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TOKYO/SINGAPORE, July 5 (Reuters) - Oil benchmark Brent fell on Wednesday, reversing some of the gains made after Saudi Arabia and Russia announced they would extend and deepen output cuts into August, as concerns over a global economic slowdown weighed on market sentiment. Brent was down 46 cents, or 0.6%, at $75.79 a barrel by 0704 GMT, after climbing $1.60 on Tuesday. Investors remained concerned about oil demand, however, after business surveys showed a slump in global factory activity because of sluggish demand in China and in Europe. "The trajectory of global oil stockpiles may soon become as relevant as OPEC+ supply cuts and macro headwinds given the International Energy Agency's outlook for a tightening oil market in H2 2023," analysts from Commonwealth Bank of Australia said in a note. Reporting by Yuka Obayashi in Tokyo and Muyu Xu in Singapore; Editing by Sonali Paul and Muralikumar AnantharamanOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Brent, Tomomichi Akuta, Yuka Obayashi, Xu, Sonali Paul, Muralikumar Organizations: . West Texas, Mitsubishi UFJ Research, Consulting, Federal, Market, U.S, of, Petroleum, Investors, Traders, American Petroleum Institute, Reuters, International Energy, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Thomson Locations: TOKYO, SINGAPORE, Saudi Arabia, Russia, ., Monday's, U.S, United States, Europe, China, Algeria, OPEC, Tokyo, Singapore
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere will be enough lithium to meet demand over the next couple of years, says Commonwealth BankVivek Dhar from Commonwealth Bank of Australia says lithium demand is sufficient for now, but will surge significantly later in the decade as countries set ambitious climate goals.
Persons: Vivek Dhar Organizations: Commonwealth Bank of Australia
"This is sending signals that a coordinated intervention may be coming as yen continues to hover above 144 per dollar," said Charu Chanana, market strategist at Saxo Markets. "A coordinated intervention usually has a longer lasting impact on the yen than a unilateral intervention would have." RBA WATCHThe focus in Asian hours will be on the policy decision from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). "We estimate that a hike would push up Aussie modestly by 0.8% so long as the post‑meeting statement was not dovish. The Australian dollar was at $0.668, up 0.16% against the U.S. dollar, while the New Zealand dollar was also up 0.16% at $0.616.
Persons: Shunichi Suzuki, Masato Kanda, Janet Yellen, Charu, Kristina Clifton, CBA's Clifton, Ankur Banerjee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Saxo Markets, Bank, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, U.S . Federal, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reuters, Australian, U.S ., New Zealand, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Japan, U.S, United States, U.S ., Tokyo, Singapore
The yen nudged up on Tuesday but remained vulnerable to more weakness, hovering near the key 145 per dollar level as markets were on alert for signs of intervention, while the Australian dollar moved up ahead of a central bank policy decision. "This is sending signals that a coordinated intervention may be coming as yen continues to hover above 144 per dollar," said Charu Chanana, market strategist at Saxo Markets. "A coordinated intervention usually has a longer lasting impact on the yen than a unilateral intervention would have." The focus in Asian hours will be on the policy decision from the Reserve Bank of Australia, or RBA. The Australian dollar was at $0.668, up 0.16% against the U.S. dollar, while the New Zealand dollar was also up 0.16% at $0.616.
Persons: Shunichi Suzuki, Masato Kanda, Janet Yellen, Charu, Kristina Clifton, CBA's Clifton Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Saxo Markets, Bank, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, U.S . Federal, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reuters, Australian, U.S ., New Zealand Locations: Japan, U.S, United States, U.S .
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAustralia's central bank is not finished with tightening cycle, economist saysStephen Halmarick of Commonwealth Bank of Australia says that the Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to deliver one final rate hike in its August meeting.
Persons: Stephen Halmarick Organizations: Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Reserve Bank of Australia
SINGAPORE, June 30 (Reuters) - The yen weakened past the closely watched 145 per dollar level on Friday, keeping traders wary of potential intervention by Japanese authorities, while the yuan crept higher as hopes for further stimulus from Beijing gathered steam. The onshore yuan fell to its lowest since November at 7.2615 per dollar shortly after trading opened on Friday, but was last marginally higher at 7.2505 per dollar. "PMIs released... reinforced the need for stimulus support. The Australian dollar , often used as a liquid proxy for the yuan, tracked the Chinese currency higher and rose 0.29% to $0.6635. Further clarity on the bloc's inflation outlook will come later on Friday, with June's flash inflation data due to be released.
Persons: Shunichi Suzuki, Saktiandi Supaat, PMIs, Christopher Wong, Carol Kong, Sterling, Elwin de Groot, Rae Wee, Sam Holmes Organizations: Bank of Japan's, Japan's Finance, Tokyo perked, New Zealand, U.S, U.S . Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Bank of England, Central Bank, Rabobank, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Beijing, Asia, Tokyo, U.S
SINGAPORE, June 30 (Reuters) - The yen weakened past 145 per dollar on Friday, a level which kept speculators wary of potential intervention from Japanese authorities, while a faltering economic recovery in China also kept pressure on the yuan. Its renewed decline has stoked speculation that intervention by Japanese authorities could be imminent, particularly as the level of 145 per dollar first prompted them to shore up the yen in September. The onshore yuan fell to its lowest since November at 7.2615 per dollar shortly after trading opened on Friday. The Australian dollar , often used as a liquid proxy for the yuan, slipped 0.12% to $0.6608. The dollar index steadied at around 103.33 and was heading for a gain of about 0.7% in the second quarter.
Persons: Saktiandi Supaat, Maybank's Supaat, Carol Kong, Sterling, Elwin de Groot, Rae Wee Organizations: Bank of Japan's, People's Bank of China, New Zealand, U.S, U.S . Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Bank of England, Central Bank, Rabobank, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, China, Asia, Tokyo, U.S
The yen weakened past 145 per dollar on Friday, a level which kept speculators wary of potential intervention from Japanese authorities, while a faltering economic recovery in China also kept pressure on the yuan. Its renewed decline has stoked speculation that intervention by Japanese authorities could be imminent, particularly as the level of 145 per dollar first prompted them to shore up the yen in September. The onshore yuan fell to its lowest since November at 7.2615 per dollar shortly after trading opened on Friday. The Australian dollar , often used as a liquid proxy for the yuan, slipped 0.12% to $0.6608. The dollar index steadied at around 103.33 and was heading for a gain of about 0.7% in the second quarter.
Persons: Saktiandi Supaat, Maybank's Supaat, Carol Kong, Sterling, Elwin de Groot Organizations: Bank of Japan's, People's Bank of China, New Zealand, U.S, U.S . Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Bank of England, Central Bank, Rabobank Locations: China, Asia, Tokyo, U.S
Japan finance officials have warned all this week against the "excessive" depreciation of the Japanese yen . Contrasting moves in the world's major currencies — including the Japanese yen, the Chinese yuan and the U.S. dollar — underscore the variance in domestic interest rates and monetary cycles. Authorities may be buying the Japanese yen "with the rise in USD/JPY set to run further," she added. The Japanese currency was hovering at about 144 against the greenback in Asia trade on Thursday. The central bank allows the currency to trade within a narrow band of 2% from each day's midpoint.
Persons: Sheldon Cooper, Carol Kong, Masato Kanda, Shunichi Suzuki, Philip Wee, Adnan Zaylani, BNM, Goldman Sachs Organizations: People's Bank of, Getty, U.S ., U.S, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Ministry, Bank of Japan's, Reuters, Finance, DBS, greenback, Japan's Finance, Bank Negara Malaysia, Central Bank Locations: People's Bank of China, Asia, Japan, China, Covid, Ukraine, Malaysian, U.S . Federal, Bank
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) was flat, while markets in Singapore, India and Malaysia are closed for holidays. Japan's Nikkei (.N225), however, gained 1% and was headed for a monthly rise of 8.5% and a quarterly jump of 19%. The offshore yuan hovered near an eight-month trough at 7.24 per dollar on Thursday, after the central bank fixed the daily guidance at the weakest level since November. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde, on the other hand, cemented expectations for a ninth consecutive rise in euro zone rates in July. U.S. crude futures were little changed at 69.55 per barrel, and Brent crude was down 0.1% at $74.00 per barrel.
Persons: HSI, Jerome Powell, Stephen Wu, Christine Lagarde, Kazuo Ueda, Mark McCormick, hawkish, Powell, Brent, Stella Qiu, Lincoln Organizations: SYDNEY, Japan's Nikkei, Nasdaq, Apple, Dow, Micron Technology, European Central Bank, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, ECB, Bank of Japan, U.S, Reuters, TD Securities, Thomson Locations: Asia, Pacific, Japan, Singapore, India, Malaysia
Yen under pressure; Aussie slides as inflation slows
  + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
"We are closely watching currency moves with a strong sense of urgency," Japan's top currency diplomat Masato Kanda told reporters on Wednesday. The yen was hovering around the seven-month low of 144.18 per dollar it touched overnight. Against the euro, the yen was pinned near the 15-year low of 157.93 it hit on Tuesday. Against sterling, the Asian currency was hovering around 183.25, just a shade below the 7.5-year low it touched on Tuesday. In the spot market, the onshore yuan opened at 7.2225 per dollar and was changing hands at 7.2285.
Persons: Masato Kanda, Carol Kong, Kong, Rodrigo Catril, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Andrew Bailey, Christine Lagarde, Kazuo Ueda, Ankur Banerjee, Muralikumar Anantharaman, Jamie Freed Organizations: Bank of Japan, Ministry, Finance, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Federal, Fed, National Australia Bank, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Sterling, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Japan, Sintra , Portugal, Tokyo, Singapore
Dollar flat; Aussie slides as inflation slows
  + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
The Australian dollar fell sharply as consumer inflation eased in May. The dollar index is on course to log a decline of about 1.5% for the month. Meanwhile, the Australian dollar fell 0.72% to $0.6637 after the Australian consumer price inflation rate slowed to a 13-month low in May, driven by a sharp pullback in fuel. A measure of core inflation also cooled, in a sign interest rates might not have to rise again in July. The Japanese yen strengthened 0.16% to 143.81 per dollar, but remained close to the seven-month low of 144.18 it touched on Tuesday.
Persons: Rodrigo Catril, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Carol Kong, Bank of England's Andrew Bailey, Christine Lagarde, Kazuo Ueda, Lagarde, Sterling, CBA's Kong, Ankur Banerjee, Muralikumar Organizations: U.S, Federal, Data, Fed, National Australia Bank, European Central Bank, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Bank of England's, Bank, Bank of Japan, Ministry, Finance, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Sintra , Portugal, Singapore
Dollar flat, Aussie slides as inflation slows
  + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The Australian dollar fell sharply as consumer inflation eased in May. The dollar index is on course to log a decline of about 1.5% for the month. Meanwhile, the Australian dollar fell 0.72% to $0.6637 after the Australian consumer price inflation rate slowed to a 13-month low in May, driven by a sharp pullback in fuel. A measure of core inflation also cooled, in a sign interest rates might not have to rise again in July. The Japanese yen strengthened 0.16% to 143.81 per dollar, but remained close to the seven-month low of 144.18 it touched on Tuesday.
Persons: Rodrigo Catril, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Carol Kong, Bank of England's Andrew Bailey, Christine Lagarde, Kazuo Ueda, Lagarde, Sterling, CBA's Kong Organizations: U.S, Federal, Data, Fed, National Australia Bank, European Central Bank, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Bank of England's, Bank, Bank of Japan, Ministry, Finance Locations: Sintra , Portugal
Investors were also on guard after dramatic weekend events in Russia, though reaction in the currency market was subdued as they assessed the implications of the aborted mutiny. The euro was nursing its losses from last week and was last up 0.07% at $1.0902 in Asia trade. Flash Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data on Friday showed Britain's economy displayed signs of a slowdown this month but inflation pressures stayed high. Elsewhere, the Japanese yen rose 0.3% to 143.27 per dollar, though was not far from an over seven-month low of 143.87 hit on Friday. The offshore yuan languished near a seven-month low at 7.2162 per dollar.
Persons: Sterling, Bank of England stoked, Carol Kong, Masato Kanda, Vladimir Putin's, CBA's, Rae Wee, Gerry Doyle Organizations: Bank of England, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, PMI, U.S, U.S ., Bank of Japan's, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Russia, Asia, Europe, U.S, Russian, Rostov, Moscow, CBA's Kong, China, Beijing
The dollar languished near a one-month low against a basket of currencies on Thursday, after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stuck to his usual messaging at his semi-annual testimony, offering little room for surprise. The U.S. dollar index last stood at 102.05 in early Asia trade, not far from its recent five-week low of 102.00. Elsewhere, sterling rose 0.02% to $1.2770, not far from a one-year high of $1.2849 hit last week. Against the Japanese yen , the dollar slipped 0.06% to 141.82, having touched a seven-month peak of 142.37 yen in the previous session. The Japanese currency has come under renewed pressure as the Bank of Japan continues to stick to its ultra-dovish stance.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Sterling, Powell, didn't, Carol Kong, BoE, Seiji Adachi Organizations: Federal, Bank of, Capitol, U.S, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, ANZ, Bank of Japan Locations: U.S, Asia, Powell
After an initial rise, sterling fell as much as 0.56% against the dollar to a low of $1.2691 following this month's inflation figures. Investors and money managers now turn their focus to Fed chief Jerome Powell's testimony before Congress at 10:00 a.m. "The former may do more to give additional support to send the dollar index and (bond) yields higher." The rally against the yen pushed the U.S. dollar index , which measures the currency against six major peers, up slightly to 102.58. "The Aussie could dip below 0.6700 this week, particularly if Powell is hawkish," he said.
Persons: Powell, Jerome Powell's, Adam Cole, Kazuo Ueda, Tuesday's, Joe Capurso, Bitcoin, Charles Schwab, Tom Westbrook, Farouq Suleiman, Sam Holmes, Kim Coghill, Sharon Singleton Organizations: Federal, RBC Capital Markets, Bank of Japan, U.S, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Fidelity, Citadel Securities, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, LONDON, Asia, Pacific, China, Tokyo
June 21 (Reuters) - Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA.AX) on Wednesday cut its buffer rate for some borrowers refinancing their existing home loan to 1% from the industry standard of 3%, providing relief to many clients who would otherwise fail to qualify due to high interest rates. The country's prudential regulator advises lenders to refinance home loans only if they believe the customer could repay at 3% higher than current market rates. While CBA's alternate buffer is not in line with the regulator's recommendation, it does not break the serviceability buffer, the regulator said, as it allows exceptions to the policy but warns against high volumes. CBA has a quarter of the Australian mortgage market, where thousands of borrowers are expected to end their fixed rate loans this year, forcing them to shop around for new loans at current rates. "We know that due to the current interest rate environment some home owners are facing challenges refinancing their home loans so we are introducing an alternate interest rate serviceability buffer," CBA's Michael Baumann, executive general manager home buying said.
Persons: CBA's Michael Baumann, Sameer Manekar, Byron Kaye, Nivedita Organizations: Commonwealth Bank of Australia, prudential, CBA, Prudential Regulation Authority, Westpac Banking Corp, Reserve Bank of Australia, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru, Sydney
Sterling briefly rose as far as 0.3% against the dollar to $1.2803 before settling back to $1.2765. It also rose slightly on the euro and yen , as traders were betting the Bank of England would need to take rates higher. Powell is due to begin his testimony before Congress at 1400 GMT. "The former may do more to give additional support to send the dollar index and yields higher." "The Aussie could dip below 0.6700 this week, particularly if Powell is hawkish," he said.
Persons: Powell, Jerome Powell's, Sterling, Tuesday's, Joe Capurso, steadying, Charles Schwab, Tom Westbrook, Sam Holmes, Kim Coghill Organizations: Federal, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Fed, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, New Zealand, U.S, Fidelity, Citadel Securities, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, China, Tokyo
Dollar finds footing on housing data as yuan falters
  + stars: | 2023-06-21 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
SummarySummary Companies U.S. housing starts surge; dollar drifts higherTraders await UK CPI and Powell testimonySINGAPORE, June 21 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar was firm in Asia trade on Wednesday following surprisingly strong U.S. housing data, while the yuan and Aussie dollar nursed losses and focus turned to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's appearance before Congress later in the day. The yen was also firm at 140.50 per dollar ahead of an appearance by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda on Wednesday. The Aussie and yuan were Tuesday's largest losers and were in no mood for a bounce early on Wednesday. The yuan fell about 0.3% overnight and in offshore trade early on Wednesday the currency was pinned at 7.1826 per dollar, near a seven-month low. It is under pressure after the central bank flagged it was finished with hikes, while data showed the economy in recession.
Persons: Powell, Jerome Powell's, they'd, Kazuo Ueda, Li Qiang, Tuesday's, Joe Capurso, steadying, Mieneke Perniskie, Sterling, Daniela Hathorn, Bitcoin, Citadel Securites, Charles Schwab, Tom Westbrook Organizations: CPI, U.S, Federal, Traders, Bank of Japan, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, New Zealand, Bank of England, Fidelity, Citadel, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, China, Europe, Kiwibank, Wellington
Yuan slides after China cuts lending benchmarks; Aussie down
  + stars: | 2023-06-20 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
"Markets were expecting bigger support and were hoping for a larger LPR cut," said currency strategist Christopher Wong at OCBC. It's probably going to be more targeted," said currency strategist Moh Siong Sim at Bank of Singapore. "The minutes were interpreted by market participants as dovish," said currency strategist Carol Kong at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. The yen has come under renewed pressure amid rising interest rate differentials between Japan and other developed markets. Sterling edged 0.06% higher to $1.2798, ahead of British inflation data and the Bank of England's (BoE) interest rate decision later in the week.
Persons: Christopher Wong, Moh Siong Sim, Carol Kong, Min Joo Kang, BoE, Rodrigo Catril, Rae Wee, Christopher Cushing Organizations: Bank of Singapore, Reserve Bank of Australia's, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, New Zealand, Bank of Japan's, ING, South, Central Bank, Sterling, Bank of England's, National Australia Bank, Bank of England, U.S ., Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, China, OCBC, Japan, South Korea
The referendum, which comes amid a wider reckoning over race relations, proposes to change the constitution and establish an advisory body called the Indigenous Voice to Parliament to give Indigenous Australians a direct say in policies that affect them. Five of those polled were funding or planned to fund the "Yes" campaign, while none endorsed nor were contributing to "No". Commonwealth Bank told Reuters it plans to fund the "Yes" campaign and had hosted two panel discussions with Indigenous speakers. Rio Tinto, which faced criticism in 2020 for destroying Indigenous rock shelters, said the Voice would bring an "additional lens" to government decision-making. Aurora Milroy, a lecturer in Indigenous affairs at the University of Western Australia, said supporting the Voice was easy publicity for companies.
Persons: Rita Wright, Loren Elliott, Anthony Albanese, Intifar Chowdhury, Albanese, Meg O'Neill, Ross Piper, Baker McKenzie, Thomas Mayo, Kate Gillingham, Peter Dutton, Coles, Rio Tinto, Fortescue, Aurora Milroy, Byron Kaye, Praveen Menon, Melanie Burton, David Crawshaw, Devayani, Anant Chandak, Veronica Khongwir, Sujith Pai Organizations: Australian, REUTERS, Australia's, BHP, Rio Tinto, Woodside Energy, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Labor, Voice, National, Nine Entertainment, Reuters, Commonwealth Bank, Ethical Investment, Qantas, Australian Financial, Liberal, Fair Australia, Miners, Fortescue Metals, University of Western, Thomson Locations: Sydney, Australia, Rio, Western Australia, Woodside, Queensland, University of Western Australia, Melbourne
"There is a growing risk that the RBA's attempts to maintain an even keel 'run aground,'" said NAB Chief Economist Alan Oster. The survey, however, pointed to persistent price pressures, with the measure of labour costs and purchase costs accelerating, in a concern for the RBA. NAB on Tuesday raised its call on peak rates in the current cycle, adding two more quarter-point hikes to 4.6%. Markets are now pricing the risk of two more hikes, and see rates staying elevated for the remainder of the year. CONSUMERS UNDER THE PUMPData from Westpac and Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) also points to the strains consumers are feeling as high living costs and surging mortgage rates erode spending power.
Persons: Alan Oster, Bill Evans, Belinda Allen, Stella Qiu, Kim Coghill, Jamie Freed Organizations: NAB, RBA Westpac, SYDNEY, National Australia Bank, Reserve Bank of Australia, Westpac, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Melbourne Institute, CBA, Thomson
Dollar dips ahead of U.S. inflation data, central bank meetings
  + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Those expectations kept risk sentiment buoyant, pinning the U.S. dollar near multi-week lows against the risk-sensitive Australia and New Zealand dollars. The euro gained 0.04% to $1.0760, with traders also focused on Thursday's interest rate decision from the European Central Bank, following its policy meeting. The U.S. dollar index edged marginally higher to 103.59, after falling to 103.24 on Monday, its lowest since May 23. "The central bank will likely continue to send a dovish message or one of no intention of policy change until it changes direction." In Asia, China's central bank cut its seven-day reverse repo rate by 10 basis points to 1.90% from 2.00% on Tuesday, sending the yuan falling in the offshore market.
Persons: Joseph Capurso, Jane Foley, Chong Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Labor Department's CPI, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Bank of England, European Central Bank, ECB, Rabobank, Bank of Japan, Standard Chartered Bank Korea Locations: Australia, New Zealand, Korea, Japan, Asia
Those expectations kept risk sentiment buoyant, pinning the U.S. dollar near multi-week lows against the risk-sensitive Australia and New Zealand dollars. The euro gained 0.04% to $1.0760, with traders also focused on Thursday's interest rate decision from the European Central Bank, following its policy meeting. The U.S. dollar index edged marginally higher to 103.59, after falling to 103.24 on Monday, its lowest since May 23. "The central bank will likely continue to send a dovish message or one of no intention of policy change until it changes direction." In Asia, China's central bank cut its seven-day reverse repo rate by 10 basis points to 1.90% from 2.00% on Tuesday, sending the yuan falling in the offshore market .
Persons: Joseph Capurso, Jane Foley, Chong, Rae Wee, Edmund Klamann Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Labor Department's CPI, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Bank of England, European Central Bank, ECB, Rabobank, Bank of Japan, Standard Chartered Bank Korea, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Australia, New Zealand, Korea, Japan, Asia
For a year, Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Philip Lowe has been talking of successfully navigating a narrow path to lower inflation while keeping unemployment near 50-year lows. He expects quarterly growth to average just a 0.1% over the next four quarters, with a 50% chance that the economy would enter a recession. Jonathan Kearns, chief economist at investment firm Challenger and a former RBA executive, says the risk of trying to hold on to job gains was that higher inflation expectations hardened and kept the actual inflation rate high. And pushing rates higher is increasing the chance that Australia goes into a recession," said Kearns, who headed the RBA's domestic markets department until earlier this year. A survey of union officials cited by Lowe showed that medium-term inflation expectations have risen to a 3-4% range.
Persons: Philip Lowe, Lowe, Paul Bloxham, HSBC's, Bloxham, Jonathan Kearns, Kearns, Ivan Colhoun, Stella Qiu, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: CBA, HSBC, SYDNEY, Reserve Bank of Australia, Global Commodities, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Challenger, National Australia Bank, Thomson Locations: Australia, New Zealand
Total: 25