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US banks could face 20% hike to capital requirements - WSJ
  + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
June 5 (Reuters) - U.S. regulators are preparing to tighten rules for large banks, which could raise their capital requirements by 20% on average, the Wall Street Journal reported on Monday, to boost the financial system's resilience after a spate of midsize bank failures this year. Regulators are on track to propose the changes as early as this month, the WSJ reported, citing people familiar with the matter. Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr said the central bank was "carefully considering" rule changes for larger regional banks. The WSJ said that the precise amount of capital requirements will depend on the bank's business, with U.S. megabanks with big trading businesses expected to face the largest increases. Banks such as Morgan Stanley (MS.N) and credit card giant American Express (AXP.N) that are heavily dependent on fee income, such as from investment banking or wealth management, could also face large capital increases, the WSJ said.
Persons: Michael Barr, Banks, Morgan Stanley, Baranjot Kaur, Savio D'Souza Organizations: Wall Street, Regulators, WSJ, U.S, U.S . Federal, Congress, American, American Express, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, U.S ., Bengaluru
Biggest US banks could see 20% boost in capital requirements, Wall Street Journal reports. Midsize regional banks underwent extreme stress earlier this year, with First Republic and two others failing, yet the biggest banks in the US may be the ones hit with tougher regulatory rules. The proposals are expected as soon as this month and will vary based on the bank's businesses, according to the Journal. After the financial crisis of 2007-2008, regulators worldwide sought to bolster banks' capital requirements. And the recent turmoil in the US regional banks only underscored the current strength of the mega banks, suggesting that the focus on increasing capital at the biggest institutions was misplaced.
Persons: JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs –, Banks, Morgan Stanley, Jamie Dimon, Jane Fraser Organizations: Wall Street, Morning, First, Street Journal, Banks, JPMorgan, Federal Reserve, Basel III, Committee, America Locations: First Republic, Basel
Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz says a recession is hurtling toward the US economy. He pointed to stocks falling in lockstep with rising unemployment claims in 2007, 2000, 1990, 1981, 1973, and 1969. Today, investors are again doing a poor job of forecasting rising unemployment claims in the months ahead, Kantrowitz believes. Underpinning Wilson's call is an earnings recession this year that investors aren't pricing in. "We first started talking about the coming earnings recession a year ago and received very strong pushback, just like today.
Persons: Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz, Kantrowitz, Michael Kantrowitz doesn't, Piper Sandler, it's, Louis, Greg Boutle, Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston, Venu Krishna, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Wilson, Albert Edwards Organizations: Energy, Survey, Federal Reserve Bank of St, BNP, Barclays, Conference, Board, National Federal, Independent, of Labor Statistics, Generale's Locations: lockstep
Smaller and regional banks are important for the US financial system. "Regional banks have a combination of regional knowledge and expertise that makes lending more efficient," C. Michael Zabel, a former executive at M&T, the Buffalo-based regional bank, told Dealbook in April. Broadly, regional banks are staring down two main headwinds. In the first quarter, Ally Financial and Goldman Sach's Marcus online bank saw them rise, while regional-bank powerhouses like US Bank, Truist Financial, and Citizens Financial saw deposits fall, according to The Wall Street Journal. The pressure on regional banks hasn't abated yet.
Persons: Goldman Sachs's Marcus, Wells, Michael Zabel, Dealbook, They're, Goldman Sach's Marcus, they've, Bankrate's, we'll, Robert Hockett Organizations: Morning, Citibank, bonanza, Bank, Truist, Citizens, Wall Street, Silicon Valley Bank, First, JPMorgan, Western Alliance ., Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Fed, Bloomberg, Cornell University, CNN Locations: JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, Buffalo, Silicon, First Republic, PacWest, they're, Wall, San Francisco
Premarket stocks: The banking crisis isn't over
  + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
New York CNN —Amid the US debt ceiling turmoil, a potential recession and the upcoming Fed meeting, Wall Street has a lot on its plate. Even as US lawmakers race to prevent a catastrophic default, the lingering effects of the regional banking crisis have not been completely extinguished. CEO Jamie Dimon said that his company’s emergency intervention had ended the immediate turmoil of the banking crisis. The SPDR Regional Banking ETF (KRE), which tracks a number of small and mid-sized bank stocks, is down about 3% so far this month and over 30% lower so far this year. Analysts are concerned that as rates get higher, the borrowing environment becomes tougher for regional banks, hurting their ability to lend.
Persons: New York CNN —, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, , Janet Yellen, ” Fitch, , What’s, Goldman Sachs, Joe Biden, Kevin McCarthy, Biden’s, Matt Egan Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, First Republic Bank, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, JPMorgan, First Republic, Fitch, Governors, Federal Reserve, Banking, PacWest Bancorp, Western Alliance Bancorp, Republican, Treasury Department, CNN, Saudi, Wall Street Journal Locations: New York, Banking, EY, , Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC, China, Vienna
LONDON, May 31 (Reuters) - U.S. domestic banks reported a widespread tightening of lending standards by the end of the first quarter of 2023 - even before the full impact of the regional banking crisis had been felt. The net percentage of domestic banks tightening standards for commercial and industrial (C&I) loans to small businesses with annual sales below $50 million hit +47% at the end of the first quarter. The net percentage tightening small business C&I standards has risen to levels usually associated with recession, based on past results from the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices (SLOOS). Banks are likely pre-empting a slowdown in the business cycle and increase in unemployment, widely expected since late 2022, which will increase defaults. As the price of credit increases and its availability becomes more restricted, the slowdown in small business and household spending will act as another headwind for the economy.
Persons: Banks, John Kemp, Sharon Singleton Organizations: Federal Reserve, Senior, Bank Lending, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S
Big banks are hiring a lot of AI talent, but are having a tough time holding on to it. The difficulty banks have retaining AI talent, however, isn't due to poaching among peers. Banks can lure in AI talentIt's true that big banks have the wherewithal to hire and capitalize on top AI talent and are attractive at the outset to those looking for a new shop. "The AI talent coming to the financial-services industry is almost like supporting the tech talent, if you will," Hirsch said. Big Tech has its own problems right nowTo be sure, banks are snagging from Big Tech too.
Banks are accelerating their AI research and use cases due to the rise of ChatGPT and generative AI. While all six big banks have dedicated AI leaders, no two banks have the same org structure. This year is shaping up to be all about artificial intelligence, and Wall Street is no exception. Banks' priorities and tech strategies can also be gleaned from which divisions have dedicated AI leaders and which don't. Here's a list of 12 of the top AI executives to know at the nation's six biggest banks.
"With loan terms tougher and tighter, the option for private credit providers is on steroids," said Drew Schardt, head of investment strategy at Hamilton Lane, one of the largest investment firms in private markets. Pietrzak sees "attractive" assets in auto and consumer lending. POISED TO GAIN SHAREInvestors providing private credit comprise 12% of the $6.3 trillion U.S. commercial credit market, according to Fitch Ratings. "The tightening of lending standards creates opportunities for private credit to gain share," said Lyle Margolis, Fitch's head of private credit. While private credit funds have grown swiftly, the risks they pose to the financial system appear limited, the Federal Reserve wrote in a report this month.
Jessica Cadmus has been dressing Wall Street's top execs since she worked at Goldman Sachs. But things have changed, and dressing like a rainmaker isn't as simple as it used to be. At least that's how Jessica Cadmus, a personal stylist specializing in dressing Wall Street execs, sees it. Cadmus' past life working for one of Wall Street's most prestigious banks grants her a unique perspective. Cadmus spends her days helping them look both stylish and office appropriate, a task complicated by the move the business casual.
Applications for financial services roles globally rose by 67% in the first quarter of 2023 against the same period last year, according to eFinancialCareers. Britain has already said it will scrap a cap on bank bonuses under plans to attract global financial sector talent. Worries about possible contagion triggered by the frailty of the U.S. regional banking system have also put some bank staff on a quest for more secure employment, sources say. Duncan Finlayson, managing director of the FinTech & Financial Services practice at Raines International, said some wanted meetings with chief financial officers to better understand the financial health of prospective employers. "Without a doubt some of the more established financial services platforms are under more heavy scrutiny," he said.
AI startup cloud deals by Microsoft, Google, and Amazon are ringing "accounting alarm bells" across Silicon Valley over revenue "round-tripping." As Big Tech firms invest in AI startups in exchange for commitments to use their cloud services, some investors question whether those arrangements are artificially inflating cloud revenue growth. A former Apple marketing executive predicts the company's upcoming "Reality" headset risks being "one of the greatest tech flops of all time." How the BookTok phenomenon helped send book sales to an all-time high and reignite a love for reading. Read on to find out more about what you can use the AI app for.
I still need questions for a future mailbag. As Wall Street grapples with how to deploy AI, the executives overseeing the tech are rising in prominence. Bianca mapped out the 12 executives leading AI strategy at Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, and Wells Fargo. Meet the 12 executives leading the AI strategy at the biggest US banks. The bank run on Silicon Valley Bank, which was helped along by social media, has bank executives reconsidering their online presence, Reuters reports.
Greg Becker, the former CEO of Silicon Valley Bank, blamed social media as an "unprecedented" factor in the lender's demise. The former CEO of First Republic Bank, Michael Roffler, also blamed social media for its collapse two months later. Bank executives and directors have ordered their companies to add social media into risk-management programs, according to regional bank executives who declined to be identified because the discussions are private. "NIP IT IN THE BUD"Banks are also contacting customers who complain on social media to address their issues quickly. The Financial Stability Board, an international body, is also investigating the role of social media in recent market turmoil, a source said.
These are the top 10 stocks held in Berkshire Hathaway's $325 billion stock portfolio as of March 31. With various portfolio changes in the first quarter of the year, Berkshire Hathaway's top 10 holdings of US stocks has shifted, though Apple still represents a near 50% of the portfolio. In fact, the top 10 positions in Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio make up a massive 90.2% of its entire portfolio. These are the top 10 stocks held in Berkshire Hathaway's $325 billion US stock portfolio as of March 31. American ExpressCredit cards fill a display at American Express headquarters John Moore/Getty ImagesTicker: AXPPosition: $25.0 billionPercent of portfolio: 7.7%2.
A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, U.S., October 23, 2018. US stock futures rise early Thursday, as investors await the weekly jobless claims report to measure the strength of the labor market. It revealed just a week ago that it already holds $1.5 billion of the world's most popular token. Here are the five bank stocks to bet on now. The tech giant's stock has rallied on its AI efforts, and it surpassed the key threshold for the first time since May 2022.
Banks are accelerating their AI research and use cases due to the rise of ChatGPT and generative AI. While all six big banks have dedicated AI leaders, no two banks have the same org structure. This year is shaping up to be all about artificial intelligence, and Wall Street is no exception. Banks' priorities and tech strategies can also be gleaned from which divisions have dedicated AI leaders and which don't. Here's a list of 12 of the top AI executives to know at the nation's six biggest banks.
Susan Curry is a former analyst and a portfolio manager covering financial firms for Manulife. Bank stocks have been crushed as investors saw several US financial firms fail. Curry says that most banks are in solid financial condition and their stocks look attractive. A 30-year Wall Street veteran, Curry is a former analyst who runs the firm's Capital Appreciation team, is the lead portfolio manager of its Financial Industries strategy, and a portfolio manager of the Bank Opportunities strategy. The leading regional bank positions in the Bank Opportunities Fund that Curry co-manages were M&T Bank, Regions Financial, Citizens Financial, US Bancorp, and KeyCorp.
Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel said the ongoing credit squeeze is equivalent to three or four Fed rate hikes. Siegel urged the Fed to pause its inflation war given tightening credit conditions and the central bank's lagged economic data. "They're in dangerous territory of precipitating a recession," Siegel said. "I actually think the tightening caused by this crisis is equivalent to three or four 25 basis point hikes of the Fed," Siegel said Monday in a Fox Business interview. The Fed has been persistent in its war against inflation, even though price pressures have showed promising signs of cooling.
Morningstar's chief US stock strategist says many regional bank stocks are dramatically oversold. Dave Sekera says a handful of bank stocks can be had for less than half of their fair values. If you haven't heard, bank stocks are having a bad time. The iShares US Regional Banks ETF, which tracks the sector, is down 40% over the last six months. Sekera wrote that earnings for regional banks will continue to decline for the rest of 2023, then start to recover next year.
NEW YORK, May 10 (Reuters) - Federal prosecutors in Washington are looking into short seller activity around the recent volatility in U.S. bank shares sparked by the failure of three regional lenders since March, a source familiar with the matter said. Short sellers arrange to borrow shares they consider overvalued and sell them in the hopes that if the price drops they can repurchase them for less and pocket the difference. Critics say short sellers hurt companies, but short sellers and advocates say they act as an important check on public firms. Since at least 2021, the Justice Department and the SEC have been investigating potential manipulation by short sellers and hedge funds around the publication of negative research reports. The source did not say whether the latest interest in bank stocks was related to that pre-existing probe.
Morning Bid: Markets await US banks' take on credit squeeze
  + stars: | 2023-05-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Wayne Cole. In the meantime, everyone is waiting for the Federal Reserve's Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey, or 'SLOOS', to see just how much lending has tightened given the strife in U.S. regional banks. The last survey out in January showed a combined 44.8% of respondents saw a tightening of standards for large and middle-market firms. It would also be consistent with levels reached before or during the last four recessions - 1990-91, 2001, 2007-09 and early 2020. This week also sees Chinese data on inflation and trade, while G7 finance ministers meet in Niigata, Japan, from Thursday through Saturday.
Survey respondents attributed the changes in lending standards to economic uncertainty, a reduced appetite for risk, deterioration in collateral values and broader concerns about banks’ funding costs and liquidity positions, according to the Fed report. At the time, banks expected that trend of tightening credit, waning demand and deteriorating loan quality would continue. Fed president: Central bank should weigh effectsFederal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee said in an interview with Yahoo! Fed officials, including Chair Powell, have previously noted that credit tightening could act similarly to a rate hike. A ‘salient risk’Separately on Monday, the Fed released its semi-annual Financial Stability Report, which assesses the resilience of the US financial system.
Premarket stocks: This is how the banking crisis ends
  + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Julia Horowitz | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
London CNN —US regional bank stocks look set to rebound Friday but are still down sharply this week, accentuating fears that federal regulators have not yet contained a crisis in the sector that could shake the financial system. Breaking it down: Wall Street is on the hunt for any signs of vulnerability in the banking system after the high-profile demise of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic Bank in a matter of weeks. While authorities stepped in to protect depositors at those banks, investors were left with stocks that were suddenly worthless. “I believe it really only ends after we get some type of government intervention,” Michaud told me. The value of short positions in regional bank stocks reached $15.1 billion in mid-April, up from about $13.7 billion one year ago, according to data from S3 Partners.
Today we're looking at what some of Wall Street's top investors and commentators say has to happen to curb the banking tumult. The shuttered bank had disclosed in its first-quarter earnings report that customers pulled over $100 billion of deposits in three-months. But even if the regulator did insure more money, former FDIC chair Jelena McWilliams said Thursday a move like that would only cost banks' customers more. A stock market portfolio created by ChatGPT is outperforming the top UK investment funds. Stock market investors should keep an eye out for five key indicators with volatility set to ramp up through the end of the year.
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