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The U.S. debt crisis is a headache for Japan, which is this year's G7 chair and the world's biggest holder of U.S. debt. Five more countries were invited to the outreach including Brazil, India and Indonesia - but not China - although emerging nations' debt problems will feature high on the agenda. On the other hand, Tokyo is courting China to join a creditor nations' meeting it initiated to resolve Sri Lanka's debt. "The agenda of talks show how G7 is becoming increasingly politicized in nature, with an emphasis on countering China." The International Monetary Fund last month trimmed its 2023 global growth outlook and warned a severe flare-up of financial system turmoil could slash output to near recessionary levels.

☆ BOJ's Ueda says yield control will end when price goal achievement foreseen
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( Leika Kihara | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

"We're seeing some positive signs in trend inflation, including inflation expectations," the BOJ chief said. Under yield curve control (YCC), the BOJ sets a short-term interest rate target of -0.1% and caps the 10-year bond yield around zero as part of efforts to durably hit its price goal. It also announced a plan to review its past monetary policy moves, laying the groundwork to gradually phase out his predecessor's massive stimulus programme. Ueda said the review will scrutinise the benefits and side effects of past monetary policy, including by conducting workshops with private academics. "We will take necessary policy steps at each of our rate reviews, with an eye on financial and price developments, even while we conduct the review," Ueda said.

☆ Sri Lanka's creditor nations to meet despite uncertainty on China
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

TOKYO, May 9 (Reuters) - As Sri Lanka's creditor nations prepare for their first meeting on Tuesday to co-ordinate restructuring of the Indian Ocean nation's debt, the focus is turning to whether China will attend. Last month France, India and Japan unveiled a common platform for talks among bilateral creditors to co-ordinate restructuring of Sri Lanka's debt. Sri Lanka owes $7.1 billion to bilateral creditors, government data show, with $3 billion owed to China, followed by $2.4 billion to the Paris Club and $1.6 billion to India. The government also needs to renegotiate more than $12 billion of debt in eurobonds with overseas private creditors, and $2.7 billion on other commercial loans. Sri Lanka has kicked off talks to rework part of its domestic debt and aims to finalise the deal by May.

☆ Bank of Japan debated risk of inflation overshoot in March
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-08 | by ( Leika Kihara | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A few of the nine-member board also said they saw some "positive signs" emerging in Japan that suggest the economy was making progress towards achieving the BOJ's 2% target, the minutes of the March 9-10 meeting showed. The board debated how companies were continuing to hike prices to pass on rising raw material costs, and price increases broadening to services, the minutes showed. While some saw positive signs emerging on the price front, many members said there was "extremely high" uncertainty over Japan's economic outlook that warranted keeping monetary policy ultra-loose, the minutes showed. Another member said any debate of a policy shift must be made cautiously as a reversal of ultra-loose policy would have wide-ranging effects on the public, the minutes showed. The March meeting was the final one chaired by Haruhiko Kuroda, who retired as governor in April and was succeeded by Kazuo Ueda.

"Responding to such changes have become a common challenge for countries across the world, including Japan," he said, adding that the topic will be among many issues to be discussed at this week's G7 meeting. "We're watching the situation with a strong sense of alarm, as markets and economies are globally intertwined," he said, adding that Japan's banking system was stable as a whole. Japan would aim to issue a G7 joint communique after the finance leaders' meeting, which may stress the need for authorities to remain vigilant to banking-sector woes, two government sources with direct knowledge of the matter said. The Nikkei newspaper reported on Tuesday the G7 finance leaders will discuss setting up individual emergency plans in case they face digital bank runs. U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who will travel to Japan, will tell her G7 counterparts that the U.S. banking system remains sound, a senior Treasury official said on Friday.

☆ IMF sees uncertainty over Japan's monetary policy, spillover globally
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-04 | by ( Leika Kihara | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

While most Asian central banks must keep tightening monetary policy, Japan remains an exception with inflation still moderate - though this could change. "There is uncertainty around the direction of monetary policy in Japan, amid a rise in inflation," Srinivasan said. "Changes in Japan's monetary policy that lead to further increases in government bond yields could have global spillovers through Japanese investors, who have large investment positions in debt instruments abroad," Srinivasan said. With inflation exceeding its 2% target, markets are rife with speculation the Bank of Japan (BOJ) could modify its bond yield control policy in coming months. The BOJ kept ultra-low interest rates on Friday but announced a plan to review its past monetary policy moves, laying the groundwork for new governor Kazuo Ueda to phase out his predecessor's massive stimulus programme.

The resumption of bilateral financial discussions comes ahead of Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida's planned visit to South Korea on Sunday and Monday for talks with President Yoon Suk Yeol. It also came as Asian policymakers, gathering for the annual Asian Development Bank (ADB) meeting this week in the South Korean city of Incheon, discussed regional economic challenges and ways to beef up buffers against various shocks. In a joint statement issued after their meeting on Tuesday, Asian finance leaders warned of risks to the region's economy and called for countries to stay vigilant to potential spillovers from the recent U.S. and European banking sector turmoil. Japan and South Korea will resume regular finance dialogue, likely to be held annually, at "an appropriate timing," Suzuki told reporters after the bilateral meeting. Choo is expected to visit Japan this year for another meeting with Suzuki, South Korea's finance ministry said.

The resumption of bilateral financial discussions comes ahead of Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida's planned visit to South Korea on Sunday and Monday for talks with President Yoon Suk Yeol. Japan and South Korea will resume regular finance dialogue, likely to be held annually, at "an appropriate timing," Suzuki told reporters after the bilateral meeting. Washington has pressed both countries to resolve these disputes to better counter rising threats from China and North Korea and other regional challenges. Under Yoon, South Korea has resumed trilateral military drills and agreed to more intelligence sharing on issues like tracking ballistic missile launches from North Korea. China's finance minister and central bank head were not present at a trilateral meeting, with their deputies attending instead.

SummarySummary Companies Japan, South Korea hold 1st bilateral finance meeting in 7 yearsTwo nations to resume regular finance dialogue, likely annualAsia policymakers to discuss safeguardsINCHEON, South Korea May 2 (Reuters) - Japan and South Korea held their first finance leaders' meeting in seven years on Tuesday and agreed to resume regular dialogue, as tensions in the region and slowing growth prod them to increase co-operation and mend strained relations. The resumption of bilateral financial discussions comes ahead of Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida's planned visit to South Korea next week for talks with President Yoon Suk Yeol. "Japan and South Korea are important neighbours that must cooperate to address various challenges surrounding the global economy, as well as the regional and international community," Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki said at the meeting with his South Korean counterpart Choo Kyung-ho. Japan and South Korea will resume regular finance dialogue, likely to be held annually, at "an appropriate timing," Suzuki told reporters after the bilateral meeting. Choo is expected to visit Japan this year for another meeting with Suzuki, South Korea's finance ministry said.

☆ IMF raises Asia's economic forecast on China recovery, warns of risks
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-02 | by ( Leika Kihara | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

"Asia and Pacific will be the most dynamic of the world's major regions in 2023, predominantly driven by the buoyant outlook for China and India," the IMF said its regional economic outlook report. "As in the rest of the world, domestic demand is expected to remain the largest growth driver across Asia in 2023." Asia's economy is expected to expand 4.6% this year after a 3.8% increase in 2022, contributing around 70% of global growth, the IMF said, upgrading its forecast by 0.3 of a percentage point from October. "The costs of failing to bring inflation below target are likely to outweigh any benefits from keeping monetary conditions loose," the IMF said. "Insufficient tightening in the short term would require disproportionately more monetary tightening later to avoid high inflation becoming ingrained, making a larger contraction more likely."

SummarySummary Companies ASEAN+3 finance leaders meet in Incheon, South Korea, TuesdayJapan hopes to propose strengthening currency swap linesExpansion will offer better safeguards vs pandemic, disastersINCHEON, May 2 (Reuters) - Asian finance leaders will on Tuesday look for ways to tighten safeguards to address emergency funding needs during pandemics and natural disasters, as global recession fears and volatile financial markets cloud the economic outlook. Japan, which co-chairs this year's meeting with Indonesia, hopes to discuss strengthening currency swap lines, Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki told reporters on Friday. Japan is keen to propose a facility that enhances the use of existing currency swap lines, and allows members to tap funds in emergencies, said three sources with direct knowledge of the matter. But the swap lines have never been used, not even during the COVID-19 pandemic, leading to calls within the group for the system to be more accessible. The ASEAN+3 finance leaders, including Suzuki and Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda, are meeting on the sidelines of the ADB's annual meeting in Incheon in South Korea this week.

SummarySummary Companies Japan, S.Korea must address geopolitical challenges - SuzukiS.Korea's Choo urges Japan to restore 'white list' statusResumption of dialogue underscores mending relationsINCHEON, South Korea May 2 (Reuters) - Japan and South Korea held their first bilateral finance leaders' meeting in seven years on Tuesday, a sign relations between the two are thawing amid shared challenges from geopolitical tensions and slowing economic growth. The resumption of bilateral financial talks comes ahead of Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida's planned visit to South Korea next week for talks with President Yoon Suk Yeol. "As for geo-political challenges, we're experiencing incidents like North Korea's nuclear missile development and Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Regular annual dialogue between the two countries' finance ministers has been suspended since 2016 due to disputes over wartime history. Suzuki said he hoped Japan and South Korea can continue with bilateral financial dialogue and that doing so would contribute to improving relations between the two countries.

☆ Japan, South Korea finance ministers meet for 1st bilateral meeting in 7 years
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-02 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

INCHEON, South Korea May 2 (Reuters) - Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki and his South Korean counterpart Choo Kyung-ho on Tuesday met on the sidelines of the Asian Development Bank (ADB) annual meetings held this week. It was the first bilateral finance leaders' meeting in seven years, highlighting improving relations between Japan and South Korea in the face of North Korea's frequent missile launches and China's more muscular role on the global stage. Reporting by Leika Kihara and Jihoon Lee Editing by Chang-Ran KimOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

SummarySummary Companies ASEAN+3 finance leaders meet in Incheon, South Korea, TuesdayJapan hopes to propose strengthening currency swap linesExpansion will offer better safeguards vs pandemic, disastersINCHEON, May 2 (Reuters) - Asian finance leaders on Tuesday will debate ways to beef up regional safeguards to better address emergency funding needs during pandemics and natural disasters, as global recession fears and volatile financial markets cloud the economic outlook. Japan, which co-chairs this year's meeting of ASEAN+3 nations with Indonesia, hopes to discuss strengthening currency swap lines, Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki told reporters on Friday. Japan is keen to propose a facility that enhances usage of existing currency swap lines, and allows members to tap funds in times of emergencies such as pandemics and natural disasters, said three sources with direct knowledge of the matter. But the swap lines have never been used, including during the COVID-19 pandemic, giving rise to calls from within the group to make the system more easily accessible in the event of shock events. The ASEAN+3 finance leaders, including Suzuki and Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda, are meeting on the sidelines of the ADB's annual meeting in Incheon in South Korea this week.

Importantly, smaller firms are also starting to raise pay even as many of them face a margin crunch. Big firms offered pay hikes of 3.8% this year in annual wage talks with unions that ended in March, the largest increase in three decades. Attention has now shifted to whether small firms, which employ seven out of 10 workers in Japan, would follow suit. The BOJ's tankan business sentiment survey showed last month that small firms' current profits fell 2.7% in the last fiscal year to March, while big firms' earnings rose 11.5%. Less than half of small firms said they were able to pass on rising costs to customers as of last September, government data showed.

"It's not as if we're heading into a major crisis now," Suzuki said. Suzuki said he plans to attend the ASEAN+3 meeting on Tuesday, to be held on the sidelines of the Asian Development Bank's (ADB) annual meeting in Incheon in South Korea next week. The Bank of Japan also said its Governor Kazuo Ueda will travel to Incheon on May 1-4 to attend the meetings. The International Monetary Fund has urged Asian central banks to keep monetary policy "tighter for longer" to combat still substantial inflation risks. Reporting by Leika Kihara; Editing by Sam HolmesOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ New BOJ chief's first task may be to tweak forward guidance
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( Leika Kihara | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

A shift to a less dovish bias could signal a near-term tweak to YCC, analysts say. GUIDANCE QUESTIONSUeda left few clues on how soon the guidance could change, telling an inaugural news conference on April 10 that the board will "discuss all options at each of our policy meetings." Under current projections made in January, the BOJ expects core consumer inflation to hit 1.6% this year and 1.8% in fiscal 2024. Many analysts expect the BOJ to project inflation to hover near, but stay slightly below, the bank's 2% target for both fiscal 2024 and 2025. Ueda is expected to hold a news conference after the policy meeting on Friday to explain the bank's decision.

☆ BOJ's Ueda sees tough balance in combating cost-push inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( Leika Kihara | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Summary Striking right balance on growth, inflation difficult - UedaJapan likely to see cost-push inflation subside - UedaUeda to chair first BOJ policy meeting this weekTOKYO, April 26 (Reuters) - Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Wednesday the central bank's response to cost-push inflation would depend on economic conditions. "In general, dealing with cost-push inflation is very difficult for central banks. On the other hand, you don't want to tighten monetary policy knowing that cost-push inflation will cool the economy," Ueda told parliament. Ueda added that Japan will see cost-push inflation subside as prices of imported raw materials have likely peaked. Ueda's comments compare with those of his predecessor Haruhiko Kuroda, who repeatedly brushed aside the chance of responding to cost-push inflation with monetary policy.

☆ BOJ chief wants 'quite strong' inflation before tweaking yield control policy
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-24 | by ( Leika Kihara | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

"At present, trend inflation is below 2% so we must maintain monetary easing," Ueda told parliament. "But when trend inflation is projected to reach 2%, the BOJ must normalise monetary policy," he added. Ueda's comments come ahead of a two-day BOJ policy meeting that kicks off on Thursday, where the board will produce fresh quarterly growth and inflation forecasts. "The BOJ's forecasts of trend inflation for half a year, one year and one-and-a-half years ahead must be quite strong and close to 2%. "The BOJ has already been conducting many estimates on how a normalisation of monetary policy could affect its finances," he said.

☆ Japan will keep calling for China to act responsibly, Kishida says
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-20 | by ( Yukiko Toyoda | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

TOKYO, April 20 (Reuters) - Japan will keep calling for China to act responsibly on the world stage, Prime Minister Fumio Kishida said on Thursday, a sign of Tokyo's deepening concern about stability in the Taiwan Strait following Beijing's recent military drills. The comments from Kishida, after China conducted drills in the waters off Taiwan earlier this month, highlight Tokyo's growing alarm about the possibility of an attack on nearby Taiwan. Japan would "continue to call on China to take the responsibility it should be taking as a major country on the world stage," Kishida said during a roundtable interview with members of the foreign media. Japan has joined the United States in putting export restrictions on chip-making tools but in doing so avoided mentioning China so as not to antagonise its neighbour. Kishida also said Japan was calling on China to allow for the return of a Japanese executive detained there.

☆ BOJ open to tweaking YCC this year if wage momentum holds - sources
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-20 | by ( Leika Kihara | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

"Given looming overseas economic risks, it's appropriate to maintain ultra-loose monetary policy now," said one of the sources, a view echoed by two more sources. Others in the BOJ see scope to debate a tweak possibly in the coming months, emboldened by big pay hikes offered by major firms in annual spring wage talks, the sources say. An intensifying labour shortage will likely keep companies under pressure to hike wages, even if the economy slows, according to those who see room for a near-term policy tweak. Market developments will also be crucial in determining the timing of a policy tweak, they say. Ueda has repeatedly said the BOJ will maintain ultra-loose monetary policy, including YCC, as sustained achievement of 2% inflation has yet to come into sight.

The core consumer price index (CPI), which excludes volatile fresh food, but includes energy costs, rose 3.1% in March from a year earlier, government data showed on Friday, matching a median market forecast. The year-on-year rise in the so-called "core core" index was the fastest since December 1981, when Japan was experiencing an asset-inflated bubble economy. Persistent rises in global commodity prices have prodded many Japanese companies, long reluctant to hike prices, to finally pass on their higher costs to consumers, pushing up consumer inflation to well above the BOJ's 2% target. Markets are focusing on the BOJ's quarterly outlook report due after the meeting, which will include inflation forecasts extending through fiscal 2025. Reporting by Leika Kihara and Takahiko Wada; Editing by Clarence FernandezOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ New BOJ chief's message to world: We're staying the course - for now
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-17 | by ( Leika Kihara | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Under YCC, the BOJ guides short-term rates at -0.1% and the 10-year Japan government bond yield around zero with an implicit cap of 0.5%. "We're in an economy where we're going to be hit more by supply shocks, and monetary policy will face more serious trade-offs," she said on Friday. Ranil Salgado, the IMF's Japan mission chief, sees scope for the BOJ to modify the long-term yield target this year, given heightening prospects of durable wage growth. As long as the short-term rates remain zero or slightly negative, the BOJ can keep monetary policy accommodative even if it tweaks the yield target, he said. "We are advising (the BOJ) to pretty much already be thinking about it," Salgado said on the idea of tweaking YCC.

☆ Analysis: New BOJ head's message to world: We're staying the course - for now
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-16 | by ( Leika Kihara | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

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