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The regional bank announced that Alessandro DiNello, its executive chairman, is taking on the roles of president and CEO, effective immediately. Shares of New York Community Bancorp fell 14% in extended trading Thursday after the regional lender announced a leadership change and disclosed issues with its internal controls. The bank also announced an amendment to its fourth quarter results, adding a disclosure about its internal risk management. The specter of loan losses reignited fears about the state of the commercial real estate market and regional banks more broadly. Several regional banks failed in 2023 after customers and investors became uneasy about the value of the debt on bank balance sheets, including Silicon Valley Bank.
Persons: Alessandro DiNello, NYCB, DiNello, we've, Marshall Lux, Hanif Dahya, Lux, JP Morgan Organizations: York Community Bank, New York Community Bancorp, Flagstar Bank, Moody's Investors Service, Chase Consumer Bank, JP, Silicon Valley Bank Locations: Brooklyn, New York City, Silicon
With markets on edge over the direction of inflation, a report Thursday that often flies under the economic radar is likely to take on more importance. The Commerce Department's measure of personal consumption expenditures prices could add to evidence that inflation is stickier than some economists and policymakers had thought. Two-year inflation breakevens, or the difference between Treasury yields and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, have surged in recent days. "But I think the labor market is a lot more fragile than people think. A report Wednesday confirmed that economic growth was solid to close out 2023, with fourth-quarter GDP accelerating at a 3.2% annualized pace adjusted for seasonal factors and inflation.
Persons: Mark Zandi, Zandi, shouldn't, we're, it's, , Susan Collins, Collins, Dow Jones, Dow, Michelle Cluver, Cluver, I've Organizations: Moody's, Boston, Securities, Treasury, Fed, Labor, CPI, Dow Jones, optimist Locations: U.S
A hard landing is guaranteed for the US Morgan Stanley's chief US economist. That's because the full impacts of Fed tightening haven't been fully felt in the economy. It could take 18 months after the last rate hike to feel the full weight of higher rates, economists say. Zentner is expecting the US to avoid a recession this year, as there's no data to support a soon-to-come downturn. AdvertisementStill, signs point to the Fed keeping interest rates elevated as it keeps an eye on inflation.
Persons: US Morgan Stanley's, Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley's, Zentner, Jamie Dimon's Organizations: US, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Analytics, Bank, Investors
Canada's largest pension fund sold a stake in a New York building for $1. The Canada Pension Plan Investment Board did not immediately respond to Business Insider's request for comment. The Canada Pension Plan Investment Board operates a $436.9 billion fund, with a global real estate portfolio worth roughly $30.6 billion. According to the Bloomberg report, the pension isn't backing out entirely from the office real estate sector, but it's also limiting its holdings in the space. Economists at Moody's, too, expect more pain ahead for commercial real estate.
Persons: , it's, Goldman Sachs, Moody's Organizations: Service, Pension Plan Investment Board, Bloomberg, Pension Plan Investment, Boston Properties, Santa, Santa Monica Business Park, Bank, New York Community Bank Locations: New York, Canada, Santa Monica, Silicon, Moody's
There are 620,000 more adults living with their parents in the UK than a decade ago. In the US, the percentage of young adults living at home has climbed 87% over the past two decades, according to the US Census Bureau. More than one-third of Gen Z respondents in a 2022 Freddie Mac survey said it's something they thought they'd never be able to achieve. A similar share of young adults lived with their parents in the wake of the Great Recession in 2010 — 44%. For many young adults, living on your own is an important step to feeling grown up.
Persons: Bethany Clark, didn't, she's, Clark, they'd, Moody's, renter, Zers, homebuyers, Gen, Freddie Mac, millennials, Z, grads, We're, Amy Lewthwaite, Lewthwaite, shouldn't, I've, Sarah Obutor, who'd, Obutor, , Gen Zers, Jeffrey Jensen Arnett, Arnett Organizations: Census Bureau, Bloomberg, Harris, National Association of Realtors, Bloomberg Businessweek, Guardian, Financial Times, Urban Institute, Northumbria University, Clark University Locations: Surrey, England, America, London, Georgia
Inflation is still having an impact, and consumers are definitely feeling it at the grocery store. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. I have seen this myself when I go to the grocery store and buy five items … for $65. They are typically going to be cheaper than the grocery store,” Seiler says. Check your pantry firstThis last tip is one that we all can and should do before even making a shopping list.
Persons: Hillary Seiler, , Seiler, , ” Seiler Organizations: Service, NFL, Business
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewThree people are facing grand theft charges after more than $100,000 of goods were stolen from Home Depot stores in Florida by swapping out the barcodes for lower-cost items at self-checkouts, the state's attorney general said. On Home Depot's website, the roof sealer currently retails at $119 for a 0.9-gallon bucket or $349 for a 4.75-gallon bucket. Moody's Office of Statewide Prosecution charged Popat with one count of grand theft over $100,000, and Abad and Baglin with one count of grand theft over $20,000. Now, this group faces our Statewide Prosecutors and time in prison, where I can promise there is no self-checkout line."
Persons: , Ashley Moody's, Vicky Popat, Christopher Abad, Christopher Eduardo Baglin, Henry 887 Tropi, Abad, Moody Organizations: Service, Home Depot, Statewide, Business, Statewide Prosecution, Depot, Statewide Prosecutors, Midwest Locations: Florida, Home, South, Central Florida
A new stock pick from the 93-year-old Buffett almost always leads some investors to follow suit, quickly moving the share price. Berkshire has been a longtime shareholder in credit rating agency Moody's , and bought a big stake in Citigroup in early 2022. The last financial stock Berkshire bought was Capital One Financial in the first quarter of 2023. If the new stake ever exceeds 5% of whatever stock it is, Berkshire would be required to report its holding with the SEC. Buffett might be asked to reveal the identity of the mystery stock at Berkshire's annual shareholder meeting in early May.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, Todd Combs, Ted Weschler, Berkshire's, Goldman Sachs, David Kass, University of Maryland's Robert H, Jamie Dimon, Kass, there's Organizations: Berkshire, The Securities, Exchange, Chevron, Verizon, Apple, Buffett, Bank of America, American Express, Citigroup, Mastercard, Visa, JPMorgan, U.S . Bancorp, Bank of New York Mellon, University of Maryland's, Smith School of Business, outperforming Bank, SEC Locations: Omaha, Berkshire, McLean, Va, Wells, outperforming
Banks are dialing back the yields they pay on certificates of deposit, but a notable name is still commanding one of the highest rates available. New York Community Bank offers the highest CD rate for maturities under 36 months among the banks in Morgan Stanley's coverage, coming in at 5.5%. Webster Financial followed in second place, with a rate of 5.4%, and Bank OZK rounded out the top three with a rate of 5.3%. New York Community Bank is offering a sweetened annual percentage yield at a time when the institution itself is going through a period of tumult. NYCB YTD line YTD performance of NYCB shares In late January, the Hicksville, New York-based bank took a higher-than-anticipated charge against expected loan losses .
Persons: Banks, Morgan Stanley, Betsy Graseck Organizations: New York Community Bank, Webster, Bank OZK, Moody's Investors Service, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Fed Locations: Morgan, , New York
Moody's Mark Zandi talks the risks of keeping rates higher
  + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMoody's Mark Zandi talks the risks of keeping rates higherMark Zandi, Moody’s Analytics chief economist, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss the case for March rate cuts, the risks of keeping rates higher, and more.
Persons: Mark Zandi, Steve Liesman
These are the big deflationary factors"A lot of factors have come together to push goods prices down," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. In addition to normalizing supply-demand dynamics, a historically strong U.S. dollar relative to other global currencies has also helped rein in goods prices, Zandi said. Falling energy prices have also put downward pressure on goods prices, due to lower transportation and energy-intensive manufacturing costs, economists said. Lower energy prices also put downward pressure on the transportation of food to store shelves. Consumers get more for roughly the same amount of money, which shows up as a price decline in the CPI data.
Persons: RC Willey, George Frey, Jay Bryson, there's, Mark Zandi, Zandi, rebalancing, J.P, Hopper Organizations: RC, Bloomberg, Getty, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, Moody's, U.S . Federal, Services, Finance, Morgan's, Investment, Group, of Labor Statistics Locations: Draper , Utah, Wells Fargo, U.S, Salinas, California
Deutsche Pfandbriefbank AG said it's bracing for an ongoing decline in commercial real estate. It called the downturn "the greatest real estate crisis since the financial crisis." Shares of the German bank have declined about 25% year-to-date. AdvertisementSigns of commercial real estate distress continue to mount, with the latest warning coming from German lending giant Deutsche Pfandbriefbank AG. "Despite these expenses, pbb remains profitable thanks to its financial strength – even in the greatest real estate crisis since the financial crisis," the bank said in a statement February 7.
Persons: , they've Organizations: Deutsche Pfandbriefbank AG, Service
The consumer price index, a key inflation gauge, rose 3.1% in January relative to a year earlier, the U.S. Labor Department said Tuesday. Where inflation was high in JanuaryCartons of orange juice on display in a grocery store in Los Angeles. Mario Tama | Getty ImagesDespite broad disinflation, there are specific categories where inflation remains relatively high. watch nowAdditionally, shelter inflation is up 6% in the last 12 months. Shelter is the largest component of the average household's budget, and stubbornly high inflation in the category has propped up overall inflation readings.
Persons: Spencer Platt, That's, Mark Zandi, it's, Zandi, J.P, Mario Tama, beefsteaks, Amy Smith, Smith Organizations: Getty, U.S . Labor Department, Moody's Analytics, Workers, Labor Department, Morgan's, Investment, Group, Consumer, University of Michigan, Finance Locations: Brooklyn, U.S, Los Angeles, Brazil, Florida
Not only has that made mortgages much more expensive, it’s exacerbated the long-standing shortage in housing supply, particularly at the lower-priced part of the market. The market machinery that cranks out housing supply at the bottom of the market has effectively ground to a halt. But falling rates will not solve the underlying structural problems that caused the housing shortfall in the first place. Once rates normalize, housing affordability will simply return to where we were prior to the pandemic, going from dismal to just bad. Lawmakers should complement this support to increase the supply of housing with targeted help for those looking to buy their first home.
Persons: Jim Parrott, Parrott Ryan, Mark Zandi, Jim Parrott Ella Parrott, Mark Zandi Moody's, it’s Organizations: Urban Institute, Moody’s, CNN, National Association of Realtors, Congress
It is the first time Moody’s has lowered Israel’s credit rating, which is used by investors to measure the riskiness of investing in a global entity or government. Moody’s downgraded Israel from A1 to A2 and said the outlook for the country’s economy was “negative.” The A2 rating nonetheless continues to carry relatively low risk, according to Moody's. Photos You Should See View All 21 ImagesStill, Israeli officials fear that the Moody’s downgrade could lead other major agencies also to downgrade Israel’s outlook. Israel’s economy bounced back after previous wars with Hamas, but the current war is much longer than any of those. Concerns about Israel’s governance, rising inflation and a worldwide slowdown in tech investments last year also weighed on the economy.
Persons: , ” Moody’s, Moody’s, Bezalel Smotrich, , Benjamin Netanyahu, Michel Strawczynski, it’s, Amir Yaron, Israel –, Western Europe —, Benjamin Netanyahu's, Moody's Organizations: , Sunday, Finance, Hebrew University, Bank of Israel, Bank of Israel Gov Locations: TEL AVIV, Israel, Gaza, Jerusalem, Western Europe
Wall Street wrapped up another positive week, with the S & P 500 closing Friday above 5,000 for the first time ever. It was a pretty light week in terms of economic data releases, though we did get a favorable ISM Services number on Monday. Things will pick up next week with several closely watched macroeconomic updates, including two key government inflation reports. While no Club earnings are scheduled to report earnings in the week ahead, 61 companies in the S & P 500 will deliver their latest quarterly results. Consumer inflation: The main event of the week will come on Tuesday when the January consumer price index (CPI) is released.
Persons: Estee Lauder, Eli Lilly, Price, Bausch, Trimble, Krispy Kreme, Topgolf, Kraft Heinz, Martin Marietta, Owens Corning, WEN, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Nasdaq, Club, GE Healthcare, DuPont, Linde, Ford, Disney, Wynn Resorts, CPI, PPI, Palo Alto Networks, Nvidia, Bausch Health, Arista Networks, WM, Cadence Design Systems, ZoomInfo Technologies, Avis Budget, Brighthouse, Goodyear Tire &, Vornado Realty, Marriott International, Hasbro, Restaurant Brands, Molson Coors Beverage, Holdings, MGM Resorts, MGM, Akamai Technologies, American International Group, AIG, Topgolf Callaway Brands, CME Group, Sony, SONY, Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Martin Marietta Materials, Ryder, Occidental Petroleum, Cisco Systems, Deere, Penn Entertainment, Southern Company, Coinbase, Trade, Materials, Rand, Texas, Housing, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Albemarle, ALB, Ingersoll, New York City
And while the economy usually comes out on top as the issue for most voters, there are doubts over whether even a good economy is enough for Joe Biden to win a second term. Certainly, the improving economy – and most importantly an inflation rate that is trending back to the Federal Reserve’s desired 2% annual target – should be an asset for Biden. “Obviously perceptions of Biden and Trump are largely baked in and have been for a long time” says Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion. “We’re playing at the margins at best.”For Democrats, running on a good economy will present its own challenges. The wing nuts have disproportionate power.”Ramamurti still believes that Biden should emphasize the economy, saying, “I’m of the view that good news is good news.
Persons: Joe Biden, , Jose Torres, ” Powell, , Biden, Al Capone, Alejandro Mayorkas, Bharat Ramamurti, Trump, Lee Miringoff, David Walker, Walker, “ There’s, ” Ramamurti, Ramamurti, Gregory Daco, Pollsters, Mark Zandi Organizations: Federal, Biden, Fed, Interactive, Republicans, Democrats, CBS, Trump, GOP, Homeland, National Economic Council, Marist, , Marist Institute, Public, Biden Administration, Republican, Democratic Party, Democrat, Dow Jones, Moody's Locations: Pennsylvania
Executives at New York Community Bancorp are betting with their own money that they can turn the regional lender's fortunes around. According to securities filings compiled by Verity Data, seven insiders at the troubled bank have bought NYCB shares this week. The biggest buy came from director Peter Schoels, who scooped up 100,000 shares . NYCB 1M mountain Shares of NYCB have been cut in half since late January. Shares of NYCB were up 16% in afternoon trading Friday.
Persons: Verity Data, Verity, Alessandro DiNello, Peter Schoels, Schoels Organizations: New York Community Bancorp, NYCB, Moody's Investors Service, Bank, Wall Street Locations: NYCB
The latest concern threatening regional banks started on Jan. 31, when New York Community Bancorp. reported unexpected fourth quarter loss and a large loan loss reserve against futures losses, due in part to the bank's commercial real estate (CRE) exposure. One worry is that the NYCB credit downgrade could spur ratings agencies to take a closer look at other banks, or cause clients to again pull deposits out of regional banks. Determining exactly how unique NYCB's exposure to commercial real estate is will be a key focus for investors and analysts in coming weeks. A note on Wednesday from Wolfe Research analysts focused on banks and commercial real estate showed that regional banks have in general reduced their commercial real estate exposure over the past 15 years.
Persons: NYCB, Ian Lyngen, hasn't, Lyngen, D.A, Davidson, Peter Winter, Winter, Macrae Sykes, Banks, They're, Sykes, Wells Fargo, Jerome Powell, Bond, Tom Fitzpatrick, RJ O'Brien, Fitzpatrick, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Investors, New York Community Bancorp, Moody's, Street, Silicon Valley Bank, BMO, Treasury, Wolfe Research, UBS, Gabelli, CNBC Locations: Silicon, Wells
Ralph Lauren reported earnings of $4.17 per share, excluding items, while analysts surveyed by FactSet expected earnings of $3.57 per share. The company, which is anticipating soft sales growth this year, also announced a $1 billion share buyback program. Arm Holdings — The chipmaker's stock soared more than 28% after it reported a fiscal third-quarter earnings beat . Apollo Global Management — Shares rose nearly 3% after the asset management company's fourth quarter earnings topped estimates. The company reported $32 billion of inflows during the quarter, pushing its total assets under management to $651 billion.
Persons: Ralph Lauren —, Ralph Lauren, Morgan Stanley, Ally, Mattel —, Barbie toymaker, LSEG, Moody's, NYCB, FactSet's, , Jesse Pound, Tanaya Macheel, Lisa Kailai Han, Michelle Fox Theobald Organizations: , Revenue, Mattel, PayPal, New York Community Bancorp, Arm Holdings, Apollo Global Management, American, American Express, Maersk —, Maersk Locations: Danish
Gold steady as Fed remarks counter safe-haven demand
  + stars: | 2024-02-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices steadied on Thursday as a pushback from U.S. Federal Reserve officials on market hopes for early interest rate cuts offset safe-haven demand after Israel rejected a ceasefire offer from Hamas amid continuous talks to end the Gaza conflict. Gold prices steadied on Thursday as a pushback from U.S. Federal Reserve officials on market hopes for early interest rate cuts offset safe-haven demand after Israel rejected a ceasefire offer from Hamas amid continuous talks to end the Gaza conflict. Spot gold held its ground at $2,033.56 per ounce, as of 0427 GMT. Fed officials want to hold off on cutting interest rates until they have more confidence that inflation is headed down to 2%. Gold, considered a safe-haven investment, tends to gain during times of political and economical uncertainty.
Persons: Tim Waterer, Moody's, Waterer Organizations: U.S . Federal, Israel, KCM, U.S, Community Bancorp Locations: U.S, Gaza, New, Germany, China
Troubled regional bank New York Community Bank faced a downgrade from JPMorgan, which said NYCB is facing a multitude of challenges. The firm upped its price target for the drug maker to $850, all the way from $200. Wells Fargo : Analyst Zachary Fadem kept his overweight rating and raised his target price by $200 to $2,800, implying 12.5% upside for shares. "After speaking to management, we confirmed these two executives had indeed left the company, wrote JPMorgan analyst Steven Alexopoulos. NXP's stock price is down 2.9% for the year, but still higher than 15% over the past 12 months.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Eric Gonzalez, Gonzalez, Wells, Zachary Fadem, Sara Senatore, Chipotle, — Pia Singh, JPMorgan downgrades, Steven Alexopoulos, Alexopoulos, John Melloy, Vivek Arya, Arya, Robyn Karnauskas, Karnauskas, Zepbound Organizations: CNBC, New York Community Bank, JPMorgan, Pharma, Truist Securities, Semiconductors, Bank of America, KeyBanc, Barclays, New York Community Bank JPMorgan, New, Community Bank, Financial Times, Bloomberg News, New York Community Bancorp, Battery Management Systems, Food and Drug Administration Locations: Wells Fargo, Tuesday's
The big storyCareer makersInflection AI, Maven, Forage, The GrandWhich startup would you recommend a friend or family member should work at? That was the prompt for Business Insider's VC and startups team as it compiled a list of early-stage companies to bet your career on . The list doesn't have specific parameters, Leena Rao, the deputy editor of BI's VC and startups team, told me. With so much money pouring into AI startups, founders' attention will naturally be drawn to the tech when thinking about their next project. Meanwhile, the volatility among startups comes at a time of broader instability for the tech industry.
Persons: , Elon Musk, Taylor Swift, Leena Rao, Maven, Alyssa Powell, Ben Bergman, there's, Moody's, Paul Tudor Jones, We've, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, OpenAI, Samantha Stokes, Andrea Chronopoulos, Bob Iger, Lachlan Murdoch, David Zaslav, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Jordan Parker Erb, George Glover Organizations: Business, Service, Business Insider's, Big Tech, Meta, Flagstar Bank, Facebook, YouTube, Google, BI, ESPN, Warner Bros, Fox, Walt Disney Company Locations: NYCB, New York, London
Adjusted earnings per share for the fourth quarter came in at 54 cents, slightly below the 55 cents expected from analysts polled by FactSet. Yum Brands — The restaurant stock added 3% despite Yum Brands' adjusted earnings and revenue miss for the fourth quarter. Adjusted earnings per share came in at 77 cents, topping the consensus estimate of 62 cents, according to FactSet. The company added about 300,000 net digital-only subscribers quarter over quarter, but advertising revenues came in below the company's guidance. Chipotle Mexican Grill — Shares added 8% a day after the fast-casual restaurant chain reported stronger-than-expected adjusted earnings and revenue.
Persons: Alessandro DiNello, Badri Kothandaraman, Alibaba, Amgen, Chipotle, Sonos, Walt Disney, Walt Disney's, Discovery, Fox, Alex Harring, Brian Evans, Sarah Min, Hakyung Kim Organizations: LSEG, New York Community Bank, Moody's Investors, New, Community, Enphase Energy, FactSet, Revenue, Yum Brands, KFC, Taco Bell, LSEG . Revenue, Leerink Partners, CVS, New York Times, Warner Bros, Discovery, Fox, Walt Disney's ESPN, Walt Disney, Disney, Cirrus Locations: LSEG ., Israel, Alibaba —, FactSet, FactSet .
"I think you should still buy Baba in light of the fact the Chinese government is panicking about their stocks," Jim Cramer said, referencing recent stimulus efforts in the country . CVS Health : Despite lowering its 2024 adjusted earnings outlook due to higher medical costs, shares of CVS Health climbed more than 3% Wednesday. "Aetna is better than people think, and I think that [CEO] Karen Lynch is better than people think," Jim said. New York Community Bancorp : Moody's Investor Service downgraded the regional bank's credit rating to junk, roughly a week after NYCB reported a surprise fourth-quarter loss and cut its dividend payout. However, "you can't boost confidence once you cut your dividend," Jim said, adding that "you can't buy" shares of NYCB right now.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Aetna, Karen Lynch, Jim, NYCB, Morgan Stanley, Uber, Roblox Organizations: CVS, CVS Health, Aetna, York Community Bancorp, Moody's Investor Service, CNBC, Club, Technologies Locations: Wells Fargo
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