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☆ Bank stocks are trouncing the market in October on Trump optimism
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Bank stocks have outperformed in recent weeks as investors see an improved regulatory environment if former President Donald Trump returns to the White House, according to Bank of America. The Invesco KBW Bank ETF (KBWB) , which tracks the KBW Bank Index, has climbed more than 6% since the start of October. By comparison, the S & P 500 has added less than 2% during the same period. "A Republican win would likely be viewed most positive for bank stocks in terms of returning to balance the regulatory environment." Either a Trump win with a split government or a Republican sweep would be seen as bullish for this group of stocks, Poonawala said.

Persons: Donald Trump, Ebrahim Poonawala, Trump, Poonawala, Kamala Harris, Harris, October's Organizations: White, Bank of America, KBW Bank, Republican, Department of Justice, Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, Citigroup, TD Bank, New York Community, Trump . Bank, Trump, Justice Department Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ The tax code could be in for upheaval. How to prepare your portfolio, per Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), which took effect in the beginning of 2018, overhauled the federal tax code. It roughly doubled the standard deduction, adjusted individual income tax brackets , lowered most of the rates and applied a $10,000 cap on the state and local tax deduction. Mutual funds tend to have higher turnover – that is, buying and selling of underlying securities – and by law they must distribute capital gains. Meanwhile, income from Treasurys are subject to federal income tax, but exempt from state and local tax. Seek tax-efficient opportunities for your holdings Take a look at your portfolio and see whether there are opportunities for tax-advantaged yield, Woodard said.

Persons: Jared Woodard, Woodard, MLPA Organizations: Bank of America, Mutual, Bloomberg, ETF, SEC, Muni, MLP & Energy Infrastructure, Global, MLP, MLPX, & $ Locations: U.S

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Boeing, Kenvue, Humana, Warby Parker and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Humana , Cigna – Shares of both companies moved in opposite directions after Bloomberg, citing people familiar with the matter, reported that Cigna resumed merger talks with Humana. Humana gained more than 4% while Cigna fell a similar amount. UPS – Shares fell nearly 2% after a downgrade to underweight from equal weight at Barclays. Southwest Airlines – Shares dipped more than 1% before the market open. ASML – Shares fell more than 1% after Bernstein lowered its price target on the Dutch semiconductor equipment stock.

Persons: Johnson, Warby Parker, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Cigna, Humana, Bernstein, —, Alex Harring, Samantha Subin, Jesse Pound, Hakyung Kim, Michelle Fox Theobald Organizations: Wall Street Journal, Johnson, Boeing, Bloomberg, Humana, –, Barclays, Amazon, Southwest Airlines, Elliott Investment Management, CNBC Locations: –

☆ Ex-Twitter CEO Parag Agrawal has moved his AI startup out of stealth, calling it Parallel
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Jyoti Mann | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Parag Agrawal updated his LinkedIn page with his AI startup's name for the first time: Parallel Web Systems. The ex-Twitter CEO raised about $30 million for the startup, The Information reported in January. AdvertisementThe former CEO of Twitter has moved his AI startup out of stealth mode with a previously unknown name: Parallel Web Systems. Agrawal raised about $30 million for the startup, The Information reported in January when the startup's name was still unknown. From Twitter to AI startupAgrawal was the CEO of Twitter from November 2021 to October 2022, when Elon Musk fired him following his acquisition of the platform.

Persons: Parag Agrawal, Parallel's, —, Agrawal, Elon Musk, Kurt Wagner's, Wagner, Musk, Ned Segal, Vijaya Gadde, Sean Edgett Organizations: Systems, AIs, Service, Twitter, Khosla Ventures, Index Ventures, LinkedIn, Company, Shapley Inc, Business Locations: Palo Alto , California, San Francisco

☆ European markets set to start the new trading week in mixed territory
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

European markets are heading toward a mixed start to the new trading week. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 index is expected to open 17 points higher at 8,373, Germany's DAX down 12 points at 19,644, France's CAC up 1 point at 7,611 and Italy's FTSE MIB up 55 points at 35,087, according to data from IG. Regional markets had ended last week on a high note after the European Central Bank announced its third interest rate cut of the year last Thursday, lowering the deposit rate by another 25 basis points, as inflation risks in the European Union are seen to be easing faster than anticipated. Overnight, Asia-Pacific markets were mixed as traders assessed China's loan prime rate announcement, with focus also on Japan's general election at the end of this week. Stateside, stock futures ticked higher Sunday night after the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 notched their best weekly win streaks of 2024.

Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: France's CAC, IG, Regional, European Central Bank, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: European Union, Asia, Pacific

☆ The economic 'no landing' could drive the S&P 500 to a 13% gain in 2025, UBS says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The bank is adding to the growing numbers of forecasts for a "no landing" of the US economy. Inflation will remain low enough to leave room for the Fed to cut interest rates, boosting stocks. The job market is proving resilient, despite tighter financial conditions and higher interest rates. AdvertisementCooling price growth sets the stage for the Fed to continue cutting interest rates, UBS said, which is bullish for stocks. The strategists added that while investors may see some volatility ahead of the November election, it's unlikely to interrupt more positive market catalysts.

Persons: — Organizations: UBS, Fed, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, New

☆ Stock futures are little changed as earnings season gains steam: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures were flat in overnight trading after the Dow Jones Industrial Average snapped a three-day winning streak. The S&P 500 declined about 0.2%, while the Nasdaq Composite added close to 0.3%. Investor attention remains fixated on third-quarter earnings season, with about one-fifth of the S&P 500 slated to report results this week. "It is good to see analysts getting realistic about 2025 earnings growth," she said. "However, at 15% earnings growth, we believe it is still too optimistic given the expectation for slower economic growth in 2025."

Persons: Dow, Zions, Megan Horneman, Lockheed Martin Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, SAP, America, Verdence Capital Advisors, Lockheed, General Motors, Verizon, Tesla, IBM, Boeing

☆ Bitcoin at 3-month high as Trump odds drive currencies
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Cryptocurrency bitcoin hit a three-month high in early Asia trading on Monday and the dollar looked set to extend its gains in markets counting down to the U.S. presidential election in two weeks. Bitcoin got a lift from Trump's improving prospects since his administration is seen as taking a softer line on cryptocurrency regulation. The clearest way to express the Trump tariff risk was to be long dollars versus the euro, Swiss franc and Mexican peso , he said. Brad Bechtel, global head of FX at Jefferies, also noted that rising real interest rates were helping the dollar along, particularly against those three currencies. "We expect this trend to continue straight into the election and if Trump wins, likely well after the election as well," Bechtel wrote.

Persons: Cryptocurrency bitcoin, Donald Trump, Bitcoin, Chris Weston, Pepperstone, Weston, Brad Bechtel, Bechtel Organizations: U.S, Trump, China, BTC, Swiss, FX, Jefferies Locations: Asia, U.S

☆ The election could be less of a market catalyst than people think, some investors say
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The U.S. presidential election is fast approaching, but it may not have as much an impact on markets as people may think, some investors say. History suggests the strong performance bodes well for a post-election pop into year's end. When Trump was elected in the 2016 presidential election, investors expected energy would perform well — but the subsequent two years proved unfavorable for the sector. During the 2000 election, volatility lasted for more than 30 days, through December. "We encourage investors to keep their long-term objectives in mind during periods of uncertainty and position for election related volatility," Guerra wrote.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris, Sam Stovall, Stovall, Joe Biden's, Dan Chung, John Stoltzfus, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management's Monica Guerra, Guerra, Ross Mayfield, Baird Organizations: U.S, NBC News, Republican, Dow Jones Industrial, CFRA, Oppenheimer Asset Management, Presidency, Senate, Republicans, Trump, Morgan Stanley Wealth

☆ 10 analysts just hiked their price targets on these 3 stocks — including a Big Tech AI firm
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

A slew of Wall Street analysts last week turned even more bullish on three stocks ahead of their quarterly earnings reports. CNBC Pro screened for stocks in the MSCI World Index that have received share price target upgrades from Wall Street analysts over the past seven days. Despite raising their price target, Phillip Capital analysts have a "neutral" rating on the stock. The median price target of 17 analysts points to 18% upside potential. The company's share price is correlated to the price of gold , and also copper to a lesser degree.

Persons: Barrick, Jeffrey Wlodarczak, Wlodarczak, Zuckerberg, Helena Wang Organizations: Street, Ltd, Barrick Gold, CNBC Pro, Wall Street, Facebook, Research, Limited, New York Stock Exchange, Phillip Capital Locations: U.S, Singapore, SeaMoney, Canada

☆ The stock market is primed for more gains ahead, Canaccord says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The recent strong run in stocks could be just the beginning, according to Canaccord Genuity. The recent rally comes as the current bull market turned two years old. Canaccord Genuity analyst Michael Welch thinks more gains could lie ahead. .SPX mountain 2022-10-12 SPX during bull market "The current two-year-old bull market remains below the median in both percent gain and duration, suggesting the upside has further room to run," he wrote Monday. The latest market run also comes as investors pore through third-quarter results.

Persons: Canaccord, Michael Welch, Welch, Goldman Sachs, Warby Parker, Goldman Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S

☆ Morgan Stanley says these 10 small-cap stocks have at least 50% upside
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-20 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Small-cap stocks surged in July, with the Russell 2000 rising 11.5% in a week. Morgan Stanley thinks they could be set for more upside in the months ahead. "We recently upgraded Small caps to neutral vs Large caps after a persistent 3 ½ year period of underperformance. "For us to get outright bullish on Small caps, leading macro indicators would likely need to reflect a clear acceleration in growth," he added. Below, we've compiled the 10 stocks on the list with the highest upside to their Morgan Stanley price targets.

Persons: Russell, Morgan Stanley, —, Nicholas Lentini, Lentini, we've Organizations: Service

☆ The index fund cushion is an equal opportunity booster for stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-20 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +12 min

S & P 500 money is oblivious to stock valuations of any kind and ignorant to upgrades and downgrades. The Lilliputian sellers regularly fail to do damage when matched with the oblivious index money. A 4% 2-year note isn't competitive to the magnet of the S & P 500 and its kin. That's emblematic of what happens with a big buyback without stock-based compensation (something many tech firms use that renders moot the S & P 500 inflows). Because of the way that the S & P 500 money is divvied up, the share base becomes overwhelmingly index-fund based and the index fund shareholders do not sell.

Persons: Morningstar, Smoot, Herbert Hoover's, Warren Buffett, Buffett, Jerome Powell, haven't, Charlie Scharf, Wells, Banks, Charlie, Morgan Stanley, Ted Pick, James Gorman, Schwab, Gamble, Jim Umpleby, that's, Butch Cassidy, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Charles Scharf, Kyle Grillot Organizations: Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Taiwan Semi, Trust, Fed, Triple AAA Robinhood, Morgan, Procter, United Airlines, Exxon, Caterpillar, Boeing, Apple, Meta, Sundance, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Milken Institute Global Conference, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Hawley, McCumber, Taiwan, Arizona, American, Wells Fargo, Wells, China, Chevron, Beverly Hills, Calif

30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are close to 6.20%, according to Zillow data. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile. But now that inflation has decelerated and the Fed is expected to cut rates soon, mortgage rates have trended down. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.

Persons: they've, Fannie Mae, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's Organizations: Federal, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs, Fed, Mortgage, Association Locations: homebuyers, Chevron

☆ China's attempts to save its flailing housing market haven't boosted confidence among top Wall Street analysts
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-20 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

On Thursday, China unveiled new measures to prop up its struggling property market. AdvertisementChina officials have directed a wave of stimulus measures at the country's beleaguered property market, but the effort hasn't done much to impress Wall Street experts. On Thursday, China unveiled new measures to prop up its flailing housing market, including quicker access to credit for developers and renovations in run-down urban areas. "While a step in the right direction, these stimulus measures are so far falling short of the scope and scale needed to reflate the Chinese economy. But Yingrui Wang, China economist at AXA Investment Managers, says that optimism could be short-lived as the housing stimulus lacks detail.

Persons: —, Wall, Goldman Sachs, haven't, Yingrui Wang, Wang Organizations: Service, Ministry of Housing, Ministry, BCA Research, AXA Investment, CSI Locations: China, Beijing, China's

☆ 3 signs that investors should expect the bull market to continue for a third year in 2025
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-20 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The S&P 500 has enjoyed a bull market since October 2022, rising nearly 70%. AdvertisementThe stock market has been experiencing a bull market for the last two years. The Magnificent Seven drove much of the returns for the S&P 500 this year, contributing 34% of the index's total return. Analysts expect S&P 500 companies to report 4.2% profit growth for Q3. Ever since World War II, bull markets that have lasted two years continue onwards for a third.

Persons: LPL Financial's Quincy Crosby, —, Quincy Crosby, LPL, Crosby, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Jack Ablin, Jerome Powell, Buchbinder Organizations: Service, LPL, Federal, Bull, JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, Morningstar, Cresset Capital Management, Federal Reserve Locations: America

☆ 4 ways Brian Niccol can use his Chipotle playbook to reinvigorate Starbucks
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-19 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +15 min

At Starbucks, Niccol inherits a company that under previous leadership consistently disappointed investors with weakening sales, including back-to-back periods of negative same-store sales growth this year. Operations Upon taking over Chipotle, Niccol's focus was on improving operations after the rise of digital orders complicated execution and increased wait times. The addition of shelves alone accelerated the use of Chipotle's second "make line," where digital orders are prepared in the back of the store. To rebuild consumer trust at Chipotle, Chipotle launched the "Behind the Foil" campaign to showcase transparency in food preparation. His marketing approach "brought new news in a positive way toward Chipotle," Silberman said.

Persons: Brian Niccol's, Brian Niccol, Jim Cramer, Laxman Narasimhan, Niccol, Chipotle, Howard Schultz, Narasimhan, Schultz, Jefferies, Andy Barish, Barish, Lauren Silberman, Silberman, Rachel Ruggeri, there's, It's, Carne Asada, Queso Blanco, Chipotle's, Deutsche Bank's Silberman, hasn't, Tressie Lieberman, Lieberman, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Adam Jeffery Organizations: Starbucks, CNBC, Street, North America, Deutsche Bank ., Deutsche, Taco, Yum Brands, Yahoo, LinkedIn, Starbucks Workers Locations: Chipotle, Niccol, China, U.S, Denver, Michigan, Maine

Several companies due to report next week could get a boost after their earnings results. To separate the wheat from the chaff, CNBC Pro screened FactSet for companies reporting in the coming days that are liked by analysts and also have strong earnings momentum. One bullish analyst is Morgan Stanley's Erik Woodring, who reiterated an overweight rating and $133 price target on Seagate in an Oct. 15 note to clients. Health care stocks Universal Health Services and HCA Healthcare have also seen improved sentiment, as measured by earnings estimates since the Spring. The investment bank maintained its buy rating while increasing its price target on HCA by $75 to $450, implying 8% potential upside from Friday's close.

Persons: Morgan Stanley's Erik Woodring, Woodring, TD Cowen Organizations: CNBC Pro, Seagate Technology, Seagate, Universal Health Services, HCA Healthcare, Analysts, Healthcare, HCA

☆ These are Morgan Stanley's highest conviction plays for earnings season
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-19 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Here are five of Morgan Stanley's 10 highest conviction plays, which the firm sees near-term catalysts driving "a meaningful move" upward. Morgan Stanley sees a positive set up for Eaton and is forecasting beats on all key performance indicators, including Americas organic growth and margins. "Our detailed organic growth build supports steady ~8% organic growth in 2025-26, roughly ~200 bps above Consensus, which drives [mid-single digit] EPS upside and argues for multiple expansion on sustained strength," he added. Eaton is set to report third-quarter earnings on Oct. 29. His price target of $100 suggests shares could rise 29% from Friday's close.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Michelle Weaver, Morgan Stanley's, Eaton, Chris Snyder, Ron Kamden, Keith Weiss, —, Sarah Min Organizations: CNBC Disruptor, Microsoft Locations: Eaton, Americas, 4Q24, Friday's

☆ Here's why inflation may look like it's easing but is still a huge problem
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-19 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Inflation is not deadDaly began her talk with an anecdote of a recent encounter she had while walking near her home. But the conversation encapsulated a dilemma for the Fed: If inflation is on the run, why are interest rates still so high? As evidenced by the young man's question, convincing people that inflation is easing is a tough sell. watch nowThe annual rate of CPI inflation was 2.4% in September, a vast improvement over the 9.1% top in June 2022. However, year-over-year spending increased just 1.7%, below the 2.4% CPI inflation rate.

Persons: Brandon Bell, Goldman Sachs, Mary Daly, Daly, Goldman, Jerome Powell, —, hasn't, haven't Organizations: Walmart, Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed, New York University Stern School of Business, Commerce Department, Fed, York Fed, Bank of America, National Federation of Independent Business Locations: Austin , Texas, U.S, , Wyoming, Atlanta, York

☆ Why a stock picking approach to small caps may boost performance right now
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-19 | by ( Krysta Escobar | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Stock picking may be the key to getting exposure to small caps. Rob Harvey, who's behind the Dimensional U.S. Small Cap ETF , uses an actively managed approach to buying the group. He's trying to avoid small caps that are underperforming and dragging down the index. "You remove those from your small cap universe, [and] you can do a lot for boosting returns." As of Friday's close, the Dimension U.S. Small Cap ETF is underperforming the Russell 2000 by more than one percent this year.

Persons: Rob Harvey, who's, Ben Slavin, BNY Mellon Organizations: U.S, Abercrombie, Fitch, Fabrinet, Dimensional Fund, BNY

☆ Mark Zuckerberg and Jensen Huang's combined wealth gains this year equate to the 7th richest person in the world
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Mark Zuckerberg and Jensen Huang have collectively gained $150 billion this year. AdvertisementMark Zuckerberg and Jensen Huang have collectively grown over $150 billion richer this year, a figure that exceeds Warren Buffett's net worth. Huang, the CEO and cofounder of Nvidia, has gained $75.6 billion in net worth this year, second only to Zuckerberg. AdvertisementThe two tech titans have gained a combined $152 billion this year, which alone would make them the 7th richest person on earth. Zuckerberg and Huang's joint wealth has jumped to $324 billion —more than Coca-Cola ($301 billion) or Netflix ($295 billion) were worth at the end of Thursday trading.

Persons: Mark Zuckerberg, Jensen Huang, —, Warren, Zuckerberg, Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos, Huang, rade, Nvidia's microchips Organizations: Nvidia, Netflix, Service, Meta, Bloomberg, Amazon, Investors

☆ Stock market today: Indexes trade near record highs after a string of solid earnings reports
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks were mostly higher on Friday amid a string of solid third-quarter earnings reports. Netflix and Intuitive Surgical beat Wall Street estimates, boosting their stock prices to new record highs. 82% of S&P 500 companies that have reported earnings so far have surpassed Wall Street's profit estimates. AdvertisementUS stocks traded higher on Friday, with all three major averages at or near record highs as investors digested third-quarter earnings results. Intuitive Surgical also reported solid third-quarter earnings that beat Wall Street estimates for revenues and profits.

Persons: — Organizations: Netflix, Service, Wall

☆ Here's something for the bulls to celebrate over the next 10 weeks
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Nerad + Deppe Wealth Management's Steve Deppe found 12 other examples since 1950 when the S & P 500 ended October with a six-month trailing return above 10%. The six-month trailing return on the S & P 500 is currently north of 15%. On average, the S & P 500 gained 7.4% in November and December in all those other instances. "In 2024, it's very easy to want to take the money and run," Deppe told CNBC Pro from his office in La Jolla, California. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500, year to date Deppe currently expects the S & P 500 will finish 2024 above 6,000.

Persons: Steve Deppe, Harry Truman, Deppe, We've, we've Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC Pro Locations: La Jolla , California

☆ Surge in active ETFs has been 'remarkable,' analyst says. How to know if it's right for your portfolio
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( Kate Dore | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

But there has been a surge in actively managed ETFs as investors seek lower costs and more precision, experts say. Active ETFs represented just more than 2% of the U.S. ETF market at the beginning of 2019. There are a few reasons for the active ETF growth, experts say. Still, only a fraction of issuers have been successful in the active ETF market. Active ETFs allow 'tactical adjustments'While passive ETFs replicate an index, such as the S&P 500 , active managers aim to outperform a specific benchmark.

Persons: Morningstar, Stephen Welch, Welch, Jon Ulin Organizations: Getty, Exchange, U.S, Morningstar, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Ulin, Wealth Management Locations: Boca Raton , Florida

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