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Hong Kong/London CNN —Japanese shares soared Tuesday, clawing back some of their record losses from the previous day and underpinning a tentative recovery on global markets. Markets around the world plunged during Monday’s session when a combination of fears about a slowing US economy, rising Japanese interest rates and crumbling tech stocks combined to trigger a meltdown. The bounce in Japan is “typical after a market crash,” Neil Newman, head of strategy at Astris Advisory in Tokyo, told CNN. “It is too early to conclude that the Japanese stock market has hit a bottom,” they said, adding that any recovery would likely only occur after Japanese companies report first-half earnings in October, or even after the US presidential election in November. A stronger yenJapan’s stock market, in particular, was hard-hit by the rapid appreciation of the yen, which undermines the export competitiveness of the country’s manufacturers.
Persons: clawing, Kospi, ” Neil Newman, , , Stephen Innes, ” Newman, Newman, Fumio Kishida Organizations: London CNN, Nikkei, Nasdaq, Advisory, CNN, UBS Chief Investment, Moody’s, Bank of Japan, Management, Tokyo “, Traders, Reuters Locations: Hong Kong, London, Asia, South, Taiwan, Europe, Japan, Tokyo, South Korea
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGoing back to Japanese stocks right now is like catching a falling knife: CIOKelvin Tay from UBS Global Wealth Management argues that the weak Yen is the key driver to Japan's stock market rally the past 2 years. He expects the Yen to strength to 143 against the US dollar which means the selling pressure on Japanese stocks isn't over yet.
Persons: Kelvin Tay Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management
First, when everything is being sold – and just about everything is being sold on Monday – someone is in big trouble. The spillover effect – exacerbated by a Federal Reserve reluctant to cut interest rates even as inflation cools – has put all assets on sale. This suggests that fears of a financial market problem are greater than those of a widening Middle East war. Should the situation become more tumultuous, the Fed could be forced into cutting interest rates between meetings. Indeed, when the Fed responded to the 1998 event by cutting interest rates , stocks went on a tear before topping out in 2000.
Persons: I've, Michael Gayed, Cashin, It's, Stanley Druckenmiller, Japan —, Ron Insana Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nikkei, UBS, Term Capital Management, CNBC Locations: Japan, Israel, Iran
With investors in a risk-off mood, AI shares with high valuations were among the first to be dumped from portfolios. Nvidia and Super Micro Computer shed about 12% each before the bell, while Advanced Micro Devices lost about 5%. Megacap technology stocks also sold off during premarket trading, with Alphabet , Meta Platforms and Amazon falling more than 5% each. Major technology stocks — with the exception of Nvidia — wrapped up a busy earnings stretch last week. Nvidia, Alphabet and Meta Platforms pulled back more than 5%, while Microsoft dropped more than 6%.
Persons: Tesla, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Nvidia —, Mark Haefele, Jefferies Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Computer, Super, VanEck, Microsoft, Apple, UBS Global Wealth Management
US stocks plunged Friday after a weak July jobs report sparked investor panic. The Nasdaq closed in correction territory, and the VIX soared as much as 60% to hit its highest since March 2023. AdvertisementUS stocks plunged on Friday, with the S&P 500 extending its two-day sell-off to more than 3%, as a weak July jobs report sparked panic among investors. Meanwhile, the CBOE Volatility Index, better known as the VIX, soared as much as 60% to 29.66, its highest level since March 2023. AdvertisementThe damage was exacerbated after the July jobs report showed an unexpected increase in the unemployment rate and payroll figures badly missed estimates.
Persons: , Tom Lee Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Treasury, Amazon, Intel, Federal, CME, Fed, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: Americas, Here's
Wall Street to Big Tech: Is AI ever going to make money?
  + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Clare Duffy | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
New York CNN —There’s been one big question on the minds of Wall Streeters this tech earnings season: When will anyone start making actual money from artificial intelligence? But Big Tech still has relatively little to show for all their billions spent in terms of significant revenue gains from AI or profitable new products, and investors are starting to get antsy. Shares of both Google and Microsoft dipped following their earnings reports, a sign of investors’ discontent that their huge AI investments hadn’t led to far-better-than-expected results. She added: “Gen AI is where we’re much earlier … We don’t expect our gen AI products to be a meaningful driver of revenue in ’24. As an example of just how long it can take AI products to come to fruition, take Tesla’s AI-based “full self-driving” technology.
Persons: New York CNN — There’s, ChatGPT, , Morgan Stanley, Keith Weiss, Steven Ju, Sundar Pichai, Goldman Sachs, , ” D.A, Davidson, Gil Luria, Meta, Amy Hood, , Susan Li, that’s, ” Luria, we’re, Jim Covello, Tesla, FSD, Google’s Pichai, Mark Zuckerberg, — Luria Organizations: New, New York CNN, Big Tech, UBS, Google, Microsoft, CNN, Meta Locations: New York, Silicon Valley
AdvertisementThe amount of gold holdings in global reserves has doubled in just over five years, according to Bloomberg Intelligence analysis. "As the yellow metal carries no credit or counter-party risk, some deem it as being better insulated from financial sanctions, particularly those from the emerging world," wrote UBS' Czerwonko. Advertisement"The situation in competing jurisdictions is also dire; in the land of the blind, the one-eyed man can remain king," wrote Czerwonko. AdvertisementSimilarly, Bloomberg Intelligence said said a Wednesday report that a potential second Trump term could hasten a global currency regime change. "Any title toward isolationism in a Trump second term, such as altered US attitudes toward its role in NATO and international affairs would spur de-dollarization," wrote Bloomberg Intelligence analysts.
Persons: , Alejo Czerwonko, Czerwonko, Trump Organizations: Service, UBS, Business, International Monetary Fund, Bloomberg Intelligence, Trump, NATO Locations: Ukraine, Moscow, Swiss, Americas
Wells Fargo downgrades Morgan Stanley to underweight from equal weight Wells Fargo downgraded Morgan Stanley and said the "upward premium re-rating seems over." Morgan Stanley initiates Lionsgate Studios at overweight Morgan Stanley said it's bullish on shares of the movie studio company. Morgan Stanley reiterates Tesla as a top pick Morgan Stanley said it's standing by the stock following an analysis of July auto sales. Morgan Stanley upgrades Mobileye to equal weight from underweight Morgan Stanley said the risk/reward is more balanced for the auto supply tech company. " Morgan Stanley reiterates Nvidia as overweight Morgan Stanley says it's sticking with its overweight rating on the AI chipmaker.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Apple, Q, Gildan, Wells, downgrades Morgan Stanley, it's, TD, TD Cowen, Cowen, Raymond James downgrades Crocs, Raymond James, CROX, Oppenheimer, Tesla, Rosenblatt, Lululemon, LULU, K's Organizations: TEAM, Apple Intelligence, Barclays, Deutsche Bank, Amazon, Big Cap Tech, Stifel, Bank of American, Bank of America, Lionsgate, Lionsgate Studios, Intel, of America, TD Cowen, Dynamics, U.S, EV, 7M, UBS downgrades, UBS, Nvidia Locations: California, USA
Here are the top stocks to own right now, according to UBS
  + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
A handful of stocks may be due for some gains, even as the market sells off. The firm added three new names to the list from the industrials and materials sectors, including Freeport-McMoRan and Norfolk Southern . UBS said Air Products is at "the forefront of the energy transition," citing the progress it is making on large "blue" and "green" hydrogen projects. Meta is trading at a multiple of 23 times earnings on a forward price-to-earnings basis, per FactSet, and UBS sees shares as attractively valued. "The company should benefit from healthy user engagement, improving monetization of Reels, and longer-term monetization of Instagram and WhatsApp offer longer-term opportunities."
Persons: Russell, Nathaniel Gabriel, Gabriel, Robert " Kelly, Ortberg, Meta Organizations: Dow Jones, UBS, Norfolk, Air Products, Chemicals, Air, Boeing, Alaska Airlines Boeing, Max, DOJ Locations: Freeport, McMoRan
As tensions escalate in the Middle East , investors should consider adding gold and oil as a hedge. "A wider regional war could affect oil supplies, which would likely lead to quick price spikes. Gold, meanwhile, should serve its role as a more conservative asset," UBS analysts led by Tilmann Kolb told clients in a Wednesday note. Gold has risen since the Beirut strike, "underlining its risk hedge characteristics," the analysts said. High demand from banks and a likely uptick in demand when the Federal Reserve lowers rates should also push gold prices higher, they said.
Persons: Tilmann Kolb, Ismail Haniyeh, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Fuad Shukr Organizations: UBS, New York Times, Federal Locations: East, Israel, Iran, Tehran, Lebanon, Golan Heights, Beirut
Apple set to report earnings: Here's what to expect
  + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailApple set to report earnings: Here's what to expectDavid Vogt, UBS U.S. IT hardware analyst, joins 'Squawk Box' to preview Apple's quarterly earnings results, what to expect from the Big Tech giant, and more.
Persons: David Vogt Organizations: UBS, Big Tech
It's the culmination of years of fine-tuning over successive Olympic Games — as this timeline shows. The Olympic Games are perhaps the world's best-known sporting competition, broadcast to billions worldwide. Here's how 5G capabilities have progressed at the Olympic Games since 2018, starting with a small trial at the 2018 Winter Olympics in Pyeongchang, South Korea, and expanding to today's Games-wide connectivity experience. The companies jointly developed the 5G network at what organizers called "the most innovative Olympic Games ever." Beijing Winter Olympics 2022China has long been an innovator of mobile technology, and the 2022 Winter Olympics in Beijing proved no exception.
Persons: , Markus Nispel, Mario Reis, Orange, Bertrand Rojat, Rojat Organizations: Paris, Service, Olympic, Extreme Networks, Europe, Olympic Games, today's, KT, Korea Telecom, Sync, Tokyo, Intel, NTT Docomo, Tokyo Games, Olympic Broadcasting Services, Games, Paris Olympic Locations: Paris, Africa, Pyeongchang, South Korea, Tokyo, Beijing, China, Orange
Swiss SIX exchange says trading halted due to technical issues
  + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Four Chinese companies raised about $1.5 billion in July by issuing shares on the Six Swiss Exchange via a new China stock connect program. Switzerland's stock exchange SIX said trading had been halted on Wednesday morning across all products until further notice due to technical problems. The Swiss stock exchange is home to companies including Nestle , Roche and UBS . "Market data and index data is not being disseminated at the moment and we are investigating the cause and trying to solve," a spokesperson at SIX told Reuters. "Trading was not affected, but we had to halt trading in Switzerland due to equal treatment of market participants."
Organizations: Six Swiss, Nestle, Roche, UBS, SIX, Reuters Locations: China, Swiss, Switzerland
Jensen Huang, co-founder and chief executive officer of Nvidia Corp., displays the new Blackwell GPU chip during the Nvidia GPU Technology Conference on March 18, 2024. Nvidia shares popped more than 11% Wednesday after remarks from top customer Microsoft and rival chipmaker AMD signaled there wouldn't be a slowdown in the multibillion-dollar buildout of AI servers based around GPUs. Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella and finance chief Amy Hood said Tuesday the company plans to spend even more on Nvidia-based infrastructure next year. Microsoft spent $19 billion on capital expenditures during the fiscal fourth quarter, with about 60% on hardware. Nvidia has been the primary beneficiary of the AI boom.
Persons: Jensen Huang, Satya Nadella, Amy Hood, Microsoft's capex, Karl Keirstead, Morgan Stanley, Joseph Moore, Moore, Blackwell, Blackwell ramping Organizations: Nvidia Corp, Blackwell, Nvidia, Technology, Microsoft, AMD, UBS
In a recent research note, experts at Goldman Sachs were upbeat on the pound, commenting that sterling "tops the list" in the G-10 basket of major currency crosses. The analysts are sticking with their bet that sterling will rise against the dollar , with a target of 1.31. "Combined with still-high rates [this] could attract capital flows into GBP after many years of being a structural sell," the UBS analysts added. She added, "The tone of many of the policies announced by the new Labour government in recent days are market friendly ... The appearance of order in the U.K. government coupled with an expectation of a warmer relationship with the EU should provide for some optimism."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Keir Starmer's, Jane Foley Organizations: Bank of, UBS, Labour Party, FX, Labour Locations: Bank of England
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTelefonica chairman says consolidation is needed in European telecom spaceJosé María Álvarez-Pallete López, chairman of Telefonica, says he would like to see deregulation in the Spanish market.
Persons: López Organizations: Telefonica Locations: Spanish
Here are Tuesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Loop initiates BrightView as buy Loop said it's bullish on shares of the commercial landscaping company. Evercore ISI reiterates Apple as outperform Evercore said it's bullish ahead of Apple earnings later this week. " Bank of America reiterates Roblox as buy Bank of America said it's standing by Roblox ahead of earnings on August 1. Deutsche Bank reiterates McDonald's as buy Deutsche said it's standing by the fast food giant following earnings. Bank of America reiterates Goldman Sachs as buy Bank of America said top pick Goldman Sachs has "cyclical/secular tailwinds."
Persons: Evercore, it's, Jensen Huang, Nvidia's Blackwell, Blackwell, KBW, Oppenheimer, Wells, Roblox, Tesla, McDonald's, Baird, Edward Jones, Goldman Sachs, ROE resiliency, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo Organizations: Apple, Citi, Nvidia, " Bank of America, of America, Barclays, UBS, Amazon, Netflix, Bank of America, JPMorgan, RBC, Tesla, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Whirlpool, underperform Bank of America, Abbott Laboratories, Abbott Labs, Edward, Stock, 2Q, PNC, WF
The United Arab Emirates is on track to be the world's top wealth magnet for the third year running, according to the Henley Private Wealth Migration Report. "There are push and pull factors for this trend of millionaires opting to relocate to Dubai," Karim Jetha, a longtime regional investor who relocated to the UAE from the U.K. during the pandemic, told CNBC. "Pull factors include Dubai's perception of being extremely safe and visa reforms that encourage migration." The UAE is set to see a record net inflow of 6,700 millionaires from around the world by the end of 2024, according to the Henley report, which was released in June. That's nearly double the second-ranked country on the list, the U.S., which is expected to welcome a net inflow of 3,800 millionaires in the same time frame.
Persons: , Karim Jetha, Henley, That's Organizations: United, Henley, Wealth, UBS, Labour Party, CNBC, Labour Locations: United Arab Emirates, Swiss, Dubai, sandier, UAE, U.S
Verizon uses generative AI to reduce the workload from its high volume of business-related calls. Debika Bhattacharya, the chief technology-solutions officer at Verizon Business, said Verizon received 170 million calls from business and individual customers every year. Last year, the company added generative AI as another layer to help reduce the demands on customer-service agents and answer clients' questions faster. AI in actionIncorporating generative AI into its business-to-business customer-service strategy helps agents answer questions and resolve issues faster, Bhattacharya said. Bhattacharya said it's too early to share data about how generative AI was improving Verizon's business customer service.
Persons: , Debika Bhattacharya, Bhattacharya, it's Organizations: Verizon, Service, Verizon Communications, Fortune, Verizon Business, hyperpersonalization, Telecom Locations: New York City
UBS sees the recent tech stock sell-off as a buy-the-dip opportunity for long-term investors. UBS cites attractive valuations, solid fundamentals, and fading technical factors as reason to stick with large-cap tech. But according to UBS, the recent decline in tech stocks is only temporary, and that should be apparent when mega-cap tech stocks report their second-quarter earnings results later this week. A healthy sell-off in tech stocks has led to more attractive valuations for the fast-growing sector, especially when compared to previous bubbles. "While the tech sector appears to be expensive after the rally this year, price-to-earnings multiples remain much lower than in the dot-com era, when many tech stocks had much lower-quality earnings," UBS said.
Persons: , Sundar Pichai Organizations: UBS, Service, Nasdaq, Apple, Microsoft
Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Ford, GM and Stellantis shares"Investors who think autos can outperform on + earnings beats and buybacks should think again. GMFor GM, investors balked at pullbacks in growth businesses, waning upside during the second half of the year, and fear that the automaker's earnings power has peaked, according to Wall Street analysts. Selling more EVs is one reason that GM, which has raised its annual financial guidance twice this year, expects the second half to underperform the first. The new Ford F-150 truck goes through the assembly line at the Ford Dearborn Plant on April 11, 2024 in Dearborn, Michigan. StellantisTransatlantic automaker Stellantis arguably faces the most challenging second half of the year, particularly regarding its U.S. operations.
Persons: Ram, Joe Raedle, Morgan Stanley, Adam Jonas, Jonas, Stellantis, GM's, Mary Barra, Ford, Ford doesn't, Joseph Spak, Bill Pugliano, John Lawler, Lawler, Carlos Tavares, Remo Casilli Organizations: Dodge Chrysler, Getty, DETROIT, Ford, Detroit automakers, GM, Wall Street, Analysts, Street, UBS, Ford Dearborn Plant, Ford Pro, Transatlantic, Stellantis Locations: Miami , Florida, U.S, China, Dearborn , Michigan, Atessa, Italy
Family offices, the private investment arms of single families, are also shifting to profit shares as a way to better align the incentives of the staff with the family. "Family offices are competing for talent against each other, and against traditional private equity, hedge funds and venture capital." Family offices are increasingly offering lucrative shares of equity and deal profits to staff amid a growing battle for talent, according to a top family office attorney. They often pair co-investments with profit shares to create both upside and potential downside to staff. Because they serve a single family, family offices have more flexibility than many companies when it comes to designing pay plans.
Persons: McCurry, Patrick McCurry, McDermott Will, Emery, they're, Robert Frank, that's Organizations: UBS, Office Locations: Chicago
Investors who are camped out in cash are nabbing sweet yields, but the clock is ticking on that attractive income. Money market fund assets totaled $6.14 trillion as of the week ended July 24, according to the Investment Company Institute . The largest money market funds are offering an annualized 7-day current yield of 5.12%, per the Crane 100 Money Fund Index. "Investors must also remember that the liquid securities held in money market funds have maturities capped at slightly over a year," he said. While these short-term bonds may be an attractive alternative to hiding out in cash, investors should avoid making them the lion's share of their fixed income holdings.
Persons: Daniel Siluk, Janus Henderson, Matthew Mish, Siluk Organizations: Investment Company Institute, Federal, UBS, SEC, BBB, Treasury Bond ETF
CNN —A fossilized mammoth skull, centuries-old ceramics and Banksy’s famous self-shredding painting are among hundreds of high-value collectibles on show at Sotheby’s ambitious new retail outpost in Hong Kong. With younger collectors seemingly in mind, items on the first floor range in price from 5,000 to 50 million Hong Kong dollars ($640 to $6.4 million). The venture is the latest signal that major auction houses still consider Hong Kong to be their long-term hub in Asia. In June, Hermès also unveiled its expanded retail space in the neighborhood. It has simultaneously sought to grow its footprint in Hong Kong — not only with its newly unveiled Maison, but also a nearby 36,000-square-foot regional headquarters, due to open later this year.
Persons: Maison, Hong Kong, Art Basel’s, Isaac Lawrence, Louis Vuitton, Hermès, Sotheby’s, Patrick Drahi, Hong Kong —, Christie’s, Zaha Hadid’s, Phillips, Bonhams, Nathan Drahi Organizations: CNN, Hong Kong, UBS, Art, Art Basel, Getty, PricewaterhouseCoopers, Louis, Sotheby’s Locations: Hong Kong, Central, Asia, China, Hong, Hong Kong's Central, AFP, London, Singapore, Shanghai, Sotheby’s, Sotheby’s Asia, Paris, New York
Barclays has identified a list of global stocks poised to benefit as central banks in Europe and the U.K. prepare to cut interest rates. The European Central Bank and the Bank of England are expected to continue, or begin, reducing interest rates in the second half of this year, continuing into 2025. Barclays economists project that by mid-2025, the ECB's key rate could reach 2.5%, while the Bank of England's rate might settle at 4%. Barclays included the following stocks in its "rate-cut winners basket", among which are: Cellnex Telecom, Royal KPN , Hermes , Zalando , and Siemens Healthineers . While banks are often thought to suffer from lower interest rates, Barclays suggests that any loss in earnings from lower rates could be partially offset by higher lending volumes and reduced provisions for bad loans.
Persons: Royal KPN, Matthew Joyce Organizations: Barclays, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Bank of, Cellnex Telecom, Royal, Siemens Locations: Europe
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