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☆ BTIG says S&P 500 will be stuck in a range, but thinks these stocks can outperform
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-23 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 may be due for a pullback, but some individual names could be relative outperformers, according to BTIG. Last week, the S & P 500 dropped nearly 2% in its worst week since April as investors rotated out of megacap tech leaders and into smaller names. Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, said in a Monday note that those choppy moves could continue from here. If we look at the calendar right now, that makes the most sense to us with a huge week on the macro and micro front next week," Krinsky wrote. "We think a consolidation this week in the 5450-5600 range is likely before the next meaningful move occurs," he said.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, Blackstone, AppFolio Organizations: Apollo Global Management, Blackstone, Garmin, Health, Globus Locations: BTIG

☆ The stock market is approaching 2 catalysts that will spark the next leg of the bull run, market vet says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-23 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The record stock market rally will get a boost from key economic data and earnings results, Ed Yardeni said. Yardeni highlighted strong company earnings and profit margins supporting the market in a way it didn't in 2000. AdvertisementThe stock market rally is set to continue this week as investors digest two key pieces of economic data and an onslaught of second-quarter earnings results. "We've acknowledged that the current stock market rally is reminiscent of the valuation-led market meltup of the 1990s. "We're expecting S&P 500 earnings per share of $250, $270, and $300 in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, —, We've, we've, Yardeni, We're Organizations: Service, Yardeni Research, PCE, Federal Reserve

☆ European markets set for mixed open ahead of batch of earnings reports
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-23 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

A consumer selects vegetables at a supermarket on March 12, 2024 in Berlin, Germany. LONDON — European stocks are expected to open in mixed territory on Tuesday as investors await the latest earnings reports from regional companies. The U.K.'s FTSE index is expected to open 12 points lower at 8,192, Germany's DAX up 76 points at 18,490, France's CAC 40 up 18 points at 7,639 and Italy's FTSE MIB up 122 points at 34,984, according to data from IG. European markets will be assessing the latest earnings from Givaudan, Thales, Alstom, Norsk Hydro, AkzoNobel, Banco de Sabadell, Randstad, Enagas and LVMH on Tuesday. Hungary will announce its latest interest rate decision and data releases include Dutch and Irish consumer confidence figures.

Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: LONDON, CAC, IG, Thales, Alstom, Norsk Hydro, Banco, Banco de Sabadell Locations: Berlin, Germany, Givaudan, AkzoNobel, Banco de, Randstad, LVMH, Hungary

Wiz has walked away from a $23 billion deal to be acquired by Google, in what would have been the search giant's largest-ever deal, telling employees it would pursue an initial public offering as it initially planned. The deal would have nearly doubled the $12 billion valuation of the startup from its most recent round of funding. Alphabet's cloud segment has been under pressure to grow amid competition from frontrunners Microsoft and Amazon, something the Wiz deal would have helped with. The shift benefited Wiz, which can flag security issues for applications and data on the Amazon, Google, Microsoft and Oracle public clouds. In an interview with CNBC's Sara Eisen and Carl Quintanilla at the New York Stock Exchange last year, Eisen asked Rappaport if he wants to take the startup public.

Persons: Sundar Pichai, Wiz, Assaf Rappaport, Rappaport, Thomas Kurian, Brendan Burke, It's, Doug Leone, Covid, Sid Trivedi, CNBC's Sara Eisen, Carl Quintanilla, Eisen Organizations: Alphabet Inc, Government, Society, Google, CNBC, Microsoft, Index Ventures, Insight Partners, Lightspeed Venture Partners, Sequoia, PitchBook, Intuit, Ventures, Sequoia Capital, Wiz's, Wiz, Oracle, Foundation Capital, Motorola, Lenovo, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Stanford , California, Sequoia

☆ These 2 key metrics will signal whether small, unloved stocks will continue to beat the market, BofA says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The firm is looking at specific levels for the 10-year Treasury yield and manufacturing PMI. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. New research from Bank of America outlined two specific criteria that could serve as signals the rally will continue. AdvertisementMeanwhile, manufacturing PMI fell to 48.5 in June. "The Manufacturing economy is in the second longest downturn in history with 21 months without two straight months of 50+ PMI.

Persons: —, SPW, Russell, Tom Lee Organizations: of America, PMI, Service, Bank of America, Treasury, 6.3ppt, Bank of America Global Research, Federal Reserve, Barclays Locations: outperformance

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Biden drops out, endorses Harris
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on June 01, 2023 in New York City. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Get the CNBC Daily Open report in your inbox every morning and keep up to date with the markets wherever you are. Big Tech faces the challenge of rekindling Wall Street's enthusiasm after a $900 billion tech rout.

Persons: Sebastian Raedler, haven't, Stephanie Pope, Max, CNBC's Jim Cramer, Elon Musk, Dan Ives, Lina Khan, Khan, Ives, CrowdStrike, Fred Imbert, —, Alex Harring, Jesse Pound, Kevin Williams, Leslie Josephs, Josie Rozzelle, Kevin Breuninger, Dan Mangan, Zev Fima, Spencer Kimball, Lim Hui Jie Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Bank of America, Boeing, Farnborough, Trump, Microsoft, Securities, Big Tech, Google, Apple Locations: New York City, London, New York, New Delhi, Washington

☆ Millennials will inherit $90 trillion by 2034. 3 reasons they'll supercharge the ETF market, according to $4.3 trillion State Street.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Namely, millennials invest in exchange-traded funds more than any generation before them, according to State Street Global Advisors' 2024 ETF Impact Survey. AdvertisementOverall, State Street, which manages $4.3 trillion in assets, found that boomers are doomers when it comes to the overall economic outlook. State Street Global AdvisorsMillennials across the world are also more likely than any other generation to hold ETFs in their portfolios. AdvertisementETFs also offer easy liquidity, especially when compared to the mutual funds that are popular with older demographics. Investors can't trade mutual funds intraday because trades are executed once a day after the 4 p.m. market close.

Persons: —, aren't, Scott Chronert, Chronert, millennials, Michael Arone, Vanguard Russell, Russell, That's Organizations: Service, Street Global Advisors, Business, State Street Global Advisors, Mutual, Citigroup, Bank of America, State, Trust, Vanguard, Nasdaq, Boomers, Bond, Bond Market, State Street, Galaxy Asset Management, Street Locations: Australia, Singapore, Japan

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Biden drops out
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Starbucks stake Activist investor Elliott Management has taken a substantial stake in Starbucks and is engaging with management to boost the company's share price, according to the Wall Street Journal. Get the CNBC Daily Open report in your inbox every morning and keep up to date with the markets wherever you are. Big Tech faces the challenge of rekindling Wall Street's enthusiasm after a $900 billion tech rout.

Persons: haven't, Stephanie Pope, Max, Elliott Management, Laxman Narasimhan, Howard Schultz, CNBC's Jim Cramer, Elon Musk, Dan Ives, Lina Khan, Khan, Ives, CrowdStrike, Fred Imbert, —, Alex Harring, Jesse Pound, Kevin Williams, Leslie Josephs, Josie Rozzelle, Kevin Breuninger, Dan Mangan, Zev Fima, Spencer Kimball, Rohan Goswami Organizations: CNBC, Dow, Boeing, Farnborough, Wall Street, Starbucks, Trump, Microsoft, Securities, Big Tech, Google, Apple Locations: London, New York, New Delhi, Washington

☆ Croatia: Assailant kills five people at care home for the elderly, media reports say
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Story Associated Press | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +1 min

Zagreb, Croatia AP —An assailant entered an elderly care home on Monday in central Croatia, killing and wounding several people, Croatian police said. Media reports said five people were killed. The Index news portal said five people died immediately, while others were still receiving medical assistance. The suspect fled the scene, but the police soon caught him in a cafe near the facility in the town of Daruvar, the report said. Police said they were informed after 10 a.m. Monday that a man using firearms killed and wounded several people at the nursing home.

Persons: ” Organizations: Croatia AP, Media, Police, Authorities Locations: Zagreb, Croatia, Daruvar, Slavonia

☆ 10-year Treasury yield falls as investors look to key data in week ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over three basis points to 4.2077%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last less than one basis point lower to 4.5043%. U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Monday as investors awaited key economic data slated for the week and markets considered the latest U.S. political developments. Investors looked ahead to key data due this week that is set to provide fresh hints about the state of the economy and could inform the Federal Reserve's decision-making when it comes to monetary policy. According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders were last pricing in an around 96% chance of a September rate cut.

Persons: Joe Biden, Kamala Harris Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, White, Democratic

☆ S&P 500 futures are little changed as investors await key earnings reports: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

S&P 500 futures are near flat Monday night, with traders readying for earnings reports from major companies after the benchmark posted its best day in more than a month. Futures tied to the broad index sat near their flatline, as did Nasdaq 100 futures . The S&P 500 rose more than 1% for its best session since early June, while the Dow ticked higher by 0.3%. The S&P 500 was led higher by the information technology and communication services sectors, which gained roughly 2% and 1.2%, respectively. "If we get that bullish inflation report, I think you could see another leg higher in small caps and the banks."

Persons: Russell, Larry Tentarelli, Tentarelli, Mattel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Federal Reserve, Blue, Motors, Comcast, UPS, Technology, CNBC

☆ Investors are about to find out if the mega-cap tech rally is over
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Mega-cap tech stocks have a lot to prove with upcoming second-quarter earnings results. The long-term outperformance of mega-cap tech relative to small-cap stocks is being tested by slowing revenue growth. AdvertisementThe mega-cap tech rally hit a wall in recent weeks as investors turned their attention to small-cap stocks in a historic way. That's in stark contrast to the dominance of mega-cap tech stocks relative to small-cap stocks over the past one-, three-, five-, and ten-years. Investors will get their first taste of mega-cap tech earnings on Tuesday, with Tesla and Alphabet set to release their second-quarter results after the market close.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, Russell, David Kostin, Kostin, That's Organizations: Service, Vanguard, Growth, Tech, Investors, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Nvidia, Big Tech, Trump

Mortgage rates have steadily been decreasing for several months now. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of factors, including economic trends, Fed policy, investor demand, and more. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowToday's refinance ratesMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. This is a significant slowdown compared when it peaked at 9.1% in 2022, which means mortgage rates should start trending down soon. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.

Persons: they've, Freddie Mac, you'll, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal Reserve, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, Sky Locations: Chevron

☆ Inflation, jobs and labor: The economy a new Democratic nominee will face
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Eva Rothenberg | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

The US economy added 206,000 jobs in June, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported July 5, a small dip from May’s tally of 215,000 jobs. Inflation rates are nowhere near the pandemic-era peak reached in June 2022, when US inflation hit 9.1%, its highest annual rate in more than 40 years. As of last month, annual inflation was 3%, down from 3.3% in May, according to the Consumer Price Index. But the legislation comes as some manufacturing jobs have also been cut due to outsourcing. Manufacturing jobs across the country have plateaued at 13 million employees after recovering from a sharp pandemic-related downswing in 2020, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Persons: Joe Biden, ”, Biden, Jobs, aren’t Organizations: New, New York CNN, Democratic, of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Fed, Consumer, Index, “ Companies, White House, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: New York, America, United States, China, Arizona , Colorado , New Mexico , Oregon, Texas

☆ Uganda’s President Museveni warns citizens they are ‘playing with fire’ over planned protests
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Nimi Princewill | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

… We are busy producing … cheap food, other people in other parts of the world are starving… you here want to disturb us. You are playing with fire because we cannot allow you to disturb us…”, Museveni said in the three-hour-long wide-ranging address. However, those agitating for a protest are unimpressed with the government’s handling of corruption, urging Ugandans to “#March2Parliament” on July 23 to “#StopCorruption.”’. She was among high-profile Ugandan politicians sanctioned by the United States and the United Kingdom for corruption earlier this year. “Among is designated due to involvement in significant corruption tied to her leadership of Uganda’s Parliament,” according to the US State Department.

Persons: CNN —, Yoweri Museveni, Museveni, ”, “, Ashiraf Hector, X, Bobi Wine, Wine, ” Museveni, Ugandans, Anita Annet Organizations: CNN, National Commission, Human Rights, Uganda Police Force, ”, of Government, US State Department, Locations: Kenya, East, Uganda, United States, United Kingdom, ”

Though many Americans believe the housing market is at risk of crashing, the economists who study housing market conditions overwhelmingly do not expect a crash in 2024 or beyond. How low demand can cause a housing market crashA sudden drop in homebuying demand can lead to a housing market crash. What a housing market crash would mean for homebuyersAnything is possible, and nobody has a crystal ball to see for certain what will happen in the housing market in the coming months and years. Preparing for a potential housing market crashRight now, you probably don't need to be preparing for the housing market to crash. Housing market crash FAQsWhat are the key signs of an impending housing market crash?

Persons: homebuyers, Fannie Mae's, Lawrence Yun, Yun, isn't Organizations: Housing Survey, National Association of Realtors, Housing Locations: exurbs, Chevron

☆ Global markets rise after Biden exit
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

New York CNN —Global markets made solid gains after President Joe Biden dropped out of the 2024 presidential election Sunday and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee. European markets were higher, and Asian markets closed mostly lower. But “the fact that Biden endorsed Kamala Harris reduces uncertainty,” said Jay Hatfield, CEO at Infrastructure Capital Advisors. “Markets are increasingly focused on the US presidential election in November,” wrote Deutsche Bank’s Henry Allen in a research note on Monday. Stocks tumbled toward the end of last week as a turbulent election cycle and a global tech outage rocked technology stocks in particular.

Persons: Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, unwind, Harris, Biden, ”, Jay Hatfield, Trump, ” Hatfield, Deutsche Bank’s Henry Allen, Lyndon Johnson, Stocks Organizations: New, New York CNN — Global, Democratic, Dow, Nasdaq, Trump, Infrastructure Capital Advisors, Deutsche Bank, “, Deutsche Locations: New York

Like other consumer rates, mortgage rates are impacted in large part by what's going on in the economy. This allowed mortgage rates to drop as low as they did, with 30-year mortgage rates reaching an all-time low of 2.65% in January 2021, according to Freddie Mac. Because mortgage rates are still so high, some hopeful homebuyers have decided to wait for lower rates to start shopping for homes. Mortgage rates in 2024: FAQsWill mortgage rates go down in 2024? All consumer interest rates, including mortgage rates, should start to ease as soon as inflation slows further.

Persons: Homebuyers, homebuyers, what's, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Lawrence Yun, that's Organizations: Fed, Bureau of Labor Statistics, NAR, National Association of Realtors, CNBC, Federal Housing Finance Agency, Veterans United, Loans, Federal Reserve, Mortgage, Association Locations: Chevron

☆ How Biden's unpopular economic record could be a challenge for Kamala Harris
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

As the frontrunner for the Democratic party's nomination, Kamala Harris will have to run, for better or worse, on President Joe Biden's economic record. It will be just one challenge Harris will have to overcome to defeat her Republican opponent, former President Donald Trump . Despite historically low unemployment and macro growth that has defied long-held expectations for recession, the economy is Biden's soft spot. "I don't see a lot of daylight between her views on economic policy and those of the administration," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics , a Democrat who has advised administrations of both parties. Possible change at the Fed One area of difference between Biden and Harris could be a crucial one — the Federal Reserve.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Joe Biden's, Biden, Harris, Donald Trump, She's, Greg Valliere, she's, There's, Mark Zandi, Zandi, nonfarm, Joseph LaVorgna, Biden's, Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell, reappoint Powell Organizations: Democratic, Biden, Republican, AGF Investments, Reuters, Moody's, Democrat, Economic Council, Nikko Securities, Federal Reserve, Senate, Beacon, Advisors Locations: California

Understanding the Federal Reserve's role in mortgage ratesThe Federal Reserve's actions are a big influencer in where mortgage rates head. In the time since the Fed began raising rates, mortgage rates have climbed steadily. The Fed's impact on mortgage rates FAQsHow does the Federal Reserve affect mortgage rates? The Federal Reserve influences mortgage rates by setting the federal funds rate, which impacts borrowing costs, investor activity, and market conditions. When the Fed raises interest rates, mortgage rates often increase as well, making borrowing more expensive.

Persons: Michael Gifford, Fannie Mae's Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, it's, Mortgage Bankers Association, Reserve, Chevron Locations: lockstep

☆ Stock market today: US stocks rise as traders try to come back after worst week since April
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Investors are gauging what a potential Kamala Harris presidency could mean for the stock market. Second-quarter GDP and the June PCE index will be released later this week. The gains came one day after President Joe Biden announced he would not seek re-election, and instead endorsed his Vice President, Kamala Harris. That will be followed by the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, the PCE index, at 8:30 a.m. on Friday. Economists expect the June Core PCE index to rise 2.5% year over year, which is not far off from the Fed's long-term inflation target of 2%.

Persons: Kamala Harris, —, Joe Biden, Harris, Donald Trump, Trump's, JD Vance, Alex Saunders Organizations: Service, Technology, Nasdaq, Trump, Citi, Federal, Here's Locations: California

☆ A 'Trump trade' hedge using options
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The reason this matters to investors is the so-called Trump trade. The stock market did very well following former President Donald Trump's victory over Hillary Clinton in November 2016, but smaller businesses, in particular, were beneficiaries. When we listen to some of the policy ideas that Trump has discussed, such as measures intended to protect smaller U.S.-based businesses, companies in the small-cap Russell 2000 index stand to benefit. Since the June 27 debate, the Russell 2000 has outperformed the S & P 500 by more than 6 percentage points. So, investors must acknowledge that if Trump's path to victory against Harris or a potential unknown pinch-hitter is less certain, then uncertainty must, by extension, apply to the Trump trade.

Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump's, Hillary Clinton, Trump, Russell, Harris, — Organizations: Trump, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: IWM

☆ Biden's withdrawal from the presidential race spells uncertainty for the 'Trump trade'
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Joe Biden's withdrawal from the 2024 presidential race is causing market uncertainty. Analysts now expect more market volatility after Biden pulled out of the race. AdvertisementUS President Joe Biden's withdrawal from the presidential election is throwing fresh uncertainty into the markets for a second straight week. Investors were already trying to position themselves for the so-called "Trump trade" following the failed assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump on July 13. Markets at large were relatively calm following Biden's withdrawal after the Trump trade gripped sentiment last week.

Persons: Joe Biden's, Trump, Biden, —, Donald Trump, Mark Haefele, Jim Reid, Kyle Rodda, Harris, Chris Weston, Pepperstone, Kamala Harris, Biden's, Haefele Organizations: Service, Trump, Republican, UBS Global Wealth Management's, Nasdaq, Treasury, Deutsche Bank, Democrats, Democratic Party, Democratic, UBS

☆ Stock market today: Tech drives market rebound as investors brace for earnings and fresh data
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The tech sector drove US stocks higher on Monday ahead of key economic data releases this week. The Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 both rose over 1%, reversing some of last week's sharp decline. AdvertisementUS stocks surged on Monday, with technology stocks leading the way as investors brace for a slew of earnings results and economic data. Investors will be focused on two big economic data points this week, as well as a steady flow of second-quarter earnings results. AdvertisementThat will be followed by the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, the PCE index, at 8:30 a.m. on Friday.

Persons: — Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Federal, Visa, Texas Locations: Fundstrat, Here's

☆ European markets set to open higher as traders assess U.S. political landscape
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

In this photo illustration showing a screen, current US President Joe Biden is seen speaking from the Roosevelt Room of the White House in Washington. President Biden and Vice President Harris held a briefing to discuss the incident and express support for Donald Trump. LONDON — European stocks are expected to open higher as global markets react to the news that U.S. President Joe Biden had dropped out of the U.S. presidential race. The U.K.'s FTSE index is seen opening 24 points higher at 8,163, Germany's DAX up 9 points at 18,166, France's CAC 40 up 18 points at 7,538 and Italy's FTSE MIB 21 points higher at 34,338, according to data from IG. Global traders are watching the U.S. political landscape closely after Biden dropped out of the presidential race on Sunday and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee.

Persons: Joe Biden, Roosevelt, Biden, Harris, Donald Trump, Germany's DAX, Kamala Harris Organizations: White, LONDON, U.S, CAC, IG, Global, Democratic Locations: Washington

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