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China on Monday lowered its main benchmark lending rates by 25 basis points at the monthly fixing. The one-year loan prime rate (LPR) has been cut to 3.1%, while the five-year LPR has been trimmed to 3.6%, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) said. The one-year LPR influences corporate loans and most household loans in China, while the five-year LPR serves as a benchmark for mortgage rates. China's central bank governor Pan Gongsheng had indicated on Friday during a forum held in Beijing that the loan prime benchmark rates would be lowered by 20 to 25 basis points. The seven-day reverse repurchase rate will be cut by 20 basis points, while the medium-term lending facility rate will be lowered by 30 basis points, Pan also highlighted.
Persons: LPR, Pan Gongsheng, Pan, Shane Oliver, Zhiwei Zhang, — CNBC's Evelyn Cheng Organizations: People's Bank of China, AMP Locations: China, Beijing
The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose about 4 basis points to 4.112%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was up about 2 basis points to 3.979%. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose above 4.11% on Monday as investors awaited a flurry of speeches from Federal Reserve policymakers. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly are all expected to deliver remarks on Monday as investors await clues on the Fed's monetary policy outlook. The Federal Open Market Committee took the unusual step last month of lowering its baseline interest rate by a half percentage point, or 50 basis points, to a target range of 4.75% to 5%.
Persons: Lorie Logan, Neel Kashkari, Jeff Schmid, Mary Daly, Christopher Waller, Waller, , Jeff Cox Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, U.S, Dallas, San Francisco Fed, Market Locations: U.S, Minneapolis, Kansas
The recent strong run in stocks could be just the beginning, according to Canaccord Genuity. The recent rally comes as the current bull market turned two years old. Canaccord Genuity analyst Michael Welch thinks more gains could lie ahead. .SPX mountain 2022-10-12 SPX during bull market "The current two-year-old bull market remains below the median in both percent gain and duration, suggesting the upside has further room to run," he wrote Monday. The latest market run also comes as investors pore through third-quarter results.
Persons: Canaccord, Michael Welch, Welch, Goldman Sachs, Warby Parker, Goldman Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S
New research from Wall Street analysts missed the mark on two of our industrial-focused stocks. The news on Stanley Black & Decker Baird increased Stanley Black & Decker's price target to $104 per share from $94. Baird reiterated its hold-equivalent rating on shares, arguing Stanley Black & Decker's "turnaround progress remains a key focus." SWK YTD mountain Stanley Black & Decker YTD Big picture Stocks tied to housing like Stanley Black & Decker have been under pressure lately because the 10-year Treasury yield keeps rising despite the Federal Reserve's jumbo 50-basis-point interest rate cut last month and signals of further easing into year-end and beyond. Stanley Black & Decker "will be ignited when those [rate cuts] start occurring in earnest," he said.
Persons: Stanley Black, Decker Baird, That's, Baird, Decker, Stocks, Stanley, Jim Cramer, DuPont Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley, Jim, Jim Cramer's, Michael M Organizations: Wall Street, Federal, DuPont, de Nemours, Barclays, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty Locations: New York City
Investors might consider Treasury bills over CDs for better liquidity and tax benefits: Jason BrowneTreasury bills offer higher yields in some cases and are exempt from state taxes. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Another reason is that Treasurys are exempt from state taxes, which vary, while CDs are not. Perhaps a third reason, depending on where you bank, is that in many cases the shortest duration Treasurys are paying better rates than CDs. Yields on 3-month bills are 4.6%, and while some banks are offering similar or slightly higher rates still, many have much less attractive yields.
Persons: Jason Browne, Browne, , DepositAccounts Organizations: Service, Alexis Investment Partners, LendingTree, Fed
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed 'mismanaged' rate cuts & long-term rates could continue to rise, says Komal Sri-KumarKomal Sri-Kumar, Sri-Kumar Global Strategies president, and Max Wasserman, Miramar Capital senior portfolio manager, join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss economic outlooks, expectations for rates, and more.
Persons: Komal, Kumar Komal, Kumar, Max Wasserman, CNBC's Organizations: Kumar Global, Miramar Capital
American consumers and businesses are having a hard time paying off credit card, auto, and commercial real estate debt. Bank CEOs said on recent earnings calls that elevated prices and interest rates continue to weigh on Americans. According to Federal Reserve data, the past-due debt share for credit card, auto, and commercial real estate has recently risen to above pre-pandemic levels. That's because some loans are coming due — forcing businesses to refinance at much higher interest rates. The financial roller coaster of pandemic payments, whipsawing inflation, and high interest rates are especially affecting lower-income Americans.
Persons: , Wells Fargo's, haven't, Bruce McClary, David Schiff, Schiff, Edmunds, Stephen Biggar, Biggar, Jane Fraser, Brian Moynihan, Charles Scharf, Wells, Jeremy Barnum, There's, I'm Organizations: Bank, Service, Federal Reserve, Business, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Bank of, New, Fed, National Foundation, Credit, Argus Research, Bank of America's Locations: Wells Fargo, delinquencies
First, higher interest rates will reward savers, making it more expensive to take risks. And with interest rates so low, companies could suddenly load up on debt: From 2007 to 2017, global nonfinancial corporate debt doubled, to $66 trillion. Now, with the arrival of a new supercycle, money managers are once again being forced to adapt to a changing set of economic realities. Normally, when the Fed hikes interest rates rapidly, the stock market tanks. Rising interest rates will make loans more expensive, forcing businesses to make more-thoughtful decisions about debt.
Persons: Josh Hirt, Silas Myers, Myers, Hirt, you've, Joe Quinlan, they'll, Quinlan Organizations: Investors, Vanguard, Mar Vista Investments, Federal Reserve, Capital, . Venture, Nasdaq, Bank of America, Big Tech, Federal Trade Commission, Treasury, European Union, Aerospace Locations: Washington, China, Unemployment, Europe, America, Japan, United States
Earnings drove the stock market higher — can they do it again in the week ahead? But he acknowledged that timing is key because our portfolio discipline mandates that we consider lightening up our stock exposure in an overbought market. In fact, AMD was our worst-performing stock for the entire week, losing more than 7% following the prior week's 1.8% slide. Energy was the worst sector of the week for the market as oil prices sank. In the week ahead, housing numbers are the main draw on the economic front.
Persons: Jim Cramer, ASML, Morgan Stanley, WTI, industrials, We're, Sartorius, Danaher, we're, Stanley Black, Lockheed Martin, Philip Morris, Clark, Baker Hughes, Lam, DOV, CARR, Davidson, Northrop, Edwards Lifesciences, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Stocks, Tuesday's, Spencer Platt Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Netflix, Modelo, Corona, Constellation Brands, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom, Club, Abbott Laboratories, Energy, Texas, Honeywell, Danaher, Federal Reserve, Treasury, SAP, Logitech, Verizon, General Motors, GE Aerospace, GE, Lockheed, Quest Diagnostics, Norfolk Southern, Polaris, Seagate Technology, Texas Instruments, Canadian National Railway Company, Boeing, GE Vernova, Fisher, Boston, General Dynamics, Hilton, Lam Research, Business Machines, IBM, Newmont, Viking Therapeutics, Vista Energy, Mattel, O'Reilly Automotive, Whirlpool, American Airlines, United Parcel Service, Southwest Airlines, Tractor Supply Company, Carrier Global, Dow Chemical, DOW, Harley, Union Pacific, Valero Energy, Hasbro, Northrop Grumman, Ryder, Boyd Gaming, Western, Boston Beer Company, York Community Bancorp, Colgate, Palmolive, Newell Brands, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, NEW, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: BlackRock, CrowdStrike, U.S, Dover, Freeport, McMoRan, Kimberly, Norfolk, Las, ORLY, VALE, New York City
The S&P 500 has enjoyed a bull market since October 2022, rising nearly 70%. AdvertisementThe stock market has been experiencing a bull market for the last two years. The Magnificent Seven drove much of the returns for the S&P 500 this year, contributing 34% of the index's total return. Analysts expect S&P 500 companies to report 4.2% profit growth for Q3. Ever since World War II, bull markets that have lasted two years continue onwards for a third.
Persons: LPL Financial's Quincy Crosby, , Quincy Crosby, LPL, Crosby, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Jack Ablin, Jerome Powell, Buchbinder Organizations: Service, LPL, Federal, Bull, JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, Morningstar, Cresset Capital Management, Federal Reserve Locations: America
30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are close to 6.20%, according to Zillow data. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile. But now that inflation has decelerated and the Fed is expected to cut rates soon, mortgage rates have trended down. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.
Persons: they've, Fannie Mae, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's Organizations: Federal, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs, Fed, Mortgage, Association Locations: homebuyers, Chevron
CNN —Paul Whelan, the American who spent five and a half years wrongfully detained in Russia, revealed Sunday that he had passed to Western officials information he received from fellow prisoners who were fighting for Russia on the frontlines in Ukraine. “The prisoners from the camp that went to the frontline, they had communication. Whelan added that he and others were able to communicate with former prisoners through “burner” phones that they could acquire even while at the Russian labor camp in Mordovia. “Yeah, we had burner phones.”Whelan added that the guards “looked the other way” in exchange for goods such as cigarettes. His camp was primarily made up of young men from central Asian countries such as Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan, Whelan said.
Persons: CNN — Paul Whelan, , ” Whelan, Whelan, , Putin, CNN’s Jennifer Hansler Organizations: CNN, CBS, Wagner Group Locations: Russia, Ukraine, United Kingdom, Canada, Ireland, Mordovia, , Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, United States, Germany
S & P 500 money is oblivious to stock valuations of any kind and ignorant to upgrades and downgrades. The Lilliputian sellers regularly fail to do damage when matched with the oblivious index money. A 4% 2-year note isn't competitive to the magnet of the S & P 500 and its kin. That's emblematic of what happens with a big buyback without stock-based compensation (something many tech firms use that renders moot the S & P 500 inflows). Because of the way that the S & P 500 money is divvied up, the share base becomes overwhelmingly index-fund based and the index fund shareholders do not sell.
Persons: Morningstar, Smoot, Herbert Hoover's, Warren Buffett, Buffett, Jerome Powell, haven't, Charlie Scharf, Wells, Banks, Charlie, Morgan Stanley, Ted Pick, James Gorman, Schwab, Gamble, Jim Umpleby, that's, Butch Cassidy, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Charles Scharf, Kyle Grillot Organizations: Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Taiwan Semi, Trust, Fed, Triple AAA Robinhood, Morgan, Procter, United Airlines, Exxon, Caterpillar, Boeing, Apple, Meta, Sundance, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Milken Institute Global Conference, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Hawley, McCumber, Taiwan, Arizona, American, Wells Fargo, Wells, China, Chevron, Beverly Hills, Calif
Small-cap stocks surged in July, with the Russell 2000 rising 11.5% in a week. Morgan Stanley thinks they could be set for more upside in the months ahead. "We recently upgraded Small caps to neutral vs Large caps after a persistent 3 ½ year period of underperformance. "For us to get outright bullish on Small caps, leading macro indicators would likely need to reflect a clear acceleration in growth," he added. Below, we've compiled the 10 stocks on the list with the highest upside to their Morgan Stanley price targets.
Persons: Russell, Morgan Stanley, , Nicholas Lentini, Lentini, we've Organizations: Service
Odds of a "no landing" scenario for the economy are rising amid continued strong economic data. The "no landing" scenario entails a continued run of hot economic data and growth that boosts markets but also precludes a steep rate-cutting cycle from the Federal Reserve. According to Cox, that means that short-term interest rates will drop to around 3% in the no landing scenario, even if long-term rates remain elevated. AdvertisementAfter all, a no landing scenario is the best outcome for the economy, Cox said, and given hot growth, the situation effectively tosses recession fears out the window. This would be just the fourth time in US history that the Fed has cut interest rates without a downturn, he added.
Persons: , BofA, Reacceleration, Jamie Cox, Cox, They're, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, UBS, Fed, Nvidia, Apple
Inflation is not deadDaly began her talk with an anecdote of a recent encounter she had while walking near her home. But the conversation encapsulated a dilemma for the Fed: If inflation is on the run, why are interest rates still so high? As evidenced by the young man's question, convincing people that inflation is easing is a tough sell. watch nowThe annual rate of CPI inflation was 2.4% in September, a vast improvement over the 9.1% top in June 2022. However, year-over-year spending increased just 1.7%, below the 2.4% CPI inflation rate.
Persons: Brandon Bell, Goldman Sachs, Mary Daly, Daly, Goldman, Jerome Powell, , hasn't, haven't Organizations: Walmart, Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed, New York University Stern School of Business, Commerce Department, Fed, York Fed, Bank of America, National Federation of Independent Business Locations: Austin , Texas, U.S, , Wyoming, Atlanta, York
Bitcoin that's lost either when an investor dies or is simply locked out of their wallet reduces available supply. Estate planning is crucial for bitcoin investors who store the coin on a cold wallet, experts say. Satoshi Nakamoto being deceased would potentially soothe a big fear that's loomed over the bitcoin market for years, which is that the person could sell their estimated 1 million bitcoin. If no one has your private key, the funds will be locked permanently," Wealthica CEO Eric Lemieux told Business Insider. Otherwise, more lost bitcoin could mean even higher prices for the crypto.
Persons: Bitcoin that's, , Donald Trump, Satoshi Nakamoto, Len Sassaman, Satoshi, Sean Farrell, Farrell, That's, bitcoin, Eric Lemieux, Lemieux Organizations: Service, HBO, Yorker Locations: American, Wales
SUNLAND PARK, N.M. — In each of the last two summers, Laura Mae Williams, who recovers bodies for the New Mexico Medical Investigator’s Office, has had to visit the U.S.-Mexico borderlands multiple times a week. The Medical Investigator’s Office, part of the University of New Mexico Health System, used to recover only a handful of bodies a year. First responders, elected officials and advocates in New Mexico attribute the spike in deaths largely to Texas Gov. Officials, including the New Mexico Medical Investigator’s Office, also blame smugglers for the deaths, noting that in many cases they abandon people who fall behind — but only after they take their phones. “It raises an important question,” said Dr. Heather Jarrell, the chief medical examiner at the Medical Investigator’s Office, whose office marks the deaths as accidental.
Persons: Laura Mae Williams, ” Williams, Greg Abbott’s, Andrew Mahaleris, ” Mahaleris, , Heather Jarrell Organizations: , New, New Mexico Medical Investigator’s Office, Patrol, Office, University of New, University of New Mexico Health, Texas Gov, Lone Star, NBC News, Medical Locations: SUNLAND, N.M, New Mexico, U.S, Mexico, El Paso , Texas, University of New Mexico, Arizona, El Paso ., El, Texas,
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUnderestimated the Fed's success and consumer strength with price targets: Oppenheimer's StoltzfusJohn Stoltzfus, Oppenheimer Asset Management chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the strategist's S&P target, why the firm has continued to raise its price targets, and much more.
Persons: John Stoltzfus Organizations: Oppenheimer Asset Management
See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowWhat Are Today's Refinance Rates? Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are around 6.15%, according to Zillow data. In September, 30-year refinance rates averaged 5.89%, while 15-year refinance rates were around 5.19%. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile. Now that the Fed has cut rates, mortgage rates may not drop much in October.
Persons: you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, they've Organizations: Traders, Zillow, Fed Locations: Chevron
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIronsides Macroeconomics' Barry Knapp on inflation trends and resetting rate cut expectationsBarry Knapp, Ironsides Macroeconomics director of research, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss why inflation is trending higher, what the Fed's neutral target should be, and more.
Persons: Barry Knapp
Zeroing in on cyber insurance as a key area for reform comes as the U.S. government scrambles to find ways to disrupt ransomware networks. For many organizations, deciding whether to pay a ransom is a difficult and urgent decision. The hacker group allegedly demanded a ransom to return the stolen data, though it remains unclear whether NPD paid it. Darren Williams, founder of BlackFog, a cybersecurity firm that specializes in ransomware prevention and cyber warfare, is firmly against paying ransoms. UnitedHealth Group experienced this firsthand after its subsidiary, Change Healthcare, was hit by the ALPHV/BlackCat ransom group in April 2023.
Persons: Anne Neuberger, James S, Ann Neuberger, scrambles, Paul Underwood, Underwood, Bryan Hornung, Hornung, I've, they'd, , Ransom, LVHN, Darren Williams, BlackCat, LoanDepot Organizations: Brady, White, Washington , D.C, National Intelligence, FBI, Xact IT, Social, Lehigh Valley Health, Federal Trade Commission, NPD, Jerico, UnitedHealth Group, Change, Healthcare, LoanDepot Locations: Washington ,, what's, Pennsylvania, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailECB and Fed will be 'fairly synchronized' when it comes to pace of rate cuts, portfolio manager saysKonstantin Veit, portfolio manager at Pimco, discusses the outlook for interest rates in Europe and the U.S.
Persons: Konstantin Veit Organizations: ECB, Fed Locations: Europe, U.S
Howard Schnapp | Newsday | Getty ImagesThe tide could be turning for commercial real estate. That could give interest rate-sensitive sectors such as commercial real estate long-awaited positive momentum. While lower rates are not a "magic bullet," the easing of the Fed's monetary policy "lays the groundwork for a commercial real estate recovery," analysts wrote in a follow-up report in late September. More than $40 billion in transactions occurred during the second quarter, a 13.9% jump quarter over quarter, but still 9.4% lower year over year, according to real estate data intelligence firm Altus Group. While these dynamics could set the stage for a broader recovery, with some major subsectors such as commercial retail real estate picking up in tandem, the path forward will likely be uneven.
Persons: Howard Schnapp, Alan Todd, Todd, Willy Walker, Walker, Dunlop, what's, Wells, Wells Fargo, , Chad Littell, Littell Organizations: Newsday, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, CNBC, REIT, Real, Board, New York, U.S, Capital Locations: Melville , New York, Wells, U.S, Manhattan, Wells Fargo
Only 13 years ago, the world learned of what were Muammar Gaddafi's last few moments through shaky video filmed on cellphones. Small drones are a critical feature of combat in Ukraine, where they've been used for battlefield observation and attack. The hovering quality of the Sinwar video indicates it was likely filmed by a quadcopter. AdvertisementThe astounding wealth of drone-fed intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance has made more of the battlefield visible than ever before. Nonetheless, technological advances mean that drones watching the battlefield will be a ubiquitous feature of future wars, a looming threat to ground troops and fleeing leaders.
Persons: Israel, Yahya Sinwar's, , Yahya Sinwar, Sinwar, Yahya Sinwar’s, GJGDlu7bie, Nadav Shoshani, Muammar Gaddafi's, Mauro Gilli, Gilli, they've, It's, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Maria Berlinska, Guy Prives Organizations: Service, Swiss, ETH Zurich, Anadolu, Getty, Pentagon, IDF Locations: Libyan, It's, Ukraine, Russian, Moscow, Kursk, Israel
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