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New York CNN —JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup and asset management giant BlackRock posted results that topped Wall Street’s forecasts Friday, but investors were nonetheless disappointed. Shares of JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and BofA (BAC) both fell about 3% in early trading. Wells Fargo (WFC), which reported earnings that missed Wall Street’s targets, was down 4%. JPMorgan Chase and Citi each said that advisory fees plummeted nearly 60% in the quarter. “The current environment offers incredible opportunities for long-term investors,” said BlackRock CEO Larry Fink in the earnings release.
Banks’ profit picnic will attract ant invasion
  + stars: | 2023-01-12 | by ( John Foley | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
JPMorgan (JPM.N), Bank of America (BAC.N), Wells Fargo (WFC.N) and Citigroup (C.N) all report fourth-quarter earnings on Friday. The good news is that for the year ahead, rising interest rates twinned with growing loan books should more than make up for sliding investment banking fees. The CFPB squeezed a $3.7 billion settlement from serial miscreant Wells Fargo in December for wrongly levying charges on customers. CONTEXT NEWSJPMorgan, Bank of America, Citigroup and Wells Fargo will report fourth-quarter 2022 earnings on Jan. 13. The CFPB said that Wells Fargo will also allocate over $2 billion in redress to customers.
1 on the 2023 Just 100 list, and it's not alone among peers. On last year's list, the top four spots all went to tech companies. "Banks have been steadily improving their game and that's the standout," he said of this year's Just 100 list. 71, making the cut for the Just 100 list. This year's top 10 still included five tech companies: NVIDIA , Microsoft , Hewlett Packard Enterprise , Apple , and Intel .
And there are three big “ifs” that will determine the health of the economy: The strength of the labor market, the American consumer and the Federal Reserve. Will the labor market cool off? This is all happening as the Fed tries to actively cool the labor market. Policymakers fear that persistent wage growth in a tight labor market will keep already sky-high inflation levels elevated. Mortgage rates continue to soarMortgage rates rose again last week, beginning 2023 twice as high as they were a year ago.
Get ready for a ‘slowcession’ in 2023, Moody’s says
  + stars: | 2023-01-03 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
But Moody’s Analytics says the more likely scenario is a “slowcession,” where growth grinds to a near halt but a full economic downturn is narrowly avoided. “Under almost any scenario, the economy is set to have a difficult 2023,” Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi wrote in a report on Tuesday. Why Moody’s is predicting no recessionIn addition to cooling inflation, Moody’s expressed optimism about the ability of consumers to weather the storm in 2023. “Shoppers are the firewall between an economy in recession and an economy that skirts a downturn,” Zandi wrote. “It is important not to be Pollyannish, but it also important not to convince ourselves that a recession is inevitable,” Zandi wrote.
Premarket stocks: Wall Street kills its darlings
  + stars: | 2022-12-30 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
It appears that Wall Street has also caught on to the concept. Investors are rushing to kill their darlings – er, sell their stocks– and even safe-havens like Apple (AAPL) and Intel (INTC) are getting crushed in the stampede. What’s happening: It’s been a shaky year full of economic uncertainty, geopolitical chaos, elevated inflation and a hawkish Fed. But what’s been most surprising is that market-cap titans, traditionally expected to weather storms on Wall Street well, haven’t held up against the rising macroeconomic tides. EY Parthenon projects that consumer spending will flatline in 2023 after growing 2.7% this year.
Boardrooms will rediscover the value of gray hair
  + stars: | 2022-12-29 | by ( John Foley | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
To firms keen to avoid repeating past mistakes, the graying of the Western workforce may not be a bad thing in 2023. The share of European over-55s in jobs grew to 20% in 2019, from 12% in 2014, according to official data. The typical incoming CEO is 55, a decade older than the average in 2005, according to Crist Kolder Associates. Money markets are pricing in U.S. rates of 5% by the summer. Financial markets will always love the next new thing, but for the time being, gray is good.
When things were going good, Goldman Sachs' CEO David Solomon could seemingly do no wrong. Last year, thanks to a booming M&A market and a favorable trading environment, life was good at the elite Wall Street bank. Top tech executives from 10 Wall Street firms, including Goldman Sachs, Citadel, and KKR, share their predictions for the top public-cloud trends next year. Bad news: You're not the only one waiting for rates to drop to buy a home; so is Wall Street. Here's what a home-buying spree from Wall Street could mean for the entire industry.
Dec 22 (Reuters) - Scott Minerd, global chief investment officer at investment and advisory firm Guggenheim Partners and a prominent Wall Street bond investor, has died, his firm said on Thursday. During his 25-year stint with Guggenheim, Minerd became a prolific commentator on financial markets and was often quoted by the media. He will be greatly missed by all," Mark Walter, chief executive and a founder of Guggenheim Partners, said in the firm's statement. Guggenheim said it had implemented a succession plan, with Anne Walsh, managing partner and CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, assuming many of Minerd's responsibilities on an interim basis. Minerd was regarded in the past few years as one of the U.S. "bond kings," along with Jeffrey Gundlach, chief executive of DoubleLine, and Dan Ivascyn, chief investment officer of bond giant PIMCO.
Premarket stocks: The Grinch comes for retailers
  + stars: | 2022-12-16 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
What’s happening: US retail sales, which measure the total amount of money that stores make from selling goods to customers, fell 0.6% in November, the weakest performance in nearly a year. The Fed factor: November’s report could indicate that consumers are feeling the double-punch of sky-high inflation and painful interest rate hikes from the central bank. This retail sales data adds to recessionary concerns, as it suggests that consumers may be becoming more cautious with their spending. Those increases were spurred by the Federal Reserve’s unprecedented campaign of harsh interest rate hikes to tame soaring inflation. The Fed announced on Wednesday that it will continue to raise interest rates — albeit by a smaller amount than it has been.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe predict a slight recession next year, but we'll fare better than most other countries: BofA's MoynihanBrian Moynihan, Bank of America chairman and CEO, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the U.S. economy and why he sees a slight recession early next year, issues that worry him regarding the United States' long-term competitiveness and his expectations for 2023.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Bank of America's Brian MoynihanBrian Moynihan, Bank of America chairman and CEO, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the U.S. economy and why he sees a slight recession early next year, issues that worry him regarding the United States' long-term competitiveness and his expectations for 2023.
[1/2] Banknotes of Chinese yuan and U.S. dollar are seen in this illustration picture taken September 29, 2022. REUTERS/Florence Lo/IllustrationNEW YORK, Dec 7 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar weakened slightly against major currencies on Wednesday amid concerns that rising interest rates could push the U.S. economy into recession, while an easing of China's COVID restrictions boosted the yuan. A U.S. dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, was last down 0.2%. "Surging interest rates have the primary driver for dollar strength over the last year." The dollar was last down 0.1% against the offshore Chinese yuan .
Lazard CEO warns of more Wall Street layoffs
  + stars: | 2022-12-07 | by ( Manya Saini | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
[1/2] The Charging Bull or Wall Street Bull is pictured in the Manhattan borough of New York City, New York, U.S., January 16, 2019. Rivals Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS.N) and Citigroup Inc (C.N) have also culled some staff. Elsewhere on Wall Street, BlackRock Inc (BLK.N), the world's largest asset manager, has also frozen hiring except in critical roles. "When I talk to our clients, they sound extremely cautious," Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon told investors Tuesday. Reporting by Manya Saini and Noor Zainab Hussain in Bengaluru; Additional reporting by Lananh Nguyen in New York; Editing by Krishna Chandra Eluri, Lananh Nguyen and Anna DriverOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
After two years of pandemic-fueled, double-digit growth in Bank of America card volume, "the rate of growth is slowing," CEO Brian Moynihan said Tuesday at a financial conference. It was a similar story at rival Wells Fargo , according to CEO Charlie Scharf, who cited shrinking growth in credit-card spending and roughly flat debit card transaction volumes. Fortified by pandemic stimulus checks, wage gains and low unemployment, American consumers have supported the economy, but that appears to be changing. "There is a slowdown happening, there's no question about it," Scharf said. Bank of America's Moynihan said he expects three quarters of negative growth next year followed by a slight uptick in the fourth quarter.
The U.S. dollar weakened against major currencies on Wednesday amid concerns that rising interest rates could push the U.S. economy into recession, while a loosening of China's COVID restrictions boosted the yuan. The Peruvian sol fell as the country's Congress voted to oust President Pedro Castillo in an impeachment trial on Wednesday. At its session low, the sol fell more than 2% against the dollar. A U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, was last down 0.4%. "Surging interest rates have been the primary driver for dollar strength over the last year."
U.S banks warn of recession risk, inflation hurting consumers
  + stars: | 2022-12-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
NEW YORK, Dec 6 (Reuters) - The biggest U.S. banks are bracing for a worsening economy next year as inflation threatens consumer demand, according to executives Tuesday. "Those things might very well derail the economy and cause this mild to hard recession that people are worried about," he said. "Economic growth is slowing,” Goldman Sachs' chief executive David Solomon said. In banking, the job market remains "surprisingly tight" and competition for talent is "as tough as ever," he said. Reporting by Lananh Nguyen and Saeed Azhar in New York and Noor Zainab Hussain in Bengaluru; Editing by Lananh Nguyen and Chizu NomiyamaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
NEW YORK, Dec 6 (Reuters) - The biggest U.S. banks are bracing for a worsening economy next year as inflation threatens consumer demand, according to executives Tuesday. "Those things might very well derail the economy and cause this mild to hard recession that people are worried about," he said. Consumers have $1.5 trillion in excess savings from pandemic stimulus programs, but it may run out some time in mid-2023, he told CNBC. Major banks' shares fell sharply on the day after a lineup of top bankers outlined the risks for the economy. "Economic growth is slowing," Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon said at the same conference.
Brian Moynihan, chief executive officer of Bank of America Corp., speaks during a Bloomberg Television interview at the Goldman Sachs Financial Services Conference in New York, on Tuesday, Dec. 6, 2022. Brian Moynihan is no stranger to laying off workers — it's one of the key ways he helped shape Bank of America after the 2008 financial crisis. The bank had 213,270 employees as of Sept. 30, about 3,900 more than the year earlier. Organizations as large as Bank of America are constantly losing and hiring employees, a churn that adds to expenses. Moynihan has used technology — from consolidating back-end processes to offering updated mobile apps — to help reduce noncustomer-facing employees.
That red-hot labor market might mean more economic woes later on as the Federal Reserve steps in. "Big picture here is that the labor market still has a lot of resilience," Nick Bunker, the economic-research director at Indeed Hiring Lab, told Insider. With the thriving labor market, Bunker said "the risk of an imminent recession is relatively low." While the job market is still hot, it's not growing at the same breakneck speed as it was last year. "I don't think this report changes the Fed's view of where the labor market is today," Zhao said.
WASHINGTON, Dec 1 (Reuters) - U.S. President Joe Biden rolled out the red carpet on Thursday for celebrities, lawmakers, and titans of industry at the White House's first state dinner in honor of French President Emmanuel Macron. The guest list included actress Jennifer Garner and her daughter with Ben Affleck, Violet; singer John Legend and model Chrissy Teigen; "Vogue" editor Anna Wintour; and director Baz Luhrmann. On Thursday night, Biden and his wife, Jill, welcomed the Macrons back to the White House for the dinner after diplomatic meetings earlier in the day. [1/7] Jennifer Garner and her daughter Violet Affleck arrive for a state dinner in honor of French President Emmanuel Macron at the White House in Washington, U.S., December 1, 2022. The lavish Washington dinner is one of few events that bring together people including the president's son Hunter and Kevin McCarthy, who leads a Republican congressional delegation that has vowed to investigate his business dealings.
That’s why Moody’s Analytics chief economist is increasingly confident that the American economy will — narrowly — escape a recession. None of the financial market indicators suggest we have a recession dead ahead,” Zandi said. Zandi said he wouldn’t argue with those who forecast a recession, conceding it’s going to be a “close” call. S&P reiterated it expects the US economy to fall into recession next year, though it expects a “mild” recession in line with the 1969-1970 downturn. “I bet if we weren’t worried about a recession, the president wouldn’t have been so quick to go to Congress,” Zandi said.
What’s happening: Americans appear to be indulging in a healthy dose of retail therapy despite stubbornly high inflation and the possibility of a recession ahead. Consumer spending is a major driver of the economy, and the last two months of the year can account for about 20% of total retail sales — even more for some retailers, according to NRF. But when the Federal Reserve is actively trying to squash high inflation rates, they risk becoming a fly in the ointment. “Consumers’ spending is more or less unfazed not only by high inflation, but also the rate hikes intended to get prices under control,” economists at Wells Fargo wrote. The high rate of spending could agitate investors in this good-news-is-bad-news economy because it adds to inflationary pressures.
New York CNN Business —The CEO of one of the nation’s largest banks is preparing for an economic downturn in 2023. But Moynihan told Harlow that the worst-case fears for the economy may not materialize — thanks to the continued resilience of American shoppers. Still, Moynihan is concerned that there could be more tough times ahead for the housing market. And the way you do that is raising interest rates,” Moynihan said. “The intended outcome of [the Fed’s] policies doesn’t feel good when you are trying to buy a home.”Moynihan told Harlow that there could be two years of pain in the housing market before activity returns to normal.
Conscious capitalism falls behind in the polls
  + stars: | 2022-11-04 | by ( John Foley | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
NEW YORK, Nov 4 (Reuters Breakingviews) - As America heads to the polls on Tuesday, and the political climate gets more acrimonious, powerful companies have two choices. Their bid to avoid unwanted attention comes with a cost, because the alternative to conscious capitalism isn’t democracy but apathy. BlackRock affirmed its commitment on Thursday to letting individual customers vote shares in companies at annual meetings, rather than BlackRock voting on their behalf. Ron DeSantis, the governor of Florida, has taken aim at “woke” capitalism by barring state pension funds from investing based on non-pecuniary goals. From the other side, New York’s City comptroller is “reassessing” its relationship with Fink’s firm because BlackRock isn’t being progressive enough.
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