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Yen heads for strongest week in 3 months as carry trades unwind
  + stars: | 2024-07-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The yen was poised for its strongest week in nearly three months on Friday as traders unwound their long-held bets against the frail currency ahead of crucial U.S. inflation data that could cement rate cut expectations. The yen was poised for its strongest week in nearly three months on Friday as traders unwound their long-held bets against the frail currency ahead of crucial U.S. inflation data that could cement rate cut expectations. The euro was a tad stronger at $1.0853 but is down 0.35% for the week, its steepest weekly decline since early June. The souring risk sentiment this week has weighed heavily on the Aussie and the New Zealand dollar . The Aussie is down 2% for the week, its worst weekly performance since November 2023.
Persons: James Athey, Ben Bennett, they're Organizations: Marlborough Investment Management, Federal, Fed, Traders, Bank of Japan, Legal, General Investment Management, New Zealand Locations: Tokyo, Asia, Pacific
Improving news on inflation again has raised investors' hopes that the Federal Reserve soon will start to aggressively lower interest rates. Futures market pricing now indicates that while the Fed will remain on hold at next week's policy meeting, it will commence cutting in September and move again in November and December. The market-implied probability for a September cut nudged up to about 90% Friday morning, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool that measures fed funds futures pricing. Traders in early 2024 were pricing in at least six cuts this year, but the central bank's rate-setting group has remained on hold for a year. Following the two-day meeting that concludes next Wednesday, the Fed meeting schedule is empty for August, save for the all-important annual conclave in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.
Persons: Joseph Brusuelas, , Jerome Powell, Christopher Waller Organizations: Federal Reserve, Friday's Commerce Department, RSM, Traders, Federal Open, Fed Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming
In today's big story, Southwest ditching its unassigned seat policy is a sign of the end times for budget airlines as we know it. Southwest Airlines is ending its open seating policy , opting for assigned and premium seating options. Between paid seat assignments and premium seating, Southwest could add as much as $3 billion in new revenue, according to one analyst. AdvertisementKevin Carter/Getty ImagesThe real pain of the current travel landscape is being felt by budget airlines. That's why Southwest's decision to end its open seating policy could be a sign of the end of budget airlines as we know it, writes BI's Taylor Rains and Pete Syme.
Persons: , Chelsea Jia Feng, Elliott Management's, wasn't, Insider's Benjamin Zhang, Kevin Carter, BI's Taylor Rains, Pete Syme, Bob Jordan, Goldman Sachs, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Prince Williams, Getty, Griffin, Tyler Le, NKSFB, Chris Brown, Rupert Murdoch, Murdoch, they're, They're, Claudia Sahm, Donald Trump, Benjamin Netanyahu, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, Southwest Airlines, Southwest, Southwest isn't, Bank of America, Getty, Bauer, Fox, News Corp, Mar Locations: Southwest, , Taylor, Los Angeles, Lago, New York, London
CNN —Yet another favorable piece of economic data shows that price hikes are slowing and that long-unruly inflation appears to be tamed. On a monthly basis, the price index increased by 0.1%, also landing in line with expectations. Falling energy prices, which dropped 2.1% from May, continued to help put a damper on overall inflation in June, as did goods prices, which dropped 0.2%. Food and services inflation increased just 0.1% and 0.2%, respectively, for the month. Taking inflation out of the equation, real spending was still up for the month, rising 0.2%.
Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Commerce
GLD 5Y mountain GLD The SPDR Gold Shares ETF is the world's largest, with BlackRock's iShares Gold Trust and iShares Physical Gold ETC the second and third, respectively. Other top physical gold ETFs include the Borse Commodities GmbH Xetra-Gold and the SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust . Gold mining ETFs Buying gold mining ETFs — which own shares of multiple gold mining companies — is another way to get exposure to gold, and Meyer described those backed by large banks as "relatively safe," in an email to CNBC. "Even though gold equities respond to changes in gold price, the degree of that response has deteriorated over time," he said, adding that the risks and costs of gold extraction can weigh on miners. A selection of gold bars and one-ounce gold coins at Gold Investments Ltd. bullion dealers in London, UK, on Tuesday, May 21, 2024.
Persons: Tom Price, Price, Berenberg, Robin Bhar, Amy Arnott, John Meyer, Colin Hamilton, BlackRock's, Meyer, Barrick Gold Panmure Liberum, George Milling, Stanley, they're, Morningstar's Arnott, Bhar, Chris Ratcliffe Organizations: CNBC, Panmure, Bank of America, Citi, UBS, Gold, Morningstar, SP, CNBC Pro, Royal Mint, BMO Capital Markets, Borse Commodities, MiniShares, Gold Miners ETF, Miners, Barrick, Resolute Mining, Hochschild, Caledonia Mining, Barrick Gold Panmure, Endeavour Mining, Endeavour, Pan, Resources, State Street Global Advisors, Gold Investments, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Panmure Liberum, U.S . New York, United States, U.S, Hochschild Mining, Zimbabwe, London, West Africa, Berenberg
Some states are particularly vulnerable to climate risks, but these ten states are most ready for what Mother Nature has in store. 2024 Infrastructure Score: 276 out of 425 points (Top States Grade: A+) Climate Extremes Index: 14.9% Properties at risk: 96% Renewable energy: 24% 8. 2024 Infrastructure Score: 189 out of 425 points (Top States Grade: C-) Climate Extremes Index: 22.12% Properties at risk: 34% Renewable Energy: 77% 2. While a large percentage of Idaho properties are susceptible to climate risk, the danger of flooding is relatively minimal. 2024 Infrastructure Score: 195 out of 425 points (Top States Grade: C) Climate Extremes Index: 16.54% Properties at Risk: 90% Renewable Energy: 78% 1.
Persons: Jeremy Porter, Pete Buttigieg, Maria Lehman, Nature, Marli Miller, Justin Sullivan, Wolfgang Kaehler, Matt McClain, Randy Olson, Forester John Erixson, Kirby Lee, Jared Polis, Mario Tama, Rushmore, Idaho Neil Lincoln, Brownlee, Robert Gauthier, William, Marcia Lee, David Becker Organizations: First Street Foundation, Infrastructure Law, Transportation, CNBC, American Society of Civil Engineers, First, Atmospheric Administration, U.S . Department of Energy, Oregon Solar, UCG, Getty, Oregon Department of Energy, Washington, Cedar, Bio Energy Washington, Lightrocket, Washington Department of Commerce, Clean Energy Fund, New, Washington Post, Energy, Nebraska, Nebraska Forest, Colorado, University of Colorado, California, Energy Department, Dakota, Idaho Power, Los Angeles Times, Idaho Locations: Louisiana, States, Oregon, Valley , Oregon, Arizona, Phoenix , Arizona, Maricopa County, Phoenix, King, King County , Washington, United States, New Mexico, Mora , NM, Nebraska, Loup, Taylor , Nebraska, Boulder , Colorado, Palm Springs , California, California, Texas, South Dakota, Cavan, Iowa, Idaho, Nevada, Las Vegas
In 2021, Maryland adopted a ten-year Climate Adaptation Resilience Framework aimed at making the state's infrastructure more sustainable by 2030. 2024 Infrastructure Score: 230 out of 425 points (Top States Grade: B) Climate Extremes Index: 62.44% Properties at risk: 100% Renewable Energy: 14% 9. 2024 Infrastructure Score: 235 out of 425 points (Top States Grade: B) Climate Extremes Index: 62.44% Properties at risk: 54% Renewable Energy: 4% 5. 2024 Infrastructure Score: 246 out of 425 points (Top States Score: B+) Climate Extremes Index: 39.82% Properties at risk: 14% Renewable Energy: 5% 4. 2024 Infrastructure Score: 179 out of 425 points (Top States Grade: D+) Climate Extremes Index: 48.6% Properties at risk: 100% Renewable Energy: 6% 1.
Persons: There's, Jeremy Porter, Maria Lehman, Governor Moore, Sarah L, Voisin, Ming Li, Wes Moore, Baltimore's Francis Scott Key, Kevin Dietsch, Danielle Villasana, Joseph Prezioso, Pennsylvania Al Walker, Audrey, Jeff Swensen, Drew Koch, Zbigniew Bzdak, Aaron Wilson, Joe Biden, Lady Jill Biden, Peter Zay, Winter Storm Lorraine, Anibal Martel, Louisiana Farmer Chad Hanks, Justin Sullivan, John Bel Edwards, Jeff Landry, Lokman Organizations: NOAA National Centers for Environmental, First Street Foundation, U.S, Infrastructure, American Society of Civil Engineers, Companies, CNBC, First, Atmospheric Administration, U.S . Department of Energy, Maryland, Preparedness, Washington Post, University of Maryland Center, Environmental, Gov, Energy, Delaware Contractors, Army Corp of Engineers, Texas, Lone Star State, Climate Center, Georgetown University, The, New, New Hampshire Workers, AFP, Getty, Environmental Protection Agency, University of New, Pennsylvania, Grow, Keystone, Pennsylvania Department of Environmental, Chicago Tribune, The Buckeye State, Mississippi Residents, Anadolu, Connecticut Municipal, Winter, Constitution, Connecticut Department of Public Health, Louisiana, NOAA, Task Force, Republican Gov Locations: U.S, States, , Maryland, Silver, Maryland, Montgomery, Chesapeake, Bethany Beach , Delaware, Delaware, Houston , Texas, , Texas, The Texas, New Hampshire, Nashua , New Hampshire, University of New Hampshire, Grow Pittsburgh, Braddock , Pennsylvania, Pittsburgh, Midwest, Ohio, Sandusky, Lake Erie, Erie, Mississippi, Rolling, United States, Connecticut, Hartford Area , Connecticut, Kaplan , Louisiana, Louisiana, Jersey, Lodi , New Jersey
In this article ETH.CM=BTC.CM= Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTDado Ruvic | ReutersCrypto prices rose on Friday following two down days in which investors rotated out of risk assets. Bitcoin was last higher by 4.5% at $67,720.83, according to Coin Metrics, and ether advanced 4% to $3,248.25. In equities, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite and the broad-market S&P 500 — which suffered their worst single trading day since 2022 this week — rallied. Many expect favorable crypto comments from Trump — who in recent weeks has painted himself as the pro-crypto candidate in this year's election — could boost prices in coming days. Still, bitcoin is little changed for the week, while ether is on pace to end the week with an 8% loss.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Bitcoin, , MicroStrategy, Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: Reuters, Metrics, Nasdaq, Federal, Bitcoin Conference, Trump — Locations: Nashville
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by less than one basis point at 4.2563%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.4307% after falling by over one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Friday as investors awaited the release of key inflation data ahead of the Federal Reserve's upcoming monetary policy meeting next week. Those are some of the last key economic data releases before the Fed meets next week to discuss monetary policy. The inflation figures come after economic data throughout the week have given mixed signals about the state of the economy.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, Federal, PCE, Fed, U.S, PMI
Oil prices were up slightly on Friday on stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data that raised investor expectations for increasing crude oil demand from the world's largest energy consumer. But concerns about soft economic conditions in Asia's biggest economies, China and Japan, capped gains. At the same time, inflation pressures eased, which kept intact expectations that the Federal Reserve would move forward with a September interest rate cut. Lower interest rates tend to boost economic activity, which can spur oil demand. Still, continued signs of trouble in parts of Asia limited oil price gains.
Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, Commerce Department, Reuters, Federal Reserve Locations: Fort Stockton , Texas, China, Japan, U.S, Asia
The put is OTM because the strike price is below the spot price. Related storiesIf you have a bullish outlook on the IWM, you expect the share price to continue rising or at least not drop below the strike price. Picking the appropriate strike price is subjective and based on a trader's risk tolerance and the premium they're looking for. Tastylive, options chainSince options contracts are purchased in lots of 100, it could seem nerve-racking to think you may need to accept delivery of those shares. Worst-case scenario, you end up owning IWM shares at a cost below what you would have bought them for on the spot market, Dierking said.
Persons: Russell, Liz Dierking, Dierking, IWM, That's Organizations: Service, Nasdaq Locations: IWM
Fed officials use the PCE measure as their main baseline to gauge inflation, which continues to run above the central bank's 2% long-range target. An important gauge for the Federal Reserve showed inflation eased slightly from a year ago in June, helping to open the way for a widely anticipated September interest rate cut. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, showed a monthly increase of 0.2% and 2.6% on the year, both also in line with expectations. Goods prices fell 0.2% on the month, while services increased 0.2%. The report also indicated that personal income rose just 0.2%, below the 0.4% estimate.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, Fed
Bernard Arnault's wealth fell by about 20% between late March and late July, per Bloomberg data. There's been a drop in demand for luxury goods, and LVMH posted disappointing earnings this week. Arnault is still the world's third-richest person, with an estimated net worth of $185 billion. AdvertisementLVMH CEO Bernard Arnault's wealth is slumping amid a drop in demand for luxury goods. Still, Arnault remains the world's third-richest person, and the wealthiest outside the US.
Persons: Bernard Arnault's, There's, LVMH, Arnault, , He's, Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Elon, Business
Experts say those stock moves and shuffling sectors are common during a bull market. But Bank of America is calling today's conditions something else — a buffalo market — which is still in the bull family. But unlike the bull market, it may get tired after a strong runup. "It might roam, it might wander in the summer months," said Marci McGregor, head of portfolio strategy at Merrill and Bank of America Private Bank. The firm's outlook sees markets finishing higher this year, based on factors including earnings, the investment cycle, financial conditions, interest rates and generative artificial intelligence.
Persons: Marci McGregor, McGregor Organizations: Financial, Bank of America, Merrill, Bank of America Private Bank Locations: New York City
Asia-Pacific markets saw a sell off on Thursday, tracking losses on Wall Street as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite saw their worst days since 2022. The broad market index lost 2.31%, closing at 5,427.13, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq slid 3.64% to end at 17,342.41. Meanwhile, Tesla shares declined 12.3% — their worst day since 2020 — on weaker-than-expected results and a 7% year-over-year drop in auto revenue. Over in Asia, investors will assess South Korea's advance second-quarter GDP numbers, which came in slightly below expectations. South Korea's GDP grew 2.3% year on year, lower than the 2.5% expected by economists polled by Reuters.
Persons: Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Reuters Locations: Seoul . Asia, Pacific, Asia
The Unilever headquarter building seen by the Nieuwe Maas river in Rotterdam. LONDON — European markets are heading for a lower open Thursday, with a flurry of corporate earnings and a selloff on Wall Street in focus. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 was last seen opening 19 points lower at 8,132 points, according to IG data, with Germany's DAX and France's CAC 40 down by 80 points and 45 points, respectively. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index closed 0.6% lower on Wednesday as second-quarter earnings season ramped up. Data will be released on German consumer confidence and euro zone and U.K. business activity, ahead of next week's euro zone gross domestic product second-quarter print.
Persons: Germany's DAX, carmakers Stellantis, Roche Organizations: Unilever, LONDON, CAC, MIB, Nestle, carmakers, Renault, Nasdaq, Deutsche Bank, Nikkei, U.S, Reuters, Bank of Locations: Rotterdam, Swiss, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Bank of Japan
Despite its progressive intentions, the tax failed to raise sufficient revenue for the monarch, as people boarded up their windows to lower their tax liability. Window tax was a property tax based on the number of windows in a house. In addition, the minister also lifted capital gains for stock market investors who cash in within a year from 15% to 20%. While the tax raises more than £3 billion ($3.9 billion) annually, it has given birth to far riskier forms of speculation while simultaneously hurting the stock market. However, given the lofty valuations that Indian stock markets currently trade, the tax to skim the excesses might be a positive development over the longer term.
Persons: Nirmala Sitharaman, Ajay Aggarwal, King William III of, Mike Kemp, Upasana Chachra, Morgan Stanley, Siddhartha Khemka, Motilal Oswal, Michael Langham, Abrdn, it's, JPMorgan's Jahangir Aziz, Aziz, Raghuram Rajan, Suman Bery, Bery Organizations: Union Finance, Budget Press Conference, National Media Centre, Hindustan Times, Getty Images, Getty, Budget, Motilal, Institute for Fiscal Studies, Reuters, CNBC, Health, Reserve Bank of India Locations: DELHI, INDIA, New Delhi, India, Mayfair, London, United Kingdom, England, Britain, Kerala, Malaysia, Nipah
US stocks gave back gains to trade mixed on Thursday amid more tech weakness. GDP grew 2.8% in the second quarter, according to advanced estimates from the Commerce Department, well-above the 2.1% growth economists had expected. PCE inflation rose 2.6%, down from the prior reading of 3.7%. Mega-cap tech stocks continued to slide after Tesla and Alphabet delivered disappointing results for the second quarter. Alphabet was down for a second day, dropping another 3% on Thursday.
Persons: , Neil Dutta Organizations: PCE, Service, Dow Jones, Treasury, Commerce Department, Fed, Macro, Meta, Microsoft, Here's
A third of the S & P 500 companies are set to report earnings next week. As the busiest week of earnings season approaches, here are some companies that have historically posted a beat and rallied afterward. Amazon , Apple , Merck and Exxon Mobil are among the companies slated to release their quarterly results. With this in mind, Bespoke Investment Group screened for companies reporting next week whose quarterly earnings have managed to beat consensus analyst estimates at least 75% of the time. Additionally, the stocks in the screener all have gained on average 1.5% the day of or following their earnings release.
Persons: Oppenheimer, Meta's, Steve Madden Organizations: Apple, Merck, Exxon Mobil, Investment, Meta, Nasdaq, Mastercard, Bank of America Locations: China, Wednesday's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGerman budget 'not ambitious enough to breathe life into the German economy,' economist saysClemens Fuest, president of IFO, discusses the latest German business climate index and the outlook for the country's economy.
Persons: Clemens Fuest, IFO
Separate data on spending shows that American shoppers are still shopping. That measure strengthened in the second quarter, rising to a 2.9% rate compared to 2.6% seen earlier this year. Generally, one risk that comes with an economy that’s expanding robustly is that price pressures can either get stuck or heat up. Businesses are still spending, but less on thisBusinesses invested much more in the second quarter than in the first three months of the year. The measure for that — known as “nonresidential fixed investment” — rose to a 5.2% rate in the second quarter, up from 4.4% in the first quarter.
Persons: That’s, pare, , Jamie Cox, ” Scott Helfstein, ” Oren Klachkin Organizations: Washington CNN, Gross, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, PCE, Harris Financial Group, , Nationwide
The small-cap-heavy Russell 2000 will jump 15% or more in August, Fundstrat's Tom Lee told CNBC. Expectations of a Trump White house are also helping drive small-cap buying, Lee added. Fundstrat's Tom Lee told CNBC that the small-cap-focused Russell 2000 is likely to gain 15% or more through August, if history is any guide. Lee says the market's certainty in upcoming interest-rate cuts — expected to commence in September — is helping drive the small-cap rally. "The nine times it did that since 1979, when you were in a bear market, we were up 100% — one month, three months, six months, 12 months later," he said.
Persons: Russell, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, , It's, He's, Donald Trump Organizations: CNBC, Trump, Service, tanking, Barclays
Stock futures rose modestly on Thursday evening as the major averages head for weekly losses and investors anticipated a reading of the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 42 points, or just over 0.1%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed about 0.1% each. The activity seemed to be part of a broader rotation into small caps and more cyclical areas of the market. ET, traders will watch for the June reading of the personal consumption expenditures report, an inflation reading that's preferred by central bank policymakers.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Dexcom, Adam Turnquist, Dow, Dow Jones Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Federal, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Bristol Myers Squibb, Colgate, Palmolive, 3M Locations: New York City, Stock, Michigan
The stock market is facing several issues: a tech re-rating, a slower economy, a seasonally weak period and an uncertain presidential outcome. Big cap tech is getting re-rated This is what happens when the market gets top-heavy in technology. Prices for megacap tech stocks have run up dramatically in hopes of outsized earnings. Regardless, investors have been re-rating tech stocks for many weeks now. Technology stocks have been toppy for some time.
Persons: Sundar Pichai, he'd, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Matt Bartolini, Kamala Harris, Sam Stovall, Trump Organizations: Technology, Cloud Computing, Semiconductor, P Technology, X Social Media, Semiconductors, Micron, Qualcomm, Nvidia, Broadcom, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research, State, Trump, Democratic Locations: SPDR Americas
Interest in emerging markets has been growing and investors are now looking out for sectors and stocks best placed to benefit. "Emerging markets are too important to ignore," says Malcolm Dorson, a senior portfolio manager at the U.S.-headquartered Mirae Asset, which has around $600 billion in assets under management. "Emerging markets have a multi-decade story with significant opportunities. More than 4 billion people live across emerging markets, Dorson noted, adding that each country will have "significant domestic consumption stories [and] long-term opportunities." One of the simplest routes to investing in emerging markets is through exchange-traded funds.
Persons: Malcolm Dorson, Dorson, Javier, Milei Organizations: CNBC Pro, India Active, Global, India, Companies, Infosys, Reliance Industries, Tata Consultancy, U.S . Federal, Brazil Active, Brazil IMI, Argentina IMI, Fitch, IMI Locations: U.S, India, Brazil, Brazilian, FactSet, Argentina, American, Greece, Europe
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