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Wall Street surges in bargain-hunting rally, oil slides
  + stars: | 2022-12-29 | by ( Stephen Culp | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
[1/2] The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, December 27, 2022. All three major U.S. stock indexes rose in a broad-based rally, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq leading the pack. "We didn’t have a Santa Claus rally, so we’re seeing a bit of dip buying as well." The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rose 0.57% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) gained 1.14%. The dollar index fell 0.4%, with the euro up 0.48% to $1.0659.
What’s happening: Last year, Goldman Sachs analysts predicted that the S&P 500 would close out 2022 at 5,100 points. With those caveats, let’s get to Wall Street’s predictionsThe numbers: Forecasts for where the S&P 500 will finish 2023 vary greatly. Analysts overestimated the final value (that is, the final value finished below the estimate) in 13 of the 20 years and underestimated the final value (the final value finished above the estimate) in the other 7 years. They’re on track to have overestimated the performance of the S&P 500 in 2022 by nearly 40%. During this period, the S&P 500 has historically gained 1.3% on average, according to data from LPL Financial going back to 1950.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRunning out of time for a Santa Claus rally, says Aureus' Kari FirestoneCNBC’s ‘Halftime Report’ investment committee, Kari Firestone, Rob Sechan, Joe Terranova and Jim Lebenthal, discuss their outlook as the market heads into year end.
LONDON — European stocks are expected to open higher on Tuesday as positive sentiment continues in the final trading days of 2022. Germany's DAX is seen opening 98 points higher at 14,036, France's CAC 40 up 44 points at 6,549 and Italy's FTSE MIB up 159 points at 24,033, according to IG. The U.K.'s FTSE index is closed Tuesday for a public holiday. Stateside, U.S. stock futures rose on Monday night as investors looked to see whether a Santa Claus rally will appear before year-end. Markets were closed Monday for the Christmas holiday.
US stocks finished mixed to begin the final week of trading for 2022 as the so-called Santa Claus rally failed to materialize. The weakness came despite fresh signs that China is further shedding its zero-COVID policies. Tesla stock fell as the EV maker extended the slowdown of its Shanghai factory through January, according to Reuters. Sign up for our newsletter to get the inside scoop on what traders are talking about — delivered daily to your inbox. The weakness came despite fresh signs that China is further shedding its zero-COVID policies.
U.S.-listed shares of Chinese firms such as JD.Com Inc , Alibaba Group Holding Ltd and Pinduoduo Inc (PDD.O) climbed around 2% each in premarket trading. With a handful of trading sessions left this year, investors are hoping for a so-called "Santa rally" at the end of what has been a largely disappointing month for U.S. equities. Economic data so far has offered little hope that the Fed could hit the brakes on its interest rate hikes. ET, Dow e-minis were up 147 points, or 0.44%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 12.5 points, or 0.32%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 5 points, or 0.05%. Reporting by Amruta Khandekar and Ankika Biswas in Bengaluru; Editing by Vinay Dwivedi and Sriraj KalluvilaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
U.S. stock futures rose on Monday night as investors head into the final trading days of 2022, deliberating whether a Santa Claus rally will appear and lift a market that has been weighed down by recession fears. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose by 157 points, or 0.47%. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures advanced 0.61% and 0.73%, respectively. The S&P 500 rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.2%. In December, the S&P 500 dropped roughly 5.8%, while the Dow and Nasdaq dropped about 4% and 8.5%, respectively.
[1/3] Ukrainian territorial defence member Leonid Onyshchenko, 63-year-old, speaks to his family during a festive Christmas dinner, as Russia's attack on Ukraine continues, in Kostiantynivka, Ukraine, December 24, 2022. Holding her three-month-old son Yaroslav with one hand, Maryna took a Christmas cake out of oven with the other. Vitalii helped two other sons, Petro and Tais, get dressed before the festive Christmas dinner. In the past, Ukrainian Christians mostly celebrated Christmas in early January. As the family gathers around the table, Maryna calls her father to wish him merry Christmas.
[1/2] The Royal Canadian Air Force's 22 Wing holds it’s annual NORAD Tracks Santa promotion at Canadian Forces Base (CFB) North Bay in North Bay, Ontario, Canada December 9, 2021. Corporal Rob Ouellette/Canadian Forces/Handout via REUTERSDENVER, Dec 24 (Reuters) - U.S. military officials have assured anxious children the arctic blast and snowstorm that wreaked havoc on U.S. airline traffic this week will not prevent Santa Claus from making his annual Christmas Eve flight. The Santa tracker tradition originated from a 1955 misprint in a Colorado Springs newspaper of the telephone number of a department store for children to call and speak with Santa. U.S. and Canadian fighter jet pilots provide a courtesy escort for him over North America, and Santa slows down to wave to them, he added. Reporting by Keith Coffman in Denver; Editing by Steve Gorman and Philippa FletcherOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
In a yearly series, CNBC Travel highlights diverse Christmas celebrations around the world. The Gavle goat is moving to a new location this year for the first time in 56 years, according to Visit Gavle, the city's visitor's guide. "He means a lot for us in Gavle, and he's a big part of the Christmas spirit," she said. Teachers, students and parents hold Christmas lanterns made from recycled materials during a campaign for sustainable Christmas celebrations at an elementary school in Quezon City, Philippines. "If I'm in Brazil during Christmas, I take my nephew and niece to a Christmas parade, and we have a blast!
Stocks struggled this week as recession fears resurfaced, putting a damper on last hopes for a market uptick. CNBC Pro used FactSet data to screen for the stocks with the greatest week-to-date percentage changes as of Friday's open. About 46% of analysts rate the stocks as a buy, with the consensus price target implying upside of more than 7% from Thursday's close. The stock's down about 49% this year, but the consensus price target suggests shares stand to gain more than 41% from Thursday's close. Energy stocks APA Corp and Halliburton also made the list, with shares rising 4% and 6.4%, respectively, this week, as of Friday's open.
NEW YORK, Dec 23 (Reuters) - Bruised investors are hoping a so-called Santa Claus rally can soften the pain of a tough year in U.S. stocks and potentially brighten the outlook for 2023. Friday is this year's start date for this rally named after Santa Claus - if it happens. The phenomenon has lifted the S&P 500 an average of 1.3% since 1969, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac. A December without a Santa rally has been followed by a weaker-than-average year, data from LPL Financial going back to 1950 showed. "The lack of a 'Santa Claus rally' this month, with a 'lump of coal selloff' in its place, is a troubling sign about 2023 US equity returns," strategists at DataTrek wrote.
Morning Bid: Wall Street on Santa's naughty list
  + stars: | 2022-12-23 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
This year, it looks like Santa Claus has no plans to visit Wall Street. The S&P 500 (.SPX) is on course for its third weekly decline and the famed "Santa rally", where the index stages a run-up in the week leading to Dec. 25, hasn't materialised. The index rallied straight into the third week of January in just 22 of the 90 years. On average, since 1932, the S&P 500 has returned some 0.4% in any given Santa rally week. The worst pre-Christmas week was in 1957, bang in the middle of what was known as the "Eisenhower recession".
Do not expect a Santa Claus rally, says DCLA's Sarat Sethi
  + stars: | 2022-12-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDo not expect a Santa Claus rally, says DCLA's Sarat SethiSarat Sethi, managing partner and portfolio manager at DCLA, joins CNBC's 'Squawk Box' to discuss his market outlook ahead of the open.
How Well Do You Know Your Holiday Movies?
  + stars: | 2022-12-23 | by ( Nancy Coleman | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: 1 min
Santa Claus loses it and flees to a yoga retreat in Phoenix. It’s Nick Kringle’s first year picking up the mantle after the death of his father, Kris, and he’s understandably feeling a little pressure. His sister, Noelle, borrows the reindeer to track Nick down, bring him home and save Christmas from its impending Amazonification by their tech-savvy cousin.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStone: Santa may still visit Wall Street, but there are more challenges ahead for the markets in the new yearBill Stone of the Glenview Trust Company discusses the historical trends behind the Santa Claus rally and whether there's still a shot it may occur this year.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTop market watchers on why much of the action in early 2023 will be dictated by the FedJeff Kilburg of KKM Financial and Chris Zaccarelli of the Independent Advisor Alliance discuss whether there's any outside shot at a Santa Claus rally, and how investors should position themselves through at least Q1 of next year.
In Thailand, Santa delivers presents on elephants
  + stars: | 2022-12-23 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: 1 min
[1/6] A mahout dressed as Santa Claus gives a gift to an elephant to be handed over to students ahead of Christmas celebrations at a primary school, in Ayutthaya, Thailand, December 23, 2022. REUTERS/Chalinee ThirasupaAYUTTHAYA PROVINCE, Thailand, Dec 23 (Reuters) - A trunk, rather than a red nose, is what Rudolph would need to join a herd of elephants helping Santa Claus deliver presents in Thailand. Mahouts dressed as Santa led the gentle giants to a school in central Thailand to hand out Christmas presents to about 2,000 students this week, part of an annual tradition. Students lined the school courtyard and hall while the elephants approached slowly and unfurled their trunks to give out balloons, toys and dolls. Reporting Napat Wesshasartar; Editing by Kanupriya KapoorOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Happy 50th Anniversary to the discovery of the Santa Claus rally. It's that time of year again: the Santa Claus rally. Santa Claus rally: what it is The Santa Claus rally is a short rally that runs from the last five trading days of the year to the first two trading days of the New Year. According to one study, a Santa Claus rally has materialized in four out of every five years since 1950. His father, Yale Hirsch, a friend of mine for many years, discovered and named the Santa Claus rally in 1972.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA Santa Claus rally is still possible before the new year, says Hightower's Stephanie LinkStephanie Link, chief investment strategist at Hightower Advisors, joins CNBC's 'Squawk Box' to discuss the potential for a 'Santa Claus' market rally before the new year.
The final trading week of the year is arriving with investors more concerned about defensive positioning than whether the stock market can muster a Santa Claus rally. Stocks were mostly lower in the past week, with the S & P 500 down about 0.6% as of Friday morning. After today, there are just four trading days left in the year, with markets closed on Monday for the Christmas holiday. In an interview on CNBC Thursday, Tepper said he is "leaning short" on the stock market because of global central bank tightening. The S & P 500 has averaged a 1.3% gain in that period, going back to 1950, and has been positive four out of every five years.
US stocks could see a "Santa Rally" from recent losses as buyers jump in, according to a strategist. "With an oversold market, we think Santa Claus could come to town once again," Ryan Detrick said. The S&P 500 won't retest the lows it hit in October this year, the Carson Group strategist said. "With an oversold market, we think Santa Claus could come to town once again over the next week and a half," the chief market strategist told Yahoo Finance on Wednesday. Read more: The US housing market faces a 'triple whammy' of threats - and stocks may stage a Santa Claus rally, a top strategist says
Keep an eye on the 3,800 level as the market sell-off picks up once again and investors put their hopes on a yearend rally, UBS' Art Cashin told CNBC's " Squawk on the Street " on Thursday. "That one-two combination this morning has us down, testing a very important 3,800 level in the S & P," he said. The comments from Cashin come after Tepper, the founder of Appaloosa Management, told CNBC on Thursday that he's bearish on the stock market heading into 2023. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S & P 500 fell more than 1% each, while the Nasdaq Composite was down more than 2% in late-morning trading. The S & P 500 traded around 3,808.
Indeed he has no use for electricity and for more than half a century has lived entirely off the grid. That makes him one of the few people in Europe unconcerned about rising energy costs this winter. Right now, he has two house mates, a rooster, three chickens and a cat in a community he calls "The Tribe of the Harmonious Walnuts". "I feel privileged to have the freedom to choose my freedom," said Agnese, 35, who moved in two years ago. The "harmonious walnuts" grow fruit and vegetables, olives to produce olive oil, and keep bees for honey.
CNBC's Jim Cramer outlined three reasons that markets lost a short-lived rally on Thursday. If the economy were running colder, if the stock market was lower, and if interest rates were higher before sliding, things would be different, Cramer said. Stocks fell on Thursday as Wall Street continues to worry that the Fed's interest rate hikes could tip the economy into a recession. Cramer reminded investors that charts suggest a market run could be in the works for after Thursday's trading session. "While we could still get that seasonal bounce, obviously the market's gotten tougher to game," he said.
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