homeowners in several different forms, such as principal reductions, interest rates cuts, other kinds of loan modifications or short sales. There were also some direct payments sent to people who wrongfully lost their homes to foreclosure, according to the National Mortgage Settlement website.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, It’s, , , Joe Biden’s, Beau Biden, Jamie Dimon, Ira Rheingold, Katie Porter, Irvine –, ” Rheingold, Lisa Sitkin, Sitkin, servicer Organizations: Washington CNN —, Democratic National Convention, , JPMorgan Chase, National Association of Consumer Advocates, Mortgage, National Mortgage, University of California, Irvine, National Housing Law, Consumer Financial, Bureau Locations: California, Delaware
The AirPods Pro 2 are also a cost-effective option for those looking for assistive hearing technology. Users can take a clinically validated hearing test with the AirPods Pro 2, and the buds will serve as an over-the-counter hearing aid if applicable. I tested the new hearing health features coming to Apple 's AirPods Pro 2 headphones, and they saved me a long-overdue trip to the audiologist. I have a pair of third-generation AirPods that I use every day, but this was my first time trying the AirPods Pro 2. After that, I popped them in my ears and prepared to take Apple's hearing test.
Persons: Tim Cook, Tapping, Apple, That's, haven't, I'd, you'll Organizations: Apple, World Health Organization Locations: Cupertino , California, U.S
The recent strong run in stocks could be just the beginning, according to Canaccord Genuity. The recent rally comes as the current bull market turned two years old. Canaccord Genuity analyst Michael Welch thinks more gains could lie ahead. .SPX mountain 2022-10-12 SPX during bull market "The current two-year-old bull market remains below the median in both percent gain and duration, suggesting the upside has further room to run," he wrote Monday. The latest market run also comes as investors pore through third-quarter results.
Persons: Canaccord, Michael Welch, Welch, Goldman Sachs, Warby Parker, Goldman Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S
"We find President Trump's campaign proposals would dramatically worsen Social Security's finances," the CRFB budget group said in a blog post. Social Security trust funds are set to be exhausted by Fiscal Year 2034, according to the Congressional Budget Office. "If you cut income taxes and cut payroll taxes, then you're going to have an impact on Social Security," Freese said. "I don't believe the Trump campaign is looking to undermine Social Security," said Andrew Biggs, senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and former principal deputy commissioner of the Social Security Administration. "And likewise, Social Security is so big, any changes to Social Security will affect other things."
Persons: Trump's, Trump, Karoline Leavitt, Leavitt, Kamala Harris, Maria Freese, Freese, Harris, Andrew Biggs, Biggs Organizations: Republican, CNBC, Social Security, Democratic, Social, Congressional, Trump, National Committee, Preserve Social Security, Medicare, American Enterprise Institute, Social Security Administration, Security Locations: Monday's
Asking prices for UK homes barely rise in October, Rightmove says
  + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Asking prices for British homes rose only marginally in October as more properties came onto the market, according a survey on Monday that also suggested some buyers were waiting for clarity on tax changes in the new government's upcoming budget. Asking prices rose by just 0.3% in October, well below their average for a 1.3% monthly increase for the month, property website Rightmove said. Overall activity in the property market remained strong, with buyer demand rising. "Despite a budget-shaped cloud on the horizon, the big picture still looks positive for the market heading into 2025. Mortgage lenders Halifax and Nationwide both reported rises in house prices in September.
Persons: Rightmove, Tim Bannister, Bannister Organizations: Bank of England, Nationwide Locations: London's Muswell Hill, London, Halifax
Workers value remote work as much as a 7% to 8% pay increase, a new survey finds. Teleworking has increased, even as firms try to pull their workers back into the office. The push and pull between workers, their employers, and the office has been a years-long battle in the wake of the pandemic. And a new survey update shows how much remote workers value the ability to work from home — and what it may cost for firms to lure them back in. Remote jobs are becoming scarcer, and that's even led some workers to cling to roles they might not otherwise enjoy.
Persons: , Nicholas Bloom, Bloom Organizations: Service, Stanford University, Labor Statistics
Inflation is not deadDaly began her talk with an anecdote of a recent encounter she had while walking near her home. But the conversation encapsulated a dilemma for the Fed: If inflation is on the run, why are interest rates still so high? As evidenced by the young man's question, convincing people that inflation is easing is a tough sell. watch nowThe annual rate of CPI inflation was 2.4% in September, a vast improvement over the 9.1% top in June 2022. However, year-over-year spending increased just 1.7%, below the 2.4% CPI inflation rate.
Persons: Brandon Bell, Goldman Sachs, Mary Daly, Daly, Goldman, Jerome Powell, , hasn't, haven't Organizations: Walmart, Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed, New York University Stern School of Business, Commerce Department, Fed, York Fed, Bank of America, National Federation of Independent Business Locations: Austin , Texas, U.S, , Wyoming, Atlanta, York
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