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The Astoria US Equal Weight Quality Kings ETF (ROE) , which launched in 2023, is up 17.6% year to date through Tuesday's close, according to FactSet. By comparison, the Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) and iShares MSCI USA Equal Weighted ETF (EUSA) are up 9.7% and 10.1%, respectively. ROE YTD mountain This equal weighted ETF is outperforming some of its rivals in 2024. The Astoria fund is underperforming some other funds that focus on quality, like the iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF (QUAL) . The Astoria fund also has a higher expense ratio than some of its rivals at 0.49%.
Persons: John Davi, ROE, Davi, Frank Tedesco, Todd Sohn Organizations: Astoria, RSP, EUSA, Nvidia, Big Tech Locations: ROE
The S&P 500 fell 1.39 percent, its biggest drop since late April, just one day after the index reached a record. The technology-heavy Nasdaq dropped 2.77 percent, its worst day since late 2022. The decline was led by global chip stocks, with shares of some of the biggest players in the chip industry — including ASML, Nvidia and TSMC — plunging in response to geopolitics and the former president’s remarks. Shares of these companies have surged this year amid a rise in demand for advanced artificial intelligence chips. “Excellent, sustained performance, such as we saw in the semiconductor sector, may have led the trade to become ‘crowded,’ and therefore more fragile.”
Persons: Donald J, , Steve Sosnick Organizations: Trump, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Interactive Locations: U.S, China, Taiwan
As buyers continued to cycle out of tech on Wednesday, CNBC's Jim Cramer reminded investors of his classic adage: Keep a diverse portfolio. Owning stocks from different sectors makes it easier to shoulder losses when one part of the market takes a nosedive, according to Cramer. Mega-cap tech stocks related to artificial intelligence swept the market during the first half of the year. But now Wall Street is clamoring for small and medium-sized businesses, especially ones that would benefit from interest rate cuts — which could be on the horizon as inflation slows. To Cramer, many on Wall Street sell great stocks out of fear or panic, which sometimes creates solid buying opportunities.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Big, Donald Trump Organizations: Nasdaq, Big Tech, Wall
The broadening market rally has Bank of America forecasting further upside for the S & P 500 . Strategist Stephen Suttmeier estimates the broad market index will reach 6,150, which is 8.5% higher than Tuesday's close. Suttmeier said the S & P 500's broadening market rally participation supports more upside potential to the 6,150 level. In addition, the strategist said the number of S & P 500 stocks trading above their 50-day and 200-day moving averages has improved to indicate stabilizing market breadth. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 in 2024 Suttmeier believes the iShares Russell 2000 ETF , which tracks the benchmark small-cap index, can break out to as high as 260.
Persons: Stephen Suttmeier, Russell, Suttmeier, , Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, NYSE, Dow Jones
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Wednesday suggested that interest rate cuts are ahead soon as long as there are no major surprises on inflation and employment. "So, while I don't believe we have reached our final destination, I do believe we are getting closer to the time when a cut in the policy rate is warranted." Keeping with statements from other policymakers, Waller's sentiments point to an unlikelihood of a rate cut when the Federal Open Market Committee meets later this month, but a stronger likelihood of a move in September. "Given that I believe the first two scenarios have the highest probability of occurring, I believe the time to lower the policy rate is drawing closer," Waller said. Williams noted that inflation data is "all moving in the right direction and doing that pretty consistently" and is "getting us closer to a disinflationary trend that we're looking for."
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, John Williams, Williams Organizations: Federal, Kansas City Fed, Market Committee, CNBC, New York Fed, Wall Street, Fed, Traders
A week ago, investors were scoffing at the idea that small caps and value stocks might have a genuine summer rally. The S & P 500 Value ETF (IVE) , which holds stocks like Berkshire Hathaway , JP Morgan , Exxon Mobil and Johnson & Johnson , finally hit a new high after lagging the tech-dominated S & P 500 Growth ETF (IVW) for more than a year. This fund holds the entire stock market, minus the S & P 500. VXF 1M mountain Vanguard Extended Market ETF over the past month. This trend of buying small caps and value is clearly more than a one-day wonder: It's now a one-week wonder.
Persons: Berkshire Hathaway, JP Morgan, Johnson, Dave Nadig, Russell Organizations: Exxon Mobil, Johnson, Value, Opportunity Locations: Berkshire, United States
When it comes to investing in municipal bonds, the Fidelity Intermediate Municipal Income Fund (FLTMX) has a "steadfast" approach that has served investors well, according to Morningstar. They look at the yield curve, credit quality and structure of the bond when assessing assets, he added. The result is a 45.5% allocation to AA-rated munis, 31% in A-rated and 7% in BBB-rated municipal bonds. The team also makes a lot of small bets instead of relying on big investments that can make or break a portfolio, Maka added. So we've been buying some of those deep discount securities that were hit hard as rates rose," Maka explained.
Persons: Morningstar, Michael Maka, We're, Maka, FLTMX, Bond, we've, muni, it's, Elizabeth Foos Organizations: Fidelity, Income Fund, SEC, Federal Reserve, Revenue, BBB, AAA, Bloomberg
Asia-Pacific markets traded mixed on Wednesday with Australia's S&P/ASX 200 reaching an all-time high, while an increase in business optimism among large Japanese manufacturers lifted Japanese stocks. Japan's Nikkei 225 declined 0.43% to close at 41,097.69, while the Topix rose 0.37% to end at 2,915.21. The Taiwan Weighted Index fell 0.77% after a report cited U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump saying that Taiwan should pay the U.S. for defense. I think, Taiwan should pay us for defense," Trump said in interview with Bloomberg Businessweek in June that was published on Tuesday. On a month-on-month basis, Singapore's non-oil domestic unexpectedly dropped 0.4%, compared with a expectations of a 4.1% growth.
Persons: Australia's, Donald Trump, Trump, Cho Jung, TSMC, Georges Elhedery, Elhedery, Noel Quinn Organizations: Reuters, U.S ., Nikkei, Northern Star Resources, Bellevue, Mining, Newmont Corporation, CSI, Republican, Bloomberg Businessweek, Taiwan, HSBC Holdings, Hong Locations: Asia, Pacific, Gold, Taiwan, Hong Kong
In today's big story, Amazon wants to stop employees skirting in-office mandates by tracking their hours spent in the office . The big storyPunching the clockGetty Images; Jenny Chang-Rodriguez/BIAt Amazon, coffee is for closers people who spend at least 2 hours in the office. AdvertisementBusiness Insider's Eugene Kim has a report on Amazon monitoring the hours its corporate employees spend in the office . Amazon and its employees have been in an ongoing battle over its return-to-office mandate, which was first announced early last year. AdvertisementFor Amazon employees, the RTO mandates have been shrouded in mystery and confusion.
Persons: , you've, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Eugene Kim, it's, Eugene, they've, Justin Sullivan, Getty, Dell, Polly Thompson, Lizzie Reed, Goldman Sachs, Mark McQueen, Elizabeth Reed, Donald Trump's, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Russell, Deena So'Oteh, Greg Warnock, Warnock, Elon Musk, Tesla, Stephen Pasterino, Rachel Katzman's, Jennifer Aniston, Johnson, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Denver Airport, Business, Amazon, Foods, Dell, Computer, Workers, Goldman, Walmart, Treasury, Netflix, SpaceX, Lone Star State, Northeast, BI, Olympic, United Airlines, Johnson Locations: it's, Corporate America, Utah, California, Texas, Paris, Seine, New York, London
At the end of July, the Federal Open Market Committee will announce its next decision on interest rates. Some economists have recently been pointing to similar concerns with the Fed keeping interest rates high. As Sahm pointed out, it would take time for reduced interest rates to "flow through to the economy." "You want to begin a process of taking the pressure off of the economy," Sahm said. AdvertisementZandi said interest rates on credit cards and Buy Now, Pay Later rates could come down, along with a decline in auto lending rates and mortgage rates.
Persons: , Mark Zandi, Jerome Powell, Powell, Claudia Sahm, it's, Sahm, Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Brian Rose, Rose, Zandi, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee Organizations: Service, Moody's, Business, Federal, CME FedWatch, Fed, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, Sahm Consulting, Federal Reserve, Democratic, UBS, Chicago Federal, Wall Street Journal
As is clear, that objective is considerably higher than the 2021 peak, which was the last time IWM made a new all-time high. The obvious question then would be this: If IWM does, in fact, make a new all-time high, what happens next? First, notice how well the IWM/SPX relative line performed as it rallied from a key low to a peak since 2011. Conversely, during the three times that IWM has broken out to new highs in absolute terms, the IWM/SPX relative line has declined soon thereafter. In fact, the relative line has been diverging from IWM for 13 years and hasn't made a higher high since 2011.
Persons: Russell, IWM, shouldn't, What's, hasn't, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: IWM
Stanley Druckenmiller , still basking in his winning Nvidia bet, has hit another home run in this bull market. When Druckenmiller acquired the position in the first quarter, small caps were significantly underperforming their large-cap counterparts. Druckenmiller once managed George Soros' Quantum Fund and shot to fame after helping make a $10 billion bet against the British pound in 1992. After the stock soared from $150 to above $900, Druckenmiller slashed the stake. A lot of what we recognized has become recognized by the marketplace now," Druckenmiller said on CNBC at the time.
Persons: Stanley Druckenmiller, Druckenmiller, Russell, George Soros, bullish, We've Organizations: Nvidia, Duquesne Family Office, Investment, SEC, Quantum Fund, Duquesne Capital Management, CNBC
U.S. stock futures inched higher Wednesday evening after the Nasdaq Composite 's worst session since 2022 amid investors' rotation out of big tech high-flyers. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.20% and 0.32%, respectively. The tech-heavy Nasdaq tumbled 2.8% in its worst day since December 2022, closing below 18,000 for the first time since July 1. "This is a market — a Fed pivot market — two, three months before we expect a cut, exactly as we'd expect to see it. "But the reality for the market is that we've already been in a soft landing for the next nine months.
Persons: Russell, Lauren Goodwin, Goodwin, Dow Jones, That's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Discover, Street Journal, Dow, New York Life Investments, Alaska Air, Netflix Locations: Pizza
The rotation trade likely won't save the S & P 500 from a double-digit correction ahead, according to Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research. On the other hand, the mega-cap tech stocks have faltered. But Stovall is skeptical, saying he anticipates an S & P 500 pullback ahead, possibly in September, in the low double-digits. Expensive valuations Central to the strategist's concern is the overbought nature of large-cap tech stocks. Rotate into very attractive mid- and small-cap stocks or mid- and small-cap ETFs," Stovall said.
Persons: Sam Stovall, Stocks, Jerome Powell, Russell, Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research, Federal, Nvidia, CNBC Locations: Great
New York CNN —Tech shares slumped Wednesday as investors shed the behemoths that fueled Wall Street’s monster stock rally this year. The Nasdaq Composite index tumbled 2.8%, logging its worst day since December 2022. Investors are also selling tech stocks after a cool inflation report last week and stronger-than-expected retail sales data on Tuesday pushed up bets for a rate cut in September. The Magnificent Seven tech stocks, which have led most of the gains this year thanks to the artificial intelligence boom, tumbled. Microsoft (MSFT) shares fell 1.3%, Apple (AAPL) shares slid 2.5%, Amazon (AMZN) shares declined 2.6%, Alphabet shares declined 1.6%, Tesla shares slipped 3.1% and Meta Platforms shares lost 5.7%.
Persons: Biden, Russell Organizations: New, New York CNN — Tech, Dow, Nvidia, Devices, Bloomberg, US Commerce Department, Microsoft, Apple, Meta Locations: New York, China
"I was very lucky that I started from zero with my financial journey," the New England-based 36-year-old told Business Insider. AdvertisementThe financial educator, whose mission is to help young women grow their wealth, didn't get to where she is without a bit of trial and error. AdvertisementWhen you first start investing, "it can feel like it takes some time," she noted. "But once you start building wealth, whether it's in real estate or the stock market, your efforts really do start to compound. Overpaying for a financial advisorWhen Waresmith eventually put her cash to work in the stock market around 2013, she paid a financial advisor to manage her portfolio.
Persons: , Tess Waresmith, Waresmith, Tess, didn't, she'd, hasn't Organizations: Service, Boston University, Business Locations: England, America
I feel like the stock has gone too far, too fast, however, and provide an options trade that wins if the shares pull back. Ross (ROST) has benefited significantly from this trend, with its stock rising by 20% over the past two-and-a-half months. Support and Resistance: Using basic support and resistance concepts, we can identify short-term resistance around the 150 level. With ROST trading around $148.08, my plan is to buy an at-the-money (ATM) put spread. Regardless of ROST's current trading price, my long strike will be set above the current price, and the short strike will be positioned below it.
Persons: ROST, Nishant Pant Organizations: Ross Stores, RSI, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
With the S & P 500 surging more than 18% in 2024, it might be time for investors to make a few defensive moves in their portfolios. But that surge is spurring some financial advisors to reassess their clients' exposure to large-cap tech and turn toward currently unloved asset categories that could be poised to rise. "It might take a little longer to manifest but we think [health care] is an interesting combination of offense and defense, and it provides meaningful cash flows for investors," Saccocia said. Checking in on risk and cash Investors reviewing their 2024 gains should also reassess their risk profile and consider whether their asset allocation reflects their long-term goals. Tom Balcom, CFP and founder of 1650 Wealth Management in Lighthouse Point, Florida, has used custom market-linked notes to hedge clients' exposure to the market.
Persons: Nvidia —, Shon Anderson, Russell, Jerome Powell's, Shannon Saccocia, Neuberger Berman, Saccocia, Colin Gerrety, Gerrety, Tom Balcom, Balcom, Morningstar Organizations: Nvidia, Anderson Financial, Federal, Big Tech, Investors, JPMorgan Chase, UnitedHealth, Wealth Services Locations: Dayton , Ohio, REITs, North Bethesda , Maryland, Lighthouse Point , Florida
Courtesy of Tess WaresmithHer current portfolio: real estate, index funds, individual stocks, crypto, and cashWaresmith has continued to diversify her portfolio over the years. "But then there are other ways to diversify within the stock market and also outside the stock market. "I think there's a misconception around real estate investing that you have to have 300 units to be successful," she said. In her case, the first deal she did was "a total game changer and allowed me to invest more in the stock market. The stock market: index funds and individual stocksWaresmith prefers index funds because "it's such an easy way to get exposure to the whole stock market," but a small portion of her portfolio, less than 5%, is in individual stocks.
Persons: , Tess Waresmith, Waresmith, Tess, Waresmith's, I've, she's, I'm, It's Organizations: Service, Boston University, Fortune, Business, BU, America Locations: New England, America, Tampa , Florida, Salem , Massachusetts, Tampa, Massachusetts
Read previewA growth-heavy mutual fund has crushed its index in the last decade thanks to a remarkably simple investing strategy that most bottom-up portfolio managers would decry as heresy. The Hennessy Cornerstone Growth Fund (HFCGX) managed by Neil Hennessy, Ryan Kelley, and Josh Wein is in the top 3% of its category in the last 10 years, according to Morningstar. AdvertisementThis stock screen, which doesn't examine a company's management team or balance sheet, is "a little bit unorthodox," Wein acknowledged. A 4-part pathway to strong gainsThough unconventional, the four-part vetting process that serves as the backbone of the Hennessy Cornerstone Growth Fund is far from unproven. Although Wein doesn't select stocks like most other managers, he still highlighted five stocks that he's most excited about.
Persons: , Neil Hennessy, Ryan Kelley, Josh Wein, Morningstar, It's, Wein, " Wein, they're, Hennessy, They're Organizations: Service, Cornerstone Growth, Business, Hennessy Cornerstone Growth, Urban Outfitters, Emcor
Defense has historically outperformed when there's been a single party in control across Congress and the executive branch — in particular, the Republican Party, according to Wells Fargo analyst Matthew Akers. However, Akers believes the defense sector may not benefit if there's a Republican sweep this election cycle. Another two years of low growth for both defense and non-defense looks likely to us," Akers wrote in a Tuesday note. The firm said a Trump presidency is positive for the defense sector. The firm cited the Republican Party's platform, which highlights a "strong military," restoring peace and "made in America" defense systems.
Persons: there's, Wells, Matthew Akers, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Akers, Trump, TD Cowen Organizations: GOP, Defense, Republican Party, Democrat, Republican, NATO, Ukraine, Caucus, China, Boeing, " Aircraft, Akers, U.S . Aerospace & Defense ETF, ITA Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S, China, America
Traders see the odds of a Fed rate cut by September at 100%
  + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( John Melloy | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Traders are now 100% certain the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by September. That put the annual inflation rate at 3%, the lowest in three years. Odds that rates would be cut in September were about 70% a month ago. The CME FedWatch Tool computes the probabilities based on trading in fed funds futures contracts at the exchange, where traders are placing their bets on the level of the effective fed funds rate in 30-day increments. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's recent hints have also cemented traders' belief that the central bank will act by September.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Jerome Powell's, Powell Organizations: Bank, Financial, Federal, U.S, Capitol, Washington , DC, Traders, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Washington ,
IMF sees ‘bumps’ in path to lower inflation
  + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The International Monetary Fund warned Tuesday that upside risks to inflation have increased, calling into question the prospect of multiple Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year. In its latest World Economic Outlook update, the IMF said "the momentum on global disinflation is slowing, signaling bumps along the path." The rise in sequential inflation in the U.S. earlier in 2024 has put it behind other major economies in the quantitative easing path, the report said. However, IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas told CNBC's "Squawk on the Street" on Tuesday that one rate cut from the Fed is most appropriate this year, highlighting still-stubborn services and wage inflation as complications to the path to lower inflation. Despite the encouraging CPI report, Gourinchas stated the uptick in inflation earlier in the year indicates that the path toward lower inflation and rate cuts "could take a little bit longer than maybe the markets are expecting."
Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, CNBC's, Gourinchas Organizations: Monetary Fund, Traders, U.S . Labor Department Locations: U.S
U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks at a news conference on interest rates, the economy and monetary policy actions on June 15, 2022. LONDON — European stocks are expected to open in mixed territory Tuesday as investors assess the economic and political outlook in the region and beyond. The U.K.'s FTSE index is seen opening 15 points lower at 8,164, Germany's DAX down 19 points at 18,580, France's CAC 40 up 7 points at 7,633 and Italy's FTSE MIB down 31 points at 34,493, according to data from IG. Global markets are digesting dovish comments from U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in which he said the central bank will not wait until inflation hits 2% to cut interest rates, as the Fed's policy works with "long and variable lags." So, "if you wait until inflation gets all the way down to 2%, you've probably waited too long," he said Monday.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Germany's DAX, you've Organizations: Federal, LONDON, CAC, IG, Global, U.S . Federal Locations: U.S
Mortgage rates are the lowest they've been since March in response to cooler-than-expected inflation data. This could help mortgage rates fall even further than currently expected, potentially boosting affordability for homebuyers later this year. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowToday's refinance ratesMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. This is a significant slowdown compared when it peaked at 9.1% in 2022, which means mortgage rates should start trending down soon. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.
Persons: you'll, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal Reserve, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, Sky Locations: Chevron
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