Top related persons:
Top related locs:
Top related orgs:

Search resuls for: "policymaker"


25 mentions found


Washington, DC CNN —Additional interest rate hikes are still on the table and rates could remain elevated for longer than expected, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Friday. “Additional evidence of persistently above-trend growth could put further progress on inflation at risk and could warrant further tightening of monetary policy,” Powell said. “So what does that mean for monetary policy? The Fed chair said higher interest rates are likely pulling on the economy’s reins, implying that r* might not be structurally higher, though he said it’s an unobservable concept. But we cannot identify with certainty the neutral rate of interest, and thus there is always uncertainty about the precise level of monetary policy restraint,” Powell said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Powell, ” William English, Jason Furman, Organizations: DC CNN, Kansas City, Fed, Financial, Atlanta Fed, National Federation of Independent, Yale University, Fed’s, Governors, CNN, Commerce Department, Index, Harvard Locations: Washington, Jackson Hole , Wyoming
REUTERS/Issei Kato Acquire Licensing RightsAug 23 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. After Monday's surprising resilience on Wall Street, world markets' reversion to type on Tuesday should set the tone for Asia on Wednesday - weakness in stocks, a buoyant dollar, elevated bond yields and souring investor sentiment. China's economic and financial travails remain top of mind for investors, so any sign of further incoming fiscal or monetary stimulus from Beijing will be well received. That is not something Beijing or Tokyo would do lightly, but the higher U.S. bond yields go, the more persistent the selling pressure on their respective currencies becomes. Implied yen volatility is relatively low in the yuan, and low across currency markets more broadly.
Persons: Issei Kato, Jamie McGeever, Xi Jinping, Gina Raimondo, Josie Kao Organizations: U.S ., REUTERS, Asia, Treasury, China's, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Singapore, Beijing, South Africa, U.S, Washington, China, Johannesburg, Australia
He called the U.S. central bank's misreading of the issue "a major failure" that can mar analysis of where the economy stands. Since 2016, policies from the vastly different Trump and Biden administrations have combined in a sort of accidental complementarity to keep both job and economic growth above the Fed's estimate of potential. Median Fed policymaker projections of potential U.S. economic growth have slid from a level around 2.5% a decade ago to 1.8% as of June 2023, when the last projections were issued. Under pressure from colleagues to raise interest rates as the economy accelerated, Greenspan resisted and accommodated the expansion instead of fighting it. But it could help economic growth continue even as prices cool, another prop for the "soft landing" the Fed hopes to engineer and possible evidence of rising potential.
Persons: John Williams, Joe Biden, Adam Posen, Donald Trump, Trump's, Biden, Dana Peterson, Peterson, Jerome Powell, Board's Peterson, Alan Greenspan's, Greenspan, Jackson, John Fernald, Huiyu Li, Michael Feroli, Antulio Bomfim, Powell, Howard Schneider, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, New York Fed, San Francisco, Fed, Reuters, BlackRock, Bank of England, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Trump, Biden, Conference Board, Jackson, San Francisco Fed, JPMorgan, Trust Asset Management, Thomson Locations: U.S, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Washington
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. The simplest conclusion is the Fed will not be able to ease again in anything like the way many had assumed or still think. This will lift the 'term premium' embedded in long-term bond yields, which has been so subdued since Fed balance sheet expansion met the crash of 2008, even if the Fed is done tightening policy rates, he said. Fed policy is more neutral than restrictive "if you believe we've returned to a pre-2008 world", he said, and that limits the scope for rate cuts in future. Writing by Mike Dolan; Editing by Susan FentonOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, handwringing, Anujeet, we've, Amanda Lynam, Mike Dolan, Susan Fenton Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Reserve, Treasury, U.S, AAA, Atlanta, Deutsche Bank, Vanguard, Federal Reserve, Brandywine Global, BlackRock, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
She was leading voting intention with about 30% in recent polls, though no polls have been published since Villavicencio's killing. The 54-year-old widower has promised to fight crime with better social programs and data-driven security policies. OTTO SONNENHOLZNERSonnenholzner, a 40-year-old businessman and economist, has promoted himself as a young policymaker seeking to bring "peace, money and progress" to Ecuador. JAN TOPICTopic, 40, a private security and telecommunications businessman, has promised security would be his first and most important focus if elected. Already-printed ballots will show Villavicencio's name and photo, but the electoral authority has said votes will be counted for his replacement.
Persons: Yaku Perez, Henry Romero, Guillermo Lasso, Fernando Villavicencio, LUISA GONZALEZ Lawyer Gonzalez, Rafael Correa, Gonzalez, Correa, YAKU PEREZ, Perez, Carlos, Yaku, OTTO SONNENHOLZNER Sonnenholzner, Lenin Moreno, Moreno, Sonnenholzner, El, Nayib Bukele, CHRISTIAN ZURITA Zurita, Zurita, Fernando, Alexandra Valencia, Oliver Griffin, Julia Symmes Cobb, Aurora Ellis Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, French Foreign Legion, Central, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Quito, Ecuador, Rights QUITO, Here's, Belgium, Choco, Ukraine, Central American
Since CPI inflation tends to be faster than the PCE measures that the Fed uses to set its inflation target, that means one important area of policymaker focus may have dipped below target already. But the pace of increase pales against the double-digit gains in 2021, and the inflation rate for rental housing has also slowed. A recent study by San Francisco Fed economists, using real-time housing and rent data from companies like Zillow, projected "a sharp turnaround in shelter inflation" through late next year. Two versions of the San Francisco estimates show shelter inflation hitting 0% next year, well below the 3%-to-4% range that Meyer said could help the Fed traverse its last inflation mile more quickly. Other aspects of the economy may also be snapping into place, a possible late-arriving validation of the Fed's initial expectation that rising inflation in 2021 would prove "transitory."
Persons: Brent Meyer, Meyer, Quincy Krosby, they've, Christopher Waller, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Atlanta Fed's, Fed, CPI, San Francisco Fed, LPL, Richmond Fed, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, San Francisco
Veteran banker Jeffrey Schmid picked to lead Kansas City Fed
  + stars: | 2023-08-02 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Jeffrey Schmid, the new president and CEO of the Kansas City Fed. The Kansas City Federal Reserve is about to get a new leader as the inflation-fighting central bank plots its course ahead. Schmid will serve the remainder of George's five-year term helming the Kansas City Fed, which will take him to Feb. 28, 2026. Interestingly, he arrives at the Fed just before the Kansas City district hosts its annual Jackson Hole summit, which this year will run from Aug. 24-26. The retreat features a keynote address from the Fed chair and often is pivotal in laying out policy strategy.
Persons: Jeffrey Schmid, Jeffrey R, Schmid, Esther George, Southern Methodist University's, Maria Griego, George, Jackson Organizations: Kansas City Fed, Kansas City Federal, Southern Methodist, Southern Methodist University's Cox School of Business, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Mutual, Omaha Bank, Federal Reserve, Associates, Fed, Kansas City Locations: Omaha, Raby, Albuquerque , New Mexico, Kansas
An Asiana Airlines passenger made headlines in May as he opened an emergency exit in mid-air. Now, four South Korean airlines are trying to prevent this happening again, per The Korean Times. In May, an Asiana Airlines flight was coming in to land when a passenger opened the emergency exit door at an altitude of 700 feet, minutes before landing. The newspaper reports that uniformed personnel including police officers, soldiers, firefighters, and airline employees, will have priority for seats in the emergency exit row. Park told reporters it would apply to 94 seats in 38 aircraft operated by Asiana Airlines, Air Seoul, Air Busan and Aero K Airlines.
Persons: hyperventilation Organizations: Asiana Airlines, Korean Times, Morning, Korea Times, Guardian, Power Party, Air, Air Busan, Aero K Airlines, Los Angeles International Airport Locations: Air Seoul, Bulgaria
The Fed last week raised its policy rate to the 5.25%-5.50% range, the 11th increase in the last 12 meetings. Core inflation is still pretty elevated," Powell said in a press conference after the end of the Fed's two-day policy meeting. We think we're going to need to hold policy at restrictive levels for some time. The Fed's policy rate influences the economy by changing what lenders charge consumers for credit card, auto, and home loans or what businesses pay on bonds or for credit lines. "Given that inflation is still sticky, they're going to end up with rates either too high or as high as they are for too long.
Persons: Antulio Bomfim, Bomfim, what's, Jerome Powell, Powell, Lindsay Owens, Thomas Simons, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: Trust Asset Management, Fed, Reuters Graphics Reuters, STAR, North Star, Open, Jefferies, Thomson Locations: U.S
But it was the repeated use of the word holistic - or "bütüncül" - by the former Goldman Sachs banker and Turkey's first female central bank chief that caught most of the attention. "We are making the gradual and steady rate hikes more holistic and stronger through quantitative tightening and selective credit tightening," Erkan told the news conference. "Unless the credit and monetary tightening really kick in, investors would expect the central bank to hike more aggressively," he said. "She clearly wants to be the face of Turkish monetary policy making," said Neuberger Berman's Nazli. "We saw a person who seems to be capable of being a central bank governor, compared to previous governors, but cautious."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Hafize Gaye Erkan, Erkan, Tayyip Erdogan, Turkey's, Kaan Nazli, Neuberger Berman, policymaker Mehmet Simsek, Tim Ash, Erdogan, Ash, Marek Drimal, Neuberger Berman's Nazli, swerved, Emre Akcakmak, Karin Strohecker, Libby George, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: Turkey's, Ministry, BlueBay Asset Management, Societe Generale, East Capital, Thomson Locations: Rosario, London
Because as the Knesset moves to vote on this issue on Monday, something very important could break in Israel and in our relationship with Israel. Oslo has been a cornerstone of America’s Middle East policy since 1993. These twin dismantlings are interconnected: the Jewish supremacists in Netanyahu’s cabinet need to get the Supreme Court out of the way in order to carry out their plans to annex the West Bank. Such a move could easily destabilize Jordan, as it would likely push more and more Palestinians there and change its fragile demographic balance. In return for this, Saudi Arabia would normalize its relations with Israel (provided that Israel makes some concessions to the Palestinians) and limit its collaboration with China.
Persons: Jordan Organizations: West Bank, U.S, ISIS, Saudi Locations: Israel, Oslo, Jordan, Syria, Iraq, America, U.S, Saudi Arabia, China
Morning Bid: Markets shrug off upbeat news from Japan and China
  + stars: | 2023-07-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
With a Reuters poll pointing to a sharp slowing in Tokyo's core CPI for July next week, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda is likely to remain confident about sticking to Japan's ultra-easy policy settings next Friday, keeping the yen on the back foot. China's latest efforts to boost consumption provided a small lift to mainland stocks, but markets continue to look ahead to the Politburo meeting, expected next week, for bigger stimulus announcements. The piecemeal measures unveiled so far suggest there's plenty of scope for disappointment. Where Beijing seems to be having greater impact is in propping up the Chinese yuan , which was holding the bulk of Thursday's gains after another stronger-than-forecast midpoint setting on Friday. A sharp drop in the July GfK consumer confidence gauge, which came in below the lowest Reuters poll forecast, suggests sentiment remains downbeat after what's expected to be a weaker UK retail sales reading for June.
Persons: Sonali Desai, Kazuo Ueda, Edmund Klamann Organizations: Netflix, Bank of Japan, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Reuters, Thales SA, Bank, American Express, Schlumberger NV, Thomson Locations: Asia, Japan, U.S, Beijing, propping
Asia stocks split as US-China outlooks diverge
  + stars: | 2023-07-19 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Overnight the S&P 500 (.SPX) rose 0.7% to hit a three-month high, with results propelling bank shares. Morgan Stanley (MS.N), Bank of America (BAC.N) and Bank of New York Mellon (BK.N) shares rose sharply on strong results and an upbeat outlook overnight. Microsoft (MSFT.O) shares rose 4% - adding $100 billion in market value - after announcing charges for artificial intelligence features in its office software. British inflation data due at 0600 GMT is the next major calendar item and traders are expecting a fall to a still-uncomfortable 8.2% annual pace. "While annual headline inflation fell sharply, which is helpful for inflation expectations, the details suggest persistence in non-tradables inflation."
Persons: Seng, SYDNEY, Dovish, Tapas Strickland, Morgan Stanley, Klaas Knot, Brian Daingerfield, Treasuries, Brent, Lincoln Organizations: Companies, Microsoft, U.S, European Central Bank, New Zealand, Japan's Nikkei, Headline U.S, National Australia Bank, Bank of America, Bank of New York Mellon, NatWest Markets, Bank of, Fed, ECB, ANZ, Thomson Locations: China, Japan, Australia, Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong, South Korea, Sydney, Atlanta, U.S, Europe, New York, New Zealand, Bank of England
He said in the statement released by the St. Louis Fed that the regional bank "is well-positioned for ongoing success and impact." The St. Louis Fed said Kathleen O'Neill Paese, the regional bank's first vice president and chief operating officer, will act as interim president. The regional bank said its search committee will look nationally for a new leader, noting that its search will be "robust, transparent, fair and inclusive." While they operate under the oversight of the Board of Governors in Washington, regional Fed banks are quasi-private institutions technically owned by member banks. With Bullard's exit, there will be two unfilled regional Fed bank slots.
Persons: James Bullard, Bullard, Louis Fed, Mitchell, Daniels, Jr, doesn't, Tim Duy, Duy, Derek Tang, LH Meyers, Wrightson ICAP, Kathleen Bostjancic, Kathleen O'Neill Paese, Louis Fed's, Esther George, Michael S, Ann Saphir, Chizu Nomiyama, Paul Simao Organizations: Louis Federal Reserve, U.S, Purdue, St, School of Business, Federal, Macro, Fed, Purdue University, Minneapolis Fed, Nationwide, Brookings Institution, Governors, Kansas City Fed, Derby, Thomson Locations: Indiana, St, Washington
Former BoE policymaker Kate Barker told the Financial Times this weekend that targetted and temporary tax rises on top earners may be the most effective and fairest way to go. "We're asking monetary policy to do all the work," she said. But the political sensitivity of income tax likely dictates the way forward, however cogent the economics. Yet the more general point of fiscal policy helping with the final throes of the inflation battle continues to be made. "Fiscal Policy should remain aligned with monetary policy in the fight against inflation," the Fund concluded.
Persons: BoE policymaker Kate Barker, President Biden, Mike Dolan, Matthew Lewis Organizations: International Monetary Fund, Bank for International, U.S, Bank of, Financial Times, Fed, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Britain's, National Statistics, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Republicans, Twitter, Thomson Locations: Britain, London
"There's no real consensus at the moment about the increase in interest rates among economic actors," Jeremie Delecourt, chief operating officer at French private equity fund Ardian, told Reuters. In the euro zone, the peak is near after a combined 4 percentage points rise in the past year, ECB policymaker and French central bank governor Francois Villeroy de Galhau said on a panel at the conference. But he also said that rates would be left high for as long as necessary to ensure that inflation is headed back to the European Central Bank's 2% target by 2025. The ECB raised interest rates to their highest level in 22 years last month and promised another hike this month, with possibly another in September. "I see quite a bit of optimism in the short term, but I see a lot of downside risks if there is a policy mistake, especially from the central banks," she added.
Persons: Jeremie Delecourt, Francois Villeroy de Galhau, Jean, Louis Girodolle, Lazard, Mario Draghi's, Somersan Coqui, Daniel Barneix, Barneix, Veronika Grimm, Leigh Thomas, Alexander Smith Organizations: Reuters, ECB policymaker, Central, ECB, Atlantic, Allianz Trade, Thomson Locations: PROVENCE, France, United States, Europe, Aix, Provence
Morning Bid: Data-hit bond markets end summer lull
  + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
On top of that, there were signs that activity at dominant U.S. service sector firms picked up steam again last month too. Friday's release of the Labor Department's monthly national payrolls report will seal the picture. U.S. Treasury yields hit 16-year highs above 5%, German equivalents hit their highest in 15 years and British gilt yields scaled 2008 peaks. The VIX (.VIX) gauge of implied Wall St volatility - which had been peculiarly subdued right through last month - jumped to its highest since June 1. Crucially, 2-year Treasury yields edged back below 5%.
Persons: Mike Dolan, Lorie Logan, payrolls, HSI, Janet Yellen's, Elon, Lorrie Logan, Christine Lagarde, Joachim Nagel, Bank of England policymaker Catherine Mann, Emelia Sithole Organizations: readouts, Federal, Labor, Dallas Fed, Fed, Treasury, Nikkei, Twitter, Meta, Dallas Federal, Central Bank, Bank of England, NATO, Vilnius Reuters Graphics, Reuters Graphics Reuters, PMI Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S, China, Canada, New York, Vilnius Reuters
Logan is a voting member of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee this year. Officials were still worried about inflation and flagged a still strong job market, while a minority of policymakers expressed interest in raising rates at the June meeting. Logan also said that she doesn’t see anything tied to the Fed’s balance sheet drawdown affecting the Fed’s rate choices right now, and said the Treasury’s work to rebuild its cash account is unlikely to hit bank reserves, with the cash instead drawn from the Fed's reverse repo facility. Logan said after her formal remarks that she was surprised markets expect a sooner end to the balance sheet drawdown than she bets is likely. Reporting by Michael S. Derby Editing by Nick ZieminskiOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Lorie Logan, , ” Logan, , Logan, Jerome Powell, John Williams, it’s, , Michael S, Nick Zieminski Organizations: YORK, Federal Reserve Bank, Dallas, Columbia University, , New York Fed, Fed, Thomson Locations: ,
The congestion charge would spread traffic throughout the day, reducing public pressure to build expensive lanes or roads to expand peak-period capacity. And the emissions charge would encourage travelers to use electric vehicles, accelerating the transition to a clean energy economy without large subsidies. Travelers and shippers will almost certainly eventually use autonomous electric vehicles that operate efficiently and safely without a driver to reach their destinations. fees would generate funding to upgrade the highway infrastructure, thus reducing congestion and pavement damage that impede autonomous vehicle operations, and accelerate demand for autonomous electric vehicles. fee might be resurrected after the elections, or it might be done in future decades to help upgrade the infrastructure to facilitate autonomous vehicles operation.
Organizations: Travelers, Department of Transportation
Morning Bid: China dampens the mood again
  + stars: | 2023-07-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Sonali DesaiChina's faltering economic recovery has once again dominated activity in financial markets, dampening risk sentiment and giving the dollar a broad boost in relatively muted moves after the U.S. July 4 holiday. The private-sector Caixin/S&P Global services purchasing managers index hit a five-month low in June, reflecting growing vulnerability in a once resilient sector of the massive economy. The data quickly reversed a day-old bounce in the Chinese yuan, which appeared on Tuesday to have finally paid heed to the central bank's series of stronger-than-expected midpoint settings and other measures to slow its decline. Beijing's export curbs on two widely used metals in semiconductors and electric vehicles continued to dominate headlines, drawing strident commentary in the domestic press just before Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's visit to China. The European and UK calendar is dominated by final services and composite PMIs for June, also expected to confirm a slowing in what has been a consumption-led economic recovery.
Persons: Sonali Desai, Janet Yellen's, Tesla, BYD, Francois Villeroy de Galhau, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: U.S, P Global, ECB policymaker, Paris U.S, Thomson Locations: China, U.S, Paris
Morning Bid: Tesla delivers surprise, China goes slow
  + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
July 3 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Wayne Cole. Chinese blue chips are a touch firmer, perhaps in the hope a new chief at the central bank will bring stronger stimulus. It was notable last week that Japanese chip shares surged amid reports Washington would restrict sales of AI equipment to China. Key developments that could influence markets on Monday:- European Central Bank policymaker Joachim Nagel speaks at a financial conference- June U.S. ISM manufacturing survey, PMI and auto sales. Equity and bond markets close earlyBy Wayne Cole; Editing by Christopher CushingOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Wayne Cole, Janet Yellen, Central Bank policymaker Joachim Nagel, Christopher Cushing Organizations: Tesla's, P, People's Bank of, Treasury, Nikkei, European, Japan's, ISM, Central Bank, PMI, Equity, Thomson Locations: Wayne, People's Bank of China, News, China, U.S, Washington, Japan
To Foreign Policy Veteran, the Real Danger Is at Home
  + stars: | 2023-07-01 | by ( Peter Baker | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
In addition to consultant work, he wants to spend much of the next chapter of his life promoting the teaching of civics. “My own trajectory has changed,” he observed during a pair of interviews summing up two decades at the council. It is a clubby world, of course, one that invariably leads to charges of elitist groupthink or even conspiracy theories. For his final appearance as president of the council this past week, Mr. Haass interviewed Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken onstage and online, the 27th secretary of state to appear before the council. “It’s hard to think of anyone who’s done more to make this institution what it is,” Mr. Blinken said, praising his host.
Persons: Haass, , , it’s, Donald J, Trump, Antony J, Blinken, who’s, ” Mr Organizations: Citizens
The Japanese flag flutters over the Bank of Japan (BoJ) head office building (bottom) in Tokyo on April 27, 2022. At first glance, Asian stocks as a whole have more modest gains so far this year compared with their U.S. and European counterparts. But Asia is more economically diverse than Europe and the U.S., and there are still bright spots in the region, especially in Japan and South Korea. In April, the BOJ announced it will conduct a "a broad-perspective review of [its] monetary policy," which could span 12-18 months. But Lombard Odier still expects the BOJ to end the yield curve control policy before this review is over.
Persons: Kazuhiro Nogi, Nomura, Daniela Gombert, bode, Gombert, Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Lombard Odier, Morgan Stanley, Google's Bard, Ernie Bot, Lombard, Marco Barresi, Barresi Organizations: Bank of Japan, Afp, Getty, U.S, Asia, Nomura, Nikkei, Bank of, Private, U.S . Federal, Chips, Lombard Odier Locations: Tokyo, Asia, Europe, U.S, Japan, South Korea, India, Southeast Asia, Bank of Japan, Indonesia, A.I, OpenAI, Taiwan, China
Insider's second annual Climate Action 30 list will spotlight today's most impactful climate leaders. download the app Email address By clicking ‘Sign up’, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider as well as other partner offers and accept our Terms of Service and Privacy PolicyWe're seeking nominations for Insider's second annual Climate Action 30 list, which identifies the top 30 global leaders working toward climate solutions. Aligning with COP28 and launching in November, Insider's Climate Action 30 will invite honorees to share the progress they're making to achieve their climate goals as well as the specific actions they think our readers can take to do the same. This year's Climate Action 30 will be a part of Insider's ongoing One Planet program. How we judgeNominee short lists will be shared with our team of reporters, editors, and sustainability and climate experts who will select the final 30 honorees.
Organizations: Service
“Maybe we’ll see some successes on inflation here and there, but it just won’t be enough,” said Rossiter. European inflation and rate hike hints from the Portugal meeting were also a focus for Tim Graf, head of EMEA macro strategy at State Street Global Advisors. “Recession probability models in the U.S. project a 55-70% to 65-70% probability we’ll get a recession in the next 12 months. Markets imply a 90% probability of an ECB rate hike to 3.75% in July and a peak around 4.0%. That underpinned the euro against the dollar at $1.095, while keeping it near a 15-year peak of 157.98 yen.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Kim Kyung, Christine Lagarde, Kazuo Ueda, , James Rossiter, Rossiter, Martins Kazaks, Tim Graf, they’re, we’ve, it’s, Graf, Masato Kanda, Brent Organizations: Federal, National Printing Bureau, Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Nvidia, Wall Street Journal, Commerce Department, Treasury, European Central Bank, TD Securities, ECB, Street Global Advisors, U.S . Locations: China, Tokyo, Japan, Portugal, , Europe, London, U.S
Total: 25