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Stock price information reflected on a window at the Euronext NV stock exchange in Paris, France, on Monday, March 13, 2023. European markets closed lower Tuesday, as positive momentum from the past few days faltered. The pan-European Stoxx 600 provisionally closed 0.5% lower, with all major bourses and most sectors in the red. Mining stocks stocks lost 2.3% while health-care stocks were the biggest gainer, adding 0.8%. Banking stocks shed 2.1%, with Italy's UniCredit losing more than 4%, as investors looked ahead to the European Central Bank's latest interest rate decision later this week.
Persons: Italy's UniCredit Organizations: Banking, Central, Maersk, ECB Locations: Paris, France, Danish
U.S. dollar drifts higher from multi-month lows, yen gains
  + stars: | 2024-06-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Job openings, a measure of labor demand, were down 296,000 to 8.059 million on the last day of April, the lowest since February 2021. Market participants had their focus on the JOLTS data ahead of Friday's U.S. job report, which is expected to show 185,000 new jobs created in May, up from 175,000 in April. "Certainly we had the JOLTS data which was pretty weak. The JOLTS report followed data on Monday showing a second straight month of slowdown in manufacturing activity and an unexpected decline in construction spending. In afternoon trading, the dollar index was up 0.1% at 104.12, having fallen to its lowest since mid-April overnight at 103.99.
Persons: Eugene Epstein, Epstein Organizations: U.S, Swiss, Labor, Survey, Federal Reserve, North America, European Central Bank, Bank of Canada, BoC, BOC, ECB Locations: Friday's, Moneycorp, New Jersey
European markets are poised to start the month higher Monday as investors look ahead to the European Central Bank's latest interest rate decision later this week. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 was last seen 63 points higher at 8,340, according to IG data, while Germany's DAX was up 173 points at 18,652. France's CAC was 62 points higher at 8,041and Italy's MIB was up 359 points at 34,893. The move would mark the first time the ECB has cut rates ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve. U.S. stock futures also started the month in positive territory, coming off the back of a strong May in which all three major averages notched their sixth positive month in seven.
Persons: Germany's DAX, China's Organizations: Central, CAC, ECB, U.S . Federal Locations: Spain, France, Germany, Asia, Pacific
The dollar posted its first monthly decline of the year in May, weighed down by shifting expectations on when the U.S. central bank will cut rates and by how much. Traders are now pricing in about a 53% chance of a rate cut in September, versus about 49% before the report. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, was 0.067% lower at 104.51 on Monday. Sterling was 0.04% higher at $1.27475, while the euro last fetched $1.085325 ahead of the European Central Bank policy meeting on Thursday when the central bank is seen as almost certain to cut rates. The comments from ECB officials will be in focus for traders along with economic projections as they assess whether the central bank will provide further cuts after Thursday in the wake of data showing a rise in euro zone inflation in May.
Persons: Brian Jacobsen, Sterling, Chris Weston, Tony Sycamore, Sycamore Organizations: Federal Reserve, Traders, Annex Wealth Management, European Central Bank, ECB, Japan's Ministry of Finance, U.S, IG Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, U.S, Tokyo
Despite an interest rate cut expected this week, profits at a handful of major European banks will remain robust, according to Berenberg. The European Central Bank appears on course to cut interest rates this week, the first reduction since 2019, despite a higher-than-expected inflation print . However, European banks underperformed their global peers over the past decade as the European Central Bank kept interest rates below or near zero until 2022. The investment bank's analyst also pointed out that European banks are currently trading at a 20% discount to their long-run average valuation despite improvements in their balance sheets and returns. According to Berenberg, historical data shows that European banks only traded below current valuations for 6% of the time between 1988 and 2020.
Persons: Banks, Peter Richardson, Richardson, Berenberg Organizations: European Central Bank, Chartered, Barclays, Nordea Bank, UniCredit, HSBC —, Bank Locations: U.S
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over one basis point to 4.4926%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last one basis point lower to 4.8830%. U.S. Treasury yields fell on Monday as investors awaited fresh economic data, including key jobs data, slated for the week. Investors looked to key economic data that could provide fresh hints about the state of the economy and the monetary policy path. Including food and energy costs, the PCE increased 0.3% from the previous month and 2.7% on an annual basis, as expected.
Organizations: Treasury, U.S, European Central Bank, Traders, Fed, Investors, PCE Locations: U.S
Just ask Ross Stores: America’s largest off-price retailer reported earnings and revenue that beat analysts’ forecasts last week. The US Labor Department releases April figures on job openings, quits, hires and layoffs. The US Commerce Department releases April figures on new orders for manufactured goods. The US Commerce Department releases April data on exports and imports. Friday: The US Labor Department releases May data gauging the state of the job market, including monthly payroll growth, wage gains and the unemployment rate.
Persons: Ross, , ” Adam Orvos, ” TJX, TJ Maxx, LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton, ” Clayton Allison, Allison, ” Allison, Brown Forman, Campbell Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, Washington CNN, Companies, Ross Stores, Marshalls, Burberry, Prime Capital Investment Advisors, CNN, Walmart, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, CrowdStrike, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Body, US Labor Department, US Commerce Department, Bank of Canada, Autodesk, Smucker, DocuSign, Vail Resorts, European Central Bank Locations: Washington, North America, Europe, Australia, Americas, Zumiez
Inflation Ticks Up in the Eurozone
  + stars: | 2024-05-31 | by ( Melissa Eddy | More About Melissa Eddy | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: 1 min
The annual rate of inflation in the countries that use the euro accelerated slightly in May, driven by a jump in the cost of services and food. The headline inflation rate was a bit higher than economists expected. The same was true for core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, which came in at 2.9 percent in May, versus 2.7 percent in April. The numbers for May showed the first uptick in overall and core inflation this year, highlighting the difficulties policymakers at the European Central Bank face in the final stretch of reaching their aim to bring inflation down to 2 percent. Three of the area’s largest economies, Germany, France and Spain, all saw annual inflation speed up in May.
Organizations: European Central Bank Locations: Germany, France, Spain
London CNN —Inflation in Europe has ticked up for the first time in five months, casting doubt on the possibility of a steady stream of interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank over the next few months. The European Central Bank began hiking rates in July 2022 to curb runaway inflation sparked by the reopening of the world’s economies following the pandemic as well as Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. “May’s increases (in inflation) won’t stop the ECB from cutting interest rates next week. All 82 economists polled by Reuters ahead of Friday’s inflation data expected the ECB to cut rates by a quarter of a percentage point next week. Over two-thirds, 55 of 82, expected two more cuts this year, in September and December.
Persons: , Jack Allen, Reynolds, Claus Vistesen, Organizations: London CNN, European Central Bank, Reuters, ECB, Capital Economics, Pantheon Locations: Europe, Ukraine
Inflation in the euro zone rose to 2.6% in May, statistics agency Eurostat said Friday, but a higher-than-expected print did not sway market bets of an interest rate cut from the European Central Bank next week. Core inflation, excluding the volatile effects of energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, increased to 2.9% from 2.7% in April. The data comes with the ECB widely expected to cut interest rates at its June 6 meeting, the first reduction since 2019. While headline inflation increased in May, fluctuations in the rate have been forecast over the coming months due to base effects from the energy market and the unwinding of government fiscal support schemes across the bloc, . Staff are also due to release their latest round of inflation and growth projections at next week's meeting, providing more clues on the pace and level of potential cuts this year.
Persons: Klaas Knot, Kamil Kovar Organizations: Eurostat, European Central Bank, Reuters, ECB, Staff, Moody's, U.S . Locations: Corfu, Old Town, Greece, London
European stocks are on course for a lower open Thursday, continuing a negative trend this week as global markets come under pressure from rising bond yields. Equity market gloom has been mirrored globally, as expectations that interest rates will be higher for longer have driven up bond yields — generally a harmful move for stocks. First to release will be the euro zone, amid uncertainty over how how many times the European Central Bank will cut interest rates this year beyond its expected first cut at its June meeting next week. That will be followed by the U.S. personal consumption expenditures price index report, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. The minutes from the Fed's most recent meeting and recent comments from policymakers have seen money markets fully price in just one rate cut from the world's biggest central bank this year.
Organizations: Equity, European Central Bank, U.S, Federal Locations: Asia, Pacific
Klaas Knot, president of De Nederlandsche Bank NV, on the sidelines of the Group of 20 (G-20) finance ministers and central bank governors meeting in Gandhinagar, India, on Tuesday, July 18, 2023. Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesLONDON — European Central Bank Governing Council member Klaas Knot said it would "soon" be time to ease monetary policy in the region, but cautioned that the process would need to be done slowly to keep inflation in check. "It can soon be appropriate to ease the currently restrictive monetary policy stance and gradually take our foot off the brake ... policy rates will slowly but gradually move into less restrictive levels," Knot, head of the central bank of the Netherlands, said at the Barclays-CEPR International Monetary Policy Forum in London Tuesday. In a Reuters poll of 82 economists this week, all said they expected a June cut. Knot, usually known for his more hawkish stance, said Tuesday there had been "clear disinflation" since the peak above 10% in late 2022, particularly in goods inflation.
Persons: Klaas Knot Organizations: De Nederlandsche Bank, Bloomberg, Getty, Central Bank Governing, Barclays, CEPR, Monetary, ECB, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Reuters Locations: Gandhinagar, India, Netherlands, London
Dollar ebbs as markets await key global inflation reports
  + stars: | 2024-05-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
In this photo illustration, a person is seen holding 100, 50, and 5 U.S. dollar bills in his hand. The dollar waned on Tuesday following a slight pick up in risk appetite, but it held tight ranges against its peers ahead of key inflation data from major economies this week that markets are looking to for guidance on the global interest rate outlook. The euro was a touch firmer at $1.0860 despite some dovish comments from European Central Bank policymakers on Monday and data showing German business morale stagnated in May. Down Under, the Aussie edged 0.03% higher to $0.6657, with the country's monthly consumer price index data also due on Wednesday. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Monday the central bank will proceed cautiously with inflation-targeting frameworks, noting that some challenges are "uniquely difficult" for Japan after years of ultra-easy monetary policy.
Persons: Rodrigo Catril, Sterling, NAB's, Kazuo Ueda, bitcoin Organizations: U.S, European Central Bank, ECB, National Australia Bank, New Zealand, Down, Bank of Japan Locations: Asia, Britain, United States, U.S, Tokyo, Japan
LONDON — The Federal Reserve should wait for significant progress on inflation before cutting interest rates, Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari told CNBC Tuesday. Asked what conditions were needed for the Fed to cut rates once or twice this year, Kashkari said: "Many more months of positive inflation data, I think, to give me confidence that it's appropriate to dial back." He said the central bank could potentially even hike rates if inflation fails to come down further. He noted that the central bank may consider raising its target rate in the future, but said it was not appropriate to "move the goal posts" at this stage. The Bank of England is also broadly expected to cut rates this summer.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, Kashkari Organizations: Minneapolis Federal, CNBC, Fed, European Central Bank, ECB, Bank of England Locations: U.S
European markets set to open mixed as UK's FTSE reopens
  + stars: | 2024-05-28 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
The U.K.'s FTSE 100 was seen opening lower after markets were closed for the late May bank holiday, while other major European bourses were seen moving higher. European markets are poised to open mixed on Tuesday after a quiet start to the trading week in which several key global markets were closed. Tuesday's session is light on the corporate earnings front, while wholesale price data is due out of Germany. Investors are continuing to weigh the prospects of a June rate cut by the European Central Bank after two key policymakers threw their weight behind the prospect on Monday. Meanwhile, the ECB's Chief Economist Philip Lane said in an interview with the Financial Times, "Barring major surprises, at this point in time there is enough in what we see to remove the top level of restriction."
Persons: Olli Rehn, Philip Lane Organizations: Investors, European Central Bank, ECB, Financial Times Locations: Germany
The Melbourne skyline is reflected in the Maribyrnong River in the early morning light on April 18, 2023. Asia-Pacific markets were range bound on Tuesday as investors assess comments from the European Central Bank officials signaling that rate cuts may be on the horizon for the world's largest economic bloc. Japan's Nikkei 225 also was trading close to the flatline, with the broad based Topix also near flat. In a speech Monday, Olli Rehn, ECB governing council member and head of Finland's central bank, stressed inflation in the euro area was falling in a "sustained way." Inflation in the euro zone held steady at 2.4% in April, marking the seventh straight month it has been below 3%, despite a slight rebound in December.
Persons: Kospi, Olli Rehn Organizations: European Central Bank, Nikkei Locations: Melbourne, Maribyrnong, Asia, Pacific, Australia
European stocks close higher; UK and U.S. markets closed
  + stars: | 2024-05-27 | by ( Katrina Bishop | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
European markets closed slightly higher on Monday as traders searched for direction on a quiet day for markets. U.K. markets are closed for the late May bank holiday, while stateside, U.S. markets are shut for Memorial Day. It comes as speculation over when interest rates might start to come down dominates the news flow once again. On Monday, two key European Central Bank figures threw their weight behind the prospect of a June interest rate cut. It indicates that the European Central Bank is going to act in June — sooner than the U.S. Federal Reserve, which usually leads the way in monetary policy decisions.
Persons: Germany's Dax, Olli Rehn, Philip Lane, Goldman Sachs Organizations: CAC, European Central Bank, ECB, Financial Times, U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal Locations: U.S
European banks in Russia face 'awful lot of risk', Yellen says
  + stars: | 2024-05-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Kent Nishimura | Getty ImagesU.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen told Reuters that European banks face growing risks operating in Russia and the U.S. is looking at strengthening its secondary sanctions on banks found to be aiding transactions for Russia's war effort. "We are looking at potentially a tougher stepping-up of our sanctions on banks that do business in Russia," Yellen told Reuters in an interview, declining to provide specifics and not identifying any banks at which they could be aimed. Speaking on the sidelines of a G7 finance leaders meeting in northern Italy, Yellen said that sanctions related to banks' dealings in Russia would only be imposed "if there was a reason to do so, but operating in Russia creates an awful lot of risk," she added. European Central Bank policymaker Fabio Panetta had clear instructions for Italian banks on Saturday telling reporters that lenders must "get out" of Russia because staying in the country brings a "reputational problem." Raiffeisen is the largest European lender doing business in Russia, followed by UniCredit.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Kent Nishimura, Yellen, Central Bank policymaker Fabio Panetta, Joe Biden's Organizations: Treasury Department, Getty, Treasury, Reuters, Bank International, Central Bank, UniCredit, United Arab Locations: Washington , DC, Russia, U.S, Italy, Ukraine, China, United Arab Emirates, Turkey
Governor of the Bank of Italy Fabio Panetta (L), Italy's Minister of Economy and Finance Giancarlo Giorgetti (R) and President of the European Central Bank Christine Lagarde pose on the sidelines of the G7 Finance Ministers meeting in Stresa on May 24, 2024. Earlier this week, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen told Sky News she saw the "possibility" that G7 nations could assist Ukraine with as much as $50 billion in loans linked to frozen Russian assets. "The Russian assets are not earning interest anymore, but they are generating returns for Euroclear. That alone could be given to Ukraine that would be repaid over several years by that flow of interest," Yellen added. It remains to be seen whether G7 nations can strike consensus on such a loan and what final sum will be extended to support Kyiv's military effort.
Persons: Bank of Italy Fabio Panetta, Finance Giancarlo Giorgetti, European Central Bank Christine Lagarde, Janet Yellen, Yellen Organizations: Bank of Italy, Italy's, Economy, Finance, European Central Bank, Ukraine, Treasury, Sky News, Euroclear Locations: Stresa, Italy, Ukraine
Dollar holds firm as traders trim U.S. rate cut bets
  + stars: | 2024-05-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
"The carry of holding dollars is far juicier," he said, while policymakers' rhetoric has also made traders nervous about inflation and the risk rate cuts would be distant or small. Traders have pushed out the timing of the first Fed rate cut to December. Thursday's business surveys from S&P Global supported the conviction among many traders that the Fed may keep rates higher for longer. But not for traders who are positioned for Fed cuts. Rates markets still price a near 90% chance the ECB cuts rates next month.
Persons: Martin Whetton, Matt Simpson, Sterling, Christopher Waller Organizations: U.S, Westpac, Federal, Traders, P Global, European Central Bank, Federal Reserve Locations: Sydney
Fed officials aren’t easing Wall Street’s nerves
  + stars: | 2024-05-22 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
Optimism spurred by the latest inflation data pushed all three major stock indexes to new record highs. But now Wall Street, eager for rate cuts, is on edge again. But some financial leaders remain doubtful that the Fed is feeling confident enough to cut rates soon. “I think we’re set up for stickier inflation.”Some Fed officials say another rate hike isn’t likelyFed officials have mostly sounded a little more optimistic about inflation recently, after the Consumer Price Index for April finally provided some welcome news. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester told Bloomberg on Monday that she also thinks interest rates are high enough to deal with inflation.
Persons: they’re, Dow, Christopher Waller, ” Waller, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, “ I’m, , , Philip Jefferson, Mary Daly, Axios, Jerome Powell, Klaas Knot, Loretta Mester, Chris Larkin Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, CNBC, , Peterson Institute for International Economics, Boston College, Mortgage, Association, ” San Francisco Fed, European Central Bank Governing, Cleveland Fed, Bloomberg, Locations: ” San
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesLONDON — U.K. inflation could be about to hit a major milestone, with some forecasting that a sharp fall in the April print will take the headline rate below the Bank of England's 2% target. That would represent a plunge from the current level of 3.2% and could "make or break" a June interest rate cut, economists say. Ashley Webb, U.K. economist at Capital Economics, said that if the headline rate does fall below 2% in April, as he expects, it would be "momentous." "This will be crucial in determining whether the first interest rate cut from 5.25% will happen in June (as we expect) or in August. We think inflation will fall further, perhaps even to 1.0% later this year," Webb said in a Friday note.
Persons: Ashley Webb, What's, Webb, , BOE Governor Andrew Bailey, BOE, Ben Broadbent, James Smith, ING's Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Bank of England's, Capital Economics, Bank of England, European Central Bank, ING Locations: Kingston, London, U.K
That’s scary.” If Trump is elected, Jörg is convinced, he would withdraw American troops from Europe and stop aid to Ukraine. Jim Bourg/AFP/Getty ImagesSix months ahead of the vote, this soccer field conversation reflects the German view of the US elections quite well. Kirill Kudryavtsev/AFP/Getty ImagesIt’s an optimistic view, based on the assumption that Trump will act rationally, as a deal-maker, if elected. What if Trump tries to take America out of NATO or creates a “dormant NATO,” a NATO existent only in name? Another Trump presidency would not only put Germany’s security at risk, but also manifest this view of the US for another four years.
Persons: Thomas Ernst Editor’s, Anna Sauerbrey, Read, , , Jörg, Miguel, Donald Trump, , “ Trump, Trump, “ I’m, Piero, Joe Biden, Jim Bourg, Europe’s, Russia “, Olaf Scholz, Michael Kappeler, ” Scholz, mums, Annalena Baerbock, Greg Abbott, Biden, Kirill Kudryavtsev, George H, Bush’s, Barack Obama, Obama, Heinz M, Schahina Gambir, Gambir, Roe, Wade, Bob Parent Organizations: Zeit, Berlin CNN —, Köpenicker FC, CNN, Biden, Trump, Getty, NATO, Republican, European Union, European Central Bank, EU, , Dallas Mavericks, Mavericks, LA Clippers, NBA, Green, Bundestag Locations: Berlin, America, Taiwan, Europe, Ukraine, Italy, AFP, Gaza, Germany, Russia, United States, Trump, Texas, China, Poland, France, Frankfurt, Kabul, New York City, New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEuropean Central Bank appears to be closer to rate cuts than U.S. Federal ReserveCNBC's Steve Liesman reports on the latest from the Federal Reserve.
Persons: Steve Liesman Organizations: Central Bank, . Federal, Federal Reserve
Dollar calm as traders await clues on U.S. rate path
  + stars: | 2024-05-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
In this photo illustration, a person seen holding a 100 US dollar bill in his hand. The dollar was broadly steady on Monday as investors awaited further clues to help chart the U.S. interest rate path in the wake of cautious comments from Federal Reserve officials, even as inflation shows signs of cooling. The Japanese yen was flat at 155.74 per dollar, with traders on alert for any signs of government intervention. That has prompted traders to trim the amount of easing expected this year to about 46 bps, with only a rate cut in November fully priced in. In other currencies, sterling touched a two-month high of $1.2711 ahead of the crucial UK inflation report due on Wednesday.
Persons: Brian Jacobsen, Powell, Jackson, Flash PMIs, Paul Mackel, BoE, Charu Chanana Organizations: Federal Reserve, Annex Wealth Management, ANZ, European Central Bank, Bank of England, HSBC, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New, Saxo Locations: Tokyo, Germany, U.S, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
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