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Futures edge higher as SVB deal soothes bank fears
  + stars: | 2023-03-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
SummarySummary Companies Futures up: Dow 0.31%, S&P 0.34%, Nasdaq 0.17%March 27 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Monday after a buyout deal for failed Silicon Valley Bank's deposits and loans helped soothe some jitters around severe stress in the banking sector. First Citizens BancShares Inc (FCNCA.O) said on Monday it will acquire parts of Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB.O), the collapse of which earlier this month marked the largest bank failure since the 2008 financial crisis, unleashing fears about a liquidity crunch in the sector. Other regional banks Western Alliance Bancorp (WAL.N) and PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) also climbed 5.4% and 9.2%, respectively. Shares of major U.S. banks JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N), Citigroup (C.N) and Bank of America (BAC.N) advanced between 0.8% and 1.4%. While the Silicon Valley Bank deal has helped instill some confidence in the banking sector's stability, concerns about a bigger crisis have not abated completely, analysts said.
GIS gets from price target bumps on Wall Street. Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) sees price target cut at Raymond James, which goes to $241 per share from $300. RH (RH), the company formerly known as Restoration Hardware, price target cut to $245 per share from $335 at Wedbush. Wingstop (WING) cut to underperform (sell) from hold at Jefferies, which kept its $160-per-share price target. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Yields and prices move in opposite directions and one basis point equals 0.01%. ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by close to five basis points to 3.4265%. The 2-year Treasury was trading at around 3.8875% after rising by over 11 basis points. U.S. Treasury yields climbed on Monday as investors assessed the latest changes in the banking sector and concerns about its future eased slightly. Investors considered fresh developments in the banking sector.
London CNN —Europe’s banks are not yet in the clear, a top EU regulator said Monday, two weeks after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in the United States unleashed turmoil in the global banking sector. José Manuel Campa, the head of the European Banking Authority (EBA), told a German newspaper that European lenders remained vulnerable following the demise of SVB and the subsequent emergency rescue of Credit Suisse by UBS. The regulator is currently finalizing a study of the effects of interest rate risks on European banks, which it started working on in the fall. “The investigation is not yet concluded, but I can say already today that we don’t expect to find major institutions with significant solvency risks arising from unrealized losses,” Campa said. Meanwhile, years of mismanagement and scandal at Credit Suisse left it particularly exposed to a broad sense of unease about banks.
In the wake of recent market volatility and steep share price falls, Morgan Stanley cautioned that the European banking sector is "not as attractive as it was." Morgan Stanley strategists cautioned that although the banking sector is now cheaper, news flow surrounding earnings upgrades and cash return expectations may fade or reverse. On a top-down basis, Morgan Stanley recommended the following overweight-rated (a buy equivalent rating) stocks to navigate this environment with a defensive exposure. Stocks in traditionally defensive sectors, such as health care and utilities, are being recommended by Morgan Stanley. However, Morgan Stanley said the banking sector's problems have shifted this perspective, as the outperformance of European banks has been closely tied to the broader European market.
Corning shares could rally as earnings hit a bottom, according to Deutsche Bank. Analyst Matthew Niknam upgraded the materials stock to buy from hold, and increased his price target by $3 to $38, which implies the stock could gain 15.7% from where it closed Friday. Niknam expects tailwinds to gross margin to help drive earnings per share as the year progresses. He expects Corning to earn 40 cents per share in the first quarter, which will then grow to 47 cents per share by the second quarter. By the end of 2023, quarterly earnings will rise to 59 cents per share, he said.
CNBC Daily Open: SVB deposits and loans find a buyer
  + stars: | 2023-03-27 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. By all appearances, First Citizens Bank is a willing buyer of SVB — unlike UBS' forced marriage with Credit Suisse, orchestrated by Swiss regulators. Deutsche Bank is not another Credit Suisse in two key aspects. Deutsche Bank reported a 1.8-billion-euro ($1.98 billion) net profit, giving it an annual net income for 2022 of 5 billion euros. By contrast, Credit Suisse had a fourth-quarter loss of 1.4 billion Swiss francs ($1.51 billion), bringing it to a full-year loss of 7.3 billion Swiss francs.
BENGALURU, March 27 (Reuters) - Indian shares opened higher on Monday after reports of advanced talks for the acquisition of collapsed Silicon Valley Bank brought relief to markets, although fears of contagion in the global banking system lingered. Eight of the 13 major sectoral indexes advanced, with the heavyweight financials index (.NIFTYFIN) adding 0.3%. While reports of a potential acquisition of Silicon Valley Bank by First Citizens BancShares Inc calmed nerves, concerns over credit crunch persisted, putting authorities on high alert over the fallout from recent banking turmoil. Among individual Indian stocks, shares of Phoenix Mills (PHOE.NS) jumped nearly 6% after global brokerage firm Morgan Stanley initiated coverage on the stock with an "overweight" recommendation. ($1 = 82.1970 Indian rupees)Reporting by Bharath Rajeswaran in Bengaluru; editing by Eileen SorengOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Pinterest — Pinterest gained 4.3% after UBS upgraded the social media stock to buy and said shares could pop more than 25% as the company improves its advertising strategy. First Republic , PacWest — Regional bank stocks were moving higher on Monday following a report from Bloomberg News that U.S. authorities were considering expanding government support for banks to provide additional liquidity. Shares of First Republic jumped 23% in premarket trading, while PacWest Bancorp rose about 9%, and Western Alliance gained 5%. KeyCorp — KeyCorp gained 6.8% after Citi upgraded the stock to buy from neutral. Corning — Shares advanced 2.3% after Deutsche Bank upgraded Corning to buy from hold.
European stocks rebound as banking jitters ease
  + stars: | 2023-03-27 | by ( Sruthi Shankar | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
European banks (.SX7P) rose 0.9% after shedding 3.8% on Friday, when Deutsche Bank (DBKGn.DE) sparked a rout in the sector. "Many investors still don't want to touch the banking sector for fears there is more distress to come," said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell. "Yet for every bleak situation, there is always someone who sees an opportunity to make money, hence why we're seeing a rise in the share price of many European banks today." European stocks are looking to end the first quarter of the year with gains, buoyed by signs of economic resilience and hopes that central banks are near the end of their tightening cycles. However, European banks are set to end the quarter nearly flat amid the banking sector turmoil.
Dollar steady as banking crisis fears linger
  + stars: | 2023-03-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar was steady on Monday, while the yen hovered near its seven-week peak as investors assessed moves made by authorities and regulators to rein in worries over the global banking system. Minneapolis Fed president Neel Kashkari said on Sunday the recent stress in the banking sector and the possibility of a follow-on credit crunch has brought the U.S. closer to recession. "What's unclear for us is how much of these banking stresses are leading to a widespread credit crunch. That credit crunch ... would then slow down the economy," Kashkari said in comments to CBS show Face the Nation. The Australian dollar rose 0.09% to $0.665.
First Citizens BancShares — The Raleigh, NC-based bank soared 50% after agreeing to buy Silicon Valley Bank's deposits and loans. Roku — Shares of the media platform jumped more than 4% after Susquehanna upgraded it to positive from neutral. The Wall Street firm said it continues to see Roku as "a prime beneficiary of the secular shift of linear budgets." It reaffirmed revenue of $2.95 billion to $3 billion, compared to $3 billion expected by analysts, per StreetAccount. Marqeta — The payments stock jumped nearly 10% after Wolfe Research upgraded it to outperform from peer perform.
CNBC Daily Open: Deutsche Bank is not Credit Suisse
  + stars: | 2023-03-27 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
A Deutsche Bank AG branch in the financial district of Frankfurt, Germany, on Friday, May 6, 2022. Deutsche Bank is the latest bank to suffer a panic-driven sell-off. Deutsche Bank is not another Credit Suisse in two key aspects. By contrast, Credit Suisse had a fourth-quarter loss of 1.4 billion Swiss francs ($1.51 billion), bringing it to a full-year loss of 7.3 billion Swiss francs. On the other hand, Credit Suisse disclosed it had to use "liquidity buffers" in 2022 as the Swiss bank fell below regulatory requirements of liquidity.
Asia's economic data and policy calendar this week is light, which is perhaps just as well because investors' focus is firmly fixed elsewhere - the global banking crisis and what it means for growth, markets, and policy. Fears over deteriorating credit conditions are rising, despite the swift and bold action from U.S. and Swiss authorities. Fed and European Central Bank officials raised the warning flags on Sunday, echoing soundings from across the private sector last week. The turmoil and volatility across interest rates and fixed-income markets since Silicon Valley Bank was shuttered by California regulators on March 10 has been severe. Currency market volatility has been surprisingly subdued since the banking crisis flared up.
[1/3] The logo of Swiss bank Credit Suisse is seen in front of a branch office in Bern, Switzerland November 29, 2022. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File PhotoWASHINGTON/FRANKFURT, March 26 (Reuters) - Stress in the banking sector is being closely monitored for its potential to trigger a credit crunch, a U.S. Federal Reserve policymaker said on Sunday, as a European Central Bank official also flagged a possible tightening in lending. "What's unclear for us is how much of these banking stresses are leading to a widespread credit crunch. Meanwhile in Europe, the ECB believes that recent banking sector turmoil may result in lower growth and inflation rates, its vice president Luis de Guindos said. Turbulence among banking stocks on both sides of the Atlantic continued into the end of the week, despite efforts by politicians, central banks and regulators to dispel concerns.
NEW YORK, March 26 (Reuters) - Some investors and analysts are calling for more coordinated interventions from central banks to restore financial stability, as they fear that tumult in the global banking sector will continue amid rising interest rates. On Friday, shares of Deutsche Bank (DBKGn.DE) plunged amid concerns that regulators and central banks have yet to contain the worst shock to the banking sector since the 2008 global financial crisis. Global central banks including the Federal Reserve have recently taken measures to enhance the provision of liquidity through the standing U.S. dollar swap line arrangements. "The issue with European banks and big U.S. banks at the moment is confidence. Meanwhile, overall deposits in the banking sector have declined by almost $600 billion since the Fed began to raise interest rates last year, the biggest banking sector deposit outflow on record, noted Torsten Slok, chief economist at Apollo Global Management.
Work from home has in part jacked up food prices, and the increase is about 14% above just last year. The only bank that looks like Silicon Valley Bank is First Republic Bank (FRC) because it, too, has suffered huge deposit withdrawals. Nike (NKE)said China orders were good, so did Club stock Starbucks (SBUX). As counterintuitive as it is, the banking row will give the 4.8% fed funds rate a chance to cool consumer spending. This gives stocks a window to advance until we begin earnings season with what will no doubt be a cautious banking sector.
Stock futures edged higher Sunday evening as Wall Street came off a winning week and investors continued to follow the troubling bank sector. The moves come after Wall Street capped off a winning week despite volatility related to the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate hike and the ongoing bank crisis. The news reignited concerns over the health of the European banking system that started with UBS ' acquisition of Credit Suisse earlier this month. "Although markets were okay with the Fed, it was the second thing — the ongoing turmoil in the banking system — that mattered even more." In the week ahead, investors will likely continue watching the banking sector for indicators of potential weakness.
But investors are guarded, wary that another bank run could erupt if people believe U.S. or European regulators won't protect depositors. Uncertainty over the Fed's intentions is amplifying investors’ hesitation in stocks and sparking huge swings in U.S. government bond prices. The Fed raised rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday but indicated it was on the verge of pausing further increases. Risk assets have been somewhat resilient despite the concerns in the banking sector, said Jason England, global bonds portfolio manager at Janus Henderson Investors. England expects longer-duration bond yields to start to rise from current levels, making short-term bonds and money market funds more attractive.
In less than a month, Silvergate, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, and Credit Suisse have collapsed. Jerome Powell, Nouriel Roubini, Elon Musk, and others have shared their views on the turmoil. Experts have pointed to the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hikes over the past year as a driver for the turmoil. Jerome PowellFollowing the announcement of a 25-basis-point rate hike, the Fed chief said all depositors' savings are safe, adding that US banking system is "strong and resilient." Elon MuskThe billionaire Tesla and Twitter chief sees danger ahead for the US economy if the Fed doesn't contain the crisis among regional banks.
CNN —Markets seesawed severely this week when two of the US economy’s most prominent leaders gave seemingly contradictory statements on the health of the banking sector. But the evolving banking crisis makes it unclear if the central bank’s best-laid plans will pan out. The tumult in the banking sector is an outcome of the central bank’s fight against inflation, says José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers and former economist at the FDIC. And while containing the banking turmoil will be important for markets and the economy, it’s only one part of a complex equation. To be sure, it’s unclear how the banking sector will hold up, especially as a slide in shares of Deutsche Bank on Friday adds to global concerns.
The program collaborates with UPenn's Wharton business school, and it teaches college women the fundamentals of markets, portfolio management, and finance. Katherine Jollon Colsher, President and CEO, Girls Who Invest Girls Who InvestKatherine Jollon Colsher is the chief executive officer and president of Girls Who Invest, a nonprofit that aims to help women enter asset management and other careers across Wall Street. Katherine Jollon Colsher: We work exclusively in the buy side, and we do focus exclusively on placing women in internships and frontline investing roles to advance more women portfolio managers. With that, our vision is for 30% of the world's investable capital to be managed by women by 2030. Shares of the German bank tumbled on Friday, as the cost of credit default swaps linked to its bonds shot higher.
A recent pullback in U.S. bond yields, whose ascent punished growth stocks last year, is also buoying their prices in 2023. Megacaps' growing market capitalization means indexes such as the S&P 500 are increasingly driven by a smaller cluster of stocks. The weight of the top five S&P 500 companies has rebounded to 21.7% from 18.8% for the top five stocks at the end of 2022. The S&P 500 energy sector (.SPNY) is down 7.5% since March 8, while the industrials sector (.SPLRCI) is off 5%. In turn, he said, that likely means "the big-cap growth stocks will be the ones who lead from here."
World stocks gyrate as bank contagion fears bite
  + stars: | 2023-03-24 | by ( Koh Gui Qing | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
"The growing sense of unease about the global banking system is heightening volatility in stock markets around the world," said Nigel Green, chief executive of deVere Group, a financial advisor. The failure of U.S. regional banks Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB.O) and Signature Bank (SBNY.O) this month triggered fears of a banking contagion and prompted U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Thursday to pledge action to safeguard bank deposits. JP Morgan Chase (JPM.N) dropped 1.52%, the S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) was down 0.33%, while the KBW regional bank index (.KRX) climbed 2.92%. "I don't expect this volatility (in bank stocks) to subside anytime soon," said Peter Doherty, head of investment research at private bank Arbuthnot Latham in London. Doherty said issues of "contagion risk within the U.S. banking sector" were undoubtedly weighing on appetite for bank stocks elsewhere.
What’s Going On at Deutsche Bank?
  + stars: | 2023-03-24 | by ( Quentin Webb | Caitlin Mccabe | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
Deutsche Bank, Germany’s largest lender, is one of 30 global systemically important banks that regulators monitor more closely. Deutsche Bank AG stock tumbled Friday, and the cost of insuring the lender’s debt against default leapt to multiyear highs, in the latest sign of investor nervousness about global banks. What is Deutsche Bank and why does it matter? The bank is Germany’s largest lender, with total assets of about 1.337 trillion euros, or about $1.448 trillion, at the end of last year. It employs nearly 85,000 staff across 58 countries and is one of 30 global systemically important banks that regulators monitor more closely, in order to safeguard financial stability.
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