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As President Biden shifts his re-election campaign into higher gear, the strength of his candidacy is being tested by a striking divide between Democratic leaders, who are overwhelmingly unified behind his bid, and rank-and-file voters in the party who harbor persistent doubts about whether he is their best option. From the highest levels of the party on down, Democratic politicians and party officials have long dismissed the idea that Mr. Biden should have any credible primary challenger. Yet despite their efforts — and the president’s lack of a serious opponent within his party — they have been unable to dispel Democratic concerns about him that center largely on his age and vitality. The discord between the party’s elite and its voters leaves Democrats confronting a level of disunity over a president running for re-election not seen for decades. Interviews with more than a dozen strategists, elected officials and voters this past week, conversations with Democrats since Mr. Biden’s campaign began in April, and months of public polling data show that this disconnect has emerged as a defining obstacle for his candidacy, worrying Democrats from liberal enclaves to swing states to the halls of power in Washington.
Persons: Biden, , Biden’s Organizations: Democratic, Democrats Locations: Washington
Market volatility (bottom half) spiked during the downturn but has steadily receded during the rebound despite a late-summer hiccup. Tim Hayes, Ned Davis ResearchHayes believes that a healthy reset shook out much of that euphoria without leaving lasting damage. History says this market rally has plenty of room to runThe final three months of the year have historically been the friendliest to stocks, Hayes said. Tim Hayes, Ned Davis Research"It doesn't follow the script precisely," Hayes said. The forthcoming market rally should broaden out, the strategist said, which should boost parts of the market that haven't participated as well, including economically sensitive small companies and sectors.
Persons: Ned Davis, Tim Hayes, who's, Ned Davis Research Hayes, " Hayes, Hayes, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson's, David Lundgren, they've, There's, He's, haven't, they're Organizations: Ned, Ned Davis Research, Technology Locations: China, United Kingdom, Canada, Japan
HSBC initiates Zoom as buy HSBC said Zoom is the leader in video conferencing. HSBC initiates Deere as buy HSBC said in its initiation of Deere that it sees "upside in the cycle." HSBC initiates Salesforce as buy HSBC said in its initiation of the stock that it's a "margin expansion story." HSBC initiates Snowflake as buy HSBC said Snowflake is well positioned for AI. HSBC initiates Oracle a buy HSBC said in its initiation of Oracle it likes the company's cloud platform.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Rivian, it's, TD Cowen, Needham, Piper Sandler, Piper, KEY's, Lauder, Redburn, Wolfe, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Casella, Zoom, Snowflake, Northcoast, Apple, Salesforce, Ford Organizations: Bank of America, underperform Bank of America, HSBC, Anheuser, Busch InBev, UBS, WWE, UFC, Systems, Moffett, Deere, Oracle, of America, Amazon, Apple, Lenovo, Adobe, General Motors, Ford, GM, UAW Locations: Americas, 2H23, North America, U.S, China
Bullish analysts around YouTube make some compelling arguments, says Jim Cramer'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer talks Google's parent company alphabet, it's AI exposure, bullishness around subsidiary YouTube and more.
Persons: Jim Cramer Organizations: YouTube
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen says she's "feeling very good" about chances of a US soft landing. "I think you'd have to say we're on a path that looks exactly like that," she said, per Bloomberg. Yellen joins Paul Krugman and Larry Summers in suggesting the US will avoid a recession. "I am feeling very good about that prediction," Yellen said on her way home from the G20 summit held in New Delhi, per Bloomberg. "I think you'd have to say we're on a path that looks exactly like that," she said, referring to hopes of a soft landing.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Yellen, Paul Krugman, Larry Summers, It's, Paul Krugman —, , David Rosenberg, Leon Cooperman, Jeremy Grantham Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Federal Reserve Locations: Wall, Silicon, New Delhi
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailApple debuts made-in-India iPhone as pressure to diversify manufacturing mountsPlatformer's Casey Newton and Bokeh Capital Partners' Kim Forrest join 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss long term bullishness about Apple's vision pro headset, comparisons between IBM and Apple, and consumer appetite for smart watches.
Persons: Casey Newton, Kim Forrest Organizations: Apple, Bokeh Capital Partners, IBM Locations: India
Smucker's $5.6 bln buyout dealIndexes: S&P 500 +0.67%, Nasdaq +1.14%, Dow +0.25%Sept 11 (Reuters) - The Nasdaq closed sharply higher on Monday as Tesla surged on optimism around artificial intelligence and investors awaited inflation data due later this week. The S&P 500 climbed 0.67% to end at 4,487.46 points. Hostess Brands (TWNK.O) surged 19.1% after J. M. Smucker (SJM.N) said it would buy the Twinkies-maker in a $5.6 billion deal. Advancing issues outnumbered falling ones within the S&P 500 (.AD.SPX) by a 1.5-to-one ratio. The S&P 500 posted 14 new highs and 11 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 36 new highs and 199 new lows.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Morgan Stanley, Tesla, megacaps, Walt Disney, Greg Bassuk, chipmaker, Ankika Biswas, Shreyashi Sanyal, Shubham Batra, Noel Randewich, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Qualcomm, Apple Hostess Brands, Nasdaq, Dow, Amazon, Microsoft, Sunday, Charter Communications, ESPN, NFL, Federal, New York Fed, PPI, AXS Investments, Traders, Dow Jones, Apple, Hostess Brands, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New York, Bengaluru, Oakland, Calif
Hedge funds and other money managers purchased the equivalent of 98 million barrels of futures and options based on crude over the seven days ending on Sept. 5. Short positions in NYMEX WTI had been reduced to just 30 million barrels on Sept. 5 from 136 million barrels on June 27. In the last 10 shorting cycles, shorts have fallen to an average of 24 million barrels. Following their repeated extension, the cuts are set to remove a total of 245 million barrels by the end of December if implemented in full. Related columns:- Hedge funds buy U.S. crude as stocks fall (September 4, 2023)- Depleting U.S. crude inventories lift oil prices (August 31, 2023)- Prospect of strong El Niño weighs on U.S. gas prices (August 30, 2023)John Kemp is a Reuters market analyst.
Persons: Bing Guan, Brent, NYMEX WTI, Cushing, bullishness, John Kemp, Susan Fenton Organizations: Angeles Refinery, California Air Resources Board, OPEC ⁺, ICE, bearishness, Henry, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Angeles, California, Carson , California, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Brent, WTI, NYMEX, Chartbook, Russia, Saudi, Cushing, Oklahoma
Bullish sentiment among individual investors regarding the outlook for stocks over the next six months surged to 42% in the latest week, from 33.1% last week, and the first time the measure's been above the historical average (37.5%) since early August, according to the latest American Association of Individual Investors survey. Bearish sentiment sank to 29.6%, a four-week low, vs 34.5% last week. Neutral sentiment fell to a seven-week low of 28.2% from 32.4% last week. Bullishness also climbed in the weekly Investors Intelligence poll of financial newsletter editors and advisors earlier this week, rising to 49.3% from 43.1% last week. Bearishness rose a touch, to 21.9% from 20.8%, while those in the correction camp narrowed to 28.8% from 36.1%.
Persons: Bullishness, contrarians, — Scott Schnipper Organizations: American, of, Intelligence
This momentum is turning into bookings, and that gives me the confidence that our annual revenue growth will continue to accelerate moving forward." These bullish comments — taken together — made the softer fiscal second quarter guide all the more puzzling. But for now, we're chalking up the revenue growth softness to some lumpiness around one quarter to the next. Guidance Oracle's weaker-than-expected fiscal 2024 second quarter guide caused shares to drop a second leg lower after the closing bell Monday. Within that figure, Oracle expects cloud revenue to increase 29% to 31%, which at the midpoint is about stable from the first quarter.
Persons: it's, Oracle, Larry Ellison, Safra Catz, , we're, we'll, Cerner, Ellison, Katz, Catz, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Oracle, LSEG, Wall, Autonomous Database, Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, Infrastructure, Software, Microsoft, Web Services, Google, Johnson Controls, MGM Resorts, CNBC Locations: Cerner, Redwood Shores , California
Russia's oligarchs are even less likely to turn on Vladimir Putin 18 months after the invasion. In the 18 months since Russia invaded Ukraine, the lives of Russian oligarchs such as Melnichenko have changed immeasurably in the face of Western sanctions. Sanctions were unleashed on Russia's billionaires as part of a wider set of economic restrictions that some hoped would inspire a revolt within the country. Russia's oligarchs have Putin to thank for their ongoing success. Revolt is possible but unlikelyIt now appears Russia's oligarchs have adapted to a new status quo where they lack political influence but still have a reliable stream of cash.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Andrey Melnichenko, Putin, Mikhail Svetlov, Melnichenko, Forbes, hasn't, Putin —, Roman Abramovich, Alisher, Alisher Usmanov, Alexei Druzhinin, Ivan Fomin, Fomin, That's, Peter Rutland, Vladimir Potanin, Potanin, Rosbank, they've, there'd, Rutland, they're, Abramovich, Michael Regan Abramovich, He's, We'll, Arkady Volozh, Yevgeny Prigozhin, Putin oligarch, Wagner Organizations: Putin, Service, Financial Times, United Arab, Russia's, Soviet Union, Union, Kremlin, Center for, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Forbes, Wesleyan University, Bloomberg, New York Times, London, Chelsea FC, Getty, Guardian, Street, EU Locations: Wall, Silicon, Dubai, United Arab Emirates, Russia, Ukraine, Soviet, EU, Russian, Rutland, France, Thailand, Turkey
The stock market is having an oversized influence on how investors think about the economy. "Late in the cycle when the data is conflicting, sentiment can be influenced by stock prices more than usual. The recession narrative has swung back and forth between hard landing, soft landing, and no landing at all, and the ongoing stock market rally has reinforced some of the more bullish views of the economy. AdvertisementAdvertisementBut the stock market rally has been driven by hard economic data and corporate earnings, too. Wilson recommended investors focus on owning defensive growth stocks, particularly industrial stocks relative to consumer discretionary stocks.
Persons: Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley, Wilson Organizations: Service, Wall Locations: Wall, Silicon
Hedge funds and other money managers purchased the equivalent of 19 million barrels in the NYMEX and ICE U.S. crude (WTI) futures and options contracts over the seven days ending on August 29. Bearish short positions in the premier NYMEX WTI contract had been reduced to just 49 million barrels, down from 136 million. Total commercial crude inventories had fallen into line with the prior ten-year average on August 25 while stocks at Cushing had depleted to almost 30% below the average. Hedge fund managers have been trying to get bullish towards U.S. gas prices, and the inventory surplus inherited from 2022 has been shrinking. Related columns:- Depleting U.S. crude inventories lift oil prices (August 31, 2023)- Prospect of strong El Niño weighs on U.S. gas prices (August 30, 2023)- Crude oil prices stalled as hedge funds sold (August 29, 2023)John Kemp is a Reuters market analyst.
Persons: Richard Carson, John Kemp, Mike Harrison Organizations: Department of Energy, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, REUTERS, ICE, Cushing, U.S . diesel, U.S . Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Freeport , Texas, U.S, Cushing, Oklahoma, Brent, Washington, Illinois, Maine
Swiss authorities brokered the controversial emergency rescue of Credit Suisse by UBS for 3 billion Swiss francs ($3.37 billion) over the course of a weekend in March. Fabrice Coffrini | AFP | Getty ImagesUBS shares rallied to 15-year highs on the back of what analysts branded a "historic" earnings report, though Deutsche Bank said the Swiss banking giant may remain a "construction site" for some time. UBS also announced that it will fully integrate Credit Suisse's Swiss banking unit, a key profit center, in 2024. Notably, UBS highlighted that the massive net asset and deposit outflows seen by Credit Suisse over the last year have finally begun to reverse, and turned positive in June. "It's difficult to combine a blowout result like that and then to announce layoffs at the same time.
Persons: Fabrice Coffrini, Benjamin Goy, Sharath Kumar, Bruno Verstraete, Verstraete Organizations: Credit Suisse, UBS, AFP, Getty, Deutsche Bank, Swiss, Credit, midafternoon, Lakefield Partners, CNBC Locations: Swiss, Zurich, 2Q23, Switzerland
The August sell-off in the stock market has flipped investors from bullish to bearish. Various sentiment indicators have flipped negative, signaling that investors are still worried about a broader stock market decline. That's table stakes in the stock market and is typically viewed as "profit taking" or "healthy consolidation of the market's recent gains." And the stock market loves to prove its skeptics wrong as it often climbs a wall of worry. The sharp decline in sentiment suggests that investors are more worried about getting trapped in another bear market decline than they are missing out on the next bull market rally.
Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, Investor Locations: bullish, Wall, Silicon
There are no more "sell" ratings for Nvidia on Wall Street following its strong second-quarter earnings. Get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in business, from Wall Street to Silicon Valley — delivered daily. Morningstar Research analyst Brian Colello upgraded Nvidia to "hold" from its Wall Street-equivalent rating of "sell" in a note on Wednesday. Such growth might be unprecedented in large-cap tech, but we foresee all types of enterprises investing in AI," Colello said. According to data compiled by Bloomberg, Wall Street has 54 "buy" ratings and five "hold" ratings on Nvidia stock.
Persons: Morningstar, Brian Colello, Colello, Stifel's Ruben Roy, Roy Organizations: Nvidia, Wall, Service, Morningstar Research, Bloomberg Locations: TSMC, Wall, Silicon, Colello
Michael M. Santiago | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineRising U.S. Treasury yields are straining stocks. All three indexes closed below their 50-day moving average — the first time for the Dow since June. All indexes are still above their 200-day moving average.
Persons: Michael M, That's, , bullishness, It'd, — CNBC's Scott Schnipper Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, CNBC, Treasury, it's, Fed, Investors, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Trading, American, of, Investor Locations: New York City, U.S, There's
Bob Doll thinks a mild recession will hit the US economy sometime in the near-to-mid future. Outside of the stock market, Doll also thinks bonds are relatively attractive compared to last year. Within the bond market, he likes Treasurys most, with 10-year yields offering more than a 4% coupon. A 1.5% 10-year Treasury is a bad deal, and of course bonds have sold off hard," he said. Treasury bonds can be bought via a brokerage or through TreasuryDirect.
Persons: Bob Doll, Bob Doll isn't, Doll, Phillips, refiners Organizations: Conference, BlackRock, Valero, Aaa, Treasury Locations: HMOs, TreasuryDirect
Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn said he's getting concerned about the stock market after a strong rally and has added sizable downside protection to his portfolio. Between January and June, the S & P 500 popped 15.9% for its best first half since 2019. Einhorn, 54, believes inflation remains a big risk even though data has suggested easing price pressures. Recent inflation readings have shown a noted deceleration and the tailwind from higher rents is likely to dissipate, causing core inflation to fall further," Einhorn said. "Even so, we believe inflation is stickier and more entrenched than the market is currently appraising."
Persons: Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn, he's, Einhorn, Michael Burry Organizations: CNBC, Green Brick Partners, Nasdaq, Trust, NET
RBC identified the stocks profiting from AI today while positioning themselves for future success. 19 stocks profiting from rising AI demandA number of themes leapt out from earnings reports and calls with management, the RBC analysts wrote. Companies leading the charge in AI investments enjoyed strong second-quarter earnings, thanks in part to those very investments. But AI isn't just bringing money in — companies are also spending more on AI than ever, RBC noted. After poring through earnings announcements from AI-related companies, RBC analysts identified the following 19 stocks that they believe are benefiting most from AI demand right now.
Persons: Jonathan Atkin Organizations: RBC, RBC Capital Markets, Companies, Microsoft, Google, NVIDIA, NVIDIA's, Nvidia, Oracle
Virtual-events startup Hopin was a pandemic winner when it hit a $7.8 billion valuation in 2021. Now its CEO is stepping down, it's selling off parts of its business, and is set to hand back investor cash. But as vaccinations arrived and the travel restrictions eased, demand for Hopin's platform waned. "The pandemic was an extraordinary time to be investing," one London-based tech investor who had not backed Hopin said. Armed with more than $1 billion in investor cash, Boufarhat opted to make acquisitions.
Persons: Johnny Boufarhat, Boufarhat, Andreessen Horowitz, Catalyst, Slack, Hopin, Johnny ", Hopin Boufarhat, outsized, Streamyard, Badri Rajasekar, Klarna Organizations: Tiger, UPS, RingCentral, University of Manchester, Financial Times, Venture, Founders, Microsoft, Private Locations: London, Australia, Lebanese, US, Dubai, Papua New Guinea, Switzerland, Hopin
"No one is coming for Nvidia on AI, period, any time soon," Stifel analyst Ruben Roy told CNBC in an interview Wednesday. The new version of Grace Hopper primarily delivers improvements in memory capacity and bandwidth compared with the first-generation product. In practice, improving the memory capacity and bandwidth of the Grace Hopper Superchip should help AI applications run more efficiently and smoothly. Volume production of the improved Grace Hopper Superchip is expected in the second quarter of 2024, according to Nvidia. Open-source software Nvidia's closed-source CUDA software platform – along with a library of pre-trained AI models — has helped establish the company's AI dominance.
Persons: it's, Grace Hopper Superchip, Ruben Roy, Grace Hopper, ChatGPT, Roy, Hopper, Nvidia, Pat Gelsinger, Nvidia's, Omniverse, Jim Cramer, Nvidia hasn't, Jim, enabler —, Jim Cramer's, Jensen Huang, Walid Berrazeg Organizations: Nvidia, Club, Devices, CNBC, Microsoft, Bank of America, AMD, Nvidia DGX, Intel, BMW, Computer, Getty Locations: Taipei
In one quarter — one off-cycle quarter that didn't feature a no new iPhone — Apple (AAPL) delivered a whopping $81.8 billion in sales. I came up with "own it, don't trade it" for Apple because there have been so many quarters like this one. The people who sold Apple shares on Friday no doubt sold it on their Apple devices. I would be more worried if Apple's customer satisfaction went down than I am that iPhone sales lagged. Apple CEO Tim Cook speaks during Apple's Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) at the Apple Park campus in Cupertino, California, on June 5, 2023.
Persons: Tim Cook, Luca Maestri, Tim, Jensen, da, Huang, Andy Jassy, Roku, Jassy, Goldman Sachs, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Josh Edelson Organizations: Apple, ESPN, Amazon, Web Services, Nvidia, Services, Walmart, Oracle, Amazon Web, Google, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Apple's Worldwide, AFP, Getty Locations: Indonesia, India, Philippines, Mexico, Turkey, Texas, New Jersey, Cupertino , California
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Wednesday explained what the Fitch Ratings debt downgrade might mean for investors and the market as a whole. Cramer attributes this movement not to the problems with AMD or its fundamentals, but to a harried reaction to the downgrade. "Will people react in fear to the Fitch downgrade beyond today? "I'm not concerned about the Fitch downgrade," he continued. Cramer added that he's been seeing recent froth in the market that he finds concerning, and he advised investors to curb their bullishness, raise some cash and wait.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Fitch, Cramer, I'm, that's, he's Organizations: Fitch, United, AAA, Devices, AMD Locations: United States
A challenging outlook for Estee Lauder 's Asia business has pushed Citi to the sidelines on its stock. Analyst Filippo Falorni downgraded the beauty company's stock to neutral from buy and cut his price target by $45 to $195. His new target implies shares could rise 8.3% in the next 12 months from Monday's close. Citi's checks in China show consumers continue to trade down from premium to mass market brands, while Estee Lauder's inventories remain elevated, Falorni said. Beyond China, Falorni also noted the company's recent disclosure that parts of its business were disrupted by a cyberattack.
Persons: Estee Lauder, Filippo Falorni, Falorni, Michael Bloom Organizations: Citi, EL Locations: Asia, Monday's, 2H24, China
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