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After last week's steep sell-off, oil prices suggest traders are pricing in a demand slowdown that is similar to a mild recession, according to a Morgan Stanley analysis. Crude oil futures have declined precipitously in September, with Brent and U.S. crude oil on Friday posting their worst weeks since October 2023. Morgan Stanley is forecasting a surplus of about 1 million barrels per day in 2025. Demand Morgan Stanley looked for similar patterns in the past 35 years of Brent oil price data. Over the past five U.S. recessions, these stockpiles built by 150 million to 220 million barrels.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Martijn, Brent Organizations: Brent Locations: U.S, Brent, OPEC, Canada, Brazil, Guyana
Calling in sick is now a lot more complicated
  + stars: | 2024-09-08 | by ( Polly Thompson | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +6 min
But despite their industrious reputation, predominantly white-collar Americans who do receive paid time off are taking more sick leave than ever before. AdvertisementBut HR professionals told Business Insider there's another major shift affecting attitudes toward sick leave: the arrival of Gen Z in the office. He said he believed that Gen Z workers' expectations may seem unorthodox because the differences between Gen Z and millennials are starker than generational differences in the past. Pressure to keep workingIn the UK, where legislation has entitled all workers to sick pay since 1983, the issue of sick leave isn't as pertinent. How to treat a sick employeeThough some data suggests US workers are taking more sick days, they're hardly becoming slackers.
Persons: , Gen Z, Rue Dooley, Xer, Dooley, Z, Xavier Lorenzo, Getty, Gen, Cary Cooper, Cooper, that's, they're Organizations: Service, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business, Society for Human Resource Management, Chartered Institute, Personnel, University of Manchester, Pew Locations: Europe, California
In 2022, we started building a pickleball court due to a combination of factors. But I knew we wanted to rent the court out somehow, so I decided to give the app a shot. I've now started coaching pickleball, tooThompson built his court with a lump sum he received for entering retirement. Since I started renting the court, I thought this could be a little business for me. I got my pickleball teacher certification and started giving lessons on the court.
Persons: , Michael Thomspon, We've, pickleball, let's, Thompson, Michael Thompson, we've, it's, Michael Thompson I'm, I've Organizations: Service, Business, pickleball Locations: San Diego, Coronado
GM declined to discuss details of the spending, including how much of that amount is specifically tied to NFL advertising, but reiterated it remains significantly lower than historic levels. Last NFL season, automakers were the most-seen brand industry, with more than 10% of TV ad impressions, according to ad data company iSpot. Guideline reports viewership of NFL broadcasts grew about 7% over the past season, whereas ad spend in NFL programming doubled that pace at 14%. Automotive ad spend increased 17% over the past two seasons and is expected to increase again this year, according to Leyes. New ad campaignsToyota, as the "Official Automotive Partner of the NFL," launched a new ad campaign for the NFL season this week called "Roll Deep."
Persons: Ryan Briganti, Alberto Leyes, we've, Leyes, Andrew Messina, Messina, Mark Marshall, Jenny Wall Organizations: NFL, National Football League, Toyota Motor Corporation, Hyundai Motor Company, Detroit, Toyota, CBS Sports, CBS, Paramount, General Motors, GM, Nielsen, Disney, ESPN, Disney Advertising, Hyundai, Mercedes, Benz, Nissan Motor, Chrysler, Brands, NBC, Automotive, Baltimore Ravens, Kansas City Chiefs Locations: Messina, U.S
But soon after graduating, McRuer made an unlikely early-career pivot, ditching his dependable product design job to pursue his passion for film. The 2019 graduate studied product design at Stanford's School of Engineering. The internship quickly evolved into a full-time product design position. He initially thought he could get his filmmaking fix via a hobby that played second fiddle to his engineering work. But McRuer said he was ultimately surprised by the overlaps he's seen working in both engineering and film — particularly when producing.
Persons: , Jason McRuer, McRuer, I'm Organizations: Service, Business, Stanford's School of Engineering, Sundance Film, Global Health Labs, City of Locations: LA, City, City of Angels, Coast, Brooklyn
U.S. Secretary of the Treasury Janet Yellen speaks listens to a presentation during a tour at the IRS Processing Facility on September 06, 2024 in Austin, Texas. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen sought to reassure the public on Saturday that the U.S. economy remains strong, despite a string of weak job reports that have rattled investors and weighed on the stock market. "We're seeing less frenzy in terms of hiring and job openings, but we're not seeing meaningful layoffs," Yellen said at the Texas Tribune Festival in Austin. Yellen said the U.S. is on that path: "It really has been amazing to be able to get inflation down as meaningfully as we have. This is what most people would call the soft landing," she said.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Yellen, Nonfarm, Dow Jones Organizations: IRS, Texas Tribune, of Labor Statistics, Dow, Federal Reserve Locations: Austin , Texas, U.S, Austin
CNN —A beloved Florida high school football player died after he collapsed during a game Friday night, school officials say, bringing the number of recent known deaths among high school athletes to seven. Alabama teen Semaj Wilkins died August 13 after a medical emergency during football practice at New Brockton High School, according to CNN affiliate WDHN. His smile radiatedGainer scored two touchdowns on the night of his death, Norton said, leading the team to victory. The high school there has about 500 students and is very close knit. Gainer had recently visited Vanderbilt University in Nashville, where he had hoped to play football, according to Norton.
Persons: Chance Gainer, Jim Norton, ” Norton, , Chance, , Gainer, Norton, Semaj Wilkins, Caden Tellier, Cohen Craddock, Joe, ” Chance, Sissy Godwin, CNN’s Madeline Holcombe Organizations: CNN, Port St, Joe High School, Liberty County High School, Gulf District, National Federation of State High School, Associated Press, New Brockton High School, WDHN, US Consumer Product Safety Commission, “ School, Vanderbilt University, Norton, Vanderbilt Locations: Florida, Florida’s, Alabama, Pensacola , Florida, plateauing, Port St, Port, Nashville
The European Union has successfully avoided the "terrible prophecies" that threatened its economy in recent years, but must still contend with Russia's war in Ukraine and a tenuous trade relationship with China, outgoing European Commissioner for Economy Paolo Gentiloni said Saturday. A former prime minister of Italy, Gentiloni has served as the European Commissioner for Economy under EC President Ursula von der Leyen since December 2019. Gentiloni will not be returning for a second term as commissioner following Von der Leyen's tumultuous re-election as president — but he has laid out the economic picture that awaits his imminent successor. "The economy is growing, slowly, but growing. And the risks of differences among the European Union, that was very high when the pandemic happened, are very limited," he noted.
Persons: Paolo Gentiloni, Gentiloni, Steve Sedgwick, Ursula von der Leyen, Von der, , Russia's Organizations: European Union, Economy, European, European Central Bank, Moscow, European Commission Locations: Ukraine, China, Europe, Cernobbio, Italy's, Como, Italy
Related storiesIn the second phase of the game, soon after the Chinese invasion began, US forces were said to have engaged and stopped the Chinese amphibious assault, though China continued to bombard Taiwan. Daniel Ceng/Anadolu via Getty ImagesThis caught the hedge fund players by surprise: they had assumed EU sanctions were unlikely because of the depth of China-Europe trade, which reached $815 billion annually in 2023. The hedge fund "agreed that any room for avoiding a total divestment from China and the South China Sea was now completely lost, and market re-entry was probably many years away." The hedge fund responded by choosing to invest heavily in semiconductors manufactured in regions not affected by the war. "This would provide potential opportunities for new players to emerge in the Global South, particularly if loans can be collateralized," Knightsbridge noted.
Persons: Finley Grimble, liquidating, KSG, Daniel Ceng, Knightsbridge, Grimble, Michael Peck Organizations: Service, Business, Knightsbridge Strategic, Getty, Treasury, Defense, Foreign Policy, Rutgers Univ, Twitter, LinkedIn Locations: British, China, Taiwan, South China, Europe, South America, Japan, South Korea, Australia, Anadolu, South, Ukraine, Africa, East, Southeast Asia, Zimbabwe, Forbes
A series of fortuitous eventsWhen the train arrived in Paris, Erin and her seat neighbor went their separate ways, and Erin figured she’d never see him again. It’s called the Generator, and it has a great rooftop bar.’ And I love rooftop bars, so I remembered that.”Erin returned to the US, and she quickly lost touch with her train friend. Jordan figured the reviews were decent, the prices OK – and the rooftop bar looked appealing. “Then, that night, there was a party, an organized event on the rooftop,” Erin recalls. By then, fall had arrived, and Jordan’s summer stint at the rooftop bar was ending.
Persons: Erin Tridle, Erin, She’d, “ I’m, , she’d, , we’ve, ‘ I’m, It’s, ” Erin, ’ ” Erin, Jordan, Frenchman who’d, ’ ”, Erin didn’t, , ” Jordan, ‘ Let’s, ’ ” Jordan, he’d, – he’d, you’re, hesitating, we’ll, it’s, Jordan couldn’t, let’s, – Jordan wasn’t, Erin couldn’t, “ He’d, “ Jordan, Milian, hadn’t, Jordan –, , Anthony Bourdain’s, Anthony Bourdain, ’ Erin Tridle, She’ll, Jordan’s Covid, Erin’s, I’d, Nika Gunchak Erin, Jordan’s, – she’d, Paris, He’s, he’s, Frenchman, Jordan upended, Erin “, Jordan “, Sebastián, “ There’s, I’m Organizations: CNN, CNN Travel, Jordan, Omicron, Eiffel Locations: Paris, of Versailles, Europe, Los Angeles, Sacre, America, France, Caribbean, Australia, Paris ”, , , Seine, Milan, French, Nice, Sebastián, Spain’s Basque, United States, Erin, LA, , 8th, , American, TikTok
London CNN —PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) will start tracking where its employees in the United Kingdom work, in a bid to dial back its current work-from-home culture. Previous guidelines required them to be in for between two and three days each week, but the memo suggests that was not universally adhered to. “With that in mind, we will start sharing your individual working location data with you on a monthly basis from January as we do with other data such as chargeable hours. This will help to ensure that the new policy is being fairly and consistently applied across our business,” it added. Earlier this year, IBM told its US-based managers they had to work in the office at least three days a week or leave their positions.
Persons: PwC, , Laura Hinton, PWC, we’d, Claire McCartney Organizations: London CNN — PricewaterhouseCoopers, Staff, CNN, Employees, PwC, IBM, UPS, Meta, “ Employers Locations: United Kingdom
Economists were expecting a net gain of 160,000 jobs and for the unemployment rate to fall to 4.2%, according to FactSet consensus estimates. With inflation pretty much tamed and moderating as expected, the Federal Reserve has turned its focus to the labor market (the other part of its dual mandate). Job growth has been slowing, but there were indications that the labor market was weakening under the weight of 23-year-high interest rates. A ‘place of stability’July’s shockingly weak jobs report stoked fears that the jobs market was collapsing, potentially taking the economy into a downturn. And while a rate cut is coming, the jury is still out on the exact size of that move.
Persons: ” Eugenio Alemán, Raymond James, August’s, We’re, Rachel Sederberg, , Becky Frankiewicz, , , Kory Kantenga, , ” Kantenga, Michelle Holder, haven’t Organizations: CNN, Employers, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Fed, ManpowerGroup, Retail, Americas, LinkedIn, John Jay College, City University of New Locations: ManpowerGroup North America, Michigan, City University of New York
Andy Lipow, president of consulting firm Lipow Oil Associates, expects that another nine states will join the sub-$3 list in the next two weeks. “Gas prices, after two-plus years of sizzling because of outside factors like Covid and Russia, are finally coming back into balance,” said De Haan. The accelerating drop in gas prices should help ease financial pressure on consumers and contribute to the cooling inflation rate. Some economists say gas prices will likely be a deciding factor, and lower prices will favor the current administration. ‘Panic and fear’ at OPECAnalysts told CNN that this trend of lower gas prices is likely to continue, despite the shift in strategy from OPEC+.
Persons: Andy Lipow, Patrick De Haan, , De Haan, Kamala Harris, , ” Lipow, Bob McNally, McNally, George W, Bush, Trump, We’re, ” Trump, Tom Kloza, Kamala Harris ’, CNN’s Chris Isidore Organizations: New, New York CNN, AAA, Drivers, Lipow Oil Associates, CNN, , Federal Reserve, OPEC Analysts, Rapidan Energy Group, OPEC, Trump, Oil Price Information Service Locations: New York, Texas , Kentucky, Kansas, OPIS, Russia, Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, OPEC, China, United States, Saudi Arabia, Ukraine, America
China halts foreign adoptions of its children
  + stars: | 2024-09-05 | by ( The Associated Press | ) www.nbcnews.com   time to read: +1 min
BEIJING — The Chinese government is no longer allowing foreign adoptions of the country’s children, a spokesperson said Thursday. The only exception will be for blood relatives adopting a child or a stepchild, Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Mao Ning said. Many foreigners have adopted children from China over the decades, visiting the country to pick them up and then bringing them to a new home overseas. China suspended international adoptions during the COVID-19 pandemic. The government later resumed adoptions for children who had received travel authorization before the suspension in 2020, the U.S. State Department said in its latest annual report on adoptions.
Persons: Mao Ning, Greg Baker, Denmark’s Organizations: Foreign, U.S . State Department, State Department, NBC Asian Locations: BEIJING, China, U.S, NBC Asian America
Read previewA Los Angeles bakery was caught up in a counterfeit-check scam after receiving an order for 1,000 cupcakes. Stern told KABC the "odd" order did raise suspicion, largely because her bakery primarily specializes in occasion cakes and cookies with edible flowers, not cupcakes. Stern told the outlet the bank informed her that if the funds cleared, which they later did, the check was probably legitimate. "They said, 'Oh, it's been cited as a counterfeit check,'" Stern told the outlet. Stern told KABC the experience left her feeling "disheartened about humanity."
Persons: , Loria Stern, Stern, We've, it's, she'd Organizations: Service, KABC, Business, US Department of, Treasury, US Justice Department, Public Safety Canada Locations: Angeles
The exterior of a Red Lobster restaurant in Austin, Texas, on May 20, 2024. A bankruptcy court approved Red Lobster's plan to exit Chapter 11, putting the seafood chain one step closer to exiting bankruptcy. Red Lobster had struggled with increased competition, expensive leases, last year's disastrous shrimp promotion and a broader pullback in consumer spending. Current CEO Jonathan Tibus, who led the company through bankruptcy, will leave Red Lobster. "This is a great day for Red Lobster," Adamolekun said in a statement.
Persons: Damola Adamolekun, Jonathan Tibus, Adamolekun Organizations: Investor Holdings, Holdings, TCW, Fortress Investment Group Locations: Austin , Texas, Canada
Smith briefly lived in Germany in the early 2000s when he worked as a judge advocate general for the US Army. "That trip that I took to Germany completely changed my world," Smith, 52, told Business Insider. He said life in Germany made him realize how much he enjoyed traveling outside the US. Related storiesIn April 2021, Smith landed a job at the Small Business Administration as an attorney overseeing COVID-19 pandemic-era loans. At that point, Smith visited the Dominican Republic with a friend.
Persons: , Kobi Smith, Smith, he's Organizations: Service, US Army, Business, Social, Social Security Administration, Social Security, US Army Reserves, Army, Small Business Administration, Washington Locations: Germany, Nuremberg, Europe, Canada, Japan, Mexico, Maryland, Washington, DC, COVID, Dominican Republic, Popeyes, Ansbach, Washington ,, American
The addition of Gabbard is particularly notable given the tense exchanges she had with the vice president during their 2020 race that left Harris rattled. Trump’s team has been sketching out potential responses on reproductive rights with the expectation Harris will make that a focus during the debate. The Trump campaign has insisted the matter is settled. Thus far, no one is expected to sit in for Harris, just as no one played Biden ahead of the June debate. It’s the second time the vice president will visit the city this week after campaigning with Biden on Labor Day.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, , Trump, Joe Biden, Tulsi Gabbard, Harris ’, Biden, Trump’s, Ohio Sen, JD Vance, Rohini Kosoglu, Karen Dunn, Sheila Nix, Sean Clegg, Philippe Reines, Hillary Clinton, Clinton, overconfidence, J.B, Pritzker, underestimating Trump, , , “ They’re, ” Trump, Jason Miller, Vince Haley, Stephen Miller, Matt Gaetz, Don’t, Donna Brazile, Al, ” Brazile, “ Don’t, won’t, Mike Pence, Pence, Mr, ” Harris, It’s, Barack Obama Organizations: Washington CNN, National Constitution Center, Democratic, Trump, Biden, CNN, Illinois Gov, Republican, Florida, ABC, Union, Clinton, , Labor Locations: Philadelphia, Hawaii, Bedminster, Mar, Lago, Manhattan, Harris, Trump, State, Pittsburgh, she’s, Maryland, Las Vegas, Williamsburg , Virginia
This as-told-to essay is based on a conversation with Julie Griggs and Danielle Dietzek, the founders of the dating app Fourplay. Over 30 guys in the first week told us this was so much fun and a better way to date. And from there, we Googled how to get an app started. And if you keep going, your app is going to totally break." I was still working as a PA and got a text from friends saying to turn on the show.
Persons: Julie Griggs, Danielle Dietzek, Griggs, Julie, Danielle, it's, iMessage, Mark Cuban, I've, We've, they've, we'd, Kelly, Ryan Organizations: Service, YouTube Locations: WhatsApp
Thailand is working on a new game plan to boost foreigner arrivals and increase tourism spending: casinos. The strategy has worked for Macao — which has overtaken Las Vegas as the world's largest gambling hub — and Singapore, with two successful 14-year-old casinos. If Thailand's draft bill gets passed into law, the country could be Macao and Singapore's largest competitor by the end of the decade, industry watchers told CNBC. If the law gets passed, Thailand's casinos could generate 187 billion Thai baht ($5.5 billion) in revenues, or 1% of the country's GDP, according to Maybank research. The Thai economy grew 1.9% in 2023, and is expected to grow 2.7% this year, the finance ministry said.
Persons: Ben Lee, , Lee, Srettha Thavisin, Paetongtarn Shinawatra, Yin Shao Yang Organizations: Macao, Las Vegas, CNBC, IGamiX Management, Consulting, Tourism, Thai, Investment Bank Locations: Pattaya, Thailand, Singapore, Macao, Macau
So my dad went over there, and as soon as he was done shoveling, he looked under and there's this old train car. French said the car looked almost unrecognizable as a train car when he first saw it. AdvertisementThis is a combination car — it was used as a passenger car, a US mail car, and a cargo car. The restored train car rests underneath a depot-style overhang with a large porch. For more photos and information about the Deary train car, you can view the listing on Airbnb here.
Persons: , Isaac French, it's, Isaac French It's, John, It's, would've Organizations: Service, Business Locations: Deary , Idaho, Idaho
Downtown Campo is an hour away from San Diego in California. Downtown Campo has 28 buildingsThe listing for downtown Campo includes three separate parcels totaling about 16 acres. HMBD Real Estate MarketingRay first purchased the property in 2000 when he lived in San Diego. HMBD Real Estate MarketingHernandez echoed that sentiment, saying locals mentioned renovating the local basketball court and a new playground. AdvertisementHernandez said he's had offers from a mix of interested parties, including traditional real estate investors and people pitching unique concepts.
Persons: , Deborah Jean Peck, I've, Peck, Campo, John Ray, Nick Hernandez, " Hernandez, Marketing Ray, He's, Ray, Hernandez, Marketing Hernandez, who's, he's, Tony Hawk Organizations: Service, Campo, Business, Downtown, Campo Baptist Church, Marketing, Cleveland National Forest, Campo Metal, Campo hasn't, downtown Locations: Campo, San Diego, Downtown Campo, California, HMBD, Las Vegas, Coast, Mexico, Canada, downtown Campo
She and her family stayed in the Lone Star State for only 4 ½ months before moving back to Temecula. After my brother and his family moved to Texas, I flew out to look around. But people also talk about Texas having no income tax. I knew he didn't like Texas either, but we had just moved at my request. It was hard to leave my family in Texas, but my family in California was really happy.
Persons: , Kellee Speakman, I've, I'm, Speakman, — I'm, Robin, Let's, Speakman I'm, We're, It's Organizations: Service, Lone Star State, Business, Texas Locations: Temecula , California, Dallas, Fort Worth, Temecula, Southern California, Texas, California, Highland, San Antonio, Speakman Texas, , Texas, Murietta
Elon Musk has attacked voting by mail as an "insane" idea that encourages election fraud, but he voted by mail twice when he lived in California, according to records of his voting history obtained by NBC News. Musk voted by mail in November 2016, the year Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton, and in the November 2018 midterm election, the records show. The state records show that Musk had a sparse history of voting in California. This is the first time Musk's California voting records have been made public. Voting by mail was the choice of a majority of California voters both times Musk voted.
Persons: Elon Musk, Tesla, Porte, Musk, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, John McCain, Mitt Romney, It's, Trump, Trump's, Kamala Harris, Clinton, Joe Biden Organizations: Viva Technology, Porte de, NBC News, NBC, Social, PAC, America PAC, Daily, SpaceX, Business, Tesla, White House Locations: Paris, France, California, Los Angeles, U.S, Texas, USA, North Carolina, Wisconsin, America, Brownsville , Texas, Austin, Florida
Its wearer, of course, was Ella Emhoff, Vice President Kamala Harris’ stepdaughter and potential next first daughter of the US. “She needs a dress and she wears it, and people will watch this event but it won’t really be about what she’s wearing. Emhoff's dress was inspired by tea parties, as Ando wanted to the portray the potential next first daughter as "a modern princess." Armed with a tiny mic, a bashful attitude and an impressive 2.9 million TikTok followers, Ando filmed himself approaching celebrities asking if he could make them a dress. Ando, by contrast, has built an impressively starry client roster and millions of followers before even launching a brand.
Persons: Joe Ando, , Ella Emhoff, Kamala Harris ’, ” Ando, , Ando, Ando didn’t, Ralph Lauren, Carolina Herrera, Oscar de la, Joe Biden, Harris, Kerby Jean, Raymond —, Dr, Jill Biden, Adam Lippes, Helena Hudlin, Meena Harris, Chip Somodevilla, Dakota Johnson, Rachel Zegler, Keke Palmer, lister, Guy ” —, Rick Owens, it’s, they’re Organizations: CNN, Fashion Institute of Technology, Democratic, Convention, Vogue, Locations: Brooklyn , New York, Chicago, New York
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