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Data for February was revised up to show retail sales falling 0.2% instead of 0.4% as previously reported. Retail sales are mostly goods, which are typically bought on credit, and are not adjusted for inflation. Retail sales and inflationThe decline in retail sales was almost across the board. Sales at food services and drinking places, the only services category in the retail sales report, edged up 0.1%. Excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services, retail sales slipped 0.3% last month.
Retail sales dropped 1.0% last month, the Commerce Department said. Data for February was revised up to show retail sales falling 0.2% instead of 0.4% as previously reported. Retail sales are mostly goods, which are typically bought on credit, and are not adjusted for inflation. Sales at food services and drinking places, the only services category in the retail sales report, edged up 0.1%. Excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services, retail sales slipped 0.3% last month.
The S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) has lagged the broader S&P 500 (.SPX) this year with a 13% decline, while the KBW Regional Banking index (.KRX) has already lost 20% in its worst performance since 2009. "The retail sales are kind of a disappointment," said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth. Traders stuck to bets the U.S. central bank will raise its benchmark rate in May by another 25 basis points after the retail sales data. Among other big-ticket earnings, healthcare conglomerate UnitedHealth Group Inc (UNH.N) beat estimates for quarterly profit and raised its annual forecast, pushing its shares up 0.4%. BlackRock Inc's (BLK.N) quarterly profit also beat analysts' estimates as investors continued to pour money in the world's largest asset manager's various funds.
The S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) surged 3.3% to a one-month high, while the KBW Regional Banking index (.KRX) rose 0.8%. Bank stocks lag S&P 500 this yearDampening the mood, however, data showed retail sales fell more than expected in March as consumers cut back on purchases of motor vehicles and other big-ticket items, raising fears of an economic slowdown. "The retail sales are kind of a disappointment," said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth. Following Friday's retail sales data, traders stuck to bets the U.S. central bank will raise rates by another 25 basis points in May. The S&P index recorded six new 52-week highs and no new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 14 new highs and 25 new lows.
German industrial output rises more than expected in February
  + stars: | 2023-04-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
BERLIN, April 6 (Reuters) - German industrial production rose significantly more than expected in February due in part to vehicle manufacturing, increasing 2.0% on the previous month, the federal statistical office said on Thursday. "Despite the strong rebound, industrial production is still slightly below its pre-pandemic level." Industrial output is expected to increase further in the coming months. Pantheon Macroeconomics forecasts that industrial production will post a 3.0% quarter-on-quarter expansion in the first quarter, comfortably reversing the 0.5% decline in the fourth quarter. Year-on-year, industrial production rose 0.6% in February.
U.S. trade deficit widens in February as goods exports fall
  + stars: | 2023-04-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
WASHINGTON, April 5 (Reuters) - The U.S. trade deficit widened more than expected in February as exports of goods declined, suggesting that trade could drag on economic growth in the first quarter. The trade deficit increased 2.7% to $70.5 billion, the Commerce Department said on Wednesday. Consumer goods imports fell $3.7 billion, mostly reflecting decreases in cell phones and other household goods, pharmaceutical preparations as well as cotton apparel and household goods. Adjusting for inflation, the goods trade deficit widened 2.7% to $104.6 billion. A smaller trade deficit was one of the contributors to the economy's 2.6% annualized growth rate in the fourth quarter.
The Conference Board's consumer confidence index rose to 104.2 this month from a reading of 103.4 in February. Housing affordability, which deteriorated as mortgage rates surged in response to the Fed's fight against inflation, is starting to gradually improve as house price gains continue to moderate. Annual house price growth remained strong in the Southeast, with double-digit gains in Miami and Tampa. The region had experienced rapid house price increases in prior years. Goods trade balanceThe Commerce Department also reported that wholesale inventories rose 0.2% in February after falling 0.5% in January.
General Motors ' self-driving vehicle unit Cruise acknowledged that some of its cars stalled out on city streets in San Francisco following rainstorms that downed trees there on Tuesday night. After that, another tree on Polk and Clay streets fell into the street. In response, he said, the San Francisco Fire Department had blocked off Clay between Polk and Jones streets with caution tape. He said the driverless Cruise vehicles did not appear to detect and avoid the caution tape and bus wires properly, and instead became "tangled in them." Cruise has permits to test and deploy autonomous vehicles in San Francisco all hours of day and night, excluding heavy rain."
U.S. trade deficit widens moderately in January
  + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
WASHINGTON, March 8 (Reuters) - The U.S. trade deficit widened moderately in January as both imports and exports increased strongly. The trade deficit increased 1.6% to $68.3 billion, the Commerce Department said on Wednesday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the trade deficit rising to $68.9 billion. Adjusting for inflation, the goods trade deficit increased 3.6% to $101.8 billion in January. A smaller trade deficit was one of the contributors to the economy's 2.7% annualized growth rate in the fourth quarter.
A type of motor vehicle crime that costs consumers in the U.S. about $1 billion a year is on the rise, according to data firm Carfax. Average used vehicle prices rose from about $20,000 in December 2019 to about $27,000 in December 2022, according to Cox Automotive. Supply chain disruptions and shortages in new vehicle inventory have pushed more customers to the used market, which in turn has pushed up prices. Those circumstances also are making used vehicles scarcer. "I can't tell you for sure, but I suspect with the recent surge in used car prices, that it's becoming a more enticing tactic for scammers," said Patrick Olsen, executive editor at Carfax.
Elon Musk announced on Wednesday that Tesla plans to expand its engineering headquarters in California. Tesla moved the company's headquarters to Texas in 2021, but still employs thousands of workers in California. Gavin Newsom that the electric-car maker plans to expand its engineering headquarters in California. The announcement comes less than two years after Musk moved Tesla's headquarters to Austin, Texas. Despite the move to Texas, the carmaker continued to produce many of its cars at the Factory in Fremont, California and it still maintains its previous company headquarters in Palo Alto.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk and his staff are meeting Wednesday with California Governor Gavin Newsom and touring Tesla's new engineering headquarters. As the pandemic hit in March 2020, Musk and state officials clashed over reopening the Tesla plant in Fremont, California. In 2021, following repeated threats to leave the state, Musk moved Tesla's headquarters to Austin, Texas. Since then, Musk has made his political stance clear, characterizing California as a one-party state that is burdened with overregulation and high taxes. Tesla said it had 47,000 employees in California in 2022, according to a January 2023 blog post.
"Overall, some weakness indicated by the report ... probably caused markets to pare back some of the interest rate rises pencilled in for the RBA rate hikes." Meanwhile, U.S. retail sales rebounded sharply in January after two straight monthly declines, driven by purchases of motor vehicles and other goods, the U.S. Commerce Department said on Wednesday. There's very strong labour market data coming through, and the consumers are well supported," said Jarrod Kerr, chief economist at Kiwibank. The retail sales data came just a day after U.S. figures showed inflation slowing but still sticky. This added to signs that further hefty BoE interest rate hikes are unlikely.
U.S. retail sales rebound strongly in January
  + stars: | 2023-02-15 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
The Commerce Department said on Wednesday that retail sales surged 3.0% last month. Some cautioned against reading too much into the jump in retail sales. The so-called seasonal adjustment factors likely flattered retail sales in January. Retail sales are mostly goods and are not adjusted for inflation. Excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services, retail sales increased 1.7% last month.
SummarySummary Companies Retail sales up 3% in Jan vs. est. A Commerce Department report showed retail sales surged 3% in January, driven by purchases of motor vehicles and other goods. "These numbers (retail sales) beat consensus by a long shot and it just shows that the consumer is still in a good spot," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York. Of the more than half of the S&P 500 firms that have reported results so far, nearly 70% have topped profit expectations, as per Refinitiv data. ET, Dow e-minis were down 82 points, or 0.24%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 11.25 points, or 0.27%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 25.5 points, or 0.2%.
London CNN —Amazon’s Zoox driverless transportation company has started testing its robotaxi on open public roads — with employees on board, for now. The company said Monday that it conducted an initial run of its shuttle service for workers at its headquarters in Foster City, California on February 11, a key step in its efforts to make autonomous vehicles widely available. Full-time employees will now be able to travel in the self-driving taxi on the route between Zoox’s two main office buildings. Zoox, which was founded in 2014 and purchased by Amazon in 2020, is unique in its approach to designing electric self-driving vehicles. But Zoox has ditched the steering wheel and brake pedal, claiming those features are unnecessary when there’s no human driver.
Amazon -owned autonomous vehicle venture Zoox said on Monday that it is now testing its self-driving robotaxis on public roads in California with passengers on board. Zoox executives said the company began the tests after it received approval from the California Department of Motor Vehicles last week. Zoox said one of its vehicles completed a test run with employees on board over the weekend. Zoox unveiled its custom-built, electric robotaxi in 2020, with an eye on offering on-demand autonomous transportation in urban settings. It will continue to test the vehicle with employees and expects to launch a shuttle service for staffers this spring.
A Super Bowl ad showed a Tesla slamming into two child-sized mannequins and a stroller. Tesla CEO Elon Musk said the ad would raise awareness a Tesla could drive itself while supervised. The 30-second ad was created by The Dawn Project, an organization that campaigns to ban what it calls "unsafe software." The Dawn Project says the ad shows tests it performed with a Tesla using the company's Full Self Driving (FSD) feature. On its website, The Dawn Project says Tesla's FSD software is "not safe for public roads."
A video showing illegal dirt bikes crushed under a bulldozer in New York in June 2022 has been shared by social media users who have falsely claimed it shows an incident carried out in Lagos under the orders of Nigerian presidential candidate Bola Tinubu. “This is how Tinubu and his boys destroyed motorcycles owned by northerners in Lagos, time for payback is here. On June 21, 2022, the New York Police Department bulldozed illegal dirt bikes it had confiscated in New York City. The New York City Council enacted a bill in 2017 which “prohibits the operation of all-terrain vehicles [ATVs], including dirt bikes in New York City, unless given consent by the property owner” (here). Footage shows illegal dirt bikes destroyed in New York, not Lagos, Nigeria.
The trade deficit increased 10.5% to $67.4 billion, the Commerce Department said on Tuesday. The trade deficit widened to a record $948.1 billion in 2022 from $845.0 billion in 2021. Consumer goods exports fell $1.0 billion, but food exports rose $0.7 billion. A smaller trade deficit was one of the contributors to the economy's 2.9% annualized growth pace in the fourth quarter. "The economy isn't floundering, but it is unlikely to pick up much speed looking at today's trade deficit data."
Morning bid: No safety net?
  + stars: | 2023-01-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
"I just think we need to keep going," Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said. And many forecasters are now wary the Fed will err on the side of tighter policy to ensure inflation is slayed. Markets wobbled on the prospect on Wednesday, with the S&P500 (.SPX) staging its biggest decline of the year so far. At 3.32%, 10-year U.S. Treasury yields fell to their lowest since September. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
The earlier sell-off in the dollar came after the Bank of Japan maintained ultra-low interest rates. In afternoon trading, the U.S. currency rose against the commodity-linked currencies such as the Australian, New Zealand, and Canadian dollars, which sensitive to risk appetite. The Australian dollar fell 0.7% to US$0.6936, after hitting its highest since August last year. In Japan, the BOJ kept intact its yield curve control (YCC) targets, set at -0.1% for short-term interest rates and around 0% for the 10-year yield, by a unanimous vote. The dollar rose as much as 2.7% to 131.58 yen before gains were pared.
The second straight monthly decrease in retail sales, which are mostly goods, is undercutting production at factories. Retail sales plummeted 1.1% last month, the biggest drop since December 2021. REUTERS/Jeenah Moon 1 2Retail salesMANUFACTURING OUTPUT FALLSExcluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services, retail sales fell 0.7% last month. The weakness in core retail sales is likely to be offset by anticipated gains in services spending. The government reported last week that monthly consumer prices fell for the first time in more than 2-1/2 years in December.
[1/2] A man arranges produce at Best World Supermarket in the Mount Pleasant neighborhood of Washington, D.C., U.S., August 19, 2022. The consumer price index dipped 0.1% last month after gaining 0.1% in November, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Gasoline prices fell 12.5% in December, according to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Prices for used cars and trucks are also declining as the supply of motor vehicles improves. Part of the surprise drop in claims reflects challenges adjusting the data for seasonal fluctuations at the start of the year.
A US agency is examining a tweet from Elon Musk about possibly disabling a driver-monitoring feature. Tesla's FSD has a feature that reminds beta testers to apply pressure to the steering wheel. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) is examining a tweet from Elon Musk regarding an update to Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) software, a spokesperson told Insider. FSD is an add-on to Tesla's Autopilot driver assist program. Tesla's FSD software has faced criticism in the past.
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