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☆ Fed outlook pushes dollar to 2-1/2 month peak; yen under pressure
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The U.S. dollar hovered at a 2-1/2-month peak on Wednesday as investors adjusted bets toward a gradual reduction of interest rates while keeping an eye on a close presidential election race. The yen remained under pressure as the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields marched higher, pushing it to a three-month low. That less dovish outlook for the Fed has helped buoy Treasury yields. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six others, was last up 0.11% at 104.18 after ticking up to 104.19, its highest since Aug. 2. The rise in U.S. Treasury yields kept the heat on the yen which sank to a three-month low of 151.72 against the greenback.

Persons: Matt Simpson, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, there's, Index's Simpson, Komeito, Sterling Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed, Republican, Reuters, Democratic U.S, Markets, Trump, greenback, Liberal Democratic Party, of, European Central Bank Locations: Harris, U.S, Japan

☆ Gold's record rally pauses due to stronger dollar, higher yields
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices surged to a record high on Wednesday as the conflicts in the Middle East and uncertainty surrounding the upcoming U.S. election spurred demand for safe-haven assets. Gold prices fell over 1% after hitting a record high on Wednesday, as a stronger dollar and a rise in U.S. Treasury yields countered support from safe-haven demand linked to the Nov. 5 U.S. election and Middle East war. Spot gold was down 1% to $2,721.12 per ounce as of 12:25 p.m. EDT (1410 GMT) after hitting a record high of $2,758.37 earlier in the session. However, gold could see the $2,800/oz level by the week's end on safe-haven demand, Haberkorn added. The dollar index rose 0.3% to near a three-month high, making gold less appealing for other currency holders, while U.S. bond yields climbed to a three-month high.

Persons: Bob Haberkorn, Haberkorn, Ole Hansen, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: Treasury, Saxo Bank, U.S, Republican, Reuters Locations: U.S

☆ European stocks close lower as traders focus on earnings and bond yields
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-23 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

European markets closed lower Wednesday as investors in the region focused on corporate reports and U.S. Treasury yields. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index provisionally closed around 0.3% lower, with most sectors and major bourses in the red. There were earnings aplenty on Wednesday, with Deutsche Bank beating expectations in its return to profit in the three months to September. Shares of the German lender continued their decline after a German court ruled against the company in a long-standing legal dispute with shareholders who alleged the lender underpaid in its acquisition of German retail bank Postbank. Volvo Cars traded 5.9% lower, AkzoNobel was down 3.5% and L'Oreal fell 2.5% after the firms reported earnings earlier.

Persons: Heineken, AkzoNobel Organizations: Treasury, Deutsche Bank, Volvo, L'Oreal

☆ Why inflation isn't returning to pre-pandemic levels — and 3 trades to capitalize on an overheating economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-23 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

The central bank has been aiming to keep the long-run inflation rate at this level to maintain stable prices and a healthy economy. "There is now a higher base inflation rate than there was before COVID for a number of reasons." Related storiesBut there are other factors contributing to an increased long-term inflation rate, many of which Blitz tracked even before the pandemic. AdvertisementChanging demographics in the workplace are also driving increasing debt and higher long-term inflation, according to Blitz. In Blitz's perspective, all of these factors add up to an inflation rate exceeding 2% going forward.

Persons: isn't, Steven Blitz, —, Mark Higgins, Blitz, Bonds Organizations: Service, Fed, stoke, Blitz, Technology, iShares Semiconductor, Index

☆ The bond market is selling off after traders got their Fed forecasts wrong
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Bonds have sold off as traders reassess the path of Fed Reserve rate cuts. AdvertisementThe bond market is in sell-off mode as traders reassess the path of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. That would be a big surprise to traders, with the market pricing in a 90% chance of a 25-basis point interest rate cut from the Fed next month. AdvertisementFed officials, for their part, have indicated they're likely to move cautiously, though more rate cuts are still their base case. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said she expects interest rates will fall "gradually," and Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid endorsed a "cautious and gradual" approach to cutting interest rates.

Persons: Bonds, —, Donald Trump, Torsten Sløk, Sløk, Mary Daly, Neel Kashkari, Lorie Logan, Jeff Schmid, Trump Organizations: Trump, Service, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, Bloomberg, Bond, Treasury Bond ETF, Federal, Market, San Francisco Fed, Minneapolis, Dallas, Kansas City, House Locations: Atlanta

☆ This tax-free income play is set up for a strong year-end performance, says UBS
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Municipal bonds not only offer solid, tax-free income — they should also see some capital appreciation later this year, according to UBS. Consumers are still spending and the combination of job growth, higher wages and slowing inflation should continue to push households' real disposable income higher, he added. Further, the longer end of the muni bond yield curve is also starting to look attractive, he said. Investors hoping to take a diversified approach to municipal bonds may want to consider an exchange-traded fund. Schwab's Municipal Bond ETF (SCMB) , which has an expense ratio of 0.03% and a 30-day SEC yield of 3.25%.

Persons: Sudip Mukherjee, Mukherjee, Bonds Organizations: UBS, muni, Index Fund, SEC, Schwab's Municipal Bond ETF

☆ World’s largest sovereign wealth fund posts $76 billion in quarterly profit as interest rates fall
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Norway's sovereign wealth fund on Tuesday reported third-quarter profit of 835 billion Norwegian kroner ($76.3 billion), citing a stock market boost from falling interest rates. The so-called Government Pension Fund Global, one of the world's largest investors, said it had a value of 18.870 trillion kroner at the end of September. Trond Grande, deputy CEO of Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM), which manages the world's largest sovereign wealth fund, said recent changes in monetary policy had "a pretty significant impact" on the fund's third-quarter results. "What I think you have seen from our numbers is that with a rising tide, all boats rise, right? And so, you saw a very broad increase in the stock market based on lower interest rates, essentially."

Persons: Trond Grande, Grande, CNBC's Silvia Amaro Organizations: Fund, Norway's Finance Ministry, FTSE, Bloomberg Barclays, Norges Bank Investment Management

☆ BlackRock unveils active fund that aims to track changing AI trade over time
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Tony Kim, head of the fundamental equities technology group at BlackRock , is helming a new AI-focused fund launching on Tuesday. The top holdings in the ETF at launch are some of biggest names in the AI trade, including Nvidia and Microsoft . The AI Trade The excitement around the AI trade may have recently lost some of its luster for short-term traders. The valuations of some of the trendy AI stocks have also been a worry for some investors since AI took off with the introduction of ChatGPT in late 2022 . BlackRock is launching a similar fund in an ETF wrapper on Tuesday, the iShares Technology Opportunities Active ETF (TEK), with Kim as one of the managers.

Persons: Tony Kim, Kim, What's, —, TEK Organizations: BlackRock, Innovation, Tech, ETF, Nvidia, Microsoft, Astera Labs, Hitachi, Nasdaq, Apple, BlackRock Technology, Fund, BAI Locations: BlackRock

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Concerns over high interest rates return, pressuring stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The team pointed to high valuations and concentration in today's stock market as reasons for their forecast. [PRO] Ranking the Magnificent SevenThe Magnificent Seven bag of stocks — Alphabet , Amazon , Apple , Meta , Microsoft , Nvidia and Tesla — is responsible for most of the S&P 500's rally this year. Not so, according to a tech investor who owns all seven stocks.

Persons: Europe's, Goldman, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Bob Iger, Iger, Bob Chapek Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, Autonomous, Microsoft, Disney, Apple, Meta, Nvidia, Tesla

☆ CNBC Pro Talks: China portfolio manager reveals what he's buying right now
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Cnbc.Com Staff | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

As investors ponder how — and where — to invest in China, CNBC's Tanvir Gill will quiz China portfolio manager Jason Hsu on where he sees opportunities in the current market. Hsu previously told CNBC Pro that he was betting on tech — and artificial intelligence in particular — for the long term. Hsu set up Ranmore Fund Management in 2016, prior to which he was co-founder and vice chairman of quantitative asset manager Research Affiliates. Join CNBC Pro Talks on Wednesday, Oct. 23 at 6:30 a.m. BST / 1:30 p.m. SGT / 1:30 a.m. Learn more from our previous Pro Talks: How to play AI in a cheaper way without owning stocks like Nvidia, according to fund manager Fund manager reveals his worst trade of the year — and the lessons he learned Beyond Novo: Fund manager likes this under-the-radar pharma stock Related coverage from Pro: Is it time to invest in China?

Persons: Finance Lan Fo'an, CNBC's Tanvir Gill, Jason Hsu, Hsu, Goldman, Tanvir Gill Organizations: Finance, China's CSI, Rayliant Global Advisors, China Equity, CNBC Pro, China Equity ETF, Ping An Insurance, Midea, Ranmore Fund Management, Research, Anderson School of Management, UCLA, Nvidia, pharma, Wall, Citi Locations: China

☆ Bank of America's guide to the election and stocks that win under Trump or Harris
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Hakyung Kim | In Hakyungkim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Here are some of the ways Bank of America analysts think the upcoming election results could affect the stock market. Harris presidency, split government A victory for Democratic candidate Kamala Harris in the White House, plus a Republican-controlled Congress, could be "the best outcome" for online media companies, according to Bank of America analyst Justin Post. He noted that Harris is likely to enforce a potential ban on TikTok — which could boost Meta Platforms and Snapchat . Trump president, split government A win for Republican candidate Donald Trump and a split government would be the best-case scenario for bank stocks, per analyst Ebrahim Poonawala. On the other hand, a Trump presidency would be viewed positively by gig-economy companies, including Uber and Lyft, according to analyst Post.

Persons: –, Harris, Kamala Harris, Justin Post, Lorraine Hutchinson, Donald Trump's, —, Athletica, Joanna Gajuk, Gajuk, Jessica Reif Ehrlich, Ehrlich, Jason Kupferberg, Kupferberg, Dick Durbin's, Donald Trump, Ebrahim Poonawala, Poonawala, Republicans —, Dimple, Trump, Uber, Craig Siegenthaler, Siegenthaler, Rafe Jadrosich, Trump's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: White, Bank of America, of America, Democratic, Republican, Democrat, Department of Justice, Eagle Outfitters, Urban Outfitters ., Health, Tenet Healthcare, Universal Health Services, Democrats, Agilon, Humana, Big Tech, House, Trump, Republicans, Oscar Health, Centene, GOP, Securities, Exchange, Entertainment, Packaging Corporation of America, American Eagle Outfitters Locations: Hutchinson, U.S, China, Washington

☆ Here's why Goldman Sachs' gloomy 10-year stock market forecast is no reason panic
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

The first line of the note reads: "We estimate the S & P 500 will deliver an annualized nominal total return of 3% during the next 10 years." For starters, nobody knows what the coming decade has in store for the S & P 500. Valuation: Yes, the S & P 500 is currently trading at a historically high multiple. Going out on a limb and making market calls or calls about individual stocks is not for the faint of heart. The S & P 500 has more than doubled since then, advancing about 135%, which amounts to that roughly 13% annual return that Kostin mentioned in his note.

Persons: David Kostin, Kostin, Goldman, it's, Jim Cramer, Stanley Black, Decker, That's, Jim, It's, Goldman Sachs, we're, Jim Cramer's, Brendan McDermid Organizations: Goldman, Goldman Sachs Chief U.S, Equity, Treasury, Nvidia, Federal Reserve, U.S, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Goldman Sachs, U.S, Wells

☆ How investors should navigate the S&P 500 likely trailing bonds and inflation for the next decade, according to Goldman Sachs
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Goldman Sachs forecasts muted S&P 500 gains, with a 3% annual return over 10 years. Diversification and equal-weighted S&P 500 exposure may offer better long-term returns. The bank's most bearish scenario would see the S&P 500 decline by an annual 1%, while its more positive calls for a gain of 7%. Goldman SachsAdding an exchange-traded fund that tracks the equal-weighted S&P 500 could be one way to go about it. AdvertisementFurthermore, investors should consider a more mixed asset portfolio of stocks and bonds without tilting toward one more than the other.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, David Kostin, Goldman, There's, Christian Mueller Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Treasury

☆ Here's when exchange-traded funds really flex their ‘tax magic’ for investors
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Christopher Grigat | Moment | Getty ImagesInvestors can generally reduce their tax losses in a portfolio by using exchange-traded funds over mutual funds, experts said. "You'll have tax efficiency that a standard mutual fund is not going to be able to achieve, hands down," he said. The same concept applies within a mutual fund: Mutual fund managers generate capital gains when they sell holdings within the fund. Large-cap and small-cap "core" stocks also "benefit considerably," with about 85% to 90% of their returns coming from capital gains, Armour said. However, there are instances in which passively managed funds can trade often, too, such as with so-called strategic beta funds, Armour said.

Persons: Christopher Grigat, Bryan Armour, Charlie Fitzgerald III, Moisand Fitzgerald Tamayo, Armour, It's, Morningstar, Fitzgerald, Bonds Organizations: North America, Mutual, Taxpayers, CNBC Locations: Orlando , Florida, U.S

☆ Asia markets open lower after major U.S. indexes slip; India prepares for Hyundai debut
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A bronze bull statue outside the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) building in Mumbai, India, on Monday, June 3, 2024. India's stock futures jumped after exit polls indicated a resounding victory for Prime Minister Narendra Modi's ruling party in general elections that concluded Saturday. Photographer: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets slipped on Tuesday, trailing a mixed session on Wall Street. During the U.S. trading session, two Federal Reserve officials had spoken about the trajectory of interest rates. Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan said she supports the current move to lowering interest rates, but that a patient approach will be needed.

Persons: Narendra Modi's, Dhiraj Singh, Australia's, Kospi, Neel Kashkari, Lorie Logan Organizations: Bombay Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty Images, Nikkei, Hyundai, Federal, Minneapolis, Dallas Federal Locations: Mumbai, India, Getty Images Asia, Pacific, South, Asia, Hyundai India

☆ Dollar steady at August high on U.S. rates view, election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The U.S. dollar clung to a two-and-half-month high on Tuesday on expectations the Federal Reserve will take a measured approach to interest rate cuts, while a close battle in the upcoming U.S. election kept investors on edge. The U.S. dollar clung to a two-and-half-month high on Tuesday on expectations the Federal Reserve will take a measured approach to interest rate cuts, while a close battle in the upcoming U.S. election kept investors on edge. Four Federal Reserve policymakers expressed support on Monday for further rate cuts, but appeared to differ on how fast or far they believe any cuts should go. With the U.S. election just two weeks away, the rising odds of former President Donald Trump winning the Nov. 5 election are boosting the dollar, since his proposed tariff and tax policies are seen as likely to keep U.S. interest rates high. The yen on Tuesday was at 150.57 per dollar, hovering close to the two-and-half-month low of 150.88.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Harris, Komeito Organizations: U.S, Reserve, Fed ., Federal, Traders, Fed, Trump, PineBridge Investments, Liberal Democratic Party Locations: U.S, Treasuries

☆ Reddit CEO says the platform is in an 'arms race' for AI training
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Erin Snodgrass | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Reddit CEO Steve Huffman said the company is working to find its place in the AI "arms race." The platform has become a power player in the race to train AI models. Huffman hinted at large companies that are taking advantage of Reddit's content. AdvertisementReddit CEO Steve Huffman said the platform's content is among the world's best training data for artificial intelligence — and an increasingly valuable commodity as the company aims to find its place in the AI "arms race." "We've invested a lot in the last couple of years in locking that down, but it is an arms race."

Persons: Steve Huffman, Huffman, —, he's, Reddit, We've Organizations: Service, Tech, Google, Microsoft

☆ IMF: Global battle against inflation ‘largely won’
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

“It looks like the global battle against inflation has largely been won, even if price pressures persist in some countries,” the IMF said in its latest World Economic Outlook. The rosy outlook on consumer prices comes just weeks before the US election, with inflation a key issue for voters. While upside risks to inflation are receding around the world, threats to economic growth are multiplying, according to the IMF. The IMF sees the global economy expanding 3.2% this year, as it forecast in July. “Economic growth must come instead from ambitious domestic reforms that boost technology and innovation, improve competition and resource allocation, further economic integration and stimulate productive private investment,” it argued.

Persons: Downside Organizations: London CNN —, International Monetary Fund, IMF, US Consumer Locations: East, Europe, China, India

A mid-October poll by The Associated Press measured which of the two candidates voters trust on a variety of economic issues. Harris’ campaign declined to say where she wants to set the federal minimum wage, which is currently $7.25 per hour. Former President Donald Trump answers questions as he works the drive-thru line at a McDonald's on Oct. 20 in Feasterville-Trevose, Pa. “Donald Trump is running on a middle-class tax hike, Kamala Harris is running on a middle-class tax cut,” Harris campaign spokesperson James Singer said. “Working families like rank-and-file Teamsters overwhelmingly support President Trump because only he will Make America Wealthy, Strong, and Great Again.”

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Kamala Harris, Harris, Trump, ”, Kent Smetters, Sen, Chris Caldwell, Harris ’, Smetters, —, hasn’t, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Win McNamee, “ Donald Trump, ” Harris, James Singer, “, Anna Kelly Organizations: Biden, Tufts University, Trump, University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, Daily, Wharton, Democratic, The Associated Press, Voters, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Economic, Institute, Republican National, Teamsters, America Locations: Pennsylvania, McDonald’s, Las Vegas, U.S, Arizona, Feasterville, Pa, China, Communist

☆ Bitcoin at 3-month high as Trump odds drive currencies
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Cryptocurrency bitcoin hit a three-month high in early Asia trading on Monday and the dollar looked set to extend its gains in markets counting down to the U.S. presidential election in two weeks. Bitcoin got a lift from Trump's improving prospects since his administration is seen as taking a softer line on cryptocurrency regulation. The clearest way to express the Trump tariff risk was to be long dollars versus the euro, Swiss franc and Mexican peso , he said. Brad Bechtel, global head of FX at Jefferies, also noted that rising real interest rates were helping the dollar along, particularly against those three currencies. "We expect this trend to continue straight into the election and if Trump wins, likely well after the election as well," Bechtel wrote.

Persons: Cryptocurrency bitcoin, Donald Trump, Bitcoin, Chris Weston, Pepperstone, Weston, Brad Bechtel, Bechtel Organizations: U.S, Trump, China, BTC, Swiss, FX, Jefferies Locations: Asia, U.S

☆ Stock futures are little changed as earnings season gains steam: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures were flat in overnight trading after the Dow Jones Industrial Average snapped a three-day winning streak. The S&P 500 declined about 0.2%, while the Nasdaq Composite added close to 0.3%. Investor attention remains fixated on third-quarter earnings season, with about one-fifth of the S&P 500 slated to report results this week. "It is good to see analysts getting realistic about 2025 earnings growth," she said. "However, at 15% earnings growth, we believe it is still too optimistic given the expectation for slower economic growth in 2025."

Persons: Dow, Zions, Megan Horneman, Lockheed Martin Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, SAP, America, Verdence Capital Advisors, Lockheed, General Motors, Verizon, Tesla, IBM, Boeing

☆ European markets set to start the new trading week in mixed territory
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

European markets are heading toward a mixed start to the new trading week. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 index is expected to open 17 points higher at 8,373, Germany's DAX down 12 points at 19,644, France's CAC up 1 point at 7,611 and Italy's FTSE MIB up 55 points at 35,087, according to data from IG. Regional markets had ended last week on a high note after the European Central Bank announced its third interest rate cut of the year last Thursday, lowering the deposit rate by another 25 basis points, as inflation risks in the European Union are seen to be easing faster than anticipated. Overnight, Asia-Pacific markets were mixed as traders assessed China's loan prime rate announcement, with focus also on Japan's general election at the end of this week. Stateside, stock futures ticked higher Sunday night after the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 notched their best weekly win streaks of 2024.

Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: France's CAC, IG, Regional, European Central Bank, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: European Union, Asia, Pacific

☆ The S&P 500's golden decade of returns is over, Goldman says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The S&P 500 will see annualized returns of 3% over the next 10 years, says Goldman Sachs. By its calculation, the S&P 500 has about a 72% chance of trailing bonds, and a 33% probability of lagging inflation through 2034. These stocks include tech large-caps such as Nvidia and Alphabet, whose performance has driven the S&P 500 more than 20% higher year-to-date. The same issue plagues a highly concentrated index," Goldman said. According to Goldman, S&P 500 firms that have consistently generated over 20% revenue growth underwent a sharp drop off after 10 years.

Persons: annualized, Goldman Sachs, That's, —, Goldman, that's Organizations: Service, Nvidia

☆ Bank stocks are trouncing the market in October on Trump optimism
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Bank stocks have outperformed in recent weeks as investors see an improved regulatory environment if former President Donald Trump returns to the White House, according to Bank of America. The Invesco KBW Bank ETF (KBWB) , which tracks the KBW Bank Index, has climbed more than 6% since the start of October. By comparison, the S & P 500 has added less than 2% during the same period. "A Republican win would likely be viewed most positive for bank stocks in terms of returning to balance the regulatory environment." Either a Trump win with a split government or a Republican sweep would be seen as bullish for this group of stocks, Poonawala said.

Persons: Donald Trump, Ebrahim Poonawala, Trump, Poonawala, Kamala Harris, Harris, October's Organizations: White, Bank of America, KBW Bank, Republican, Department of Justice, Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, Citigroup, TD Bank, New York Community, Trump . Bank, Trump, Justice Department Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ The economic 'no landing' could drive the S&P 500 to a 13% gain in 2025, UBS says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The bank is adding to the growing numbers of forecasts for a "no landing" of the US economy. Inflation will remain low enough to leave room for the Fed to cut interest rates, boosting stocks. The job market is proving resilient, despite tighter financial conditions and higher interest rates. AdvertisementCooling price growth sets the stage for the Fed to continue cutting interest rates, UBS said, which is bullish for stocks. The strategists added that while investors may see some volatility ahead of the November election, it's unlikely to interrupt more positive market catalysts.

Persons: — Organizations: UBS, Fed, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, New

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