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☆ U.S. payrolls increased by 216,000 in December, much better than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-05 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

December's jobs report showed employers added 216,000 positions for the month while the unemployment rate held at 3.7%. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for payrolls to increase 170,000 and the unemployment rate to nudge higher to 3.8%. That increase in the "real" unemployment rate came as the household survey, used to calculate the unemployment rate, showed a decline in job holders of 683,000 as the ranks of those working multiple jobs increased by 222,000. Major averages meandered through the day as markets reacted to a lower than expected reading from the ISM services gauge. The report showed that inflationary pressures, despite receding elsewhere, are still prevalent in the labor market.

Persons: downwardly, Dow Jones, Andrew Patterson Organizations: Labor Department, meandered, Treasury, Leisure, Federal Reserve, CME, Vanguard Locations: U.S

The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., February 24, 2022. "Presently, the markets price in around a 125bp (basis points) cut from the Fed next year," Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior market analyst at Swissquote Bank, said in a note. Investors will also parse data on U.S. services sector activity from S&P Global and the Institute for Supply Management on Tuesday. ET, Dow e-minis were down 115 points, or 0.32%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 20 points, or 0.44%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 103 points, or 0.65%. Reporting by Amruta Khandekar and Shristi Achar A; Editing by Pooja DesaiOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Caitlin Ochs, Ozkardeskaya, Amruta Khandekar, Pooja Desai Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Fed, Swissquote Bank, Labor Department, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, Nvidia, Dow e, CVS, PDD Holdings, Baidu, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ The market could be rallying itself out of the Fed interest rate cuts it wants so badly
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Rallies in the stock and bond markets could be undone by the very thing that seems to be underpinning the moves higher. The Fed relies on an amorphous group of indicators collectively known as "financial conditions" to help judge the state of play on policy. True to form, a Chicago Fed baromete r is showing financial conditions at their easiest since early February 2023. But I think they don't want to be premature, because they also know there's a risk of the economy restarting with the loosening of financial conditions. "That does not necessarily support the 'happy days are here again' everything-rally that we're currently seeing in the market."

Persons: Jerome Powell, Roger Ferguson, Powell, Jay Powell, Peter Boockvar, they're, Ferguson, Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, we're Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Dow Jones, Bleakley Financial, Chicago Fed, Committee, Traders, Fed, Group, CNBC

☆ Wolfe Research says investors are too optimistic and sees the S&P 500 dropping 8% in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

If this year's early Santa Claus rally is any indication, investors may be getting too optimistic about the prospects of a rate cut early next year, according to Wolfe Research. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S & P 500 hit fresh year-to-date closing highs on Friday. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 YTD chart Investors have been sending stocks flying on the back of expectations that the Federal Reserve will adopt more dovish policy next year. Senyek's base line scenario for 2024 sees these factors bringing the S & P 500 to 4,250 by year-end 2024, implying about an 8% drop. His bull case takes the S & P 500 up to 4,995 for a 9% gain, while his bear case calls stocks to plunge 22% to 3,565.

Persons: Santa Claus, Chris Senyek, Senyek Organizations: Wolfe Research, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal Reserve, Traders, pharma Locations: Santa, U.S

The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., February 24, 2022. Pressuring equities on Monday were higher U.S. Treasury yields, which made returns on stocks less attractive. However, some analysts have cautioned that markets have been too quick to price in lower interest rates. The S&P index recorded eight new 52-week highs and no new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 46 new highs and 17 new lows. Reporting by Amruta Khandekar and Shristi Achar A; Editing by Anil D'Silva and Pooja DesaiOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Caitlin Ochs, Jerome Powell, It's, Sam Stovall, Stovall, Santa Claus, advancers, Amruta Khandekar, Anil D'Silva, Pooja Desai Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Companies Alaska Air, Hawaiian Holdings, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Nvidia, Apple, Traders, Research, Alaska Air Group, Dow Jones, Marathon, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New York, Santa, Israel, Red

☆ Treasury yields are flat ahead of Powell comments
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The 10-year Treasury yield was last at 4.322% after declining by around 2 basis points. Powell could throw some cold water on that notion, maintaining that the central bank had to remain vigilant against inflation. Investors digested inflation data released Thursday in form of the personal consumption expenditures price index for October, which was in line with expectations. The central bank is set to meet later this month for the last time in 2023. Markets are pricing in an over 98% chance of interest rates being left unchanged then, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Spelman College, Fed

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Market participants now await policy comments from Powell at two separate discussions scheduled for 11 a.m. After recent conflicting remarks from other policymakers, investors are concerned that Powell could push back against the rate cut narrative. Other officials, including Fed Governors Lisa Cook and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee are also scheduled to speak during the day. Reporting by Shristi Achar A and Amruta Khandekar in Bengaluru; Editing by Shinjini GanguliOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Powell, Jerome Powell's, Dow Jones, underscoring, Sophie Lund, Yates, Hargreaves Lansdown, Lisa Cook, Austan Goolsbee, Alibaba, Morgan Stanley, danuglipron, Paula Oyibo, Shristi Achar, Shinjini Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Chicago Fed, P Global, ISM, Dow e, Pfizer, Marvell Technology, Automation, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Bengaluru

All eyes are now on the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) index- the Fed's preferred inflation gauge- for October, due at 8:30 a.m. ET, which is expected to show inflation eased in the previous month. The PCE index is expected to rise 0.1% on a monthly basis in October, moderating from a 0.4% increase in September. Data cloud company Snowflake (SNOW.N) added 8.2% after it forecast fourth-quarter product revenue above Street estimates on artificial intelligence driven demand. Reporting by Shristi Achar A and Amruta Khandekar in Bengaluru; Editing by Shinjini GanguliOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Caitlin Ochs, Russ Mould, AJ Bell, Jefferies, Shristi Achar, Shinjini Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Wall, Federal Reserve, Dow e, Ford Motor, Inc, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Chicago, Bengaluru

☆ Here's what it would take for the Fed to start slashing interest rates in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"In a different cycle, when inflation hadn't spiked so much, I think the Fed would have been cutting rates already. "If the real fed funds rate continues to go higher as I expect it will, then you'd want to offset that through rate cuts. And the amount of rate cuts I think they're going to have to do is a relatively large amount." "I think there's a real risk of a hard landing if the Fed doesn't start cutting rates pretty soon," the head of Pershing Square Capital Management added. However, even some of the historically more dovish Fed officials aren't showing their hands on when they think cuts will come.

Persons: Valerie Plesch, Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab, Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman, Waller, Bowman, Joseph LaVorgna, Donald Trump, Chris Marangi, Bill Ackman, Ackman, David Rubenstein, Raphael Bostic, Thomas Barkin Organizations: Eccles Federal, Bloomberg, Getty, Federal Reserve, Fed, Nikko Securities America, National Economic Council, CME Group, Stocks, Gabelli, Market, Pershing, Capital Management, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Richmond Locations: Washington , DC, Atlanta

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 17, 2023. Wall Street indexes ended marginally higher on Tuesday after Fed Governor Christopher Waller, deemed a hawk, hinted at lower interest rates in the months ahead if inflation continued to ease. Other similar positive comments sent Treasury yields tumbling, with the yield on the benchmark 10-year note last at an over two-month low of 4.2840%. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman on Tuesday alluded to the possibility of another rate hike. Reporting by Shristi Achar A and Amruta Khandekar in Bengaluru; Editing by Shinjini GanguliOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Christopher Waller, Governor Bowman, Charalampos Pissouros, Michelle Bowman, Thomas Barkin, Shristi Achar, Shinjini Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, General Motors, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Federal Reserve, XM, Nvidia, Richmond Fed, Dow e, CrowdStrike Holdings, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Bengaluru

☆ Former Trump advisor says the U.S. economy is 'back to normal,' but markets may be jumping the gun on rate hikes
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The U.S. economy is "back to normal" for the first time in two decades, but the market is getting ahead of the likely pace of interest rate cuts, according to IBM Vice Chairman Gary Cohn. The central bank in September paused its historically aggressive monetary tightening cycle with the Fed funds rate target range at 5.25-5.5%, up from just 0.25-0.5% in March 2022. "You don't want to be early to leave when you're the last one to come to the party. "The economy will clearly turn down before the Fed had starts to cut interest rates, so I strongly believe that for the first half of '24, we will see no rate activity in the Fed. Maybe [in the third quarter], we'll start hearing rumblings of some forward guidance of lower rates."

Persons: Gary Cohn, Cohn —, Donald Trump, Cohn, CNBC's Dan Murphy Organizations: IBM, Federal Reserve, National Economic, Abu, Abu Dhabi Finance, Fed Locations: U.S, Abu Dhabi

☆ In spot bitcoin ETF race, some pioneers stick to the sidelines
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Suzanne Mcgee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

The SEC has long rejected spot bitcoin ETF applications on the grounds they do meet its investor protection requirements. Industry hopes that position would shift surged in June when BlackRock (BLK.N), which has an almost unbroken record of SEC ETF approvals, filed for a spot bitcoin ETF. The only prospective issuer to disclose proposed investor fees so far is Ark Investment, which last week announced its spot bitcoin ETF would charge a fee of 0.8%. To be sure, issuers hoping to launch spot bitcoin ETFs have a more bullish outlook than those sticking to the sidelines. Magoon hopes the buzz surrounding a spot bitcoin ETF will draw more assets to Amplify's BLOK ETF.

Persons: Marco Bello, it's, Dave Mazza, Gary Gensler, Michael Sapir, ProShares, Sapir, Roxanna Islam, Aisha Hunt, Kelley, Christian Magoon, Roundhill, Mazza, Magoon, Tom Staudt, Staudt, Suzanne McGee, Michelle Price, Deepa Babington Organizations: REUTERS, Roundhill Investments, SEC, Industry, BlackRock, Ark Investment, Amplify's, Ark Investments, Thomson Locations: Miami Beach , Florida, U.S, BlackRock, Invesco, Amplify's BLOK

☆ Futures subdued ahead of comments from Fed officials; Zscaler falls
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 20, 2023. The rebound in equities in November has brought the S&P 500 (.SPX) within a very close range of its 2023 intra-day high. Multiple policy voting members are scheduled to speak during the day, including Board Governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman. ET, Dow e-minis were up 14 points, or 0.04%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 1.75 points, or 0.04%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 16.25 points, or 0.1%. Boeing added 1.7% after RBC Capital Markets upgraded the aerospace company to "outperform" from "sector perform" and set a street-high price target.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Governors Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman, Susannah Streeter, Hargreaves Lansdown, Jefferies, Shristi Achar, Shinjini Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Governors, Dow e, Hargreaves, Conference, Boeing, RBC Capital Markets, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United States, Bengaluru

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 20, 2023. Multiple Fed policy voting members are scheduled to speak during the day, including Board Governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman. Murphy & Sylvest's Nolte said investors were "digesting very, very strong gains for the month of November," referring to the declines. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 1.92-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and for a 1.63-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. Reporting by Shristi Achar A and Amruta Khandekar in Bengaluru; Editing by Shinjini GanguliOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Paul Nolte, Sylvest, Governors Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman, Murphy, Sylvest's Nolte, advancers, Shristi Achar, Shinjini Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, billings Boeing, RBC, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Murphy, Governors, Reuters, Dow Jones, Micron Technology, RBC Capital Markets, PDD Holdings, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, billings, Bengaluru

The dollar index , which measures the currency against six major peers, slipped 0.1% to 103.37 and was headed for a monthly loss of more than 3%, its worst performance since November 2022. The market is also eyeing a rate decision from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and Chinese purchasing managers' index (PMI) data. In other currencies, the euro was little changed against the dollar at $1.0937 . Against the yen, the dollar fell 0.4% to 148.885 yen . The dollar extended losses after data showed U.S. new home sales fell more than expected in October, dropping 5.6% to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 679,000 units.

Persons: ECB's Lagarde, Helen, Christine Lagarde's, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfuss, Samuel Indyk, Rae Wee, Toby Chopra, Mark Potter, Paul Simao Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Monex USA, Fed, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Reserve Bank of New, Australian, greenback, New, Thomson Locations: U.S, Washington, OPEC, Australia, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, New Zealand, China, New York, London, Singapore

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. The rebound in equities in November has brought the S&P 500 (.SPX) close to its highest intra-day level this year. "We are headed for a mixed session today...maybe something like profit taking at the beginning and then just a leveling off."U.S. The S&P 500 retail sector (.SPXRT), housing Amazon, rose 0.5%. The S&P index recorded 7 new 52-week highs and no new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 34 new highs and 18 new lows.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Elliott, Peter Cardillo, Jerome Powell, advancers, Shristi Achar, Saumyadeb Chakrabarty Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Spartan Capital Securities, Walmart, Reuters, Fed, Dow Jones, Crown, Elliott Investment Management, GE HealthCare, UBS, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Bengaluru

With U.S. markets closed on Thursday for the Thanksgiving holiday and due for a shorter Black Friday trading session, currencies are trading narrowly as liquidity is expected to remain thin. The bank will "then begin its first rate hike in Q2 2024 if wage growth continues to accelerate next year". The nationwide core consumer price index (CPI), which excludes volatile fresh food costs, rose 2.9% year-on-year in October, government data showed on Friday, against 3.0% expected by economists in a Reuters poll. Separate data showed German business morale improved for a third straight month in November. Sterling rose for a second consecutive day, up 0.2% to $1.2559, after data showed on Thursday that British companies returned to growth in November, fuelling hopes Britain will avoid a recession.

Persons: Marcos Brindicci, Jefferies, Mohit Kumar, Sterling, Ankur Banerjee, Joice Alves, Jan Harvey, David Evans Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of Japan, U.S, Federal, Fed, European Central Bank, Bank of England, ING, Thomson Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, SINGAPORE, Germany, Singapore, London

☆ Dollar defensive as markets weigh US rates outlook
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-24 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

A woman counts U.S. dollar bills at her home in Buenos Aires, Argentina August 28, 2018. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency with six peers, eased 0.029% to 103.73, staying close to the two-and-a-half month low of 103.17 it touched earlier this week. The Australian dollar rose 0.14% to $0.657, while the kiwi rose 0.07% to $0.605. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond rose 2.8 basis points to 4.576%. Reporting by Ankur Banerjee in Singapore; Editing by Jacqueline WongOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Marcos Brindicci, Sterling, Cash Treasuries, Ankur Banerjee, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, U.S, Federal, Fed, Bank of Japan, ING, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, Rights SINGAPORE, Germany, Asia, Singapore

☆ US homebuyers are waiting for the Fed to start cutting interest rates. Here's when 10 experts say it's going to happen.
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-24 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Mortgage rates could decline if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates next year. Here are 10 projections from experts on when the Fed's first rate cut will come. While these factors serve as deterrents for prospective buyers, interest rates may not stay this high forever. AdvertisementWhile declining interest rates wouldn't directly cause mortgage rates to fall, the two tend to move in the same direction. FebruaryIn August, Preston Caldwell, a Morningstar senior US economist, wrote in a note that he expected the Fed to start cutting interest rates in February.

Persons: —, Preston Caldwell, Arend Kapteyn, Bhanu Baweja, David Einhorn, Diane Swonk, Andrew Hollenhorst, Goldman Sachs, David Mericle, we'll, Simona Mocuta, Jeff Morton Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Federal, Morningstar, UBS, KPMG, Citi, Reuters, State Street Global Advisors, DWS Locations: North America's

☆ Get ready for a 2024 election that could have an outsized impact on stocks and the world economy, Lazard's top strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-24 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

But the 2024 presidential election could change that, according to Lazard's top strategist. "Whether the US continues to finance and support Ukraine is basically on the ballot," Ronald Temple told Business Insider. Advertisement"I typically try to convey to people that a presidential election is not a game-changer for stocks," he told BI. Geopolitical watershedTemple is highlighting the 2024 election as a potential watershed moment because of how the contest could affect the global geopolitical balance. AdvertisementInflation is still kingUkraine and the presidential election aren't the only two issues Temple is keeping an eye on.

Persons: Ronald Temple, —, hasn't, that's, Donald Trump –, –, Joe Biden, Wall, Temple, Biden, Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, Vladimir Putin, it's, Lazard, Russell Organizations: Business, Service, of Foreign Relations, Washington, Federal, Bureau of Labor Statistics, . Traders Locations: Ukraine, Kyiv, Russia, China

☆ Dollar defensive as markets weigh U.S. rates outlook
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The dollar was restrained on Friday by uncertainty over the path of U.S. interest rates, while the euro held overnight gains as data hinted that the downturn in the euro zone may be easing. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency with six peers, eased 0.029% to 103.73, staying close to the two-and-a-half month low of 103.17 it touched earlier this week. The Australian dollar rose 0.14% to $0.657, while the kiwi rose 0.07% to $0.605. Cash Treasuries resumed trading in Asia after Japan's holiday on Thursday, with the yield on 10-year Treasury notes up 2.9 basis points at 4.445%. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond rose 2.8 basis points to 4.576%.

Persons: Sterling, Cash Treasuries Organizations: U.S, Federal, Fed, Bank of Japan, ING, Treasury Locations: Germany, Asia

☆ Treasury yields nudge higher after Thanksgiving holiday
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-24 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield was 5 basis points higher at 4.465%, pulling away from the two-month low reached before the holiday. The 2-year note yield rose by 3 basis points to 4.94%. U.S. Treasury yields were broadly higher early Friday as markets reopen following the Thanksgiving break. Markets are pricing in a 99.5% chance of rates being held in the current 5.25%-5.5% range at the final Fed meeting in December, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. Friday, which is a shortened trading day, will provide insight into U.S. business activity across services and manufacturing with the release of S&P Global flash purchasing managers' index figures.

Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal

☆ Euro profits from better euro zone data; U.S. market shut
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-23 | by ( Amanda Cooper | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

REUTERS/Marcos Brindicci/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Nov 23 (Reuters) - The euro edged up on Thursday after data suggested the downturn in the euro zone economy may be starting to ease, although holidays in the U.S. and Japan kept trading activity muted. Earlier in the day, the euro rose against most other major currencies, following the surveys. The survey showed the euro zone economy is on track to contract again in the fourth quarter. Its PMI rose to 43.8 from 43.1, beating the poll expectation for 43.4 but was still below breakeven. The euro was up last up 0.18% on the day at $1.09075, having traded as high as $1.0931 earlier in the day.

Persons: Marcos Brindicci, There's, Michael Brown, Brown, Geert Wilders, Sterling, Jeremy Hunt, Changpeng Zhao, Bitcoin, Vidya Ranganathan, Lincoln, Emelia, Marguerita Choy, Christina Fincher Organizations: REUTERS, PMI, Saxo Bank, British, Federal, University of Michigan, Fed, Bank of Japan, Thomson Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, U.S, Japan, Germany, EU, Wednesday's, Netherlands, Singapore

☆ Euro bounces as investors cling to sliver of positive euro zone data
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-23 | by ( Amanda Cooper | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

REUTERS/Marcos Brindicci/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Nov 23 (Reuters) - The euro rose on Thursday for the first time this week, after data suggested the downturn in the euro zone economy may be starting to ease, although holidays in the United States and Japan kept trading activity muted. The euro rose broadly, gaining the most against the Swedish crown , after the Swedish central bank left rates unchanged, while also gaining on the yen and the Swiss franc. The survey showed the euro zone economy is on track to contract again in the fourth quarter. Its PMI rose to 43.8 from 43.1, beating the poll expectation for 43.4 but was still below breakeven. Sterling was last up 0.5% on the day at $1.2558, having risen to a high of $1.2575 after the PMI data.

Persons: Marcos Brindicci, There's, Michael Brown, Brown, Geert Wilders, Sterling, Jeremy Hunt, Jeff Ng, Changpeng Zhao, Vidya Ranganathan, Lincoln, Emelia Organizations: REUTERS, Swiss, PMI, European Central Bank, Fed, University of Michigan, Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation, Markets, Bank of Japan, Thomson Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, United States, Japan, Germany, Swedish, EU, Wednesday's, Netherlands, Asia, Singapore

☆ Holiday thins trading after data slows dollar's decline
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-23 | by ( Vidya Ranganathan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

With markets shut in Japan and the United States for the Thanksgiving holiday, currencies barely moved and cash U.S. Treasuries weren't traded in Asia. By 0530 GMT, however, the euro was 0.15% higher at $1.0902 and the dollar index was a tad weaker at 103.71. Adding to investors' confusion, data showed orders for long-lasting U.S. manufactured goods fell more than expected in October, signalling an economy cooling considerably after hot third-quarter growth. The dollar's rebound comes after a three-week long spell of weakness driven by evidence of a slowing economy and disinflation, leading markets to price out any additional Fed rate hikes. The forward-looking flash November purchasing manager indexes (PMIs) are also due out globally on Thursday and should help investors assess recession risks and how quickly rate cuts will begin.

Persons: Marcos Brindicci, Treasuries weren't, Jeff Ng, Treasuries, policymaker Mario Centeno, Joachim Nagel, Sterling, Jeremy Hunt, Changpeng Zhao, Vidya Ranganathan, Lincoln Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, U.S, Federal, University of Michigan, Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation, Fed, Bank of Japan, European Central Bank, Governing, PMI, Thomson Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, Rights SINGAPORE, Japan, United States, Asia, Britain, U.S

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