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☆ Stocks are in a sweet spot but bears still fear a bubble is near bursting. Here's what 5 forecasters are saying about a potential crash.
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-16 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Here's what five forecasters have to say about the latest rally — and why they think the stock market is headed for a fall. In 2009, he wrote a book predicting a stock market crash and ensuing economic depression, which he said could last for 10 years or more. The research firm is predicting the S&P 500 could see a steep correction following a rally to 6,500. Yet, that could end up being an excellent opportunity for investors who are diversified in other areas of the market, Bernstein said. AdvertisementTypically, there are eight warning signs of a market bubble forming, and six of them have already flashed, the bank said.

Persons: Stocks, —, haven't, Harry Dent Stocks, Harry Dent, Dent, John Higgins, Higgins, John Hussman, Hussman, Richard Bernstein, Bernstein Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Apple, Nvidia, Fox Business Network, Stocks, Capital Economics, John Hussman Elite, UBS

☆ The unloved stock market rally: Why so many investors find it hard to embrace this run to records
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-15 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The S & P 500 has made an all-time high on nearly thirty days this year, four of them this past week. The main S & P is up more than 3% in the second quarter while its median stock is off 5% quarter to date. .SPX mountain 2024-03-29 S & P 500 quarter to date The S & P 500 has added $5.5 trillion in market capitalization in 2024, with roughly half kicked in by the Big Three. Wall Street strategists as a group project no upside for the S & P 500 in the second half , their average and median targets both below Friday's closing level. The weekly American Association of Individual Investors survey shows the spread between bulls and bears narrowing lately even with the S & P grinding higher.

Persons: we've, FANG, That's, It's, Jerome Powell's, Chris Verrone, I've Organizations: Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Investment, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Citi U.S, CPI, Fed, American Association of

☆ The good economic news this week was just that … good news
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-15 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN —“Good news is bad news” has been a common refrain for a while now. When economic reports are released that are solid, they have all too often been clouded with concerns that good news for the economy actually means a longer wait before the Federal Reserve rolls out rate cuts. Inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index cooled more than expected in May, with prices holding flat on the month for the first time since July 2022. The markets don’t seem to be buying the one-cut plan, especially after the Producer Price Index on Thursday showed that wholesale prices fell from April to May and the BLS’ Import and Export Price Index showed that US imports prices fell 0.4% in May after rising 0.9% in April. And more good news is likely on the way this next week and later this month, Brusuelas said.

Persons: CNN —, ”, Joe Brusuelas, —, ” Brusuelas, spoilsport, Price, ” Chris Rupkey, “, ” Rupkey, Brusuelas Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, RSM US, New York Fed, National Federation of Independent, Consumer, Index, BLS, Price, FwdBonds, CPI, PPI

☆ 'I don't like Apple': Why one veteran portfolio manager is steering clear of the tech giant
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | In Amala-Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Tech giant Apple has made headlines this week following its artificial intelligence announcements — but one market watcher is unimpressed. "I do not like Apple," Paul Meeks, co-chief investment officer at Harvest Portfolio Management told CNBC's "Street Signs Asia" on Tuesday — while acknowledging that many people disagree with him. Apple's shares reacted positively to the announcement, surging 7% to close at a record high on Tuesday. Shares in the tech giant are up over 10% year-to-date and 16% in the past 12 months. AAPL YTD mountain Year-to-date shares in Apple Meeks, however, maintains his bearish stance on Apple.

Persons: Paul Meeks, CNBC's, —, wearables, Siri, OpenAI's ChatGPT, Apple Meeks, Meeks Organizations: Tech, Apple, Portfolio Management, Wall

☆ Oil prices could drop to $60 per barrel in 2025 as world faces 'substantial surplus,' Citi says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-13 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

OPEC+ members recently announced plans to bring 2.5 million bpd back to the market from October through September 2025. If the group follows through with its announced plan, the oil market will see a surplus of 2.6 million bpd or more. Deutsche Bank analyst Michael Hsueh said the OPEC+ production plan will cast a bearish shadow over the next two years . It is "inconceivable that the market could absorb anything close" to 2.5 million bpd, Hsueh said. The International Energy Agency warned Wednesday the world will be awash in oil by 2030, with production capacity outpacing demand projections by eight million bpd.

Persons: Brent, Michael Hsueh, Hsueh, Fatih Birol Organizations: Citi, Brent, Deutsche Bank, United Arab Emirates, TD Securities, International Energy Agency Locations: OPEC, North America, Brazil, Guyana, U.S

☆ There's trouble brewing in the financial sector, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-13 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The financial sector, along with other value-oriented sectors, is beginning to significantly underperform the major equity benchmarks over the last six weeks. We'll share a potential short candidate, close to breaking down through a key support level that could indicate much further downside to come. First, let's visualize the relative performance of the financial sector, along with three other value sectors that have all shown deterioration since April. In searching through the financial sector for an actionable chart to play potential downside, I discovered that Progressive Corp. (PGR) is showing all the signs of a bearish rotation. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: PGR, I'm, David Keller Organizations: Progressive Corp, Progressive, PGR, CMT

The firm upgraded the ingredients maker to buy from neutral but lowered its price target to $48 per share from $50. "Though these items might not help earnings until 2025, we believe visibility surrounding them could improve in coming months and send the share price higher," he added. Lovallo has a $198 price target for Lennar, reflecting 30.1% in upside. Analyst Raimo Lenschow upgraded the marketing automation stock to overweight from equal weight and upped his price target by $4 to $29. Singlehurst raised her price target to $58 from $54.20, but the new forecast implies nearly 2% downside from Tuesday's close.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Thomas Palmer, — Brian Evans, Edward Jones, Logan Purk, — Jesse Pound, John Lovallo, Lovallo, — Alex Harring, Oppenheimer, Colin Rusch, Rusch, Alex Bradley, Alex Harring, Raimo Lenschow, Lenschow, Wells, Steven Cahall, Wedbush, Michael Pachter, Pachter, Keith Gill, Piper Sandler, Valvoline Piper Sandler, Peter Keith, Keith, VVV's algo, hasn't, Will Gaertner, Gaertner, Morgan Stanley, Mark Murphy, Keith Weiss, Brent Bracelin, Louise Singlehurst, Singlehurst, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Analysts, Citi, Diamond Green Diesel, AMD, Devices, Nvidia, UBS, Lennar, KB, Barclays, Wells Fargo, Paramount, GameStop, Products, LSEG, Google, AI, JPMorgan, Oracle Locations: California, Tuesday's, VVV, reaccelerate, ORCL

☆ Oil prices rise as supply-demand balance expected to tighten in third quarter
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-12 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Crude oil futures rose Wednesday as traders bet on tightening supplies later in the year. Fuel demand increased by 94,000 bpd to about nine million bpd total. The investment bank sees a 1.2 million bpd deficit in the third quarter, which could push Brent prices to $86 per barrel. OPEC, meanwhile, stuck to its demand growth forecast of 2.2 million bpd due to solid global economic growth of 2.8% this year. Those forecasts clashed with a bearish outlook from the International Energy Agency, which sees weakening demand and rising supplies.

Persons: Martijn, Morgan Stanley, Brent Organizations: Department of Energy, U.S, Oil, Federal Reserve, International Energy Agency Locations: U.S

☆ Apple will continue to struggle without a large acquisition: Paul Meeks
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailApple will continue to struggle without a large acquisition: Paul MeeksPaul Meeks of Harvest Portfolio Management remains bearish on Apple and says the company's announcements at Worldwide Developers Conference were "as expected."

Persons: Paul Meeks Paul Meeks Organizations: Apple, Worldwide Developers

☆ Apple's main challenge is that AI isn't ready for prime time: Analyst
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailApple's main challenge is that AI isn't ready for prime time: AnalystTom Forte of Maxim Group remains bearish on Apple and questions how long the company can continue to generate half its revenue from a single product.

Persons: Tom Forte Organizations: Maxim, Apple

☆ Oil prices little changed as OPEC sticks to demand and steady economic growth forecasts
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Crude oil futures were little changed Tuesday as OPEC stuck to its demand forecasts, counting on steady economic growth this year. Oil prices rallied more than 2% Monday and have now recovered most of the losses from last week. The market had sold-off to four month lows after OPEC+ decided to increase crude production in October. Here are today's energy prices:OPEC is projecting oil demand growth of 2.2 million barrels per day for 2024 and 1.8 million bpd in 2025, according to the group's monthly report. The oil producers see global economic growth of 2.8% this year and 2.9% in 2025.

Persons: John Evans, Evans Organizations: OPEC Locations: OPEC

☆ JPMorgan's equity strategist says stocks are ignoring 'abundant' risks, sees maybe one Fed cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The outlook for stocks looks dour as the chances of Federal Reserve rate cuts decrease and risks abound, according to JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic. Indeed, the S & P 500 initially ripped higher on Friday after the data was released but closed along the flatline for the day. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD Against this backdrop, the strategist reiterated his "defensive tilt," staying overweight commodities and cash and being underweight stocks. JPMorgan is the most bearish firm out of all those surveyed by CNBC PRO with an S & P 500 target of 4,200. The S & P 500 closed Monday at 5,360.79.

Persons: JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic, Dow Jones, Kolanovic Organizations: Equity, Labor Department, Dow, Investors, JPMorgan, CNBC PRO Locations: U.S

☆ A way to play the emerging AI enthusiasm in cybersecurity stocks using options
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

As the AI bubble turns into a mania and AI shifts to the cloud, many companies can benefit indirectly from this boom. Since that stock has already hit new highs, I am looking to participate in this sympathy move by using another cybersecurity darling, Palo Alto Networks (PANW) , as a proxy trade. A bullish price momentum accompanied by an increasing RSI indicates the strength of the move. The trade To bet bullish on PANW, the trade structure I have used here is called a "bull call spread". BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: CrowdStrike, bullish, PANW, Jay Powell's Organizations: Alto Networks Locations: PANW

☆ There's a stock market crash coming in 2025 as the 'bubble of all bubbles' bursts, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The US is poised to see an epic stock market crash next year, according to Harry Dent. AdvertisementThe stock market could be in for a steep correction, resulting in a crash even worse than what investors saw during the Great Financial Crisis, according to economist Harry Dent. "Hero" stocks, like chipmaker Nvidia, could drop as much as 98%, he said, implying a multi-trillion market crash. "We've got to see a crash of about 40% to say, okay, the bubble's finally let off the steam. "This is really the second tech bubble version," he added, referring to the dot-com bubble in the 2000s."

Persons: Harry Dent, —, Dent, We've, " Dent Organizations: Service, Harvard Business School, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Fox Business Network

☆ Reflecting on a bad market call 25 years ago reminds me to look for what can go right
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-09 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

When your job is to write a commentary about the stock market you start with a blank Word document. I bring up this mortifying moment because it reminds me of what happens if you write to extreme. No, nobody's saying, "How wrong Cramer can be, just watch the collapse that occurs now." As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim Cramer on Squawk on the Street, June 30, 2022.

Persons: Cramer, Karen Cramer, bullish, that's, Bob Dylan, Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Squawk, Virginia Sherwood Organizations: Cramer & Co, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Water, Hamptons, CNBC Locations: Water, New York City, John

☆ It may be time to take profits in this outperforming bank stock, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Shares of Citigroup (C) have far outpaced the major equity benchmarks in 2024, gaining around 22% year-to-date versus the S & P 500's 13%. Soon after, the stock broke above its 40-week moving average, validating the strength of the rally off the October low. Then in February 2024, the stock pushed above the 150-week moving average, validating the strength and persistence of the uptrend phase. The weekly PPO indicator has since registered a sell signal, indicating that the previous uptrend phase is likely terminated. But a failure to regain the 50-day moving average in early June would mean the previous uptrend phase is most likely exhausted.

Persons: David Keller Organizations: Citigroup, RSI, CMT

☆ 3 catalysts could spark a 10% sell-off in the stock market this summer, according to JPMorgan
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The May jobs report could spark a bearish narrative change in the stock market. AdvertisementA 10% sell-off in the stock market is possible this summer after a massive year-to-date rally, according to JPMorgan. "The combination of earnings season stock performance and narrowing market breadth points to a market that needs a new set of catalysts and/or reassurance about the prevailing market narrative," JPMorgan said. "Momentum unwind"The bulk of the stock market's recent gains have been driven by momentum, with tech stocks leading the advance. AdvertisementJPMorgan said a jobs report below 50,000 to 75,000 range or above the 250,000 to 300,000 range could spark a narrative change and hurt stock prices.

Persons: — Organizations: JPMorgan, Service

☆ Nvidia stock has another 24% to climb as it looks poised to dominate the computing market for the next decade, Bank of America says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The bank reiterated its $1,500 price target this week, implying another 24% upside for the stock. Nvidia will continue to dominate the computing market in the next upgrade cycle, the bank said. BofA strategists have a 12-month price target of $1,500 a share, implying another 24% upside from where the stock was trading late Thursday morning. Vivek Arya, a senior semiconductor analyst for the bank, added that he believed the stock would dominate the computer market for the next decade. Nvidia stock undergo a 10-for-1 split on Friday, a move that could be a catalyst for further gains as a lower share price helps draw more attention from retail investors.

Persons: —, Jensen Huang, Vivek Arya, Ayra Organizations: Bank of America, Nvidia, Service, AMD, Intel, Yahoo Finance, Wall Street, Apple

☆ Branch Global's Greg Branch is still bearish on the market
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBranch Global's Greg Branch is still bearish on the marketGreg Branch, Branch Global Advisors founder, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss markets, the Fed and being bearish on the market.

Persons: Greg Branch Organizations: Branch Global Advisors

☆ OPEC+ policy shift 'casts a bearish shadow' over oil prices for next two years, Deutsche Bank says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The decision by OPEC+ to increase oil production will cast a "bearish shadow" over oil prices for the next two years, creating a level of uncertainty not seen since the pandemic severely disrupted demand, according to Deutsche Bank. It is "inconceivable that the market could absorb anything close" to 2.2 million bpd, Deutsche Bank analyst Michael Hsueh told clients in a note Wednesday. The supply increase is similar in magnitude to the 2.3 million bpd oversupply during the first year of the pandemic in 2020, Hsueh wrote. The policy shift by OPEC+ "marks the end of the tightening cycle that began in October 2022," Hsueh said. The supply deficit of 500,000 bpd this quarter will rise to 1 million bpd in the third quarter before the OPEC+ production increases start, according to Deutsche.

Persons: Michael Hsueh, Hsueh, Goldman Sachs, Brent Organizations: OPEC, Deutsche Bank ., Deutsche Bank, TD Securities, Deutsche, Brent Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC, Mexico, U.S

☆ Oil slips for sixth consecutive day on big builds in U.S. oil, fuel stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

U.S. crude oil, gasoline and distillate stocks rose last week, according to sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures. API figures showed crude stocks rose by more than 4 million barrels in the week ended May 31, against analysts' forecasts for a 2.3 million-barrel decline in a Reuters poll. Gasoline stocks also rose more than 4 million barrels, which was a much bigger build than the 2 million-barrel increase analysts had expected. Rising U.S. stocks could weigh heavily on investor sentiment around oil demand. Data for last week reflects fuel usage around the Memorial Day holiday, closely watched as it marks the start of U.S. driving season.

Persons: Tim Evans Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, American Petroleum Institute, U.S . Energy, Administration Locations: OPEC, U.S

☆ S&P 500 to correct by 10% by end of September, so get defensive, Stifel says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-04 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Investors should position themselves defensively as the S & P 500 could drop about 10% before the end of September, according to Stifel Financial. That would mark a more than 10% decline from where the S & P 500 finished Monday's trading session. The S & P 500 closed out 2023 at about 4,770. That can, in turn, push the S & P 500 price-to-earnings multiple down by about two points, weighing on the stock market. Discounted for inflation, the S & P 500 is slightly below where it was about two and a half years ago.

Persons: Barry Bannister, Bannister Organizations: Financial, Central, Federal Reserve, Federal

☆ OPEC+ decision to increase oil supply is a 'bearish surprise' for the market, Goldman says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-04 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The detailed plan laid out by OPEC+ over the weekend to increase oil production delivered a "bearish surprise" to a market in which prices were already under downward pressure, according to Goldman Sachs. OPEC+ plan difficult to reverse The OPEC+ members said the production increases are subject to market conditions and could be reversed. Struyven described OPEC's forecast as "very bullish," with Goldman forecasting demand growth of 1.5 million bpd in 2024. Market could deteriorate in 2025 The oil market will remain in balance or in a slight deficit for the time being, according to Ryan McKay, senior commodity strategist at TD Securities. Yet those cuts have failed to limit shale oil production in the U.S., Lipow said.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Brent, WTI, Daan Struyven, Bob Yawger, Yawger, Helima Croft, Goldman's Struyven, Andrew Lipow, Struyven, Lipow, Ryan McKay, McKay, Daan Organizations: West Texas Intermediate, Goldman, OPEC, Mizuho Securities, CNBC, RBC Capital Markets, Lipow Oil Associates, TD Securities, JPMorgan Locations: OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, U.S, Brazil, Guyana, Norway, Senegal, Persian, Arabian

☆ What slumping oil prices mean for our stake in Coterra Energy
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-04 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

U.S. crude prices fell for the fifth straight day Tuesday, but we remain committed to our lone oil-and-gas stock in Coterra Energy . Elevated oil prices have, as a result, pressured discretionary spending and corporate margins. If we get that, then we should see lower oil prices and sustained buying power along with a healthy environment for business investments. And yet we still see reason to stick with Coterra Energy. Indeed, analysts at Citigroup published a research note Tuesday exploring potential takeover targets for Devon Energy, another ex-Club oil stock.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, we've, Coterra, It's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Brandon Bell Organizations: Coterra, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, Coterra Energy, ConocoPhillips, Exxon Mobil, ex, Natural Resources, Citigroup, Devon Energy, CNBC, Getty Locations: Coterra Energy, U.S, Gaza, OPEC, Devon, Grandfalls , Texas

☆ JPMorgan's bearish quant guru says the meme-stock resurgence is a bad sign for markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-04 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The resurgence in meme-stocks is a bad sign for the broader stock market. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe resurgence in meme stocks is a bad sign for the stock market, according to JPMorgan chief global markets strategist Marko Kolanovic. A peak in speculative trading activity could spell trouble for the broader stock market down the road. Though one barometer of speculative trading, FINRA margin debt, has yet to eclipse its February 2021 peak of $935 billion.

Persons: Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, — Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Chicago PMI, GameStop, AMC Entertainment Locations: Chicago

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