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☆ Explainer: Why markets are in uproar over a risky bank bond known as AT1
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Here are some of the implications of the Credit Suisse AT1 bond write-down. WHAT IS AN AT1 BOND? Credit Suisse AT1 holders, therefore, are the only ones not to receive any kind of compensation. It is not the first time that the treatment of AT1 bonds in a bank overhaul has caused controversy. The decision to write down Credit Suisse AT1 bonds to zero is viewed as negative for the AT1 bond market globally.

☆ European banks battered after Credit Suisse rescue
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-20 | by ( Lucy Raitano | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

LONDON, March 20 (Reuters) - Shares in European banks were battered in early trade on Monday following UBS's (UBSG.S) state-backed rescue of Credit Suisse (CSGN.S) that brought with it massive writedowns for the latter's bondholders. Shares in Credit Suisse (CSGN.S) fell more than 63% while UBS Group (UBSG.S) shares were last down 12.5%. UBS on Sunday agreed to pay 3 billion Swiss francs ($3.23 billion) for 167-year-old Credit Suisse and assume up to $5.4 billion in losses. JPMorgan said that although UBS stood to gain in the longer-term from the deal, the writedown of the AT1 bonds would impact other European banks. Barclays cut its view on European banks to "neutral" from "positive" on Monday, citing likely increased regulatory scrutiny after Silicon Valley Bank collapse and UBS agreeing to buy Credit Suisse.

☆ Top 10 things to watch in the stock market Monday: Banks, Nvidia, Starbucks
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-20 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The market puts about 60% odds on a quarter-point rate hike and 40% odds on no hike as policymakers watch of the unfolding banking struggles. Sign up for my Top 10 morning thoughts on the market email newsletter for free 2. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: First Republic, UBS, Enphase Energy
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-20 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

First Republic — The bank tumbled about 19% premarket after Standard & Poor's cut its credit rating again, to B+ from BB+, on Sunday. S&P first lowered First Republic's credit rating to junk status last week. UBS , Credit Suisse — Shares of UBS fell about 5% before the U.S. open, while Credit Suisse shares plunged 58%. Some analysts said UBS's forced Credit Suisse merger over the weekend could boost investor sentiment toward U.S. regionals. Zions Bancorp.

LONDON, March 20 (Reuters) - European bank bonds slumped on Monday following the state-backed rescue of Credit Suisse (CSGN.S) by UBS (UBSG.S) as a wipeout of some bondholders raised concerns around broader bank capital and also hammered bank shares. "The takeover of Credit Suisse by UBS was done fast and should have provided reassurance to the market that we haven’t had another bank collapse. However, what it has done is exposed the issues around AT1 bonds,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell. In the bond market, Credit Suisse's Additional Tier 1 (AT1) bonds were bid as low as 1 cent on the dollar on Monday as investors braced for the wipeout. Shares in Credit Suisse (CSGN.S) fell as much as 64.5% while UBS Group (UBSG.S) shares dropped as much as 16%.

☆ JPMorgan Chase can be sued by Virgin Islands over Jeffrey Epstein sex trafficking claims
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-20 | by ( Dan Mangan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Epstein, who killed himself in a Manhattan jail in 2019 while awaiting trial on federal criminal child sex trafficking charges, was a JPMorgan client from 1998 through 2013. "Epstein's sex trafficking operation was impossible without the assistance of JPMorgan Chase, and later Deutsche Bank," Edwards said. In the Virgin Islands' suit, Rakoff sustained the government's claim that JPMorgan Chase benefited from participating in Epstein's sex trafficking, which included shipping women to his private island in the U.S. territory. The judge dismissed all other claims in the Virgin Islands' and accusers' cases. In a statement, U.S. Virgin Islands Acting Attorney General Carol Thomas-Jacobs said, "We are pleased that the U.S. Virgin Islands will continue to work alongside survivors to hold JPMorgan Chase accountable for enabling Jeffrey Epstein's heinous sex-trafficking venture."

The logos of Swiss banks Credit Suisse and UBS on March 16, 2023 in Zurich, Switzerland. Credit Suisse shares collapsed by 60% at around 9:05 a.m. London time (5:05 a.m. Swiss authorities and regulators helped to facilitate the deal, announced Sunday, as Credit Suisse teetered on the brink. The size of Credit Suisse was a concern for the banking system, as was its global footprint given its multiple international subsidiaries. "This suggests that a substantial part of Credit Suisse's $570bn assets may be either impaired or perceived as being at risk of becoming impaired.

☆ Here are Monday's biggest analyst calls: UBS, Netflix, First Republic, Carnival, Meta, Amazon & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-20 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Morgan Stanley reiterates Match as a top pick Morgan Stanley said it sees more industry growth for stocks such as Match. Deutsche Bank upgrades Kimberly-Clark and Conagra to hold from sell Deutsche upgraded several staples manufacturers mainly on valuation. Deutsche Bank upgrades Dow to buy from hold Deutsche said the "worst is behind us." Morgan Stanley reiterates First Republic as underweight Morgan Stanley said it sees too many negative outcomes for First Republic. Bank of America reiterates Nvidia as buy Bank of America said it's bullish heading into Nvidia's flagship AI and tech conference this week.

☆ From Tesla to under-the-radar battery stocks: Wall Street has a playbook for the EV boom
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-20 | by ( Zavier Ong | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The bank's "Battery Electric Vehicles Basket" comprises several stocks across the EV supply chain, including automakers Rivian , Lucid and Li Auto . This may be the opportune moment for Chinese EV brands to knock on the doors of Europe." Among the Chinese EV makers, BYD, Nio and Xpeng are "the ones to watch," according to Bernstein. "We expect Chinese EV players to find better success targeting the compact, mass market EV segment that has so far been under-penetrated in Europe," the bank said. Tesla and under-the-radar plays Tesla is one of Deutsche Bank 's top picks in the EV space.

March 19 (Reuters) - Talks over rescuing Credit Suisse (CSGN.S) rolled into Sunday as UBS AG (UBSG.S) sought $6 billion from the Swiss government to cover costs if it were to buy its struggling rival, a person with knowledge of the talks said. The guarantees UBS is seeking would cover the cost of winding down parts of Credit Suisse and potential litigation charges, two people told Reuters. Credit Suisse, UBS and the Swiss government declined to comment. U.S. President Joe Biden's administration moved to backstop consumer deposits while the Swiss central bank lent billions to Credit Suisse to stabilise its shaky balance sheet. There were multiple reports of interest for Credit Suisse from other rivals.

March 18 (Reuters) - UBS Group AG (UBSG.S) is seeking government guarantees of about $6 billion for a potential takeover of Credit Suisse Group AG (CSGN.S), a person with knowledge of the discussions told Reuters on Saturday. The guarantees would cover the cost of winding down parts of Credit Suisse and potential litigation charges, the source said. Credit Suisse was valued at the equivalent of about $8 billion at the close on Friday. Deutsche Bank AG is also interested in acquiring parts of Credit Suisse, the first source said. Bloomberg earlier reported the German lender's interest in parts of Credit Suisse.

Credit Suisse Chief Financial Officer Dixit Joshi and his teams will hold meetings over the weekend to assess strategic scenarios for the bank, people with knowledge of the matter said on Friday. Swiss regulators are encouraging UBS and Credit Suisse to merge but neither bank wanted to do so, one source said. The boards of UBS and Credit Suisse were expected to separately meet over the weekend, the Financial Times said,Credit Suisse shares jumped 9% in after-market trading following the FT report. Credit Suisse and UBS declined to comment. Efforts to shore up Credit Suisse come as policymakers including the European Central Bank and U.S. President Joe Biden sought to reassure investors and depositors the global banking system is safe.

A source with knowledge of the matter said that Swiss regulators are encouraging UBS and Credit Suisse to merge, but that both banks do not want to do so. Credit Suisse shares jumped 9% in after-market trading following the FT report. Credit Suisse and UBS declined to comment on the report. "Credit Suisse is a very special case," said Frédérique Carrier, head of investment strategy at RBC Wealth Management. The supervisors were told deposits were stable across the euro zone and exposure to Credit Suisse was immaterial, a source familiar with the meeting's content told Reuters.

☆ Exclusive: Some Credit Suisse counterparties curb dealings as bank heads into scenario meetings -sources
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-17 | by ( Shankar Ramakrishnan Stefania Spezzati Sumeet Chatterjee | Shankar Ramakrishnan | Stefania Spezzati | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Credit Suisse declined to comment. Credit Suisse intends to borrow up to 50 billion Swiss francs ($54 billion) from the Swiss National Bank in what it called "decisive action" to boost its liquidity on Thursday. The five people with direct knowledge of the bank's trading counterparties requested anonymity because of the sensitivity of the situation. Credit Suisse has said that it is a strong, global bank. Among possible scenarios, analysts, bankers and investors speculate that Credit Suisse could sell or wind down some of its existing businesses with a break-up potentially on the cards.

Credit Suisse declined to comment on the banks' actions. MARKET TROUBLES LINGERBanking stocks globally have been battered since Silicon Valley Bank collapsed, raising questions about other weaknesses in the wider financial system. A view of the Park Avenue location of the First Republic Bank, in New York City, U.S., March 10, 2023. The supervisors were told deposits were stable across the euro zone and exposure to Credit Suisse was immaterial, a source familiar with the meeting's content told Reuters. "Japan's financial system remains stable as a whole," Kishida told a news briefing.

☆ Exclusive: Some Credit Suisse counterparties put curbs on new dealings involving lender -sources
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-17 | by ( Shankar Ramakrishnan Stefania Spezzati Sumeet Chatterjee | Shankar Ramakrishnan | Stefania Spezzati | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

[1/3] The logo of Societe Generale bank is pictured on an office building in Nantes, France, March 16, 2023. Credit Suisse declined to comment. These five people with direct knowledge of the matter requested anonymity because of the sensitivity of the situation. Societe Generale has maintained existing counterparty positions with Credit Suisse, which it had cut back in recent weeks, but it is not increasing them, according to two sources with direct knowledge of the situation. Another global bank has reduced its unsecured exposure to Credit Suisse, which includes all lending with no collateral, according to a person with knowledge of the matter.

☆ Goldman Sachs, other banks expect smaller hike from ECB in May
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-17 | by ( Subhadeep Chakravarty | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

March 17 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and at least two other banks expect the European Central Bank to deliver a smaller quarter-point hike in May, as it grapples with stress in the banking sector and high core inflation. Goldman's terminal rate forecast for the ECB now stands at 3.5%, down from 3.75% expected previously when it forecasted a 50-bps raise in May. For Morgan Stanley, a smaller May hike expectation leaves the peak rate forecast at 3.75% by July, down from 4% expected earlier. The changes in forecast follow the ECB's decision on Thursday to press ahead with a 50-bps hike in its deposit facility rate, taking it to 3%. Traders see the ECB rate peaking at around 3.23% by September or October.

☆ Goldman Sachs and other banks expect smaller hike from ECB in May
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-17 | by ( Subhadeep Chakravarty | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

March 17 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs and two other banks expect the European Central Bank to deliver a smaller quarter-point hike in May as it grapples with stress in the banking sector and high core inflation. Goldman earlier expected the ECB to deliver a 50 bps hike in May. The Wall Street bank's terminal rate forecast now stands at 3.5%, down from 3.75% previously. Traders see the ECB rate peaking at around 3.23% by September or October. Meanwhile, J.P.Morgan, Deutsche Bank and Swedish Bank SEB expect the ECB to deliver a 50 bps hike in May but warned of downside risks to their forecasts given current market volatility and inflation remaining well above the central bank's target.

☆ Deutsche Bank CEO paid 8.9 million euros in 2022
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

ZURICH, March 17 (Reuters) - Deutsche Bank (DBKGn.DE) paid Chief Executive Christian Sewing 8.9 million euros ($9.49 million) in 2022, up slightly from 8.8 million euros a year earlier, the bank disclosed on Friday, rewarding him for a third consecutive year of profit and hitting key milestones in the lender's restructuring. The bonus pool for the entire bank was 2.1 billion euros, basically flat from a year earlier. Sewing led the bank through a 9-billion-euro, four-year turnaround plan for what is one of the world's most systemically important banks after years of losses. For 2023, the bank forecast a slight increase in revenues to between 28 billion euros and 29 billion euros, according to its annual report on Friday. At the investment bank, revenues will be flat, it forecast.

☆ Former JPMorgan executive, ex-Barclays CEO Staley to be deposed next week
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-17 | by ( Tatiana Bautzer | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Lawyers for the bank said during a hearing on Thursday they would depose Staley, who also served as Barclays Plc's (BARC.L) chief executive, on March 23 and 24. JPMorgan has accused Staley, its former head of private banking, of "intentional and outrageous conduct" in concealing information about Epstein, with whom he had been friends. The lawsuit seeks to force Staley to return eight years of compensation and reimburse JPMorgan for damages the company might incur in the other lawsuits. Last week, Rakoff had ordered the bank to hand over more documents concerning its CEO Jamie Dimon. A separate trial involving an Epstein victim suing Deutsche Bank AG (DBKGn.DE) may also be rescheduled.

☆ Tesla vs. BYD: Market pros pick their favorite electric vehicle giant
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-17 | by ( Zavier Ong | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Tesla has long been an investor favorite for exposure to the electric vehicle transition, but not everyone is convinced. Berkshire Hathaway-backed BYD , for example, is often touted as a better bet than Tesla. BYD is so much ahead of Tesla in China ... it's almost ridiculous," Charlie Munger, vice-chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, said last month . "Long term, Tesla is not a car company and that's the difference. 'Take profit' in Tesla Wall Street veteran David Trainer has a more bearish view, however, as he urged investors to "take profit" in Tesla.

☆ Victims of the Fed: How a year of rate hikes cratered stocks - and fueled the demise of FTX and Silicon Valley Bank
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-17 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The US central bank has lifted borrowing costs from near-zero to just under 5%, starting with its initial raise on March 16, 2022. Lender Silicon Valley Bank failed and FTX imploded after borrowing costs rose. "Stocks had become reliant on low interest rates as a crutch," Dan Kemp, CIO at Morningstar Investment Management, told Insider. "If valuations had been lower, then the reaction to the Fed's rate hikes would've been far less severe." Rising interest rates in a particular country tend to strengthen its currency, because they attract foreign investors seeking higher yields.

☆ Banks borrowed a record $153 billion from the Fed as SVB's collapse rocked Wall Street
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-17 | by ( Zahra Tayeb | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Banks rushed to borrow unprecedented amounts from the Federal Reserve's traditional backstop following SVB's collapse, new data shows. Lenders took up $153 billion from the Fed's discount window in the week to March 15, topping a previous high of $111 billion. Banks also borrowed $11.9 billion from the Fed's new emergency loan tool launched following SVB's downfall. The global banking system has come under pressure in the wake of Silicon Valley Bank's demise. The move followed a turbulent few days for the regional lender as fears of depositors pulling funds sparked a selloff in its share price following SVB's implosion.

REUTERS/Brian Snyder/File PhotoLONDON, March 15 (Reuters) - Investment managers Bridgewater Associates, Millennium Management and Marshall Wace added to short positions on European banking shares after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank sparked contagion fears across global banks, according to data from Breakout Point. Short sellers had amassed bearish positions worth more than $15.7 billion against European banks by Tuesday, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. Millennium Management, Citadel, Wellington Management, Capital Fund Management, Odey Asset Management and Marshall Wace declined to comment. Marshall Wace held the largest disclosed number of short positions against banks, public filings from Austria, Italy, Sweden, Britain, Spain and Poland analysed by Breakout Point showed. Its shares were up 18% at 1602 GMT, in a broader European banking index (.SX7P) up 1.4%In the week to Wednesday, some 120 billion euros had been wiped off the value of European bank shares.

Concerns have been heightened by the wild swings in market interest rates since the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB.O) last week. Fund managers advise shunning high-yield bonds, despite their attractive yields, because of the risk these bonds could be hit by ratings downgrades, defaults and a squeeze in company earnings. Refinitiv Lipper data showed high-yield bond funds, after seeing an inflow of $7.63 billion in January, faced an outflow of $11.51 billion in February. Reuters GraphicsSo far this month, high-yield bond exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen a total outflow of $506 million. However, safer money market funds have attracted $28.76 billion, and government bond funds have seen an inflow of $15.52 billion since February.

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