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Right out of the gate comes Tim Saler, a data consultant for Mr. Trump’s campaign, who takes issue with the latest CBS News/YouGov poll showing Ms. Harris ahead of Mr. Trump by one point nationally and running very close to Mr. Trump in the key battleground states. Without this manipulation, President Trump would be maintaining a 51-49 lead in their Aug. 4 survey. As a result, we adjust our data to align with known benchmarks, a process known as weighting. Weighting a survey by factors like age and race is quite standard and is a basic matter of good research practice. Pollsters have robust and friendly debates over the best ways to keep a poll from over- or under-sampling people of a certain party.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Tim Saler, Trump’s, Harris, Trump, Vance, Saler, let’s, , Brian Hughes Organizations: CBS, Trump, New York Times, Siena College
We’ve never in my lifetime changed candidates this late in the game,” West said, pausing as she left a Harris campaign office to pick up a new packet of door-knocking materials. “There is a lot of excitement around Vice President Harris, actually. However, despite the preparations, Trump’s campaign has yet to find its footing on a consistent message about the vice president. Outside the campaign, Trump’s allies worry there is no strategy for what is now a competitive race. Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a gathering of the Sigma Gamma Rho sorority in Houston on July 31, 2024.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Joe Biden, Trump, Biden, Kamala Harris, Ohio Sen, JD Vance, Harris –, Harris, , , , ” Trump, pollster John McLaughlin, ” McLaughlin, Harper, “ I’ve, We’ve, ” West, President Harris, Joe Lamberti, ” Harris, Rachel Scott, Scott Olson, it’s, Barack Obama, Trump’s, Steven Cheung, “ He’s, Brandon Bell, Trump –, Harris didn’t, ” Rev, Charles Williams, I’m, ’ ” Williams, he’s, Donald Trump, She’s, Carolina Sen, Lindsey Graham, she’s, Vance, Anna Moneymaker, Tucker Carlson’s, they’ve, Alaska Sen, Lisa Murkowski, Schouten, Kate Sullivan, Jeff Zeleny, Steve Contorno, Manu Raju, Morgan Rimmer, Danya Gainor, Lauren Fox Organizations: CNN, Republican, Republican Party, Trump, GOP, National Association of Black Journalists ’, Biden, Harris, Getty, Democrats, Democratic, Democratic Party, ABC, Fox News, Senior Trump, ABC News, National Association of Black Journalists, Indian, Sigma Gamma Rho, Air Force, White, Sigma Gamma Rho sorority, Historic King Solomon Baptist Church, , Senate, Capitol Locations: Milwaukee, Chicago, India, Jamaica, Oakland County , Michigan, Harrisburg , Pennsylvania, AFP, Trump, New York, Georgia, Butler , Pennsylvania, Harris, Atlanta, United States, North Carolina, Houston, Detroit, , Carolina, Sierra Vista , Arizona, Alaska, Mexico, Arizona, Ohio, California
I've always felt it to be a dangerous setup for both parent and child. My daughter looks up to meI've noticed my daughter's eyes scanning me for clues on how she should show up. If this tiny, impressionable person wants to mimic everything I do, I've had to start asking myself: What exactly am I doing? AdvertisementThe author's daughter looks up to her. I also make sure she sees me enjoying my coffee in my expensive porcelain china instead of the chipped promotional mugs.
Persons: , I've, she'll, adorably, it's, Amanda Miller Littlejohn Organizations: Service, Business
Finance, health care and other regulated industries should consider their specific needs and tailor their defenses with military-grade components, he added. The implementation of military-grade cybersecurity is not without challenges. In 2024, regulated industries have witnessed a significant increase in both the number and cost of data breaches. Frederic Rivain, chief technology officer of Dashlane, holds a contrarian view on the need for military-grade defenses. "Multifactor authentication is important, and you must have it, but you still need to have multiple layers," Two Bears said.
Persons: CrowdStrike, Javad Abed, Abed, shouldn't, Cole, Didi, National Intelligence Avril Haines, Gen, Gary Orenstein, Orenstein, doesn't, Frederic Rivain, Rivain Organizations: Johns Hopkins Carey Business School, Delta Air Lines, Finance, IBM, Ponemon Institute, Bears, Amazon, Data, Verizon, National Intelligence, Employees Locations: ThinkGard, U.S, China, America
This is known as child-focused parenting, a style devised in the 90s that has become the norm in the last decade. Gaskins isn't the only psychology professional against child-focused parenting. Ironically, child-focused parenting teaches kids that it's normal to forego your identity and boundaries. AdvertisementInstead of being prepared for adult life, "the child's world is completely separated from the adult world," Doucleff said. Woo, who teaches at UC Irvine, said she's witnessed the lasting effects of child-focused parenting.
Persons: , Michaeleen Doucleff, Doucleff, Suzanne Gaskins, Gaskins, Brené Brown, Tim Ferriss, Gen Xers, Sharon Hays, Caitlyn Collins, Louis, Collins, bento, Dr, Jenny Woo, Woo, she's, It's Organizations: Service, Business, Northeastern Illinois University, Washington University, Disney, UC Irvine, Pew Locations: San Francisco, American, St, playdate, America
Earth’s electric and magnetic fields and gravity cause charged particles in the ionosphere to flow away from Earth’s magnetic equator. Typically, plasma bubbles are long and straight because they form along Earth’s magnetic field lines. GOLD observations captured C-shaped and reverse C-shaped plasma bubbles close together in the ionosphere on October 12, 2020, and December 26, 2021. So far, GOLD has only observed two instances of the close pairings, but the C-shaped bubbles have the potential to disrupt communications. “Due to such wide view and continuous measurements, GOLD has allowed us to observe these mysteries within the ionosphere,” Karan said.
Persons: Jeffrey Klenzing, , it’s, , NASA SVS, Fazlul Laskar, , Laskar, ” Klenzing, Karan et, Deepak Karan, Karan, ” Karan, John Deere, Tim Marquis, ” Laskar Organizations: CNN, International Space Station, NASA SVS, Goddard Space Flight, NASA, of Geophysical Research, University of Colorado’s Laboratory, Atmospheric Locations: Tonga, Greenbelt , Maryland, Baltimore, Boston
Read previewLeading fund manager David Vaughn would have every reason to be confident — cocky, even. Playing it safe can pay offSince Vaughn doesn't pretend that he can predict the future, he hedges his bets accordingly. ClariVest's international fund, which Vaughn has run since its inception in early 2013, holds a whopping 120 to 150 stocks at a time — far higher than many of its peers. The top fund manager and his colleagues don't develop an in-depth thesis for each stock or get cozy with sweet-talking management teams. Advertisement6 international stocks to buy nowAlthough Vaughn avoids getting attached to stocks in his heavily diversified fund, that doesn't mean he doesn't have favorite ideas in international markets.
Persons: , David Vaughn, Vaughn, You've, Vaughn doesn't, We'd, that's, Charlie Brown, Lucy Organizations: Service, Carillon, Stock Fund, Business Locations: ClariVest
GE Healthcare on Wednesday morning reported a mixed second quarter and shares initially moved sharply lower. Organic revenue growth was 1%. We saw a continued acceleration of Vizamyl doses delivered in the U.S. in the second quarter. This is still a small contributor to sales growth but gives us optimism about its sales potential over the next few years." As a result, we're lowering our total company full-year organic revenue growth guidance."
Persons: Philips, It's, Eli Lilly, GEHC, , Jay Saccaro, We're, Arduini, Peter Arduini, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Pavlo Gonchar Organizations: GE Healthcare, Management, Revenue, LSEG, General Electric, Philips, Siemens, Club, GE Healthcare YTD, GE Healthcare's, Care Solutions, Pharmaceutical Diagnostics, U.S, CNBC, Lightrocket, Getty Locations: China, Eisai, U.S
But addressing 14 risk factors over the course of one’s life — starting in childhood — could prevent or delay nearly half of cases, according to a large report by 27 dementia experts. “The progress in preventing and treating dementia is accelerating.”The initial 12 risk factors were linked with 40% of cases, but the new report suggests addressing the 14 risk factors could help eliminate or delay 45% of dementia cases, said Livingston, a professor of psychiatry of older people at University College London. This “critical” update calls attention to two risk factors that preventive neurologist Dr. Richard Issacson says his clinical practice has been evaluating for over a decade. Influencing brain functionThe report doesn’t establish with certainly that these risk factors directly cause dementia, experts said. But other research has provided theories on the link between these vulnerabilities and dementia risk.
Persons: CNN —, , Dr, Gill Livingston, Livingston, Richard Issacson, Isaacson, wasn’t, It’s, Klaus Ebmeier, Ebmeier wasn’t, ” Livingston, Glen R, Finney, Alzheimer’s, Susan Kohlhaas, Kohlhaas, , ” Finney Organizations: CNN, Lancet, University College London, University of Oxford, American Academy of Neurology, Alzheimer’s Research Locations: midlife, Florida, Wilkes Barre , Pennsylvania,
CNN —The Breakthrough is a project from CNN, Georgetown University, the University of Michigan, SSRS and Verasight. Each week, 1,000 Americans are asked to share what they have seen, read or heard about major presidential candidates in their own words. Results from the two surveys are combined using SSRS’s Encipher Hybrid methodology for blending probability and non-probability samples. Respondents have also been asked the same question about Biden since the start of the project. To develop topics, topic words are manually identified and augmented with words and topics identified using a combination of Noiseless Latent Dirichlet Allocation (NLDA) and Guided Topic-Noise Model (GTM).
Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Robert F, Kennedy, Jr, Harris, Biden, Lisa Singh, Josh Pasek, Michael Traugott, Budak, RoBERTa pretrained, Jennifer Agiesta, Ariel Edwards, Levy, Edward Wu, Dana Elobaid, Le Bao, Yanchen Wang, Mohamed Ahmed, Akilah Evans, Hope Wilson, Cameron McPhee, Peter K, Enns, Gretchen Streett, Amelia Goranson, Jake Rothschild Organizations: CNN, Georgetown University, University of Michigan, Massive Data, Technical, Science Locations: Verasight
Microsoft delivered an overall strong quarter after Tuesday's market close, but a miss on Azure revenue growth put shares under pressure in extended-hours trading. Office Consumer Products and Cloud Services revenue grew 3% as Microsoft 365 Consumer subscriptions grew 10% to 82.5 million. Windows Commercial Products and Cloud Services revenue increased 11%, driven by demand for Microsoft 365. Despite the solid fiscal Q1 outlook for Intelligent Cloud revenue, management guided Azure's constant currency revenue growth to 28% to 29%. Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella speaks during the Microsoft Build conference at Microsoft headquarters in Redmond, Washington, on May 21, 2024.
Persons: We're, Satya Nadella, Nadella, Amy Hood, Hood, That's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Jason Redmond Organizations: Microsoft, Revenue, Nvidia, Broadcom, Devices, AMD, Investors, Products, Cloud Services, Consumer Products, Dynamics Products, Enterprise Mobility, Activision, Windows, , Xbox, Management, CNBC, AFP, Getty Locations: OpenAI, pare, Redmond , Washington
So, how do you know if you're in a position to be able to start passing down your wealth? But even average baby boomers, who have a net worth of around $1 million, are getting in on early wealth transfers. Griffith said the first thing someone should do before transferring wealth is to look at their retirement resources and do something she calls a "stress test." That includes considering what the portfolio might look like when the markets are most volatile and declining. Griffith said a wealth advisor can help complete a stress test using specific software that looks at various simulations of what could happen to a person's finances.
Persons: boomers, Michelle Griffith, Griffith, it's Organizations: Service, Business, Financial, Citi, Wealth Management
Jain's hypothetical seemed prescient when a quality control issue from cybersecurity firm CrowdStrike caused a worldwide IT outage that halted flights and freight, shuttered retail outlets, and caused hospitals to resort to charting on paper. "Insurers have been worried about something like what happened with CrowdStrike since cloud adoption happened," said Dale Gonzales, chief innovation officer at Axio, a cyber security risk analysis company. Fitch estimates that the number of insured losses will not exceed $10 billion, ending somewhere in the mid- to high-single billions and that the industry largely priced those in. The cybersecurity insurance market did get lucky, in some respects, with the CrowdStrike meltdown. "Cyber events that have more of a physical consequence would be much bigger in size or scope in terms of losses," Glombicki said.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Ajit Jain, Jain, CrowdStrike, Dale Gonzales, Gerald Glombicki, Fitch, Glombicki Organizations: Microsoft Corp, Fitch Locations: New Delhi, India, Berkshire, Fitch Rating's, Australia, Pacific Asia, U.S
Cohere, the artificial intelligence startup founded by ex-Google AI researchers and backed by Nvidia , cut about 20 roles on Tuesday, CNBC confirmed. Despite the cuts, Cohere is hiring in areas such as customer operations, partnerships, revenue, sales, product design and modeling, according to its website. In June 2023, Cohere raised $270 million at a $2.2 billion valuation, with Salesforce and Oracle participating in the funding round. Many customers include businesses in banking, financial services and insurance, Kon told CNBC in the past. In November, Cohere told CNBC it saw an uptick in customer interest after OpenAI's sudden and temporary ouster of CEO Sam Altman.
Persons: Aidan Gomez, OpenAI, Cohere, Fortune, It's, Anthropic, Claude chatbot, Martin Kon, Kon, Sam Altman Organizations: Cohere Inc, Economic, Cohere, Google, Nvidia, CNBC, AMD, Oracle, Salesforce, Company, White, Enterprise Locations: Davos, Switzerland, Cohere, Cohere's
U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a campaign event at Westover High School in Fayetteville, North Carolina, on July 18, 2024. With President Joe Biden officially out of the election, experts are watching for tax policy from Vice President Kamala Harris, the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination. While Harris has yet to outline her economic agenda, voters could see similar themes to Biden's proposals, which have called for higher taxes on the wealthy and corporations, experts say. The Harris campaign did not immediately respond to CNBC's request for comment. Here's what to watch from Harris when it comes to tax issues, according to policy experts.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Harris, Biden, Garrett Watson Organizations: Westover High School, Democratic, Finance, Trump, Tax Foundation, Biden Locations: Fayetteville , North Carolina
Harris' visit, following the attempted assassination of former President Trump, makes this her fourth trip to Michigan this year and seventh visit since taking office. However, Harris voiced some distinctions from Biden before becoming vice president, Watson noted. The vice president plans to bring more relief to borrowers, they said. Harris proposed repealing the Trump tax cuts to pay for it. — Jessica DicklerHousingHarris has been a proponent for affordable housing policies both during her tenure as vice president and as senator.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Trump, Olivia Troye, Amanda Stratton, Harris, Chris duMond, Chris Dumond, Biden, Garrett Watson, Watson, — Kate Dore, Drew Altman, Altman, She'd, Fatima Goss Graves, Roe, Wade —, Greg Iacurci, Pell Grant, Joe Biden, Miguel Cardona, Annie, Laura Veldkamp, Veldkamp, — Jessica Dickler, May, — Ana Teresa Solá Organizations: Getty, Tax, Tax Foundation, Biden, — Kate Dore Health, Affordable, Medicaid, National Women's Law, CNBC, Current U.S . Department of Education, Corinthian Colleges, U.S . Department, Corinthian, Columbia University Business School, U.S . Department of Housing, Urban Locations: KALAMAZOO , MICHIGAN, Kalamazoo , Michigan, Michigan, North Carolina, California, U.S
Karlie Kloss, a self-proclaimed "workaholic," knows this better than most. Her years of focus and hard work have made her massively successful, but Kloss tells CNBC Make It that her personal life has paid the price. For the New Yorker, that means being strict about setting boundaries between her work life and home life. Once her kids get a little older and are no longer home all day, Kloss knows she'll be tempted to reassess her boundaries. "I know when they're in school all day my workaholic tendencies will probably kick back into high gear," she says.
Persons: Karlie, workaholic, Kloss, I've, Thorne, I'm, she'll Organizations: CNBC, Yorker
Read previewYou don't need to know a lot about tornadoes to understand the massive storms you'll see on screen in the new film "Twisters," debuting in US theaters Friday. 22 science terms to know before seeing 'Twisters'Cap: A layer of warm air thousands of feet high in the atmosphere that can slow or stop the formation of a thunderstorm. Sandwiched between warm, moist air and cold, dry air, the cap can also increase instability and cause a severe storm if it's removed. Eric Kurth/NOAADoppler radar: The National Weather Service's Doppler radars look like they have giant golf balls sitting on top of them. Recent research suggests severe storm activity is shifting to states like Alabama, Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Tennessee.
Persons: , Eric Kurth, Ted Fujita, Paul Huffman, Sakuhei Fujiwhara, Matthew Cappucci, it's, Paul Markowski, Yvette Richardson, Joseph, Louis Lagrange, Sean Waugh Organizations: Service, Business, The Washington Post, NOAA, Tornadoes, NWS, FEMA, NASA, Federal Emergency Management Agency, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Oceanic, Atmospheric Administration, National Weather Service, Library, Laboratory Locations: Elkhart , Indiana, Oklahoma, It's, Norman , Oklahoma, Kansas, Kansas , Nebraska , Oklahoma, Texas, Alabama , Arkansas , Kentucky, Louisiana , Mississippi, Tennessee
The star is one of a binary pair, so the planet orbits the primary star, while the primary star orbits a secondary star. While Jupiter takes 4,000 Earth days to complete one orbit around the sun, hot Jupiters complete one orbit every few days. Astronomers use “eccentric” to refer to the shape of a planet’s orbit on a scale from zero to 1. “It’s a pretty extreme process in that the changes to the planet’s orbit are massive,” Millholland said. Discovering a second hot Jupiter precursor is helping astronomers to confirm the idea that high-mass gas giants transform into hot Jupiters as they migrate from eccentric to circular orbits, the researchers said.
Persons: , , Arvind Gupta, NOIRLab, Gupta, Suvrath Mahadevan, Verne, Willaman, Jason Wright, ” Wright, ” Gupta, Sarah Millholland, , ” Millholland, Wright, James Webb Organizations: CNN —, Penn State, Astronomy, Mercury, NASA, Massachusetts Institute, Technology’s Kavli, for Astrophysics, Space Research, chrysalis Locations: Kitt, Arizona
CNN —In 2018, Jonathan and Trista Schmier felt the economy was so strong that they could take a big risk. “The customers got very, very upset.”Trista and Jonathan Schmier felt confident enough about the economy during the Trump administration to open a small chain of restaurants. Poll after poll show that voters have more faith in Trump’s ability to handle the economy than President Joe Biden’s. By many measures, however, the economy under Biden — who took office while the pandemic was still underway — has also been strong. “I trust the other guy better,” said Southworth, 74, referring to Trump, whom he voted for in 2016 and 2020.
Persons: Jonathan, Trista Schmier, Angus, , Jonathan Schmier, ” Trista, Trump, Andrew Craft, Donald Trump, Joe Biden’s, Biden, Carroll Doherty, Doherty, Trump’s, Barack Obama, Biden —, , Bernard Yaros, ’ paychecks, Jimmy Carter, ” Yaros, Yaros, Ted Southworth, Ted, Rebecca Southworth, Ted Southworth Southworth, Southworth, Becky Cantrell, Cantrell Organizations: CNN, Fayetteville Observer, USA, Pew Research Center, Biden, Black Americans, Census Bureau, Oxford Economics, Trump Locations: Burger, Fayetteville , North Carolina, Burlington , North Carolina, , Florida
Experts hold drastically different views, creating a new hot-button topic that will continue to be debated up until the election in November. The camp staunchly opposed to Trump's policiesThe base argument against Trump's fiscal platform is that tariffs are, by nature, inflationary. AdvertisementIn a recent op-ed for the Financial Times, he cited the "benign" impact Trump's first-term tariffs had on the US economy. Looking ahead to a new term, Yardeni thinks Trump's most extreme pursuits will likely be watered down by Congress. AdvertisementRepublican donor Kyle Bass — who serves as the chief investment officer of Hayman Capital Management — has taken a different tact in his support of Trump's fiscal agenda.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Trump's, Trump, he's, David Kelly, Larry Summers, Paul Krugman, Goldman Sachs, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Steve Eisman, Kyle Bass —, Hayman Capital Management —, Joseph Stiglitz, Biden Organizations: Service, Donald Trump White House, Business, Trump, House Republicans, Foundation, New York Times, Peterson Institute, Yardeni Research, Financial Times, Congress, CNBC, Hayman Capital Management, Oxford Economics Locations: China, It's
Scientists say that this measurement, known as excess deaths, can provide a truer indication of the toll and scale of conflicts and other social upheaval. And Israel has not permitted researchers to enter the enclave since the start of the war last October. Credit... Bashar Taleb/Agence France-Presse — Getty ImagesIn an interview, Mr. Spagat cited other reasons to be cautious when discussing excess deaths in Gaza. Around 9,000 deaths have been directly attributed to the war since then by Gaza’s health ministry. The subject of excess deaths is sensitive because it touches on the collateral cost of Israel’s war against Hamas.
Persons: Elad Goren, Salim Yusuf, , Michael Spagat, Khan Younis, Bashar Taleb, Spagat, Zeina, Gabby Sobelman Organizations: Gaza Health Ministry, COGAT, Royal Holloway College, University of London, ., Agence France, Johns Hopkins University, London School of Hygiene, Medicine, Hamas Locations: Israel, Gaza, Britain, Canada, Khan, epidemiologists
Read previewNobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz told Business Insider in a June interview the US economy is "remarkably strong." "I think general consensus, not just my view, but almost anybody modeling what is going on would say the Trump administration would be more inflationary," Stiglitz told BI. Related storiesStiglitz noted Trump's promise of large increases in tariffs as one of the things that could make inflation worse. A third factor that could juice inflation would be the "drastic reductions in immigration" that Trump has proposed, Stiglitz said. AdvertisementOutside of the risks to inflation, Stiglitz said a Trump presidency could also mean a slowing GDP.
Persons: , Joseph Stiglitz, Stiglitz, Trump, Axios, Trump's, Karoline Leavitt Organizations: Service, Democratic, Republican, Business, Republican National Committee, Trump, U.S, Republicans, CNN Locations: U.S
Analysts who have been following companies on the cutting edge of using generative AI for drug discovery say it is still very early days. But these endorsements haven't lifted Recursion shares out of a slump. RXRX 1Y mountain Recursion shares over the past year. The drug company will be a beta user of Recursion's LOWE (Large Language Model-Orchestrated Workflow Engine) and the pair are also partnering on oncology research. SDGR 1Y mountain Schrodinger shares over the past year.
Persons: Scott Schoenhaus, Chris Gibson, Jensen Huang, Leerink, Mani Foroohar, Foroohar, Recursion's, KeyBanc's Schoenhaus, Needham, Gil Blum, it's, Recursion's LOWE, Blum, Eli Lilly, AbCellera, KeyBanc's, Schoenhaus, FactSet, Allison Bratzel, Piper Sandler, Goldman Sachs, Salveen Richter, Peter Lawson, Lawson, Japan's Takeda, Schrodinger, Leerink's Foroohar Organizations: Analysts, Capital, Nvidia, ARK Investment Management, REC, CCM, Union, Bayer, Therapeutics, Dynamo, RLY, Barclays, Japan's Locations: U.S, biopharma, Biohive
Known as the Antikythera mechanism, the bronze device is a mechanical computer with interlocking gears. A shipwreck full of ancient treasuresThe Antikythera mechanism is broken and eroded, making it difficult to know exactly how it worked. Associated Press/Petros GiannakourisThe Antikythera mechanism is just one intriguing finding from a 2,000-year-old shipwreck that divers first discovered in 1900. But the Antikythera mechanism is perhaps the most unique discovery of them all. AdvertisementWoan's colleague Joseph Bayley followed up the research by modifying techniques used to study gravitational waves, which are ripples in space-time.
Persons: , Graham Woan, Chris Budiselic, Budisic's, Woan, Petros Giannakouris, Derek John de Solla Price, Budiselic, Joseph Bayley, Bayley Organizations: Service, Business, University of Glasgow, Associated Press, Oceanographic, Woan's Locations: Antikythera
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