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☆ Trump mocks DeSantis on his home turf, dismissing the Florida governor's standing in the GOP presidential primary: 'It was never that close'
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-16 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

DeSantis was absent from the event in his home state, and Trump used the opportunity to attack him. Trump said DeSantis' candidacy was divisive and poked at him over insurers dropping plans in Florida. "We are totally dominating DeSanctus right here in the state of Florida," Trump said, mispronouncing the governor's last name. They're dividing the party, although he's dropping so quickly he's probably not going to be in second place much longer." I said 'I thought you were a DeSantis follower,'" Trump remarked, before declaring that the GOP primary so far has not been competitive.

Persons: Trump, DeSantis, Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, needling, Joe Biden, DeSanctimonious, I'm, Bryan Griffin, Iowans, —, Mike Pence, Vivek Ramaswamy, Nikki Haley, Sen, Tim Scott of, Chris Christie, Asa Hutchinson of Organizations: Service, Gov, Republican, Sunshine State, GOP, White, Conference, West Palm Beach, Trump, Tennessee G.O.P, Family Leadership Locations: Florida, Wall, Silicon, West Palm, South Carolina, Tim Scott of South Carolina, New Jersey, Asa Hutchinson of Arkansas

☆ Trump says it was 'probably' a mistake to have nominated Christopher Wray to led the FBI and blames Chris Christie for recommending him
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-15 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

In an interview set to air on Sunday, Trump said it was "probably" a mistake to have tapped Wray to lead the FBI. On Fox Business, Trump casts blame on Chris Christie for recommending Wray for the role. Chris Christie for recommending the former US assistant attorney general for the role. "You know, he was recommended very strongly by Chris Christie, who is, you know, a sad case." "I think Chris Wray has done a very good job," the former governor said.

Persons: Trump, Wray, Chris Christie, Donald Trump, Christopher Wray, Maria Bartiromo, James Comey, Bartiromo, Christie, Ron DeSantis, Trump's, Harriet Hageman, Chris Wray, Chris Organizations: FBI, Fox Business, Trump, Service, New, New Jersey Gov, Fox, Republican, Florida Gov, GOP, Republicans, Wyoming GOP, House Republicans Locations: Wall, Silicon, New Jersey, New Hampshire, Trump, Lago

☆ The GOP debate could have anti-Trump firebrands on stage thanks to a new clarification of which polls count
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Madison Hall | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

To get to the GOP presidential debate stage, candidates must hit certain fundraising and polling requirements, as per the RNC. A key stipulation is that candidates must poll 1% or higher in 3 national polls with 800 or more registered Republican likely voters. Additionally, the RNC said the polls must each survey at least 800 registered likely Republican voters for it to count. As Insider's Walt Hickey previously wrote, surveys containing "800 registered likely Republican voters" are not easy to come by. It's also, coincidentally, the only survey tracked by FiveThirtyEight with more than 800 registered likely Republican voters that has Hutchinson and former New Jersey Gov.

Persons: Chris Christie, Asa Hutchinson, Hutchinson —, Insider's Walt Hickey, FiveThirtyEight's Nathaniel Rakich, It's, Hutchinson, Christie Organizations: RNC, Republican, Trump, Service, Republican National Committee, New, New Jersey Gov, Arkansas Gov, GOP, Politico Locations: Wall, Silicon, New Jersey, Milwaukee

☆ DeSantis blamed the president of Mexico and the 'corporate media' for his low polling
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( Madison Hall | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Ron DeSantis' low polling numbers were brought up in a Fox News Tonight interview. DeSantis pointed to the president of Mexico and the corporate media for his low polling. Ron DeSantis, Republican presidential candidate, blamed the president of Mexico and the 'corporate media' for his tanking polling numbers. In an interview on Fox News Tonight, DeSantis' low polling numbers were brought up as a topic of discussion. —DeSantis War Room 🐊 (@DeSantisWarRoom) July 7, 2023At first, DeSantis blamed the "corporate media," whom his campaign shut out for a time, for his inability to gain traction in Republican polling.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, —, ike, ould, ince, witter, ntire Organizations: Fox News, Service, Republican Locations: Mexico

☆ Ron DeSantis vows to attend the first debate whether Trump shows or not
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Ron DeSantis said he will show up to the first GOP debate regardless of what Trump does. Ron DeSantis is vowing to attend the first Republican presidential debate regardless of what Donald Trump does. "I'll be there, regardless," DeSantis told Fox News on Thursday evening. Former Vice President Mike Pence has said he is unafraid to challenge Trump directly, should his former running mate actually show up. Former Vice President Mike Pence, former UN ambassador Nikki Haley, conservative entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, and Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina follow.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, Trump, DeSantis, goad Trump, —, Donald Trump, Mike Pence, I've, Pence, Hugh Hewitt, Chris Christie, Christie, CNN's Jake Tapper, Tim Scott, Nikki Haley, FiveThirtyEight's, Vivek Ramaswamy, Sen, Tim Scott of Organizations: Trump, reconsidering, Service, Gov, Fox News, PAC, Former New Jersey Gov, Republican National Committee Locations: Florida, Milwaukee, DeSantis, Tim Scott of South Carolina

☆ The more New Hampshire voters see of DeSantis, the less they like him: polling
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-27 | by ( Madison Hall | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Ron DeSantis is losing his grip on his supporters in New Hampshire, polling shows. His support may be dwindling because of Trump's indictment, DeSantis' position on abortion, or simply his charisma. After visiting the state and hobnobbing with locals, DeSantis' support has only dropped. Still, DeSantis hasn't been doing so hot nationally, either, and has seen his polling average dip by around ten points over the same period we're looking at in New Hampshire. Voters in New Hampshire, however, may not be the most enthused by DeSantis' legislation.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, —, DeSantis hasn't, Donald Trump, Roe, Wade, Trump, he's Organizations: Florida Gov, New Hampshire, Service, Republican, Reuters, Anselm College, Politico, GOP, Trump Locations: Florida, New Hampshire, New, Hampshire, Trump

Trump's prior indictment in New York on charges alleging falsification of business documents didn't move the political needle much. But there is recent polling that explains what Americans think about the prospect of Trump being charged with crimes, including some specifically about an indictment related to his handling of classified documents. Meanwhile, 63% of Americans, called "taking highly classified documents from the White House and obstructing efforts to retrieve them" a serious crime. Ahead of Trump's indictment in Manhattan, Quinnipiac University asked Americans whether they thought criminal charges, not an indictment, should disqualify Trump from running. A slim majority of all voters, 52%, said that in his New York indictment, Trump has been treated like anyone else accused of those same crimes and hasn't been unfairly targeted.

Persons: Donald Trump, —, Trump's, Trump, it's, Joe Biden, hasn't, Jan Organizations: —, White House, Republicans, Trump, White, Yahoo, Quinnipiac University, NBC, Republican, GOP, DeSantis, Associated Press, NORC Center for Public Affairs Research Locations: New York, Manhattan, York, Florida

☆ Strict polling requirements from the RNC wiped out most of the GOP primary field before they could even declare
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-07 | by ( Walt Hickey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

The RNC set a number of benchmarks a campaign needs to hit to make the August 23 debate. Candidates must poll at 1% or higher in three polls with over 800 likely Republican voters. Not many polls have over 800 likely Republican voters, so that'll be harder to hit than some expect. That's a high bar for some campaigns in the increasingly busy bottom of the race, but that's not even the number that's going to screw them. Chris Christie, Donald Trump, Mike Pence, and Doug Burgum will all in the GOP primary by the end of the week.

Persons: —, That's, that's, Gallup, Chris Christie, Donald Trump, Mike Pence, Doug Burgum, Wade Vandervort, Andrew Caballero, Getty, Scott Olson, Stephen Yang, Nate Cohn, FiveThirtyEight's Nathaniel Rakich, Geoffrey Skelley, Nikki Haley, South, Tim Scott, Sen, Jim DeMint, Ehrhardt, Trump, DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy — Organizations: RNC, Republican, Service, Republican National Committee, Republicans, Morning, New York Times, GOP, South Carolina, AP, North Dakota Gov Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire , Nevada, South Carolina, FiveThirtyEight, Columbia

☆ No one cares about Mike Pence
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-07 | by ( Taylor Berman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Pence hopes to position himself as a more traditional conservative, pushing for family values, fiscal conservatism, and an aggressive military presence abroad. He stuck with Mr. Trump through numerous controversies including the leak of the "Access Hollywood" tape, in which Mr. Trump boasted about grabbing women's genitalia. He vouched for Mr. Trump's character with skeptical evangelicals with whom Mr. Trump ultimately forged his own relationship. Portraying himself as a traditional conservative could also lead to a return to conservative media for Pence. For a time after leaving office as vice president, the Pences were homeless and appeared to be couch-surfing their way through Indiana.

Persons: Pence, —, Mike Pence, Nikki Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, McKay Coppins, … It's, Jonathan Swan, Trump, Doug Heye, Simon, Schuster, He's, I'm Organizations: Republican, Trump, Service, GOP, Politics, Florida, Atlantic, New York Times, Ukraine, Mr Locations: U.S, Afghanistan, Indiana

☆ Chris Christie, Mike Pence, and Doug Burgum are all about to enter the GOP primary — and that's excellent news for Donald Trump
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Jake Swearingen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The primary is likely a contest between Trump supporters and those who want an alternative. And GOP primary voters know Trump's "brand." The GOP primary base appears to split into two even camps: Trump supporters and those looking for an alternative. Primary contenders not named Donald Trump will likely be fighting over the same group of moderate GOP supporters. As Michael Tesler of FiveThirtyEight points out, Trump now commands a majority of "very conservative" primary voters, despite losing those voters in 2016.

Persons: Chris Christie, Mike Pence, Doug Burgum, —, Donald Trump, Christie, Pence, Mitt Romney, Donna Brazile, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Michael Tesler, Trump Organizations: Trump, Service, Republican, New, New Jersey Gov, North Dakota Gov, GOP, CNN, Republican Party Locations: New Jersey, Manhattan

☆ Poll: GOP Sen. Tim Scott utterly botched his presidential campaign rollout
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-04 | by ( Walt Hickey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

GOP Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina declared he's running for president. Morning Consult polling found that more Republicans heard nothing about the launch than heard positive things about it. In the week following the announcement, just 38% of GOP primary voters heard something positive about the candidate. By comparison, Morning Consult found that 47% of GOP primary voters heard something positive about former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley after her launch, while 51% of voters heard something positive about former President Donald Trump and Florida Gov.

Persons: Sen, Tim Scott of, —, Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Scott, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, he's Organizations: Service, GOP, Florida Gov, Republican National Locations: Tim Scott of South Carolina, Carolina

☆ Ron DeSantis weirdly refused to say how to pronounce his name, after being called out for flip-flopping between different ways
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Tom Porter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The Trump campaign is accusing DeSantis of flip-flopping over his name. "I don't think that's what voters want," said DeSantis. "And honestly I think that his conduct, which he's been doing for years now, I think that's one of the reasons he's not in the White House now." When asked by Axios about the correct pronunciation, DeSantis' 2024 campaign refused to answer the question, and the pro-DeSantis super PAC, Never Back Down, also declined to say. As things stand, Trump leads in polls of Republican primary voters, while DeSantis is second, according to an aggregate of polls by FiveThirtyEight.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, Trump, DeSantis, —, Donald Trump, Dee, Rob, DeSanctimonious, he's, Axios, FiveThirtyEight Organizations: GOP, Service, Republican, Social, Trump, DeSantis Locations: Florida, New Hampshire

☆ Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin's potential late entry into the 2024 field seems destined to fail from the start
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( John L. Dorman | Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

Glenn Youngkin of Virginia is reconsidering a 2024 presidential run, per a recent Axios report. But such a decision would be rife with peril, with Youngkin far down the pack of GOP contenders. Former President Donald Trump speaks to supporters at his rally in Waco, Texas, on March 25, 2023. As of May 31, the GOP polling average on FiveThirtyEight had Trump ahead of DeSantis 54.1%-20.7%, with former Gov. Virginia House Speaker Todd Gilbert, left, gavels to order the special session of the Virginia General Assembly in Richmond, Va., on September 7, 2022.

Persons: Glenn Youngkin, Youngkin, —, Donald Trump, Terry McAuliffe, Joe Biden, Trump, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Axios, Evan Vucci Trump, juggernaut Trump, Stormy Daniels, FiveThirtyEight, Nikki Haley, Sen, Tim Scott of, Mike Pence, Marta Lavandier, McAuliffe, Ralph Northam, Todd Gilbert, gavels, Steve Helber, Miles Coleman, Ball, Roe, Wade, Coleman, Aaron Rouse, Jennifer McClellan Organizations: Service, Democratic Gov, GOP, Republican, Walt Disney Company, AP, Manhattan District Attorney's, Gov, South Carolina —, Disney, American Studies, Democratic, Virginia, Virginia General Assembly, Commonwealth, Delegates, Virginia Senate, Republicans, University of Virginia Center for Politics Locations: Virginia, Florida, Waco , Texas, DeSantis, South Carolina, Tim Scott of South Carolina, Iowa , New Hampshire, Texas, Miami, Fla, Richmond , Va, Richmond, Virginia Beach

☆ Trump has already shattered the lead DeSantis seemingly held in polling: Monmouth
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-30 | by ( Madison Hall | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Ron DeSantis led all listed Republican candidates in a Monmouth University poll. New polling from Monmouth University shows that Trump now leads the governor by 24 percentage points. Ron DeSantis in polling in recent months, shattering the lead held by the leader of the Sunshine State, according to a recent Monmouth University poll. In December 2022, DeSantis was the leading candidate among Republican and Republican-leaning respondents to Monmouth University's poll, drawing in 39% support to Trump's 26%. While DeSantis took his time to announce his run for president, Trump picked up a bevy of GOP endorsements including more than 50 representatives, 11 senators, and two governors.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Donald Trump's, Trump, —, Donald Trump, Elon Musk, David Sacks, FiveThirtyEight, who've, Byron Donalds, Doug Steube Organizations: Florida Gov, Monmouth University, Service, Sunshine State, Elon, GOP, Republican, Trump, DeSantis, Rep, Representatives, Disney Locations: Florida, Monmouth

☆ Ron DeSantis accused Trump of 'going left' on fiscal and cultural issues and called the former president 'a different guy' compared to his 2016 run
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-27 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

DeSantis said Trump is running from the "left" as the Fla. governor has now entered the 2024 race. In a range of interviews, DeSantis sought to assert himself as the true conservative in the primary. Ron DeSantis of Florida on Thursday wasted little time going after former President Donald Trump after announcing his White House run, accusing the ex-commander-in-chief of "going left" on fiscal and cultural issues. Despite DeSantis' appeal among many conservatives looking to move past the Trump era, the former president remains the frontrunner for the Republican presidential nomination. As of May 27, the national polling average on FiveThirtyEight had Trump ahead of DeSantis 53.9%-20.4%.

☆ Opinion | Dooce and Other ‘Mommy Blogs’ Deserve Credit for Shaping the Internet
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-13 | by ( Jessica Grose | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

In the past few months, several internet giants have fallen. BuzzFeed News folded. Vice is headed for bankruptcy. And with the recent publication of Ben Smith’s “Traffic: Genius, Rivalry, and Delusion in the Billion-Dollar Race to Go Viral,” there’s been a resurgence of chatter about Gawker Media, which went kaput in 2016. (I worked at Jezebel, which was under the Gawker Media umbrella, from 2007 to 2008.)

☆ Trump says he's 'pleased' to see Vivek Ramaswamy was even with Pence and ahead of Haley in a recent poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The former president said he was "pleased" to see entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy doing so well. A political newcomer, Ramaswamy performed very well in a recent poll. "I am pleased to see that Vivek Ramaswamy is doing so well in the most recent Republican Primary Poll, CBS YouGov," Trump wrote on his social media platform, Truth Social. RealClearPolitics' more raw average has Ramaswamy in fifth behind DeSantis, Pence, and Haley respectively. In response to Trump's praise, Ramaswamy senior adviser Tricia McLaughlin told Insider, "We're 10 weeks in and just getting warmed up."

☆ Anthony Richardson: NFL Draft prospect who says he is 'not from Earth'
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( Ben Morse | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —Heading into the NFL Draft, there’s always one prospect coming out of college who everyone becomes infatuated with, despite not being the finished article. This year’s golden boy is Anthony Richardson and, in his unique case, he’s impressed at every stage of the process. Richardson ran the fastest 40-yard dash time of all quarterbacks, as well as jumping the highest and furthest at the Combine. With potentially nine picks in the opening 12 being held by quarterback-needy teams, Richardson could be finding a new home anywhere across the league. David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire/Getty ImagesIt means that Richardson has just 13 career college starts to his name entering the draft.

☆ Ron DeSantis' month from hell just got even worse thanks to Disney's legal team
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | Warren Rojas | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Already this month, DeSantis has seen more fellow Florida Republicans back Trump instead of him. April was supposed to be the crescendo for the Florida governor before his widely expected presidential announcement. Instead, DeSantis has been pummeled on all sides, including by many of his fellow Florida Republicans. "Floridians want him focused on Florida," Rep. Greg Steube, yet another Florida Republican who endorsed Trump, told Politico, "which is the job they elected him to do." Last month, DeSantis began to punch back at Trump in a feisty Piers Morgan interview where he stressed that he was a "winner."

☆ Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight Founder, Expects to Depart ABC News Amid Layoffs
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-25 | by ( Livia Albeck-Ripka | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

Nate Silver, the founder and editor of the data-driven news site FiveThirtyEight, said on Tuesday that he expected to leave ABC News as layoffs rattle its parent organization, the Walt Disney Company. Mr. Silver, who started FiveThirtyEight in 2008, and was affiliated with The New York Times from 2010 to 2013, said on Twitter that the Disney layoffs had “substantially impacted” the site. “I am sad and disappointed to a degree that’s kind of hard to express right now. We’ve been at Disney almost 10 years,” he wrote. “My contract is up soon and I expect that I’ll be leaving at the end of it.”Mr. Silver noted that he had begun having conversations about other opportunities, because he had been worried about “an outcome like this.”

[1/2] Florida Governor Ron DeSantis speaks at the 2023 NHGOP Amos Tuck Dinner in Manchester, New Hampshire, U.S., April 14, 2023. Seemingly entrenched in culture wars, Florida governor DeSantis risks being overshadowed by Trump's fundraising, improving polling numbers and endorsements by lawmakers, anti-Trump donors say. Other polls of Republicans alone show Trump has surged into a commanding lead over DeSantis in recent weeks. History shows that early endorsements by elected party officials give candidates momentum and can be predictive of who wins a presidential nomination. These culture war appeals to Trump's Republican base so far do not appear to be working.

☆ DeSantis megadonors revolt in private chat, saying if they wanted a MAGA candidate they 'would donate to Donald Trump', report says
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-19 | by ( Joshua Zitser | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Ron DeSantis donors criticized him in a private chat. Rolling Stone obtained screenshots of the group chat between the GOP megadonors. Ron DeSantis donors raged together in a private chat about the Florida governor's presidential prospects. Rolling Stone gained access to screenshots of a group chat between several DeSantis donors, some of whom it said had given large sums to the governor. Other donors wrote that they wanted DeSantis to hit back harder at Trump, with one describing him as a "damn wimp," per Rolling Stone.

☆ Mike Pompeo announces he is not running for president in 2024 after criticizing Trump last month
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( Azmi Haroun | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo is not running for president in 2024, per ABC News. Pompeo said that he would have managed the country's debt better than Trump. According to ABC News, Pompeo announced that he would not be running for president on Bret Baier's Fox News show on Friday. On March 5, Pompeo appeared on Fox News Sunday and joked that "President Pompeo" would have managed the country's debt better than Trump: "$6 trillion more in debt. Pompeo, despite his stature as a former Secretary of State and longtime GOP power player, has barely registered in polling.

☆ Tim Scott is the most intriguing GOP presidential hopeful most Republicans haven't heard of
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-12 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | Warren Rojas | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott is far from well-known by Republican voters. But if he runs for president, Scott would be well positioned to break out if either Trump or DeSantis falter. "I hope he is considering jumping into the race," Iowa Sen. Joni Ernst recently told Insider while on her way back to her Senate office. But more than just his colleagues, Republican voters may also be just as effusive. It's difficult to find polling on Scott's national favorability, but a recent Monmouth University poll of self-identified Republican voters showed significant promise.

☆ N.C.A.A. Bracket Picks: Where Fans and Experts Diverge
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-15 | by ( Josh Katz | Alice Fang | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +8 min

One avenue is examining the differences between the forecasts of mathematical models and the collective choices of fans. For example, fans are much more likely to have Kansas and Alabama in the Final Four than the experts. The table below shows an aggregate view of the difference between the public’s picks and those of forecasting models. But if you pick the same teams as everyone else, your bracket will look the same, too, something you should consider. There is no guarantee that this approach will work, of course, and part of the draw of the N.C.A.A.

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