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☆ History of financial shocks shows this banking tumult could be a buying opportunity
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-14 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

If history is any guide, financial events like the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank could present an attractive buying opportunity for investors in the months ahead. Data compiled by Deutsche Bank macro strategist Alan Ruskin tracking several major financial events in recent history shows that the S & P 500 has gained a median of 19% a year after those incidents. While the fallout from SVB's failure could present more problems than many recent financial events, the aftershocks should fall short of the havoc wreaked in the wake of 2008's financial crisis, he wrote in a Tuesday note. Despite the wreckage the failures brought to financial markets — and regional banking stocks — history shows that these incidents could present a good buying opportunity for investors, with interest rates typically declining in their wake. Aside from the 1987 stock market crash and 1994 Orange County bankruptcy, history also shows that these incidents can also result in good news for rates.

☆ Deutsche Bank says Charles Schwab liquidity risks are overblown, sticks with buy rating
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-14 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The liquidity risk fears around Charles Schwab are overblown, according to Deutsche Bank. Charles Schwab shares were hard-hit by the selloff of financial firms' stocks following the SVB failure. Atlantic Equities analyst Josh Heagerty reiterated the minimal liquidity risk for Charles Schwab and the likely downward target to earnings. Charles Schwab shares were up 9.2% before the bell on Tuesday, after falling 11.5% during the previous trading session. SCHW 5D mountain Charles Schwab shares plunged following the failure of SVB —CNBC's Michael Bloom contributed to this report.

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves midday: BuzzFeed, First Republic, Meta and more
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-14 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

(Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)BuzzFeed — Share of the internet media company lost about 10% on a weak first-quarter revenue outlook. Buzzfeed expects first-quarter revenue of $61-$67 million, compared to expectations of $83.6 million, according to FactSet. Meta Platforms — Meta shares gained 6% after CEO Mark Zuckerberg said Tuesday the social media company plans to cut 10,000 employees. First Republic , PacWest Bancorp, Western Alliance Bancorp , Comerica — Regional banks rallied sharply Tuesday after being hit hard last Friday and Monday. Shares of San Francisco-based First Republic rose about 50%, while PacWest jumped more than 60% and Western Alliance Bancorp gained more than 40%.

☆ Here are Tuesday's biggest analyst calls: Apple, Tesla, First Republic, Charles Schwab, Match & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-14 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Wells Fargo reiterates PNC as overweight Wells said PNC should benefit from a "flight to quality." Deutsche Bank reiterates Charles Schwab as buy Deutsche said liquidity risks for Charles Schwab are overblown. Wells Fargo reiterates Western Alliance Bancorp as overweight Wells said it's standing by shares of the regional bank. Wells Fargo reiterates American Express as overweight Wells said investors should buy the dip in American Express shares. Bank of America reiterates Amazon as buy Bank of America said it's standing by its buy rating on shares of Amazon.

☆ Google got a pandemic boost for its Workspace software but blew it, insiders say. Now it plans to attack Microsoft with a new push in AI.
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-14 | by ( Rosalie Chan | Hugh Langley | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +14 min

Google Cloud CEO Thomas Kurian spent much of his time at a partner meeting talking about Workspace, tweeted Tony Safoian, CEO of Google Cloud partner SADA Systems. "Around the globe, more than nine million paying organizations, and more than three billion users rely on Google Workspace for communication and collaboration. Other major customers like Deutsche Bank use Google Cloud for cloud infrastructure, but Microsoft Office for collaboration software. Forty-four percent of software procurers whose organization plans to or currently uses Microsoft's collaboration software also use Google Workspace, according to the 2022 Forrester study. While Google Cloud is still unprofitable, it has decreased losses to $480 million, down from $890 million last year.

REUTERS/Brendan McDermidORLANDO, Florida, March 14 (Reuters) - When the U.S. yield curve inverts bad things tend to happen. chartCARRY THAT WEIGHTWhile SVB's failure may not be a direct casualty of the inverted yield curve, an inverted curve is a sign that wider financial conditions are not so easy, presenting banks with a far more challenging economic and financial environment. The two-year Treasury yield has been higher than the 10-year yield since last July as the Fed has embarked on its most aggressive rate-raising campaign in decades. Banks make money when the yield curve slopes positively, borrowing cheaply via customer deposits, central bank windows or the short end of the curve, and lending longer term at higher rates - a classic 'carry trade'. A downward-sloping curve stymies this 'carry' and curbs lending, and the consequences are clear when that lasts for as long as eight months.

☆ New SVB CEO urges top venture capital clients to move deposits back
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-14 | by ( Krystal Hu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

March 14 (Reuters) - Silicon Valley Bank's new Chief Executive Tim Mayopoulos on Tuesday urged the failed bank's top venture capital clients to move their deposits to its newly created bridge entity, people who attended a virtual meeting with him said. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) appointed the former Fannie Mae CEO to head Silicon Valley Bridge Bank N.A. Mayopoulos told clients deposits at the bank were now among the safest of any U.S. banks or institutions, attendees at the meeting said. Hemant Taneja, CEO of venture capital firm General Catalyst, recommended on Tuesday that its clients who had banked with SVB keep or return at least 50% of their capital to the bank. He has also served as general counsel of Bank of America, and held senior roles at Deutsche Bank, Credit Suisse First Boston, and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette.

☆ Euro area bond yields tumble as SVB collapse scares investors
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-13 | by ( Stefano Rebaudo | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

March 13 (Reuters) - Government bond yields fell on Monday as investors rushed into safe-haven assets while assessing the possible fallout from Silicon Valley Bank's (SVB) collapse amid bets on less aggressive tightening from the U.S. Federal Reserve. The European Central Bank is not planning an emergency meeting of its banking supervisory board on Monday after the collapse of SVB, a senior source told Reuters. European stocks fell on Monday and were on course for their worst day in almost three months, as the region's banking shares continued to tumble. Fed funds futures showed traders scaled back their projections for the Fed's next rate rise, but markets still bet on a less than 50% chance of a 25 bps rate hike next week. ESTR forwards currently imply an 80% chance of a 50 bps rate hike next week.

☆ Bundesbank convenes crisis team to assess SVB fallout
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

FRANKFURT, March 13 (Reuters) - The Bundesbank convened its crisis team on Monday to assess the possible fallout of the collapse of U.S. lender Silicon Valley Bank on the local market, even as no emergency action was foreseen in Europe. U.S. authorities launched emergency measures on Sunday to shore up confidence in the banking system after the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB.O) threatened to trigger a broader financial crisis. In the euro zone decisions are made by national supervisors for smaller banks and by the European Central Bank's Single Supervisory Board for large ones. He also noted euro zone banks generally had a more conservative mix of assets than Silicon Valley Bank, which mostly lent to risky tech startups. The source saw no direct implication of the SVB collapse for euro zone banks but cautioned this could change if the fallout in the United States extended to bigger banks, raising the risk of contagion.

Markets have ramped up bets on further rate increases after the ECB has already tightened monetary policy by 3 percentage points since July. ECB President Christine Lagarde reckons a 50 basis points (bps) rate hike "is very, very likely". "The ECB is prioritising getting policy rates as high as needed and nothing else is as important," Pictet Wealth Management's head of macroeconomic research Frederik Ducrozet, said. Signs of economic resilience suggest ECB growth forecasts, also out on Thursday, could be revised upwards for 2023. Falling energy prices and a stronger euro, up around 6% in trade-weighted terms from August lows, suggest headline inflation forecasts could be revised lower.

☆ UK's taxes are at a 70-year high. But its finance minister won't splash the cash at upcoming Budget
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-13 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

U.K. Finance Minister Jeremy Hunt has said Britain should have a "20-year plan" to become the world's next Silicon Valley. Public sector borrowing has also undershot by around £30 billion year-to-date, economists noted this week, in part reflecting higher-than-expected tax receipts. This will lend credence to Hunt's aims of bringing public sector net borrowing below 3% by 2027/28. LONDON — British Finance Minister Jeremy Hunt will deliver the government's Budget commitments on Wednesday against a better-than-expected economic backdrop, but economists expect him to stay cautious for now. The U.K. economy flatlined in the final quarter of the year to narrowly avoid entering a technical recession, though suffered a sharp slump in December.

☆ Europe’s banking stocks suffer biggest drop in a year
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-13 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Europe’s benchmark Stoxx Europe 600 Banks index, which tracks 42 big EU and UK banks, fell 5.6% by mid-afternoon — notching its biggest fall since March last year. The broader Stoxx Europe 600 index dropped 2.1%, while the bank-heavy FTSE 100 (UKX) was 2.2% down. A Brinks armored truck sits parked in front of the shuttered Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) headquarters on March 10, 2023 in Santa Clara, California. It is unclear how many unrealized losses EU and UK banks are carrying on their books. Beauchamp added that the sharper falls in European bank stocks so far seen on Monday might partly reflect their stronger performance relative to US banks this year.

☆ Two big Silicon Valley banks failed when the easy money ran out - and that could be just the start.
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-13 | by ( Hallam Bullock | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Before we jump into the newsletter, the Silicon Valley Bank saga is continuing to unfold, so let's quickly break down the latest. "No losses associated with the resolution of Silicon Valley Bank will be borne by the taxpayer," policymakers added. The fall of SVB and Signature bank means the Fed's aggressive interest-rate hiking regime has now taken sizable casualties. A $15 billion venture capital firm had warned its startups of Silicon Valley Bank's red flags months ago. Greenoaks Capital Partners told clients in an email back in November that SVB, as well as other firms, could see problems in a high-interest-rate environment, Bloomberg reported.

☆ Top analysts are bullish on these five stocks in uncertain times
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-12 | by ( Tipranks.Com Staff | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Here are five stocks to weather the storm, according to Wall Street's top professionals on TipRanks, a platform that ranks analysts based on their past performance. Despite the ongoing pressures, cloud-based data warehouse company Snowflake (SNOW) delivered upbeat quarterly results. The company's fiscal 2023 fourth-quarter results missed expectations due to macro pressures, higher costs, supply chain issues and increased promotional activity. TD Cowen analyst Shaul Eyal remains bullish about Zscaler and reiterated a buy rating with a price target of $195 following the results. (See Zscaler Hedge Fund Trading Activity on TipRanks) Eyal holds the 15th position among more than 8,000 analysts on TipRanks.

☆ Silicon Valley Bank imploded in a single day. It could just be the tip of the iceberg.
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

The Federal Reserve's prolonged period of low interest rates created many financial dislocations that are now flaring up. Case in point: Silicon Valley Bank imploded in a single day after surging interest rates caused it to sell a bond portfolio at a huge loss. The chaotic episode showed that the Fed's aggressive interest rate hiking regime could upend institutions that were once thought to be relatively stable. Since the Fed started raising interest rates in March 2021, bitcoin — formerly a highly touted inflation hedge — has plunged more than 65%. "Investors, smelling blood, then turn their attention to the next bank exposed to interest rate risk and specific credit risk, and then the next."

☆ Wall Street analysts say these A.I. beneficiaries have major upside, including this cancer detection company
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-11 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Wall Street analysts named several stocks this week they see as major beneficiaries of the recent artificial intelligence boom. They include Adobe, Marvell, RadNet, Cisco, TSM and Broadcom. RadNet The outpatient radiology diagnostic center company was recently upgraded to outperform from market perform by Raymond James analyst John Ransom. "With strong structural tailwinds, MSD-HSD EBITDA growth should be achievable in the near to intermediate-term, with an enticing opportunity in the AI segment," Ransom said. ... With strong structural tailwinds, MSD-HSD EBITDA growth should be achievable in the near to intermediate-term, with an enticing opportunity in the AI segment.

The S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) dropped 6.6% on Thursday and was set to open lower again on Friday. The crisis at SVG was feeding growing investor concerns that banks will be vulnerable to the rising cost of money. In an unusual step, Commerzbank, one of Germany's largest banks, issued a statement, playing down any threat from SVB, saying it did not see "a corresponding risk for us". "The market is treating this as a potential contagion risk," said Antoine Bouvet, senior rates strategist at ING in London. A spike in interest rates has led to a sell-off in bonds, leaving banks exposed to potential losses on the securities they hold.

[1/2] European Central Bank and SVB (Silicon Valley Bank) logos are seen in this illustration taken March 10, 2023. SVB, which does business as Silicon Valley Bank, was not immediately available for comment. "Silicon Valley Bank is shedding light on vulnerabilities across the US banking sector, primarily in the bond holdings that many large institutions hold," said Karl Schamotta, Chief Market Strategist at Corpay. “The current liquidity run on Silicon Valley Bank is having a knock-on effect on the wider banking system," said Rick Seehra, Prudential Lead at Bovill. But banking experts said SVB's issues were unique and the worries about the broader sector were not warranted.

☆ Credit Suisse shares hit new all-time low as banks hit by U.S. fallout
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

ZURICH, March 10 (Reuters) - Credit Suisse (CSGN.S) shares hit a new all-time low in early trading on Friday as the European banking sector suffered the fallout from a sharp sell-off in U.S. financial stocks. The embattled bank's stock fell to 2.463 Swiss francs on the Swiss Market Index amid the sell-off. Rival UBS (UBSG.S) was down 4.7% as European banking stocks headed for their largest one-day fall in nine months. Europe's STOXX banking index (.SX7P) was down 4.2% and set for its biggest one-day slide since early June, with declines for most major names including HSBC (.HSBA.L) down 4.5% and Deutsche Bank (DBKGn.DE) off 7.9%. Reporting by John Revill; editing by Jason NeelyOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Big bank selloff rests on tiny kernel of truth
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-10 | by ( Liam Proud | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

LONDON, March 10 (Reuters Breakingviews) - The travails of Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB.O) are rippling across the global banking system, wiping billions off the market capitalisations of HSBC (HSBA.L), Deutsche Bank (DBKGn.DE) and JPMorgan (JPM.N). It’s nonetheless a useful reminder that rising interest rates bring risks as well as benefits. The trigger for the selloff seems to have been a $1.8 billion equity issue by SVB Financial, which does business as Silicon Valley Bank. Shrinking deposits saw Chief Executive Greg Becker sell down a $21 billion portfolio of Treasury and agency mortgage bonds. As interest rates rise banks are charging more for loans.

Europe’s benchmark Stoxx Europe 600 index fell 1.5% in early trading, while London’s bank-heavy FTSE 100 (UKX) index slid 1.8%. Meanwhile, Japan’s Nikkei ended Friday down 1.7% as the country’s central bank decided to keep its ultra-low interest rates unchanged. Futures on the benchmark S&P 500 (DVS) index fell 0.43%, while futures on the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (COMP) dropped 0.2%. Wall Street wipeoutThe losses come after US bank stocks logged the largest falls in nearly three years on Thursday. The KBW Bank Index, which tracks 24 leading US banks, fell 7.7%, its biggest drop in almost three years.

☆ European bank shares tumble day after U.S. market turmoil
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

LONDON, March 10 (Reuters) - European banking stocks headed for their largest one-day fall in nine months on Friday, a day after a sharp sell-off in U.S. banks. Europe's STOXX banking index (.SX7P) fell 4.2%, set for its biggest one-day slide since early June, with declines for most major names including HSBC (.HSBA.L) down 4.5% and Deutsche Bank (DBKGn.DE) down 7.9%. S&P 500's bank index (.SPXBK) finished down 6.6% on Thursday after tech-industry lender SVB Financial Group (SIVB.O) launched a share sale to shore up its balance sheet due to declining deposits from startups struggling for funding. Reporting by Alun John; Editing by Amanda CooperOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Europe's lenders sucked into global banks rout
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-10 | by ( Alun John | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

[1/4] The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, March 8, 2023. The episode underscored the vulnerability of banks, many of which were propped up by taxpayers' cash following the global financial crisis more than a decade ago. Investors in SVB's stock had fretted over whether the capital raise would be sufficient given the deteriorating fortunes of many technology startups that the bank serves. But some startups have been advising their founders to pull out their money from SVB as a precautionary measure, the sources added. Writing By John O'Donnell; Additional reporting by Jo Mason; Editing by Elisa Martinuzzi and Toby ChopraOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) fell 1.7% on broad-based losses, with HSBC (HSBA.L), Deutsche Bank (DBKGn.DE), Barclays (BARC.L), Unicredit (CRDI.MI) and Commerzbank (CBKG.DE) down between 2.7% and 7.2%. If it can happen to a U.S. bank, it could potentially happen to a bank in Europe as well." Next week, the focus is likely to be on the European Central Bank which is expected to hike its key lending rate by 50 bps. Daimler Truck (DTGGe.DE) added 3.5% on dividend payment plans after hitting its 2022 targets and forecasting higher earnings and revenue this year. Reporting by Susan Mathew and Medha Singh in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu and Dhanya Ann ThoppilOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Analysts see a buying opportunity in this financial stock in particular amid SVB-fueled sell-off
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-10 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Financial services stocks took a spill as SVB Financial Group's distress cued a sell-off in banks, but investors should use the decline to snap up shares of Charles Schwab on the cheap. Charles Schwab shares dipped more than 7% on Friday morning, following a nearly 13% decline during Thursday's trading session. SCHW 5D mountain Significant decline in Charles Schwab shares following SVB Financial's announcement The significant drop in financial services stocks has been fueled by a massive sell-off of tech-focused bank SVB Financial's shares. However, several analysts believe that such fears are overblown and remain bullish on Charles Schwab, saying that the current decline presents a promising entry point into Schwab's shares. UBS has a buy rating on Charles Schwab shares.

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