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And so does the broader US economy: Economic growth this year has been solid and the Atlanta Fed is projecting that growth hasn’t slipped. “The labor market is cooling, but it’s not getting soft. A slowing job market is also playing a role in nudging the Fed to ease borrowing costs. Translation: The recent weakness in the job market could result in American shoppers curbing their spending more than expected. A big question mark is the future of America’s job market, which is a key driver of the US economy.
Persons: Washington CNN —, , Jerome Powell, , “ Powell, Seema Shah, hasn’t, ” Tom Porcelli, it’s, Powell, cooldown, ” Powell, aren’t, they’re, , “ There’s, Elizabeth Renter Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal, Fed, Markets, Asset Management, Atlanta Fed, Treasury, CNN, Walmart, America’s Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, nudging
Inflation relief was palpable this week, with both the producer price index and consumer price index reinforcing that inflation is trending down. .SPX 1M mountain S & P 500 Index over the past month. S & P 500 earnings growth of 10% is expected in 2024, and 15% growth is seen for 2025. True, revenue growth hasn't been as strong, and much of the reason earnings are holding up is cost cutting. Growth is slowing, but no recession is apparent Interest rate cuts coming and earnings are still holding up.
Persons: It's, John David Rainey Organizations: Walmart, American Association of, Bulls, Atlanta Fed, CNBC
CNBC Daily Open: Wall Street surges; Starbucks ousts CEO
  + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Economic uncertainty Home Depot exceeded quarterly expectations but lowered its full-year sales outlook , citing weak demand due to high interest rates and consumer uncertainty. Get the CNBC Daily Open report in your inbox every morning and keep up to date with the markets wherever you are. The baristas have to be energised, clearly they've had some union problems, clearly they've had a lot of new products that haven't worked," Palmer told CNBC "Squawk on the Street." Chief Financial Officer Richard McPhail told CNBC, "Customers aren't just deferring because of higher financing costs.
Persons: Richard McPhail, Laxman Narasimhan, Brian Niccol, Narasimhan, Mellody Hobson, Narasimhan —, Niccol, David Palmer, they've, haven't, Palmer, Sarat Sethi, CNBC's, Sethi, , Sarah Min, Amelia Lucas, Brian Evans, Samantha Subin, Jennifer Elias, Jeff Cox, Spencer Kimball Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Jefferies, Google, Apple, Gemini, Evercore ISI, Depot, Douglas, Lane & Associates, McDonald's, Starbucks, Walmart Locations: New York City, China
In today's big story, it's out with the old and in with the new CEO at Starbucks. Starbucks announced CEO Laxman Narasimhan was stepping down after less than two years on the job . Chipotle CEO Brian Niccol was tapped to lead Starbucks' turnaround efforts. In the release announcing the news , Howard Schultz, Starbucks' chairman emeritus and three-time CEO, made no mention of Narasimhan in his statement. At Starbucks, Niccol won't need to navigate a brand crisis like he did with Chipotle in the wake of its E. coli outbreak.
Persons: , he's Benjamin Button'd, Chelsea Jia Feng, Laxman Narasimhan, Brian Niccol, it's, Grace Dean, Howard Schultz, Narasimhan, Ryan Miller, Rebecca Zisser, Alex Bitter, It's, we've, Katie Notopoulos, Tyler Le, Joe Quinlan, Berkshire Hathaway, Goldman Sachs, Greg Tuorto, Josh Edelson, Justin Sullivan, Timo Lenzen, Mercedes, unmotivated, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock Organizations: Service, Starbucks, Business, Elliott Management, Orange County Museum of Art, Taco Bell, Merrill, Bank of America Private Bank, Getty, BI, Benz, Mercedes, Dolce, Gabbana, Walmart, Walgreens, Cisco Systems, UBS Locations: Chelsea, Narasimhan, Mexican, Berkshire, AFP, Dubai, Miami, New York, London
Read previewDealmakers have always been the stars of private equity. AdvertisementKevin Desai, partner and private equity sector leader at PwC PWCBut in the current climate, portfolio-operations professionals are gaining esteem. AdvertisementPrivate equity 3.0Rising interest rates nearly two and a half years ago ushered in a new economic reality that hit private equity firms right in the pocket. Since private equity relies on debt to boost returns, the first option is off the table. These people are taking their talents to private equity firms to manage smaller companies using an already proven playbook for technological transformation.
Persons: , you've, Marc Rowan, Rowan, Kevin Desai, Desai, I've, What's, they're, quants, we've Organizations: Service, Business, PricewaterhouseCoopers, University of Chicago, Walmart, Nike, Harvard Business Locations: dealmaking
The home improvement retailer said it now expects full-year comparable sales to decline by 3% to 4% compared to the prior fiscal year. It had previously expected comparable sales, a metric that takes out the impact of store openings and closures and other one-time factors, to decline about 1%. Total sales are expected to increase between 2.5% and 3.5% including a 53rd week in the fiscal year and approximately $6.4 billion in sales from SRS. In an interview with CNBC, Chief Financial Officer Richard McPhail said Home Depot has contended with consumers who have a "deferral mindset" since the middle of 2023. It marked the seventh consecutive quarter of negative comparable sales at Home Depot.
Persons: Richard McPhail, They've, McPhail, Jerome Powell, , Robert Hum Organizations: CNBC, LSEG, Depot, Target, Home Depot, Consumers, Federal Reserve Locations: Florida Keys, United States, U.S
Unlike regular shoppers, delivery workers who pick up orders at stores usually have to shop and deliver their orders on a deadline. Gig delivery workers in most states are paid for each order that they deliver. Spokespeople for Walgreens and CVS previously told BI that the chains started locking up products based on shoplifting trends at specific stores. The shopper told BI that they pressed a button on the shelf to request help from an employee, but no one showed up after several minutes. AdvertisementDo you work for Instacart, DoorDash, Uber Eats, or another gig delivery service and have a story idea to share?
Persons: , Instacart, Uber Organizations: Service, CVS, Walmart, Business, Retailers, Walgreens, Representatives Locations: An Ohio, Ohio, The Ohio, Nevada, Idaho
During the sell-off, strategists at Goldman Sachs recommended buying the dip in US stocks, albeit carefully, as they reiterated their year-end S&P 500 price target of 5,600. Economically sensitive stocks have lagged defensives by at least 5 percentage points in a single week 12 times since 2000, according to Goldman Sachs. "Despite the weak jobs report, our economists believe continued economic expansion is far more likely than recession," Kostin wrote. Goldman Sachs found that those micro factors explained 86% of stock returns in the first half of 2024, versus the long-term average of 57%. Fewer worries about the near-term economic outlook mean stocks will no longer trade in lockstep — a win for active investors.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, abate, lockstep — Organizations: Service, Goldman, Business, Institute of Supply, Walmart Locations: Japan, lockstep, Monday's
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe consumer 'paused' in July, low-end consumer is weakening, says JPMorgan's Chris HorversChris Horvers, JPMorgan analyst, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk what to expect from Walmart earnings and other retail trades.
Persons: Chris Horvers Chris Horvers Organizations: JPMorgan, Walmart
watch nowThe PPI report, seen as a gauge of wholesale inflation, showed prices up just 0.2% in July and about 2.2% from a year ago. Still, investors are looking for the Fed at its September meeting to start cutting interest rates, considering that inflation is weakening and so is the labor market. Another benign inflation report "makes the Fed completely comfortable that they can shift their focus away from inflation and toward labor," said Tom Porcelli, chief U.S. economist at PGIM Fixed Income. There are cracks forming in the labor market backdrop." "I'm as curious about [Wednesday's] inflation report as anyone else, but I think it would take a real outlier to change the Fed's tune from 1) shifting to labor as its focus, and 2) seriously thinking about cutting in September," Porcelli said.
Persons: Jim Baird, Plante, Baird, Dow Jones, there's, Tom Porcelli, Porcelli Organizations: Walmart, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Financial Advisors, PPI, Fed, Traders
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe are in a consumer discretionary recession, says TD Cowen's Oliver ChenOliver Chen, TD Cowen senior retail analyst, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss key retail earnings from Walmart and Home Depot this week, what to expect from the retail giants, state of the consumer, and more.
Persons: Cowen's Oliver Chen Oliver Chen, TD Cowen Organizations: Walmart
Morgan Stanley's preference for defensive quality stocks has only increased since June, even as major U.S. indexes have continued to reach new highs. Wilson highlighted his stock screen of quality and defensive names, which are long ideas with overweight ratings from the firm's analysts that are also in the top 1,000 universe by market cap. Take a look at some of Morgan Stanley's favorite names below: AbbVie made the cut as one of the firm's top quality and defensive stocks. Analysts surveyed by FactSet have a price target on AbbVie shares that suggest just 3.2% upside from its latest close. Other Morgan Stanley defensive and quality favorites include consumer discretionary names Walmart and Lowe's .
Persons: Morgan, Michael Wilson, Wilson, Morgan Stanley's, AbbVie, Northrop Grumman, Morgan Stanley, Kristine Liwag, Brian Nowak, Meta Organizations: Public Service Enterprise Group, Northrop Grumman, Federal, Aerospace, U.S, Walmart
There is plenty of cause for concern in the US consumer economy right now, but it's not all bad news. As some companies struggle with the shift, others like Walmart, Target, and TJX are poised to do well. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe US consumer economy is in a weird place right now and there is no shortage of reasons to be concerned about it.
Persons: it's, Organizations: Walmart, Target, Service, Business
Morgan Stanley has added three new high-quality defensive stocks to its "Fresh Money Buy List." AdvertisementMorgan Stanley expanded its list of recommended equities with three high-quality stocks, as the bank veer further into defensive positioning. These names could help shield against ongoing macro uncertainty, which Morgan Stanley does not expect will resolve anytime soon. Morgan Stanley holds an Overweight rating on the company, with a price target of $211 per share. (3) Northrop GrummanNOC, the defense and aerospace company, joined Morgan Stanley's list as a premium equity for exposure to industrials.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, , Consumer Staples, Wilson, Public Service Enterprise Group Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's Organizations: Service, Federal, Healthcare, Consumer, Public Service Enterprise Group, Northrop Grumman NOC, Verizon, Walmart Locations: Real
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Monday said a variety of companies, to their detriment, won't admit they're hurting due to certain ongoing economic trends. "If they'd just own up, I think they'd earn a lot of credibility for themselves, leading to higher stock prices down the line. Cramer pointed to Jack Daniels maker Brown-Forman , which missed estimates during its most recent quarter and is down about 23% year to date. Cramer also mentioned peer spirit company Diageo , which saw sales decline in its most recent quarter and is down more than 14% year to date. According to Cramer, few companies have lowered prices since they raised them during the Covid-19 pandemic.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Jack Daniels, Brown, Forman, they'll Organizations: Diageo, Costco, Walmart, Enterprise
Here are Monday's biggest calls on Wall Street: UBS reiterates Nvidia as buy UBS said it's sticking with Nvidia shares heading into earnings later this month. Wolfe downgrades Qualcomm to peer perform from outperform Wolfe said Apple's internal modem use is finally having an effect on Qualcomm. Jefferies upgrades Par Technology to buy from hold Jefferies said it's bullish on shares of the "pure-play" restaurant tech platform. " Deutsche Bank upgrades Eli Lilly to buy from hold Deutsche upgraded the stock following earnings last week. Bank of America upgrades Churchill Downs to buy from neutral Bank of America said it likes the racing company's growth pipeline.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Disney, it's, Wolfe, Qualcomm, Wedbush, it's bullish, Jefferies, Walmart Evercore, Piper Sandler, Piper, HOOD, Goldman Sachs, Mills, Goldman, Canaccord, Mizuho, Cummins, Wells, PRU, Eli Lilly, Churchill, Jim Anderson Organizations: UBS, Nvidia, RBC, Ardent Health, Ardent Health Partners, Inc, Qualcomm, Jefferies, Technology, Walmart, HSBC, GE Vernova, GE, Micron, MU, Elliott, Bank of America, Liberty Global, underperform Bank of America, Liberty, Prudential, Allstate, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, of America, " Bank of America Locations: Asia, Cupertino, Wells, Churchill
Read previewDrugstores like CVS, Walgreens, and Rite Aid have long been the spots where you can pick up essentials like a can of soup or some Tylenol in addition to your prescriptions. Another appears to show a Rite Aid store with an even wider selection of locked-up merchandise, including tortilla chips and microwavable ramen. Rite Aid did not immediately respond to a request for comment. She said she even avoids taking orders that involve shopping at one particular Walgreens store due to all the locked-up goods there. Do you work at CVS, Walgreens, Rite Aid, or another drugstore chain and have a story idea to share?
Persons: , that's, Neil Saunders, Saunders, Duane Reade, Walgreens execs, Tim Wentworth, GlobalData's Saunders, dreuter@businessinsider.com Organizations: Service, Walgreens, Rite, Business, Global, CVS, Rite Aid, Companies, Walmart, Target Locations: Brooklyn , New York, Nevada
Looking back, quarterly earnings also played a key role in big stock moves for the portfolio. Looking ahead, we'll see an update on some key inflation data, plus a closer look at the state of the housing and retail sectors. ET: Producer Price Index Earnings: Home Depot (HD), Pandora (PANDY), Nu Holdings (NU), Sea Limited (SE) Wednesday, August 14 8:30 a.m. ET: Consumer Price Index Earnings: Tencent Holdings (TCEHY), Cisco (CSCO), UBS (UBS), JD.com (JD) Thursday, August 15 8:30 a.m. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Walt, Jim Cramer, we've, JD.com, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Walt Disney, Microsoft, Ford Motor, Wynn Resorts, DuPont, Devices, Procter, Gamble, Club, Abbott Laboratories, Federal, Traders, Sun Life, Nu Holdings, Sea, Tencent Holdings, Cisco, UBS, Philadelphia Fed, Walmart, Materials, Deere & Co, Ross Stores, Lenovo, Housing, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: U.S, Dover, Wells Fargo, Nextracker, Eaton
U.S. equity futures fell on Sunday evening as investors braced for key inflation data, after almost completely reversing its violent market rout last week. S&P 500 futures dipped 0.08% and Nasdaq 100 futures inched lower by 0.05%. Fear often works in our favor as stock market investors. "Another round of good [inflation] data could help calm fears that the Fed is potentially losing the plot," Cox said. "Retail sales and retailer earnings may show that fears of a job market slowdown are overblown," she added.
Persons: Callie Cox, they'll, Cox Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Ritholtz Wealth Management, CNBC, Walmart
I'm a high school teacher, and I see parents spend way too much on school supplies all the time. Many states have tax-free weekends, and many stores schedule school supply sales for those weekends. As a high school teacher, I often see families overspending and wasting money. Have your school supply list handy as soon as it's released, and pick up the items on sale when you find them. Check with your school for support programsIf money is tight (and even if it's not), check with your school and community to see if there are support programs for school supplies.
Persons: I'm, , there's, it's Organizations: Service, Walmart, Girls
SKIP AHEAD Classroom supplies | Lunch boxes, water bottles and backpacks | Dorm essentials | TechThe best back-to-school supplies from AmazonTo curate a list of the best back-to-school supplies from Amazon, we focused on items that have been recommended to us previously by experts or with a minimum of a 4.0-star average rating. Classroom supplies for back-to-schoolThese notebooks, which have a 4.7-star average rating from over 2,500 reviews on Amazon, come in a set of 6. This pack of pens has a 4.7-star average rating from over 43,000 reviews on Amazon. This case has a 4.7-star average rating from over 12,675 reviews on Amazon. Look no further than this model from Texas Instruments, which has a 4.7-star average rating from 2,556 reviews on Amazon.
Persons: bento, Lindsay Schneider, Keurig, you’ll, Bethany Heitman, TikTok Organizations: Target, Walmart, Amazon, Texas Instruments, NBC, Tech, MacBook, Bluetooth, AA, Kindle, Facebook, Twitter Locations: Amazon, sharpener, Rockland
This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. AdvertisementOver on Reddit, Target workers have posted some big numbers, often topping the 10 miles that caught the attention of Walmart's CFO. one user said on a subreddit for Target workers in July. Healthcare workers topped the list: It said some hospital staffers could reach 60,000 steps, or 30 miles, during a 12-hour shift. A Target spokesperson told Business Insider that while the company did estimate time and distance as part of assigning work, it did not individually track employees' movements throughout the day.
Persons: , John David Rainey, they've Organizations: Service, Business, Apple, US Postal Service, CNBC, Target, Walmart Locations: Reddit, Tennessee
Bank of America is offering up a selection of stocks to help investors sleep soundly during bouts of market volatility. The picks come on the heels of a roller-coaster week for Wall Street. Here are some of the companies that made the list: Several consumer staples stocks showed up, with the S & P 500 sector up more than 11% this year. PG 1M mountain Shares over the last month Lockheed Martin was another low-beta stock that made the cut. Shares of the aerospace and defense company have rallied more than 21%, outperforming the market year to date.
Persons: Stocks, Savita Subramanian, Gamble, Lockheed Martin Organizations: of America, Wall, Bank of America, Walmart, PepsiCo, Procter, Starbucks, Elliott Management, T Bank, Home Depot, Cisco Systems, Consolidated Edison, New Locations: U.S, China, New York
The wildest week of 2024 has investors bracing for more volatility in the week ahead, with key insight on the consumer and inflation coming at a time when recession fears are top of mind. Inflation, labor data Next week's inflation data could get less attention than it has over the past year when the Fed's fight against pricing pressures put inflation reports on center stage. Recently, it's been the labor market getting the most attention. "The market's caring much more about about labor markets and growth, than they do inflation right now," Ladner said. Week ahead calendar All times ET Monday, Aug. 12 2 p.m. Treasury Budget (July) Tuesday, Aug. 13 8:30 a.m. Producer Price Index (July) Earnings: Home Depot Wednesday, Aug. 14 8:30 a.m. Consumer Price Index (July) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Scott Ladner, it's, Ladner, , Strategas, Ryan Grabinski, RJ Assaly, Jeremy Siegel, Chen Zhao, Zhao, Price Organizations: Federal, Walmart, Home, Horizon Investments, Bank of Japan, Wharton, Fed, UBS, Investments, Treasury Budget, Price, Philadelphia Fed, Retail, Manufacturing, Materials, Tapestry, Deere, Co, Housing Locations: U.S, NAHB, Michigan
New York CNN —After a prolonged period of calm, financial markets went into a tailspin this week. One trigger for the selloff was the unraveling of the Japanese yen carry trade. Some investors say there could be more volatility to come, particularly since it’s unclear how much more the yen carry trade could unwind. The carry trade is “enormous. The unwinding of the carry trade and weak labor data came at a delicate time rife with uncertainty for Wall Street.
Persons: Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, , Steve Sosnick, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Dow, Liz Young Thomas Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nikkei, Dow, Nasdaq, Bank of Japan, Companies, Federal Reserve, Investors, CNBC, Interactive Brokers, Markets, Republican, Home Depot, Walmart Locations: New York, Israel, Ukraine, Russia
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