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Commercial mortgage borrowing will rise 29% this year, the Mortgage Bankers Association estimates. AdvertisementCommercial and multifamily mortgage borrowing and lending is forecast to surge 29% from last year's estimated total of $444 billion, the Mortgage Bankers Association estimates. "2023 is likely to go into the record books as the slowest year for commercial real estate borrowing and lending in roughly a decade," MBA Head of Commercial Real Estate Research Jamie Woodwell said in the report. AdvertisementTighter monetary policy since 2022 has pushed up borrowing costs across the commercial real estate market, and resulted in stricter lending standards among mortgage originators. Raichura expects prices to drop off another 10% this year, while a December outlook from NBER outlined that total commercial real estate losses could amount to $160 billion.
Persons: , Jamie Woodwell, Kiran Raichura, Woodwell Organizations: Mortgage, Association, Service, Real, Federal Reserve
Fannie Mae now sees mortgage rates dipping below 6% in 2024, anticipating a stronger housing market rebound. "The outlook for both short term rates and mortgage rates is now decidedly lower than what we had previously forecast." As mortgage rates relax, it's also easing the "lock in" effect that had held the housing market in a chokehold. Fannie Mae revised its 2024 forecast for total home sales to an annualized rate of 4.96 million, up from its prior estimate of 4.79 million. And Fannie Mae now expects its home price index to increase 3.2% this year, after previously estimating a 2.8% uptick.
Persons: Fannie Mae, , Fannie Mae's, Freddie Mac, it's Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve
Yet, shares in some companies are trading at steeper discounts than they have in recent history, presenting an opportunity for investors. The recent gains have led to bulls and bears claiming the stock market is overheated , making stock-picking a significant challenge. Amazon shares also featured on the CNBC Pro's stock screen despite rising by about 75% in 2023. The e-commerce giant's shares still remain more than 15% below their high in 2021 despite the company's continued growth. Analysts expect the stock to rise 18% over the next 12 months.
Persons: Intesa Organizations: CNBC Pro, FactSet, CNBC, Nvidia, AstraZeneca, Isuzu, ARC Resources, Tourmaline Locations: Swedish
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 9.30 million job openings in October. Job openings decreased by 168,000 in the finance and insurance industry, while real estate, rental and leasing had 49,000 fewer positions. The job openings rate dropped to 5.3% from 5.6% in September. "The current state of the labor market suggests no further recalibration is necessary to bring the labor market back into balance," said Nick Bunker, director of economics research at Indeed Hiring Lab. They also described the labor market as remaining "very competitive," and "trying to get to full staff levels."
Persons: Brian Snyder, Rubeela Farooqi, Nick Bunker, Conrad DeQuadros, November's, Bill Adams, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Organizations: Taylor Party, Equipment Rentals, REUTERS, Labor, Survey, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Reuters, Treasury, Brean, Institute for Supply Management, PMI, United Auto Workers, UAW, Comerica Bank, Thomson Locations: Somerville , Massachusetts, U.S, WASHINGTON, White Plains , New York, South, Midwest, New York, East, Dallas
A record 8.54 million Chinese borrowers are blacklisted for not paying their debts, the FT reported. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementA record 8.5 million Chinese borrowers – about 1% of the country's working-age adults – are blacklisted by their government for failing to pay their debts, the Financial Times reported on Sunday. The restrictions placed on the borrowers threaten to weigh on consumer spending in the world's second-largest economy, crimping global growth.
Persons: , defaulters, Michael Burry, David Rosenberg Organizations: Service, Financial Times Locations: China
And Ulta Beauty and Foot Locker 's shares rose this week, after the companies reported better-than-expected earnings and a strong start to holiday spending on sneakers, makeup and more. Adobe predicts that full holiday season online spending from Nov. 1 to Dec. 31 will hit $221.8 billion, which would be a nearly 5% year-over-year jump. If the estimate ends up being correct, that means shoppers still have a little more than half of their online holiday spending to go. The NRF said this week that its survey found about half of consumers' online and in-store holiday shopping remains. "People are just about tapped out, but [with] the holiday season, people are willing to even further extend themselves," he said.
Persons: Emily Elconin, That's, Dave Kimbell, Ulta, Matt Shay, Anastasiia, It's, Vivek Pandya, Pandya, Kena Betancur, Scott Wren, Wells, Shannon Stapleton Organizations: Getty, Adobe Analytics, National Retail Federation, Consumers, Walmart, Target, Adobe Digital, Adobe, Macy's, U.S . Federal, Shoppers, Reuters Locations: Oaks, Novi , Michigan, New York , New York, Wells Fargo, Macy's, Roosevelt, Garden City , New York, U.S
download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Advertisement"It's something we count on for the winter months," Johnson told Business Insider. Hosts like Johnson will charge as much as they need to — so it's no shock your Christmastime Airbnb costs a pretty penny. Courtesy of AirDNAAirDNA data shows the last week of the year is typically the second highest-income week for short-term rentals, surpassed only by the Fourth of July. But for Thanksgiving, it was listed for $1,500 to $1,700 per night; around Christmas, it will go for $2,000 to $2,300 a night.
Persons: , Melinda Johnson, Johnson, they'd, Jamie Lane, Lane, Austin Weinerman, Weinerman, Ryan Villines Organizations: Service, nab, Business Locations: Tennessee, Smoky, Angeles, South Florida, Warsaw , Missouri, Acapulco
Singapore, along with Zurich, is the most expensive city to live in, according to the Economist Intelligence Unit. SINGAPORE — Singapore has yet again been ranked as the most expensive city to live in, sharing the top spot with Zurich this year, according to the Economist Intelligence Unit. This is the ninth time in 11 years that Singapore topped the list, while Zurich jumped from its sixth place ranking last year. The research firm said Singapore clinched its top spot due to the high cost of groceries, alcohol, clothing, and owning a private vehicle. A strong currency and high prices for household items and recreational activities drove Zurich's climb to No.1.
Persons: Syetarn Hansakul, Hansakul, CNBC's, EIU, decelerate Organizations: Economist Intelligence Unit, SINGAPORE — Locations: Singapore, Zurich, SINGAPORE, SINGAPORE — Singapore, New York, Geneva, Hong Kong, Asia, U.S, Europe, Israel
The rate of suicides involving guns in the United States has reached the highest level since officials began tracking it more than 50 years ago, according to a new report from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The rate increased by more than 10 percent in 2022 compared with 2019, and in some racial and ethnic groups, the rise was significantly steeper, especially among Native Americans. Overall, about 27,000 of 50,000 suicides were carried out by gun in 2022. At the same time, outside experts noted, the increased rates also correlated with another trend seen during the acute phase of the pandemic: rising gun sales. “When there are more firearms, there are more firearm suicides,” said Michael Anestis, the executive director of the New Jersey Gun Violence Research Center.
Persons: , Michael Anestis Organizations: Centers for Disease Control, New Jersey Gun Violence Research Center Locations: United States
Former U.S. President Donald Trump attends the Trump Organization civil fraud trial, in New York State Supreme Court in the Manhattan borough of New York City, U.S., October 25, 2023. Justice Arthur Engoron imposed the gag order on Oct. 3 after Trump accused Engoron's top clerk of political bias in a post on his Truth Social platform. Engoron had said in his written gag order that the court had been “inundated with hundreds of harassing and threatening phone calls, voicemails, emails, letters, and packages" since Trump's post. The gag order only applies to Engoron's staff. Trump is under a similar gag order in an unrelated criminal case over his efforts to change the results of the 2020 election.
Persons: Donald Trump, Dave Sanders, Arthur Engoron, Engoron's, Trump, Engoron, Letitia James, James, Joe Biden, Jack Queen, Noeleen Walder, Daniel Wallis Organizations: U.S, Trump Organization, Court, Trump, New, U.S . Constitution, Republican, Democratic, Thomson Locations: New York, Manhattan, New York City, U.S, York, U.S .
They said rising costs kept the board from expanding amenities residents wanted, such as a shared composting system. jhorrocks/Getty ImagesRising price for peace of mindIn the constellation of household costs, insurance is often one of the lesser-noticed line items. But recently the rising cost of repairs and the frequency of damaging weather events have made the deal go sour. Rising insurance costs could inflict more pain on another bruised area of the economy: housing affordability. For this reason, insurance companies could decline to cover them or require costly upgrades before agreeing to a policy.
Persons: that'd, Mark Pauly, Tim Quinlan, you'll, Quinlan, it's, Francesco D'Acunto, D'Acunto, Pauly, they've, Nature, John Coletti, That's, Bartie Scott Organizations: Insurance, Research, Bank of America, Global, American, Casualty Insurance Association, University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School of Business, Insurance Information Institute, Georgetown University's McDonough School of Business, Social Security, National Flood Insurance, Business Insider's Locations: Logan, Chicago, Florida, Wells Fargo, California
The climber “slid and tumbled down the mountain for approximately 300-400 feet,” Brian McCall, a spokesperson with the sheriff’s office, told CNN. The brutal fall was witnessed by members of Portland Mountain Rescue, a nonprofit volunteer organization focused on helping people in mountainous areas. The climber, Leah Brown, told CNN in an email she doesn’t know what caused her fall. Portland Mountain RescueIn a Facebook post, Portland Mountain Rescue wrote the woman’s injuries “prevented self-rescue,” adding their members worked with the Crag Rats group, also an all-volunteer, nonprofit organization. “I owe them my life.”In a statement after the rescue, Portland Mountain Rescue warned of the dangerous winter conditions at the mountain.
Persons: , Brian McCall, Leah Brown, ” Brown, Ross, Brown Organizations: CNN, Clackamas County Sheriff’s, Authorities, Rescue, Ross Clemson, Locations: Mt . Hood, Portland, Clackamas County, Mt, Hood, Oregon
Many retailers are extending holiday shopping discounts to record levels and for longer periods. To get the best discounts, you might have to head to your nearest mall. To get the best holiday deals, you might have to go to the mall. That worked in the last few years but didn't this year because financially stressed consumers became even more cost-conscious and looked for the best deals, he added. "Retailers moved a lot of those sales earlier than usual, and then it became one big event culminating on Cyber Monday."
Persons: LSEG, , Jharonne Martis, Martis, Centric Market Intelligence —, Howard Schnapp, Kraig Foreman, CNBC's, Foreman Organizations: Service, Adobe, London Stock Exchange Group, London Stock Exchange, Centric Market Intelligence, Getty, CNBC, Wall Street, Retailers
With some German property developers filing for insolvency, construction activity has dropped over a third from a year ago. That bleak outlook was despite the government recently announcing a 45 billion euro ($47 billion) support package for the property sector and measures to encourage house building, including tax incentives. With overall economic activity expected to remain weak over the coming quarters, it could take a while for the property sector to recover. The euro zone's commercial property sector could also struggle for years, posing a threat to the banks and investors who financed it, the ECB said recently. The median view of 12 property experts forecast average home rental prices to rise 4.0% or more until 2026.
Persons: Lisi Niesner, Sebastian Schnejdar, Carsten Brzeski, Indradip Ghosh, Purujit Arun, Rahul Trivedi, Sarupya Ganguly, Ross Finley, David Evans Organizations: REUTERS, European Central Bank, ECB, ING, Thomson Locations: Berlin, Germany, BENGALURU
Price drops may be needed to thaw the housing market, which could take years, Zandi said. Kelman expects home prices to drop next year, as listings are up and sellers are cutting prices. AdvertisementHouse prices may be headed lower, dealing a blow to sellers but providing relief to buyers, two experts say. The housing market ground to a halt this year, as the Federal Reserve's inflation-fighting hikes to interest rates have boosted mortgage rates to two-decade highs. "I don't expect the housing market to come roaring back here, certainly not in 2024," he said.
Persons: Mark Zandi, Glenn Kelman, Price, Zandi, Kelman, , Morgan Stanley's, there's, we've, Redfin's Kelman Organizations: Service, Yahoo Finance, Fox
Deep discounts are driving a strong start to holiday online spending, according to new data from Adobe Analytics. While measuring online holiday spending, the report's emphasis on bargain-driven sales signals that shoppers at brick-and-mortar locations would feel the same way. So far in November Online sales for apparel were up 22% this month compared to daily average sales in October, according to Adobe data. On Black Friday, the big shopping day after Thanksgiving, online spending alone is seen rising 5.7% to $9.6 billion. People carry shopping bags as they visit a department store during the holiday season in New York City.
Persons: Adobe's, Morgan Stanley, bode, TJX, Goldman Sachs, Andy Jassy, we're, Jassy, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Eduardo Munoz Organizations: Adobe Analytics, Club, Adobe, Bank of America, Apparel, TJX, Amazon, Amazon Web Services, CNBC Locations: Maxx, New York City
Americans are preparing to spend money this holiday season at a rate exceeding pre-pandemic levels. And yet, there are also some promising signs that consumers are ready to splurge on deals this holiday season. A new Deloitte survey shows that Americans are preparing to spend money this holiday season at a rate exceeding pre-pandemic levels. Deloitte also found that the people surveyed plan to spend $1,652 this holiday season, up 14% from last year and 10% from the pre-pandemic level of $1,496 in 2019. OCTAVIO JONES/Getty ImagesThe steeper discounts will mean that prices for many products will be cheaper this year compared to last year's holiday season, according to the Wall Street Journal.
Persons: , OCTAVIO JONES Organizations: Service, Deloitte, Black, Adobe, Wall Street
REUTERS/Mark Makela/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 21 (Reuters) - Lowe's Cos (LOW.N) on Tuesday projected a bigger drop in annual same-store sales than previously expected, as inflation-hit consumers cut spending on home-improvement projects, hitting the company's key do-it-yourself (DIY) business segment. Lowe's saw a "greater-than-expected pullback in DIY discretionary spending" particularly in categories including appliances, home decor, kitchen and bath where customers even postponed some purchases, CEO Marvin Ellison said. Average spending at Lowe's - particularly on big-ticket items - was under pressure in the quarter, resulting in a 7.4% drop in same-store sales while analysts expected a 5% decline, according to LSEG IBES data. Meanwhile, larger rival Home Depot's (HD.N) bigger customer base of "Pro-customers" like builders and contractors helped the retailer ride out the weakness in DIY spending and beat expectations for quarterly results. It expects full-year comparable sales to decline 5%, compared with its prior outlook for a 2% to 4% drop.
Persons: Mark Makela, Cos, Lowe's, Marvin Ellison, Ellison, John Tomlinson, Deborah Sophia, Anil D'Silva Organizations: REUTERS, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Philadelphia , Pennsylvania, U.S, Lowe's, Bengaluru
Best Buy sees steeper decline in annual comparable sales
  + stars: | 2023-11-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
A Best Buy store is seen in Niles, Illinois near Chicago, September 23, 2013. REUTERS/Jim Young/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 21 (Reuters) - Best Buy (BBY.N) said on Tuesday it expects a steeper drop in full-year comparable sales, anticipating shoppers to remain selective in purchases of big-ticket items like electronics and home appliances despite elevated holiday season promotions. The company's shares, down nearly 15% this year, fell 2.4% in premarket trading after a miss on third-quarter revenue estimates. The top U.S. electronics retailer now expects annual comparable sales to decline in the range of 6.0% to 7.5%, compared with its prior range of a 4.5% to 6.0% drop. Total revenue fell to $9.76 billion in the third quarter ended Oct. 28 from about $10.59 billion a year earlier and compared with LSEG estimates of $9.90 billion.
Persons: Jim Young, Corie Barry, Savyata Mishra, Sriraj Organizations: REUTERS, Thomson Locations: Niles , Illinois, Chicago, Bengaluru
Shoppers load a box of merchandise into a truck after visiting a Lowe's hardware store in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S. November 4, 2020. REUTERS/Mark Makela/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 21 (Reuters) - Lowe's Cos (LOW.N) on Tuesday projected a bigger drop in annual comparable sales than previously expected and trimmed its profit forecast as inflation-hit consumers cut back spending on home-improvement projects, sending its shares down 6%. Lowe's saw a "greater-than-expected pullback in DIY discretionary spending, particularly in bigger ticket categories" in the third quarter, CEO Marvin Ellison said. The company reported a 7.4% drop in same-store sales for the three months ended Nov. 3, compared with analysts' average estimate of a 5% drop, according to LSEG IBES data. Lowe's now expects full-year comparable sales to decline 5%, compared with its prior outlook for a 2% to 4% drop.
Persons: Mark Makela, Cos, Lowe's, Marvin Ellison, Deborah Sophia, Anil D'Silva Organizations: REUTERS, Home, Thomson Locations: Philadelphia , Pennsylvania, U.S, Lowe's, Placer.ai, Bengaluru
REUTERS/Rick Wilking/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Nov 21 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs (GS.N) expects the U.S. Treasuries curve to steepen in the long term, driven by rising fiscal spending, top executives said. "Fiscal spending has not abated. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields, which move inversely to prices, hit 5% last month for the first time since 2007. Demand for long-dated Treasuries has slipped in the last six months from central banks, U.S. regional banks and sovereign wealth funds, said Jim Esposito, who jointly runs Goldman's global banking and markets division. "Our economists think most central banks will start cutting rates next year, albeit slowly.
Persons: Rick Wilking, Goldman Sachs, Ashok Varadhan, Goldman's, Fitch, Moody's, government's, Treasuries, Jim Esposito, they've, Esposito, Lananh Nguyen, Davide Barbuscia, Richard Chang Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: Westminster , Colorado, U.S, QE, China
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 17, 2023. Big Tech stocks, which have powered most of the S&P 500's gains this year, now face an important test, with Nvidia due to report third-quarter results after markets close. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 2.33-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and for a 2.04-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded 19 new 52-week highs and no new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 24 new highs and 36 new lows. Reporting by Amruta Khandekar and Shristi Achar A; Editing by Maju SamuelOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Robert Pavlik, Pavlik, Lowe's Cos, advancers, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Nvidia, Dakota Wealth, Traders, Dow Jones, Kohl's, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China
NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . OpenAI, the hottest startup in the world thanks to its chatbot ChatGPT, fired Altman on Friday afternoon. AdvertisementBut according to reports over the weekend, OpenAI investors were scrambling to reinstate Altman before today's opening bell. Advertisement"The board no longer has confidence in his ability to continue leading OpenAI," the post went on to say.
Persons: , Michaels, Sam Altman's, Sam Richard A, Sam Altman, OpenAI, Altman, Greg Brockman, Satya Nadella, It's, Mira Murati, Emmett Shear, Ilya Sutskever, Alistair Barr, Altman wasn't, Alistair, Larry Fink, Fink, Arnd Wiegmann, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Lee Munson, there's, Andy Jassy, Anna Kim, Joe Biden, Harry Truman, Robert F, Kennedy, Dan DeFrancesco, Naga Siu, Hallam Bullock, Lisa Ryan Organizations: Service, Hobby, OpenAI, Microsoft, Altman, BlackRock, Reuters, Berkshire, Wealth, Web, Associated, Turkey, Getty, Wars Locations: OpenAI, BlackRock, Turkey, New York City, San Diego, London, New York
Ustrell is one of scores of European winemakers struggling to grow enough grapes as extreme and unseasonable weather becomes more commonplace. Falling prices, rising costsAcross the border, French winemakers are grappling with the opposite problem: Too much wine. Many French winemakers have suffered as retail prices have fallen this year. Charly Triballeau/AFP/Getty ImagesFrench winemakers struggling to sell their own produce have taken out their anger on imports from Spain. The supply of French wine has exceeded waning demand in France and abroad this year.
Persons: New York CNN — Jordi Ustrell, , Celler, Ustrell, Giogio Delgrosso, Delgrosso, Greg Jones, , hasn’t, pip Italy, , Charly Triballeau, Rouanet, Michael Baynes, they’ve, Baynes, Arnaud Finistre, John Mitra, Penelope, It’s, Penelope Mitra, Faure Haut Normand, John Mitra More, Mitra Organizations: New York CNN, CNN, International Organisation for Vine, European Union, Getty, European Commission, Vineyards, Estate, , Burgundy Wine Company Locations: Paris, New York, Spanish, Gratallops, Italy, Spain, Australia, South Africa, Chile, United States, an Oregon, Oregon, Barcelona, Sauvignon, France’s Bordeaux, France, French, Toulouse, AFP, Aude, Bordeaux, Argentina, Burgundy
WASHINGTON (AP) — By most accounts, Speaker Mike Johnson inherited a House Republican majority in disarray after the sudden ouster of his predecessor last month. But as Johnson, R-La., tries to rebuild that slim majority, he’s fast running into the same hard-right factions and divisions that Rep. Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., was unable to tame. Centrist conservatives said the measures went too far, however, as the hard-right faction demands steeper reductions in government programs. Johnson rebuffed their suggestion to at least attach the House-passed Israel aid package as a way force the Senate to act. He’s admired, he's trusted,” said Rep. Bob Good, R-Va. “You know, he’s human.
Persons: Mike Johnson, Johnson, Kevin McCarthy, ” Johnson, Joe Biden, McCarthy, , Chip Roy, Nancy Pelosi, ” Roy, , Nick LaLota, LaLota, Biden, He’s, he's, Bob Good, Garrett Graves, Hakeem Jeffries, Jeffries Organizations: WASHINGTON, Republican, Capitol, Teamsters, House Republicans, Biden, Republicans, thundered, Rep, GOP, Justice Department, Hamas, Jan, Democrats, Democratic Locations: Texas, Ukraine, Russia, Israel, Gaza, Mexico, , Garrett Graves of Louisiana, New York
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