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"The softer inflation data took some wind out of the dollar's sails," said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at Convera in Washington. "The dollar is steadier because we're having this residual, geopolitical skittishness as well as signs of a fairly sturdy U.S. economic backbone in the forms of U.S. retail sales." Retail sales rose 1.3% in October, more than the 1.0% increase that economists polled by Reuters had forecast. The dollar briefly pared losses on release of the retail sales data, but later fell against the euro to trade little changed against major currencies. Yields fell further on the market's benign inflation outlook.
Fed's George calls for 'more measured' pace of rate hikes
  + stars: | 2022-11-10 | by ( Ann Saphir | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Nov 10 (Reuters) - Kansas City Federal Reserve President Esther George on Thursday reiterated her support for a slower pace of U.S. interest rate increases, calling for a "more measured" approach that allows the central bank time to judge how the rises in borrowing costs are affecting the economy. "I continue to see several advantages for a steady and deliberate approach to raising the policy rate," George said in remarks prepared for delivery to an energy conference co-hosted by her regional bank and the Dallas Fed. The goal has been to slow the economy and bring down inflation that's running far higher than the Fed's 2% goal. George dissented in June when the Fed pushed through the first of its extra-large rate hikes, and though she has not done so since, she has repeatedly called for a slower, steadier pace of increases than what the central bank has delivered. "A more measured approached to rate increases may be particularly useful as policymakers judge the economy's response to higher rates," she said.
LONDON, Nov 10 (Reuters Breakingviews) - CEO Ulrich Körner is raising $4 bln of fresh equity and shrinking the Zurich-based group’s trading business to put it on a steadier footing. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists debate the merits of the plan and what’s at stake if it fails. Listen to the podcastFollow @aimeedonnellan on TwitterEditing by Amanda Gomez and Oliver TaslicOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Yet the effects from this point of a return to the "old normal" of higher bond yields and positive real (inflation-adjusted) yields, aren't clearly linear nor entirely negative. The 10-year Treasury yield on those dates: 4.24% now, 3.69% Sept. 22 and 3.07% on June 30. Yet as stock valuations fall and bond yields rise, risk to a long-term buyer is declining and expected future returns climbs. It's common to hear market handicappers discuss higher yields compressing overall equity valuations as if it's a law of physics. Maybe the difference in these regimes has something to do with the absolute level of bond yields and whether deflation or inflation was the main adversary?
Outlays for fiscal 2022, which ended Sept. 30, fell by a record $550 billion, or 8% from last year to $6.272 trillion. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterThe move brought the September budget deficit to $430 billion, more than six times the prior-year September deficit of $65 billion. It also includes the extension of a COVID moratorium on all student loan payments until the end of 2022, which added about $21 billion in budgetary costs. Rising interest costs also will start to consume a bigger share of the federal budget, the non-partisan fiscal referee agency predicts. The CBO had forecast a fiscal 2023 deficit of about $984 billion, with deficits rising steadily thereafter to nearly $2 trillion by 2030.
WASHINGTON, Oct 21 (Reuters) - The U.S. government on Friday reported that its fiscal 2022 budget deficit plunged by half from a year earlier to $1.375 trillion, due to fading COVID-19 relief spending and record revenues fueled by a hot economy, but student loan forgiveness costs limited the reduction. "You know, we've gone from an historically strong economic recovery to a steady and stable growth, while reducing the deficit," Biden said. Outlays for fiscal 2022, which ended Sept. 30, fell by a record $550 billion, or 8% from last year to $6.272 trillion. The move brought the September budget deficit to $430 billion, more than six times the prior-year September deficit of $65 billion. It also includes the extension of a COVID-19 moratorium on all student loan payments until the end of 2022, which added about $21 billion in budgetary costs.
People walk through the City of London financial district during rush hour in London, Britain, October 3, 2022. Asia's main markets had struggled overnight but Europe's STOXX 600 (.STOXX) made a 0.5% early gain as both the pound and UK government bonds rallied in London. Invesco's director of macro research Ben Jones said the UK's volatility would remain a key focus for global markets. In currency markets, the dollar remains king as investors price in U.S. rates peaking around 5%. The rise of the dollar and global bond yields have been a drag for gold, which was stuck at $1,648 an ounce .
Asia shares ease, major test looms for UK bonds
  + stars: | 2022-10-17 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Concerns about financial stability added to the corrosive mix with all eyes on UK bonds, now that the Bank of England's (BoE's) emergency buying spree is over. "Monday's market action will provide a test, not only for the survival of Truss' low-tax vision, but also her political future." Sterling was quoted up 0.4% at $1.1219 , but off the early high with trading sparse in Asia. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) eased 1.2% and back toward last week's 2-1/2 year low. In currency markets, the dollar remains king as investors price in U.S. rates peaking around 5%.
Asia shares slip, testing times for UK bonds
  + stars: | 2022-10-17 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Concerns about financial stability added to the corrosive mix with all eyes on UK bonds now that the Bank of England's (BoE's) emergency buying spree is over. "Monday's market action will provide a test, not only for the survival of Truss' low-tax vision, but also her political future." Sterling was quoted up 0.6% at $1.1233 , but trading was sparse with little liquidity in Asia. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) eased 1.2% and back toward last week's 2-1/2 year low. read moreIn currency markets, the dollar remains king as investors price in U.S. rates peaking around 5%.
Asia shares slip, make or break day for UK bonds
  + stars: | 2022-10-17 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Concerns about financial stability added to the corrosive mix with all eyes on UK bonds now that the Bank of England's (BoE's) emergency buying spree is over. "Monday's market action will provide a test, not only for the survival of Truss' low-tax vision, but also her political future." Sterling was quoted up 0.6% at $1.1240 , but trading was sparse with little liquidity in Asia. In equity markets, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) eased 0.5% and back toward last week's 2-1/2 year low. read moreIn currency markets, the dollar remains king as investors price in U.S. rates peaking around 5%.
Oct 14 (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve should more slowly and steadily raise interest rates to allow time for its policy actions to seep through the economy and minimize market volatility, Kansas City Fed President Esther George said on Friday. "I have been in the camp of steadier and slower to begin to see how those effects from the lag will unfold," George said during an event organized by S&P Global Ratings. So far there are few major signs the current level of interest rates is doing enough to quash an inflation rate running more than three times the Fed's 2% goal. A hotter-than-expected key inflation reading on Thursday caused already fearful investors to price in more interest rate hikes than the Fed has itself projected, amid mounting concern only a recession will bring supply and demand into better balance. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterReporting by Lindsay Dunsmuir; Editing by Chizu NomiyamaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
London CNN Business —UK Prime Minister Liz Truss has fired finance minister Kwasi Kwarteng and ditched a big part of her discredited economic strategy in a desperate bid to rescue her month-old premiership. “It was right, in the face of the issues we had, that I acted decisively to ensure that we had economic stability,” Truss said Friday. Kwarteng presented a “mini budget” just three weeks ago, promising tax cuts worth £45 billion ($50 billion) and increased borrowing with the hope of boosting UK economic growth. “Liz Truss’ reckless approach has crashed the economy, causing mortgages to skyrocket, and has undermined Britain’s standing on the world stage,” he said. Kwarteng had flown back from the IMF meeting in Washington, D.C., overnight for discussions with Truss.
Like a lot of millennials, Enrique Gonsalves is a victim of poor timing. For most millennials, born between 1981 and 1996, the path to homeownership has been fraught with pitfalls and false starts. Add it all up, and the homeownership rate among millennials is lagging that of previous generations. Compared with these generations, millennials have more debt, a lower net worth, and a worse chance of making more than their parents. Those factors, particularly the rise in student debt, have prevented millennials from getting a home.
He stepped away from day-to-day activities at Apollo Global Management — the private-equity firm he co-founded — in May last year. Josh Harris upset Apollo insiders with the amount of time he spent on personal investments. During meetings for Apollo matters, Harris would sometimes take phone calls unrelated to the company, one person told Insider. Harris would also use Apollo employees to help on personal investments. People who worked on Harris' personal investments became "untouchable" within the organization.
This is a problem not only for Powell and the Fed but for the economy. To move the economy toward the outcome it wants, the Fed plays on this future-focused nature by steering financial conditions. Powell and other members of the FOMC have made statements that are mutually exclusive or wildly different from previous communications. At the June meeting, Powell responded to a question about which type of inflation the Fed was targeting with a definitive "inflation means headline inflation." Two-year note yields, which roughly proxy the market's pricing of the fed funds policy rate 12 months ahead, have risen steadily.
Some of the most expensive housing markets, including San Jose and San Francisco, experienced slight home-price declines. Homebuyers in the San Francisco metro area must earn just under $200,000 a year to qualify for a mortgage with 20% down. Each quarter, NAR calculates qualifying income requirements for all US metropolitan-statistical areas assuming the buyer puts 25% of gross income toward the mortgage principal and interest. Metro areas are based on the US Census definitions. Below, we've pulled the qualifying annual income amounts for the 25 largest metros by population, ranked from lowest to highest qualifying income with 20% down.
Persons: Lawrence Yun, Yun, we've Organizations: National Association of Realtors, Service, Los Locations: United States, Jose, San Francisco, Wall, Silicon, Los Angeles, Detroit, Pittsburgh
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