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☆ One sector outperforms the stock market 100% of the time when an economic recovery begins, Bank of America says. Where to invest now, and 5 reasons why the downturn phase is over.
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

What happens to the US economy nextBank of America's economic indicator has made a sudden pivot upwards, from the lows of a "downturn" phase into the gradual strengthening of a "recovery" phase. Rising inflation indicates improving economic conditions. Rising inflation indicates improving economic conditions. A rising Z-Score indicates improving economic conditions. A rising Z-Score indicates improving economic conditions.

Persons: it's, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Jan, Staples underperformed, Bank of America Subramanian, Dev Organizations: Bank of America, Bank of, Thomson, PMI, Supply Management Manufacturing, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Survey, Conference Board, Bond, ICE, Utilities, Health Care, Fed, of America

☆ Bank of America says it's an official economic recovery now so history points to these stocks outperforming ahead
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

There appears to be an economic rebound taking place — and history shows ways to play it in the market, according to Bank of America. "It's official: we're in a Recovery," wrote strategist Savita Subramanian in a note to clients Sunday. An average recovery lasts nine months, though shorter durations seen in recent history raise concern that this one may not have staying power, she said. Still, the average analyst has a hold rating on the stock, according to LSEG. The average analyst has a hold rating on the stock, but price targets imply an upside of more than 7% on average.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, FactSet, Piper Sandler, John Barnidge, Barnidge, AIZ, Newell, Canaccord, Brian McNamara, McNamara, Molson Coors, Bud, Invesco, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Wall, Newell Brands, LSEG, destocking, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Bud Light, TAP BUD, Molson Coors, Busch Inbev, Molson, ZOA Energy Locations: U.S

☆ These 10 stocks have the most exposure to China's 'stalling' economy, BofA warns
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-08 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

China's "stalling" economy is putting some US companies at risk, according to Bank of America. The bank highlighted the top 10 stocks that have the most revenue exposure to China. Applied MaterialsApplied Materials’ new corporate signage photo in Santa Clara California ReutersTicker: AMATMarket value: $122.6 billionRevenue exposure to China: 33%9. Wynn ResortsAdvertisementAdvertisementFILE PHOTO: Wynn Resorts Ltd property in Las Vegas ReutersTicker: WYNNMarket value: $10.7 billionRevenue exposure to China: 40%4. ReutersTicker: LVSMarket value: $38.2 billionRevenue exposure to China: 67%Other companies that have considerable revenue exposure to China include: Intel (27%), Tesla (26%), and Nvidia (26%).

Persons: Savita Subramanian, Santa Clara California, Lam, Shanghai Aly Song Organizations: Bank of America, Service, Santa Clara California Reuters, Broadcom Reuters, IPG Photonics, Wynn, Wynn Resorts Ltd, Las Vegas Reuters, WYNN, Qualcomm, China, Vegas Sands Corp, Reuters, Intel, Nvidia Locations: China, Wall, Silicon, Santa Clara, Las Vegas, Shanghai, Macau

☆ BofA’s Savita Subramanian says she believes the bond move is bullish
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBofA’s Savita Subramanian says she believes the bond move is bullishSavita Subramanian, BofA Securities head of U.S. equity & quantitative strategy, joins 'Fast Money' to talk recent moves in the bond market.

Persons: Savita Subramanian Organizations: BofA Securities

☆ Treasury yield jump is not 'death to equities,' BofA's Savita Subramanian says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( Stephanie Landsman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The latest jump in Treasury yields is not "death to equities," BofA Securities' Savita Subramanian told CNBC's "Fast Money" on Tuesday. In fact, Subramanian sees the bond move as a positive signal — rather than an ominous sign for the economy. In May, Subramanian hiked her S&P 500 year-end target by 7.5% to 4,300, with a range as high as 4,600. Even though she believes the corporate America has learned to do more with less, Subramanian suggests stocks won't go up in a straight line. But I do think we are at a point where we have some visibility with what the Fed is going to do," Subramanian said.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, CNBC's, Subramanian Organizations: Securities, Companies Locations: America

ESA & NASA/Solar Orbiter/EUI team/Handout via REUTERS File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsBENGALURU, Sept 2 (Reuters) - Following quickly on the success of India's moon landing, the country's space agency launched a rocket on Saturday to study the sun in its first solar mission. The rocket left a trail of smoke and fire as scientists clapped, a live broadcast on the Indian Space Research Organisation's (ISRO) website showed. While Russia had a more powerful rocket, India's Chandrayaan-3 out-endured the Luna-25 to execute a textbook landing. Prime Minister Modi is pushing for India's space missions to play a larger role on a world stage dominated by the United States and China. Satellites in low earth orbit are the main focus of global private players, which makes the Aditya-L1 mission a very important project," he said.

Persons: clapped, Luna, Modi, Sankar Subramanian, Somak Raychaudhury, Rama Rao Nidamanuri, Nivedita, Jayshree, William Mallard Organizations: Solar Orbiter, ESA, NASA, Solar, Rights, Indian Space Research, Elon, SpaceX, Indian Institute of Space Science, Technology, ISRO, Thomson Locations: India, Russia, United States, China, Bengaluru

☆ In another positive sign for stocks, the trough for earnings this cycle is likely in
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-01 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

That's according to analysis by Bank of America, which looked at the changing expectations of Wall Street analysts and historical analysis to determine that the poor second quarter earnings results just reported will be the worst we see this cycle. FactSet data shows S & P 500 earnings fell more than 4% on average from the year-earlier period during the second quarter. It's also the biggest year-over-year earnings drop since the second quarter of 2023. "Absent a collapse in demand, 2Q likely marks the trough in earnings," the report stated. For the full year 2023, Wall Street analysts currently project earnings for S & P 500 companies to post a slight increase, according to FactSet.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, It's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Wall Street

☆ Stocks will try to keep momentum, but September seasonality and other headwinds await
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-01 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Stocks are looking to maintain momentum in the holiday-shortened week ahead even as Wall Street contends with a seasonally weak period for markets ahead of the Federal Reserve's September rate decision. Some technical indicators have investors hopeful the bullish momentum could continue in the week ahead. For example, the major indexes broke above their respective 50-day moving averages this past week — a sign of improving short-term momentum. Central bank policymakers convene for a two-day meeting starting Sept. 19 and announce their interest rate decision Sept. 20. Week ahead calendar All times are ET.

Persons: Sam Stovall, We've, Ryan Detrick, Quincy Krosby, CFRA, —, HSBC's Max Kettner, Savita Subramanian, John Luke Tyner, Carson Group's Detrick, Detrick, FactSet, Kroger Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Wall, Dow, Carson Group, Fed, LPL, Bank of America, Aptus Capital Advisors, Labor, PMI, PMI Services, Consumer Credit Locations: U.S, CFRA, China

☆ Second-quarter earnings recap: Here's what Wall Street is saying about this quarter's winners and losers, and where the market goes from here
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-30 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Second-quarter earnings season is concluding, giving analysts new data to direct their investments. The second-quarter earnings season is quickly coming to an end, and it's time to tally the wins and losses. Here's what Wall Street is saying about second-quarter earnings, who the biggest winners and losers were, and what today's results mean for tomorrow's market. "Much of the stability in consumer stocks YTD is related to falling inflation and higher asset prices, in our view," Wilson wrote. Lori Calvasina, head of US equity strategy at RBC, also had some thoughts about the earnings season.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, didn't, you'd, Mike Wilson, Wilson, Price, BofA's, Subramanian, Lori Calvasina, Calvasina, Subramanian didn't Organizations: RBC, Bank of America, Tech, Nvidia, Comm . Services, Energy, Real Estate Locations: Comm, Tech

☆ Embedded finance, FinOps, and treasury management are grabbing VC attention right now despite a collapse in fintech funding, investors say
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-29 | by ( Callum Burroughs | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Global VC fintech funding has been cut in half to $23 billion so far this year, per S&P data. Fintech startups focused on solving business issues have remained somewhat resilient. Globally venture capital funding to fintech companies dropped 49% year-on-year to $23 billion in the first half of 2023, according to S&P data. Within that, investment in consumer-facing fintech startups, such as banking and trading apps, has endured an even more torrid year, sliding by 73.8% to $1.9 billion in Q2. Insider spoke to four fintech investors who identified the areas within B2B fintech that are capturing their attention right now.

Persons: Khalil Hefaf, fintech, Hefaf, Uber, Banks, Alix Brunet, Europe's, Weavr, Griffin cofounders Allen Rohner, David Jarvis Griffin, Dan Chaplin, Kaushik Subramanian, Payrails cofounders Emre Talay, Orkhan Abudullayev, Nicolas Thouzeau Payrails, Chaplin Organizations: Target, Mass Mutual Ventures, Griffin, Dawn Capital, Treasury, Payrails, EQT Ventures, London, UBS Locations: Europe, digitize, London, Germany, Payrails

☆ Bank of America: Hedge funds are unusually bullish about these 20 stocks as they brace for tough times in markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-26 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Here are 20 stocks that hedge funds are gravitating toward in this uncertain market. Although several economic signals have offered investors reasons for optimism right now, hedge funds can't seem to shake their cautious convictions. Bank of AmericaManagers of hedge funds and long-only funds have shifted toward defensive stocks over the last few years, according to Bank of America. 20 stocks hedge funds love nowWhile hedge funds are playing defense until further notice, that's not to say they're bearish. Below are the 20 stocks that hedge funds are unusually bullish about along with the ticker, sector, and net relative weight in hedge funds for each.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, defensives, Subramanian, that's Organizations: Bank of America, BofA's, Equity Locations: defensives, —

☆ These are the 5 most pressing questions about the bullish 'resilience' thesis of the stock market and the economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Much of the bullish optimism towards a soft-landing scenario in the economy hinges on this continued resilience. These are the five most pressing questions investors should be asking about the sustainability of such resilience. But as sentiment towards the economy shifts from bearish to bullish and a potential soft-landing-no-recession scenario, there are lingering questions as to whether the resilience of the all-important consumer can continue. Bank of America's Savita Subramanian highlighted in a Friday note the five most pressing questions investors should be asking about such resilience and its ultimate impact on the stock market and economy. Can consumer resilience last with rates this high?

Persons: America's Savita Subramanian, Jobs, Subramanian, Russell Organizations: Service, Bank, America's, Bank of America Locations: Wall, Silicon, bearish, Silicon Valley, Tech

☆ Companies are spending less on buybacks and investing more. How the trend is playing out for our stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | In Kevinstankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Meanwhile, S & P 500 companies are spending more and more on capital expenditures (CapEx). Certainly, some companies execute wise buybacks, while others are not as ideal. Humana repurchased $529 million worth of common stock in the second quarter, after spending only $4 million in the year-ago period. Of course, companies also must consider their spending on buybacks versus investments back in the business in order to support growth, such as new manufacturing equipment or data centers. But less spending on buybacks is not necessarily something to worry about.

Persons: BofA, Savita Subramanian, Wells, Wells Fargo, Caterpillar Morgan Stanley, Halliburton Emerson, Eli Lilly, Emerson, we've, It's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: of America, GE Healthcare, Caterpillar, Humana, Halliburton, HAL, Humana . Halliburton, Bank, Microsoft, Linde, LIN, Natural Resources, Honeywell, Halliburton Emerson Electric, Ford, Procter, Gamble, Coterra, Bank of America, Bank of, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Getty Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, Wells

☆ Meet Russell Horwitz, the ex-Goldman partner who is stepping in as David Solomon's chief of staff at a vulnerable time for the CEO
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-08 | by ( Dakin Campbell | Kaja Whitehouse | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Russell Horwitz has been named David Solomon's new chief of staff at a difficult time for the CEO. Russell Horwitz, a partner and former chief of staff to CEO Lloyd Blankfein, is returning to the firm after roughly two years away. Another, Jake Siewert, left Goldman for Warburg Pincus in June 2021. Horwitz left soon after. He has Washington experienceLike Rogers, Horwitz also has a past working in Washington DC.

Persons: Russell Horwitz, David Solomon's, Horwitz, Goldman, John F, Rogers, Goldman Sachs, Lloyd Blankfein, David Solomon, John Rogers, Jon Corzine, Ronald Reagan, Gerald Ford, Joshua Roberts, Solomon, John Waldron, Fiona Carter, Carter, Dina Powell McCormick, Gregg Lemkau, Byron Trott, Jake Siewert, Warburg Pincus, Blankfein, He's, Ken Griffin, John, David, Pablo Salame, Umesh Subramanian, Arthur Levitt Organizations: Goldman, The New York Times, Reuters, BDT, MSD Partners, Miami . Partners, Citadel, Citadel Horwitz, Washington DC, Securities and Exchange Commission, Clinton Locations: Miami, Citadel's, Washington

☆ The Fed needs the economy to slow from here. These funds could outperform
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-26 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

And while Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that the central bank's staff does not predict a recession, he did say that the economy will need to further slow in order to defeat inflation. "We have seen the impact, but not to the extent that the market expected or the Fed expected. He pointed to the iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF (QUAL) and the JPMorgan U.S. Quality Factor ETF (JQUA) as funds that are capturing some of the market rally without adding outsized risk. Those are growth-oriented defensive equities with strong balance sheets, high revenue growth, which is what investors seek during slow revenue or slow economic environments," Smith said. QUAL YTD mountain This quality factor ETF has risen more than 20% this year.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Venkat Balakrishnan, Savita Subramanian, Andrew Smith, Smith, Charles Champagne Organizations: Federal, " Bank of America, Delos Capital Advisors, CNBC, JPMorgan U.S, Quality, Visa, Mastercard, of America, Investors, Bank of America Locations: U.S, Dallas

☆ Bank of America: Make these 35 cheap options trades now to profit from earnings surprises this week
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-26 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Earnings season is underway, and investors can use options to profit from beats and misses alike. Bank of America compiled a list of 35 buy-rated stocks reporting earnings in the coming days. Earnings season is in full swing, which means earnings surprises have begun to crop up — giving investors an opportunity to profit. In a separate note published on July 24, Subramanian outlined her strategy for how to position for earnings surprises, either positive or negative, using options. Second, she contrasted Bank of America's EPS estimates with consensus estimates heading into earnings season.

Persons: Subramanian, Russell, Russel Organizations: Bank of America

Insider spoke with influencer marketing experts and creators about sponsored content on Threads. Within two days of Threads' launch on July 5 , certain brands and influencers started posting paid, sponsored content. She's since posted more sponsored content to Threads. Hulu worked with creator Adam Rose on a sponsored Threads post. Some creators, like travel creator Jessica Ufuoma, are turning down sponsored content requests from brands for this reason.

Persons: influencers, Adam Rose, Kristen Bousquet, I've, Bousquet, Hulu, Krishna Subramanian, Amber Venz, Alessandro Bogliari, Ayomi Samaraweera, Meta, Rose, Brittany Mehciz, Hulu's, Thomas Walters, Ajai Guyot, Guyot, it's, Elon Musk, Ryan Detert, Matt Navarra, who's, what's, Elon, Navarra, Meta's, Instagram, Sooraj Saxena, he's, Sydney Bradley, Taryn Hicks, Jessica Ufuoma, collabs Organizations: She's, Brands, Meta, Creators, Hulu, Dollar, Amazon, Twitter, Sydney Locations: Europe

Insider spoke with influencer marketing experts and creators about sponsored content on Threads. There may not be hashtags yet on Instagram's new app Threads, but that's not stopping #ads from appearing all over the latest social-media platform. Within two days of Threads' launch on July 5 , certain brands and influencers started posting paid, sponsored content. She's since posted more sponsored content to Threads. Some creators, like travel creator Jessica Ufuoma, are turning down sponsored content requests from brands for this reason.

☆ Opinion | Do We Have a Right to Beauty?
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-15 | by ( Sushma Subramanian | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +3 min

And as I’d always expected, it was more than that; beauty itself was an investment that could lead to more success. This is what I was thinking about when a nurse in the emergency room said that in some cases, they brought in a plastic surgeon. “Brazil has the best plastic surgeons in the world.” He reassured me the scarring would be minimal. Brazil, I learned, prides itself on its huge number of skilled plastic surgeons. There’s no denial that small changes we can make to our surfaces have profound influence on our quality of life and that beauty is often a means of gaining power.

Persons: I’d, Anika, ”, Carmen Alvaro Jarrín, Jarrín Organizations: “, ” Locations: “ Brazil, Brazil

☆ Why better-than-expected earnings this reporting season may have trouble boosting market further
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

They are very high, and that may prevent stock prices from moving forward even if earnings reports exceed estimates. The earnings "apocalypse" — the collapse in earnings that many feared would be coming along with a serious recession in 2023 — has not materialized. What this means is that the price of the S & P 500 has gone up to due multiple expansion, not because earnings estimates have been rising dramatically. Bottom line: The S & P 500 at 4,400 with forward earnings at $230 today (19.2 multiple) is not nearly as appealing as the S & P was in January, when it was at 3,800 with forward earnings at $220 (17.2 multiple). It's the easiest path to get the overall market higher.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, —, Chris Harvey, Wells, Nick Raich, Nicholas Colas, DataTrek Organizations: BofA Securities, Delta, Microsoft, Nvidia, P Technology, Big Tech Locations: Wells Fargo

The bullish view Just four of the 15 strategists expect the S & P 500 to end the year higher than current levels, albeit very slightly. He expects the S & P 500 to end the year at 4,500 — up 2.3% from its current level. Instead, Peng said the S & P 500 's performance will likely broaden over the second half of this year. She expects the S & P 500 to remain flat by the end of the year at 4,300. UBS expects the S & P 500 to end the year at 4,100 — a drop of 7% from current levels.

Persons: Stocks, BlackRock Karim Chedid, Jerome Powell, Karim Chedid, Chedid, Chadha, Charles Schwab Liz Ann Sonders, Ken Peng, Peng, Savita Subramanian, Andreas Bruckner, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Matt Rowe, Mark Haefele, Christian Abuide, Sameer Samana, Rowe, Wouter Sturkenboom, Sturkenboom Organizations: CNBC Pro, Investment, iShares EMEA, BlackRock, Reserve, Deutsche Bank, Citi Global Wealth Investments, Big Tech, Bank of, Equity, Nomura, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, UBS, Lombard, RBC Wealth Management, U.S, Global Market, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment, Nomura Private Capital, EMEA, APAC, Northern Trust, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: U.S, Asia, Europe, Wells Fargo, Northern, Samana

Tech stocks led the way higher for the market in the first half. Bank of America expects other names to join in on the rally during the second half. The first half of 2023 was the best for the S & P 500 since 2019, surging 15.9%. Only 25% of stocks outperformed the broader market index, according to Savita Subramanian, the bank's head of U.S. and quantitative strategy. The Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) , which tracks a version of the S & P 500 in which stocks are weight equally rather than by market cap, is up just 5% year to date.

Persons: Dow Jones, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Dow, RSP Locations: St

☆ Bank of America's top stock picks for the third quarter
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-04 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Bank of America is out with its latest short-term stock picks as the third trading quarter of the year gets underway. "Over the last quarter, the BofA Macro view has evolved," strategist Anthony Cassamassino wrote in a note Monday. Bank of America gathered its 10 best ideas for the new quarter, all of them buy-rated, Cassamassino said. The bank also sees multiple growth drivers this year and improvements in merchandise margins as cost inflation and freight expenses normalize. Its $135 price target on the stock is more than 50% above its closing price Friday.

Persons: Anthony Cassamassino, Savita Subramanian, Michael Hartnett, Michael Gapen, Stephen Suttmeier, Cassamassino, it's, Lamb Weston, Wells, defensibility Organizations: of America, U.S, Our U.S . Economist, " Bank of America, Body, Bank of America, Disney, Wells Fargo Locations: Our

☆ Here's another reason that the market could post a huge rally in the second half
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

History has some more good news when it comes to what the stock market could have in the store for the second half of 2023. So, the market's robust first half, in which the S & P 500 posted a nearly 16% gain, presents a strong case for a good second half if history repeats itself. But this market has one more thing going for it: A good first half following a bad 2022. "2023 YTD has not lived up to investors' bearish expectations," Stephen Suttmeier, technical research strategist at Bank of America, said in a client note. .SPX YTD mountain SPX year to date To be sure, history offers no guarantees.

Persons: YTD, Stephen Suttmeier, Suttmeier, Savita Subramanian Organizations: Bank of America, Federal

☆ Wall Street titans including David Rosenberg and Rob Arnott sound off on AI: What they told us about the disruptive technology — from how it will lead to 'permanent displacement' of jobs, to why it's
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

AI's impact on the job marketRob Arnott"Every important disruption since the start of the industrial revolution has cost millions of people jobs. Millions of jobs will be lost to those who know how to use AI. "The implications of generative AI on the labor market will be one of upheaval and one of escalating job uncertainty. Are AI stocks in a bubble? Rosenberg"Advancements in AI technology, and its knock-on effects on profitability and productivity, is a legitimate investment thesis.

Persons: David Rosenberg, Rob Arnott, Savita Subramanian, Cam Harvey, Jawad Mian, Jobs, Merrill Lynch, aren't, Rosenberg, Harvey, Arnott, Brad Cornell, Aswath, There's, that's, Savita, –, capex, Mian Organizations: Industries, Investors, Research, Rosenberg Research, North, Bank of America Securities, Duke University, Microsoft, Nvidia, Google, Tech, Software, Services, Professional Services, IT Services Locations: North American, ChatGPT, Asia, Taiwan

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