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☆ Your 401(k), gas prices and homes: 3 surprising reasons to be happy — for now
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Consumer sentiment is surging. A tough housing market and exorbitant child care costs continue to bedevil budgets, but the inflation pendulum is finally swinging in the other direction. A slowly improving US housing marketAmerica’s housing market is still tough, but there are some subtle signs of improvement. Builder confidence surged in January, according to the latest National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, climbing seven points to a reading of 44. It’s unclear when the Fed will begin to cut rates, and how many cuts there will ultimately be this year, but rate cuts in general mean even lower mortgage rates, further improving affordability.

Persons: vibing, aren’t, it’s, Anna Rathbun, ”, isn’t, bode, Joe Biden’s, ” James McCann, Biden, Alicia Huey Organizations: Washington CNN, Big Tech, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, CBIZ Investment Advisory Services, CNN, Fed, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, of Michigan’s, AAA, National Association of Home Builders Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Chip stocks are driving the new bull market. These ETFs tracking them have key differences
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Semiconductor stocks have been on a tear for more than a year, led by Nvidia , which has emerged as a leading stock in the excitement around artificial intelligence. That has helped the S & P 500 enter a new bull market and made the chipmakers an increasingly influential part of the major market indexes. "The % weight of the Semiconductors within the S & P 500 is now at nearly 9%. For example, the best-performing fund in the category so far this year is the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) . The ETF tracks the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index , which has a modified market cap weight approach.

Persons: NVDA, Todd Sohn, . Sohn, Sohn Organizations: Semiconductor, Nvidia, VanEck Semiconductor, P Semiconductor

☆ Analysts think these tech stocks could rise even as the S&P 500 hits a record high
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

There could still be further gains ahead for tech stocks, even as the sector boosted the S & P 500 to a new record-high closing last Friday. After kicking off the new year with a lukewarm start, the technology sector turned the ship around, largely driven by the ongoing artificial intelligence frenzy . Despite these gains, broader analyst consensus indicates that there are still tech stocks poised to go higher from here. Likewise, analysts on average think design software company Synopsys could rally another 18%. Last week, the company announced it would acquire engineering simulation software company Ansys in an approximately $35 billion deal .

Persons: Brad Zelnick, John Vinh, Trimble, —, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC Pro, Oracle, Deutsche Bank, Semiconductor, KeyBanc Capital Locations: Oracle's

☆ The S&P 500 typically sees a 'post-high five' move after hitting a record, CFRA says
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The most recent bear market was a garden variety bear, Stovall said. The decline, which lasted roughly 15 months from its October 2022 low, took 25.4% of the S & P 500 value from peak to trough. Regardless of what kind of bear market it was, a post-high five move still took place once a bull run was confirmed. The S & P 500 gained 5% on average over the following two to two-and-a-half months. He noted the S & P MidCap 400, S & P SmallCap 600, and Russell 2000 are all more than 10% below their previous record highs.

Persons: that's, Sam Stovall, it's, Stovall, Russell, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Research, CFRA Research

☆ S&P 500 breaks out to new record, but some chart analysts are worried
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 finally surpassed its prior all-time high from January 2022 on Friday, confirming the start of a new bull market that began in October 2022. But while the market continued to build on those gains early Monday, some technical analysts are worried that cracks are beginning to show in the broad market index. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500 in the last 12 months BTIG chief market technician Jonathan Krinsky forecasts a pullback for the S & P 500 before it reaches the key 5,000 level, or just around 3.5% above current prices. Around 73% of the S & P 500 is currently trading above its 50-day moving average, down from more than 90% in late December, according to David Keller, chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. "New index highs lead to fatigue," said Roth Capital Partners chief market technician JC O'Hara.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, David Keller, JC O'Hara, O'Hara, There's, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, pullbacks, Ginsberg, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Downside, Capital Partners Locations: Japan, Brazil, India, U.S, China, Europe

☆ Asia markets set to gain after U.S. stocks hit all-time highs, China loan prime rates in focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Asia-Pacific markets were set to rise Monday, tracking Wall Street gains with the S&P500 surpassing its all-time high on Friday. The broad market index rose 1.23% to settle at 4,839.81, crossing both the prior record intraday and closing highs from January 2022. The Dow Jones Industrial Average , which set its own record at the end of last year, added 1.05%, while the Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.70%. Investors in Asia will be watching China's one- and five-year loan prime rates, which currently stand at 3.45% and 4.2%, respectively.

Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Investors Locations: Asia, Pacific

☆ Goldman says these stocks with increasing profitability will beat the market this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The firm rebalanced its return on equity growth basket of stocks, which is sector-neutral to the S & P 500. It contains 50 names with the highest consensus expected ROE growth over the next 12 months. Stocks with greatest expected ROE growth include gold mining company Newmont , wireless infrastructure real estate investment trust American Tower , chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices and toy manufacturer Hasbro , according to Goldman. The communications-focused REIT has the second-highest expected ROE growth — 48% — of the names on Goldman's list. In addition to these names, Netflix and T-Mobile are also among the names in Goldman's ROE growth basket.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, ROE, David Kostin, Kostin, Goldman, Newmont, REIT, Goldman's ROE Organizations: Federal Reserve, Devices, Hasbro, AMD, Nvidia, UBS, Netflix, Citigroup Locations: Newmont, Goldman's

☆ IPO watchers are pinning hopes for recovery on a strong stock market and the AI boom
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Yet the main IPO ETF, the Renaissance Capital IPO ETF ( IPO ), has been for sale most of the month. "For the IPO market to open up, it would help not to have our IPO ETF down 9%," he said. Forge Global maintains a Private Market Index , a measure of 75 late-stage pre-IPO companies. "This tells you valuations are getting reset in the private market," Ng told me. Can AI save the IPO market?

Persons: Matt Kennedy, Homebuilder Smith Douglas, Don Short, Salomon, Wilson, Howe Ng, Ng, Del, Waystar, Kim Kardashian's, Short, Vincent Harrison Organizations: Renaissance Capital, Nasdaq, Amer Sports, Arc'teryx, Forge, SEC, Companies, Reuters, Auto, Turo, CNBC, Microsoft, Gaming, SpaceX, Forge Global Locations: Kazakhstan, IPOs, Pitchbook

☆ Stock futures are flat after Dow tops 38,000 for the first time: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange on Dec. 4, 2023. U.S. stock futures were flat Monday night after the Dow Jones Industrial Average surpassed 38,000 for the first time ever. S&P 500 futures rose 0.03%, while Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0.07%. In extended trading, United Airlines rose more than 6% after reporting strong fourth-quarter results. The 30-stock Dow advanced more than 100 points, or 0.4%, to hit a new record and close above 38,000 for the first time.

Persons: Russell, Cheryl Young, Johnson, Lockheed Martin Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Nasdaq, United Airlines, Boeing, Max, Alaska Airlines, United . American Airlines, Southwest Airlines, Alaska Air Group, Delta Air Lines, Nvidia, Rockefeller, Family, Procter, Gamble, Lockheed, Netflix

☆ The S&P 500 set a new record high. How our current Club stocks have fared since the last one
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-21 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | In Kevinstankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Dow Jones Industrial Average set its first record close since January 2022 in December and ended Friday's session at a record high above 37,800. The Nasdaq, on the other hand, ended Friday at 15,310.97 — meaning it needs to rally about 5% more to take out its Nov. 19, 2021 record high. It is worth noting that the Nasdaq 100 , which is weighed more heavily in Big Tech, did close at another record high Friday. Quite a bit has happened on Wall Street since the S & P 500's old high in January 2022. Take a look below to see how 31 of our 32 current Club stocks have fared between the S & P 500's record closes.

Persons: Eli Lilly, Jim Cramer, tirzepatide, Tirzepatide, Lilly, —, Eaton, we've, it's, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Nvidia, Palo Alto Networks, Palo, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Federal Reserve, GE Healthcare, Abbott Labs, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Palo, Palo Alto, Covid, New York City

☆ These cheap stocks with upside could be the next bull market winners
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Wall Street is on the verge of confirming a new bull market has begun, and these stocks could be the next big winners. Here's the criteria: Average analysts' forecasts imply at least 15% upside moving forward. Average analysts' forecasts imply more than 15% upside moving forward. Analysts think the stock can climb even higher, with their average forecasts implying nearly 22% upside moving forward. Analysts forecast a further 21% upside moving forward.

Persons: Stocks, Jane Fraser's, Conor Cunningham, Wells Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, Financial, Citigroup, Citi, Shipping, FedEx, Analysts, Melius Research, JBL, L3Harris Technologies

☆ JPMorgan is still doubting the bull with lowest S&P 500 target
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Even as the S & P 500 nears a new high, JPMorgan's Dubravko Lakos-Bujas remains relatively pessimistic on how 2024 will pan out. In a Friday client report, he called the early results and forward guidance from S & P 500 companies "lackluster." Just about one out of every 10 S & P 500 companies has reported results, according to FactSet. His concerns come as the S & P 500 is poised to hit an all-time high closing level on Friday. The average analyst has a 4,914 target for the S & P 500 at the end of 2024, according to CNBC Pro's Market Strategist Survey.

Persons: JPMorgan hasn't, Dubravko, Bujas Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal, Traders, Fed, CNBC Pro's, Survey

“Consumer views were supported by confidence that inflation has turned a corner and strengthening income expectations,” Hsu added. “Like December, there was a broad consensus of improved sentiment across age, income, education, and geography,” Hsu said. There may, however, be some relief in 2024 as mortgage rates fall in line with reduced interest rates from the Federal Reserve. “Mortgage rates will continue to remain a wild card for home shoppers,” said Danielle Hale, chief economist at Realtor.com. "Mortgage rates are meaningfully lower compared to just two months ago, and more inventory is expected to appear on the market in upcoming months."

Persons: Joanne Hsu, ” Hsu, ”, Danielle Hale, Lawrence Yun Organizations: University of Michigan, Republicans, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors, “, Realtor.com, National Association of Home Builders, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta’s Locations: “, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

☆ Why we like health-care stocks in 2024 despite their spotty record in presidential election years
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-18 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | In Kevinstankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +11 min

The S & P 500 Health Care Sector index has outperformed the broader S & P 500 in just three of the past eight presidential election years dating back to 1992, according to FactSet data. So far in 2024, health care has been the best-performing sector in the S & P 500, climbing roughly 2%. .GSPHC .SPX YTD mountain Health care sector vs. S & P 500 YTD It's way too early for any grand predictions with Election Day 2024 about 10 months away. Nevertheless, we see attractive fundamentals in the year ahead for a host of health-care stocks, giving us the confidence to own Lilly, GE Healthcare and Danaher despite what history says about the group in presidential election years. After a strong 2022 for health care in a terrible overall market, investors last year placed a lower emphasis on the defensive characteristics of health care.

Persons: —, that's, Eli Lilly, Lilly, Jim Cramer, Jim, Sen, Bernie Sanders of, Joe Biden, Sanders, would've, Damien Conover, Conover, Biden, Eli Lilly's, Morningstar, Amgen, Morningstar's Conover, Lilly's donanemab, Humana, Bausch, Jim Cramer's, Frederick Florin Organizations: Health, GE Healthcare, Abbott Laboratories, Amgen, Novartis, Walgreens Boots Alliance, JPMorgan Healthcare Conference, Democratic, Morningstar, CNBC, Horizon Therapeutics, Novo Nordisk, Federal Reserve, General Electric, Medicare, Humana, UnitedHealth Group, Investors, AFP, Getty Locations: San Francisco, U.S, Bernie Sanders of Vermont, Canadian, Fegersheim, France

FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) — Cutting interest rates too soon could threaten Europe’s progress in battling the inflation that has ravaged the economy, the head of the European Central Bank said Wednesday amid widespread speculation that the bank soon will lower rates from record highs. But higher prices have spread through the economy in the form of high prices for services and higher wages. Meanwhile, sluggish economic growth and the impact of higher interest rates on economic activity have sparked bets on rate cuts. Higher rates are the typical antidote to high inflation because they make it more expensive to borrow and buy things, reducing demand for goods. “The first question for next week's European Central Bank meeting is how the bank will react to current market pricing,” Brzeski wrote in a preview of the meeting.

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Lagarde, Carsten Brzeski, ” Brzeski, “ Organizations: European Central Bank, Bloomberg, ECB, U.S . Federal, Wall Street, Union, ING, Central Bank Locations: FRANKFURT, Germany, Davos, Switzerland, Israel, Europe, Ukraine

☆ Homebuilder sentiment surges as mortgage rates trend down
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +1 min

Washington, DC CNN —Homebuilder confidence surged in January as mortgage rates continued to trend lower, according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index released Wednesday. Builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes surpassed market expectations, climbing seven points to 44 on the index. The optimism comes as mortgage rates begin to fall and data points to an improving economy heading into 2024. “Single-family starts are expected to grow in 2024, adding much needed inventory to the market,” Huey said. The monthly builder index looks at current sales, buyer traffic and the outlook for sales of new-construction homes over the next six months.

Persons: Alicia Huey, ” Huey, Freddie Mac Organizations: DC CNN, National Association of Home Builders Locations: Washington, Wells Fargo

☆ Jamie Dimon warns 'all these very powerful forces' will impact U.S. economy in 2024 and 2025
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Jamie Dimon, President & CEO,Chairman & CEO JPMorgan Chase, speaking on CNBC's Squawk Box at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos, Switzerland on Jan. 17yth, 2024. "You have all these very powerful forces that are going to be affecting us in '24 and '25," Dimon told Andrew Ross Sorkin Wednesday in a CNBC interview at the World Economic Forum in Davos. "Ukraine, the terrorist activity in Israel [and] the Red Sea, quantitative tightening, which I still question if we understand exactly how that works," Dimon said. Quantitative tightening refers to moves by the Federal Reserve to reduce its balance sheet and rein in previous efforts including bond-purchasing programs. In Dimon's view, the relatively buoyant stock market of recent months has lulled investors on the potential risks ahead.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan, 17yth, JPMorgan Chase, Dimon, Andrew Ross Sorkin, dory, we've Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, JPMorgan, CNBC, Economic, Federal Reserve Locations: Davos, Switzerland, U.S, Ukraine, Israel

☆ UBS raises S&P 500 target for 2024, sees nearly 8% gain from here
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 is in for yet another strong year, according to UBS. The firm lifted its year-end target on the S & P 500 from 4,850 to 5,150, representing 7.7% upside for the benchmark stock index from Friday's close. The S & P 500 ended last week at 4,783.83. This year's more dovish Federal Reserve policy supports higher valuations, Golub said, upping his 2024 earnings-per-share estimate on the S & P 500 by $10 to $235. "While the S & P 500 advanced throughout 2023, leadership has become more pro-cyclical over the past 3 months, an indication of investor optimism toward the economy," Golub said.

Persons: Jonathan Golub, Golub, upping Organizations: UBS, Federal, Technology

☆ This income-paying asset could be poised to rise in 2024 as interest rates cool
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-02 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

With interest rates expected to come down in 2024, real estate — a sector beloved for its steady income payments — could see upside in the new year. "When rates are low, a lot of income-oriented investors see that REIT dividend as very attractive, and they are willing to take the risks associated with equity investment to have this dividend payment." Jefferies is neutral on the office REIT sector but has raised its rating on Boston Properties to buy from hold. The senior housing occupancy rate was 84.4% in the third quarter of 2023, according to the National Investment Center for Seniors Housing & Care . That's up more than 6 percentage points from the pandemic low of 77.8%, but it's still off from the pre-pandemic occupancy rate of 87.1%.

Persons: REITs, Kevin Brown, Jefferies, Peter Abramowitz, Morningstar's Brown, it's, Brown, JPMorgan's Anthony Paolone, Ventas, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Chris Hayes Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Boston Properties, Boston, National Investment Center, Seniors Housing & Care, Realty Locations: U.S, Boston, Friday's

☆ These were the most traded stocks and options heading into Christmas, Interactive Brokers says
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-27 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Interactive Brokers on Tuesday compiled a list of its 25 most traded stocks and options between Dec. 18 and Dec. 22. They also put in more than 62,000 Tesla options orders. Other heavily traded stocks include Nvidia , crypto mining company Marathon Digital and Advanced Micro Devices . They also traded more than 32,000 Nvidia options orders, along with 14,694 for Marathon and over 16,000 for AMD. Clarification: This story has been updated to reflect the data refers to stock and options orders.

Persons: Steve Sosnick, Tesla, it's, Sosnick Organizations: Interactive, Nvidia, Marathon, Devices, Traders, AMD, Nasdaq, Dow Jones

I didn't learn about investing growing up so I was thrilled to read "The Simple Path to Wealth." Thanks to the book, I'm now on the path towards FIRE — financial independence/retire early. I'm thankful that, in 2017, I was able to read a book called "The Simple Path to Wealth." Here's what "The Simple Path to Wealth" taught me about managing money and building wealth. For me, "The Simple Path to Wealth" has demystified the purpose and process of building wealth in America.

Persons: Collins, I'm, —, JL Collins, I've Organizations: Service, Pew Research, FIRE, Vanguard, Market Index Locations: America

☆ UBS sees big market swings and only slight gains for stocks in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-12 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

UBS is out with its 2024 outlook, and it expects some wild swings for markets next year. The Wall Street firm on Monday said it sees the S & P 500 ending next year at 4,850, roughly 5% above Monday's close of 4,622.44. Stocks have been on a tear recently, with the S & P 500 riding a six-week winning streak. "The large spread between current strength and expected weakness presents a dilemma for investors," Golub wrote Monday. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin said he anticipates the S & P 500 will end next year at 4,700 , just a stone's throw from where the broader index is currently trading.

Persons: Jonathan Golub, Stocks, Golub, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, America's Savita Subramanian, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS, UBS Investment Bank, Bank, America's

☆ Evercore ISI sees big pullback in first half of 2024 as recession ‘materializes’
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-11 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The market is going to worsen early in 2024 before recovering, according to Evercore ISI. The firm sees the S & P 500 falling in the first half of next year to 3,970 as a "recession materializes and politics [amplify] volatility." An inverted yield curve also portends the start of a recessionary period in the first quarter of 2024, he added. "'Defense Wins Championships' is a consistent theme between [the] last hike and first cut in the recession playbook," said Emanuel. By comparison, the S & P 500 is up 20.1% year to date.

Persons: That's, Julian Emanuel, Emanuel Organizations: ISI

☆ China's battered economy suffers another blow as Moody's slashes its credit outlook
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Moody's Investors Service slashed its outlook for Chinese government bonds to negative on Tuesday. Beijing has rolled out stimulus packages and ramped up borrowing in a bid to support the embattled Chinese economy in 2023. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementMoody's Investors Service slashed its outlook for China's credit rating on Tuesday, dealing a fresh blow to the world's second-largest economy. Moody's cited stagnant growth and a seemingly never-ending property crisis as factors that could hamper Beijing's ability to repay its debts.

Persons: —, Moody's, that's, –, Read, It's Organizations: Moody's, Service, China's Ministry, Finance, Bloomberg, CSI Locations: Beijing, China, Moody's

☆ Stifel says the S&P 500 to top out soon, still stuck in a secular bear market
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-04 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The broad market index ended Friday at 4,594.63, its highest close for 2023. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 in 2023 Year to date, the broad market index is up nearly 19%, fueled primarily by large-cap tech names like Meta and Nvidia . He also noted that the market faces bleak prospects going into the early 2030s, expecting a range-bound S & P 500 in real terms" as investors navigate a secular bear market. "The CPI inflation-adjusted S & P 500 peaked near 5,300 in Dec-2021 and has been lower since, which is characteristic of a decade-long Secular Bear Market featuring a flattish/range bound market," Bannister said. As the market growth story shifts to cyclical growth, Bannister says the previous "high level of returns … is gone for a generation."

Persons: Barry Bannister, Bannister, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia

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