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It’s been a year since interest rates reached a two-decade high, but they may soon begin to reverse course. The Federal Reserve is expected to hold its benchmark interest rate steady on Wednesday, while signaling that a cut is possible when policy-setting officials meet again in September. If interest rates are elevated for too long, they risk weakening the employment picture. The central bank uses interest rates to influence the broader economy. Home-equity lines of credit and adjustable-rate mortgages — which each carry variable interest rates — generally rise within two billing cycles after a change in the Fed’s rates.

Persons: It’s, ” Jonathan Smoke, that’s, Freddie Mac, ”, Sam Khater, —, “ Banks, Ken Tumin Organizations: Federal, “ Manufacturers, Cox Automotive, Treasury, Savings Vehicles Locations: Edmunds

☆ Private payroll growth slowed to 122,000 in July, less than expected, ADP says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Private job growth slowed further in July while the pace of wage gains hit a three-year low, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday. Companies added just 122,000 jobs on the month, the slowest pace since January and below the upwardly revised 155,000 in June. Several sectors reported net losses on the month. The ADP report comes two days before the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Services releases its nonfarm payrolls count, which, unlike the ADP tally, includes government jobs. The two reports can differ substantially, with ADP overshooting the BLS estimate of 136,000 for private payrolls in June.

Persons: Dow Jones, Nela Richardson Organizations: FedEx, Broadway, Companies, ADP, Federal, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Services Locations: New York City, Midwest

☆ Podcast: Samsung bets on the Galaxy Ring and AI as its next big thing
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Arjun Kharpal | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +42 min

Along with its S24 series of smartphones, foldable devices, smartwatches and now the Galaxy Ring, Samsung is hoping to lock users into its world of products held together with its suite of artificial intelligence features, known as Galaxy AI. Arjun KharpalOne of the things Samsung said was look, the ring is one product, but we've got the watch, we've got the smartphone. I think that's the right approach for Samsung, I don't think they have unrealistic expectations for volumes on this. And you'd feel like if there was some sort of Apple ring, it would do pretty good volumes. Do you think Samsung is seriously looking at ways to monetize this via subscriptions or other kinds of service business model?

Persons: aren't, Tom Chitty, Ben Wood, Meta's Ray, Arjun, Tom Chitty I've, I've, we've, Arjun Kharpal, let's, It's, That's, it's, you've, they've, there's, they're, someone's, I'm, that's, you'll, Ben Wood It's, smartwatch, Arjun Kharpal Apple's, Ben Wood They've, Tim Cook, He's, who'd, Tom Chitty Diamond, somebody's, who've, wasn't, Samsung hasn't, we'll, Ben, they'll, Will, wearables, Kharpal, Arjun Kharpal Tom, Tom, Tom Chitty We'll Organizations: Samsung, South, Galaxy, CNBC, CCS Insight, Mobile, Apple, Garmin, Apple Watch, U.S, Vision, Samsung Electronics, Google, MWC Locations: South Korean, Paris, France, beyondthevalley@cnbc.com, There's, Finland, London

☆ Powell says September rate cut 'on the table' if inflation data continues to cool
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Recent economic data has pointed toward inflation data falling back toward the central bank's 2% target, while the unemployment rates has crept up above 4%. Powell said Wednesday that central bankers would be "data dependent, but not data-point dependent" in determining when to cut rates. "I don't know think of the labor market in its current state as a likely source of significant inflationary pressures. So I would not like to see material further cooling in the labor market," Powell said. Powell said Wednesday a potential 50-basis point rate cut is "not something we're thinking about right now."

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Federal, Fed

☆ Interest rates remain steady once again — but it's likely the Fed will cut rates in September
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Ayelet Sheffey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewThe nation's central bank didn't give interest rate relief to Americans — yet. On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee announced it would be leaving interest rates unchanged, continuing the pause that began last fall. And with the labor market slowing down while avoiding a recession, the Fed might have the evidence it needs to cut interest rates at its next meeting in September. However, predictions point to a rate cut — CME FedWatch, which estimates probabilities of interest rate changes based on the markets, showed markets think it's far more likely than not that rates will ease. Related storiesThe high interest rates have meant it's more expensive for Americans to borrow money for things like mortgages, credit cards, and auto loans.

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, Powell, Michele Raneri, Donald Trump —, Trump, Elizabeth Warren, John Hickenlooper, Sheldon Whitehouse Organizations: Service, Federal, Market Committee, Business, Fed, TransUnion, Fox News, Democratic Locations: May's, Sens

☆ Time to dump CDs? 6 experts share 6 investing moves to make as the Fed prepares to cut rates in September.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Certain areas of the stock market that benefit from lower rates could see a boost. AdvertisementInstead, plug some money into longer-duration bonds to lock in higher returns while they're still around, Milan said. In addition to tying down solid returns, longer-duration bonds could also appreciate when rates fall, he said. AdvertisementLook at rate-sensitive areas of the stock marketCertain areas of the stock market should also benefit from Fed rate cuts. But investors should keep their eye on the labor market the more the Fed cuts rates, Young Thomas said.

Persons: —, Daniel Milan, they're, Ed Mahaffy, Mahaffy, Robert Phipps, Bernstein, Liz Young Thomas, Shmuel Shayowitz, Kristy Kim, Young Thomas Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, Cornerstone Financial Services, Treasury, ClientFirst Wealth Management, Corporate, Per Stirling Capital Management, Bloomberg, Bond, Index, Fed, Vanguard, ®, Schwab, Fidelity Locations: Michigan, Milan, TreasuryDirect, TomoCredit

☆ Stocks will rally 5% in just 5 days after the Fed's rate decision this week, Fundstrat says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The rally would be sparked by a dovish Fed FOMC meeting on Wednesday that all but confirms imminent interest rate cuts. "These are significant gains, implying the S&P 500 could gain 200-300 points in the next week," Lee said. "The key premise is the Fed is likely to commit to a September rate cut of at least 25bp. Lee's confidence in a strong rally post-Fed meeting is based on the fact that recent Fed meetings have sparked a big rally in stocks. "Here are some tangible reasons a Fed cut makes sense: 30-year mortgage has excess spread to 10-year due to uncertainty.

Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, — Organizations: Service, Fed, Nasdaq

☆ Ron Insana: The economic slowdown is here, and the Fed will be key to avoiding a recession
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

It is a question based on recent market behavior, corporate profit reports and prospective economic policy changes at home and abroad. It suggests that declining inflation and economic weakness may well be in our future. Recent U.S. economic data has been unexpectedly steady, with recent growth pegged at an annual rate of 2.8% in the second quarter. Unemployment data flashes a warning sign The unemployment rate remains low at 4.1% as of June, but it has risen from 3.7% back in January . Some economists argue that an increase of half a percentage point in the unemployment rate, off the lows, is a precursor to a recession.

Persons: you've, Ron Insana Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Procter, Gamble, Federal Reserve, Clearwater, CNBC Locations: Clearwater, Japan, Switzerland, Venezuela, U.S

☆ CNBC Daily Open: BOJ ups rate to 0.25%; U.S. stocks fall; Starbucks' same-store sales decline
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Kevin Lim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Nvidia pulled back 7% and Microsoft fell 0.9% during the normal session before reporting earnings after the bell. Still, Microsoft beat estimates as quarterly revenue increased 15% from a year ago to $64.73 billion and net income rose to $22.04 billion. Starbucks missStarbucks' quarterly revenue slid 1% to $9.11 billion, missing forecasts as same-store sales declined for the second straight quarter. The South Korean tech giant said sales of high-end memory chips used in servers will continue to be strong.

Organizations: CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, New York City . Bank of Japan, U.S . Federal, Bank of, Nasdaq, megacaps Meta, Apple, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Microsoft, Fed, Microsoft Microsoft, Bank of Japan, Nikkei, Seng, Samsung, Samsung Electronics, Revenue, South, Reading, Fed Stock, Federal Reserve Locations: New York City, Bank of Japan, U.S, China, Shanghai

☆ Swiss SIX exchange says trading halted due to technical issues
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Four Chinese companies raised about $1.5 billion in July by issuing shares on the Six Swiss Exchange via a new China stock connect program. Switzerland's stock exchange SIX said trading had been halted on Wednesday morning across all products until further notice due to technical problems. The Swiss stock exchange is home to companies including Nestle , Roche and UBS . "Market data and index data is not being disseminated at the moment and we are investigating the cause and trying to solve," a spokesperson at SIX told Reuters. "Trading was not affected, but we had to halt trading in Switzerland due to equal treatment of market participants."

Organizations: Six Swiss, Nestle, Roche, UBS, SIX, Reuters Locations: China, Swiss, Switzerland

☆ Homebuying is hard in these counties that could decide the election, but it's harder in the U.S. overall
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms J-J-_Mccorvey.Jpg | J.J. Mccorvey | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +6 min

Market volatility in Dane County, Wisconsin, a largely Democratic, college-educated part of a solidly purple state, boosted its difficulty score to 78 on NBC News’ index. Average homebuying difficulty in the U.S. overall ranks at 84, up from 54 in 2020. At the Republican National Convention earlier this month, giant screens flashed comparisons of average mortgage rates under the Trump and Biden administrations. But one Gwinnett County resident said softer demand isn’t keeping him up at night. For house hunters in Gwinnett County, Scott said, “that would make life a lot better.”

Persons: Dane, They’ve, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Biden, ”, Lisa Scott, Scott, Mannie Marte, Marte, who’s, Harry Truman, Harris Organizations: Democratic, NBC, Republican National Convention, Trump, Biden, Gwinnett, Private, Getty, Phoenix, Voters, Federal, Commerce Department Locations: Dane County , Wisconsin, Wisconsin, Dane, U.S, Gwinnett County , Georgia, Lawrenceville, Duluth, Georgia, Gwinnett, Lilburn, Atlanta, Marte, Reno, Washoe County, Erie, Maricopa County , Arizona, Gwinnett County

☆ 'You have to be invested': 6 hot stocks to buy as US markets rebound to record highs by Labor Day
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. In a little over a week, the index sank from near 5,670 to under 5,400 as the mega-cap tech stocks that drove the market higher suddenly sold off. Advertisement"You have to get involved in stocks; you have to be invested in the US equity market," Salama told Business Insider. However, the trader isn't abandoning his bullish view on mega-cap tech stocks. AdvertisementStoltzfus agrees that the market's favorite stocks, including those tied to artificial intelligence, aren't wildly overvalued, as some bears have argued.

Persons: —, John Salama, he's, Salama, There's, John Stoltzfus, who's, Stoltzfus, I've, Trump, Biden, Harris, Parris, it's Organizations: Service, Business, Labor, Oppenheimer Asset Management, House, Shmump, Dell Technologies

☆ These 4 companies — including one backed by Warren Buffett — can leverage AI with their exclusive data, says fund manager
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

AI models, such as OpenAI's ChatGPT or Anthropic's Claude, are built by running complex algorithms on large amounts of data. Khodjamirian, who also manages the Monopolies and Oligopolies ETF , named four stocks that he sees as potential winners: Moody's , S & P Global , MSCI , and Intuit . Moody's Using Moody's as a prime example, the fund manager highlighted the company's extensive database on credit decisions. MCO 5Y line S & P Global and MSCI Similarly, Khodjamirian sees potential in S & P Global and MSCI due to their vast troves of financial and index data. His thesis rests on the idea that as AI use becomes more widespread, the value of software — the AI models — may diminish.

Persons: Yuri Khodjamirian, Claude, Khodjamirian, CNBC's, Moody's, they're, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, MCO, Meta, Warren Buffett's Organizations: Tema ETF's, P, Intuit, Facebook, Microsoft Locations: Tema, Moody's

☆ Fundstrat's Tom Lee makes another bold call, calling for big rally post-Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Fundstrat's Tom Lee is out with his next eye-popping prediction — and it implies good news for the market in the coming days. "In short, we see a risk-on rally starting Wed that could add +100 points to the S & P 500," he told clients. Lee said investors should expect a gain of at least 6% for small caps during this run alone. "We still see this as the 'summer of small caps' so our preference is to be buying," he said. A rise of 5% would propel the S & P 500 to a new all-time intraday high, topping the record set earlier this month.

Persons: Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, Russell, CME's Organizations: Federal Reserve

☆ Dollar, yen hold tight ranges ahead of BOJ, Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar and yen kept within close ranges on Tuesday as traders awaited a barrage of key central bank decisions, kicking off with midweek monetary policy meetings from the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve. The dollar and yen kept within close ranges on Tuesday as traders awaited a barrage of key central bank decisions, kicking off with midweek monetary policy meetings from the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve. The Japanese currency was taking a breather from its recent rally as the BOJ began its two-day meeting on Tuesday, having surged over 2% against the dollar last week. The Fed is widely expected to stand pat this week, but markets are betting the U.S. central bank will begin cutting rates at the following meeting in September. Investors will be listening for any hints that Fed Chair Jerome Powell may drop on how soon policymakers are prepared to cut rates at his press conference.

Persons: Matt Simpson, Jerome Powell, Powell, Jackson, Index's Simpson, Sterling, bitcoin Organizations: Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Index, Fed, Treasury, Bank of England's Locations: U.S

☆ How major markets typically perform in the 100 days before a presidential election
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Even with election uncertainty, the market typically moves higher in the 100 days leading up to a presidential vote — but it may be a volatile ride to get there. The so-called fear gauge usually declines in the first 20 trading days of the 100-day runup to the election, but typically works higher in the 45-, 60-, 65- and 70 days before election day. The VIX has been higher 6 of the last 8 election years during the closely-watched, 100-day period. Oil prices usually see upward pressure through October, before feeling some weakness in the final weeks before voters cast ballots. In the run up to October, oil prices typically see more of a boost when a Democrat is the sitting president.

Persons: Paul Ciana Organizations: Bank of America, ICE, Democrat, Overseas Locations: U.S

☆ Europe stocks head for mixed open ahead of central bank meetings; Standard Chartered announces $1.5 billion buyback
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

LONDON — European markets are set to see a mixed start to Tuesday, as earnings continue to dominate stock action and investors brace for U.K. and U.S. central bank decisions. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 index is seen slipping just below the flatline, according to IG data, while France's CAC 40 and Germany's DAX rise just 8 and 21 points, respectively. U.K. bank Standard Chartered announced its biggest-ever share buyback, of $1.5 billion, as it raised its outlook in half-year results. Oil major BP hiked its dividend as it beat second-quarter earnings estimates.

Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: CAC, Chartered Locations: U.S

☆ I shop at Costco for myself. Here are 9 things I buy to make in my air fryer.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Mackenzie Rhyason | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

As a single person who doesn't love cooking, I'm always looking for easy meals. Costco has plenty of quick food options I can prepare in the air fryer. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Costco is a lifesaver because it has a variety of choices and portions that work for a single person with limited fridge and freezer space. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.

Persons: fryer, —, I'm Organizations: Costco, Service, Business

☆ Sellers are 'losing their grip' on the housing market as home prices cool, research firm says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Sellers are quickly "losing their grip" on the housing market, according to Capital Economics. That's because home prices are cooling, thanks to more inventory staying on the market. Still, the research firm is forecasting a 5% surge in home prices by the end of the year. That's because higher levels of inventory are starting to weigh on home prices, according to the research firm Capital Economics. It's starting to reverse a trend that's persisted for the past few years, with tight inventory pushing home prices to record highs.

Persons: Sellers, — Organizations: Capital Economics, Service, Business

☆ Interest rate cuts probably aren't here just yet, but they could finally reach Americans in under 2 months
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Ayelet Sheffey | Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

It's safe to say that Americans can count on an interest rate cut pretty soon, but probably not this week. On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee will announce its next interest rate decision, and it's once again expected to hold rates steady. However, the FOMC's September meeting could finally bring Americans the relief they've been waiting for — CME FedWatch showed markets think it's all but certain the Fed will cut rates that month. Lower interest rates would make borrowing more affordable for consumers and businesses alike. "You have kept interest rates too high for too long: it is time to cut rates," they wrote.

Persons: it's, Claudia Sahm, Greg McBride, There's, Jerome Powell, Powell, Sahm, Matt Colyar, September's, Elizabeth Warren, Jacky Rosen, John Hickenlooper Organizations: Service, Federal, CME FedWatch, Business, New Century Advisors, Fed, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, Democratic, Moody's

☆ We are taking some profits on this health-care stock and updating our rating
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

We are selling 350 shares of GE Healthcare at roughly $82.79. Shares of the medical equipment maker GE Healthcare are off to a solid start this week, gaining roughly 3% while the S & P 500 index drifted lower. However, China remained a weak spot, as the government's anti-corruption campaign across the health-care sector led to a decline in orders. When GE Healthcare reports Wednesday before the opening bell, we expect to hear much of the same. While it is certainly possible that GE Healthcare trades higher on strong results in North America, like Philips, the stock frequently trades on sentiment in China.

Persons: Jim Cramer's, Philips, they've, it's, We'll, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: GE Healthcare, government's, Management, Philips, CNBC Locations: North America, China

☆ The Stranger in Seattle Gets a New Owner, With Plans for Expansion
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Katie Robertson | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

For decades, many American cities had at least one thriving alternative-weekly newspaper chronicling the local art and music scene and reporting on the community. Many of those publications withered in recent years, but two of the country’s best known alt-weeklies, The Stranger in Seattle and The Portland Mercury, now have plans for expansion. Mr. Walkinshaw declined to disclose the financial details of the purchase, but he said that he was the majority shareholder. Index will keep a 20 percent stake in the company. A group of about 20 individual investors helped finance the deal, Mr. Walkinshaw said.

Persons: Brady Walkinshaw, Walkinshaw Organizations: The Portland Mercury, Democratic, Portland Mercury, Index Newspapers Locations: Seattle, Washington State

☆ Here's everything you need to know about the Fed decision coming Wednesday
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Market pricing currently indicates an absolute certainty that the Fed will approve its first reduction in more than four years — when it meets Sept. 17-18. They don't want investors to start pricing in a rate cut coming in September and there's literally nothing else that could possibly happen," he said. "Opening the door for that rate cut is probably the most appropriate thing for them at this point," Reynolds added. Expectations for easingGlenmede expects that starting in September, the Fed could cut at each of the three remaining meetings. The Fed will not provide an update on its quarterly summary of economic projections at this meeting.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Chris Kleponis, they've, Michael Reynolds, Reynolds, there's, it'll, Powell, Goldman Sachs, David Mericle, Mericle, Bill English, We've Organizations: Banking, Housing, Urban, Capitol, AFP, Getty, Glenmede, Fed Locations: Washington ,, Yale, Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ Coco Gauff: Tearful US star exits Paris Olympics singles competition after controversial line call
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( George Ramsay | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Roland Garros, Paris CNN —Coco Gauff looked to be cruising against Donna Vekić in her third-round singles match at the Paris Olympics. The most fraught moment of the match came midway through the second set when Gauff was reduced to tears during a heated exchange with chair umpire Jaume Campistol. A line call on Gauff’s baseline was initially deemed out, but Campistol overruled the decision and handed Vekić a crucial break point. The supervisor also came onto the court and the ensuing debate lasted five minutes, with Gauff wiping tears away from her eyes. The ball was flying a little bit, but after that, I got in rhythm and it was pretty good.”The dispute with the umpire in the second set, Gauff later explained, didn’t alter the result of the match.

Persons: Roland Garros, Paris CNN — Coco Gauff, Donna Vekić, Gauff, Philippe, Chatrier, Jaume Campistol, Campistol, jeers, “ There’s, ”, ” Gauff, Patricia de Melo Moreira, Maria Sakkari, Marta Kostyuk, “ Donna, “ She’s, –, Vekić, ” Vekić, “ I’m, Jessica Pegula Organizations: Paris CNN, Paris, AFP, Getty, Wimbledon ‘, Wimbledon, USA Locations: Paris

☆ African cities sitting on ‘keg of gunpowder’ as growing youth anger fuels unrest
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Nimi Princewill | Stephanie Busari | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

Military and police personnel arrest protesters during the anti-corruption protest in the Ugandan capital, Kampala, on July 23, 2024. Those protesting are angry about widespread government corruption in the country, which loses an estimated Sh. 10 trillion ($2.7 billion) in public funding to graft annually, according to Ugandan anti-corruption body the Inspectorate of Government (IG). In the preceding months, Ghana, Senegal’s fellow West African state, saw days of anti-government protests as demonstrators railed against economic hardships and unemployment. “All over Africa, we are… sitting on a keg of gunpowder,” he said in a recent interview with CNN affiliate Citizen TV.

Persons: Z –, William Ruto, Fabz, Anita Annet, Yoweri Museveni, Inibehe Effiong, ”, Bola Tinubu, Edward Buba, ” Mugano, Mamadou Thior, ” Thior, Thior, Macky Sall, Sall backtracked, Bassirou Diomaye Faye, Olusegun Obasanjo, There’s, … unempowered, Obasanjo Organizations: CNN, Military, Xinhua, Security, of Government, World Bank, South Africa’s Durban University of Technology, ”, Citizen TV Locations: Kenya, East, Kampala, Uganda, Ugandan, United States, United Kingdom, Nigeria, West, Africa, West Africa, Senegal, Ghana

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