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Oct 10 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. The rebound in risk sentiment was largely due to comments from two Fed officials that the recent rise in long-term bond yields and tightening of financial conditions mean the Fed may be done raising rates. The U.S. bond market was closed on Monday for the Columbus Day holiday but futures traded, and the 10-year Treasury future posted its biggest rise since March. The IMF and World Bank annual meetings in Morocco kick into gear on Tuesday, with U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde and many other leading global policymakers in attendance. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Jamie McGeever, Lori Logan, Philip Jefferson nodded, Janet Yellen, Christine Lagarde, Raphael Bostic, Christopher Waller, Neel Kashkari, Mary Daly, Lorie Logan, Philip Jefferson, Waller, Daly Organizations: Dallas, Columbus, Treasury, IMF, World Bank, U.S, European Central Bank, Fed, Bank, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Israel, Gaza, U.S, Lower U.S, Asia, Japan, Pacific, Philippines, Morocco, Marrakech, Kashkari

☆ The Fed is at odds with itself. That’s a feature, not a bug
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-08 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

So, Fed officials are divided, but it doesn’t really matter. Fed officials are still people, and as the saying goes, opinions are like bellybuttons in that everyone’s got one. Fed officials in that committee with voting power have the option to dissent, but it’s only happened twice this cycle. This year’s voters, which are Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, will be rotated out next year. Up NextMonday: Fed officials Lorie Logan, Michael Barr and Phillip Jefferson deliver remarks.

Persons: Mary Daly, Michelle Bowman, ”, Biden, That’s, Michael Feroli, everyone’s, “ It’s, ” Feroli, Esther George, Ed Al, Hussainy, JPMorgan’s Feroli, It’s, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Austan Goolsbee, Patrick Harker, Neel Kashkari, Logan, Kashkari, Raphael Bostic, San Francisco Fed’s Daly, – CNN’s Elisabeth Buchwald, Michael Barr, Phillip Jefferson, Christopher Waller Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Federal, San Francisco Fed, JPMorgan, Fed, Market Committee, Kansas City, Columbia Threadneedle Investments, Governors, New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Chicago Fed, Philadelphia Fed, Minneapolis Fed, San Francisco, Treasury, PepsiCo, The National Federation of Independent Business, US Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Delta, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, The University of Michigan Locations: San, Kansas, Columbia, Cleveland, Richmond, Atlanta, San Francisco, Walgreens

Although longer-dated U.S. Treasury yields eased from 16-year highs on Wednesday, investors remain concerned that the elevated levels may pressure equities. Worries about U.S. government spending and its ballooning budget deficit have added to uncertainty around the interest rates trajectory, contributing to a steep selloff that have caused a rout in Treasury prices and a spike in yields. The S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq lost around 5% and 6% last month as yields spiked. Traders put the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December at 80% and 63%, respectively, according to CME's FedWatch tool. ET, Dow e-minis were down 92 points, or 0.28%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 10.5 points, or 0.24%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 27.75 points, or 0.19%.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Janet Mui, Loretta Mester, Neel Kashkari, Richmond's Thomas Barkin, Mary Daly, Michael Barr, Kevin McCarthy, Steve Scalise, Jim Jordan, Joe Biden, VinFast, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, RBC Brewin, Apple, Traders, Dow e, Federal, Democratic, Rivian, EV, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Occidental Petroleum, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Minneapolis, Bengaluru

FILE PHOTO:Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 28, 2023. Even as longer-dated Treasury yields eased from 16-year highs on Wednesday, investors remain concerned that the elevated levels may continue to pressure equities. The Labor Department's report showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose moderately last week, while layoffs declined in September, pointing to still-resilient labor market conditions. Following a mixed jobs reports earlier this week, focus will be on the more comprehensive September non-farm payrolls data on Friday. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 1.50-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and a 1.22-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Charles, Henry Monchau, Neel Kashkari, Richmond's Thomas Barkin, Mary Daly, Michael Barr, Kevin McCarthy, Steve Scalise, Jim Jordan, Joe Biden, VinFast, Lamb, advancers, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Companies, Dow, Nasdaq, U.S, Treasury, Syz Group, Healthcare, Labor, Dow Jones, Traders, Federal, Democratic, Rivian, EV, Dell Technologies, Lamb Weston Holdings, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Minneapolis, Bengaluru

"It's not going to be a matter of struggling to get the inflation rate higher. While higher interest rates are good news for savers, businesses and consumers have become used to paying nothing for money over the past 15 years. Reuters GraphicsREADING YIELDSA market-based Fed model that breaks down the 10-year Treasury yield into its components provides further insight into investors' thinking. This rise in term premium, which spent much of the last decade below zero, reflects high levels of uncertainty about economic outlook and monetary policy, investors said. While the market appears to be confident in its belief in the end of the era of zero interest rates, it is far less so about the economy's actual likely path.

Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Greg Whiteley, It's, Neel Kashkari, Kashkari, Adrian, Crump, Emanuel Moench, John Velis, Leslie Falconio, BNY's Velis, Velis, Paritosh Bansal, Anna Driver 私 Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Treasury, Federal Reserve, York Fed, Minneapolis, Moench, Frankfurt School of Finance, Management, Americas, BNY Mellon, UBS Global Wealth Management, San, San Francisco Fed Locations: Washington ,, U.S, DoubleLine, San Francisco

☆ Stagflation is 'the big bogeyman out there' — and many increasingly fear its return
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( Sam Meredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Oil prices surging to the brink of $100 per barrel and the specter of higher for longer inflation have renewed concern about stagflation risks, however. Kashkari reaffirmed this message when speaking to CNBC on Wednesday, saying that he was not sure if interest rates have been raised enough to successfully fight price growth. Market participants are worried that surging oil prices could keep inflation higher for longer, amplifying the risk of stagflation. "The price pressure reflects a shortage of supply, after OPEC+ cut production targets, under the leadership of Saudi Arabia and Russia. This must be seen in the context of a moving geopolitical environment, with Saudi Arabia recently joining the BRICS group," they added.

Persons: Mel Lagomasino, CNBC's, Lagomasino, Neel Kashkari, Kashkari, Jerome Powell, Chip Somodevilla, Stagflation, –, South Africa — Organizations: WE, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Getty, Brent, . West Texas Intermediate, Organization of, Petroleum, OPEC, Generali Investments, United Locations: Minneapolis, Washington ,, Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC, stagflation, Brazil, India, China, South Africa, Argentina, Egypt, Iran, Ethiopia, United Arab Emirates

☆ 10-year Treasury yield falls after notching 15-year high in previous session
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( Sam Meredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond also dipped about 3 basis points to 4.7%. At the shorter end of the curve, yields were slightly lower. One basis point equals 0.01%. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note slipped by more than 3 basis points to trade at 4.563%, extending losses after hitting 4.688% on Thursday — its highest level since Oct. 15, 2007 when it yielded as much as 4.719%. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield was trading lower on Friday, moving away from a fresh 15-year high notched in the previous session.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, CNBC's, —, Sarah Min, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Federal, Minneapolis, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Chicago

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Things are ‘likely to remain messy’
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari thinks the current interest rate range of 5.25% to 5.5% might not be high enough to be restrict inflation, he told CNBC. But even after that turmoil, it doesn't look like stocks have hit their bottom yet, writes CNBC Pro's Bob Pisani. Here are the signs he's looking for before he thinks stocks can rally again.

Persons: Europe's, John Chambers, Neel Kashkari, Kashkari, Meta, Stocks, —, hasn't, Bob Pisani Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, AAA, AA, Minneapolis Federal, metaverse Meta Locations: Congress, Minneapolis

☆ Gold hovers near six-month low as markets brace for U.S. economic data
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold bars of different sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metals dealer Pro Aurum. Gold steadied on Thursday, although prices hovered near a six-month low hit in the previous session due to an elevated dollar and Treasury yields, with markets awaiting U.S. economic data for clues on the Federal Reserve's interest rate trajectory. Spot gold held its ground at $1,874.49 per ounce by 0435 GMT after shedding 1.4%, its biggest daily decline since July, on Wednesday. Data on Wednesday showed orders for long-lasting U.S. manufactured goods rose in August and business spending on equipment appeared to regain momentum. Higher rates raise the opportunity cost of holding bullion, which is priced in dollars and does not yield any interest.

Persons: Gold, Hugo Pascal, Neel Kashkari, Kevin McCarthy Organizations: Aurum, Treasury, Minneapolis Locations: ., U.S

☆ 10-year Treasury yield touches fresh 15-year high
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Earlier in the morning, it climbed higher to hit a fresh 15-year high of 4.643%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was up by less than 1 basis point at 5.148%. The U.S. 10-year Treasury touched a new high on Thursday, as investors looked to key economic reports and concerns persisted over the outlook for monetary policy, particularly high interest rates. A series of key data is due out before the end of the week. Investors are looking to the data for hints about the state of the economy and the path for interest rates ahead.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, CNBC's Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Minneapolis

☆ Dollar sticks near 10-month high, keeping heat on yen
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Brigid Riley | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 10, 2023. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsTOKYO, Sept 28 (Reuters) - The dollar clung near a 10-month high against a basket of its peers on Thursday, keeping the yen under pressure near a key intervention zone as investors size up upbeat U.S. economic data and fresh comments from Federal Reserve officials. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak later on Thursday, giving markets further clues into the future path of U.S. monetary policy. The U.S. dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of other major currencies, hovered around 106.58, after hitting 106.84 overnight, the highest level since Nov. 30. The dollar/yen pair tends to be extremely sensitive to changes in long-term U.S. Treasury yields, particularly at the 10-year maturity.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Neel Kashkari, Jerome Powell, Kyle Rodda, Tony Sycamore, Brigid Riley, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Fed, U.S, Treasury, IG, Thomson Locations: U.S

☆ Minneapolis Fed Pres. Neel Kashkari: We might not be as restrictive as we otherwise would think
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMinneapolis Fed Pres. Neel Kashkari: We might not be as restrictive as we otherwise would thinkMinneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's inflation fight, the central bank's future rate path, the impact on the economy, and more.

Persons: Neel Kashkari

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Is tech the gift that keeps on giving?
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( Clement Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. "I am not sure if the world is prepared for 7%," he told The Times of India in an interview. Leaders from the Writers Guild of America voted unanimously to end the strike on Wednesday. Under the agreement, AI cannot write or rewrite literary material and AI-generated material will not be considered source material.

Persons: Korea's Kospi, Jamie Dimon, Neel Kashkari, It's, Kamil Dimmich Organizations: CNBC, Nikkei, Dow Jones, JPMorgan Chase, Minneapolis Federal, Fed, Hollywood, Writers Guild of America, Writers, International Monetary Fund Locations: Asia, China, U.S, India, Hong Kong, Guyana, South America, it's

☆ Fed's Neel Kashkari isn't sure if interest rates are high enough to stop inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said Wednesday he's unsure whether the central bank has raised interest rates enough to tame inflation. "It's possible given the dynamics of the reopening of the economy, that the neutral rate may have moved up." Some of his concerns stem from the fact that sectors of the economy that normally are affected by rate hikes seem to be ignoring them. "If we have to keep rates higher for longer, it's because the economic fundamentals are even stronger than I appreciate and the [economic] flywheel is spinning," he said. "It isn't obvious to me that that means that a recession is more likely, it just might mean that we need a higher rate path to get inflation back down to 2%."

Persons: Neel Kashkari, Kashkari Organizations: Minneapolis Federal, CNBC, Market Locations: Minneapolis

☆ Minneapolis Fed Pres. Neel Kashkari: We all want to avoid a hard landing
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMinneapolis Fed Pres. Neel Kashkari: We all want to avoid a hard landingMinneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's inflation fight, the central bank's future rate path, the impact on the economy, and more.

Persons: Neel Kashkari Locations: Minneapolis

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Thinking about tech
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( Clement Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Alibaba unit IPO Alibaba plans to list its logistics unit Cainiao in Hong Kong, the Chinese e-commerce giant said in a regulatory filing on Tuesday. It's the first to announce listing plans among the six business units as a result of one of the most radical shake-ups in Alibaba's history . The company split its structure into six business units, and hopes most of them will be able to raise outside funds and go public.

Persons: Rene Haas, It's, Dimon, — Dimon, it's, Jerome Powell, Jamie Dimon, Neel Kashkari, Herman Narula, Narula, Alibaba Organizations: Arm, Nasdaq, CNBC, TV18, Dow Jones, Dow, Financial, Treasury, Federal, JPMorgan Chase, Minneapolis Federal, Tech Locations: New York City, Hong Kong, Ukraine, America, China, India, U.S, Minneapolis

☆ Oil prices edge higher as markets focus on supply tightness
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

An aerial view of a crude oil storage facility is seen on May 4, 2020 in Cushing, Oklahoma. Oil prices ticked up in early trade on Wednesday, as markets focused on supply tightness heading into winter and a "soft landing" for the U.S. economy. Brent crude futures rose 33 cents, or 0.4%, to $94.29 a barrel by 0015 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbed 31 cents, or 0.3%, to $90.70. Industry data released on Tuesday showed U.S. crude oil stockpiles rose last week by about 1.6 million barrels, against analysts' expectations for a drop of about 300,000 barrels. However, markets continued to worry about U.S. crude stockpiles at the key Cushing, Oklahoma, storage hub falling below minimum operating levels.

Persons: Cushing, Neel Kashkari Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, Russian Railways, Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, of England, Senate, Republicans Locations: Cushing , Oklahoma, U.S, Oklahoma, Cushing, Russia, Minneapolis

☆ Morning Bid: Markets catch breath after bruising recoil
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

China's markets will also be disrupted by Golden Week holidays next week. Ten-year Treasury yields hit another 16-year high at 4.56% on Tuesday before dialling back a bit on Wednesday, with 10-year real yields hitting 14-year peaks at 2.24%. Risk spreads in junk bond and overseas sovereign bond markets are also creeping higher again, with exchange-traded U.S. junk bond funds hitting their lowest since May and Italy's government bond yield premium over Germany widening too. Worrying for many investors this week has been how bond yields have climbed despite weaker economic signals and how stock and bond losses are correlating again. World markets were more mixed, with China's bourses managing some gains ahead of the big holiday week.

Persons: Mike Dolan, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell's, Neel Kashkari, shakeout, Shorter, China's bourses, Michelle Bowman, Jane Merriman Organizations: Federal Reserve, Minneapolis Fed, Golden, Nasdaq, Big Tech, U.S . Federal Trade Commission, Costco, China Evergrande, HK, United, Treasury, Micron, Paychex Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Washington, Germany, United States

☆ Oil prices climb as markets focus on supply tightness
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( Emily Chow | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

An aerial view shows oil tanks of Transneft oil pipeline operator at the crude oil terminal Kozmino on the shore of Nakhodka Bay near the port city of Nakhodka, Russia June 13, 2022. REUTERS/Tatiana Meel/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSINGAPORE, Sept 27 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose nearly $1 on Wednesday as markets focused on supply tightness heading into winter and a "soft landing" for the U.S. economy. Brent crude futures rose 86 cents, or 0.9%, to $94.82 a barrel by 0340 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbed 86 cents, or 0.9%, to $91.25. "Oil prices are overall relatively strong amid the current tightening of supply," said CMC Markets analyst Leon Li, however adding that price support from Russia and Saudi Arabia supply cuts may be limited through the year-end. "(Economic) Data from countries in Europe and the United States have recently weakened ... Oil prices in October may show a volatile trend as a whole.

Persons: Tatiana Meel, Cushing, Leon Li, Neel Kashkari, Arathy Somasekhar, Emily Chow, Sonali Paul 私 Organizations: Rights, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, ANZ Research, Russian Railways, Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, of England Locations: Nakhodka, Russia, Rights SINGAPORE, U.S, Oklahoma, Cushing, Saudi Arabia, Europe, United States, Minneapolis, Houston, Singapore

☆ Stocks are oversold, but need rates to stabilize before luring back buyers
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Stocks are up modestly in early trading Wednesday, but the usual signals of volume spikes and higher volatility are still not present. Yet here we are, with the 10-year at 4.55% yesterday and looking like it wants to get to 5.0% fast. Total equity volume yesterday was 10.4 billion shares, well below the September 2022 average of 11.4 billion, and 3% below the average level even for August, a vacation month. Modest volumes, relatively low volatility with prices down notably means there is no selling panic, but there is a buyer's strike in stocks. They need to see rates come down before they have confidence to buy stocks again."

Persons: Chris Verrone, Morgan, Jamie Dimon didn't, Verrone, You'd, Mike O'Rourke, Neel Kashkari, Here's, I've, Alec Young Organizations: UAW, Jones Trading Locations: China, Minneapolis

☆ Gold hits over 1-month low on higher-for-longer U.S. rates theme
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices dropped to a more than one-month low on Wednesday, beaten down by an assurgent U.S. dollar as markets made adjustments to a rising interest rate scenario. There is a 40% chance that the Federal Reserve will need to raise rates "meaningfully" to beat inflation, Minneapolis Fed Bank President Neel Kashkari said on Tuesday. Higher interest rates raise the opportunity cost of holding bullion, which is priced in dollars and does not yield any interest. SPDR Gold Trust , the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings touched a more than four-year low. Spot silver dropped 0.8% to a 12-day low of $22.69 per ounce, while platinum was up 0.1% to $904.87.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, Yeap Jun Rong Organizations: Federal, Minneapolis Fed, Labor Department, Trust, Palladium Locations: U.S

"I'm one of those folks," said Kashkari, who is considered one of the Fed's more hawkish policymakers. Kashkari said that if inflation cools next year as expected, the Fed will need to cut rates to keep policy from tightening too much. But he also said he has been surprised by how well consumer spending has held up despite the Fed's rate hikes so far. "Everybody on the Federal Open Market Committee is committed" to bringing inflation back down to the Fed's 2% target, he said. Inflation by the Fed's preferred measure was 3.3% in July.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, Mike Segar, Kashkari, Ann Saphir, Himani Sarkar, Muralikumar Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Reuters, REUTERS, Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, Wharton School of Business, Fed, U.S, Federal, Thomson Locations: New York City , New York, U.S, Minneapolis

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 26, 2023. Megacap growth stocks including Apple (AAPL.O), Microsoft (MSFT.O), Meta Platforms (META.O) and Tesla (TSLA.O) lost between 0.5% and 1.3% in premarket trading. Pressuring equities, the benchmark two- and 10-year Treasury yields have scaled multi-year highs after the Fed's hawkish longer-term rate outlook, a stance also projected by other major central banks. Meanwhile, a 25-basis-point rate cut is being priced in as early as March, growing to over 33% in June and July. DraftKings (DKNG.O) rose 3% after J.P. Morgan upgraded the online sports and gaming company's stock to "overweight" from "neutral".

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Moody's, Stuart Cole, Jerome Powell, Neel Kashkari, Austan Goolsbee, Goldman Sachs, Morgan, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Sunday, Apple, Microsoft, Dow e, Treasury, Equiti, Traders, Investors, Minneapolis, Chicago Fed, CNBC, PDD Holdings, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Bengaluru

☆ Morning Bid: Bond crush stifles markets as $134 billion hits
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

The yield spike has supercharged the U.S. dollar worldwide - both a reflection and aggravator of mounting financial stress far and wide. As Deutsche Bank notes, this is historically significant territory as the average of the 10-year yield going back to 1799 is around 4.50%. The Treasury sells $48 billion in two-year notes on Tuesday, $49 billion in five-year paper on Wednesday and $37 billion in seven-year notes on Thursday. Minneapolis Fed Bank President Neel Kashkari said on Monday the Fed probably needs to raise borrowing rates further. Private sector bankers are starting to brace for the worst, with JP Morgan chief Jamie Dimon reported overnight as warning: "I am not sure if the world is prepared for 7% (Fed rates)."

Persons: Jose Luis Gonzalez, Mike Dolan, South Korea's, Sterling, haven't, Neel Kashkari, Said Kashkari, Austan Goolsbee, JP Morgan, Jamie Dimon, Christine Lagarde, China Evergrande, Michelle Bowman, Christina Fincher Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, U.S ., Bank of Japan, South, Treasury, Deutsche Bank, Minneapolis Fed, Chicago Fed, European Central Bank, ECB, Dallas Fed's, Chicago Fed's, HK, Richmond Fed, Dallas Fed, Philadelphia Fed, Costco, Cintas, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Ciudad Juarez, Mexico, U.S, Wall St, Asia, Europe, Philadelphia, Washington

☆ Fed's Neel Kashkari sees 40% chance of 'meaningfully higher' interest rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Neel Kashkari, President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, attends an interview with Reuters in New York City, New York, U.S., May 22, 2023. Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari thinks there's nearly a 50-50 chance that interest rates will need to move significantly higher to bring down inflation. In that instance, the inflation rate falls but stays above the Fed's 2% target, posing a challenge for policymakers. Noting that rate-sensitive areas such as housing and autos have held strong despite Fed tightening, Kashkari remarked, "These dynamics raise the question, How tight is policy right now? Services inflation, excluding the cost of renting shelter, has been coming down, but has otherwise remained elevated, raising longer-term concerns.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, there's, Kashkari Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Reuters, Minneapolis Federal Locations: New York City , New York, U.S, Minneapolis

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