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☆ Researchers found a surefire predictor of success — and what separates those who find it from those who keep failing
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-12 | by ( Susie Allen | Kellogg Insight | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +12 min

Using this insight, the researchers are able to successfully predict an individual's long-term success with just a small amount of information about that person's initial attempts. Indeed, in another recent study, Wang himself found that an early career setback often set up scientists for later success. In all three datasets, an individual's second-to-last attempt did tend have a higher probability of success than their very first effort. Rather, there's a singular learning threshold that separates eventual successes from the rest. "Thomas Edison said, 'people give up because they don't know how close they are to success,'" Wang explains.

☆ A US Army colonel explains how jumping in to solve your team’s problems kills motivation — and what you should do the next time a crisis hits
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-11 | by ( Susan Margolin | Kellog Insight | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

You may begin to question your team members and double-check their work as if it were your own. Let go of being a heroThe responsibility of senior leaders in any organization is to focus on the bigger picture and not be mired in tactical processes. "When you're in a position of authority, it's your responsibility to extend trust to the individuals on your team," Maddox says. This can mean relinquishing authority to provide team members autonomy to make decisions and learn. To do this, you need "multiple sensors" or viewpoints from your team members to get the full picture.

☆ MBA professors identified which kinds of workers are most at risk when new tech comes along — and the ones who'll stay relatively safe
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( Roberta Kwok | Kellogg Insight | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +12 min

That allowed them to track how breakthrough technologies impacted the exposure of workers in relevant occupations over time. Based on U.S. Census surveys from 1910 to 2010, the team found that an increase in technology exposure was linked to a decline in employment. These employees saw their wages slow down by more than twice as much as average workers in the same occupation with the same level of technology exposure. Even when their technology exposure did go up, their income didn't slow down as much as it did in other types of occupations. "Not all technology is bad for workers," Seegmiller says.

☆ There's a right way to give negative feedback to get positive results, according to a management professor. Here are 3 tips on how to deliver them.
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( Jessica Love | Kellogg Insight | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Clinical professor Brooke Vuckovic shared how to give negative feedback at work. Whatever the problem, their performance is not up to par—which means it's time for a tough conversation. So as you prepare for a tough conversation about your employee's performance—and prepare you must—what should you keep in mind? Commit to listening well and staying attunedIn the drive to plow through to the end of the conversation, leaders too often fail to think through the skills required to foster a productive discussion. But even if the conversation is going quite smoothly, it is important to wrap up in a way that feels complete.

☆ Here are Friday's biggest analyst calls: Apple, Coinbase, Western Alliance, Playboy, SolarEdge & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple as overweight Morgan Stanley said Apple is "delivering under pressure" after its earnings report on Thursday. Guggenheim upgrades Portillo's to buy from neutral Guggenheim said it sees multiple expansion for the restaurant chain. Goldman Sachs downgrades Atlassian to neutral from buy Goldman said the company's "cloud transition [is] likely taking longer than expected." UBS upgrades Shopify to neutral from sell UBS said in its upgrade of Shopify that it sees revenue upside. Jefferies initiates Playboy Group as buy Jefferies said it sees "significant upside" for the adult themed global media and lifestyle company.

☆ Walmart keeps grocery prices steady amid inflation, antitrust claims
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Siddharth Cavale | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

During the period, while U.S. inflation averaged 7.5% Walmart kept prices steady, the Dataweave analysis shows. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsThis was during a time when world food prices hit record highs and U.S. food-at-home prices rose in the double digits. Food-at-home prices, or prices of food bought at grocery stores and supermarkets, are expected to rise a further 6.6% this year, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. The data set, which included batteries in the basket of goods, showed that Walmart sold Energizer batteries at a significant discount to rivals. Similarly, at least two different types of Energizer coin batteries sold at Walmart were found to be between 30% and 35% cheaper than the next lowest priced rival.

☆ Kellogg lifts annual forecasts on price hikes, resilient demand
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

May 4 (Reuters) - Kellogg Co (K.N) on Thursday forecast a smaller drop in annual profit and raised the lower end of its sales outlook on the back of consistent price hikes and resilient demand for its cereals and snacks. Shares of the Michigan-based company rose marginally in premarket trading after the Corn Flakes maker beat market expectations for first-quarter revenue and profit. The Pringles maker's strong outlook reflects comments from peers PepsiCo Inc (PEP.O) and Hershey Co (HSY.N), who also lifted their annual forecasts in recent months boosted by price increases. However, organic volumes declined by 1.9% in the first quarter, while overall prices rose 15.6%. Net sales in the first quarter rose 10.4% to $4.05 billion, beating analysts' estimate of $3.95 billion, according to Refinitiv IBES data.

☆ Kellogg CEO Steve Cahillane joins Jim Cramer fresh off of quarterly earnings beat
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-04 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Kellogg CEO Steve Cahillane joins Jim Cramer fresh off of quarterly earnings beatKellogg CEO Steve Cahillane joins 'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer to discuss the companies quarterly earnings results, growth opportunities, and inflation's impact on sales and prices.

☆ Morning Bid: Hike and hold, bank angst and Apple
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

As the Fed delivered what markets assume will be the last rate hike of a brutal 13-month, 500-basis-point tightening cycle, further aftershocks from the March bank blowups reverberated in the background. And given they had advance knowledge of next week's quarterly loan survey before Wednesday's rate decision, it suggests the bigger picture they see remains somewhat equivocal. Norway's central bank raised interest rates as expected and signalled more to come. Events to watch for on Thursday:* European Central Bank policy decision, statement and news conference* U.S. first quarter unit labor costs and productivity, April layoffs, March trade balance, weekly jobless claims. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

☆ The most effective ways to manage an employee who is unmotivated and mentally checked out
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-04 | by ( Laura Pavin | Kellogg Insight | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Turn the lens inwardIf you suspect someone in your ranks is quitting quietly, Thompson recommends that you first consider the possibility that you could be misreading their behavior. Managers set the tone for their teams, Thompson says. In fact, that's why it's not a bad idea to ask your team to work on this document before any new issues arise. And if your efforts to reenergized a disengaged employee fail, Thompson says, the issue may end up correcting itself. "If you have an engaged workplace, whoever is quietly checked out probably won't want to be around.

☆ Some people feel morally impure after networking and most just hate it. Here's how to learn to love it, according to experts.
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-04 | by ( Emily Stone | Kellogg Insight | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

They found that networking can make some people feel morally impure and dirtier afterwards. She and coauthors explored where that feeling comes from and found that networking can make people feel morally impure. After all, junior professionals often stand to gain the most from networking, so they're doing themselves no favors if they're networking-averse. "They don't feel like they're taking advantage of their networking partner, which makes them come across as more authentic." The reason may come down to the types of information that men versus women need to succeed.

☆ Futures waver as PacWest slide offsets Fed pause optimism
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The Fed over the past 14 months has raised rates by 500 basis points to tame price pressures in its most aggressive policy tightening since the 1980s. The KBW Regional Banking index (.KRX) and S&P 500 Banks index (.SPXBK) have lost around 29% and 15% so far in 2023. Investors will also monitor weekly jobless claims for further clues on the state of the labor market. Qualcomm Inc (QCOM.O) slumped 6.7% after third-quarter forecasts missed estimates, while Etsy Inc (ETSY.O) gained 3% on beating expectations for quarterly revenue. Reporting by Ankika Biswas in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak DasguptaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Kraft Heinz lifts profit outlook on price hikes, easing costs
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-03 | by ( Aatrayee Chatterjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

(Reuters) -Kraft Heinz Co raised its full-year profit forecast on Wednesday on the back of higher prices and sustained demand for its packaged food items as raw material costs, which have plagued the industry, also ease. FILE PHOTO: A Heinz Ketchup bottle sits between a box of Kraft macaroni and cheese and a bottle of Kraft Original Barbecue Sauce on a grocery store shelf in New York March 25, 2015. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File PhotoShares of the Philadelphia Cream Cheese maker were up 3.9% in early trading after it also reported better-than-expected quarterly results. The strong outlook echoes comments from peers PepsiCo Inc and Mondelez, who have also lifted annual forecasts supported by price increases. Excluding one-off items, Kraft Heinz earned 68 cents per share, topping analysts’ estimate of 60 cents per share, according to Refinitiv IBES data.

☆ Kit Kat Cereal is hitting US shelves
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-01 | by ( Ramishah Maruf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

General Mills is betting a lot of people do, as it is launching Kit Kat Cereal nationwide beginning this month at $5.69 for a standard-size box. A limited edition Spider-Verse Cereal – red “spiderberry” puffs with blue and white marshmallows – will be selling for a less expensive $2.99 in stores. General Mills is also launching miniature Lucky Charms and Cocoa Puffs, adding to its miniature Trix, both of which are priced at $5.69. They could either be eaten dry or be mixed in with cold water to create instant milk and cereal. Cereal sales surged to over $9 billion in 2020 or up 9% from 2019, as millions worked from home, according to data from NielsenIQ.

☆ Bud Light wanted to market to all. Now, it's alienating everyone
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-01 | by ( Danielle Wiener-Bronner | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

New York CNN —For years, Bud Light leaned on jokey ad campaigns and its designation as a light beer to push sales. Now, Bud Light finds itself seeking younger drinkers, and stumbling through America’s polarized landscape in the process. There have been calls for a Bud Light boycott. And the stock of Bud Light owner Anheuser-Busch (BUD) has fallen only about 3% in the last month, suggesting Wall Street isn’t too worried. Bud Light, he thinks, could be missing out on that type of support.

☆ A solid start to earnings season will be put to the test in the week ahead
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-29 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +14 min

The biggest week of this earnings season showed us that things aren't as bad as many feared. The week ahead of earnings, including several more Club names, should tell us more. The results are always important, but it's the guidance and management commentary we will really hone in on to better understand the path ahead. In Amazon's case, a solid first quarter for its AWS cloud business was overshadowed by management seeing a material slowdown in April. ET: Nonfarm Payrolls Looking back It was the biggest week of this earnings season for the Club as several of our mega-cap holdings and industry bellwethers reported results.

☆ Markets next week have to contend with how aggressive the Fed drumbeat sounds
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( Scott Schnipper | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

"Is Chairman Powell going to say, 'It is likely that we pause now and assess what the economy is going to do?' "The tone on that balance is going to be very critical to how the market is going to move next week." "What is [Powell] going to do? June Fed meeting The betting on Wall Street right now is that, after next week, the Fed will standpat at its next meeting six weeks later, on June 13-14. Beyond Apple, some 161 other companies in the S & P 500 index are scheduled to report latest-quarter results next week.

☆ Ivanka Trump distanced herself from her family by hiring her own lawyer for an upcoming lawsuit against the Trump Organization: report
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-27 | by ( Joshua Zitser | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Ivanka Trump has hired her own lawyer to represent her in an upcoming $250 million civil lawsuit, per Forbes. She ditched the attorneys representing her brothers — Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump. Shortly after the lawsuit was filed in September, the Trump brothers hired attorneys Clifford Robert and Michael Farina to represent them. The following month, Ivanka Trump also retained the attorneys to work alongside two Washington, D.C. lawyers, Reid Figel and Michael Kellogg, whom she had hired separately, per Forbes. Insider contacted Robert, Farina, Figel, Kellogg, Moskowitz, and the Trump Organization for comment but did not immediately receive responses.

☆ Morningstar's chief U.S. market strategist shares his outlook for the economy and ways to play the market turbulence ahead
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-27 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

But even in a turbulent environment, there are value opportunities for investors who look carefully, according to Dave Sekera, Morningstar's chief U.S. market strategist. "We think the stock market is undervalued," Sekera told CNBC during an interview at the Morningstar Investment Conference in Chicago. "However, I'd say at this point, the easy returns have already been made thus far this year, and I do see a rough road ahead for the next couple of quarters for the stock market in general." For regional bank stocks, Morningstar expects earnings to slowly decline through 2023. Today, Morningstar views many of those names, in areas such as energy, healthcare and consumer defensives, as fully valued.

Kids in Hammond, Indiana, are forced to climb over and through stopped trains block their way to school. Jamie Kelter Davis for ProPublicaState lawmakers have tried to curb blocked crossings by restricting the lengths of trains. Spielmaker, the Norfolk Southern spokesperson, said: "We work with first responders on a daily basis to assist however we can. A favorable court opinion could allow other states to finally enforce their laws on blocked crossings. Among those who hope to voice their concerns about the blocked crossings are rail workers themselves who worry about the kids.

☆ Elon Musk's super-app ambitions might be a fool's errand
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-25 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Whether it's charging, or not charging, for blue check marks or blowing up mega-rockets, Elon Musk's businesses get plenty of scrutiny. Insider's Paige Hagy looked into Musk's plans around turning Twitter into a super app and spoke to industry experts about the strategy. A super app, or everything app, as Musk calls it, encompasses everything (no duh!) In short, if it's something you can do on your phone, you can do it on a super app. Click here to read more about Elon Musk's plans for creating an everything app.

☆ MBA professors say there is a correct way to schedule your day to get more done. Here are 5 research-backed strategies they recommend.
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-24 | by ( Jessica Love | Kellogg Insight | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

They also say stop jumping around from task to ask and be weary of collaborating with others. Specifically, Maria Ibanez and a colleague have found that inspections that occur later in the day result in fewer violations. Each subsequent hour an inspector conducts inspections during the day results in 3.7% fewer citations per inspection that day, likely due to fatigue. For instance, after an inspection that yielded a particularly high number of violations, inspectors were likelier to spot extra violations at the next joint, too. A study from two Kellogg School professors — Nicola Persico and Rob Bray — tested this idea by altering the way Italian appellate labor court judges schedule court hearings.

☆ Tupperware has been struggling for some time. These charts show how
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-23 | by ( Alex Leeds Matthews | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN —Tupperware may be on the verge of collapse, but the 77-year-old business’ potential demise isn’t necessarily a harbinger of worsening economic conditions. Some business experts say that’s because Tupperware has failed to adapt to changing consumer behaviors. The Tupperware brand name is so iconic that it’s become shorthand for all food leftover storage. That might be part of the problem, as other brands have emerged to compete against Tupperware, sometimes at lower price points. Tupperware has historically only sold to consumers through “direct sales,” most commonly at “Tupperware parties.” These parties were gatherings where people who enjoyed the product would demo and sell the Tupperware brand to their friends and acquaintances.

☆ Why Does Your Boss Reject All of Your Good Ideas?
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-15 | by ( Leigh Thompson | ) www.wsj.com time to read: +1 min

A splendid idea from an internal subordinate can activate a threat response from that employee’s leader, research shows. Leigh Thompson is the J. Jay Gerber Professor of Dispute Resolution and Organizations and a director of executive-education programs at Northwestern University’s Kellogg School of Management. Previously, as a midlevel manager in a services business, she had frequently presented to senior leaders what she thought were creative, innovative ideas. Ultimately, my student grew frustrated and left the company and started her own consulting firm. When her old employer became a client, she presented her favorite previously dismissed ideas to the same leaders—and this time they loved them!

☆ Analysis: Twitter's advertising business seen facing slow recovery
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-13 | by ( Sheila Dang | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Musk, who also runs electric carmaker Tesla Inc (TSLA.O), earlier this week told the BBC that most of Twitter's advertisers are returning to the platform and the business was "roughly breaking even." Research firm Insider Intelligence this week slashed its forecast for Twitter's global ad revenue this year by 37% to $2.98 billion. That would represent a 28% decline from Twitter's 2022 ad revenue of $4.14 billion. 33 among Twitter's top advertisers before Musk's acquisition, according to Sensor Tower. Twitter's ad business is "eroding" and its subscription product Twitter Blue is seeing only moderate success, Similarweb said in a blog post.

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