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☆ Fed meeting live updates: Fed set to cut rates — but market reaction may depend on size of move
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The Federal Reserve is expected to make its first cut to interest rates on Wednesday after more than two years of tight monetary policy. That is up from 4.29% during the week of March 11, 2022, just prior to the Fed kicking off its first hike. Home equity loans have also become more expensive, with rates rising to 8.49% as of last week, compared to 5.96% back in March 2022, according to Bankrate. The Fed's tight policy has provided a silver lining to savers, however. The annual percentage yield on a five-year certificate of deposit has jumped to 2.87%, up from 0.5% in March 2022, according to Haver.

Persons: Bankrate, Haver, — Darla Mercado, Nick Wells Organizations: Federal, Mortgage News, Fed

☆ Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida: Sticking with our call of a 25 basis point cut today
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida: Sticking with our call of a 25 basis point cut todayRichard Clarida, PIMCO global economic advisor and former Federal Research Vice Chairman, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's policy meeting this week, what to expect from the central bank's interest rate decision today, state of the economy, and more.

Persons: Richard Clarida Organizations: Former, Federal Research

☆ Asia-Pacific markets open mixed as investors await Federal Reserve's rate decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Asia-Pacific markets opened mixed on Wednesday, following gains on Wall Street that saw both the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average reach new highs. Investors await the Federal Reserve's rate decision due Wednesday stateside, and will also assess economic data from Japan as well the Indonesian central bank's rate decision. Japan's private sector machinery orders in July declined 0.1% from the previous month, according to data from the Cabinet Office, missing Reuters estimates of a 0.5% increase. Bank Indonesia is set to meet Wednesday for a key BI-rate decision. The policy rate stands at its highest level since 2016, even as inflation has cooled to well within the central bank's 1.5%-3.5% target.

Organizations: Dow Jones, Japan's Ministry of Finance, Bank Indonesia Locations: Asia, Pacific, Japan, Indonesian

☆ Citi's Veronica Clark on why she expects a 125 basis points reduction this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCiti's Veronica Clark on why she expects a 125 basis points reduction this yearVeronica Clark, Citi economist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's interest rate decision today, what to expect from the central bank's policy meeting, why she expects rate cuts to total 125 basis points this year, and more.

Persons: Veronica Clark Organizations: Citi

☆ The Federal Reserve just cut interest rates by a half point. Here's what that means for your wallet
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jessica Dickler | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

"Interest rates took the elevator going up, but they'll be taking the stairs coming down," he said. That makes paying down high-cost credit card debt a top priority since "interest rates won't fall fast enough to bail you out of a tight situation," McBride said. "Many Americans have been holding off on making vehicle purchases in the hopes that prices and interest rates would come down, or that incentives would make a return," Caldwell said. Student loansFederal student loan rates are also fixed, so most borrowers won't be immediately affected by a rate cut. Eventually, borrowers with existing variable-rate private student loans may be able to refinance into a less expensive fixed-rate loan, he said.

Persons: Spencer Platt, APRs, McBride, they'll, Jacob Channel, Jessica Caldwell, Edmunds, Caldwell, Mark Kantrowitz Organizations: Getty, Treasury, Auto, Fed Locations: New York City, Edmunds

☆ Carlyle CEO Harvey Schwartz on the Fed, state of private equity and economic outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCarlyle CEO Harvey Schwartz on the Fed, state of private equity and economic outlookCNBC’s Leslie Picker and Carlyle CEO Harvey Schwartz join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, the Fed's inflation fight, central bank's monetary policy, rate path outlook, state of private equity, Carlyle's private credit strategy, and more.

Persons: Carlyle, Harvey Schwartz, Leslie Picker

☆ Traders got their big-rate-cut wish and markets still couldn't rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Wall Street got the big rate cut it wanted, but markets failed to sustain a rally. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday cut its key overnight lending rate by a half percentage point . Ryan Sweet, chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics, noted that the half-point cut suggests slowing growth is increasingly concerning Fed policy makers. "The Fed is likely worried that labor demand would weaken more, causing additional stress points in the labor market." "A larger cut probably was not needed out of the gate, but that should support risk-on asset allocation."

Persons: Ryan Sweet, Sweet, Nancy Tengler, Tengler, Scott Helfstein, Jeff Cox, Michelle Fox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Oxford Economics, Fed, Global

☆ The Fed has done its job using its narrative to loosen financial markets: RXR Realty's Scott Rechler
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed has done its job using its narrative to loosen financial markets: RXR Realty's Scott RechlerScott Rechler, RXR Realty chairman and CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's policy meeting this week, impact of the central bank's interest rate decision on commercial real estate, state of the real estate sector, and more.

Persons: Scott Rechler Scott Rechler Organizations: RXR

☆ Bitcoin is surging on hopes rate cuts will drive a speculative rush
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The rise comes amid anticipation that the Fed will deliver a half-point rate cut. Investors are anticipating the Federal Reserve's long-awaited rate cut tomorrow, which will be announced at the end of the central bank's two-day policy meeting. Regardless of the size of the cut, investors buying up bitcoin are anticipating the looser lending conditions will lead to more speculative behavior. We could be seeing a recovery of investors' appetite for risk-on assets like crypto, instigating more flows into Bitcoin spot ETFs," said Leena ElDeeb, a research analyst at 21Shares. Seasonal factors weakened the spot bitcoin ETF inflows this summer while deteriorating macro conditions drove investors toward safe, risk-off assets.

Persons: —, Morgan Stanley, Tuesday's, Leena ElDeeb, Alex Kuptsikevich, Bill Dudley Organizations: Service, New York

☆ The Fed's biggest interest rate call in years happens Wednesday. Here's what to expect
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The meeting wraps up Wednesday afternoon, with the release of the Fed's rate decision coming at 2 p.m. "I hope they cut 50 basis points, but I suspect they'll cut 25. Here's a breakdown of what's on tap:The rate waitThe FOMC has been holding its benchmark fed funds rate in a range between 5.25%-5.5% since it last hiked in July 2023. The 'dot plot'Perhaps just as important as the rate cut will be the signals meeting participants send about where they expect rates to go from here. In June, FOMC members penciled in just one rate cut through the end of the year.

Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Andrew Harnik, they'll, Mark Zandi, that's, Tom Simons, Zandi, Robert Kaplan, There'll, Seema Shah, FOMC, Moody's, Goldman Sachs, Powell presser, Goldman, Simons Organizations: Federal Reserve, Committee, Moody's, Wall, Jefferies, Dallas Fed, CNBC, Asset Management Locations: Washington , DC

☆ Former Dallas Fed President Kaplan advocates for a half-point interest rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

If Robert Kaplan still had a say in the matter, he'd be pushing for a half percentage point interest rate reduction at this week's Federal Reserve meeting. The former Dallas Fed president told CNBC on Tuesday that making the bolder move of 50 basis points would better position policymakers heading into the latter part of the year and the economic challenges ahead. "If I were sitting at the table, I would be advocating for 50 in this meeting," Kaplan said during a "Squawk Box" interview. One basis point equals 0.01%. Kaplan ran the Dallas Fed from 2015-21 and is now a managing director at Goldman Sachs.

Persons: Robert Kaplan, Kaplan, Jerome Powell, Jay Powell, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Dallas Fed, CNBC, Federal

☆ Our basis case is the Fed delivers a 25 basis point cut this week, says Vanguard's Roger Hallam
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOur basis case is the Fed delivers a 25 basis point cut this week, says Vanguard's Roger HallamRoger Hallam, Vanguard global head of rates, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's interest rate decision, what to expect from the central bank's policy meeting this week, whether a 25 or 50 basis point rate cut is warranted, state of the economy, and more.

Persons: Vanguard's Roger Hallam Roger Hallam Organizations: Fed, Vanguard

☆ DoubleLine’s Gundlach says the Fed needs to cut rates quickly, sees a half-point reduction Wednesday
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach said Tuesday that the Federal Reserve needs to ease policy swiftly amid the current economic slowdown, seeing a half-point interest-rate reduction this week. A quarter-point rate cut had been the consensus as recently as a week ago. But the 2-year Treasury yield was last at around 3.59%. The size of the Fed's first rate cut in years has been a point of debate on Wall Street. On the one hand, a rate cut could help boost earnings growth for companies following a period of high borrowing costs and stubborn inflation.

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, CNBC's Scott Wapner Organizations: DoubleLine, Federal Reserve, Treasury Locations: Huntington Beach , California, United States

☆ Now is your last chance to lock in a guaranteed 5% return before the Fed cuts rates, investing experts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Ryan Ermey | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

After months of high interest rates, the economic tides appear to be shifting. Experts largely expect the Federal Reserve to slash interest rates during the central bank's meeting on Wednesday, a reversal of a rate-hiking policy aimed at taming post-pandemic era inflation. For consumers, declining short-term interest rates will come as a relief. Versions of all three vehicles currently offer guaranteed interest rates north of 5%. That means, for certain savers, now may be the last opportunity to lock in a relatively high interest rate on short- to medium-term investments, says Amy Arnott, a portfolio strategist with Morningstar Research Services.

Persons: Amy Arnott Organizations: Federal Reserve, Morningstar Research Services

☆ U.S. Treasury yields dip as investor focus shifts to Fed meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was less than one basis point lower at 3.6401%. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly lower on Monday as investors looked ahead to this week's Federal Reserve meeting and interest rate decision. The Federal Reserve meeting and interest rate decision are top of mind for investors this week, with the central bank's meeting kicking off Tuesday and concluding Wednesday. Markets are anticipating a rate cut from the Fed, the first since it began hiking rates in March 2022, but uncertainty about how big the reduction will be has been widespread. The central bank is also set to publish its latest economic projections on Wednesday.

Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Reserve, Federal Reserve, Fed, Bank of England

☆ It's a big week for central banks around the world, with a slew of rate moves on the table
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Kevin Dietsch | Getty ImagesA flurry of major central banks will hold monetary policy meetings this week, with investors bracing for interest rate moves in either direction. The U.S. central bank is widely expected to join others around the world in starting its own rate-cutting cycle. Elsewhere, Brazil's central bank is scheduled to hold its next policy meeting across Tuesday and Wednesday. Traffic outside the Central Bank of Brazil headquarters in Brasilia, Brazil, on Monday, June 17, 2024. The central bank delivered its first interest rate cut in more than four years at the start of August.

Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin, Kevin Dietsch, John Bilton, CNBC's, Bilton, David Volpe, Volpe, 25bps, Wilson Ferrarezi, BOE, Ruben Segura Cayuela Organizations: Federal Reserves, Washington , D.C, Federal, Traders, The Bank of England, Norway's Norges Bank, South Africa's, Bank, Bank of Japan, Morgan Asset Management, European, Bank of England, ECB, Emerald Asset Management, Banco Central, TS Lombard, Central Bank of, Bloomberg, Getty, Reuters, Bank of America Locations: Washington ,, U.S, Brazil's, Brazil, Central Bank of Brazil, Brasilia, South Africa, Norway, Japan

☆ Brazil recently hit a record high. Why further gains may be harder to come by
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-15 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Brazilian stocks have been on a tear, but stubborn inflation could grind the recent rally to a stop. It's a work in progress, and most likely will require further rate hikes by the central bank." BCA Research's Arthur Budaghyan agreed that the Brazilian central bank is unlikely to hike rates for very long. Against this backdrop, Budaghyan advises clients steer clear of Brazilian stocks in the near term. U.S. investors who want exposure to the Brazilian stock market can obtain it through the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) .

Persons: Bovespa, Fernando Haddad, Goldman Sachs, Alberto Ramos, Ramos, Arthur Budaghyan, Budaghyan Organizations: U.S . Federal, CNBC, U.S, Fed, BCA, Banco, MRB Partners Locations: Lower U.S, overcompensate, America, Banco Central, Brazil, U.S

☆ The Fed coin flip: Traders still divided on how deep next week’s cut will be
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Wall Street is growing more divided on how much the Federal Reserve will move interest rates next week. In fact, the market's mixed outlook ahead of the central bank decision is more unsettled than any time since the Fed started pushing borrowing costs higher in early 2022. Investors are certain that the Fed will begin reducing interest rates next week from their current 5.25% to 5.50% range, but a sense of uncertainty lingers. We do not anticipate any dissents" from voting members of the central bank's Federal Open Market Committee next week, Bank of America's Bhave added. "So if pricing stays where it is currently, it would be the first meeting in years where there's serious uncertainty about the rates decision."

Persons: Henry Allen, Aditya Bhave, Bhave, America's Bhave Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Deutsche Bank, Bank of America, Committee, Bank, America's

☆ A big Fed meeting looms in the week ahead as economic concerns percolate
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The Federal Reserve is set to meet Tuesday and Wednesday — and is is widely anticipated to make its first interest rate cut after embarking on a hiking campaign in March 2022. As it is, stocks are headed for a winning week ahead of the meeting. On Friday, the CME FedWatch tool showed markets were split how big the rate cut would be. Investors will also watch what Fed policymakers will signal in its summary of economy projections regarding future policy moves. He worries that stocks will rally heading into the central bank meeting, with investors possibly selling the news afterward.

Persons: It's, disinflation, Chadha, CNBC's, Dave Sekera, Giuseppe Sette, Sette, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Morningstar's Sekera, Bank Asset Management Group's Bill Northey, Mills, homebuilder Organizations: Federal, Deutsche Bank, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Morningstar, U.S, Bank Asset Management Group's, Olive, Darden, FedEx, Index, Retail, Manufacturing, Housing, Philadelphia Fed Locations: U.S, Olive Garden, NAHB

See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 30-year mortgage rates are around 5.70% today, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 15-year mortgage rates finally dipped below 5% this week, according to Zillow data. Average Refinance Mortgage Rates TodayRefinance rates have also been lower in September. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data.

Persons: Jerome Powell's, you'll, they've, Freddie Mac, it's, They'll Organizations: Federal Reserve, Zillow, Fed Locations: Chevron

☆ Federal Reserve will opt for slow policy easing as there's 'still work to do' on inflation, Fitch says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"One reason we expect Fed easing to proceed at a relatively gentle pace is that there is still work to do on inflation," the report said. On a month-on-month basis, inflation rose 0.2% from July. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.3% for the month, slightly higher than the 0.2% estimate. The 12-month core inflation rate held at 3.2%, in line with the forecast. It took far longer than anticipated to tame inflation and gaps have been revealed in central banks' understanding of what drives inflation."

Persons: Fitch, Dow Jones Organizations: U.S, Fitch, Labor Department, CPI, Fed Locations: Federal

☆ BOJ looking to signal a rate hike before end of 2024, strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBOJ looking to signal a rate hike before end of 2024, strategist saysGeoff Howie, market strategist at the Singapore Exchange, discusses the outlook for the central bank's monetary policy and Southeast Asian markets.

Persons: Geoff Howie Organizations: Singapore Exchange

☆ European markets poised to open higher after ECB rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

LONDON — European stocks are set to open higher Friday as investors continue to digest the European Central Bank's decision to cut rates and its impact on future monetary policy. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 is seen opening 1 point higher at 8,239, France's CAC up 20 points at 7,448, Germany's DAX 57 points higher at 18,563 and Italy's FTSE MIB up 41 points at 33,484 ,according to IG data. The European Central Bank slashed rates as expected on Thursday, marking its second 25-basis-point cut this year and bringing its key interest rate to 3.5%. Policymakers gave little indication on the course for monetary policy, however, with President Christine Lagarde saying the bank was not "pre-committing to a particular rate path." Asia-Pacific markets, meanwhile, were mixed, as mainland Chinese markets rebounded from a six-year low and Australian markets near an all-time high.

Persons: Germany's DAX, Christine Lagarde Organizations: Central, France's CAC, European Central Bank, U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: U.S ., Asia, Pacific, Europe, France

☆ ECB to cut 'even more aggressively' in 2025 if the economy weakens, ING Bank says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailECB to cut 'even more aggressively' in 2025 if the economy weakens, ING Bank saysCarsten Brzeski, global head of macro research at ING Bank, discusses European Central Bank's interest rate cut, saying it was a "very dovish" one.

Persons: Carsten Brzeski Organizations: ECB, ING Bank

☆ CNBC's Inside India newsletter: What happens when the Fed cuts rates?
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Historically, a rate cut has been a signal for central banks in emerging markets, like India, to follow by easing monetary policy in their regions. The latest data shows that the inflation rate appears to be heading in the wrong direction in India. The headline inflation rate rose in August to 3.65% compared to 3.6% in the previous month. Instead, markets have simply hit snooze on a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India for the moment. If there's no global recession, a risk-on sentiment will likely help push up emerging market equities in the medium term after the U.S. central bank cuts rates.

Persons: Shah, Mahesh Nandurkar, Surendra Goyal, CNBC's, BofA, Banks Organizations: Federal, Reserve Bank of India, Reserve Bank, Capital Economics, India, greenback, Federal Reserve, Jefferies, Bank of America, Citi, India Research, Bank Locations: India, U.S

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